Minnesota 2C Climate Outlook: NCA5 Update

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 26 ก.ค. 2024
  • Minnesota has an interestingly varied climate outlook, with regions of high change and regions of wonderful stability. Let's walk through the state, we'll identify challenges and opportunities for the distinct regions forming up in this state-level outlook.
    00:00 Introduction
    02:52 Temperature
    07:13 Plant hardiness zones
    09:40 Change bands
    13:01 Fires
    13:57 Precipitation
    17:30 Aquifers
    20:02 Conclusion
    Here's a link to the NCA5
    nca2023.globalchange.gov/
    Join our Discord:
    / discord
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ความคิดเห็น • 22

  • @rapauli
    @rapauli 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    You are providing a great service. Thank you. More please.

    • @AmericanResiliency
      @AmericanResiliency  3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @rapauli always welcome. This is my lifework- I'll keep going as long as I can.

  • @stephanielawton701
    @stephanielawton701 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Your ending was so beautiful. I'm sorry for our loss (humanity in general, he sounded like an exceptional man), and yours in particular.

    • @AmericanResiliency
      @AmericanResiliency  2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Thank you- I appreciate your kind words. He was my hero.

  • @mattiascastillo9458
    @mattiascastillo9458 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    I’m on the Iron Range. People up here are talking about how eerie the weather is. But for most, it’s a talking point, not a call to action. I am very concerned about our outlook here. Frankly, I don’t want to stay. But my wife isn’t taking this seriously. I don’t think this will end well for many of our neighbors and even us. The fire risk up here, hundreds of houses surrounded ample forest fire fuel, is very real. It’s a national-news worthy disaster waiting to happen.

    • @AmericanResiliency
      @AmericanResiliency  3 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      @mattiascastillo9458 I appreciate hearing about your sense of perceived fire risk that far west. When I went up by Two Harbors the woods looked so different and so sick, how can you not think fire?
      I think about you folks in the north there a lot, I worry this will take people by surprise. Even if your wife doesn't want to move, there are things you can do to help make a fire-safe margin around your home. The California DNR has put together a lot of fire resilience tips to help other places learn from their hard lessons.
      Wishing you all the best, and please don't let others' inaction keep you from making some reasonable preparations. There's a lot we can do to protect homes even in vulnerable areas.

  • @jeremyjackson7429
    @jeremyjackson7429 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    Thank you for covering my state in this video. I'm conflicted on whether I should stay or leave long-term since I'm a dual citizen of Taiwan. I am slightly leaning towards leaving MN (and the US) in the next 5-10 years when I finally age out of the mandatory military conscription requirement for Taiwan. Excluding the climate and geopolitical problems, Taiwan checks every single one of my boxes.
    -universal healthcare
    -fantastic MRT system
    -very safe
    -best responses to covid in the world (by both the government and its citizens)
    -cheap rent that hasn't been inflated by NIMBYs
    -efficient layout of city to nature (can have urban amenities, hike a mountain, and see the ocean all on the same day without a car)
    -convenience stores everywhere that are open 24 hours a day where you can do everything at any time (buy warm meals, send and receive packages, pay bills, access ATM machines, buy train tickets, order taxis, print documents, clean eating area, etc)
    There are more things I could say but public services work, everything is convenient, the government is actually somewhat competent, I can live a better-quality life on about 1/3 or 1/4 the amount of money I'd need to ever be able to retire in America.
    Taiwan is essentially a 1st world country with 2nd world cost of living/income. It's why many Taiwanese make their money in the U.S. and retire to Taiwan. I know climate change will be worse in Taiwan, but literally everything else including how the country will respond to climate change will probably be better.
    It'd allow me to semi-retire much sooner and live a better-quality life. I really don't feel like working and saving for a future that I no longer think exists. I want to cash out and live a good decade or two before everything goes to SHTF (which is where I truly think we're all headed). I can live like a king on a nest egg of a few hundred thousand USD for the foreseeable future. Before my health goes. Before some nut job launches a missile. While there still are coral reefs and glaciers left in the world.
    I guess what I'm saying is I've got some trips lined up if I go through with this plan. I'm going to tremendously exceed my carbon footprint while I can (but not really compared to the average American in suburbia with giant SUVs since I’m already a childfree minimalist). 2-way airline trips from Taiwan to South Korea, Japan, Hong Kong, Thailand, etc can be purchased for as little as $100 & hostels are also very cheap.

    • @AmericanResiliency
      @AmericanResiliency  3 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      Don't compare your carbon footprint to a person with a car and kids, compare it to a billionaire whose private jets run everyday and whose yacht is on track to meet him at the nearest harbor. Normal people should not police each other so much while private jets are legal, IMHO. Don't feel so guilty at the thought of happiness!
      I think your Taiwan plan rocks! I hear that part of the world is awesome. To my mind, if you are doing some good in your community, work to enrich your community where you land, that's what matters. Ditch one fantasy trip and you could do something amazing with your purchasing power there in Taiwan! We should all try to be kind to each other here, with such bad troubles coming.
      Wishing you beauty and meaning in your life now- all the best!

    • @jeremyjackson7429
      @jeremyjackson7429 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@AmericanResiliency Thanks for pointing that out, living in the US without a car isn't feasible for over 90% of people, unlike in many Asian and European countries. This is largely due to insufficient prioritization of alternatives reinforced by a lack of high-density mixed-use zoning.
      I'm not around wealthy people that fly private hundreds of times per year so it wasn't the first thing that came to my mind, my bad.
      In terms of habitat protection, 2/3 of the island is mountainous. Taiwan also has many indigenous tribes (Austronesians) in these mountains. These habitats might fare better due to cooler temperatures.
      Compared with Japan, Taiwan has nearly ten times more 3,000+ meter mountain peaks despite being one-tenth its size. Taiwan also has East Asia’s tallest mountain (taller than mount Fuji). Unfortunately, 95%+ of the population cannot live nor farm these mountains but 2/3 of the habitat of this island has a good fighting chance.

    • @AmericanResiliency
      @AmericanResiliency  3 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      I don't mean to be a jerk about the carbon comparison thing, I just hate seeing regular people fight each other when our differences are not so big.
      That is really interesting about the habitat protection potential - you could do a lot to help, I bet some of that land is protectable.

  • @user-ViralVid
    @user-ViralVid 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Nicely Done

  • @smithsmith9510
    @smithsmith9510 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Sounds like the Twin Cities are the most stable areas now in Minnesota. Is fire danger mostly in Northern Minnesota near Duluth?
    Thank you,
    Maryam

    • @AmericanResiliency
      @AmericanResiliency  3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Hey Maryam! Yeah, the big fire danger is in the north. The Twin Cities look more stable than Duluth.

  • @kiowa9454
    @kiowa9454 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    what are your thoughts on PFAS? I think the twin cities would be nice, but then I've been seeing news about a lot of water contamination as a result of 3M. And PFAS is a big worry for me personally.

    • @AmericanResiliency
      @AmericanResiliency  3 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      @kiowa9495 I was reading an article just yesterday about widespread groundwater contamination with PFAS... Such a big problem. We are in a position where these chemicals are everywhere. There are microplastics in rainwater. I hear water treatment centers are getting better at removing these things, and I think Minnesota is likely to upgrade that utility sector as a priority.
      Regarding these types of serious and ubiquitous environmental threats, I don't think we can hope to escape them, I think the only thing to do is look for signs of capacity and willingness to respond in the utilities sector. Does that make sense? It keeps that area well on the table from my perspective.

    • @kiowa9454
      @kiowa9454 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@AmericanResiliency yeah, that makes a lot of sense... it does seem that Duluth is the lesser evil in terms of PFAS, except for that stupid closed down recycling center by the airport... I also looked at the MN DNR wildfire risk map, and I believe that Minneapolis/St. Paul is classified as a high risk zone, whereas the Duluth area is only a moderate risk... Sorry, not trying to be a Minneapolis hater! I just think that both Duluth and MSP have a lot to offer in terms of climate resiliency, and would love to see the two cities joined by rail asap! I completely agree with your take about the social problems in Duluth... It has been a neglected city for far too long!

    • @AmericanResiliency
      @AmericanResiliency  3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @kiowa9454 I would love to see that rail line come in! And DNR is a solid resource- don't get me wrong, I don't want to say I've got all the answers here. But I was very concerned by what I saw up around and north of Duluth. I think the fire risks up there are underestimated. The NCA5 bumped the risk up substantially from the NCA4 for northern MN, but it just came out this past November - I don't think the information is so widely spread yet as it should be.

  • @nathanchristopher8585
    @nathanchristopher8585 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    A L G O R I T H M B O O P

    • @AmericanResiliency
      @AmericanResiliency  3 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      @nathanchristopher8585 I always appreciate your boops! But you know, I have NO IDEA what is making the algorithm go- did you see what happened with the video I put up on Tuesday? I have no idea why it got so many views, that was not people posting it other places or sharing, that was all algorithm.

    • @nathanchristopher8585
      @nathanchristopher8585 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@AmericanResiliency I didn't get a notification for anything from you on Tuesday, and if I go to your channel, the videos tab shows this, then the Extreme Heat Projections video, then the New York 2C update which looks like it was before Tuesday. Nothing on Tuesday, even in your channel. Super weird.

    • @AmericanResiliency
      @AmericanResiliency  3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      It is a huge mystery why the algorithm shows what it shows- that's really interesting to me to hear from your side of the screen