Thanks for the work and shout out, I am considering going back to school to research this more. Like you said there is a lack of research and eyes on this subject which is concerning since I believe we are fast approaching a major tipping point (unprofessional opinion is 5-10 years or less) we need to prepare.
@HoserEh82 I have the same feeling on our timeframe. Our opinions hardly have peer-review level strength, but I get the sense you're another person who has a good eye. Let me know if you want a reference if you start applying to programs, I clean up nice.
@smithsmith9510 I don't think so. The biggest changes I'm seeing are in Maine and Washington on the coasts. Once you get inland and south of about Spokane, the differences between the NCA4 and the NCA5 aren't huge. For most of the states, we're seeing more refinement around previously identified risks. Getting pretty useful practical information, honestly. I'm making videos for the projections at 2C because it seems like that's the first threat we have to deal with. I feel a high sense of certainty that we will see conditions very like these projected 2C conditions. These projections are fitting well with observed trends as I get out on the ground and get evidence from trusted observers. If we're gonna cruise into a whole bunch of tipping points, it's not going to be a matter of refining these high consensus models. Things will just get weird. I don't think we'll get another report like this for me to analyze if things get that weird.
Hello from South Dakota I’ve already notice a longer gardening season than it was growing up.
@MrPriebster thanks for the ground info! Always happy to hear from folks in SD
Thank you Emily, love your videos!
Maryam
@smithsmith9510 thanks Maryam!
Thanks for the work and shout out, I am considering going back to school to research this more. Like you said there is a lack of research and eyes on this subject which is concerning since I believe we are fast approaching a major tipping point (unprofessional opinion is 5-10 years or less) we need to prepare.
@HoserEh82 I have the same feeling on our timeframe. Our opinions hardly have peer-review level strength, but I get the sense you're another person who has a good eye. Let me know if you want a reference if you start applying to programs, I clean up nice.
Greetings
Is it possible all these projections could completely change again in the next couple of years?
@smithsmith9510 I don't think so. The biggest changes I'm seeing are in Maine and Washington on the coasts. Once you get inland and south of about Spokane, the differences between the NCA4 and the NCA5 aren't huge.
For most of the states, we're seeing more refinement around previously identified risks. Getting pretty useful practical information, honestly.
I'm making videos for the projections at 2C because it seems like that's the first threat we have to deal with. I feel a high sense of certainty that we will see conditions very like these projected 2C conditions. These projections are fitting well with observed trends as I get out on the ground and get evidence from trusted observers.
If we're gonna cruise into a whole bunch of tipping points, it's not going to be a matter of refining these high consensus models. Things will just get weird. I don't think we'll get another report like this for me to analyze if things get that weird.
Yikes 🔥 UP 😳
I know I got a little too fired up here- but this state is important!