7:07 As a CS student, I have a pretty confident guess. What if it _didn’t_ have this default item? Then the probability charts and additional restrictions (rental items etc.) would have to be constructed such that _under no circumstance_ - that is, it should be _mathematically impossible_ that an item box could run out of options. This is a challenging task and leaves less freedom to the game designer. With a decent default item like the Mushroom - useful for everybody regardless of position - this problem is easily solved: in the rare case that there’s no ‘legal’ item for a certain position at a certain time, the game uses a default.
The example at 6:51 is incorrect. Stars have a hold limit of 3 so as soon as someone uses a star there is another one available. So two other people would have to be holding stars for that probability to apply.
@@PotatoSam3 stars currently in use don't count as "held" items apparently. But for some reason bullet bills do... I guess maybe because the bullet bill still shows in your inventory unlike a star which you can chain into another item
Troy mentioned that one will always get a mushroom after grabbing 15 item boxes, which rarely happens. Also the new flounder fest video demonstrates what pure item luck looks like. Keep up the great content, Arc!
I have a question. When you drive through an item box, will spamming the item button to get an item as fast as possible instead of waiting for the game to choose it for you change the outcome of which item you get?
The game chooses your item as soon as you touch the item box, so no, waiting is almost never beneficial unless you want to make a potential TC last until the finish line lap 3 (such as the last moving set on bc3, the set where the gv cut is, rMR last set, etc)
@@SgtGuy that's not what they mean... they mean, if you were to press, for example nunchuck, Z repeatedly, it will roll your item faster. yes. it takes around 4 to 5 fast presses (after hitting said set) to get the fastest roll however, in doing so, you have the chance of accidently spamming your item as soon as it's ready. sometimes, online you may come across a bug which prevents you from fast rolling and can be very inconvenient. but of course this doesn't change what item you'll get.
Due to your videos on these tutorials, I've gotten like maybe 10x better cuz I use to suck and can't even beat cpus and now I can play online.Thanks dude!!
@@VishnuSrigiriraju Actually that sentence comes from a TH-camr named the game theorist. He always says that's just a theory... a GAME THEORY. Kairos turned that into a joke when he did his brawl theory videos.
Great video, I'm glad you covered this topic as it is an essential part of mkwii, I will apply this knewly found knowledge to assist my quest to climb the ladder of success.
@@briangeer1024 that particular data sheet is this one actually: mkwii.com/item/ but yeah use the one that herooftime linked (same one as the one I linked in the description)
I wish I could have talked about this a long time ago, I'd like to say that this video sums it up perfectly on how to get better in Lounge. I can't really speak on it because I'm banned, and ashamed I have to say I alted to figure out that this theory works really well, but I went from bronze to gold in 3 days using just items, no good lines required. If you don't believe me, then that's on you.
if an item is used, like if you chain a star, get another item but you're still in your star or if you pull out your triple reds, the slot for these items isnt occupied anymore. other than that the video is pretty accurate
Once i was frontrunning in first place, and i got a fake item box 5 times in a row, and considering its a 5% chance to get one in first place, i want to know those odds. Edit: if it helps, i was playing singleplayer in grand prix.
Hey Arc! Great video as always :) Was wondering whether the infographic @5:53 was the same for all item modes (Balanced/Aggressive/Strategic)? I know that in Aggressive/Frantic mode you can get triple mushrooms in 3rd so I was wondering if this was different? Also if you have a table for item chance% depending on placing for Aggressive/Frantic mode could you please link it? I can't find it anywhere!
It's pretty easy to do. There is a step by step tutorial on the official ctgp-website chadsoft.co.uk/ or you can just watch a tutorial by Troy (for the Wii version) or Tombwarrior (for the Wii U version).
These videos aren't too helpful for me personally since I've been playing competitively for 4-5 years, but for a newcomer, these videos are a godsend. Keep up the quality content, MKW needs people like you!
I hate being in low-level rooms. I tend to expect people to chain but they spam the shock; especially worse when most players are high-level and it's just the one low-level dude in last completely screwing me; I've been stuck in the 7500-8000vr range for months.
I just came back to this video to see the chart because something just happened that seemed off. I was playing online in a two person lobby and got a blue shell. Any explanation for that?
How did those people find out the item probability for this game and find out about how many people can have them? Was it a bunch or testing or did they find the games code or something like that?
I made a web page to visualise the item probabilities. It also allows you to see what the probabilities are like when an item is on cooldown or rented out. Check it out: jtvjan.nl/documents/mkwiiitem/
@@evanshanley8110 It's so funny how some people hate MKWii because they say it's too luck based and some people hate it because they say it's too skill based xD
VR isn't really a good/accurate representation for skill, but most people agree if you can consistently hang around 8k - 9k without grinding that's decent. Also the best way to practice lines is to just play against other decent players in wws or frooms (not learning lines, learning lines do it in a time trial setting).
3:26 i’ve gotten TCs in 1st multiple times, some i think where probably just janky position tracking on CTs, idk if the amount of players changes it but i am confused
@@itsomega7724 nah bro, Dolphin doesn't fuckin work on my PC it always has some error code's. VCRUNTIME140_1.dll, Qt5Gui.dll, Qt5Core.dll and QtWidgets.dll. It won't start on me. Also how do I get mario kart to 720p on Wii U? My Wii U is on 1080p but It shows mario kart wii in 480p
Hey I have a question I installed ctgp and all that stuff and when I go online it says error 86400 or smth like this I looked it up and it said open up ports etc and I did that but it didn't work Has anyone any idea on how I can fix this?
When did you download it? CTHP WiimmFi has a built in thing where you have to wait 7 days before you can play online, and it needs to be on a new license made after installation unless the existing license was updated or something like that
These videos are amazing. As someone who thought the mkwii community would eventually fall off after Nintendo decided to discontinue online for the wii, I am amazed to see this kind of quality content for the game. Thank you very much and keep up the great work!
Bit of an edit here, I realized I wrote Jos instead of Jas, bc Jas has a special "a", so when I wrote Jas it turned it Jos lol.
ok
Fake, probability of a shock jumps to 100% when your jumping over the gaps on sherbet land
And 110% when you're jumping on the shrooms in the cave in Mushroom Gorge
10000% right at the end of the race
100000% when your Star or Bullet ends and one second after the canon.
And 10000000% when your over the tiny gaps on maple treeway
and 100000000% right when you finally get a decent item
Do quantum theory next
I would honestly watch his vid on the quantum theory
7:07 As a CS student, I have a pretty confident guess.
What if it _didn’t_ have this default item? Then the probability charts and additional restrictions (rental items etc.) would have to be constructed such that _under no circumstance_ - that is, it should be _mathematically impossible_ that an item box could run out of options. This is a challenging task and leaves less freedom to the game designer.
With a decent default item like the Mushroom - useful for everybody regardless of position - this problem is easily solved: in the rare case that there’s no ‘legal’ item for a certain position at a certain time, the game uses a default.
It’s useful for 1sf so that can dodge the blue, or so last can take a shortcut.
hey whered you get that quote from, i dont recall saying that
Fro
Meant to write Jas*, but it came out as Jos, once again my b.
😂😂😂
The example at 6:51 is incorrect. Stars have a hold limit of 3 so as soon as someone uses a star there is another one available. So two other people would have to be holding stars for that probability to apply.
Yes, the same thing for the mega
Proof?
@@beta511ee4 Look it up
no but when you use the star its still in play so hes right
@@PotatoSam3 stars currently in use don't count as "held" items apparently. But for some reason bullet bills do... I guess maybe because the bullet bill still shows in your inventory unlike a star which you can chain into another item
Let's be real, people will still complain about getting unlucky. At least now you know the math behind how unlucky unlucky is ;)
can you make a video on optimal ways to control your bike using the remote and remote+nunchuck
@@username6995 thats too simple bro look at a mario kart wii controls manual for various controllers on the google
@@winzxp ....................
@@username6995 bro wym?
@@username6995 you can only control the bike one way lol
And when u say optimal wym specifically?
Troy mentioned that one will always get a mushroom after grabbing 15 item boxes, which rarely happens.
Also the new flounder fest video demonstrates what pure item luck looks like.
Keep up the great content, Arc!
He's on about the mushroom glitch, I plan to make a video on that in the future :)
After all this years I still wonder about why you get single mushrooms in first after using like 15 item boxes in a race.
Shroom glitch! Yeah dunno either, once I find out I'll make a video on it.
I have a question. When you drive through an item box, will spamming the item button to get an item as fast as possible instead of waiting for the game to choose it for you change the outcome of which item you get?
The game chooses your item as soon as you touch the item box, so no, waiting is almost never beneficial unless you want to make a potential TC last until the finish line lap 3 (such as the last moving set on bc3, the set where the gv cut is, rMR last set, etc)
@@SgtGuy that's not what they mean... they mean, if you were to press, for example nunchuck, Z repeatedly, it will roll your item faster. yes. it takes around 4 to 5 fast presses (after hitting said set) to get the fastest roll however, in doing so, you have the chance of accidently spamming your item as soon as it's ready. sometimes, online you may come across a bug which prevents you from fast rolling and can be very inconvenient. but of course this doesn't change what item you'll get.
No
Star: The son
Bullet: The father
Shock: The Holy Spirit
amen
Yes im the father
amen brethren
Huh
Due to your videos on these tutorials, I've gotten like maybe 10x better cuz I use to suck and can't even beat cpus and now I can play online.Thanks dude!!
Yesss, an arc video that’s ten minutes long
aCcOrDiNg tO mY cAlCuLaTiOnS iT iS nOt 10:00 BuT 9:58
But that's just a theory... an ITEM THEORY
*sorry not sorry for bad joke*
Do you watch KairosTime?!
@@VishnuSrigiriraju Actually that sentence comes from a TH-camr named the game theorist. He always says that's just a theory... a GAME THEORY. Kairos turned that into a joke when he did his brawl theory videos.
@@MKWahPhil ohh wow!
Timeless videos bro. Great job.
Great video, I'm glad you covered this topic as it is an essential part of mkwii, I will apply this knewly found knowledge to assist my quest to climb the ladder of success.
Why don't you have more subscribers? you deserve wayyyyyy more
3:05 I could've sworn that it was possible to get a Golden Mushroom in 5th place.
Great video Arc!
Really good video! Ceep up with the good work!
you're the best at explaining how to do things and you've made me improve soooo much.
Hi Arc!
My lines on tracks are good but I still get destroyed in Mogi! Can you give me advice?
2:30 link to data sheet?
xer.forgotten-legends.org/re/mkw/items/#12
Thanks
@@briangeer1024 that particular data sheet is this one actually: mkwii.com/item/
but yeah use the one that herooftime linked (same one as the one I linked in the description)
K, thanks again
This is really helpful, thanks Arc!
I wish I could have talked about this a long time ago, I'd like to say that this video sums it up perfectly on how to get better in Lounge. I can't really speak on it because I'm banned, and ashamed I have to say I alted to figure out that this theory works really well, but I went from bronze to gold in 3 days using just items, no good lines required. If you don't believe me, then that's on you.
Nice theory, it makes the difference between 8xxx and 9xxx runners . You may precise a shroom can get caught when being first on bc3 and bc
Mario Kart Wii is a fighting game on wheels,vroom vroom ~
I like how he says please consider subscribing instead of begging
Im gonna have to watch this a few times to understand lol
Im just starting this from melee so it was funnt to see you reference it
But it's just a theory, a game theory
yeah thats right mario kart is a deep game
Stay safety take care 🙏
Jos is so smart wtf good coach
Jas*
if an item is used, like if you chain a star, get another item but you're still in your star or if you pull out your triple reds, the slot for these items isnt occupied anymore. other than that the video is pretty accurate
Got confused bc certain items can't be pulled back to back, unfortunately there isn't much info on these things... thanks for the clarification.
@@Arcintel bombs can be pulled back to back (even when you're still dragging one), triple shells you cant
Hello internet, welcome to item theory!
Great video, great series, subbed
Who knew that my major program at uni could help me improve at Mario Kart
Great video! You just got another subscriber 👍
Great video. Thanks for explaining :)
Love the music!
damn arc where did you even find all this info?
Super helpful, thanks!
haha 0:28 you have Korean disc?
btw cool vid!
Great vid!! Actually really helpful, I'm a front-runner so this is awesome thanks! Is your FC public or nah?
that ending quote is something I mention a lot to people but the ones who are delusional believe otherwise
Once i was frontrunning in first place, and i got a fake item box 5 times in a row, and considering its a 5% chance to get one in first place, i want to know those odds.
Edit: if it helps, i was playing singleplayer in grand prix.
Hey Arc! Great video as always :)
Was wondering whether the infographic @5:53 was the same for all item modes (Balanced/Aggressive/Strategic)? I know that in Aggressive/Frantic mode you can get triple mushrooms in 3rd so I was wondering if this was different?
Also if you have a table for item chance% depending on placing for Aggressive/Frantic mode could you please link it? I can't find it anywhere!
5:25 I knew that clip was gonna be there again lol
yo mama
@@Arcintel we should rematch now that everyone is in quarantaine
*If only someone would come to my house and set up CTGP*
It's pretty easy to do. There is a step by step tutorial on the official ctgp-website chadsoft.co.uk/ or you can just watch a tutorial by Troy (for the Wii version) or Tombwarrior (for the Wii U version).
These videos aren't too helpful for me personally since I've been playing competitively for 4-5 years, but for a newcomer, these videos are a godsend. Keep up the quality content, MKW needs people like you!
I hate being in low-level rooms. I tend to expect people to chain but they spam the shock; especially worse when most players are high-level and it's just the one low-level dude in last completely screwing me; I've been stuck in the 7500-8000vr range for months.
Item theory is thrown out the window when you get a 5th place golden.
I think I have a good reason to complain when I pulled 3 bloopers in a row
bc you do
That’s probably the only ecepyion
“We’re in gold bro just out aim them”
Hey man, what's the first song playing in the background?
It's actually possible to get a single shroom in 12th place, and we all hate it.
It's statistically impossible, but you get it because of an overflow in the game's code.
It's possible to get triple mushrooms in 12th place.
Day 6 of asking arcintel to do a QnA
(*_*)
/| |\
/ \
Q: Do you play minecraft? Why or why not?
I just came back to this video to see the chart because something just happened that seemed off. I was playing online in a two person lobby and got a blue shell. Any explanation for that?
2.5% chance of pulling a blue in a 1v1
yesterday i chained a shock into a star into triple shrooms and dodged a blue :•)
8th place has a lot of chance in a 12 player room
I'm the opposite of a lot of players. My playstyle relies mostly on item strategy because my driving is extremely mediocre
When you subscribe when you are asked to
I’m really out here getting triple shrooms in 4th and 5th on the regular
9:27 It seems like you don't play advanced UNO
I only say that bc the last game of uno was force play LOL
@@Arcintel Never underestimate UNO's complexity. Everything can become complex.
@@doraemon402 True true, but I needed an example. As far as I'm aware there isn't a competitive scene for uno, but there definitely is for poker.
@@Arcintel Oh, don't get me wrong. I understand the example.
@@doraemon402 Naw, I getchu, just wish I had a better example, maybe snakes and ladders?
I feel like my thumbs are too slow to do a spindrift, oof.
How did those people find out the item probability for this game and find out about how many people can have them? Was it a bunch or testing or did they find the games code or something like that?
Would you recommend not driving on 1st position in some situations to get threestars on the games against npc?
against bots you should always run, they aren't fast enough to keep up if you got good lines with a good combo.
@@Arcintel what is a good combo?
On mirror i seem to get smashed alot just before the finish so i end up like 5th instead of 1st..
@@Tom-pk4gl The best combo is Funky Kong with the Flame Runner (or Bowser Bike if you're from Europe)
Or like most other players do, just use guru‘s and say it‘s skill to have the good items.
I hope he's not actually recording with a lav mic taped to his face
What if one player disconnects during a race, say in a 12 player room, do after the disconnect apply item probabilities for a 11 player room?
That's correct! If someone drops from a room the probability drops as well.
hey i saw you play in the Korean language, by any means, are you Korean?
lol MK Wii r srs business for sure B-)
I made a web page to visualise the item probabilities. It also allows you to see what the probabilities are like when an item is on cooldown or rented out. Check it out: jtvjan.nl/documents/mkwiiitem/
And people still say Mario Kart Wii was luck based.
Tbf, there are still a lot of luck based elements, but yeah it's much more strategic than a lot of people say it is.
@@evanshanley8110 It's so funny how some people hate MKWii because they say it's too luck based and some people hate it because they say it's too skill based xD
Why were you wearing the yellow glasses in the clip from a stream.
I always wear glasses on stream, kinda like a hobby.
Looking for this for Mario kart 8 deluxe
At what VR can I consider my self good? And what are the best ways to practice good lines?
VR isn't really a good/accurate representation for skill, but most people agree if you can consistently hang around 8k - 9k without grinding that's decent. Also the best way to practice lines is to just play against other decent players in wws or frooms (not learning lines, learning lines do it in a time trial setting).
Yeah but when I get 3 TCS in a race you know there's some bullshit
to avoid tcs don't use items in positions where you can get a tc
nice
3:26 i’ve gotten TCs in 1st multiple times, some i think where probably just janky position tracking on CTs, idk if the amount of players changes it but i am confused
Some custon tracks have particular item boxes which only give a certain item for instance haunted woods has a tc only box
Yes i know, I believe one of the versions of final grounds also had a tc box
Keep in mind that the item you get is dependent on your placement at the time of box entry and not when you get the item.
Ik, it only happened to me once on regs and I think it was koopa cape.
Top 10 Luck Based Anime Games
are you going online on an emulator? How?
I know this comment has nothing to do with this Video but I wish I could play MKWii in 720p, 1080p or 4k
Use a Wii U, it can upscale games.
@@itsomega7724 yea but only to 480p
@@ben1ben it upscaled them to 720p, and either way you can use dolphin.
@@itsomega7724 nah bro, Dolphin doesn't fuckin work on my PC it always has some error code's. VCRUNTIME140_1.dll, Qt5Gui.dll, Qt5Core.dll and QtWidgets.dll. It won't start on me. Also how do I get mario kart to 720p on Wii U? My Wii U is on 1080p but It shows mario kart wii in 480p
@@ben1ben it should just upscale it to 720, thats what my Wii U does. Also, you can download the DLLs and put them in the dolphin directory.
So your saying I got really lucky/unlucky by getting 4 fake item boxes on n64 dk parkway
it's in the cards
hi
This guy gets coaching? For MKwii? Where can I get that
I do coaching on my streams, it's the natural progression for players once they get good, they want to spread the knowledge to newer players.
Hey I have a question
I installed ctgp and all that stuff and when I go online it says error 86400 or smth like this
I looked it up and it said open up ports etc and I did that but it didn't work
Has anyone any idea on how I can fix this?
When did you download it? CTHP WiimmFi has a built in thing where you have to wait 7 days before you can play online, and it needs to be on a new license made after installation unless the existing license was updated or something like that
@@ludi489 I downloaded it 2 years ago
Was this your first time connecting to wiimmfi? I think 86400 is the timeout code anyway but don't quote me on that.
@@goldi4630 it is a timeout code and when I look it up it says that you have to enable dmz I did that it still doesn't work
honestly, try reinstalling
when i got 40k views on a video and it didn’t even get as close as much likes as this video :/
What's item chaining?
How do you get such good graphics?
His GFX? He likes to be humble about it but he makes it all himself (other than the intro) and it's all great.
wheres the ads
No im a lucky person
how to make brstms?
Krnz press the break button and the speed button simultaneously while standing still
Hello
Notification squad
First
No quite, but close. ;)
Close
No
ChicknChooks yes
These videos are amazing. As someone who thought the mkwii community would eventually fall off after Nintendo decided to discontinue online for the wii, I am amazed to see this kind of quality content for the game. Thank you very much and keep up the great work!
hi
"But hey, that's just a theory..."