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@elizabethstrong544 it is devastating. In previous extinction events we have some evidence of biodiversity reservoirs in deep soil ecosystems. The growing awareness around soil importance, soil restoration, and prairie restoration doesn't just matter for today, but for the deep bank of life.

@rjlbex1968 I need to do an update for Europe! Right now, this is the best I've got. th-cam.com/video/CLNRd8lbfhw/w-d-xo.html This outlook doesn't reflect the weirdness we've been experiencing since May of 23, it looks more and more like the gulf stream is breaking. And the UK would experience serious impacts from that- the kind of strange, very wet, weather that is being observed this year.

@@AmericanResiliency thank you, I'll take a look. The weather here is definitely weirding, we've barely had a summer yet. It's rained so so much since last autumn. Fingers crossed it changes soon. I wonder whether it's the decline of the AMOC 😢, or maybe descending water vapour from hunga tonga? 🤷

@@rjlbex1968 I've been hearing all about the agricultural impacts of the rain- very serious. We keep getting more evidence in all the time. Hopefully soon there will be a clearer picture of what is causing the change, what is coming next, and how to best respond.

@smithsmith9510 if we look way across time change tends to be lower in the center of continents, and we haven't seen big changes in the different NCA versions for the middle of the country. So I feel fairly confident that the "center will hold" here- more confident for Minneapolis than for Pittsburg, but still pretty confident for Pittsburg. Thinking of you all in the PNW, with the heat and the drought, and hope conditions ease soon.

@MicheleTuer Michigan is up! This video is from before I moved towards 2C language- I talk 2050, but in the federal reports, 2050 is when we expected to hit 2C. We were on track before the 23-24 bump, but now... Anyway, when you watch this and I say 2050, think 2C. th-cam.com/video/IvgC9uc3F-Q/w-d-xo.html There are big changes projected for Michigan's winters- sad to see. But it's important to keep in mind, the projected conditions are very life-supporting. Many people and living things will want to be in Michigan.

@pendragon_cave1405 this has been a heavy time, I know I am feeling it, too. The friends I have made through the AR community do a lot to help me feel I can keep going.

@AgroecologicalSystems always welcome- wishing you all the best

@imunchienandalusia thank you, making the information accessible to everyone is my goal. Big thumbs up for your move choice- great destination

@pinecone1204 I think so

@charlesvt2010 the drought in the greater southeast is growing so fast- hoping you all get some relief soon

@ph5915 there are totally studies showing wet bulb impacts beginning to hurt humans at pretty low temps. But we also see humans continuing to survive in places like India that regularly see long stretches of temperatures over these low-range wet bulb temps. Like I say in the video, we are in an extinction event. These conditions are changing too fast for many lifeforms, they threaten many lifeforms. This is why I am passionate about conservation, focused in lower-change areas. Conservation for coral reefs is a kindness, but they are not looking at a good future. Conservation for prairie, prairie has the potential to grow in these conditions, and prairie sinks carbon faster than forest.

@@AmericanResiliency Thank you for replying! Yes, I completely agree. After I saw this video, I watched another one of yours that was mostly about WBT... It's keen to me, I don't handle heat well, never have, even growing up as a kid ages 4-11 in South FL, and a year on Guam at 12, no good. I'm not terribly obese, I exercise, I don't have any particular medical reason why...It's weird, if I'm exercising (mostly walking in a treadmill, with a huge fan behind me), I expect to sweat. But walking across a parking lot to a grocery store? C'mon! LOL. I saw your video about Minnesota, and thought "Hmm". But I don't really care for frigid winters either (I'm almost 61)...Enjoying your channel! Thank you.

@jessieadore shortest possible answer- global temps were at a high of about 1.7C around Feb 24, we're now at 1.5C.

Thank you my love

@Mike80528 I dunno man, I was gonna be dead then anyway. Life's story continuing regardless is a comfort to me. And anyone who doesn't consider the archae complex hasn't studied them! Maybe non-microbiologists won't find the comfort in this that I do, but, I never did anything to indicate I wasn't extremely nerdy.

@@AmericanResiliency I know, and it's a very biased view but I look at the complexity and beauty of life today, and our understanding of the earliest days of life on this world and to me its just tragic if it all collapses back to that primordial beginning due to our hubris. I'm sure there's other advanced life in the universe; it's simply way too vast for there not to be, but it is also still very rare and yet we completely take it for granted because it is all we know. More personally, I wish my grandchildren who are so young now would be able to experience the amazing world I was born into and that I grew up in, and not what is coming...

@CityPrepping glad you're here- let me know if you have any questions about more localized information.

Glad you made it over. You've done some really good work and I think you'll find the information presented here helpful in guiding preparation for the future.

1,000,000 Subs in the house!!!

@@AmericanResiliency I just sent you an email. Definitely would love to chat more offline if you have the availability.

@CityPrepping awesome- looking forward to talking with you

@knq1 Unless you love it there so much you can't stand leaving I would move. Better to get to a place with less stressed capacity, is my thinking. If you are moving the biggest, most stable high-capacity destination area is in the northern Midwest- I give info on this at the end of this video.

@@AmericanResiliency I do love Oregon. I’ve been in the valley most of my life. The remaining pockets of old growth in the state are awe inspiring. Douglas firs, western red cedars, Alaskan yellow cedars. Douglas firs over 7 ft in diameter and hundreds of feet tall. I tried going to a small stand of ancient forest recently with trees over 500 years old, only to find it had entirely burned down. It makes me sick to think how much will be lost. The forests of the west coast are in my soul. But I have a young family to take care of and so I’m weighing my options. I think the single best thing I can do is try to set them up in a place where food will grow and they may have a future. I watched your channel a year or so ago but I compartmentalized it. It’s just so viscerally devastating to think about our forests in the pnw. But given our present circumstances it’s time to face it squarely. Do you know of any communities that are aware of what’s coming in the prairies pothole region?

@@knq1 it's terrible, and the increasingly difficult projections for that beautiful region have been painful to process for me, too. There is increasingly good climate awareness in the prairie pothole region. In Iowa, I would recommend Iowa City as climate aware- there are many excellent rural areas within an hour of Iowa City, rural areas are increasingly climate aware. Decorah, Iowa, is a beautiful smaller community that is climate aware. Minnesota as a state has a highly active stance on climate, and the state's science communication is excellent. If you like a larger city, Minneapolis is on the ball, and I would feel confident being anywhere in about an hour's orbit of that greater metro area.

Hmm. Sounds fine to me.

@@MichaelGilboaAudio is mono and only coming out one channel and fairly low on my TV.

ugh I must have forgotten to toggle it from mono.

Feeling these storms at 1.5 is intense. Hail is such a serious emerging issue, I'm putting in a mesh layer to provide shade & hopefully offer some hail protection.... what can we do but try, right? I'm in a projected part of Iowa that is projected to be lower change. This weekend I visited family in Chicago- which is a city with a decent outlook, but the extreme storms are projected to be more intense than where I live. The storm that hit on Sunday afternoon reminded me of the tropical rains I experienced in New Orleans in August- very intense. The people I was with looked at their phones. They told me the storm had not been forecast, and that this is becoming common.

@@AmericanResiliency yeah you know last year I heard, the summer of 2024 is going to be one to remember, way more intense than 2023. I guess we're all finding out what that means and it's only July.

San Diego is not as hot as you think, at least not close to the coast. We have had a semi permanent marine layer since early Last summer. I haven’t looked into it but I imagine the warmer water currents have something to do with it. Don’t get me wrong this time of year when the clouds do clear (or if ur 5or 10 miles inland) that sun is Phoenix hot! Also don’t get me wrong, I’m loving the cool……while it lasts

@rayoakley6669 I'm starting work on the California video later this week- I'm pretty sure I'm going to do it as 2, north and south. I expect a lot of variation across the state and I know we're gonna need a lot of detail- we have so many AR people all over CA.

@TheDoomWizard hah you were planning on one?!

@@AmericanResiliency I am approaching retirement. I’m hoping for a little time before things like turbulence, drought, migration etc. make travel difficult

Even though certain places become unpleasant to live in with climate change, they aren’t unpleasant for the whole year. I still plan to spend part of the year in Arizona, but maybe I would plan on 2-3 months instead of 4-6 months I have thought I would sell my house and buy one in a place where I would spend part of the year in the future. I just have been changing my mind about which part.

I'm glad to see a little evidence that there is still time for weirdness remaining

@kenmcclow8963 you've got a good diversity in your planning here. Having multiple power sources as well as passive cooling ideas is very resilient. I hope other people read your comment and think about how elements of your approach might work for them.

That's a reasonable and grounded correction- I try my best but I definitely still talk like a person who gleaned most of their vocabulary from reading.

@pinecone1204 I should definitely make a video about the new ice info, appreciate the poke in a good direction & the pronunciation assist. It has to be beyond surreal to be in one of the many high-change areas where everyone's supposed to pretend they aren't experiencing what's happening. This past crawfish season you'd think would be a wake-up call if anything could be. But, if you want to reach people, I figure, at least try & keep reaching out in new ways. We could still save New Orleans. If we lose New Orleans, it'll hit this nation deeper than some people realize.

@pinecone1204 just writing that I got your other comment & am on it. Worth clarifying, it's hard to say exactly how fast it's coming in, because there is so much coming out around the ice models indicating our understanding was really wrong. Big liquid & slush areas under what we thought was solid ice, instability in large regions of Antarctica that we thought were pretty stable. You might like to check out this webpage- this guy was a postdoc with NOAA- showing ice contemporary measurements, you can see how weird 2023 got. zacklabe.com/antarctic-sea-ice-extentconcentration/

@couerleroi1 this is a great clarifying question. In my older material I talk about 2050. Since February of 24 I've switched towards talking about 2C. Before the 23-24 jump, the consensus was we were looking at 2C around 2050. There is no strong consensus on what happened- this is an area of active freaking out by science and policy people worldwide, with new info continuing to come in. The report in this video is the best short-term work the AR community has found that is using and responding to the anomaly information. Anyway, that's a long winded answer, but hopefully it helps give you useful background. Many scientists are now saying we're likely to hit 2C as an average by 2035, 2040. I tell friends they should get where they want to live within the next 3 years.

It's worth noting, too - since this jump, we are in a situation where Everyone has less certainty. The Earth is responding in ways science does not fully understand. I try and bring the best science I can to the table.... But part of being honest with that is admitting, we're in a weird situation

The increased length of the hot season projected for Mississippi would be a bit much for my taste. Columbus Ohio is a pretty good destination with a southern vibe- lmk if you ever have destination questions, I'm happy to help.

@couerleroi1 I'll have an update out soon, but I don't expect any big changes, just more clarity. Visited Mississippi via the Natchez Trace this spring- wonderful landscapes & people.

@kenmcclow8963 the ability of storms to go "next level" as of late is always a surprise. The northwest corner of my state got 14 inches in a day last week- totally weird! These kinds of infrastructure issues, I agree there'll be pressure to get them fixed quick, but I like to keep an eye on vulnerabilities, think of ways around them. I like that water system thinking!

@koicaine1230 it feels like we gotta bring our all to this moment. Thank you for sharing <3

@BenHuttash appreciate your kind words. This is info where everyone deserves access, it matters to reach out

Was so happy when I found that pic!

@cathmires8990 I would love to do a video about geoengineering and all the crap that people are pulling now. I should be brave and do it.

Yes, you already are brave! So you should do it. I would love to hear your input.

@@AmericanResiliencyI would include myself amongst those that would be interested and grateful for your thoughts on this.

@fadedrose100 SLC is a great city. We were looking at moving there for my husband's work about five years ago. He's had a tremendous regard for the place for decades, and I was also really impressed when we visited. These projections for SLC kinda suck but they're survivable. SLC is very friendly but that doesn't mean they aren't alarmingly tough. If they could get the lake under stewardship, this would be an important population center to hold. Other places, I wouldn't believe people could rise to the challenge. But in this case, the water is there, it's available in the larger regional system. They need a big behavioral change, a cultural change. I'm not counting them out til its done. If anyone could do it, these are the people that could.

@@AmericanResiliency I totally agree. They have made being organized a priority since the very beginning. If they set their mind to it they could overcome any obstacle. Unfortunately I don't see the cultural resistance changing any time in the near future. The first settlers to arrive in the valley immediately organized into work parties to dig canals to bring water down from the mountains. The men took turns working on it along with making a place to live. "Make the desert bloom like a rose." Many people believe that God led the chosen people to this land for a reason, that it will be a place protected in times of trouble and are going there to create a place where they feel safe. That includes growing their own food. Telling them there's water in the mountain lakes but you can't have it is not going to go over well!

@@fadedrose100 I wonder if more messaging that speaks to these deep cultural realities would help inspire change. I mean, the climate outlook for that part of the state is pretty good, and in an increasingly dangerous world. They were led to a good land, a land with potential for lasting prosperity! They could still grow food and put more water into the lake if they cut way down on beef. The families that settled here endured much more severe hardships than that, and they did it due to their belief in the potential for a good future.

@@AmericanResiliency You have such a good heart!!!! I've been outside mulching the potatoes and thinking about what message might be helpful and I'm sorry to say I'm pretty pessimistic. Telling them they have a good land would not be helpful in my opinion. Even mainstream LDS are afraid of the hoards flowing out of the cities like Vegas and coming for their 300 years of rice. If they could they would stay far under the radar and not call attention to themselves. Some out of state scientists pointing out it's a good place would not be welcome. The Zion curtain is really a thing. Many people would feel sad for the loss of bird habitat but they wouldn't let Grandpa's cherry tree die to save them. Manifest destiny is also still a thing. As far as toxins in the air. Many people might think things along the lines of God works in mysterious ways and will protect those who are righteous. And that all kinds of bad things will happen in the last days. The only thing I can think of is if the Prophet started saying that climate change is a real thing and explaining how it's impacting LDS people around the world that might have some impact. Many men and now women, served on missions in other countries and care very much about the people where they served. People are willing to conserve but they see it as a temporary situation and the water will come back. The message about the issues needs to come from church leaders, not politicians and scientists.

@@fadedrose100 I think the international humanitarian appeal is powerful, but I don't know that it'll move high-level leadership. And we absolutely need leadership from the top of the LDS hierarchy if this type of behavior change is going to happen. This is what I think could drive it. And I don't know that it will, but it could- it's just a chance. LDS church leaders are smart about the bottom line. If they see that it makes sense for their long-term interests to drive change, if it makes financial sense to drive change, change will happen. I used to go to a popular LDS lunch spot in Mesa AZ when I was studying at ASU. It was like a salad bar- they had all those elaborate salads! I would hear LDS guys talking about business all the time there. I heard lots of indications that LDS people in business were climate-aware, but that they saw it as a tomorrow problem. Things have changed really fast. We didn't know this was going to be such a serious today problem even five years ago. A lot of climate-aware people in leadership are still planning on a 2C = 2050 timeline. Helping people access this information a way they can hear is more important than ever- even if it's just to help get people out of the most dangerous areas before our first 2C summer comes. I heard from 3 more households just these past 2 days. People getting out of AZ, getting out of south Texas, because they got the message.

@bonnieprather610, I have a complex reaction to your comment, I don't think it reflects how I intended the Oregon message to be received. But, you put stuff out there, people are going to interpret it for themselves. And I try to make the evidence clearly available, people have a right to look at the evidence and draw their own conclusions. If I were in SLC, based on the climate outlook, I might stay. Looks like it'll suck, but many people are very deeply rooted there, and I think they would find the projected conditions survivable. However, if they don't get the lake under stewardship, their window closes. Right now, they're not doing the work. Only rapid behavior change, culture change, would save the potential in the area.

I didn't tag this as a medicinal plant? unaware of medicinal use outside of general health, esp related to use of seed

@davidwatson7604 this is a particularly hard outlook for the weirdest parts of Utah- feel bad for Moab

@JEffinger definitely a "happening now" problem

Not to mention other animals

@@UnknownPascal-sc2nk especially when we see the potential for more rain coming to the northwest corner- the corner that will be most poisoned by the dry lakebed, when there could be refugia forming there.

@Corrie-fd9ww it's an amazing shot they got! That bird looks so happy, and it's such a clear shot in a really dynamic situation.

If I could get as amped as that lil birb eating tiny weird fly thingies I’d be there too 🤣🤣

@Hadenought65 that would be so pretty- make a very special occasion

we've got sumac in the area- I should bring all 3 together for a comparison next time. a lot easier to tell the differences when you've got them right there. this would be a good season to show them all green

@jhavoncoca7078 aahhhh I hate reed canary grass! It's hard to ID esp when you can't see the seeds but this is the trick I learned. Look at the joints in the grass stem- there's a pretty big hairless white membrane at every joint. You can see a good picture of it on this page: www.minnesotawildflowers.info/grass-sedge-rush/reed-canary-grass

@@AmericanResiliency thx u 4 the assistance an help with the matter the link helps tremendously have. A great day ☮️🎆

Do you just eat them raw? I've heard there's a lot of strain variation, maybe my trees are just not the tastiest! To their credit, they do have a lot of pectin in the fruit.

I'll be able to answer this better after I finish my research on the NCA5. The highest-capacity destination region looks to be the northern Midwest, but there are lots of good pockets- I'm putting together info for Connecticut and that whole state looks fantastic. After I finish the NCA5 I intend to do more outlooks for other countries. I'm really interested in learning more about the projections for Hokkaido, Japan.

@Namari12 I put these notes into the video description, they should be generating chapters now. Thank you so much for these detailed chapter notes- I especially appreciate your getting the city timepoints in there, that is so helpful!!