You're a lot more hopeful than I am. Be lucky there are resources for now. Many people, like in S. Africa, don't have that. We might see a multi-million person migration later this year if the rains don't come in a few weeks.
@A3Kr0n in so many ways it is a matter of fortune- not destiny, not worth. We are entering a terrible time for the world. I do not think we should give up an inch of hope in areas where there is potential for resilience. There are many, many parts of the world that look much worse than Western Maryland. I see this as a valuable time for people who are paying attention and have access to resources to figure out where to go. This information is being sold to high-net worth individuals but it belongs to the public.
@@AmericanResiliency This is not related to Maryland, but my family is also Puerto Rican. Is there anything from American Resiliency on the island? I assume it's not looking good whatsoever, but projections would at least provide information.
@@sonder4815 I am angry about the NCA5 update for Puerto Rico. They gave no new projections- talked about how rough everything looks, but it was not the support Puerto Rico deserves. Just a big downer that did nothing to help outline the problem on the ground. The best I have for you is this super old video with NCA4 projections. This was made back when we looked on-track to hit 2C at 2050, but now it looks like the timeline has moved up. The 2050 conditions I talk about in this video, it now seems increasingly likely we'll see them by 2035. th-cam.com/video/RAP4XgMJzx8/w-d-xo.html I'm sorry I don't have better than this to share. Everything we can see, people in Puerto Rico are going to need to be really tough & work together, because help from the mainland will probably be slow & not sufficient. To the degree that a family can invest in solar & in water storage, they should.
Me again. Another great video. On the USDA Plant Hardiness Zone there is going to be a two zone shift which equates to a 10 degree lift in winter lows in places like Baltimore. From what I remember, the current average low in January in Baltimore is 29 degrees Fahrenheit. Does that zone shift mean the average winter low for January will be 39 degrees Fahrenheit in the next 20 years? Hopefully that question makes sense. Thanks again!
@ryant6806 makes total sense and yes, your understanding is correct. I didn't double check your number on the Baltimore low, but if it used to be 29 and you see a 2 color move on the map, 39 would be the new low. A lot of places on the east coast are shifting towards lows ABOVE freezing, which is going to be kinda wild.
Looking at the dc map and the sea level rise makes me wonder. I recently learned there used to be a canal in dc around a century ago and I think it lines up with the crescent shape that forms on the map
That's so interesting! I never heard about that. And @keithd4550 don't be nervous- the inland New York outlook is little changed, just more refined- useful details. We gotta take a good look at what's happening to New York City and Long Island and think about what that will mean for the state, though.
Glad I watched this- I know some people down there. As I’m watching I’m thinking, do the politicians notice when their offices and homes are flooding soon? Or will it just be ignored and another story spun to “explain” it away…anyway, I lol’d at the Nic Cage reference 🤣
@Corrie-fd9ww I love Nic Cage movies. And I tell you, I increasingly wonder about the political response. I know that high-level politicians are extremely aware of this information. But like how a person with a heart condition can keep ordering the same cheeseburger even if the nutrition facts are right there on the menu, it's clear that some people don't change their behavior based on information. I think there are many people so detached from reality, they would keep doing their routine in a partially flooded home or office. They just don't go in the back room anymore, or into that corner over there anymore. I mean we see it happen today. People let their houses fall apart because they're in such despair or on so many drugs that they don't act. But we can act! I don't think we can trust the current systems to save us. We gotta do stuff and build systems.
It’s so true, and can be jarring to see someone continue their behavior when clearly it’s not working and their own lives are at risk. Humans tho. Such a weird species we are! Denial and delusion are fascinating from an objective perspective, but totally sucks when we are stuck in it. And also a totally normal coping mechanism in a horribly unstable context. Omg I have an idea- what if Nic Cage did some of these state updates??!!! actually….he really seems to love doing whatever project is available. Dude just loves to act. So, maybe it’s not that far fetched 🤣
LOL! You know I bet Nic Cage would be into our flavor of weird over here- did you see "Pig"? I felt like half of the reason he made "Pig" was to talk about the potential for a serious west coast tsunami. If we get to 10k subscribers, I will commit to reaching out to Nic Cage to see if he'll lend his unique talents to a video. More to the point, I will commit to documenting this potentially embarrassing ask!
🤣🤣🤣 I haven’t seen Pig yet but now I wanna see it. It would be such a good match! Disaster movie guy willing to get publicly open and weird about actual disaster prevention + adaptation?!
This is great, I was looking forward to this one as I live in that Northwestern point of VA near Maryland. It looks like a lot of the challenges around adaptation to climate change are due to lack of resources. I work somewhere between AI and policy so my mind goes to how we can start addressing these challenges through advocacy for resource reallocation or increased efficiency/assessment of risks via AI but I only became fully aware of climate risks in the last couple months. Do you have any thoughts on either of these methods for actually making positive change at scale?
I think building awareness of local impacts is an important first step. The vast majority of people aren't aware that we have detailed projections for local impacts. Right now when I search for things using AI, it mostly sends me to garbage- things that are like other things I've searched for. Feels like it's getting harder and harder to find anything new. If we could make it easier for people to find this information, even if they haven't been exposed to it before, I think that could be important in getting some momentum.
You're a lot more hopeful than I am. Be lucky there are resources for now. Many people, like in S. Africa, don't have that. We might see a multi-million person migration later this year if the rains don't come in a few weeks.
@A3Kr0n in so many ways it is a matter of fortune- not destiny, not worth. We are entering a terrible time for the world. I do not think we should give up an inch of hope in areas where there is potential for resilience. There are many, many parts of the world that look much worse than Western Maryland.
I see this as a valuable time for people who are paying attention and have access to resources to figure out where to go. This information is being sold to high-net worth individuals but it belongs to the public.
When you said parkville I jumped up because I grew up there! I definitely need to check the water resources, as you said.
@sonder4815 that's cool! I hope you find out only good news on the water front
@@AmericanResiliency This is not related to Maryland, but my family is also Puerto Rican. Is there anything from American Resiliency on the island? I assume it's not looking good whatsoever, but projections would at least provide information.
@@sonder4815 I am angry about the NCA5 update for Puerto Rico. They gave no new projections- talked about how rough everything looks, but it was not the support Puerto Rico deserves. Just a big downer that did nothing to help outline the problem on the ground.
The best I have for you is this super old video with NCA4 projections. This was made back when we looked on-track to hit 2C at 2050, but now it looks like the timeline has moved up. The 2050 conditions I talk about in this video, it now seems increasingly likely we'll see them by 2035.
th-cam.com/video/RAP4XgMJzx8/w-d-xo.html
I'm sorry I don't have better than this to share. Everything we can see, people in Puerto Rico are going to need to be really tough & work together, because help from the mainland will probably be slow & not sufficient. To the degree that a family can invest in solar & in water storage, they should.
Thank you very much for this expanded and (as always) highly informative video :).
@squibbydoo443, glad it was helpful!
thank you!
always welcome
Me again. Another great video. On the USDA Plant Hardiness Zone there is going to be a two zone shift which equates to a 10 degree lift in winter lows in places like Baltimore. From what I remember, the current average low in January in Baltimore is 29 degrees Fahrenheit. Does that zone shift mean the average winter low for January will be 39 degrees Fahrenheit in the next 20 years? Hopefully that question makes sense. Thanks again!
@ryant6806 makes total sense and yes, your understanding is correct. I didn't double check your number on the Baltimore low, but if it used to be 29 and you see a 2 color move on the map, 39 would be the new low. A lot of places on the east coast are shifting towards lows ABOVE freezing, which is going to be kinda wild.
Algo b-b-boost! For one day Plaza Del Rey
thanks man!
Looking at the dc map and the sea level rise makes me wonder. I recently learned there used to be a canal in dc around a century ago and I think it lines up with the crescent shape that forms on the map
Excited but nervous for the New York video to come out
That's so interesting! I never heard about that. And @keithd4550 don't be nervous- the inland New York outlook is little changed, just more refined- useful details. We gotta take a good look at what's happening to New York City and Long Island and think about what that will mean for the state, though.
Glad I watched this- I know some people down there. As I’m watching I’m thinking, do the politicians notice when their offices and homes are flooding soon? Or will it just be ignored and another story spun to “explain” it away…anyway, I lol’d at the Nic Cage reference 🤣
@Corrie-fd9ww I love Nic Cage movies. And I tell you, I increasingly wonder about the political response. I know that high-level politicians are extremely aware of this information. But like how a person with a heart condition can keep ordering the same cheeseburger even if the nutrition facts are right there on the menu, it's clear that some people don't change their behavior based on information.
I think there are many people so detached from reality, they would keep doing their routine in a partially flooded home or office. They just don't go in the back room anymore, or into that corner over there anymore. I mean we see it happen today. People let their houses fall apart because they're in such despair or on so many drugs that they don't act.
But we can act! I don't think we can trust the current systems to save us. We gotta do stuff and build systems.
It’s so true, and can be jarring to see someone continue their behavior when clearly it’s not working and their own lives are at risk. Humans tho. Such a weird species we are! Denial and delusion are fascinating from an objective perspective, but totally sucks when we are stuck in it. And also a totally normal coping mechanism in a horribly unstable context.
Omg I have an idea- what if Nic Cage did some of these state updates??!!! actually….he really seems to love doing whatever project is available. Dude just loves to act. So, maybe it’s not that far fetched 🤣
LOL! You know I bet Nic Cage would be into our flavor of weird over here- did you see "Pig"? I felt like half of the reason he made "Pig" was to talk about the potential for a serious west coast tsunami.
If we get to 10k subscribers, I will commit to reaching out to Nic Cage to see if he'll lend his unique talents to a video. More to the point, I will commit to documenting this potentially embarrassing ask!
🤣🤣🤣 I haven’t seen Pig yet but now I wanna see it. It would be such a good match! Disaster movie guy willing to get publicly open and weird about actual disaster prevention + adaptation?!
This is great, I was looking forward to this one as I live in that Northwestern point of VA near Maryland. It looks like a lot of the challenges around adaptation to climate change are due to lack of resources. I work somewhere between AI and policy so my mind goes to how we can start addressing these challenges through advocacy for resource reallocation or increased efficiency/assessment of risks via AI but I only became fully aware of climate risks in the last couple months. Do you have any thoughts on either of these methods for actually making positive change at scale?
I think building awareness of local impacts is an important first step. The vast majority of people aren't aware that we have detailed projections for local impacts. Right now when I search for things using AI, it mostly sends me to garbage- things that are like other things I've searched for. Feels like it's getting harder and harder to find anything new. If we could make it easier for people to find this information, even if they haven't been exposed to it before, I think that could be important in getting some momentum.
@@AmericanResiliency Thank you!