Hope, Uncertainty, and Change: Take a Step
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 5 พ.ค. 2024
- The climate news coming in the past three weeks feels overwhelming. In this video I explain how what we are observing fits together, introduce the idea that we are moving into a time where we should expect less certainty, and talk about AR's response to the changes that are happening now.
Some resources for incoming earth systems info:
climatereanalyzer.org/
zacklabe.com/
Dustin's Toolset (populated with NCA5 datasets- user friendly)
public.tableau.com/app/profil...
Recommended AMOC paper, available through the kindness of one of the authors, Taschetto:
www.researchgate.net/publicat... - วิทยาศาสตร์และเทคโนโลยี
![[안방1열 풀캠4K] 베이비몬스터 'FOREVER' (BABYMONSTER FullCam)│@SBS Inkigayo 240707](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/_2HL-ogzzBU/mqdefault.jpg)
Thank you so much for having the courage , wisdom, and emotional maturity to say what is hard but needed. You are helping a lot of us come to terms with reality. You are a warrior and leader!
@4angayoga I was so moved by this comment I had to go wash the dishes so I could stop tearing up. Thank you
@@AmericanResiliency :)
Emily, I want to express how much your videos have helped me process the reality of our future. Your voice has given me the courage to move forward with knowledge and strength, instead of cowering in fear and awaiting whatever fate befalls us.
Largely because of the information you've shared, my husband and I made the decision to get our little family out of Texas and move to the Midwest. I wasn't brave enough to do it for a long time, despite the nagging in my gut for the past several years, but finding your channel made me realize we can do this. I'm so excited to be moving to a new community that values conservation, and begin to build resilience there as best we can--to give our kids as many good years in nature as possible.
Thank you so, so much for everything you do.
Julie, thanks so much for your support, and good for you for making a smart move! The psychological barriers are intense, seriously, great job! I hope you and yours settle in well, and I'm glad to connect with you here
We left Texas for the midwest, too. Moved two years ago. It was hard, still is, but also a huge relief to be here now.
Viewer from the UK here, I have to say this video made me cry, your message was so touching. I wish someone was making content like this for the UK/Europe. ♥️
@alicemancini8603 I am hopeful that, as more people in climate see this kind of messaging, we will see more scientists doing work like this. Many climate scientists desperately want to reach people, but scientists in general are not great communicators- and so much of the public discourse on climate has gotten politicized and full of jerks and trolls. The civility with which people treat each other around this channel is important and I hope we will help drive change in climate communication.
My heart is with you all in the UK. There are hard days ahead and, like so many places, your leadership today seems more interested in enriching themselves that caring for the people and the land. I remember, though, the historical incredible resilience of the peoples of the UK. Wishing you all the best.
@@AmericanResiliency thank you so much for replying, I'm so glad I found your channel, it's spooky how much of your advice mirrors my own decisions over the years. I live in a suburb of Birmingham which has a wonderful inclusive community spirit which gives me hope, I've been doing whatever I can to prepare in a practical sense, reading research papers and infrastructure reports and watching lectures. All that needs to be balanced with practicing gratitude (what a time to be alive and bear witness eh?) and two years ago I quit my office based job to become a self employed gardener so I could better help wildlife and emerse myself in this green and pleasant land whilst it's still green and pleasant. Thank you for all that you do ♥️
20:39 Wow. Here you are talking my jam, exactly. I’m kind of stunned to hear anyone mention Overshoot at all. I really appreciate it.
Resilience to me means “ancestral skills”. Garden, small animal husbandry, foraging, herbal meds, blacksmithing, carpentry, raw wood(unmilled) wood construction, leatherwork, cordage, sewing, food preservation, and many more.
More importantly, heal relationships in a small community. Be of value, add, give something first. What’s in people’s hearts is way more important than their ideological framing. A small community is like a garden. It has to be cared for and nurtured.
This!!! “We are not at the center of the circle of life.” Nailed it! This is a profound truth. We are partners, if we want to be. The Earth does not need us. We have to approach our relationships to the soil, the non-human and human persons around us with humility and gratitude.
Hard times coming. Hate is seductive, but a dead end.
Thanks.
@kirkha100 I'm always glad to meet another person on the same page. That phrase - ancestral skills- nice
It's really hard take in this information, plan accordingly whileso trying to avoid becoming destitute by renting myself to the status quo. I don't know how to bring this stuff up to my family because they are stuck in the perpetual culture war trap($) they see on conservative media. I'm experiencing severe cognitive dissonance, especially when no one around me seems to take this seriously. It's paralyzing sometimes. Anyways, you provide excellent framing for what's ahead. Thank you for what you do.
@excellum it is very emotionally difficult when the people closest to you aren't in touch with these big problems. I know some folks who have had success communicating with family by showing them that the military considers these issues a real BFD:
www.defense.gov/spotlights/tackling-the-climate-crisis/
Wishing you all the best- your situation sounds tough. I hope you can find some healthy places to connect with people on the ground in your area. Food banks are basic community resilience infrastructure, and they often need volunteers. In areas where people are REALLY not willing to look at climate, we can often still make progress on resilience.
You convey this information is such a great and healthy way. scrolling social medias and seeing random graphs, salacious headlines with nothing but doomer comments makes me hate interacting with the latest climate science. your videos are something I could use to help my friends and family understand the very specific risks and issues while highlighting the hope and possibilities for change in the future.
@rockinbox9121 thank you so much for this comment. I struggled to craft this video and you help me feel like maybe I did it good enough.
The data is fierce, to put it mildly, and the confluence of these calamities is surely no mistake. I look forward to whatever may come, and I pray that our struggles unite us.
@acetophenone820, in an uncertain future, I feel as certain as I do about anything that our paths will run together. Thank you for your insights as I wove this one.
I am living in a home now that has a fair amount of natural space. I am taking out noxious/annoying invasives, replacing with my ecosystems native plants. Planning on getting all nonhelpful nonnatives out. Got a garden going too, hoping to gradually move towards using our space to sustain our food usage hopefully as a food forest. Composting of course. The previous home inhabitants planted a nice thimbleberry bush thats doing amazing, and designed a drainage system that helps when heavy rains come through. We have a generator (yet to be set up), emergency food/water storage, gobags, and an emergency plan in case of cascadia subduction zone earthquake. Even when doing all this work and getting things together I have moments of deep grief. Regret of not understanding the living world for so long. I feel intense sadness and despair at times. When that happens I do an action. Taking out more italian arum or spanish bluebells. Going around my neighborhood and picking up trash. Reading about my local native ecosystem. Sometimes just going outside and looking at the trees blowing in the breeze, feeling raindrops on my skin, basking in the glory of life. I am still fearful, but I acknowledge it and move forward. I know we will see hard times. I will probably lose a lot of people to deaths of despair. I am hoping to be a living example of how to deal with all of this. For my kiddos, for my elders, for myself. Your videos have given me a renewed sense of purpose and hope. Not blind unthinking faith in a system, but analytical understanding of what has to and is being done. If anyone is in the Portland Oregon area and wants to meet up to help each other figure all this out dm me. I want to help build community.
@Reichukey you know, the biggest unexpected thing that's come out of my work on the channel here is getting to connect with people like you, who are really out there walking the walk, really working to make the right path. I think a lot of us feel less alone as we find each other here- and in other spaces, of course! But it is a comfort to me that even at this dangerous time, there is also good stuff growing, good people getting together.
And also it is a comfort to me that there are other people out there who would be interested in having a super long conversation about what non-native plants get to live. SUPER LONG conversation!
Thank you for your thoughtful comment here, and for all your work on the ground. I think about the insects... even by people like us, with small land spaces. By the work we do, so many more types of insects may have a chance to live.
There are lots of things going on around PNW and globally, but the push to get it all going is still hard. As crises deepen it will pan out one way or another. In PNW there is a strong movement for rights of nature, and as the value of ecosystems increase, they will either be financialized or valued - not the same thing. But, just like housing, the financial systems that profit aren't the ones who have to live in smaller, worse homes, or no homes at all, so I'm not sure we will get momentum until these entities suffer a lot they all have money for AC.
I just came across your video by accident and I am very impressed with all the information you give - I’ve subscribed. Thank you.
You're welcome, and thanks for being here!
I love your message at the end (starting just before the 20-minute mark). Thank you for being here for us. Things are getting weird. I live in Portage where we just got hit by three tornadoes. The community response has been fast and strong, though.
@ProfessorDesiree glad to hear from you!
I saw a lot of photos of the tree damage up there- brutal. Glad to hear of the good community response. We gotta hang together to make it, these tests are difficult but they can also tell us if we're in the right place. My local community's response to the 2020 derecho, I knew I was in the right place for sure.
Makes me think of the ancient Gregorian chant, "Dies Irae." I find odd comfort meditating to it.
Thank you Dr, for your continued work.
@Frank-oz8be what a powerful association. I am honored.
Thank you for sharing.
Thank you for the passionate video, putting the pieces together as best we can at this point. I suspect one reason for the sustained high ocean temperatures is stratification of the ocean -- consistent with the collapse of overturning currents -- also resulting in suffocation of deep sea life, manifesting in all manner of creatures washing up on the shores lately. I totally agree -- we are in it right now.
You are for sure working in the right space -- biodiversity, prairie rescue, (natural carbon sinks) and resilience. All these areas, including how to grow food in climate chaos should be the focus of every person on the planet right now. We don't need most of what we spend our time, money, and energy on today -- we do need food, water, shelter, basic medical care, resilient supply chains, etc. We need what Joanna Macy calls, the Great Turning, or what Nate Hagens calls, the Great Simplification.
I'm going to try to communicate some of this to our City department heads -- I just got approval to do so. Also, the former chair of the city sustainability committee just was elected to the county board, where he plans to work on local food systems, and has mentioned tapping me as a resource for some things. This is all so hard for government to deal with -- they are just not in the right paradigm, but maybe given a clue about what is coming, they may find a way to help local structures and citizens to be more prepared than they otherwise would be.
@jaycoldwell, that is exciting news about your work with the city! Keep it up- there is going to be resistance to this level of change, but what we do matters. We never know what the ripple effect will be.
Ocean stratification is a reasonable (and horrible) hypothesis.
Superb, succinct analysis with not a redundant word, you just gained a new follower!
@WilliamMcKenzie-kj7ig thank you!
Another very researched and graph showing TH-cam podcast to watch is Nate Hagens The Great Simplication I have never learnt so much since high school and he also gives us same good Sustainability ideas
Great podcast Emily and Let’s spread the Hope and Resilience we need to prepare
Bless you All in America and the rest of our precious Earth
from Aotearoa NZ 🕊🌏😇💖
@Seawithinyou thank you! Agree about Nate Hagens- he's got a lot of good ideas.
I like the kind of prepper you are.🌷
Sandy!!!! 🙌🙌🙌
Hi girl! ❤🎉
Love your poiitical speeches... thank you. More please.
I want a bumper sticker that says, "Living for the bottleneck!"
@CS-ms2ip that's pretty rad- we might need to make that one happen
Resiliency is not possible if we continue to live the same way as we do now based on high energy consumption till everything breaks down. Backing the war industry and financial shenanigans will kill most of us.
@rajdevarapalli4346 I agree with you. And I do not think the way the drums of war are beating is unrelated to this apparent tipping point we've hit. I don't understand it, but it is clear many people would rather turn to death than to life.
That was awesome! Thank you for saying it all out loud.
I've been saying this stuff to my family for like a decade, with no response other than them shutting down. I am hoping that hearing this as bluntly, as succinctly, and as straightforward as you do in this video, will actually puncture that safe wall of denial we have all been living in.
@RieCherie, there are a whole lot of people on the channel here who feel that struggle with loved ones. It is very hard. Some people feel it helps to be accepting- that some people just can't bear to see it, and we can love them anyway.
Harder to get in that headspace if they're holding you in place, though.
Wishing you and yours all the best. I am thinking to make a digested version of this that comes in under 10 minutes that will be easier to show a less intensely nerdy audience, but I felt like I needed to make the full story first.
@@AmericanResiliency I, for one, enjoyed the fact the your video was a fulfilling 26 minutes. Many others, on TH-cam, can be painstakingly long. Quality matters far more, on this grim subject, than quantity.
When videos are too time consuming, I find myself going to the last section of a video, where the conclusions can be worth their weight in gold.
@mrreculse7002 this was a loonnnng video for me. The only reason I would go towards or past an hour like some folks do is if I had, like, a leopard communicating with a speak-and-say in the background. Who has the time?!
@@AmericanResiliency Well then, I'm glad you don't have "the time", because your timing is perfect, just as it is. Most people watching TH-cam are all over the world with it, as so many choices make it hard to focus on videos longer than 30 minutes, or so, imo.
Thanks for your hard work.
@kellymccormick6311 you are welcome! I'm grateful for the opportunity to do the work
Thanks!
Thanks so much, I appreciate your support!
Thanks for the real speak. I just finished Andrew Lustgarten‘s book on the move. About climate migration.
It’s a book I recommend
@SebastopolTV I'll get it on my reading list. Maybe you saw I'm working on a climate migration mapping project with a colleague at UIowa? We are going to present at a conference on this topic in early June- I look forward to sharing what I learn there. There will likely be some insight on current policy research & directions that I think will be valuable for us to learn.
From the pre-print information some other researchers have shared, more than 17% of people in the least developed countries have made concrete plans to migrate this year. Astonishing numbers. The scale of this human migration will be absolutely unprecedented, and it is happening now.
Love what you are doing, thank you, it helps. I’m an American living in Canada. I sure would love to see a projection for our friends here in the great white north. Thanks again, be well.
@lisaelmoredye7112 I've got an overview for Canada here th-cam.com/video/xvNDy9fN9zE/w-d-xo.html with some good resources in the video description. There is important ground to hold in Canada! Wishing you all the best
Very informative, and you, personally, are an inspiration. I'm hooked.
@mrreculse7002, thank you. I've gone full mad scientist over here, I hope to be bringing you all the news for quite some time to come.
@@AmericanResiliency Look forward to it! And to your obvious honesty. We need it, to best adapt.
Great video, I wish more people were ready to hear this
We gotta do what we can. There are not enough people talking like this, but there will be more and more of us.
thank you for this. you are doing very important work and doing it excellently.
Part#2- What im seeing as I live just south of Arlington TX is increased humidity,increased dangers coming from the Gulf of Mexico from Hurricanes,increasing threats of Tornadoes in far north Texas near the Oklahoma border but serious threats more in Oklahoma, and Kansas going geographically East..And of course more heat days over 95' and 100' over the next 10 year period...What do you think Emily? Any thoughts?? Thank you in advance for taking the time!!
@michaelschiessl8357 we can't see part #1! I think you're building a solid picture of the complex threats facing Texas. It's worth noting that sea level rise is projected to whap the Texas Gulf Coast particularly hard, although that is elevation dependent. I gotta take another look, but I seem to remember Corpus Christie stood out as a possible resilience point.
@@AmericanResiliency part #1 was my other..long winded text to you and Dustin thanking you both on your excellent video put out today Emily!!
@@AmericanResiliency I'm 400 miles inland from the Texas coast..Hurricanes aren't a concern but possible floods,heat and humidity are..as are more nights over 70' degrees which of course leads to more and higher energy costs unless you have solar panels and a battery system...
I sometimes think about trying to find someplace cheaper to be at, but I am lucky in that I'm in the pnw and there's a pretty decent outlook. When I talk about climate change impacts, most people act like what I'm saying is in the distant future not realizing I'm talking about the next 10 or 20! All I know, is that finding community to weather with is probably the most important and difficult aspect for me currently. Anyway, I'm gonna watch your Washington outlook though I live in Portland.
@roxyamused I'm just starting to put the Oregon info together- that video should be coming out May 23rd. I tell ya, the timeline looks really different to me today than I would have imagined in say 2021. In ten years, it feels like many things will be very different. Agree that community is critical. Another person from Portland commented on this video- hope you two can connect.
I appreciate all of the inspiration as well as the analysis ❤
Thank you so much for this. I live in the southwest of England, and I've never experienced constant thunderstorms (or rain, like heavy rain like this, in general to this degree, did I say I lived in England!) like this in my 25 years. The sky seems to have A LOT of energy. It is a lot colder than average for this time in May, we're very close to summer it was 12 degrees c last week 53 f. normally my tomatoes would be outside getting ready to flower but if I were to put them out now they'd probably get eaten by the multitude of slugs! which are thriving in this weather. (great for them though! bad for my martoes)
@OrianJamieson28 glad to hear from you and thank you for this ground report. You've said you've been studying sustainability issues in school- if you ever think about graduate work, consider coming over to the US ok? I know we've got plenty of problems, but I'd do whatever I could to help you get connected with a university in the Midwest.
@@AmericanResiliency Thankyou soo much for saying that! I am and I’ve really been looking at the us and Canada for potential places to move to in the future so I appreciate you! I’ll keep up the ground reports.
Good, although a brief explanation of what AMOC is would be useful. At 1' 13", Arctic sea ice extent is shown. Clearly, the 2024 mean is lower than the previous decades. You describe this as sea ice being "better than it's been in 10 years". By "better" do you mean there is a greater sea ice extent?
@johnchardine1886 appreciate this feedback, I should avoid acronyms without explanation!
The 2024 mean is lower than some previous decades, but that highlighted line it is creeping over is the mean for the 2010's. The Arctic sea ice extent this year is better than it's been for a decade- an unusual reversal of trend, especially in the context of the high sea surface temperatures.
A few years ago I thought I found a way to ‘solve’ climate change, by engineering a re-opening of the Isthmus of Panama, reconnecting the Atlantic and Pacific, effectively shutting down the AMOC, and refreezing the arctic. I was wrong because atmospheric carbon is still going to heat the rest of the world, only the equatorial heat would not be redistributed. I suppose there would be some negative feedback from albedo in the north, but in the long-term heating would overcome it, while in the short-term agriculture loss would lead to global food shortages. Redistributing global energy isn’t a solution to the absolute accumulation of global energy. Or am I missing something?
@Rnankn you are absolutely right- in the end, it's a total energy imbalance problem. And thanks for sharing that thought experiment- even though it doesn't work, I enjoyed reading it, it is creative and clever. It's always good to think out of the box!
Hi Emily, we know that ocean level will rise along American and become lower along the European continents as AMOC get weaker. Can the rates of ocean level increases on both continents be a measure of the AMOC condition as we should see an increasing rate on the American side and a decreasing rate on the European side?
@sergetheriault8123 this is not a concept I've encountered, actually- probably because my knowledge of climate projections is not as strong for Europe as for North America.
Although sea level rise is geographically variable- even around North America we have some places that we expect to see the levels decrease on a conventional warming pathway- my understanding is that with AMOC collapse we'd see higher overall sea level rise worldwide (4+ meters), in good part because of the meltwater from Antarctica. In that paper I cite in this video description, the projected AMOC collapse related southern hemisphere temperature increases are surprisingly focused over Antarctica.
I suspect that if we want another clear signal to look for, unusual warming in Antarctica would be a good sign.
Here is an article describing the unusual patterns observed there last year: www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-why-2023-was-an-exceptional-year-for-antarctic-sea-ice/
Apologies that this is fairly tangential to your question!
Thank you
shits getting real
Oooh yeah.
Greetings from Oslo, Norway. Where to move, that’s the question !
@klausnielsen7102 if you want to stay in Europe, the best overlapping model stable zone is from inland Lithuania to about Hungary in the south, then Munich to Kyiv as West/East points. Basically, if you feel like Russia might try and take it over, it's pretty okay.
Unfortunately, in an AMOC collapse scenario, the storms look pretty bad all over Europe, very serious even in this relatively stable zone.
The challenges facing Europe are heartbreaking. My best to you and I am sorry I do not have better insight or information for you.
@@AmericanResiliency interresting! Just got back this afternoon from Munich(elevation app 600m..) while I was staying there I was actually thinking about this very location in regard to the future…
I was there only once, and that was 21 years ago, but it felt like a very strong place. Stable earth.
Very hard to get quality info on this topic for Europe. The EU has come up with this list, but it’s not making sense to me!? , Best countries to live in to avoid climate change
Norway.
Finland.
Switzerland.
Denmark.
Singapore.
Sweden.
Iceland.
New Zealand.
Tell me what to do to make the most change I can for the better, whether that’s action or acceptance for the future. How does a fledgling anthropologist and college student prepare for the changes that are coming?
@ryanzblue I'll try and give you some good advice, but first I want to say that I am sorry people in your generation have been handed such a sack of *&%#. I would advise you to spend these next few years developing skills and relationships. Follow your talents and interests and cultivate strong friendships. Don't worry too much about acquiring money or land yourself- get involved with networks containing older millennials.
There are a lot of people in their early forties and late thirties who are very aware of what is happening and are working to get us set up. People like me, who are in a time of life where we are ready to be settled. We will need your generation to be ready to come to ground. But it's not your time to be settled yet, as a group. That would be yet another unfairness to most of you.
I see the role of my generation as, preparing the ground. Many likeminded people in my generation I talk with, we agree that we look to your generation for leadership as the world becomes less like what we have known.
Especially from other mothers, this is what I hear us all say.
We want to make a place for you.
Stay connected, and try to stay healthy. Take care of your body. Do weird stuff & enjoy these good years as best you can.
Right now there is a line of ten tornadoes in Missouri
From where I am in Iowa, I often bring up the changes in the wind with other longtime residents. We've been having very intense wind changes, with wind coming from all four points within a week. Winds are always intense here, but I know I am not alone in my observations that we are experiencing a real and unusual change.
Thank you! Been looking for exactly this kind of data interpretation.
Another great, yet terrifying video. I am looking forward to the relocation video you mentioned ruined you were working on. As soon as the elections are done and the housing market levels done we are wanting to exit Albuquerque. We just don’t know where we will end up.
@Burnedoutrn thank you- I'm going to do that video after I finish processing the state-level info for Illinois and Oregon, those are both important for seeing the margins. ABQ is far from the worst place you can be, but I can understand preferring a little more wiggle room in your water situation.
Wishing you all the best
Thank you.
1:49. Looks to me like the curve for 2024 actually shows lower ice extent than previous years data, not higher??
@davidwalker2942 those colored lines are decadal means. The '24 ice extent was lower than some previous decades at the time I made this video, yes, but it is notable that the ice extent was higher than the decadal mean for the past decade. We're not talking about a complete reversal of 50 years of trend, but about an unusual step back.
That median sales price for homes in the lowest blue range seem awfully low, even if you include mobile homes in that $33,391.
@OldJackWolf I saw your comment and poked around on the map- looks like McDowell County, West Virginia, is home of those unusually low median prices. I didn't go poke over on Zillow or anything, but I would bet those homes are not fabulous.
Most of the low end counties for price, it's more in the 70-80k range if you poke around on that visualization. You can still find pretty normal small houses in my area (rural Iowa) around that price point. Needing work for sure, but, pretty normal.
We bought our home for under 50k- as you might imagine, it was in marginally habitable condition with many exciting problems.
I'm glad I am about to move to Rochester NY.
@isfet5149 I think that is a nice choice
@@AmericanResiliency I have a homestead in Allegany County and it's been 10 years now. I still do see the trees changing, invasive species, weather whiplash but it's a good place to be for growing food and living an off grid kind of life. Love your videos. I would actually love you to be a guest on my show! My name is Sandy.
So happy to see this! I think Dr Emily would be amazing on your show, Sandy! And yes showing love for western and central New York/finger lakes here!!
@EnvironmentalCoffeehouse I would love that- I think your show is great, you put a good energy into the world
@@AmericanResiliency Sure will!!!
The last half year in Germany was strange weather-wise.
The autumn was wet, weeks on end of dismal drizzle punctuated by showers. On one hand, this refilled our depleted groundwater, on the other hand, that kind of rains and the quite balmy temperatures was absolutely odd. Early December temperatures plunged by 15°C overnight, the rains turned into heavy snowfall. After two weeks this reverted to previous pattern.
The rest of winter was essentially non-existant. Early March saw trees budding and cherries flowering until an sudden cold-snap at the end of April killed of a lot of fresh growth.
Nothing catastrophic, unlike the UK, but deeply unsettling. Customary rules governing agriculture ('Bauernregeln') went completely out of the window, unpredictable pulses of extreme cold and heat endanger young shoots and buds while powerful rainstorms can wreck a regions fields or flood them altogether if another string of month-long rains occur.
@Skaldewolf thank you for this interesting and detailed ground report. I always particularly appreciate hearing about early budding/flowering and the outcome, whether good or bad.
The changes you are describing sound very like what I have heard from many farmers with orchards in Michigan. Unsettling and a departure from the norm, but more stability than we see some places.
I am very hopeful that Germany will be able to build resilience, particularly inland around Munich. The relative climate stability is better than much of Europe, and my impression of the German people is one of great resilience. Wishing you all the best.
I was sad to hear you throw shade at Duluth! I can tell by your accent it's close to home and I think the two points you mention of fire risk and low agricultural productivity are minor factors compared to the factors that will push people away from the coasts and low desert as you mentioned.
Also, agricultural productivity will increase as the cold season gets shorter will it not? Duluth is certainly the upper regions of the US but remember that Canada still has a bustling agricultural sector, and all of their lands are north of Duluth.
@alexiskaas907 there are AMAZING destinations in Minnesota that are less fragile and that are less disruptive to indigenous communities than Duluth. Have you heard about the housing crisis happening now in Duluth?! It's terrible! Many working class families are being pushed right to the edge.
When we look at how much more stable the outlooks are a little further south, I feel it's important to stop highlighting Duluth as this ultimate climate destination, and promote Minnesota destinations that are slightly less likely to be on fire. My goal is not at all to hate on the city and its people, but to preserve the edge Duluth needs for sustainability!
Iron ranger here. I agree.
besides, Canada sets itself on fire EVERY year and we get to inhale their smoke.
@mominminnesota6648 I was so sad to see the smoke season already started for MN this year. Thinking of you all & wishing you the best. Give it another week and I bet it'll be down here, too.
Love this channel. Please if ayone in this community knows about Canadian equivilent groups or information providers, your Northern nieghbours would love to do our part in the most informed way we can.
I have this video for Canada with good information resources in the description: th-cam.com/video/xvNDy9fN9zE/w-d-xo.html
Wishing you all the best- there are a fair number of Canadians on this channel here, I need to keep working on ways for people to connect with each other. If I find an update for your datasets I will do an updated projection overview.
Hi Emily
Wow, great video! This is Maryam(pnw). Are you saying it looks like amoc collapse will most certainly happen? Thank you for speaking truth when so many others try to hide it,
Hey Maryam! To me, the evidence is certainly pointing in that direction. Sending prayers to the PNW. From what literature I've studied, you all could potentially fare better than many many parts of the world in this scenario.
Thanks Dr Emily, I think about this every day but I'm not really able to interpret the data. Really appreciate this video, I'm sure it was a challenge to find the right words.
I hope we can reprairie our beautiful Midwest. It's true, we already know how.
@lisalikesplants thank you, I did find this one difficult work.
If we can clarify the dream and build the will, I think there are a lot of people and organizations who would want to come together on this.
Where there is a will, there is a way ❤
If you don’t have the capital to access land and make it a sustainable food source for yourself, you are pretty much screwed. That had been my conundrum as someone who lives in a HCOL area but is low wage. I cannot build enough capital nor can I find a high paying job quick enough to be able to relocate
@takaditakadang let me tell you I am passionate about this issue. I believe that many of the people the land needs most are trapped this way. People are trapped in late stage capitalism! This is why much of AR's internal work right now is creating a legal structure under which we can acquire land, and that allows people to obtain shares with non-financial commitments. People can come work the land can earn stake. Many, many people who the land needs need access to land, and they need access to legal protection for their land relationship. I want to help create a path to land for people like you.
@@AmericanResiliency Jonathan and I would be interested in working with you on this. It's exactly the kind of thing we were hoping to do, but we alone don't have the funds.
@ProfessorDesiree stay in touch! I'll share more about this over the next few months, I'd love to have you both involved
'climate change isnt real' 'who cares, ill be dead by then'. sound advice ive gotten all my life about this topic.
@chillDude_chills I am so over even having those conversations. But I think a lot of people are, really. The most recent survey work shows less than 20% of people still deny climate change. Climate is the top polling issue for all Americans under 40, regardless of political affiliation. What's crazy is that the American media continues to present this as a two-sides issue. It's all about the money.
@@AmericanResiliency yeah, those type of conversations lead nowhere. though, it has been interesting watching people who have such view points, modify their views in light of overwhelming evidence that they can no longer deny. anyhoo, great content. thanks for sharing
@@AmericanResiliency and greed is certainly a major contributing factor of global warming. but a less talked about reason is geopolitics and stability. oil is currently necessary in food production, though as a society we can transition to a more sustainable form of farming, and bypass the current needed levels of fertilizer. Oil is also the blood of war. National defense necessitates that we have the capacity to produce, and refine oil. Then theres the whole OPEC thing, and how that really gives stability to the U.S. dollar.
The crucial, vital point of no return is the state of the seas. They represent more than one in two breaths. However, the large predators at the end of the chain of eco-systems have largely disappeared, 75% of them and it is they who ensure the proper functioning of the eco-systems.
The Australian coral reef has passed its point of no return in 2022, the largest terrestrial organism is moribund, no one talks to me about progress anymore, I am ashamed that with our scientific knowledge and accumulated wealth we are in this situation. there.
I inherit the land from my children.
In addition, this year, the EU allowed the largest fishing boat to be put into operation to exploit krill, a vital food for whales who can go without food for three months in order to refuel in these future fishing zones.
The basic question is money or art people. In French The basic question is " l'argent ou l'art gens ". Is the art of living essential or heavenly essence?
When I read about the krill fishing I had the most terrible flat feeling. That this was a decision to go past the point of no return, to engage completely in brutality.
There is so little awareness of our current impact on the seas and the life of the seas, or the consequences of the absolute horrors projected for the seas. In the federal report on climate projections for Hawaii, it mentions almost casually that a loss of up to 70% of Pacific biomass is expected. Biomass. No regard for the life. Biomass. No apparent awareness of how its loss will impact even the peoples most connected to that loss, the peoples of the Pacific islands.
I appreciate this moment to mourn with you. These are realities that go to the core of our humanity.
@@AmericanResiliency Yes, there has been and still is a lot of information which are indicators whose seriousness the mainstream minimizes and which bring tears to my eyes and yet I have been preparing for 20 years. Simply being in a world of zombies on a daily basis and especially with biologists who are not there out of passion, it's a nightmare. We must hold on and prepare to seize sparks of freedom: Share to evolve together. THX!