Colorado 2C Climate Outlook: NCA5 Update
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 26 ก.ค. 2024
- Colorado, you've got a heck of a lot going for you in this outlook. Great outlook for the whole Front Range, Grand Junction is looking nice, most challenging conditions are in the southeast corner of the eastern plains. And you're gonna want to look at the relative stability of your mountain winters- we compare your mountain outlook to other western states. You are looking so strong.
Check it out, we'll walk through expected changes throughout the state, with targeted resilience strategies.
Here's a link to the NCA5: nca2023.globalchange.gov/
Find Dustin's Toolset right here:
public.tableau.com/app/profil...
Be sure to explore in those tabs!
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Thank you Dr Emily this is a great outlook for Colorado..Especially since I am looking in Mesa County and Grand Junction area for retirement purposes..I have visited there already and I really like the outdoors with hiking and biking opportunities The lack of humidity is great... of great importance is the low growth,lack of traffic,,and for the most part most nights even in the summer are well below 70 and you can save on energy costs with mini split air conditioning and solar panel systems.They also have great farmers markets with fresh fruit and vegetables and 30 wineries in the valley...And its great they allow rain barrels to conserve water with outdoor watering. And they are water conserve friendly and encourage folks to put in xeroscaping as it is high desert at over 4,500 elevation..I would say its a definite thumbs up..Thanks again Dr Emily and Dustin for this very important information!!
Oh sweet, @michaelschiessl8357 thanks for this awesome ground report! I was really pleased to see such a stable outlook for Grand Junction based on the NCA5 information, and I think having this wonderful ground report might help people take the next step. Place really sounds like a gem.
Folks, at the end of this video I asked for help with a $750 car repair bill so I can get to that climate migration conference in Columbus- needed a new radiator. I am so blown away by the support of this community. I came back from hiking and you all have given over $2,700, in many small gifts and one very large. Folks, I am so grateful, and I will steward these gifts carefully. The support of this community supports my family.
I ended up in Colorado last year after searching for a place to settle down on the west coast for a long time, and I'm so glad to hear that I made the right choice. I have a hard time not feeling guilty about being yet another out-of-stater coming in to make the place more crowded, but I intend on getting an education in agriculture to do my part in feeding the awesome people in this state. thanks again for sharing this info!
@ian1431 don't feel guilty about being in an awesome place! It's great you are future oriented and looking to contribute to a good future in the state. Wishing you all the best!
Thank you for this breakdown. We're an extremely low income family and coping with disasters as they happen is extremely difficult for us. Being able to access information like this gives me the time to plan and find creative ways to cope with the most likely scenarios for my area before I find myself in a physically or financially dangerous place. I genuinely appreciate your work!
@kaylaeternal6182 thank you for this comment. When my kids were little things were really hard for some years- trouble getting enough food, etc. I know how important planning ahead can be, looking for the right resources out of season, that kind of thing. When I started this project I had families like yours in my mind. I'm really grateful to hear I am getting your family information that is helpful to you.
🎉 Today is my birthday and I live in Colorado. Thank you so much for all your work on this and all your videos.❤🎉
@geneagodbold Happy Birthday! Wishing you a year of growth, health, and peace
Your updates are much appreciated, as well as the assistance you are getting. I picked the Front Range as a destination (from California) for my family about 20 years ago based on information available at the time. Now we have land large enough for a greenhouse and necessary water rights. My biggest concern will be water as aquifers are over utilized everywhere...keep up the great work!
As for the .5 inch all at once, that is very possible. Last Spring we were inundated with a years worth a rain in a month of continuous rainfall (I think we had 18 inches in 2 months). So many flooded basements...
You made a smart move there. And man, it's always good to get the on the ground confirmation of how wild conditions can be in resilient places like ours. Temporary floods from deluge are big PITA, but easier to deal with than sea level rise.
In 1965, heavy storms dumped 14 inches of rain in 4 hours near Larkspur. That was a bit more than a gully-washer. The flood took out houses, businesses, churches, Centennial Racetrack, and bridges through Denver. Floods have happened before, and chances are, they'll happen again!
(Good thing we're tough!)
@@CS-ms2ip 14 inches in 4 hours!? That's so wild!
You made me think... how many times have the Iowa river cities (Cedar Rapids, Dubuque, Davenport, Muscatine) rebuilt from flooding? Like, catastrophic flooding. I feel like, when we consider an area's resilience, it's good to note if they have experience with rebuild.
I have searched your channel for a Texas climate outlook and didn’t find it. If you get a chance i would sure appreciate a North Central Texas climate outlook. I appreciate what you do.
@BenHuttash
th-cam.com/video/lleT-0z_gLc/w-d-xo.html
This was recorded a couple years ago- the 2050 projections in this video are equivalent to about a 2C global temp increase, but unfortunately whatever we ran into in 2023 has probably moved that timeline up. I hear more voices in this climate science community saying, maybe 10 years, but there's a lot that's unclear now.
An updated video for Texas should come out June 20th. I'll detail that north central region in there. The information for that region of the state at 2C hasn't changed very much in the NCA5 update- should expect clarity in the update, not big surprises.
@@AmericanResiliency thank you so much, i watched it and found it to be very useful. Not sure how the texas power grid can handle 30-40 more days a year over 100 degrees. When it is that hot plants go dormant and nothing grows. We have two falls here, the real one and the summer one when the trees get so stressed they drop half of their leaves. During the middle of summer you don’t even have to mow your yard, it just stops growing. We are going to have to import more food. There is a video here on TH-cam of a tesla car attempting to drive across Death Valley during the peak of the day. The car battery gets so hot that the car goes into a limp home mode where it reduces top speed down very low. How are we going to import more goods, electrify our fleet, and operate all that with more heat. It isn’t going to be an easy future in Texas.
@BenHuttash there are a lot of people in Texas who are very resilient- great attitudes and great skills. But the challenges facing the state are so serious, I'd be concerned about the quality of the top-down response. Heat-related grid failure is a real risk, and I'm sure that is on people's minds.
On the ag side, I think we'll see a shift in many areas towards a two crop model where you have a spring and a fall crop, with a dormant summer. Lot of farmers even up here in Iowa are experimenting with winter sown crops we've never grown before.
Thanks!
Thanks so much, I really appreciate your support!
Hey, thank you great video! Have you done any material on northern Europe? I’m really interested in outlooks for Norway, Sweden and Finland. Thanks!
I'm afraid I only have this one European Outlook video from 2021. If someone gets me more up to date information, I'll make a fresh one! The resources in the video description is very good.
Friends in Italy, the UK, and Germany have been continual sources of support for AR & I wouldn't have had the guts to found the organization without them.
th-cam.com/video/CLNRd8lbfhw/w-d-xo.html
First!
you goofball!
The discord link has expired/isn't working for me
@bluebambue oh no! Here's a fresh one: discord.gg/dQmJDC5Q
Thank you!
I know the content on your channel is primarily attuned towards states in America, but do you ever think about the parts in the world where the conditions and subsequent strife become so extreme that it becomes nearly impossible for inhabitants to build resilience and are forced to relocate? You can kind of see that happening in Europe now and it's sad to see some of the dehumanizing rhetoric that comes out of there, not like that kind of rhetoric hasn't been festering here already, but we haven't seen anything yet. There's a pit in my stomach that tells me that in our own quest for national resilience, when millions of migrants are forced to relocate and look here for help, we'll turn them away, or worse, see them as a threat that needs to be neutralized. That we'll either be oblivious it's happening or that someone will use the crisis to stir up prejudices and seize power. I hope this foreboding is misguided by my tendency to be overly pessimistic. Do you have any thoughts or wisdom you can spare on that? I'd also love to see an outlook video for Arkansas because that's where I live. Thank you!
@excellum I will be revising the outlook for Arkansas later this summer, and I do think about these climate migration realities. There is no good or just or even sort of okay solution to the population pressures we are going to be experiencing. Countries will close their borders. We are approaching a time of great suffering.
I think the people who will make it to safer places, many of them are already on their journeys. I pray for them, and pray for those who leave water on the paths.
Some people who survive in times when many die develop survivors guilt. I was born in a place with a fortunate climate outlook, and in my life I've mostly stayed in my home region because I like it. I'm not here because I'm especially clever.
I think it is important for those of us in more survivable areas, areas where we can do more to prepare, to accept that most of us are not in these areas due to our merits. That doesn't mean we shouldn't save what we can save.