Florida 2050 Climate Forecast: 2023 Update
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 4 ต.ค. 2024
- Folks, this update for Florida is pretty intense. We're looking at a future that has no climate analog in the US! Check it out, the risks and challenge levels vary across the state. In this video we try to take a realistic, level-headed approach to the challenges and opportunities in the outlook for the state.
Here's a link to the NCA5
nca2023.global...
And to the sea level rise viewer- check out your address if you're in a coastal area
coast.noaa.gov...
I was able to convince my people to leave and we went far up north, but I still have loved ones there who either don't want to talk about it from stress, or pretty much roll their eyes or laugh at me when I tell them they need to at least open their eyes to Florida's future. Very upsetting.
I think the political climate in Florida is a reflection of the willful ignorance and anti-intellectualism that is now endemic down in that part of the country. Maybe I'm bitter but I have a feeling a lot of folks in Florida will be caught with their heads in the sand when things really start to get dicey.
@FranciscoGomez-hi4ce you are tough to have been able to convince your people & head north. I hope you all are in a good spot.
The Florida outlook is so hard. It's different enough from how things are today, it's easy to turn away- imagine things could not really get like THAT, it can't be true.
I think that the big money decided it's better just to run Florida as a ponzi scheme. There's no top-down concern if people should get hurt- not when there's property to be developed.
Im happy to hear people are having success in doing this, I live in louisiana and ive been slowly convincing my family that climate change is indeed a reality and that we all may have to move up north. Im fortunate to have in laws in MN so i plan on moving there and establishing myself soon so that I can assist my family when they discover how un bearable things here in La may get. I couldnt take my baby to the zoo bc it was so insanely hot that I feared for her safety and this seems to be just the begining
Thanks always for this! Really sobering and necessary stuff here, especially for folks like me who have family actively resetting from Michigan (what?) TO Florida (yikes!). This kind of shareable content along with this shorts you put up here has a real potential to impact people making major life decisions around the region.
Thanks man. It's hard for me to see how anyone could see the federal projections for what's coming to Florida and move there. Even if you're retiring, you gotta figure you want to enjoy the next ten-fifteen years- this will be playing out by then!
Thank you kindly from this old hopeful 8th generation Floridian!! I’m forwarding this to all my family and friends.
Wishing you and yours all the best!
5:50 Just because climate allows temperatures for a plant to grow does not mean the soil is ready for those plants to prosper. Just a thought...
@Dysanfel23 this is an excellent point- thanks for bringing it up. Big issue in Alaska, too.
I was born and raised in FL and it breaks my heart to see what it's become. Haven't lived there since the 90's but I do still have family there.
@hhollyd66 I remember visiting Florida as a girl in the 90s to see my grandpa. I was back to Homosassa with my mother in law this past February. Of course it is still beautiful, but the changes made me cry. And so many more acres are being cut and burned today. Florida should be overwhelmingly full of life.
My grandpa served in WWII and came back so messed up he was made to stay at Pass-a-Grille beach at the Don Cesar hotel. That was a military facility mostly for men with what we would call PTSD today. I went there with my children and that is a healing place.
Florida is precious and the changes to come are hard. But we should not believe anyone who tells us all is lost.
Thanks!
@4angayoga, thanks so much!
Thanks bailing on long Island NY building in the Catskills
@Hadenought65 my agricultural area, counties and townships are tightening zoning laws & banning new construction. Smart agricultural areas should focus on land preservation.
@@AmericanResiliency have 7 acres in forest and I'm planning on putting the rest in the orchards
I was lucky enough to spend time in the keys at their Boy Scout camp one night we went out to one of the barrier islands which have no inhabitants and even then I couldn’t help but think this island might not be here when I’m older or at the very least be much smaller. The key deer that live there depend upon these islands especially the ones not inhabited by people.
@keithd4550 that is so wonderful you got to go. The key deer, the Florida panther- these special creatures have lived there for so long, it's heartbreaking that their home is going away. It would be audacious and crazy and problematic, but I fantasize about the possibility of moving some of these life forms into other parts of the gulf as they get warm enough to support them.
As these effects increase over the next decade, companies will stop insuring homes or selling mortgages for homes in most of Florida. It will be a challenge that will not be ignored forever.
But when?
@All-is-1 the insurance stuff is happening now. It's not like there's going to be a buyout. People are just going to lose the value of their homes, but it'll start slow at first. And most people who read about it in the news will react meanly, as if it couldn't happen to them. There's been chatter that insurance companies want to pull out of states that are impacted by straight-line wind as the big storms gear up.
@@AmericanResiliency Support policies that address climate change mitigation and adaptation, and move if you are in a vulnerable area.
@All-is-1 good advice for anyone
Hi Emily, I don't where else to post this so here I am. I hope the surgery went *very* well and you're recovering nicely. Tell you kids that they have to treat Mom nicely. Might work for a day ;-) Best wishes...
@philippebyrnes1213 thanks for the good thoughts! All is well over here, everyone's taking care of me. I'm just starting to get back up and around, should be close to normal in a few more days.
Love LOVE your videos. Thank yoU!
Appreciate your kind words
Forgot to mention despite relatively low sea level rise on the Tampa side the storm surge from increased levels during hurricanes make it quite dangerous.
I should have been clearer about storm surge risks, you are right- but, with the lower risk of direct inundation, it makes it more feasible for Tampa to use current adaptive strategies to reduce that threat.
What? Wait there's a "Congressional mandate that they do not fund communications for this information ..." WTF? how widespread is that rule? Since when... oh no the Rabbit Hole pulls me down...
@rapauli it is a specific congressional mandate related to the National Climate Assessment and has been established since the NCA was first funded. All communication about the NCA is supposed to be done by "established partner organizations". None of these established partner organizations do a lot of public-facing communications- they work with conservation workers, water departments, etc. That's different from talking with the general public. It's a serious gap that has allowed this information to be politicized and harder to access.
thanks
@chrisfernandes3730 I am sorry this one is so much rougher. Really, some hard shifts in the NCA5 projections.
Emily, do you think Florida will issues with drought necessitating desalinization plants ?
@farhanmalik6576 I would be completely unsurprised if Florida needed to use desalinization in the fairly near future- I think the first push will be from saline incursion into groundwater.
Many folks are not aware that desal has really jumped in feasibility and scale the last ten years- there are cities in the Texas panhandle that currently drink desalinated groundwater. Overseas, Haifa is now drinking desalinated coastal water. Researchers there are studying how to minimize environmental impacts of the brine. Desalination is becoming a surprisingly strong, low-harm tool for coastal cities.
Do you plan on doing a video that is Maine specific? Thank you!
Yes! Every state gets their own video this time. I'm planning to tackle the Northeast and Northwest once I recover from surgery- hope to get to Maine soon
Sounds great! Wishing you a good a speedy recovery :) @@AmericanResiliency
The Kens will be happy that Beach will endure 😆
@pendragon_cave1405 it's an important job!!!
Also, I do think it's important to understand we're not losing everything. I've seen too many pictures of America 2100 where Florida is just gone- we need to know there's beach we can save!
Thanks!
@bruceangelis4932 appreciate you!
Thanks!
Thanks so much!