'China May Provoke Some Incident With India As A Face Saving Escape'
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 4 ก.ย. 2020
- The coming US presidential elections will be closely watched all over the world, more so in China where the top leadership is counting heavily on the defeat of President Trump and the victory of Joe Biden. Trump is seen as the architect of the rapid "economic de-coupling" resulting in the world turning away from China and seeking alternatives.
In an exclusive chat with StratNews Global, Prof. Yen Jien-Fa of Chien Hsin University in Taiwan, says President Xi Jinping's position will be weakened if Trump returns. This does not mean he has any rivals in the Communist Party, but his authority and policies will be increasingly questioned. In Prof Yen's view, Xi's position will be fragile.
He believes India has shown consistency and a strong hand in the current standoff with China in Ladakh. China may provoke some incident maybe here, maybe elsewhere if only to give itself a face-saving way out of the current situation there. China is not interested in a military conflict with India, this border is of less strategic importance to Beijing than the South China Sea and its littoral neighbors.
Xi Jinping has got himself trapped into this situation owing to the authoritarian nature of the system he presides over. His advisors are largely hawks driven by some vision of China's past greatness. Xi himself being a product of the Cultural Revolution, is driven by conflict and the urge to dominate. Prof Yen says he is not optimistic about China's future.
#Taiwan #china #Indian - บันเทิง
Brilliant discussion! Describe everything with clarity!
Love to Taiwan from India ❤
India should take up Tibet freedom from China as a issue.
@jerry daniel you have already sold your women and part of kashmir land to them, now your country will give out ports n roads..untill one day they will rule you and send your people to transition camp to teach you moderate version of your religion...but ..but... Indians...no they can't rule us.
India should at least take back ladakh 😅😅😅
@jerry daniel chote bhai ka kurta utar ke dekh asliyat nazar ayegi.
Like I read it somewhere, 2010 Indian census registry stated there's over ten 10 million Muslims and four 4 million illegal immigrants from Bangladesh in Assam State in North-East. Nepal & North-East India used to be a land of Chinese looking Mongoloid Asiatic indigenous Native people, but now they have became minority on their own beloved mother land as South Asians took over. What's next, Tibet and Myanmar?
Besides, Muslims & others in South Asia are ethnically, culturally and religiously more akin to those general population in Arabian Peninsula; countries such as Yemen, Saudi, United Arab Emirates, Omen, Qatar, etc. Just saying. South Asians are ethnically, culturally and religiously more akin to those general population in Arabian Peninsula; thus easier for them to assimilate into mainstream society.
More at, blog.chinadaily.com.cn/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=742201
It's in world's interest for every responsible democracy to take cognizance of the threat of disruptions to global supply chains right now. India's startups overly depend on Chinese investments. Extremely important for India to have a preemptive plan to deter China's diamond necklace strategy, work with allies to protect its own startup and supply chain situations. Also time for India to take steps to become a manufacturing superpower.
2010 Indian census registry stated there's over ten 10 million Muslims and four 4 million illegal immigrants from Bangladesh in Assam State in North-East India, which was once an independent territory until Colonial master British gave it away to India.
Remember, Nepal & North-East India used to be a land of Chinese looking Mongoloid Asiatic indigenous Native people, but now they have became minority on their own beloved mother land as South Asians such as Indians, Bangladeshi, took over. More at, blog.chinadaily.com.cn/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=742201
@@olefella7561 You said; "Remember, Nepal & North-East India used to be a land of Chinese looking Mongoloid Asiatic indigenous Native people, but now they have became minority on their own beloved mother land as South Asians such as Indians, Bangladeshi, took over. blog.chinadaily.com.cn/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=742201
I said; "It seem that Tibet and Myanmar are NEXT!"
@Varun Shekhar South Asians are ethnically, culturally and religiously more akin to those general population in Arabian Peninsula; countries such as Yemen, Saudi, United Arab Emirates, Omen, Qatar, etc. Just saying. Like I said, Muslims in South Asia are ethnically, culturally and religiously more akin to those general population in Arabian Peninsula; thus easier for them to assimilate into mainstream Arab society. blog.chinadaily.com.cn/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=742201
@Varun Shekhar Like I said, since Muslims & others in South Asia, including so-called Rohingya are ethnically, culturally and religiously more akin to those general population in Arabian Peninsula; thus easier for them to assimilate into mainstream Muslim society. It makes sense to ask why not those oil rich countries in Arabia Peninsula such as Saudi Arabia, Qatar and UAE take them in? blog.chinadaily.com.cn/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=742201
Taiwan ruling party is original Chinese ruling party.
🇮🇳🙏👍
If they were not a big loser china would have been democratic
They would behave same as CCP if they had power
Prof. Yen's insights are interesting. He has clear view on China
The gentleman from Taiwan is absolutely right, we need to stand extra firm and stare them down.Xi Jinpeng is extremely interested in keeping his CCP in control just like Mao.CCP cares less for the Chinese lives.Thanks Mr Gangadharan for bringing your Guest.
Such a great session. Both gentlemen were fantastic. Thank you for Taiwan's guest for sharing information. A lots of love to Taiwan and to the host who was extremely admirable and mature.
Thank you Strat Global for an incisive discussion.
Namaskar Gangadhran ji, thanks for a informative discussion. To my opinion India should have a full-fledged diplomatic and bi-lateral relation between Taiwan and India.
Very enlightened discussion, thank you!!
One of the best channel to get International perspectives.
Excellent video, Professor Yen is fantastic.
They've spoken from heart..A WORTHFUL DISCUSSION
The most important thing for INDIA to do is to rebuff CHINA is & recognize TAIWAN & TIBET and throw down old wrong policies.
@swave158 they should leave. NOW. Otherwise, they're idiots and/or greedy. CCP is well known for holding foreigners hostage.
@swave158 I dare because I can. They chose to go to a KNOWN lawless place. Those Indians are NOT construction labor, but educated and from middle class families. They're not in China to be eking out a subsistence living.
I dare because I'm right.
I dare because those families WILL BE used as bargaining chips.
If you had family members there, wouldn't you be hounding them to leave??? AND they're in a country that UNLEASHED this virus.
Oh. Maybe they don't get the news in China. Right?
Go invite a homeless person INTO your house, then come talk. Or, see your mother take off her gold bangles and give them towards the war effort against the Chinese in 1962.
DIMWIT.
@swave158 Thanks. That's why I've been called a Cunning Linguist and have (women) friends around the world. 😋 I'm not going to mention another appendage that may be considered big, and functional, as well. 😎 After you've had a life, then think about opening your little trap to utter a noise. Until then, read and observe.
forget border dispute , India must immediately prepare to bring mainland China complete into it's strategic weapons capability .
Good interview. If possible, please show text of what the guest is talking, as sometimes sound is not very clear. Thanks
Words of wisdom from the Professor
Thank you Start news Global for perfect analysis.
Great suggestion
Free Tibet!
Excellent discussion
Very good discussion...India and US will stand with you Taiwan. Hope something good happens to Tibet as well in all this.
In fact this is the best TIME for Indian Government to re occupy PoK, Aksai Chin and Gilgit Baltistan, liberate TIBET, Balochistan and many more CAN be very very easily done, is the very FEAR CHINA now has, being the reason CHINA called in INDIAN Government for Talks atleast THRICE in the past 1 week. INDIA should reconsider QUICKLY and SWIFTLY... Jaihind
TOO FUCKING RIGHT BRO
I feel that the Glwan provocation was similar face saving tactics after several media houses exposed Pla and labelled it as 'paper tigers'.
Excellent thoughts from Prof. Yen. Nicely articulated too. And very sane advise for countries around it to now turn the tables and gain advantages. Effectively employing the Chinese tactic of fishing in troubled waters on China!.
One clarification sir. You mention the India border is not of strategic importance and the cost benefit analysis doesn’t permit a war now. You are right from a near term perspective. But with the South China sea becoming a potential hotspot with lurking competent adversaries that have a potential to blockade it, China’s only other trade route is through the Karakoram Highway that is part of the CPEC. With India building its infrastructure near Daulat Beg Oldy, the DSDBO highway provides the Indian military access to the section of the Tibet-Xinjaing highway that passes through Aksai Chin making the CPEC vulnerable. India would be the only country which can choke two important trade routes in and out of China in the Expresway 219 and Malacca Straits. So wouldn’t China be thinking of denying India this capability to protect its long term strategic diversification of trade routes? Is the committing of a large posse of troops on the Indo Tibetian border, an indication of the strategic importance China gives to this thought?
Two other alternate thoughts emerge from the fact that Chinese armed forces being spread over several fronts. One, is it is a reaction rather than an action (initiated by China) to the two-prong attack co-ordinated by India, US and the littoral South China sea states?
Second, no General would spread his forces thin, even if it land based forces at one end and sea based forces at another, because it occupies a lot of mindspace on the civil & military leadership. So is this an indication that Xi Jinping doesn’t enjoy the abject loyalty that he demands from PLA and hence is keeping the PLA busy over several fronts with a view to preventing a challenger to his position? It also leaves XI and his ministers save China through diplomacy, discredit the disgruntled PLA internally within the power structure and consolidate his position.
Will china take military action, if yes what kind of?
Beijing will loose it's grip over vast regions. Major parts of the eastern seaboard especially the south East will increasingly become autonomous and under the economic influence of Japanese, Koreans, Taiwanese and Singapore.
Tibet will become free if supported by India, Thailand etc.
Heinous deceit seems to be the main principle of China policy. Talk sweet, conciliation and when the opponent lowers the guard backstab him. Their actions far away infact just opposite of what they talk
#Recognise #Tiwan.....
I like
Indian is taking the opportunity when China is facing challenges from US. Indeed China wants peace on Indian boarder.
Indian is risking its own fate provoking China. This guy from Taiwan cheers on Indian-China conflicts, encourages Indians to take advantage of China.
Indian forces must be vigilant at all time...day and night ...summer or winter..
The meeting is giving opportunity to Chin to send their army at the LAC. Is quite dangerous for the Indian Army ambush at night.
India should fight and free Lhasa ! CCP needs to be taught a lesson.
Gud morning everyone
The children of the cultural revolution who do not follow rules are the present leadership; that is a good insight into the present behavior of this leadership.
The good Professor from Taiwan made it amply clear that India is NOT THE Focus of the Chinese Government or the PLA..It is singularly focused on the US..Also illuminating was that if China is not becoming overly aggressive in Ladakh the reason is not India but US keeping them honest in the south china sea..yet at the same time the Authoritarian regime which provoke an incident at the Ladakh border purely for domestic consumption but will not prolong the battle with India..short skirmishes are to Indias advantage ..however it depends on the platform China uses..if it goes in for contactless war thru SSMs that is serious escalation
That will be China's Waterloo
They look the same .... Hindi cheeni bhaibhai 😂😂😂
No matters if the president trump is not in the office but the strategies for China will be continued,🤔🤔🇺🇸🤔🤔
Please ask whether who is better Trump or Baiden?
Always Trump 😍
Can the Indian Army reclaim and hold Aksai chin ?
Nor India nor China can change any Status Quo
For sure. Wait for sometime.
India can probably take Aksai Chin, but they'll never hold it for long. Even if it tried, it would suck the Indian economy so dry it would bankrupt its future growth , inability to invest in infrastructure and hurt it's children. Military spending is extremely expensive and always comes at the cost of the economy, a great example of that is the United States, which has a great military but most of its citizens live in second class developing world economic conditions. India is in a far far worse condition economically than the US, which now trails China. So can India take Aksai Chin? The heroism and valor of the great Indian soldiers, especially the Sikhs, can be commended. But the fact of the matter is, it will cost so many Indian lives, and the lives of its children, that India may win the battle, but lose the war and set it back a generation.
@C N yes you are correct, cpec go through GILGIT BALTISTAN ( pok) up to karakoram, the most worrying China is India may take over pok, so China what to be engage India at pengong lake. And some other fronts in sikkim and Arunachal prades. 😁😁
SALE! SALE! 🇨🇳 🦇 BAT SOUP 🍜 - 1 yawn 🥱
🐍 schezwan fry - 2 🥱
🐀 chopsewey - 3 🥱
🐕 chilli kebab - 4 🥱
🇺🇸😂🇮🇳
Is this your 4 consciousness strategy #CCP? 🤣🤣🤣
Tibet cannot be Independent, it has been their habit to draw one or the other foreign army. Tibet never had a standing army. It is China which built a Tibetan standing army in 1793.
Now this is high time India must ditch one China policy and recognize Taiwan and Hong Kong.
Nice interview
may not.. china will provoke for face savings
The guest is asking India to advance and take aksaichen now that China is in a defensive state internationally and now that India is a aide to the USA allies
Li Keqiang 🇨🇳 ❤️🇨🇳❤️🇨🇳 Li Keqiang 🇨🇳 ❤️🇨🇳❤️🇨🇳 Li Keqiang 🇨🇳 ❤️🇨🇳❤️🇨🇳 A real LEADER OF CHINA 🇨🇳
One won’t be able to get objective points from people from Taiwan about China.
Economic down turn?
China is the only country has positive growth in 2020.
India 's target should be and must be G-219
China’s strength lies in its domination of export market. In 2019 China’s exports were 2499 billios while imports were 1610 billion Dollars,giving China a trade surplus of 889 billion Dollars. This surplus is what gives muscles to China’s assertive policy.In comparison India’s total exports in 2019 was 331 billion dollars.Only two categories ;Electrical m/c & other m/cs account for US$ 1088 billion exports. This is achieved through Govt. funding & subsidies. If we want to hurt china this is the area to attack. Read full article in Hindi www.mudrarakchas.com/2020/07/04/dealing-with-china-the-bullyn Dollar/
it's ironical that the guest was not asked about China's covid diplomacy and its success at home in curbing covid. It has strong tracers for understanding the Chinese nationalism.
When trump came to power the qhole world was surprised, today the whole world is prying for trump to come back to power.
aj gdh . ‘The whole world’? Maybe your world. Donald Trump is screwing the world . Give you ass or your mouth to him . He will be grateful.
Though the questioning is very pertinent I think the answers are mostly based on conventional wisdom, not based on any serious inside information. CCP has factories of thinktanks full of talented people and you can trust them to come up with very novel mischief. While the Indian and Taiwanese stands is mutually benefiting it will be best to let Xi commit to a course of action and compromise himself. After all he is more desperate for a solution then us.
India should recognize Taiwan..
Interesting insight into China power circles. But the problem is, that India is at its weakest point in history; - 23.9% GDP Q1.
Ladakh is not a priority for China, it is minor irritant.
Hi sir, if you just trim your hair,you would look exactly like your Taiwanese counterpart.
C N interesting comment having equally interesting reply.
India will use this opportunity to consolidate it's borders and reversal of economy dominated by chinese. China may use this opportunity as training to their lazy army.
India should keep it's nuclear missiles ready 130 at China & 20 at Pakistan...the government shouldn't hesitate to launch them if they try to impose two-front war on us
Knowing where the speaker comes from, Taiwan and the program 'StatNewsgobal' come from, and before I start watching this video I would say the comments presented here will be more 'anti-China' sentiments littered everywhere here. I don't think I will get a neutral or balanced view presented here.
I was right, also some of the comments here I disagree because the professor's info is pure speculation.
India should rub PLA/CCP faces in WEI-WEI, if they "provoke some incident". 😄😄😄
However, I would SERIOUSLY rethink the depth of US support, ESPECIALLY with Orange Julius in the WH.
Taiwan can provide good governance to China.
Both in this video have does not have proper knowledge of India-China border issue.
don't have clear idea what he is talking about. waste the time to interview people like this
India supports are for Taiwan, Dnt worry about Winnie The Pooh.
Easy way to explain American politics to Indians...
Democrats (U.S.) = Congress (India).
Worst interview on Strat. The guest has no interest in India. All his answers gears towards US (their Mai Baap)
Why dont you interview a neutral guest..sometimes taiwanese sometimes americans ..bring neutral guests ..not baised one !
no matter taiwan or american，all want india fight with china first!the only gift is indian，come on!
@john doe do you know why?bs india want tibet independent，in fact，india just give up in 2004，that why mao use a part war to tell india you cann't do it!
i feel its good each other，don't touch core interests，if CCP support Maoist too before，how you feel what india is now?
Do you know about India? Look, this is what it did to its neighbor countries.
---Swallowed up Kalapani from Nepal in 1962;
---Swallowed up Turtuk from Pakistan in 1971;
---Separated Eastern Pakistan from Pakistan to become Bangladesh in 1971;
---Swallowed up Tin Bigha from Bangladesh in 1972;
---Swallowed up Sikkim to become one of its states in 1975;
---Tried to invade Mauritius but failed in 1983;
---Captured territories of Sikhism and suppressed Harmandir Sahib so its believers assassinated
its Prime Minister Indira Gandhi in 1984;
---Invaded Sri Lanka in 1987;
---1st time invaded Bhutan and failed in 1990, but has controlled its defense and
diplomatic affairs till now;
---Supported and financed the terrorist organization Tamil LTTE to rebel against Sri Lanka government
but gave it up later under great international pressure. The betray triggered huge anger of LTTE so it
assassinated its Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi in 1991;
---Swallowed up Dooars from Bhutan in 2006;
---Swallowed up Moreh from Myanmar in 2013;
---2nd time invaded Bhutan but failed in 2017;
---Tried to invade Maldives in 2018;
---Invaded Nepal and one of its soldiers was shot dead by Nepal Security force in 2020;
---Keeps nibbling lands from ChinaTibett and Kashmir that led to a war in 1962 and border conflicts
with China till today;
---Keeps nibbling lands from Pakistan Kashmir that led to daily border wars and gun fights;
and more…..
Changing name dosent makes a Pakistani true....lying through teeth is your USP
@Lady Anon In your view, India can do any bullying things and invasion to its neighbor countries, but people have to keep silent like Bhutan and Sikkim. What a bully.
@Varun Shekhar India claims the universe belongs to India because an ancient India lived in the universe though the country India started in 1947. I believe sooner or later Indian aggression and greed for lands of its neighbor countries will kill itself.
Ok.. I will not debate.. But atleast tell where u from 😂😂 u were doing in comment but then u made 80-90% false claim. Plus u talked 1947.. So we all know where you from.. But it would be nice if u tell by urself, so people can reply you. Dont hide. 😂
@Varun Shekhar You said Bhutan has a treaty with India. My reply is during WW2, when Hitler asked Jewish people if they liked Nazi, the answer was absolutely Yes. Under Indian aggression and threatening, dare Bhutan people say No to India? Regarding Sikkim, before it was annexed by India, it was a UN recognized sovereignty country, but India had done nasty things for years like prejudice treaty on immigration, labor market, oil/gas, media, telecommunication, defense, etc. and then when proper time came India manipulated referendum to swallow it up. India is doing the same things to Bhutan and Nepal. Sympathy and love to Bhutan, Nepal, Sikkim and other Indian neighbor countries.
Listening to taiwan or India speaker talking about China,even a Child will know it is bias.