A few comments and caveats post production as always: 1) This is a really fast moving area, so since this has been recorded, the $30b ask I mention has already begun evolving in the Congress, with the amount increasing and a particularly large spike in the amount allotted to increase the Presidential Drawdown Authority - watch this space. 2) I am conscious of the concessions on detail I made to keep this one below 30 minutes. The historical lend-lease scheme in particular is described in summary, and it was much more an aid scheme than a credit scheme in practice (it was in fact partly invented to avoid the bad experience of giving loans as the USA had done in the past) but I make those concessions for the sake of brevity. Likewise, foreign military financing usually comes with more conditions that just being given a credit card (what is bought, from whom etc.) but that's not central to the point being made, so I left that detail out. I mention this only because I know that any lawyer familiar with these frameworks is going to want to say "it's a bit more complicated than that" and they'd be right to do so - I just didn't want to turn this into a lecture on US legislation more than it already was. 3) This was recorded before the Ukrainians came out with the joke video that showed lend-lease getting them Star Destroyers. This doesn't detract from the video, other than robbing me of an easy gag, so that's unfortunate. 4) I want to stress again that when I say Lend-lease isn't important - I mean that in a context where the US is doing a lot through other mechanisms. I obviously can't predict how the administration would chose to use this authority in the event that the bipartisanship that is pushing these huge aid packages through Congress breaks down. 5) As for the random green flashes that randomly appeared in the video after it was uploaded - but which didn't show up in the pre-upload version, IDK, I guess improving my audio meant it was time for another technical challenge. I'll look into it next time before setting a video to go live - apologies if it's distracting. Cheers all as always!
There is always the gag about finding out the US not having universal healthcare; because the increase to $40B USD in the house passed version required stripping $10B in human malware funding because one party in particular thinks plagues you just YOLO. So not only hardware but lives of Americans are supporting, when we could do both. Slava Ukraine.
I guess the next video we’re getting is the one about Poland - if you’d want to consult anything with someone with Polish perspective (if it’s not too late for the process of course, and you haven’t done so already) I’d love to help :)
I think depth and detail are more important than video length. Shorter videos like the one are just fine by me, as long as they retain the depth of information and analysis of your earlier, longer work. If it's easier for you to break things up in to smaller questions and thus make shorter videos, go for it. Just please don't sacrifice the detail for the sake of reducing the video length!
Cheers Ian, appreciate both the input and you dropping by. Can we expect a video on the many examples of weird, wonderful, and ancient firearms that are surfacing in footage coming out of Ukraine at some point in the future? I never thought I'd see PM M1910s with red dots or mounted on technicals in 2022.
@@PerunAU A wild Ian appears 😂 On topic, I'm with gj on this one. I'm a big fan of the thoughtful analysis in these videos, the length doesn't concern me so much. Keep up the good work!
Don't feel bounded by the video runtime. If a subject takes 5 minutes to cover, take 5 minutes. If you need 2 hours I'll be here for 2 hours. Keep up the good work.
Exactly! This is TH-cam, not broadcast TV. Set video lengths aren't required. The only caveat I can think of is audeince expectation. The difference between a 1/2 hour or a 1 hour slide deck presentation isn't really that much, I'm still going to need to be settled for a bit, but if Perun wants to experiment with even shorter, maybe pick a video title and/or thumbnail that mkes it easier to tell at a glance if it is a "long" or a "short" presentation.
Mark felton is a very successful historian on youtube and he has like over a million subscribers. The guy makes videos that go from 5 min to over an hour depending on the subject. You dont have to stick to one format.
We have the technology to make things longer, faster, smarter! (Bionic 6 million dollar videos) Well, maybe that's a stretch, but we all do have the ability to pause the videos for dinner, toilet breaks, beating wives and children and all the rest of that foolishness.. Your health is still more important.
I don't know what's involved, but I've seen plenty of other explainers start shifting over to Nebula so they didn't feel limited to a certain video length to appease The Algorithm.
Personal opinion on the video format: I prefer the level of detail in the longer videos. That said, many topics don't require that deep of a dive so these shorter videos are useful for the simple discussions. I'd like to say I'd rather wait and see a longer video tying multiple related simple topics, but that forgets the value of quicker turn-around. I don't usually advocate for faster content, but the entire situation is dynamic and getting info quickly is definitely important. Remember Perun, your health (physical and _especially_ mental) is more important than these videos will ever be. Take care of yourself and don't let audience pressure push you somewhere you don't want to be.
I agree 100% on all points! I appreciate the longer videos. And mental/physical health is much more important than giving in to pressure of audience, or the TH-cam algorithms!
I think. Like I said in my video. Like all good legislation, is that it sets a precedent. Now that we have officially said (We being the West) Lend Lease is back. And now we’ve said that, symbolically tying it to WW2. It now essentially paves the way for us to say “what you need, you get”. It’s essentially ensuring that Ukraine doesn’t lose. It now remains to be seen whether they can win.
00:00 Introduction 00:40 The buzz around Lend-Lease 01:58 What am I covering 02:35 Historical Lend-Lease was a game changer 04:51 What doesn't it do? 06:03 What does it actually do? 06:52 Condition 1 FAA 1961 07:22 Condition 2 AECA 08:29 So does Lend-Lease matter 10:27 Existing rules 12:56 The "$30B" 15:09 The "$30B" - Analysis 17:26 The debt trap myth 19:45 So where to next? 22:45 So where to next? - Personal view 23:38 Does Lend-Lease have a role? 26:10 Summary 28:20 Close out
Both the "short" and long format are good and have their place. For this subject the "short" format was definitely better, but for some of the previous videos it would have probably felt a bit brief to not have the 50+ min detailed analysis. Just take care of your health and keep making whatever content you feel will be interesting and won't burn you out!
Yes. You are recovering from a serious illness. Do what you need to do. If you don't feel up to working on these videos for a while, by all means don't.
Dear Perun, I'm from Germany and have watched all your videos in context of the Ukraine war. They are really helpful in getting a deeper understanding of the conflict (military, economic, strategic, logistical, nuclear etc. aspects). While many experts have hardly time to explain their views in detail in relatively short mainstream media interviews and debates, the format you provide allows a deeper understanding of all these topics with their underlying logic/reasoning. In that sense, I would encourage you to keep the one-hour format as an option, in order to allow you detailed, specific, holistic coverage of the topics you chose. I take the time to watch it. And I also use your contents in discussions with friends etc., in order to provide them a better, more realistic picture of the development of the war, global geopolitics and what should be done from Western, also German political perspective. Thank you so much for what you do!
I couldn't agree more. The issue isn't length. If there's something that needs to be said, then it must be articulated to the hilt! That's why I'm subscribed! Perun fills in the gaps that msm are too shallow to touch.
I cannot believe this channel started as a gaming channel. In a world that has all of a sudden become scary and bewildering, you provide a clear-eyed, honest assessment of the military, political and economic forces at work around us and how these forces are at work shaping our now uncertain world. It is like having a really good friend, who knows what he’s talking about, there to explain the events the I’d never thought I would see unfold in my lifetime. Thank you.
Napoleon-"Never interrupt your opponent while he is in the process of making a mistake" Washington-"When your opponent is making a mistake, take every opportunity to weaken it militarily and economically."
It should also be noted, that the EU is discussing to make mutual debt to the benefit of Ukraine. If it goes through, Ukraine will be able to use the western interest rates to take on capital. It is not flashy like arms deliveries, but the effects on the war could be huge.
When I talk about European aid, that kind of thing will be front and centre. This video may be about the USA, but the USA is only one component of this conflict.
@@dirtyaznstyle4156 The alternative is default and not being able to act as a government, namely keeping those in uniforms (soldiers, police, medics, firefighters) paid and retaining the basic level of service that a state has to perform to exist.
I'm here for the depth, thoroughness, nuance, and circumspection you have exemplified thus far. Don't care about length. Makes sense that you'd want to think about shorter videos, especially for commenting on rapidly evolving situations. At the same time, I have loved your longer videos and would eagerly watch ones that are far longer if the quality is what it has been thus far. I'm with Forgotten Weapons on this: make the video you need to make to give each topic the kind of treatment you do so well, and let it be as long as it ends up being.
I like the shorter format. Granted, who doesn't love a one-hour deep dive into the nitty-gritty (and at the beginning of the conflict, we needed that), but these shorter presentations are still packed with information and if they can address developments quicker (e.g., I literally googled "Lend Lease Act" two days ago, so this episode all but read my mind), I'd love to have that. Huge, mad props to you for doing this and doing it post-COVID. Stay well, sir. You are a treasure.
These videos are genuinely the most informative videos about the Ukraine war on TH-cam. I would have never thought PowerPoint presentations could be so interesting and entertaining in a way
Great video, definitely a highlight of the week even in its "short" form, so if its better for you, stick with it! Personally prefer the very long in depth ones, really refreshing to have good hour+ analysis available. Mainly because it's just not something easily found anywhere else and since it's one per week of those at best, I really liked sitting down with a good coffee and fully concentrate on it, sometimes discussing it with someone else or looking up stuff further afterwards (like WW1 drafting and logistics for example).
I second that praise for the longer form! I'm a mechanical engineer and economist, so the greater level of detail in the longer form is wonderful. For me! Has to be said that for this subject, of which I already had some knowledge, the shorter form is fine too, but I'd be sad to see the end of the longer form for more complex issues.
Content length is inconsequential . I've always found your analysis and commentary superb. I never thought I'd actually enjoy a full PowerPoint presentation and not fall asleep . Kudos to you Perun! Keep up the good work .
The "shorter form" is perfectly palatable for me. To be honest, I enjoy the longer form too. I guess it really comes down to whether the subject can be covered satisfactorily in 30 minutes or whether it requires an hour. That's got to be down to you really! All I can say is that you are one of the "go to" resources I've been relying on over the last 3 months.
One way that lend-lease may become a game-changer is in allowing an avenue around the EU / member state problem of not having sufficient materiel reserves to match their will to supply Ukraine. Now they give economic packages, guarantee loans and Ukraine has the means to translate that into arms. This will also encourage the military industrial complex to start ratcheting production. So, it is very significant in that sense.
It is exactly what our economy needs. A huge money injection to boost production, employment and combat the covid recesion. The money would be comming into economy anyways, but this way the state gets something for it
@@ma7rix13 Absolutely. If you look at the comparative defence budgets it throws it into even sharper relief: Nato $1.2tn, Russia $0.06tn*. You've got to remember that over half of Russian GDP is raw resources so comparisons with Italy / Florida, who have complex, advanced industrial and service economies, really isn't like for like. *That's from memory, do check.
Your videos help me evaluate what we are all seeing through the media, traditional and otherwise, in a far, far better way. I have felt my capacity for critical analysis in these domains increasing steadily due to watching these presentations. It manifests in the questions I ask myself about armed conflicts, which are becoming steadily more incisive. How often can one say that about a TH-cam channel? It’s a damn impressive thing you are doing. Thank you. Thank you a million times over!
in fact, I stopped reading news sites about the UA war. They simply repeat information they've seen elsewhere without any meaning and context. Instead, • I watch long format content like this to understand the bigger picture • I follow a few select analysts' twitter feed for more regular updates, the the threads contain explanation and context • Twitter feeds of actual people on the ground
"Short Form" I honestly couldn't tell a difference between this and the hour long format. The information presented thus far has captivated my mind to the point that I don't even notice the time going by. I encourage you to take whatever amount of time you deem necessary to explore the topic in full, and this video accomplished that much in my opinion.
At the outset of WWII, the US accounted for 50% of the world's industrial production, an astounding number, so the fact that 20% of the US's defense spending was channeled to Allies represented an enormous amount of materiel support.
While US based manufacturers supplied thousands of trucks to Russia via lend lease, mostly Studebakers, Ford carried on production within its factories in Germany and 2500 Ford model S3000 trucks carried Wehrmacht troops and supplies during operation Barbarossa. Ford himself was never prosecuted at Nuremberg, only the German industrialists themselves (some directors even imprisoned) for supplying and profiteering from German war materials, such as Porsche, BMW, Messerschmitt, Krupp AG, Siemens, Auto Union/puch (Later known as Audi) Standard oil (US) supplied the bulk of German fuel stocks, stockpiled for 4 years prior to the invasion of Poland. Germany had no means to produce oil prior to WW2, only coal gas. Hitlers large tank army would likely never have made it through Poland, France nor its Luftwaffe been able to attack Britain for 4 months without the pre war stockpile of US oil. The same Standard Oil US linked to George Bush's grandfather.. During WW1, up until the sinking of the Lusitania, the US supplied both Britain and Germany with 35% of their artillery shells. The US stock market boomed at that time due to increased production demand of war material in Europe. Much controversy surrounds the sinking of the Lusitania. Germany growing ever more annoyed at the US for also supplying Britain, the larger empire with ever growing numbers of munitions claimed the Lusitania a civilian passenger ship was carrying munitions bound for Britain, Witnessed by German spy's in New York obtaining a copy of the load manifest. The US denied this claim and entered the war in response to the loss of American civilians during the sinking. The Lusitania, now a protected dive wreck laying off the coast of Ireland was classified a dangerous conservation wreck site in 2015 due to unstable UXBs onboard.. By the end of WW2, the US had built 37000 warships. A feat never matched to this day. By 1943, one LCT could be constructed every 10 days. Britain took until 2016 to pay back the Anglo US loans from WW2, defaulting on the loans 6 times in 60+ years. A percentage of the British Gold stocks that Gordon Brown sold off for approx 11 Billion GBP immediately after the 2008 financial crash went towards the Anglo US Lend lease interest payment that year. War production was a good companion for the US industrialists throughout the 20th century.
@@ljt3084 there I lies the issue, it's always been profitable, and that is what worries me. there is only interest in making money and not staying as far away as possible.
@@ljt3084 And the Soviet Union was shipping vast amounts of materiel to Germany until June 22, 1941, because Stalin didn't trust warnings he got from the British and his own spy Richard Sorge. Wanna point an index finger at Ford? Point both middle fingers at Stalin.
@@ljt3084 Henry Ford was a nazi-sympathizing POS and did manufacture trucks for the Germans. But he lost control of the Ford factories in Germany after the US entered the war, and didn’t make them after that point. (Although the German government seized them and used them to build trucks). GM also built trucks for Germany before US entry. Chase Bank froze Jewish accounts in France at Hitler’s request after the invasion. Britain never defaulted on the post war Anglo-American loan, and all Lend-Lease aid was written off by the US. The loan was only for about $3.5 billion at 2% interest, and could have been pig off much earlier. Britain made minimum payments only because the interest rate was less than the rate of inflation, so it was cheaper the longer it went on. What you’re thinking of is Britain defaulting on its WWI debt in 1932. The US never officially wrote off this debt, but has never tried to enforce it. The US definitely didn’t provide Germany with 35% of its artillery shells (or any meaningful amount) during WWI. This would have been literally impossible. The Royal Navy had a total blockade of all Central Powers ports. The only thing that could get past was u-boats, and only one visited a US port during the war. Germany may have bought a lot of shells before the war started, but the current alliances didn’t really exist then. Yes, it is now generally accepted that the Lusitania was carrying munitions.
@@ljt3084 Thanks for the info because I learnt nothing from the video itself. Ukraine will be in no position to repay anything. South and East resources may be permanently lost. Funny that Ukraine turned off 25% of Germany's gas (presumable with US permission) at the same time Germany was threatening more sanctions. Germany likely to crash into a recession.
I hope that if and when this particular conflict calms down or ceases, you continue on making content like this about other conflicts or "situations" around the world, this reminds me of a wittier, longer, more in depth version of caspian report. that being said, i appreciate you doing whats best for you but i hope the videos dont become TOO condensed and too "youtube-ized" if you know what i mean, the long format is my favorite.
The act also covers assets delivered to our Eastern European allies. In this case, the exemption from having to take into account Defense Industrial sales is probably pretty key. So, Poland is already buying M1 Abrams Tanks. (M1A2 SEPv3). Those tanks will take a year or two to get there. But the US could "lend" M1A2 SEPv1 tanks to Poland at very low depreciation rates. Slovakia is buying Block 70 F-16, which again will take a few years to deliver. The US can lend Block 30 or block 40 birds without having to worry about Lockheed. Similarly, US can lend surplus block 40s to Poland while they wait for their F-35s. This would allow our allies to more quickly divest themselves of old Soviet equipment, and accelerate the integration of NATO standard equipment.
@ Rocketsong "But the US could "lend" M1A2 SEPv1 tanks to Poland at very low depreciation rates" That process seems to have already started as we saw old M1A1 shipped to Poland from Germany-based US Army depots via rail.
The Arctic convoys to Russia of the British Merchant Navy and allied fleets were of immense importance. I feel that a blind eye is wilfully turned in a lot of quarters to the many British, Canadian, American (etc) lives lost taking aid, specifically to Russia. And particularly as it is close to my own heart as a naval logistician.en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arctic_convoys_of_World_War_II
spot on George, the nations of the modern day commonwealth including the Anzac's made an incredible contribution. They were all heroes in every sense of the word.
My wifes grandfather who died about a decade ago was on one of the British submarines tasked with protecting shipping on its way to Murmansk. He was injured twice during that, and suffered serious PTSD for the rest of his life. Think about sitting in a tin can while German depth charges explode over your head. Doubly odd is the fact that he was not just an Irishman but a supporter of Irish unification at the time, basically a wartime supporter of what would later be the IRA... on a British submarine, fighting Germans and aiding the USSR.
I love your in-depth long form presentations; 50min, 5 hours, I'll gladly watch them. That said, I'm happy to watch whatever length videos you care to create. I consume a lot of news regarding the war in Ukraine but nothing makes me jump up as much as seeing that you've posted a new video. Thanks so much for the insight and work in your analyses.
The myth that the USA is running out of munitions has me rolling on the floor laughing. BTW I like your shorter format. It gives me plenty to consider.
Do you have data to back that up? How many, for example, Javelins do we have? At what rate are they being produced? At what rate would they be expected to be expended in a war?
I wouldn't say javelins are going to be in abundance, but there are definitely other munitions systems that can be given. Those new howitzers are arguably just as inorganic as the initial javelin stockpiles, as Ukraine can now match Russia toe to toe in terms of artillery capability. Right now they only have dumb munitions, but it's likely they'll be given the smart munitions in the future once troops have been trained in it.
@Singlespeedpunk Those making the assertion that the US is not running out bear their own burden of proof. If you have N bullets, and give M away, you now have fewer than you had before; that should not need proof.
@Singlespeedpunk It was an American war analyst agency (I don't remember the name) They said that USA already sent 1/3 of all personal anti-tank missiles to Ukraine and 1/4 of stingers
Hey Perun, I find that your videos superbly demystify, and explain the pressures, and state actors that are driving the Russo-Ukrainian War. Thanks fellow ANZAC.
I really appreciate his work, I enjoy it even though there's a lack of flying tanks and a pig in the dress that can shoot lasers from its dazzling eyeballs
@@MarcosElMalo2 If he wrapped himself in bacon that would make his shows better and at the same time keep those vegans away, bacon just makes everything so much better
I might suggest that another important impact of this legislation is to codify US support for Ukraine as _official_ US policy, meaning that the US will have greater power to address internal reservations against said aid. Can't forget that the US is still a government by concensus, and that individual people and groups absolutely can and have changed US soft policy. Signing a bill making the support official hard policy streamlines a lot of things which wouldn't be covered by any particular legislation.
I like the more in depth longer videos, because you do them really well. It's what I love about this channel, you don't just scratch the surface, you go into detail about the subjects and try to actually examine the topic in more detail. Granted, if there's not enough material to fill out an entire 40 minute video don't feel pressured to try and fill it out, if a topic takes less time to explain that's ofc fine! But yeah, I love these videos because of the deep- dive!
Your "short form" videos do a fine job of explaining the situation without a reduction of detail to the level of new bite. In short, this is still analysis, just concise. Some of us (me!) are fascinated by the historical details left unexplored, but they’re history, which is to say not going away, and easily (and rightfully) deprioritized in favor of current events. Thanks for your thoughtful analysis sir. You do good work.
On the point of "debt-trap" the Soviet Union never returned the full value of Billions of dollars of equipment that was leased, and it was understood that it could never return so much money so it was settled at an astronomically lower fraction.
But it was the same for ALL the US allies. And this was sensible - US insistence on on allies paying their war debts after WW1 was a really important factor in the disastrously unstable world economy between the wars.
Max 30 minutes is a good length, fine by me. What you are doing is terrific - thoughtful, clear and incisive, extremely well delivered. Keep it up, and keep well!
I was sad when I heard you were moving away from long-form videos, but then I saw this was 30 minutes long. 8 to 10 minutes is short, I doubt anyone will have an issue with 30 minutes (especially when you're providing the majority of us this content for free). You rock and take care of yourself!
I'm yet to watch all the way through but I have to comment on: "I'm gonna do this in a relatively short form, this is not gonna be a 50 minute video this is me trialling a shorter form that's perhaps a bit more kind to me in the post-covid sense" and yet you still put out a 30 minute video. You are nothing if not thorough, but do try to remember to be kind to yourself.
The US be like: I can push Russia into the ground for decades, test experimental weapons in real conflict, give more money to arms manufacturers, and make another major ally, all without having to put a single boot on the ground and declare war? Sign me up!
Yeah, and violate every treaty it has made, has also violated UN charters by saying it is nato and not the US. Nato is going to push to far, when the nukes will fly. And US was already directly involved in 2014 the us supplied the orange shirts and azov who over threw yanokovich the former official president in ukraine and led to crimea declaring independence. Which Obama who despised the russians was trying to carver more territory from russia which he had tried in 2008 when the US supplied and trained Georgia who invade South ossetia.
@@jansettler4828 The way things are turning out, you would think Putin was a CIA plant (Sustainable Ecology Division)?? Everything Prachur Gupta said + Finland and Sweden contemplating what was unthinkable less than 6 months ago and the EU & NATO more united and committed to their ideals and obligations than it has ever been in 70 years and everyone in that corner of the world now even more desperate to get off the fossil fuel train!!!
This is not about pushing anyone into the ground. Russia can leave Ukraine at any time, and the war will stop then. The USA does not test weapons during war. All US weapons are tested before mass production.
I appreciate these vids SO much. Good gosh, you have no idea how great it is to have actually well researched AND SOURCED content as opposed to people reading aloud from wikipedia or providing more or less baseless speculation. Please keep this up, I hope you inspire a new wave of actual quality on youtube.
The videos should be as long as the subject demands. If you feel you can cover a topic with enough detail in 30 min then yes, there is no reason to make them an hour. This one didn't feel rushed or abridged compared to your other videos. I would still welcome longerform videos once in a while if you feel up for it, but I certainly do not demand it.
I think the majority of your viewers are simply impressed by the detail, accuracy, and thought that goes into your videos. This is undoubtedly the best commentary I have found on the war. If you haven't yet recovered from Covid-19 you should do what is best for your health. After all, none of us has genuine need to know we are all just curious observers. The shorter format probably works better for some topics than for others. In this case it allowed you to present a basic understanding of the facts. Other sources are available for those that want to do a deep dive. Be well.
Length feedback: I like both the long ones and this short version. I probably prefer the longer versions but I'll honestly take whatever I can get. I enjoy learning more about things I thought I knew reasonably well and the clear explanations and presentation style work perfectly for me. It is also refreshing to look in the comments section and see the level of debate excited by these and not just political point scoring, misinformation and disinformation and simple trolling that populates many other arenas.
As always, phenomenal content. For your question on content length, I enjoy the short and long videos equally. The difference is that these are topics you obviously care about and are immensely knowledgeable on, so long as that remains the case, I'll watch whatever you put whenever you feel like it. If you drop the best researched 4 hour long presentation the world has ever seen after a year, I'm still happy. Make the content you care about, and I'll be here to watch it.
Feeding the algorithm and adding my voice to to the chorus of "Short form is fine if that's the way that works best for you." Your content in this vein has been fantastic, both from a short and long point of view. Thanks for all your hard work, hopefully keep 'em coming.
Short format, long format, no difference. The analysis is appreciated. Keep doing what you feel is appropriate. Would love your thoughts on other global concerns if you ever find the time
This “shorter” content was great. More thorough than anywhere else. If shorter content makes life easier for you in your post Covid recovery, go for it! Go shorter if that is more efficient to get your thoughts distributed in a timely fashion. Editing an hour video, especially the coughing, must take an enormous amount of time. I look forward to watching whatever you post, be it 3 minutes or 3 hours long :)
The detailed nature of your presentations is what I'm here for. If the most important & interesting details are so numerous that they practically demand a long vid length, then that's the only way to go. For video subjects like this one where the details fit within half an hour, I'm still captivated, so I still latch onto it b/c the quality of your work remains high.
I love both the narrower and shorter deep dives into current topics as well as the the exhaustiv coverage of general war dynamics in the long form. Unless you start putting out unfounded garbage I will watch it as soon as it pops into my mentions. I really would appreciate a mix of the two. Keep up the great work, you rock!
I'm enjoying and appreciating the content no matter the format. The longer format certainly didn't discourage me from watching. Fantastic content. Thank you! To your other question, RU propaganda is a fascinating space and it would be a pleasure to listen to your thoughts on it. Personally, born and raised in Czech, I have always wondered what % of RU population truly are on board versus just nodding to stay out of harm's way to them and their family.
Every single video I watched from you really impressed me - with quality, with lots of solid information, with insight thats hard to find. And with content of this quality, it doesn‘t matter much which size format you choose - Just continue what you do here, and lets hope together that the aggressor stops his foolish war soon.
For the lengths of your presentations, I leave it to your intelligent discretion. Up to know these videos have been on point in content and on length based on subject mater. Bravo professor.
I'm about halfway through, and I'm surprised to see that Perun considered it only a game-changer with an asterisk. In one of the "long war" videos, he said that one of the things Ukraine needed was a longer-term commitment from the US (or west more generally) to provide ongoing military assistance, not just the few hundred million here and there. Lend-Lease 2.0 seemed to me to be exactly that, so I'm curious to see why he thinks it isn't a game-changer. EDIT: finished the video. I guess the answer is "the Lend-Lease part doesn't change things the way it did in WWII (where it got around neutrality), and the amount isn't big enough to be completely overwhelming."
Just to be clear, the Lend Lease act and the proposed $30 Billion are not the same thing. The Lend Lease is only the two rule changes presented at the beginning of the video, while the $30 Billion is an extension of the type of aid the US has already been providing.
I love watching both long and short format. As some have suggested, make it as long as it needs to be to cover the topic. This is the one military based video which I hang out for, as they are well researched and presented.
in all seriousness, I wouldn't mind a 2 hour or longer videos from you on a regular basis, this is better researched and argued than most of my history degree lectures. carry on my man!
I thought this was great, but I love all your work. Short or long, I don't care really. This is some of the most informative content in the internet regards the war. Yours and Vlad Vexler (who is a Russian born political philosopher, giving insights into the psyche of Putin and Russia) is among the best thats out there, IMO.
Great work as usual! I don't mind either short or long form as both are good, but if shorter means you can get more videos and topics out then I'm all for it.
Great video as always. One detail about the bill that I have not seen anyone touch on is the fact that section 2.a paragraph 1 of the bill doesn't just enable lend lease to Ukraine but to other Eastern European countries impacted by the invasion. Since the NATO members in Eastern Europe are giving a lot of their old soviet equipment to Ukraine, this serves as a quick and easy way to replenish those stockpiles with American equipment, as well as potentially other forms of aid as needed.
I really like the short form. The longer videos I actually have to break up. I can listen to these highly informative presentations while I am doing my work, but after about half an hour, I usually change what I am working on and also need a change in what I am listening to.
Just wanted to drop a quick note since I generally don't comment anywhere. Your content is fantastic. Put out whatever you want in whatever format format. Your analysis is very valuable for gaining an understanding of what's going on.
I must say how much I appreciate the work you are doing to help me understand this conflict. Regarding the short(er) form video, it is beneficial for topics like this where the history and political aspects of lend lease could lead to an excessively long review of the American political system and the military industrial complex. I think you got it just right for someone who wants an introduction and basic understanding of what's happening with Lend Lease 2.0. Agree on the Star Wars meme with the Imperial Battle Cruisers. Its was priceless.
Want to appreciate the level of knowledge you have about what is going on inside my country. Even more appreciable is the fact that you reflect on information that is not as widespread, and is usually mentioned in Ukranian news rather than western. Also, it would be nice if you could expand on the situation in Mariupol, and how our southern border was unprepared for the invasion from all of the possible sides, rather than just the east.
About "short" content like this. it is absolutely fine with me and potentially even better, since not every topic needs the same amount of time. for example a mythbusting video might be better served at 10 minutes, if the underlying myth doesnt have that much material to it.
The length of these videos doesn't really matter. I've been following you since the first video on this invasion, and every single video has been quality gold. If, as a bi-product, shorter videos mean more videos, that makes me happy. Whatever you end up deciding for, shorter, long, a mix of both, I trust you to deliver quality content. That's what I'm here for. Thank you for all the fantastic videos so far. These are really presentations I can close my eyes and just listen to, and poof before I know it, it's over and I crave more. Also, I'd love to see a video debunking myths and confirming facts. Also, I'd love to hear your opinion in the apparent stagnating that's happening now. What does this mean for the Ukrainian population, can they start rebuilding infrastructure or do they prefer to stay out of the country until the conflict is resolved? I'd love to see a video dedicated to the humanitarian aspect of the conflict, past, present and possible future.
Love this formaat, for a slightly narrower subject. The previous ones give a good baseline, the subjects that come up fit that whole framework you made and expand on it. Its almost like the first 1 hour videos are the 101, and now were at 102. narrower subjects that expand on the first set.
Amazing video! About the 30 min vs 50 min videos, I really do like both of them. You had to simplify a bit and leave out some details, but on the whole I didn't feel the video was rushed or had any glaring omissions. If you're more comfortable with shorter videos currently, then you should absolutely do them, they are still much more detailed compared to most other sources.
do what you will your content is by far my favorite whether it be short or long I'll support it either way. hope your doing well and do what is best for you man.
I like the shorter format for this kind of topic. The longer format is great for deep dives into historical reasons for events, but the ones that are easily googled for context , like lend-lease, are great and your analysis is valuable.
If you need to take time away to get better we understand. You do a great job with your videos. So everyone here wants you to be healthy so you can keep producing high quality videos that entertain your audience.
Hey man, thanks for making this content. I live in the states and have been largely avoiding news on the Ukraine war because if it's American news, it's either left leaning or right leaning and i can't be bothered to filter out all their bias and garbage. So this relatively neutral content grounded in numbers, facts, amd history is extremely refreshing. As far as video length goes, i actually prefer the 50 - 60 minute videos but if this shorter format helps you create the content, then you do you boo.
G'day Stranger! I live in Australia but have exactly the same problem as you do ... trying to find a major, reliable news outlet which I can trust to be accurate, truthful and not biased is driving me mad. I do think Perun here can be a bit long-winded at times, but his down-to-earth, factual and insightful analysis is a breath of fresh air. It's a sign of the times that we have to turn to a trusted amateur for our news? Good luck with your search ... is there any media outlet you would recommend? Cheers, Terry
I personally really liked the long form but if the short form let’s you do more videos then I’m all for it! It’s such a fast moving war that you probably will find shorter easier to keep up to date. Thanks man love your videos and analysis from a fellow Aussie.
I've been thankful for all of your content on the Ukraine conflict. Please take care of your health and don't burn yourself out! I trust your judgement on which topics fit in 30 min and which need the full 50 :)
Really love the little shorter format sometimes its quite daunting to commit to watch the hour long vids however good i find them to be. So i really love the half hour vid even though it might not be suited for some more complicated topics
Stunning content! I personally enjoy the longer ones as i listen as i am driving to work. But generally, keep up the level of information and the length is not important to me.
They refuse to remember that still ... Just had an unpleasant talk with a Russian who refused to believe me that Ribentrop-Molotov pact was the spark of ww2
Really appreciate you keeping it to around half an hour, there's only so much powerpoint I can take before I need some moving images to keep my brain entertained :)
Great stuff. For what it's worth, the type of people who read analyses like yours don't have an issue with the longer form. It provides greater context.
A few comments and caveats post production as always:
1) This is a really fast moving area, so since this has been recorded, the $30b ask I mention has already begun evolving in the Congress, with the amount increasing and a particularly large spike in the amount allotted to increase the Presidential Drawdown Authority - watch this space.
2) I am conscious of the concessions on detail I made to keep this one below 30 minutes. The historical lend-lease scheme in particular is described in summary, and it was much more an aid scheme than a credit scheme in practice (it was in fact partly invented to avoid the bad experience of giving loans as the USA had done in the past) but I make those concessions for the sake of brevity. Likewise, foreign military financing usually comes with more conditions that just being given a credit card (what is bought, from whom etc.) but that's not central to the point being made, so I left that detail out. I mention this only because I know that any lawyer familiar with these frameworks is going to want to say "it's a bit more complicated than that" and they'd be right to do so - I just didn't want to turn this into a lecture on US legislation more than it already was.
3) This was recorded before the Ukrainians came out with the joke video that showed lend-lease getting them Star Destroyers. This doesn't detract from the video, other than robbing me of an easy gag, so that's unfortunate.
4) I want to stress again that when I say Lend-lease isn't important - I mean that in a context where the US is doing a lot through other mechanisms. I obviously can't predict how the administration would chose to use this authority in the event that the bipartisanship that is pushing these huge aid packages through Congress breaks down.
5) As for the random green flashes that randomly appeared in the video after it was uploaded - but which didn't show up in the pre-upload version, IDK, I guess improving my audio meant it was time for another technical challenge. I'll look into it next time before setting a video to go live - apologies if it's distracting.
Cheers all as always!
There is always the gag about finding out the US not having universal healthcare; because the increase to $40B USD in the house passed version required stripping $10B in human malware funding because one party in particular thinks plagues you just YOLO.
So not only hardware but lives of Americans are supporting, when we could do both. Slava Ukraine.
I guess the next video we’re getting is the one about Poland - if you’d want to consult anything with someone with Polish perspective (if it’s not too late for the process of course, and you haven’t done so already) I’d love to help :)
You can't go mentioning a joke video like that, and not tell use where to find it :o
Thank you for mentionning the green flashes. I was having some slight fears regarding my video card going into paliative care.
There is also one with the Matrix too
I think depth and detail are more important than video length. Shorter videos like the one are just fine by me, as long as they retain the depth of information and analysis of your earlier, longer work. If it's easier for you to break things up in to smaller questions and thus make shorter videos, go for it. Just please don't sacrifice the detail for the sake of reducing the video length!
Wow what a surprise!
Nice to see you here Ian!
Cheers Ian, appreciate both the input and you dropping by. Can we expect a video on the many examples of weird, wonderful, and ancient firearms that are surfacing in footage coming out of Ukraine at some point in the future? I never thought I'd see PM M1910s with red dots or mounted on technicals in 2022.
@@PerunAU A wild Ian appears 😂
On topic, I'm with gj on this one. I'm a big fan of the thoughtful analysis in these videos, the length doesn't concern me so much. Keep up the good work!
Gun Jesus himself
Dead on
Don't feel bounded by the video runtime. If a subject takes 5 minutes to cover, take 5 minutes. If you need 2 hours I'll be here for 2 hours. Keep up the good work.
I feel the same. Take as little or long as needed. I will be watching!
Exactly! This is TH-cam, not broadcast TV. Set video lengths aren't required. The only caveat I can think of is audeince expectation. The difference between a 1/2 hour or a 1 hour slide deck presentation isn't really that much, I'm still going to need to be settled for a bit, but if Perun wants to experiment with even shorter, maybe pick a video title and/or thumbnail that mkes it easier to tell at a glance if it is a "long" or a "short" presentation.
Mark felton is a very successful historian on youtube and he has like over a million subscribers. The guy makes videos that go from 5 min to over an hour depending on the subject. You dont have to stick to one format.
We have the technology to make things longer, faster, smarter! (Bionic 6 million dollar videos) Well, maybe that's a stretch, but we all do have the ability to pause the videos for dinner, toilet breaks, beating wives and children and all the rest of that foolishness.. Your health is still more important.
I don't know what's involved, but I've seen plenty of other explainers start shifting over to Nebula so they didn't feel limited to a certain video length to appease The Algorithm.
Personal opinion on the video format: I prefer the level of detail in the longer videos. That said, many topics don't require that deep of a dive so these shorter videos are useful for the simple discussions. I'd like to say I'd rather wait and see a longer video tying multiple related simple topics, but that forgets the value of quicker turn-around. I don't usually advocate for faster content, but the entire situation is dynamic and getting info quickly is definitely important. Remember Perun, your health (physical and _especially_ mental) is more important than these videos will ever be. Take care of yourself and don't let audience pressure push you somewhere you don't want to be.
fully aghree on all of that! short videos are great, longer are better, focus on what you want/need first.
I agree also, couldn't have said it better myself. Thanks @Michael Weaklend
I agree 100% on all points!
I appreciate the longer videos.
And mental/physical health is much more important than giving in to pressure of audience, or the TH-cam algorithms!
Thoughtful. 🙏
Basically this - video length proportional to the complexity of topic. And definitely hope that longer videos aren't going away.
I think. Like I said in my video. Like all good legislation, is that it sets a precedent. Now that we have officially said (We being the West) Lend Lease is back. And now we’ve said that, symbolically tying it to WW2. It now essentially paves the way for us to say “what you need, you get”. It’s essentially ensuring that Ukraine doesn’t lose. It now remains to be seen whether they can win.
00:00 Introduction
00:40 The buzz around Lend-Lease
01:58 What am I covering
02:35 Historical Lend-Lease was a game changer
04:51 What doesn't it do?
06:03 What does it actually do?
06:52 Condition 1 FAA 1961
07:22 Condition 2 AECA
08:29 So does Lend-Lease matter
10:27 Existing rules
12:56 The "$30B"
15:09 The "$30B" - Analysis
17:26 The debt trap myth
19:45 So where to next?
22:45 So where to next? - Personal view
23:38 Does Lend-Lease have a role?
26:10 Summary
28:20 Close out
Thank you!
Bump
People like this is why long form are great. Perun put out the content *you* want/feel up to.
Thanks for doing these chapters!
Thanks m8!
Both the "short" and long format are good and have their place. For this subject the "short" format was definitely better, but for some of the previous videos it would have probably felt a bit brief to not have the 50+ min detailed analysis. Just take care of your health and keep making whatever content you feel will be interesting and won't burn you out!
Concur!
Yes. You are recovering from a serious illness. Do what you need to do. If you don't feel up to working on these videos for a while, by all means don't.
Ha..
I agree
+1
You uploading is always the best part of my week. Greetings from Ukraine 🇺🇦
stay safe🇺🇦💪
Dear Perun, I'm from Germany and have watched all your videos in context of the Ukraine war. They are really helpful in getting a deeper understanding of the conflict (military, economic, strategic, logistical, nuclear etc. aspects). While many experts have hardly time to explain their views in detail in relatively short mainstream media interviews and debates, the format you provide allows a deeper understanding of all these topics with their underlying logic/reasoning. In that sense, I would encourage you to keep the one-hour format as an option, in order to allow you detailed, specific, holistic coverage of the topics you chose. I take the time to watch it. And I also use your contents in discussions with friends etc., in order to provide them a better, more realistic picture of the development of the war, global geopolitics and what should be done from Western, also German political perspective. Thank you so much for what you do!
I couldn't agree more. The issue isn't length. If there's something that needs to be said, then it must be articulated to the hilt! That's why I'm subscribed! Perun fills in the gaps that msm are too shallow to touch.
I cannot believe this channel started as a gaming channel. In a world that has all of a sudden become scary and bewildering, you provide a clear-eyed, honest assessment of the military, political and economic forces at work around us and how these forces are at work shaping our now uncertain world. It is like having a really good friend, who knows what he’s talking about, there to explain the events the I’d never thought I would see unfold in my lifetime. Thank you.
Napoleon-"Never interrupt your opponent while he is in the process of making a mistake" Washington-"When your opponent is making a mistake, take every opportunity to weaken it militarily and economically."
LOL yeah sayings don't say much usually
I'm pretty sure Napoleon and Washington are talking about different SCALES there. Napoleon is talking about battlefield strategy and tactics.
Lol. Washington being competent. BWAHAHAHAHA
@@c1ph3rpunk sometimes being just purely lucky is a talent.
@@Robert53area lord it is.
It should also be noted, that the EU is discussing to make mutual debt to the benefit of Ukraine. If it goes through, Ukraine will be able to use the western interest rates to take on capital. It is not flashy like arms deliveries, but the effects on the war could be huge.
When I talk about European aid, that kind of thing will be front and centre. This video may be about the USA, but the USA is only one component of this conflict.
Lol debt like that’s a wonderful thing
@@dirtyaznstyle4156 I feel like you don't fully understand what letting Ukraine take loans backed by the EU means.
@@dirtyaznstyle4156 The alternative is default and not being able to act as a government, namely keeping those in uniforms (soldiers, police, medics, firefighters) paid and retaining the basic level of service that a state has to perform to exist.
@@snickims9717 what makes you think that?
I'm here for the depth, thoroughness, nuance, and circumspection you have exemplified thus far. Don't care about length.
Makes sense that you'd want to think about shorter videos, especially for commenting on rapidly evolving situations. At the same time, I have loved your longer videos and would eagerly watch ones that are far longer if the quality is what it has been thus far.
I'm with Forgotten Weapons on this: make the video you need to make to give each topic the kind of treatment you do so well, and let it be as long as it ends up being.
I like the shorter format. Granted, who doesn't love a one-hour deep dive into the nitty-gritty (and at the beginning of the conflict, we needed that), but these shorter presentations are still packed with information and if they can address developments quicker (e.g., I literally googled "Lend Lease Act" two days ago, so this episode all but read my mind), I'd love to have that. Huge, mad props to you for doing this and doing it post-COVID. Stay well, sir. You are a treasure.
only downside is that i cant play this in the background as ambient noise as long
Very well done sir, as a dutch geopolitical analyst i fully agree with your conclusions, your making great content, keep up the good work!
Many thanks!
Geopolitical analist xD what a joke
These videos are genuinely the most informative videos about the Ukraine war on TH-cam. I would have never thought PowerPoint presentations could be so interesting and entertaining in a way
There is an art to a "briefing" with slides. He does it quite well.
I’ll be honest I love goofy shit like powerpoints
Great video, definitely a highlight of the week even in its "short" form, so if its better for you, stick with it!
Personally prefer the very long in depth ones, really refreshing to have good hour+ analysis available. Mainly because it's just not something easily found anywhere else and since it's one per week of those at best, I really liked sitting down with a good coffee and fully concentrate on it, sometimes discussing it with someone else or looking up stuff further afterwards (like WW1 drafting and logistics for example).
I just wanted to agree with this, I also prefer longer videos. Regardless of length of video you have been pure quality on the Ukraine War.
I second that praise for the longer form! I'm a mechanical engineer and economist, so the greater level of detail in the longer form is wonderful. For me! Has to be said that for this subject, of which I already had some knowledge, the shorter form is fine too, but I'd be sad to see the end of the longer form for more complex issues.
@@dangwallt481 yea, would not mind a mix at all
Glad I found you're channel. Like to join the these people in the mix of long, for more in depth and shorter.
100% agree!
"short form", he calls it. 30 minutes later, I am still blown away by the quality of the presentation.
Content length is inconsequential . I've always found your analysis and commentary superb. I never thought I'd actually enjoy a full PowerPoint presentation and not fall asleep . Kudos to you Perun! Keep up the good work .
The "shorter form" is perfectly palatable for me. To be honest, I enjoy the longer form too. I guess it really comes down to whether the subject can be covered satisfactorily in 30 minutes or whether it requires an hour. That's got to be down to you really! All I can say is that you are one of the "go to" resources I've been relying on over the last 3 months.
I liked the hour long videos made me feel smart lol
I agree. Either is fine. Though, I'll admit that if he sticks with the shorter format, I'm hoping for more frequent video releases. :-P
One way that lend-lease may become a game-changer is in allowing an avenue around the EU / member state problem of not having sufficient materiel reserves to match their will to supply Ukraine. Now they give economic packages, guarantee loans and Ukraine has the means to translate that into arms. This will also encourage the military industrial complex to start ratcheting production. So, it is very significant in that sense.
It is exactly what our economy needs. A huge money injection to boost production, employment and combat the covid recesion.
The money would be comming into economy anyways, but this way the state gets something for it
To think that this war can leverage ~50 trillion GDP (EU/NATO) vs. 1.4 trillion (Russia) puts things into perspective.
@@stixinst5791 how does the state get something?
@@ma7rix13 Absolutely. If you look at the comparative defence budgets it throws it into even sharper relief: Nato $1.2tn, Russia $0.06tn*.
You've got to remember that over half of Russian GDP is raw resources so comparisons with Italy / Florida, who have complex, advanced industrial and service economies, really isn't like for like.
*That's from memory, do check.
“PMC’s, arms manufacturers, job creators jack!”
Your videos help me evaluate what we are all seeing through the media, traditional and otherwise, in a far, far better way. I have felt my capacity for critical analysis in these domains increasing steadily due to watching these presentations. It manifests in the questions I ask myself about armed conflicts, which are becoming steadily more incisive. How often can one say that about a TH-cam channel? It’s a damn impressive thing you are doing. Thank you. Thank you a million times over!
in fact, I stopped reading news sites about the UA war. They simply repeat information they've seen elsewhere without any meaning and context.
Instead,
• I watch long format content like this to understand the bigger picture
• I follow a few select analysts' twitter feed for more regular updates, the the threads contain explanation and context
• Twitter feeds of actual people on the ground
The shorter form works well.
Good summary of Lend-Lease.
🇺🇦🇺🇸
"Short Form" I honestly couldn't tell a difference between this and the hour long format. The information presented thus far has captivated my mind to the point that I don't even notice the time going by. I encourage you to take whatever amount of time you deem necessary to explore the topic in full, and this video accomplished that much in my opinion.
At the outset of WWII, the US accounted for 50% of the world's industrial production, an astounding number, so the fact that 20% of the US's defense spending was channeled to Allies represented an enormous amount of materiel support.
While US based manufacturers supplied thousands of trucks to Russia via lend lease, mostly Studebakers, Ford carried on production within its factories in Germany and 2500 Ford model S3000 trucks carried Wehrmacht troops and supplies during operation Barbarossa.
Ford himself was never prosecuted at Nuremberg, only the German industrialists themselves (some directors even imprisoned) for supplying and profiteering from German war materials, such as Porsche, BMW, Messerschmitt, Krupp AG, Siemens, Auto Union/puch (Later known as Audi)
Standard oil (US) supplied the bulk of German fuel stocks, stockpiled for 4 years prior to the invasion of Poland.
Germany had no means to produce oil prior to WW2, only coal gas.
Hitlers large tank army would likely never have made it through Poland, France nor its Luftwaffe been able to attack Britain for 4 months without the pre war stockpile of US oil.
The same Standard Oil US linked to George Bush's grandfather..
During WW1, up until the sinking of the Lusitania, the US supplied both Britain and Germany with 35% of their artillery shells. The US stock market boomed at that time due to increased production demand of war material in Europe.
Much controversy surrounds the sinking of the Lusitania.
Germany growing ever more annoyed at the US for also supplying Britain, the larger empire with ever growing numbers of munitions claimed the Lusitania a civilian passenger ship was carrying munitions bound for Britain, Witnessed by German spy's in New York obtaining a copy of the load manifest.
The US denied this claim and entered the war in response to the loss of American civilians during the sinking.
The Lusitania, now a protected dive wreck laying off the coast of Ireland was classified a dangerous conservation wreck site in 2015 due to unstable UXBs onboard..
By the end of WW2, the US had built 37000 warships. A feat never matched to this day.
By 1943, one LCT could be constructed every 10 days.
Britain took until 2016 to pay back the Anglo US loans from WW2, defaulting on the loans 6 times in 60+ years.
A percentage of the British Gold stocks that Gordon Brown sold off for approx 11 Billion GBP immediately after the 2008 financial crash went towards the Anglo US Lend lease interest payment that year.
War production was a good companion for the US industrialists throughout the 20th century.
@@ljt3084 there I lies the issue, it's always been profitable, and that is what worries me. there is only interest in making money and not staying as far away as possible.
@@ljt3084 And the Soviet Union was shipping vast amounts of materiel to Germany until June 22, 1941, because Stalin didn't trust warnings he got from the British and his own spy Richard Sorge. Wanna point an index finger at Ford? Point both middle fingers at Stalin.
@@ljt3084 Henry Ford was a nazi-sympathizing POS and did manufacture trucks for the Germans. But he lost control of the Ford factories in Germany after the US entered the war, and didn’t make them after that point. (Although the German government seized them and used them to build trucks). GM also built trucks for Germany before US entry. Chase Bank froze Jewish accounts in France at Hitler’s request after the invasion.
Britain never defaulted on the post war Anglo-American loan, and all Lend-Lease aid was written off by the US. The loan was only for about $3.5 billion at 2% interest, and could have been pig off much earlier. Britain made minimum payments only because the interest rate was less than the rate of inflation, so it was cheaper the longer it went on. What you’re thinking of is Britain defaulting on its WWI debt in 1932. The US never officially wrote off this debt, but has never tried to enforce it.
The US definitely didn’t provide Germany with 35% of its artillery shells (or any meaningful amount) during WWI. This would have been literally impossible. The Royal Navy had a total blockade of all Central Powers ports. The only thing that could get past was u-boats, and only one visited a US port during the war. Germany may have bought a lot of shells before the war started, but the current alliances didn’t really exist then.
Yes, it is now generally accepted that the Lusitania was carrying munitions.
@@ljt3084 Thanks for the info because I learnt nothing from the video itself. Ukraine will be in no position to repay anything. South and East resources may be permanently lost. Funny that Ukraine turned off 25% of Germany's gas (presumable with US permission) at the same time Germany was threatening more sanctions. Germany likely to crash into a recession.
An important note: the law was introduced in the US Senate on 19.01.2022, a month before Russia's invasion
along with other measures that did not have quite the same PR
@LTNetjak It's almost like they did everything in their power to provoke it
@@orkinho1 i see you take your daily seconds of Russian propaganda
@@orkinho1 Or stop it
@@orkinho1 I'll bite. How?
I hope that if and when this particular conflict calms down or ceases, you continue on making content like this about other conflicts or "situations" around the world, this reminds me of a wittier, longer, more in depth version of caspian report. that being said, i appreciate you doing whats best for you but i hope the videos dont become TOO condensed and too "youtube-ized" if you know what i mean, the long format is my favorite.
The act also covers assets delivered to our Eastern European allies. In this case, the exemption from having to take into account Defense Industrial sales is probably pretty key.
So, Poland is already buying M1 Abrams Tanks. (M1A2 SEPv3). Those tanks will take a year or two to get there. But the US could "lend" M1A2 SEPv1 tanks to Poland at very low depreciation rates.
Slovakia is buying Block 70 F-16, which again will take a few years to deliver. The US can lend Block 30 or block 40 birds without having to worry about Lockheed. Similarly, US can lend surplus block 40s to Poland while they wait for their F-35s.
This would allow our allies to more quickly divest themselves of old Soviet equipment, and accelerate the integration of NATO standard equipment.
@ Rocketsong "But the US could "lend" M1A2 SEPv1 tanks to Poland at very low depreciation rates" That process seems to have already started as we saw old M1A1 shipped to Poland from Germany-based US Army depots via rail.
At the same time, those countries are sending their old Soviet weapons to Ukraine, like tanks for example
@@thegreatxcelerator4224 No, it was a part of the deal that Poland recieves some 30 tanks for training purposes
And everyone is indebted to America just as planned.
@@dimas3829 better in debt than dead or ruZZian. Слава Україні.
The Arctic convoys to Russia of the British Merchant Navy and allied fleets were of immense importance. I feel that a blind eye is wilfully turned in a lot of quarters to the many British, Canadian, American (etc) lives lost taking aid, specifically to Russia. And particularly as it is close to my own heart as a naval logistician.en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arctic_convoys_of_World_War_II
I agree. A life sacrificed is a life sacrificed, no matter whose it was.
They were what won the war. The effort on both the production and the delivery to the soviets.
spot on George, the nations of the modern day commonwealth including the Anzac's made an incredible contribution. They were all heroes in every sense of the word.
My wifes grandfather who died about a decade ago was on one of the British submarines tasked with protecting shipping on its way to Murmansk. He was injured twice during that, and suffered serious PTSD for the rest of his life. Think about sitting in a tin can while German depth charges explode over your head.
Doubly odd is the fact that he was not just an Irishman but a supporter of Irish unification at the time, basically a wartime supporter of what would later be the IRA... on a British submarine, fighting Germans and aiding the USSR.
As the victor writes history the wannabe tries to rewrite it.
I love your in-depth long form presentations; 50min, 5 hours, I'll gladly watch them. That said, I'm happy to watch whatever length videos you care to create. I consume a lot of news regarding the war in Ukraine but nothing makes me jump up as much as seeing that you've posted a new video. Thanks so much for the insight and work in your analyses.
The myth that the USA is running out of munitions has me rolling on the floor laughing. BTW I like your shorter format. It gives me plenty to consider.
Do you have data to back that up? How many, for example, Javelins do we have? At what rate are they being produced? At what rate would they be expected to be expended in a war?
I wouldn't say javelins are going to be in abundance, but there are definitely other munitions systems that can be given. Those new howitzers are arguably just as inorganic as the initial javelin stockpiles, as Ukraine can now match Russia toe to toe in terms of artillery capability.
Right now they only have dumb munitions, but it's likely they'll be given the smart munitions in the future once troops have been trained in it.
@Singlespeedpunk Those making the assertion that the US is not running out bear their own burden of proof. If you have N bullets, and give M away, you now have fewer than you had before; that should not need proof.
@@michaelsommers2356 Javelins might be a problem as they stopped producing them some time ago. But there is still all sorts of stuff in the shed.
@Singlespeedpunk It was an American war analyst agency (I don't remember the name)
They said that USA already sent 1/3 of all personal anti-tank missiles to Ukraine and 1/4 of stingers
Hey Perun, I find that your videos superbly demystify, and explain the pressures, and state actors that are driving the Russo-Ukrainian War. Thanks fellow ANZAC.
I really appreciate his work, I enjoy it even though there's a lack of flying tanks and a pig in the dress that can shoot lasers from its dazzling eyeballs
@@dogwhistle8836 Perhaps we will get a song at the end one day
@@dogwhistle8836 Perun could still up his game with a classical music soundtrack. Swan Lake or something.
@@MarcosElMalo2 If he wrapped himself in bacon that would make his shows better and at the same time keep those vegans away, bacon just makes everything so much better
I might suggest that another important impact of this legislation is to codify US support for Ukraine as _official_ US policy, meaning that the US will have greater power to address internal reservations against said aid.
Can't forget that the US is still a government by concensus, and that individual people and groups absolutely can and have changed US soft policy. Signing a bill making the support official hard policy streamlines a lot of things which wouldn't be covered by any particular legislation.
America is very nationalistic at the moment on both sides … I doubt this will continue if economics at home deteriorates
This is why I love TH-cam. Thanks for your time and effort put in to these videos, true quality
I like the more in depth longer videos, because you do them really well. It's what I love about this channel, you don't just scratch the surface, you go into detail about the subjects and try to actually examine the topic in more detail. Granted, if there's not enough material to fill out an entire 40 minute video don't feel pressured to try and fill it out, if a topic takes less time to explain that's ofc fine! But yeah, I love these videos because of the deep- dive!
Your "short form" videos do a fine job of explaining the situation without a reduction of detail to the level of new bite. In short, this is still analysis, just concise.
Some of us (me!) are fascinated by the historical details left unexplored, but they’re history, which is to say not going away, and easily (and rightfully) deprioritized in favor of current events.
Thanks for your thoughtful analysis sir. You do good work.
Always look forward to your PowerPoint style video uploads these days, they are very enjoyable and interesting to watch Perun!
On the point of "debt-trap" the Soviet Union never returned the full value of Billions of dollars of equipment that was leased, and it was understood that it could never return so much money so it was settled at an astronomically lower fraction.
I wouldn’t give money to a nation that choose to be a sworn enemy.
But it was the same for ALL the US allies. And this was sensible - US insistence on on allies paying their war debts after WW1 was a really important factor in the disastrously unstable world economy between the wars.
@@kenoliver8913 uk payed it off.
@@accountreality1988 60 years after the fact. Show me a bank that's going to let you take 60 years to pay off a loan.
@@accountreality1988 As Perun said in the video, the UK did not pay it off completely.
This is like a master class in military logistics. Well done Perun. Hope you are feeling better. Keep ‘em coming!
Max 30 minutes is a good length, fine by me. What you are doing is terrific - thoughtful, clear and incisive, extremely well delivered. Keep it up, and keep well!
I was sad when I heard you were moving away from long-form videos, but then I saw this was 30 minutes long. 8 to 10 minutes is short, I doubt anyone will have an issue with 30 minutes (especially when you're providing the majority of us this content for free). You rock and take care of yourself!
I'm yet to watch all the way through but I have to comment on: "I'm gonna do this in a relatively short form, this is not gonna be a 50 minute video this is me trialling a shorter form that's perhaps a bit more kind to me in the post-covid sense" and yet you still put out a 30 minute video. You are nothing if not thorough, but do try to remember to be kind to yourself.
The US be like: I can push Russia into the ground for decades, test experimental weapons in real conflict, give more money to arms manufacturers, and make another major ally, all without having to put a single boot on the ground and declare war? Sign me up!
Yeah, and violate every treaty it has made, has also violated UN charters by saying it is nato and not the US.
Nato is going to push to far, when the nukes will fly.
And US was already directly involved in 2014 the us supplied the orange shirts and azov who over threw yanokovich the former official president in ukraine and led to crimea declaring independence. Which Obama who despised the russians was trying to carver more territory from russia which he had tried in 2008 when the US supplied and trained Georgia who invade South ossetia.
Well that's pretty much geopolitics
It's a path the russians chose for themselves and the world.
@@jansettler4828 The way things are turning out, you would think Putin was a CIA plant (Sustainable Ecology Division)??
Everything Prachur Gupta said + Finland and Sweden contemplating what was unthinkable less than 6 months ago and the EU & NATO more united and committed to their ideals and obligations than it has ever been in 70 years and everyone in that corner of the world now even more desperate to get off the fossil fuel train!!!
This is not about pushing anyone into the ground. Russia can leave Ukraine at any time, and the war will stop then.
The USA does not test weapons during war. All US weapons are tested before mass production.
I will listen, probably more than once, to everything you post, any length. Thank you so much for all of them! Glad you’re getting better!
Perun calling out directly to NCD, this is what we were all waiting for.
Love your videos, keep it up!
I appreciate these vids SO much. Good gosh, you have no idea how great it is to have actually well researched AND SOURCED content as opposed to people reading aloud from wikipedia or providing more or less baseless speculation. Please keep this up, I hope you inspire a new wave of actual quality on youtube.
Audio has been improving the past two videos. :)
I have a bloke in Poland who is helping me out despite my own lack of audio-editing skills.
The videos should be as long as the subject demands. If you feel you can cover a topic with enough detail in 30 min then yes, there is no reason to make them an hour. This one didn't feel rushed or abridged compared to your other videos.
I would still welcome longerform videos once in a while if you feel up for it, but I certainly do not demand it.
I love the 30 minute in depth analysis.
My attention span doesnt always allow 1 hour videos.
And now I have listened to this video twice.
I think the majority of your viewers are simply impressed by the detail, accuracy, and thought that goes into your videos. This is undoubtedly the best commentary I have found on the war. If you haven't yet recovered from Covid-19 you should do what is best for your health. After all, none of us has genuine need to know we are all just curious observers. The shorter format probably works better for some topics than for others. In this case it allowed you to present a basic understanding of the facts. Other sources are available for those that want to do a deep dive. Be well.
I am complexly impressed
Length feedback: I like both the long ones and this short version. I probably prefer the longer versions but I'll honestly take whatever I can get. I enjoy learning more about things I thought I knew reasonably well and the clear explanations and presentation style work perfectly for me. It is also refreshing to look in the comments section and see the level of debate excited by these and not just political point scoring, misinformation and disinformation and simple trolling that populates many other arenas.
Exactly, beggars can't be chosers.
As always, phenomenal content.
For your question on content length, I enjoy the short and long videos equally. The difference is that these are topics you obviously care about and are immensely knowledgeable on, so long as that remains the case, I'll watch whatever you put whenever you feel like it. If you drop the best researched 4 hour long presentation the world has ever seen after a year, I'm still happy.
Make the content you care about, and I'll be here to watch it.
You do good work, Perun. This is clear, concise and very enlightening.
Big Thank You to USA, Great Britain, Poland and other countries of anti-Putler coalition! Cheers from Ukraine!
Feeding the algorithm and adding my voice to to the chorus of "Short form is fine if that's the way that works best for you." Your content in this vein has been fantastic, both from a short and long point of view. Thanks for all your hard work, hopefully keep 'em coming.
Short format, long format, no difference. The analysis is appreciated. Keep doing what you feel is appropriate. Would love your thoughts on other global concerns if you ever find the time
This “shorter” content was great. More thorough than anywhere else.
If shorter content makes life easier for you in your post Covid recovery, go for it! Go shorter if that is more efficient to get your thoughts distributed in a timely fashion.
Editing an hour video, especially the coughing, must take an enormous amount of time. I look forward to watching whatever you post, be it 3 minutes or 3 hours long :)
The detailed nature of your presentations is what I'm here for. If the most important & interesting details are so numerous that they practically demand a long vid length, then that's the only way to go.
For video subjects like this one where the details fit within half an hour, I'm still captivated, so I still latch onto it b/c the quality of your work remains high.
Going through your history of videos. Great content all around. Thanks.
Rewatching your videos from the start. so interesting and your work is incredible, thanks so much
I love both the narrower and shorter deep dives into current topics as well as the the exhaustiv coverage of general war dynamics in the long form. Unless you start putting out unfounded garbage I will watch it as soon as it pops into my mentions. I really would appreciate a mix of the two.
Keep up the great work, you rock!
I'm enjoying and appreciating the content no matter the format. The longer format certainly didn't discourage me from watching. Fantastic content. Thank you! To your other question, RU propaganda is a fascinating space and it would be a pleasure to listen to your thoughts on it. Personally, born and raised in Czech, I have always wondered what % of RU population truly are on board versus just nodding to stay out of harm's way to them and their family.
Every single video I watched from you really impressed me - with quality, with lots of solid information, with insight thats hard to find. And with content of this quality, it doesn‘t matter much which size format you choose - Just continue what you do here, and lets hope together that the aggressor stops his foolish war soon.
For the lengths of your presentations, I leave it to your intelligent discretion. Up to know these videos have been on point in content and on length based on subject mater. Bravo professor.
Thanks as always, your explanations are far better than any news broadcasts. I really appreciate you!
I'm about halfway through, and I'm surprised to see that Perun considered it only a game-changer with an asterisk. In one of the "long war" videos, he said that one of the things Ukraine needed was a longer-term commitment from the US (or west more generally) to provide ongoing military assistance, not just the few hundred million here and there. Lend-Lease 2.0 seemed to me to be exactly that, so I'm curious to see why he thinks it isn't a game-changer.
EDIT: finished the video. I guess the answer is "the Lend-Lease part doesn't change things the way it did in WWII (where it got around neutrality), and the amount isn't big enough to be completely overwhelming."
Just to be clear, the Lend Lease act and the proposed $30 Billion are not the same thing. The Lend Lease is only the two rule changes presented at the beginning of the video, while the $30 Billion is an extension of the type of aid the US has already been providing.
@@SorryYoureCanadian good point. It's easy to make the mistake of lumping them together (as I just did 😁).
I love watching both long and short format. As some have suggested, make it as long as it needs to be to cover the topic. This is the one military based video which I hang out for, as they are well researched and presented.
in all seriousness, I wouldn't mind a 2 hour or longer videos from you on a regular basis, this is better researched and argued than most of my history degree lectures. carry on my man!
Another great contribution to the public awareness. Thanks!
This length is great.
Thank you.
I thought this was great, but I love all your work. Short or long, I don't care really. This is some of the most informative content in the internet regards the war. Yours and Vlad Vexler (who is a Russian born political philosopher, giving insights into the psyche of Putin and Russia) is among the best thats out there, IMO.
"Where are you going, Rus?"
Alas... he does not answer me.
Great work as usual! I don't mind either short or long form as both are good, but if shorter means you can get more videos and topics out then I'm all for it.
Great video as always. One detail about the bill that I have not seen anyone touch on is the fact that section 2.a paragraph 1 of the bill doesn't just enable lend lease to Ukraine but to other Eastern European countries impacted by the invasion. Since the NATO members in Eastern Europe are giving a lot of their old soviet equipment to Ukraine, this serves as a quick and easy way to replenish those stockpiles with American equipment, as well as potentially other forms of aid as needed.
I really like the short form. The longer videos I actually have to break up. I can listen to these highly informative presentations while I am doing my work, but after about half an hour, I usually change what I am working on and also need a change in what I am listening to.
Just wanted to drop a quick note since I generally don't comment anywhere. Your content is fantastic. Put out whatever you want in whatever format format. Your analysis is very valuable for gaining an understanding of what's going on.
I must say how much I appreciate the work you are doing to help me understand this conflict.
Regarding the short(er) form video, it is beneficial for topics like this where the history and political aspects of lend lease could lead to an excessively long review of the American political system and the military industrial complex. I think you got it just right for someone who wants an introduction and basic understanding of what's happening with Lend Lease 2.0.
Agree on the Star Wars meme with the Imperial Battle Cruisers. Its was priceless.
Want to appreciate the level of knowledge you have about what is going on inside my country. Even more appreciable is the fact that you reflect on information that is not as widespread, and is usually mentioned in Ukranian news rather than western. Also, it would be nice if you could expand on the situation in Mariupol, and how our southern border was unprepared for the invasion from all of the possible sides, rather than just the east.
About "short" content like this. it is absolutely fine with me and potentially even better, since not every topic needs the same amount of time.
for example a mythbusting video might be better served at 10 minutes, if the underlying myth doesnt have that much material to it.
Excellent content. I do enjoy the longer videos the most but I'm happy to watch quality at any length
Thank you for timely vid. Please take the time you need to recover
💛🇺🇦💙
I fucking love this channel
The length of these videos doesn't really matter. I've been following you since the first video on this invasion, and every single video has been quality gold.
If, as a bi-product, shorter videos mean more videos, that makes me happy.
Whatever you end up deciding for, shorter, long, a mix of both, I trust you to deliver quality content. That's what I'm here for. Thank you for all the fantastic videos so far.
These are really presentations I can close my eyes and just listen to, and poof before I know it, it's over and I crave more.
Also, I'd love to see a video debunking myths and confirming facts. Also, I'd love to hear your opinion in the apparent stagnating that's happening now. What does this mean for the Ukrainian population, can they start rebuilding infrastructure or do they prefer to stay out of the country until the conflict is resolved? I'd love to see a video dedicated to the humanitarian aspect of the conflict, past, present and possible future.
Great video as always by the way, you've become one of my go-to's for sensible analysis.
I love the new format! It's the perfect length for my commute to and from work.
Dude! This channel went from gaming to geopolitics and I love it! Keep up the great work!
Love this formaat, for a slightly narrower subject. The previous ones give a good baseline, the subjects that come up fit that whole framework you made and expand on it. Its almost like the first 1 hour videos are the 101, and now were at 102. narrower subjects that expand on the first set.
Amazing video! About the 30 min vs 50 min videos, I really do like both of them. You had to simplify a bit and leave out some details, but on the whole I didn't feel the video was rushed or had any glaring omissions. If you're more comfortable with shorter videos currently, then you should absolutely do them, they are still much more detailed compared to most other sources.
yes! (definitely wouldnt mind a mix either. i dont see a need to fully stick to either format.)
do what you will your content is by far my favorite whether it be short or long I'll support it either way. hope your doing well and do what is best for you man.
I like the shorter format for this kind of topic. The longer format is great for deep dives into historical reasons for events, but the ones that are easily googled for context , like lend-lease, are great and your analysis is valuable.
I love both formats! Your insight is amazingly helpful in understanding what is going on!
If you need to take time away to get better we understand. You do a great job with your videos. So everyone here wants you to be healthy so you can keep producing high quality videos that entertain your audience.
Hey man, thanks for making this content. I live in the states and have been largely avoiding news on the Ukraine war because if it's American news, it's either left leaning or right leaning and i can't be bothered to filter out all their bias and garbage. So this relatively neutral content grounded in numbers, facts, amd history is extremely refreshing.
As far as video length goes, i actually prefer the 50 - 60 minute videos but if this shorter format helps you create the content, then you do you boo.
G'day Stranger! I live in Australia but have exactly the same problem as you do ... trying to find a major, reliable news outlet which I can trust to be accurate, truthful and not biased is driving me mad. I do think Perun here can be a bit long-winded at times, but his down-to-earth, factual and insightful analysis is a breath of fresh air. It's a sign of the times that we have to turn to a trusted amateur for our news? Good luck with your search ... is there any media outlet you would recommend? Cheers, Terry
I personally really liked the long form but if the short form let’s you do more videos then I’m all for it! It’s such a fast moving war that you probably will find shorter easier to keep up to date. Thanks man love your videos and analysis from a fellow Aussie.
Brilliant . As always. Just brilliant.
I've been thankful for all of your content on the Ukraine conflict. Please take care of your health and don't burn yourself out! I trust your judgement on which topics fit in 30 min and which need the full 50 :)
Really love the little shorter format sometimes its quite daunting to commit to watch the hour long vids however good i find them to be. So i really love the half hour vid even though it might not be suited for some more complicated topics
It’s herb, with an “H”. Love Americans, but how hard is it to pronounce the H?😜
@@jimbodimbo981 i am really confused by your comment 😅 not American btw
Stunning content! I personally enjoy the longer ones as i listen as i am driving to work. But generally, keep up the level of information and the length is not important to me.
yes, that last point boils it down quite well. consistent level of detail matters more than the number of minutes.
Strangely Russia couldn't remember that it started the WW2 as an Ally of the nazis.
They refuse to remember that still ... Just had an unpleasant talk with a Russian who refused to believe me that Ribentrop-Molotov pact was the spark of ww2
Poland definitely remembers
God bless the Finns.
Really appreciate you keeping it to around half an hour, there's only so much powerpoint I can take before I need some moving images to keep my brain entertained :)
Great stuff. For what it's worth, the type of people who read analyses like yours don't have an issue with the longer form. It provides greater context.