'Xi Jinping Is Risking Everything For Success In Ladakh'
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 10 ก.ค. 2024
- China's President Xi Jinping appears driven by some messianic zeal about his country's "rejuvenation", a goal which he outlined six years ago and which appears to have lost ground in eastern Ladakh. But don't expect him to throw in the towel, warns Jayadeva Ranade, former spook and head of the Centre for China Analysis & Strategy. In an exclusive chat with StratNews Global, Ranade believes Xi will try and force a conclusion on his terms in Ladakh, and India will have to wait and watch for it, and if possible, nip it in the bud.
There may have been a degree of overconfidence in the Chinese move on India, he says, and it speaks poorly of their planning and their understanding of India, that they came off worse during clashes in the Galwan Valley three months ago. Again, they failed to anticipate the Indian move to secure key heights, and Xi Jinping has lost face. This is not to say his position is in danger, he has purged many rivals to secure his job but he needs to show success to the Commnist Party. This is where he has failed so far.
Ranade suspects the PLA will make its move before long, perhaps after the current talks get over in Moscow. He's taking a risk. If the PLA is defeated, the party elders may tell the president to lie low until his current (and second) term ends in 2023. It will spell finish to his dream of a third term (given that term limits were abolished for him) and he will be considerably weakened, and could possibly see many of his policies reversed.
#India #China #ChinaIndiaFaceOff - บันเทิง
Let him stake everything so that he will loose all of them at a single go in Ladak itself.
Modi explained Indian positions in a very friendly way to Jin Ping at Mahabalipuram.
But he understands only the language of might. Let us teach him
Cockey!!! Teach a lesson or learn a lesson? LoL
@Raghu Reddy jj
India needs to teach China a tough lesson they are not every forget.
wow, seems like you guys never learnt anything from 1962 then come again for another lesson?
why hurry such like this ?
😅
@@tankzfanh.9412 , Sorry that you still live in 1962. But we Indians are NOT.
We are in the 21st Century.
@@onedollarchicken , China will shortly and surely get the taste of India's might. Then you will understand the difference between 1962 & 2020
@@surendranathannair5509 OH,thank you for reminding us，CHINES IS ALSO IN 21st century，and this time，shall we remind you that PLA is not as the PLA in 1962.。。
tell me， how dare you claim that you can fight with your enemy when you cannot even produce machine guns？
and tell me，how dare you claim that you can defeat your enemy when your funny government cannot even control a COVID-19...
Free Tibet and Free Xinjiang is the best solution for long lasting peace at Indo -Tibet border.
free them...by what?
your month or your ass?
Yeah free them bring peace to the sub continent of chinese aggression.
TankzFan H. Don’t worry about that, the time your army’s ass gets fixed by the Indian army, you will get to know what freedom we are talking abt.By that time wait for your turn.
@@subhaloyola25 if we do worry about that，India troops has been our prisoners already....so，please，we really dont worry，i think this is a insult when you enemy just believe you are nothing but joke
TankzFan H. U are far from reality my friend. Indian army has far greater number of hostages from pak army and btw if you believe indian army is a joke then remember 1971 where we forced above 90k of your soldiers to surrender. If you still believe this army is a joke then you need to have a hard look in the mirror to realise the truth.
Most concise, insightful 20 minutes conversation. The interviewer, Surya Gangadharan, and interviewee Jayadev Ranade walk through the situation like peeling an onion, in calmest manner without incorporating superlatives, high pitches and unnecessary non-informative information. Thank you very much Surya for being respectful of your viewers while doing a wonderful journalism.
Very good analysis by Ranade, very practical
salute to the anchor ,patience and giving time for speaker and not interrupting
Jayadev is 100% right, no giving them face saving deals. F them.
Time has arrived to leave age old " One China Policy"
Now India should recognize Tiwan and should also recognize Mcleod Ganj based Tibetan Government in exile.And should also campaign to get recognize the Tibetan Government all over the world.
Well a lot happened in last and present Century,but would we last to see"FREE TIBET".
This is golden opportunity for india to kick out yellow batsoupers from akshi chin....Deploy more SAM in arunachal Pradesh to counter chinese jets ...
Great insights. Thanks for such wonderful analysis, very informative n eloquently put.
Nice enlightening insights. Jayadevji one request can you please replace the bust of Mao ZeDong with that of Dalai Lama this will also send a subtle message to the Chinese.
He must have got it as a souvenir or memento after some meeting in China where he was a guest or speaker.
Excellent interview. Highly informative
Great work. Thanks a lot for a clear analysis of the situation by Mr Ranade. Please continue with similar analysis and reports.
Very informative conversation. Thank you!
Illuminating discussion, ranade is being interviewed. Pray issue be resolved peacefully.
In-depth analysis!
One of the aspects that sort of forced the hand of China, is India’s declaration that PoK, Gilgit and Baltistan is part of India. That puts the $60B CPEC at risk alongside rendering Gwadar pretty useless without CPEC. Abolishing article 370 was a masterstroke on the part of Modi. Losing Tibet and East Turkistan is a reality that China is staring at. It cannot afford to send all its troops westward and risk an all out democratic revolution on mainland China. Lose-lose all the way for China!
The Indian military has a proud history of disciplined, innovative specialisation. This is not the case with the PLA. India must be sure not to be over confident, but plan, reinforce, prepare and gently and gradually reinforce.
The entire rest of the world is waiting for India to oppose and curtail China's outward bound ventures. These ventures will bring, organ harvesting of innocents, suppression of freedoms, religions and liberties, and the very skillful use of propaganda to sway populations towards socialism.
Socialism is the baby steps towards communism, which is full blown, hammer and anvil totalitarian oppression, from which extraction is difficult.
India must use the QUAD, and strengthen relations with the US, to bolster defenses and bolster techniques to oppose the greatest threat to peace and harmony and liberty, the Communist Party of China.
only sikh fights
It is just amazing that there are so many Indian experts who know so much about China and yet India has been surprised again and again
Please remember though we have these experts, none of them predicted what happened. Unlike China which acts with deceit we act on good intentions.
@@rajendrababu2448
The path to hell is paved with good intentions.
Read up on the Geeta, which provides directions on how to deal with deceitful people. So does the Ramayan.
Getting swindled on every turn and claiming i-am-nice is adharmic
Jaydev sir makes it pretty crystal clear
Great, excellent insights!🙏
Nice listening to him. Clearly explained. Thanks.
Very good clear headed analysis one of the best episodes on state news global
Educative conversation.
Always I will happy when I see Ranade Sir as I know I will get to know some true facts.
Such an enjoyable and informative exchange
I would not be surprised if at soe point of time in the future it is revealed that the Pak army establishment had a role to play in Xi's misadventure. I'm sure they would have nudged his existing thoughts in the direction of actual action on ground.
If asked for inputs they might have certainly pampered the Chinese into believing that they are invincible. Doubt very much whether the soda-cap medal adorned Pakistani generals have the courage, or the standing, to advise the Chinese. Theirs is a typical Master-serf relationship, in which Pakistanis feel grateful, if their ingratiating ways are rewarded with a look in their direction!
@john doe 370 is the fig leaf China's using to justify it's territorial grabs. South China sea, Mongolia, Vladivostok etc have nothing to do with 370 and everything to do with its territorial ambitions. That Xi thinks that territory is of so much importance also indicates the primitive thought process he (& his advisors probably) possesses.
Re Pak - Pure revenge play. It knows fully well that it has less than 0 chance of hurting India + with the dog's breakfast it has made of its own economy, it's only hope is to now aligning it's cause (hurt India+economic repair) with that of China - hoping for an orgasm w/o any physical effort.
Superb analysis and articulation.
Mr.Ranade is a true expert; what knowledge!!
Excellent analysis and straightforward answers. Very good. Chinese have miscalculated and have mistaken that attitude of various Indian governments to their salami slicing approach will be the same. Well done Indian army and Modi government
Good to grt Interview
Mr. Ranade has an amazing insight! Loved his analysis of Chinese Communist Party and China in general!
Out of sheer curiosity, what is that souvenir right behind Mr. Ranade? Am i understanding it right?
Excellent interview. #Kudos
The whole outcome will be determined by who blinks first !!
I am impressed by the video. I just want to know if construction of DSDBO Road is connected to it in one way or the other?
As an American I wish these conversations were dominating our headlines. We need to back up the Indian people in this battle against the CCP
Very important knowledgeable discussions between both Mr. Surya Gangadhran and eminent China analysts and scholar Mr. Jaydev Ranade. Elaborately discussed The Fact and the present mindset and system of CCP's internal situation. It clears that present stand off in alalong Occupied Tibet-sino border will not meet up in 'discussions' only in any Military and Diplomatic level. It is really a very tough time for India, We will have to vigilant and also ready for any small scale or full fledged agression from Chinese side, and face it.
stand firm at our position and don't get isolated from the world n particularly from our friendly countries. that's the best way to deal with ccp and their treacherous methodology . they are not brave but we were not having iron will against china.
Great interview. Good insight from Mr. Ranade.
He is a authority on India China relations.
@@ShubhamSharma-uu5cb He has worked in R&AW station chief of china
Mr Ranade has made lot of sense... good in depth analysis and insight ...
Excellent insight sir .
Excellent analysis
Conclusion:- Don't give them a facesaver.
We don't need one !!
Stand up, Indians, time is Indian century, stand up to bullies
Meeting PM Modi several times gave him important insights into Mr Modi's mind. He perceived him as a Hindu Idealist, With a pascifist tendencies! He also understood his commitment to reform and to encourage the Hindus to come together on the basis of religion! Therefore his commitment to Pakistan, funding marxists and supporting them openly. He thought Modi was like Nehru, But this was his only mistake!
appreciate the analysis, what will be the way forward for India in terms of bilateral trade and diplomacy?
Very well explained
If really Xi Jinping is risking everything in Ladakh, it's a dream opportunity for India to sort out the northern neighbour for life. Never before opportunity presenting itself. Should not let this slip up. Future will belong to us.
Free Tibet. Breakup China.
In-depth analysis and unbiased
peace, no fighting
If India flinches now, India will never be the same anymore, from here on it is downhill, you think this is far from reality think again, starting to resist China is no mountain standoff or temporary affair, this was a major decision for India all or nothing, India embarked on a permanent and total solution for this conflict.
you see China will be far more emboldened than they ever were if India blinks, and India will see Chinese troops crossing its border in Mass, knowing they flinched in military conflict.
And as you can see the entire world is trying to get India to flinch, oh yes including the Saudi King, who is on China's side, notwithstanding Putin, Trump, Pelosi, Iran's regime, and above them NittenYakhoo.
You can take these words to the bank, and I fully stand with India, oh yes all the way.
This channel deserves 50 M + subs...m
Chinese are there with a bigger plan to combine LAC with LoC, taking DBO, Siachen and the depsang Y junction. Modi govt. fixed china's proxy PAK, fixed kashmir problem. This term he will fix the remaining. china is nervous now that india will come after aksai chin so doing this to 'teach a lesson' to india. Modi govt. may teach china the lesson it is so desperate.
Galwan gorge will be flash point in case of joining LAC with LOC along with other Northern sub- Sectors.
enjoy hearing views of distinguished members.
Nice analysis 👍
We are waiting for your lessons. Don't keep us wait too long.
Very good discussion. We have to be ready for a fight and at this stage, there is no point in making serious worrisome faces in the studio! Army is indeed ready and it needs political clearance for the action. Come October and we will be there for a 2 to 3 weeks of skirmishes before November snow sets in. After that, we have enough time for May 2021, if Xi survives till then!!
Very insightful analysis. Thank you. My query is if China planned ahead in 2018 we should have picked it up & been well prepared to thwart. Though our forces have done the Nation proud by reclaiming heights even at north bank finger 4. Point is our National effort & focus post 1962 has sharpened many fold on China, going forward it needs to be exponentially raised. Our National focus towards chinese threat & preparedness should be such that, they dare salami slicing again. Though going by the things till now, they have already begun to fear us.
We should not try to save his face🙏 The fact that this has to be actual told is indicative of our perennial timidity.
We need to go forward
We should ...keep it going.
Nice questions by Surya Gangadharan sir.
His way of asking questions is superb. I think equal to Nithin sir or better.
Very good study and analysis.
Mr Ranadey is a jewel in the Crown 👑 of India 🇮🇳
Going by what Jaydev Ranade says, Xi is out on a limb. Because China is not in an advantageous position in Ladakh, and he is going to lose face once armed hostilities break out. I agree with Mr. Ranade; India must turn the screw. No release of pressure; no escape route for Xi to save face.
Don't leave for tomorrow what you can do today.
Very good jai hind
Very nice 👌
Nice interpretation by Sri Ranade.
Every Indian irrespective of, and all political parties should stand by govt and nation to show we are not 1962 , its time our self respect is up held , if any one tries to demean its personal to their mother
"You follow One India Policy, we'll follow the One China Policy
TIll National Congress is folded, now that needs a political Cultural revolution in India, OMG, National Congress ???
Jai hind 🙏🙏
Jayadev Ramadi is a very important person to follow to understand what is unraveling in China as India, US, Australia, Japan and other nations start squeezing the deranged Chinese leadership. 🙏🙏🙏
Lady Anon Thanks for correcting me ... silly phone!🤔
If Xi will not win against India, then how long can Xi last as General Secretary?
What happened at the time of failed meeting with PM Modi in South India is still a suspense.
Something went very wrong at that meeting.
At 6.38 in the Vdo Surya says " we hear many chinese soldiers have been killed or injured (in the standoff)".. is it confirmed that there have been casualties on the Chinese side in the Pangong Tso clash on 7/8 September? No news channel covers this.
you mean in Galwan? of course there are casualties on their side..
@@mercedesbenz3751 in this vdo surya gangadharan and Ranadey are discussing the latest standoff at the south bank of Pangong Tso on 7/8th September..not Galwan
They thought we will behave like 1962
Very nice debate
Mr Jayadev is right in saying that for face saving for Xi we should accept some comparomise position and such an idea is there with our FM.Also One china policy is the darling of Our Foreign ministry during congress rule.We should be firm on two things, 1,, Tibet liberation, 2,,independent Taiwan,,3,,of course take back Aksaichin.From your overall view I understand that we have tactical advantage can we not use this opportunity to creat a TLA,,Tibetian Liberation Army and give active and direct support.?..?
My question is how can India disengage/pull back without securing Axai Chin?
Free Tibet
Respect the Mcmahan line, Return occupied Ladakh, normalize relations, accept Wuhan virus's responsibility and forgive BRI loans.
And also made be paid for damages of world
He knows everything the these countries will retaliate but what's in his mind is unaware
Is that a bust of Mao, on the bookshelf?!!!
lol
face off will go on till onset of winter. Then issue will vanish from headlines. Gradually PLA will be told to return to status quo.
They shd not be allowed to dictate the intensity of the face off.
Bust of Mao at the back shelf of Jayadev Ranade!!
that doesn't make the discussion pointless
Is it clear what is the targeted outcome for China?
Jayadev Ranade has good insight of ways of CCP and Xi Jinping. Xi was the planner of the policy of coercive turbulence on Indian border and tested it in Eastern Ladakh in April 2020. Chinese successfully misled Indian security planners by using Russians to inform Indians in March, that PLA was only conducting a Spring exercise, and they will return.
The CMC under Xi, now plans to have heavy forward deployment on its border with India for permanent capacities for intrusion, which could be converted into conflicts of opportunity. Xi closely monitored the military talks through his interpreters, instead of feedback from PLA chain of command.
Ranade is right that PLA and
Xi Jinping would look to create opportunities to militarily humiliate India to save their face in the CCP and other Asian states. To that extent, sending four ships to exercise in SCS is an avoidable provocation.
Ranade is wrong in assuming that Wang Yi is member of Politburo. China's senior foreign policy official in Politburo is Yang Jiechi and not their foreign minister Wang Yi, who is member of State Council. To that extent, Minister Jaishankar's equivalent should be Yang Jeichi.
Hey people comment in #DefenciveOffencive channel for joining hands with #strat Global to create awareness among youth of #India....
Gordon Chang has just endorsed the views expressed by Jayadev Ranade by calling it a high risk gamble" by XI JINPING staking his political future on the aggressive border movement against India to showcase domestic audience the greatness of China ..the fact that XI has not succeeded in pushing back the Indian army will make him more determined to launch a more determined offensive against India..Chang goes on to say that the world is watching and drawing conclusions that the Chinese are not invincible after all as they profess to be and the PlA has serious defects as a fighting force.. Xi Jingping is aware of this perception gaining ground around the world specially is south east Asia with countries who share hostile borders with china.. everyday that ends in a stalemate for Xi and China proves that the chinese are not invincible and other smaller countries will find courage to stand upto the dragon..that's why Xi must fight a war with India to overcome doubts about the efficacy of his army
One thing you must understand that China need this area's because of Karagoram Pass. It's want to expand trades into middle of Asia and europe. This is why China need Pakistan helps to pressure India into conflict between borders
If China tries to take ladakh then our country shud take the opportunity to attack aksai chin .... Pakistan wud surely join in and that's the tym to take back pok as well.... Nobody wants war but we shud be realistic and take those areas back .
Sir, the way the situation exists today, conflagration could begin any time.
Yes , wants to show the sucess as a trophy in Taiwan , SCS and HK
Grandpa Ranade, Is that Mao's statue behind you?
You are referring to India. India is fully focused on the Himalaya. China is focusing on economic and technology.
Then what this bastard doing in Himalayas off course Chinese is focused on economic and technology but day of misusing syestem of world' is over
Curious to know what the little bust of Mao Zedong is doing behind Mr. Ranade's back. Any idea?
If you ask the Chinese government why they have become so aggressive with India, they will probably say that while they have historical border issues with India, it is Indian action in August 2019 to make Ladakh a union territory that had prompted this action. China had announced its unhappiness in Oct 2019 which (right or wrong) it sad it sees as unacceptable expansionism. It is surprising that Indian media hardly mentions this Ladakh Union territory as a major contributory factor for the current war atmosphere between the 2 countries.
I feel that the opposition parties in India should firmly stand behind the government in standing up against the aggressor China and also eventually take back our territories like Aksai chin occupied by China since 1962.