Wyoming 2C Climate Outlook: NCA5 Update
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 26 มิ.ย. 2024
- Wyoming's outlook is improved in the NCA5 from the NCA4. In the NCA4 we saw real threats to Wyoming's mountains, but in these updated figures, we have more hope for some stability in this critical headwaters area. Don't get too comfy though- this state looks to remain pretty darn wild!
In this video I give some info about Wyoming's baseline conditions, then share how the projections suggest the state will change by 2C of warming. We're looking at a range of change around the state, with good hope for decent climate preservation in many beloved lands.
Here's a link to the NCA5:
nca2023.globalchange.gov/
To Dustin's Toolset:
public.tableau.com/app/profil...
And to targeted federal resources for Wyoming:
www.weather.gov/riw/WyomingFl...
Join our Discord:
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Ahhhh! I had no idea you were gonna talk about jackalopes!!! Just about the best thing ever
I want to believe 🤣
The truth is out there! 🤣
Eyyyy the Jackalope came from my hometown! haha I really appreciate you doing these. They are really interesting and it's cool to see how the models have changed over time.
@DasBullWy that's awesome! And thanks for your kind words.
The changes from the NCA4 to the NCA5 so far point towards a high "all models" degree of stability in a nice big lump of the country centered in southern Minnesota, as well as a smaller but also good region centered in northern Pennsylvania.
Thank you Dr Emily very interesting report on Wyoming...appreciate you!
@michaelshiessl8357 you're welcome, & thanks for your kind words!
The wind is no joke. We went on a family trip up to Yellowstone a few years ago. The entire time the wind was blowing and always at a right angle to whatever direction we were driving, which was a long windy road in the middle of nowhere. "Big Sky" country is a euphemism for "windy all the time" country. That wind dries out the soil, making growing much very difficult without significant water supplementation.
@Mike80528 the winds of Wyoming are next level! In Iowa I thought we were serious about wind. We often have 20mph winds and average annual wind speed is about 10mph. In Wyoming they commonly get closer to 40mph winds and the average annual wind speed is closer to 13mph. HUGE difference on the ground!!
When I was a kid we pulled a terry camper trailer to Yellowstone. The cross wind was so high it wore out the back tires on our car.
@stevesmith-sb2df that's intense! I haven't been back to Yellowstone since I was a kid. Thinking about the experience- that first time you smell the mudpots is so wild! - makes me really want to go back with my family.
I drive through Wyoming every year in June and sometimes in December in my electric car for the last six years and in a gas car for the 30 years previously.
There is a lot of wind especially on the I-80 corridor. I got 20 miles of extra range going east one time, although going west in New Mexico I had fierce headwinds that made me charge up more than usual to get to the next charger.
I don’t notice wind as much on I-90 because of the various landscapes as opposed to the high plains in the south. There is a place called Pine Ridge that goes between Keyhole Reservoir and Upton that is a narrow band of pine trees from north to south. I haven’t noticed much beetle destruction there as in Montana where over the last 30 years huge areas have been devastated. Further east on the edge of the Black Hills they started cutting the lower limbs off trees to stop grass fires from becoming crown fires that are really destructive. The trees can easily survive a grass fire and the landscape evolved to burn regularly, but if it gets into the trees it gets hot and can burn towns.
I looked at buying land in the 90’s but the wells can be very deep and expensive and water rights are all spoken for.
There are several huge open pit coal mines and one is closing and a new nuclear power plant is being built to continue using the grid infrastructure there in Kemmerer
@kenmcclow8963 thanks for these seriously nice ground notes. Great details for travelers. I really appreciate the pine beetle info & it's great to read about the active fire management in the Black Hills. That area is so cool, I'm really happy to hear that the landscape is being actively protected.
The Jackelope 😂😂 I thought those only lived in Texas 😂❤
@koicaine1230 a wide-ranging species!
Fantastic Content! Do you have updated link to the discord? All links I found and on the site seem to be expired. Thanks!
@phillgrubaugh here you go! discord.gg/Nt9FDrbJ And thanks!
There is a link on the top of the website now that should be a permanent invite.
Hi Emily
Wyoming doesn’t look so bad! I wonder if Wyoming’s mountains seem more stable than Washington’s mountains since it isn’t on the coast as is Washington state? Thanks for the great video!
Maryam(PNW)
@smithsmith9510 I was really happy to see that stability- the headwaters for so many important river basins are in Wyoming! The Missouri-Mississippi, Green-Colorado, Snake-Columbia, and Great Salt Lake basins all flow out of Wyoming. Any stability in Wyoming's hydrology will help stabilize basically all the great waters of the west.
Definitely does seem like as we head inland, the outlooks tend to improve. We will look at the east coast soon- New Jersey will come out on July 11, and Connecticut on July 18.
Time to get weird!!!
@davidwatson7604 with Wyoming, maybe I should say "weirder" lol
2C by 2030. 1.63C at the moment!
@gamingtonight1526 where are you getting your info? I'm interested, I've been waiting for the monthly Copernicus bulletin.