North Dakota 2C Climate Outlook: NCA5 Update

North Dakota, sometimes it makes me sad to do the research for these outlooks, but your outlook just gets better and better the more pieces we put together. North Dakota is a rising star, a real jewel in my personal favorite part of our nation. If you like eating food, you ought to enjoy this outlook.
00:00 Introduction
03:31 Temperature
06:28 Plant hardiness zones
08:05 Precipitation
12:58 Conclusion
Here's a link to the NCA5: nca2023.globalchange.gov/
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[@jamesfox2857]

Thank You !!!

[@AmericanResiliency]

@jamesfox2857 you're welcome- I'm so happy you all are looking this strong!

[@jamesfox2857]

@@AmericanResiliency 🦾🦾🦾

[@kenmcclow8963]

I’m not sure the sugar beet crops will stay in North Dakota and Minnesota if the climate continues warming. The harvest is a work camping season for nomadic people and retirees in September and October, but the last few years have been problematic where I believe the temperature needs to be under 55 degrees and not raining.
It’s good that staple crops could continue there

[@AmericanResiliency]

@kenmcclow8963 I agree it's likely sugar beet will shift out- but domestic sugar cane could shift in to the south. Weird to think about.
The growing conditions in ND at 2C look good for legumes. The expansion in legumes already has been pretty impressive!

[@BenHuttash]

So 2C is presumably expected sooner than mid century, what is the delay in the climate system when all the climate changes that 2C brings will be going at full strength? Honestly I don’t understand the delay in the climate system, I hear scientists talk about the delay but don’t understand how long it is. Living in Texas I am already not a fan of the storms this year, critical infrastructure snapping like twigs. It is as if nothing is built for the storms that are already here and it presumably is going to get worse just from the current 1.5C because of the delay. WTF will it be like when 2C is cooked in. All utilities need to be underground, all houses need to be build for hurricane winds and Fire hardened. Who knows what else. I have such a hard time imagining moving from what I have always known. I guess my point is that this storm season is opening my eyes to some of the problems associated with living in an area that doesn’t prepare let alone even admit that climate change is real. These forecasts on northern states do make them sound attractive to move to eventually…

[@AmericanResiliency]

The change from 1.5C to 2C looks like a big lift. And if we do see higher-end sea level rise, which looks more and more likely, it's gonna really swamp the most populated parts of the northeast.
Even though I have looked at these projections for years, I feel like I'm still just "getting" what it means to be at 1.5C. Like, understanding it in my body. And I'm in a lower-change area. I watch the news coming out of Texas, see the pictures of the damage to transmission infrastructure... It's got to be really intense to be in a higher-change area right now.
One of the reasons some of the northern plains states will be strong at 2C isn't just the relatively lower change, it's that we already have crazy wind. Most homes are already pretty wind-hardened and we're already putting infrastructure underground. In my area we're getting underground power this year, they're almost done with the conversion.
Anyway, I'm making this too long. But I do think about you folks in Texas. Texans don't want to leave Texas, big identity and culture there. I wish you weren't facing problems from so many directions on climate, it's more hits at once than anyone deserves.

[@kenmcclow8963]

Unfortunately Texas politicians have for many years kept the Texas grid apart from the East and west grids, so nobody can help out when heat, or cold cause demand spikes. Except El Paso that moved to the western grid after the 2011 storm.
I saw 5 inch hail recorded in Texas a few days ago. That kind will destroy car windows and damage roofs of houses. That set a new record. I would normally say that it would be beneficial to have solar and battery backup for times when the grid wobbles, but if hail is going to get larger, I am not sure if they would help. I have solar panels inside that I can bring out, but they aren’t enough to run more than my refrigerator

[@AmericanResiliency]

@@kenmcclow8963 when I read the reports of that hail for a few minutes it just didn't compute. Would be like getting bombarded.
I haven't seen anything like this being made yet, but it seems like in areas where hail threat is increasing, shutters for solar panels would be a reasonable investment- it's not like you have to make shutters out of rare earth materials like the panels themselves, if the shutters got damaged it wouldn't be such a big deal.
The whole Texas grid situation makes me feel scared for the people of Texas in these times of change. The conditions they are facing are so difficult and they are in a bad position to respond.

[@kenmcclow8963]

@@AmericanResiliency shutters are a great idea. I like it

[@rdallas81]

It will be 2c in 6 years

[@aaronmustamaa1487]

Thank you! Everything you do is awesome.
And a strong ⏫up vote⏫ for a Mexico outlook

[@AmericanResiliency]

I really hope we get a lead on that info! If I can't find better I'll use the world bank outlook.