Download Raid to get Legendary Loki t2m.io/FalseSwipeGaming + 2 strong Epics ⚡ Epic champions are available only via my link and for new players Hurry, Loki the Deceiver is a limited edition Champion, available by October 23rd by logging into RAID for 7 days Stopped playing Raid??? A limited time reward including the Epic champion Tagoar awaits! Click now to redeem t2m.io/WelcomeBackLink_2024
Perhaps the next theorem video could be why move sets (like mix attacking, fast physical, bulky special, etc) are close to everything or the Dragonite theorem
@@swallowmikeuhm6744tera is good defensively, z moves are good status wise, mega evolution is very offensive, and d/g max is very good at buffing/debuffing
Or lead off with a Gyarados in a Gen 4 OU battle during a Smogon Classic tournament and then somehow won the game because you got some lucky WAterfal flinches after boosting Dragon Dances. The first flinch from a Jirachi, then a second to a Breloom after being taunted and can't use Spore. And then the lead Heatran got flinched after using up a Focus Sash. LMAO
Unironically that does fit into the theorem where if you can get bailed out by rng. They might get frozen or flinched by ice fang and your prediction was worked even though your opponent out predicted you
@@pmahcgop6693 basically if all options sucks (switching a defensive mon into a choice spec draco meteor maybe versus staying in and attacking but not KOin) but you outspeed, always go for the flinch, freeze, paralyze, sleep, or whatever chance
One time I fought someone with a tyranitar named "plz no lando", so I could instantly tell this was bait for me to send in lando or tusk or whatever ground type I happened to have to block the stone edge only for them to one shot me with ice beam. It was so incredibly obvious. I even said it in the chat. So naturally like a complete idiot I sent in my tusk anyway and it died to ice beam. Idk what's wrong with me. Even when I see something so obvious I get possessed into sabotaging myself.
moral of the story: sometimes the optimal play is to turn your brain off and press the pretty button while your opponent does spectacular logical backflips and calculations without actually getting out of the way of the bus you're about to drive into them
“You might know everything I’m going to do, but that’s not going to help you, since I know everything you’re going to do! Strange, isn’t it!? Grrrr!!!” -Legendary words from Sanic
Title of Video: "Why Prediction Isn't Everything" Content in Video: Extensive monologue about how important and decisive being able to make and execute on predictions are.
That shot of Empoleon and Infernape both setting up Stealth Rocks when either one could kill the other is peak common singles behaviour. Sure, rocks are great, but shooting them out at the beginning of a fight isn't always the best idea
Literally. Some of the World Champions have degrees in economics and data analytics. It’s no wonder there’s a dearth of women who play. We’re systemically categorized into more “female friendly” career paths 💀
I was in my late 20's. My cousin was in his low teens and was just barely was getting into Pokemon. I gave him a unbalanced team of six that he wanted and I took him on with my Rain Dance team. The reason he wiped the floor with me? I kept expecting him to switch in unfavorable matchups. I literally mindgamed myself with the skill diff. Prediction indeed isn't everything. Even a starting trainer can beat a seasoned one if the seasoned trainer is used to higher level play. _NOW IF ONLY HE WASN'T SO BLOODY SMUG ABOUT IT._ Bragged his mouth off and I didn't say anything because him having self confidence was something I wanted to encourage. He never battled me again, so I don't know if I was a positive influence on him or not..... EDIT: Holy crap, this blew up. Okay....I'll try to answer you all out of kindness.
This is why prediction is less about knowing the mechanics/meta and more about knowing the player. You would've probably made a solid comeback if you had realized your bro's stubbornness and noob switching game halfway through, adjusting to play more aggressively by punishing him for staying in. In online matches against randoms this would be much harder, yea, but observing what they do throughout the match and if they're showing any patterns does help.
Recently fought a Trick Room team on ladder. I thought that the Indeedee would be Tera Fairy to dodge Dark Pulse so I used Tera Poison Tera Blast and it DIDNT TERA and I lost
I tried to teach one of my friends competitive pokemon a long time ago. The hardest part was getting them to understand how to predict. I tried to tell them to think "if I was my opponent what would I do?" But they just couldn't get it
One of my favorite adages from Alpharad is "But what if it worked, though?" I like the man a lot, but he throws away perfectly good games (in multiple different contexts) because sometimes making the ludicrous read would've been more fun to watch if it worked. Which is showmanship over actual competitive strategy, to be sure, but he ain't wrong. Hard reads feel amazing to pull off, and you don't get those by playing too safe.
My normal process for picking an option 1. Thinking about the logical move 2. Thinking about what risky opportunity that i can make 3. Thinking about the safe middleground play 4. Yoloing it with something random that just sprung to my mind 5. Either watch ur enemy lose their face or feel stupid
I never thought my art would wind up in an FSG video, but here I am! Thank you guys for showing it and properly crediting me. For reference, I'm at 10:00.
Im surprised Dracovish wasnt mentioned, since that thing doesnt bother with predicting or being predicted. It just knows one thing. Kill anything without water absord, storm drain, or sturdy
Prediction IS everything but predicting everything is impossible. You have to consider all of your opponent's options instead of always doing something to counter one specific option
If you can't make predication because you don't know the player, you should try to slowdown the game so you can learn your opponent. This is one of the reasons why hyper offense is a very high rist and high reward kind of team, and stall being the opposite. Because in hyper offense, you don't have the time to learn your opponent, you have to make dangerous choices.
Just tell them exactly what you are going to do, watch them panic, think you are baiting, then do exactly what they shouldn't. By the time they realize you were telling the truth you already won
I like to stall to read teams, see if they swap well or stay in etc, see if they click super effective or predictions too. And stop predicting swaps when they are not swapping etc, also if a super effective 1v1 would not hit a swap, just click neutral to both that might also status effect etc
People are talking about predictions and stuff, and how the Miss chance in moves can just happen and you either account for it or just cry about it. But here I am, thinking on the Gyarados vs Infernape dillema part of the video: 'But what if, while I attack or set up dragon dance I get outsped in the first scenario or dont kill him in the second... But what if it burns tho?" Like, the chance is there if they're gutsy enough to risk it ... Remember folks, these predictions and calculation stuff are also being done (probably) by the opponent, be it on a more superficial or a more complex level, but it still is.
"'Predict!' They demand from me. 'You need to predict!' They exclaim. PREDICTING IS SAVED FOR THOSE WHO ARE NOT GIFTED BY LADY LUCK HERSELF NOW SIT BACK AND WATCH ME LAND THIS FOCUS BLAST" -Words your team never wants to hear in a Team Tourney (we went 3-1)
are predicts optimal most of the time? no, are they cool, hype and make you feel like a G.O.A.T? yeah, and honestly that's good enough for me, I'm playing this game to have fun after all no need to overthink it
Little did you know that your opponents predicted that you would make outlandish plays and responded with what was seemingly a boring move when in reality they were playing 4D Chess!
The trick is to make the choice that has the greatest gains with the least amount of risk. Your might ohko the enemy if they switch into a water resist, but if their resist is has low bulk and you have a switch in go for the water move because even at half damage it’s worth it.
You addressed exactly the problem I had with prediction, the idea that once you think far enough up the prediction scale, it turns into wild guessing. But it turns out, the mistake was thinking one must be predicting all the time. I see, so the overarching skill isn't the prediction itself, but _when_ to make predictions. I had been put off PvP in turn based games, but this new understanding might spark my interest again. ❤
This is my favourite video that you've done. The historical reviews of various competitive pokemon are always interesting but this felt like far more useful information than "This pokemon was pretty good in gen 5."
Gyarados being my favorite Pokémon I’ve been waiting for years for its remake vid, but I am very pleasantly surprised it gets a whole theorem video themed around it!!
@@RestingStitchFace0 I feel you, Gyarados is in my top 10 and power creep was not kind to him. Other than Lopunny and Bellossum (Both which are trash anyway) power creep was harsh too. At least Gothitelle is decent in early VGC formats. Gyarados had some success in early gen 9 VGC play.
I'm not even halfway through and there's already so much useful and well laid-out information for new players, this video is gonna be a banger resource
Fun story, I was playing Stadium with my best friend a few weeks ago, and I had my Charizard out against his Gyarados. I figured that the best play I had was to switch out to my Gengar because the Gyarados I made for the custom format was too centralizing, only to get slammed by Earthquake and lose the game. Later in another game, I kept my Charizard in against his Golem so that I could give my Blastoise a free switch in after I die to Rock Slide, but stayed in as Earthquake did no damage to the fire type Charizard. It turned out his 10000 iq play of using Earthquake on Charizard expecting a switch in weak to it was actually a 0 iq play not knowing that Charmander evolves into a bird
Okay, so this reminds me of something hilarious I've noticed in nuzlocke challenge runs of XY I've watched. See, experienced Nuzlockers get used to how the AI works in certain games more than others, more often than not being most comfortable in Gen 3/4, and the way the AI works in those games makes predictive defensive pivoting very, very good. So they use that in XY, and it seems to work. ONE PROBLEM. Your main rival's AI doesn't work that way. it's stupider. and in being stupid it manages to be lethal against Nuzlockers, who are playing under the assumption of a slightly more sophisticated AI that surely won't click Flamethrower against your Water type, so you can switch to a Steel type to resist Psychic. SURPRISE. it goes for Flamethrower and torches your Steel type, costing you one of your best Pokemon because you were being too smart. it kind of irritates me at this point because it should be common Nuzlocking knowledge - DO NOT DEFENSIVE PIVOT AGAINST THE XY RIVAL, especially not against their starter. you will lose a Pokemon every battle you have with them in the mid-game, literally three Nuzlockes I've watched from separate creators have had that happen or nearly happen. and all of this because prediction assigns the opponent intelligence when they may not have it. or in the case of an AI, when it acts less like a trainer AI from a modern 3D game and more like Red/Blue AI.
It feels amazing when I predict an Ogerpon wellspring switching into my sun boosted Walking Wake expecting a Hydro Steam and I snipe them with Draco Meteor. I chose to not take into account the times they switch in their dragon resist
This video is very helpful. Maybe a "team preview isn't everything" would be a great followup because I'm curious how the meta of generations after its inclusion adapted to not signposting a strategy before a match. Apparently it's even more front loaded in official tournaments where you submit your teams prior to entry and can see other people's teams, moves, Stat spreads etc (feel free to correct me if Im wrong)?
Theorem Series is One of the Best, this time another of My favs gets the Mention Gyarados. I still remeber the time when I used to just play without even thinking about predictions and switches
I had a game not too long ago where my oponent kept thinking I was going to switch, but I kept staying in cuz I was fine with sacking my mons, so I got two free ohkos.
Another part of the theorem with discussing is actually in game rng and not just the random nature of mind games. If you click waterfall on thunder punch jirachi predicting they’ll switch into a ground type cause they’ll predict your switch into heatran even if it doesn’t work you Atleast made progress on that jirachi but could win the game with a lucky flinch which would be the opponent couldn’t even describe as being unfortunate. Opposingly thunder punching with jirachi has a chance to bail you out by getting a para on heatran or any other non ground type switch in, making long term progress with a crippling status.
It’s cool how this also applies to fighting games, you don’t need to hard read them grabbing and tech when you can just mash a lot of the time, it’s cool!
I really like double switching right after u switched something in because u needed to and know they will switch to, it goes from u having the lower hand for which u needed to switch, to u having upper hand out prediction and scaring them
Very interesting video to watch! I specifically enjoyed your break down of how one needs to think about the end goal of a pokemon match (reminds me a lot of how in chess the middle game is supposed to be played towards a favourable end game) as well as showing how the to evaluate risk and reward in different situations. Very instructive!
Download Raid to get Legendary Loki t2m.io/FalseSwipeGaming + 2 strong Epics
⚡ Epic champions are available only via my link and for new players
Hurry, Loki the Deceiver is a limited edition Champion, available by October 23rd by logging into RAID for 7 days
Stopped playing Raid??? A limited time reward including the Epic champion Tagoar awaits! Click now to redeem t2m.io/WelcomeBackLink_2024
no
Perhaps the next theorem video could be why move sets (like mix attacking, fast physical, bulky special, etc) are close to everything or the Dragonite theorem
😢😮😮
Raid = Thumb down..sorry 🤷🏻♂️
ew tencent games
"if this works I'm a genius, if it doesn't I'm a dumbass"
I think that sums up most curiosity driven experiences.
Qoute me every game.
Ill take those odds , no regrets !
i think that is commonly referred to as "being real" because you arent real if you dont potentially throw for a 5% chance of the most shiest play ever
Unfortunate
Button one: Set up spikes
Button two: Attack
*Presses both*
Hisuian Samurott: 👍
Hisuiamurott: "Pssst! 🫴 It's free real estate. 😏"
*ceaseless edge missed
@@pmahcgop6693😢
@@pmahcgop6693 do it again
*low BST, especially speed enters the chat
"Why Prediction IS Everything - The Sucker Punch Theorem"
YES!
The kingambit theorem would go crazy
@@marcelomelo9977 Why endgames are everything
The Pursuit Theorem
pov: pokemon reborn new world field
- "He's not gonna Tera here. Why would he?"
- _Opponent immediately Teras and either sets up or kills my guy on the spot_
- Great game
Gen 9 in a nutshell
still more balanced than every previous gen metagame lol
@@swallowmikeuhm6744tera is good defensively, z moves are good status wise, mega evolution is very offensive, and d/g max is very good at buffing/debuffing
@@swallowmikeuhm6744ADV OU wants a word
@@swallowmikeuhm6744yeah no
Exclusively run Metronome on everything. Your enemy will never know your next move.
You can't get predicted if not even you know what your next move will be!
Infinite IQ
Isn’t this what they did in South Korea to protest their tournament system? I think they were banned
@@pokelover02 I didn't hear about that but it's hilarious if it's true!
Neither will you tho.
Hell nah, you just have to use your strongest, more inaccurate move as you shout "Agency Agency" and you will be good
Its the only way
Facts
This comment made me chuckle
Damage
Don’t forget the “far more sinister” moment as well
"Blunder with the offical agency gangsign" by kellen was NOT on my today's bingo list
CTC*
"I'll double switch over to your gf's house" is wild.i'd just apologize
Or lead off with a Gyarados in a Gen 4 OU battle during a Smogon Classic tournament and then somehow won the game because you got some lucky WAterfal flinches after boosting Dragon Dances. The first flinch from a Jirachi, then a second to a Breloom after being taunted and can't use Spore. And then the lead Heatran got flinched after using up a Focus Sash. LMAO
Everybody gangsta until Bulky DD Gyarados Paralyzes you with Bounce.
Unironically that does fit into the theorem where if you can get bailed out by rng. They might get frozen or flinched by ice fang and your prediction was worked even though your opponent out predicted you
Never forget it can learn Thunder Wave
@@pmahcgop6693 basically if all options sucks (switching a defensive mon into a choice spec draco meteor maybe versus staying in and attacking but not KOin) but you outspeed, always go for the flinch, freeze, paralyze, sleep, or whatever chance
LMAOOOOOO thanks for the shoutout goat
L’agency is now scientifically proven
AGENCY AGENCY
Yo agency never fails
this the CTC theorem
What IS the official agency gangsign?
One time I fought someone with a tyranitar named "plz no lando", so I could instantly tell this was bait for me to send in lando or tusk or whatever ground type I happened to have to block the stone edge only for them to one shot me with ice beam. It was so incredibly obvious. I even said it in the chat. So naturally like a complete idiot I sent in my tusk anyway and it died to ice beam. Idk what's wrong with me. Even when I see something so obvious I get possessed into sabotaging myself.
😂😂
Nickname meta genius
Me: reaches elite four. “This seems like a good time to level up that level 5 magikarp I bought before mt moon”
I mean he's the idiot for bringing ttar to gen 9 ou
BRO PREDICTED IT 0:29 😮😭💀
I’m in the thick of it
Can't wait for: Battles aren't everything, The Zigzagoon Theorem
Me yoinking items off the ground
Rider Willie enters the chat
*Bibarel theorum
Zigzagoon is the ZigzaGOAT
Can we get a “playing isn’t everything: the romhacking theorum”
I'm surprised Pursuit was never brought up in a scenario.
What's Pursuit? I know not of Pursuit. There's no such thing as Pursuit, you're crazy.
My only regret is Breloom/Scrafty don't learn Pursuit so they could run Focus Punch/Counter/Snatch/Pursuit.
@@TSPhoenix2Doesn't scrafty get sucker punch? Not quite predicting all outcomes, but it is a full prediction set
@@magicball3201it does not get sucker punch. Been running a moxie scrafty and that's the only thing it's missing to be great imo
FSG: Came for the Pokemon tips, stayed for the psychological warfare advice
moral of the story: sometimes the optimal play is to turn your brain off and press the pretty button while your opponent does spectacular logical backflips and calculations without actually getting out of the way of the bus you're about to drive into them
“You might know everything I’m going to do, but that’s not going to help you, since I know everything you’re going to do! Strange, isn’t it!? Grrrr!!!”
-Legendary words from Sanic
What piece of sanic media was that??
@@CatLover-lk9gz first animated movie with metal sonic
@@CatLover-lk9gz Sonic OVA when he clashes with Metal Sonic.
Title of Video: "Why Prediction Isn't Everything"
Content in Video: Extensive monologue about how important and decisive being able to make and execute on predictions are.
That shot of Empoleon and Infernape both setting up Stealth Rocks when either one could kill the other is peak common singles behaviour. Sure, rocks are great, but shooting them out at the beginning of a fight isn't always the best idea
The first step to being a Pokémon Master is getting a BA in economics or international relations with a focus on Game Theory models
You can also go for a BA in mathematics because statisticians are secretly masters themselves.
The fact that I'm doing exactly that 💀
you say this but blunder has a degree in business
lmao i'm getting a degree in economics right now
Literally. Some of the World Champions have degrees in economics and data analytics. It’s no wonder there’s a dearth of women who play. We’re systemically categorized into more “female friendly” career paths 💀
pokemon players learning advanced war tactics so that they can get flinched 4 times in a row by dark pulse
Prediction in Pokemon is the gateway to a gambling addiction
🤔
I feel like this comment is so right and so wrong at the same time
I was in my late 20's. My cousin was in his low teens and was just barely was getting into Pokemon. I gave him a unbalanced team of six that he wanted and I took him on with my Rain Dance team.
The reason he wiped the floor with me?
I kept expecting him to switch in unfavorable matchups. I literally mindgamed myself with the skill diff.
Prediction indeed isn't everything. Even a starting trainer can beat a seasoned one if the seasoned trainer is used to higher level play.
_NOW IF ONLY HE WASN'T SO BLOODY SMUG ABOUT IT._ Bragged his mouth off and I didn't say anything because him having self confidence was something I wanted to encourage. He never battled me again, so I don't know if I was a positive influence on him or not.....
EDIT: Holy crap, this blew up. Okay....I'll try to answer you all out of kindness.
This is why playing on lower ladder can be so difficult sometimes
This is why prediction is less about knowing the mechanics/meta and more about knowing the player.
You would've probably made a solid comeback if you had realized your bro's stubbornness and noob switching game halfway through, adjusting to play more aggressively by punishing him for staying in.
In online matches against randoms this would be much harder, yea, but observing what they do throughout the match and if they're showing any patterns does help.
Recently fought a Trick Room team on ladder. I thought that the Indeedee would be Tera Fairy to dodge Dark Pulse so I used Tera Poison Tera Blast and it DIDNT TERA and I lost
Giving him confidence is a good call. But on the other hand have you considered violence?
It often becomes a game of rock, paper, scissors
I tried to teach one of my friends competitive pokemon a long time ago.
The hardest part was getting them to understand how to predict.
I tried to tell them to think "if I was my opponent what would I do?" But they just couldn't get it
Showing actual battles with predictions in them might help
Haydunn is a very good channel, since he explains everything he's gonna do next
Some peopls just can't change perspective.
One of my favorite adages from Alpharad is "But what if it worked, though?" I like the man a lot, but he throws away perfectly good games (in multiple different contexts) because sometimes making the ludicrous read would've been more fun to watch if it worked. Which is showmanship over actual competitive strategy, to be sure, but he ain't wrong. Hard reads feel amazing to pull off, and you don't get those by playing too safe.
My normal process for picking an option
1. Thinking about the logical move
2. Thinking about what risky opportunity that i can make
3. Thinking about the safe middleground play
4. Yoloing it with something random that just sprung to my mind
5. Either watch ur enemy lose their face or feel stupid
0:10 I have met people who didn't and were flabbergasted at the idea of prediction
"I don't like your playstyle, stop switching"
- Guy I fought one time
I never thought my art would wind up in an FSG video, but here I am! Thank you guys for showing it and properly crediting me. For reference, I'm at 10:00.
That art is fire bro. Great work.
Im surprised Dracovish wasnt mentioned, since that thing doesnt bother with predicting or being predicted. It just knows one thing. Kill anything without water absord, storm drain, or sturdy
Or Dry Skin.
...Wait a minute, I thought the Gyarados Theorem was about dual types not always being better than monotypes!
Oh, no. That’s the Aggron Theorem.
You can predict all you want, but it won't change the fact you will miss a 95% accuracy move (even with boosted accuracy moves?)
"I predicted that I'd miss, this is why I ran blunder policy on my pokemon"
@@tomrejor4842tfw it always hit and you basically get to use zap cannon for free
@@tomrejor4842 only way to hit 8 Inferno in a row
That's something BKC would say, but with Kellen's voice
He made a video on prediction not being everything a while ago.
@@teddyhaines6613 Yeah, that's why i said that
according to the description it was written by BKC so that makes sense
Considering BKC is the primary writer for FSG that makes sense
The 6x moonblast example is literally just his chomp vs 6 heatran example
Similar principal to fighting games; sometimes you gotta make the crazy read that will blow up your opponent if its right.
And sometimes you do the splits IRL.
0:30 BKC jumpscare
Prediction IS everything but predicting everything is impossible. You have to consider all of your opponent's options instead of always doing something to counter one specific option
If you can't make predication because you don't know the player, you should try to slowdown the game so you can learn your opponent. This is one of the reasons why hyper offense is a very high rist and high reward kind of team, and stall being the opposite. Because in hyper offense, you don't have the time to learn your opponent, you have to make dangerous choices.
Just tell them exactly what you are going to do, watch them panic, think you are baiting, then do exactly what they shouldn't. By the time they realize you were telling the truth you already won
I like to stall to read teams, see if they swap well or stay in etc, see if they click super effective or predictions too. And stop predicting swaps when they are not swapping etc, also if a super effective 1v1 would not hit a swap, just click neutral to both that might also status effect etc
People are talking about predictions and stuff, and how the Miss chance in moves can just happen and you either account for it or just cry about it.
But here I am, thinking on the Gyarados vs Infernape dillema part of the video: 'But what if, while I attack or set up dragon dance I get outsped in the first scenario or dont kill him in the second... But what if it burns tho?" Like, the chance is there if they're gutsy enough to risk it
... Remember folks, these predictions and calculation stuff are also being done (probably) by the opponent, be it on a more superficial or a more complex level, but it still is.
Unless your opponent is 100% desperate, they will not stay in hoping that they can get a burn in that scenario. The odds for them are too low.
Should've called it the Unfortunate Theorum
Unfortunate does not begin to describe…
My series…
9:37 Watching this Breloom vs Roserade interaction triggered my Gen 9 brainrot thinking "Wait Roserade can't be Spore'd!"
That's not brainrot, that's called living in your time lol
We’ve all had that moment where we’ve had Joey’s inner thought process in the Duelist Kingdom final vs Yugi when it comes to prediction
BKC plugging his own videos into FSG. Amazing work.
Me 80% of the time:" f*ck it we ball!"
My opponent:" wow he must be a genius to outsmart me like that"
“You may know everything I’m going to do, but that’s not going to help you, because I know everything you’re going to do!
Strange, isn’t it?!”
I liked this theorem a lot, it even applies to fighting games as well. Shoutout to the Evo 2013 roll read clip you snuck in there
"'Predict!' They demand from me. 'You need to predict!' They exclaim. PREDICTING IS SAVED FOR THOSE WHO ARE NOT GIFTED BY LADY LUCK HERSELF NOW SIT BACK AND WATCH ME LAND THIS FOCUS BLAST" -Words your team never wants to hear in a Team Tourney (we went 3-1)
Blunder's perfect move is sacking the featured mon (100% success rate)
Underrated comment 😂
I watch every video, but have barely played myself. This feels like the single best explanation you have of how this game is ACTUALLY played! Love it!
Probably the most informative Pokemon video you’ve ever made. Thanks!
"If I miss, I'm just another dude with a bow" is how I'd describe risky reads. Or focus blasts. One of those two.
Gyarados: "Should I attack or DD?"
Dynamax Moxie Gyarados: "Why not both?"
are predicts optimal most of the time? no, are they cool, hype and make you feel like a G.O.A.T? yeah, and honestly that's good enough for me, I'm playing this game to have fun after all no need to overthink it
L take
Little did you know that your opponents predicted that you would make outlandish plays and responded with what was seemingly a boring move when in reality they were playing 4D Chess!
Nah I’d make a hard read
(I lost to a crit regardless)
It works like a triangle
No predicting
The trick is to make the choice that has the greatest gains with the least amount of risk. Your might ohko the enemy if they switch into a water resist, but if their resist is has low bulk and you have a switch in go for the water move because even at half damage it’s worth it.
You addressed exactly the problem I had with prediction, the idea that once you think far enough up the prediction scale, it turns into wild guessing.
But it turns out, the mistake was thinking one must be predicting all the time. I see, so the overarching skill isn't the prediction itself, but _when_ to make predictions.
I had been put off PvP in turn based games, but this new understanding might spark my interest again. ❤
Aight when is, “Why luck is everything”? Jirachi gotta be the poster pokemon with para-flinch
Like Hannibal Barca crossing the Swiss Alps in the dead of winter, the line between tactical genius and suicidal idiocy is extremely thin.
This is my favourite video that you've done. The historical reviews of various competitive pokemon are always interesting but this felt like far more useful information than "This pokemon was pretty good in gen 5."
Gyarados being my favorite Pokémon I’ve been waiting for years for its remake vid, but I am very pleasantly surprised it gets a whole theorem video themed around it!!
Same, brother. Though I may cry when we get to Gen IX.
@@RestingStitchFace0 I feel you, Gyarados is in my top 10 and power creep was not kind to him. Other than Lopunny and Bellossum (Both which are trash anyway) power creep was harsh too. At least Gothitelle is decent in early VGC formats. Gyarados had some success in early gen 9 VGC play.
@@RestingStitchFace0 Gyarados needs SOMETHING like Liquidiation or Wave Crash. I do not want to live to see the day it drops to PU….
@@beebobber546 Give it a decent Flying STAB, or make it Dragon type, or Flip Turn.
This is the Lavos theory
This is one of the best explanations I've ever seen of the psychology of this game
I'm not even halfway through and there's already so much useful and well laid-out information for new players, this video is gonna be a banger resource
Blunder finally getting the feature
Let's be honest, THIS is the most relatable video they have ever dropped amd ever will drop
Fun story, I was playing Stadium with my best friend a few weeks ago, and I had my Charizard out against his Gyarados. I figured that the best play I had was to switch out to my Gengar because the Gyarados I made for the custom format was too centralizing, only to get slammed by Earthquake and lose the game. Later in another game, I kept my Charizard in against his Golem so that I could give my Blastoise a free switch in after I die to Rock Slide, but stayed in as Earthquake did no damage to the fire type Charizard.
It turned out his 10000 iq play of using Earthquake on Charizard expecting a switch in weak to it was actually a 0 iq play not knowing that Charmander evolves into a bird
The reason I adore this channel is because I get gen 7 frame 1 on videos. Always appreciate gen 7
Im impressed with this vid false swipe. I have the feeling you would make an excellemt pokemon professor/teacher.
as Ron Nasty of the Rutles once sang:
“I know you know what you know, but you should know by now that you’re not me”
One of the most well thought out and informative theorem vids yet. Keep up the great work fellas!
Imagining a Sexy Jutsu from Naruto in Ultimate Ninja 2 and instead he goes for a Rasengan instead to knock you out! LOL
More than a theorem, this is Gyarados Paradox.
Okay, so this reminds me of something hilarious I've noticed in nuzlocke challenge runs of XY I've watched. See, experienced Nuzlockers get used to how the AI works in certain games more than others, more often than not being most comfortable in Gen 3/4, and the way the AI works in those games makes predictive defensive pivoting very, very good. So they use that in XY, and it seems to work.
ONE PROBLEM. Your main rival's AI doesn't work that way. it's stupider. and in being stupid it manages to be lethal against Nuzlockers, who are playing under the assumption of a slightly more sophisticated AI that surely won't click Flamethrower against your Water type, so you can switch to a Steel type to resist Psychic. SURPRISE. it goes for Flamethrower and torches your Steel type, costing you one of your best Pokemon because you were being too smart. it kind of irritates me at this point because it should be common Nuzlocking knowledge - DO NOT DEFENSIVE PIVOT AGAINST THE XY RIVAL, especially not against their starter. you will lose a Pokemon every battle you have with them in the mid-game, literally three Nuzlockes I've watched from separate creators have had that happen or nearly happen. and all of this because prediction assigns the opponent intelligence when they may not have it. or in the case of an AI, when it acts less like a trainer AI from a modern 3D game and more like Red/Blue AI.
Ay yo the Blunder Double switch on the girlfriend with CTC throwing up agency gang signs is out of pocket
First is the confirmation of my new job. Now a new False Swipe Theorem.
Today is a great day.
Congradulations!
Grats
A big miss to call this the Sucker Punch Theorem.
Hell, no Sucker Punch even in this vid, as it is the textbook move for this theorem.
The Kingambit Theorem
It feels amazing when I predict an Ogerpon wellspring switching into my sun boosted Walking Wake expecting a Hydro Steam and I snipe them with Draco Meteor.
I chose to not take into account the times they switch in their dragon resist
This video is very helpful. Maybe a "team preview isn't everything" would be a great followup because I'm curious how the meta of generations after its inclusion adapted to not signposting a strategy before a match. Apparently it's even more front loaded in official tournaments where you submit your teams prior to entry and can see other people's teams, moves, Stat spreads etc (feel free to correct me if Im wrong)?
This might be the most important theorem video so far.
Defensive pokemon betrayed by their movepool idea...
Possibly the greatest thumbnail I've ever seen, I've been laughing for a solid 5 minutes straight
Theorem Series is One of the Best, this time another of My favs gets the Mention Gyarados.
I still remeber the time when I used to just play without even thinking about predictions and switches
Cool episode. This stuff applies in life to. Specially for investors, risk vs reward is key
3:40 I need to know how long this stock video went on like this
@@HHHjb_ i just gotta know if bro got to eat a chip
Im stupid sorry
I had a game not too long ago where my oponent kept thinking I was going to switch, but I kept staying in cuz I was fine with sacking my mons, so I got two free ohkos.
Another part of the theorem with discussing is actually in game rng and not just the random nature of mind games. If you click waterfall on thunder punch jirachi predicting they’ll switch into a ground type cause they’ll predict your switch into heatran even if it doesn’t work you Atleast made progress on that jirachi but could win the game with a lucky flinch which would be the opponent couldn’t even describe as being unfortunate. Opposingly thunder punching with jirachi has a chance to bail you out by getting a para on heatran or any other non ground type switch in, making long term progress with a crippling status.
It’s cool how this also applies to fighting games, you don’t need to hard read them grabbing and tech when you can just mash a lot of the time, it’s cool!
I love the psychological aspect of this video, one of my favorites that you have done
Alternative Title: The Sucker Punch Theorem.
This is my favorite of the series so far, since while this is a slightly more abstract concept, it is essential to every format.
I really like double switching right after u switched something in because u needed to and know they will switch to, it goes from u having the lower hand for which u needed to switch, to u having upper hand out prediction and scaring them
“Why the HOW GOOD WAS (POKEMON) ACTUALLY? series isn’t everything”
My talonflame today...Taunt or Tailwind the hydreigon? Taunted, and ate a draco meteor...
XD it happened to me... i Fake out and Roar to stop trickroom and Dragonite just said Cover Cloath is GG
Just here to provide recognition for incredible thumbnails
This comes off like a jamvad video I love it
Nah, predicting my opponent would switch out into Gyarados against my Alolan Marowak into my Thunder Punch was euphoric.
14:02 I wonder why the blissey didn't have max hp. 714 is max evs and IVs. I wonder which was missing.
1 single hp is missing? Such lack of optimization
How many people have watched False swipe so long they deserve a bachelor's degree in Pokemon history and sports
Archaludon is a good example of this. You know exactly what it’s going to do but can’t stop it.
Very interesting video to watch! I specifically enjoyed your break down of how one needs to think about the end goal of a pokemon match (reminds me a lot of how in chess the middle game is supposed to be played towards a favourable end game) as well as showing how the to evaluate risk and reward in different situations. Very instructive!