ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 8 ก.ย. 2024
- If you want to know when a war with China is about to begin, look for this.
Joining us today is Brent Sadler. He’s a Senior Research Fellow for Naval Warfare and Advanced Technology in the Allison Center for National Security.
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#China
Joining us today is Brent Sadler. He’s a Senior Research Fellow for Naval Warfare and Advanced Technology in the Allison Center for National Security.
Asian Sea.
its possible that the Philippines🇵🇭 our country will kicked out all of the businesses related to mainland china.. also their shipments will be blocked or seized..
FFS guys, stop checking your phones when you're talking to a guest 🙄
McDonald's in Russia was NOT nationalized. McDonalds sold their chain in Russia to a private investor allowing him to copy the menu items but he could not use the copyrighted names. So Big Mac became the Big Burger. People who have tried both say the food at the Russian "McDonalds" is now similar but not as good as the original McDonald's.
@@user-hc9lp3hb1r
The original McD burgers are not as good either!
"Populations don't like wars. They have to be lied into it."
- Julian Assange.
Some of us were born "warriors, heroes, protectors" the rest Utopian Dreamers.
@@CHANANNAIRMOSHINGLEFAIRETruer words brother, Truer words…..
@@CHANANNAIRMOSHINGLEFAIREyou mean cannon fodders who can't think n volunteer to die for the corrupt politicians n their military industrial complex donors who get rich by your blind patriotism to fight fabricated enemies? Our enemies are not china, russia, Venezuela. They are warmongers n cia funded brainwashing channels on youtube.
Julian Assange doesn't know what he is talking about
@@CHANANNAIRMOSHINGLEFAIREoh boy we got another chud
Well, the CERBERUS U.S. shipbuilding and AUSTAL Australian shipbuilding opened a shipbuilding to service American and Allies ships in Subic Bay Philippines.
Shelly is in deep training for the 2 mil show of china uncensored
Congratulations on the interview you have conducted with Mr. Sadler. .
Adam Sandler?
"Chris is practicing Kung-Fu in the mountains" has gotta be the best absentee excuse ever. Love the team @ C.U.
You'll also see mass mobilization on the eastern coast months in advance. Great video! Do another one of these in depth!
The Chinese sent a fleet of submarine and warships to the coast of Alaska last week. You probably thinking that war with China will be a one way street I suppose.
Yep, and since China will likely also be using those 'civilian' craft, like ferries and fishing boats to haul troops & equipment, any military intervention by the US on these kinda vessels would make a convenient 'excuse'.
Why does it matter what happens with them? You are being rapidly replaced in your own countries but you focus on one across the world lmao
The United States isn't the only country with citizens in Taiwan. There are at least 150,000 OFWs as well as Japanese and other Western countries.
There are Americans in ALL countries, all over the world. Does that mean that US will get involved in any of these countries? Good joke!
@@henrydoone7554 When the amounts are in the tens of thousands or more ya it matters
don't leave india out of the equation
Yes, India is an insidious, malignant country too.
Indians are opportunist.
The worst hit comes from the one you don't see coming
FYI, we (USCG) have been in EVERY declared war the US has been in, in addition to most "Police Actions". We have had PB's in the Red Sea and Persian Gulf, and major cutters in both. Today the USCG is still the smallest service, it is armed, but currently is understrength and undergunned. Having said that, they'll throw us in without hesitation, they always have.
Semper Paratus!
We had Coast Guard cutters patrolling the Mekong delta.... but the Chinese CG is being used to do a "soft invasion". Very different from the US
Excellent guest with interesting, well-spoken perspectives.
all of the shipments of china cannot pass through our country Philippines🇵🇭 and the total removal of their business here in our country wether its legal or illegal.. the Philippines🇵🇭 will guard all of the smuggling area where china is sending their smuggled goods and products on davao region and in zamboanga..
Philippines is controlled by oligarchy of Chinese decent mostly and a bit of Spanish. To a large extent the economy is mostly dominated by Chinese.
While your idea sound good, just how implementable would that be?
This will cause prices to skyrocket and the Filipinos themselves to overthrow the government.
its possible that the Philippines🇵🇭 our country will kicked out all of the businesses related to mainland china.. also their shipments will be blocked or seized..
Realistically the world should follow suit. South Asian countries should form their own version of NATO. It's gonna take a combination of allies to win.
so youre worried about their knock off products
And where would you buy your next plastic urinal (arinola)?
所以说，菲律宾应该成为中国的夏威夷。
你们就是臭虫 不值一提 位卑而辱大邻 可亡矣。也不知道你们的贪污犯后代总统有什么把柄在美国手上……一国总统本质上就是美国的一条狗 菲律宾很有前途呢
What’s China hurry! Taiwan not going anywhere. China has enough problems.
If they start something against Taiwan, they are likely to find themselves blockaded in the Malaca Straits.
They could send out ships but returning ships may only return absolutely empty.
Especially no food no oil.
This shows your ignorance of geography.The Chinese army can reach Malacca directly from land without using the navy.
@@oyakefire Yes by invading other countries meaning a two front war against multiple enemies. You may wish to not throw around that term "ignorant" so loosely, look at a map.
@@oyakefireand you think that would be no problem for china? If the shit hits the fan you need to realize that china would run out of supplies in months. Take a look at what china imports vs what they export. What they export is cheap goods, what they import is oil,gas, and food, let alone most hi tech critical components. I'm not saying that they couldn't do what you said, but it would come at major cost. I did like the thought you brought to the table. The more opinions, the more well rounded answers can be achieved.
@@deanfirnatine7814 This is not an invasion, but the borrowing of their roads.China and Southeast Asian countries have thousands of years of friendship.
@@jimkluska253 Blocking China means that prices in other countries will skyrocket, resources such as oil can be obtained from overland pipelines, and Chinese goods can also be transported by land.As mentioned before, Malacca cannot block China because there are sea and land solutions.Once a war is launched against China, it means losing Japanese and South Korean garrisons, and facing Chinese Muslim volunteers entering the Arab region.
🇵🇭♥️♥️♥️🇺🇲🫂 brothers, fellow christians, democratic comrades, Faithful WW2 friends , inseperable ally.
@Hommo_Cosmicus nah, they are warmongers, war profiteers, cia funded media to fabricate false enemies to take us to war. They are out to enrich themselves by selling weapons n bombs, and doing information campaign to smear China, Russia, Iran, Venezuela, whoever.
Infact Filipinos are US colonial slaves till now.
Mr. Sadler's analysis is enlightening. So far we watch China's aggressive posturing in the South China sea as designed to distract US forces from entrenching in northern Philippines to defend the southern portion of Taiwan. The US has anticipated this and strengthening its bases in northern Philippines. . The logistical requirement for China to maintain a substantial naval force in the South China sea is staggering. They will run out of fuel, ammunition and vessels in a protracted war in the South China sea.
美国人说“咄咄逼人‘真的很讽刺 你们为了自己的霸权干了多少丧尽天良的事
It's not the South China sea.It's the west philippines sea.
from within the 200 nautical mile of the Philippines🇵🇭..
Without experience into the war
,Not the quantity soldiers it is a Quality soldiers
No replacement for experience and US and its allies were fighting wars for 20 years. That is the reason China is sending "mercenaries" to Ukraine and "peacekeepers" around the world to try to get some combat experience for Officers and NCO's.
Russia will defeat the US any day of the week.
The state of the Chinese regime can be judged by the relationship with their satellites and surrogates. East Europe pealed away from USSR before the fall. Italy fell before Germany. Russia is losing grip on Central Asia to China. China losing grip on belt and road countries will be a good indicator of trends.
Even the Soviet Republics were de facto independent in 1991
What do u mean by that exactly?!?
No1 wants to be a part of China, they just get invaded by China, and the Chinese take over since then they have way more troops and seem like an unbeatable superpower, so they don’t face much resistance. Then they stationed troops, weapons, and vehicles & aircraft there as if it was their own country. So they r basically there until China makes the mistake of going to war with the USA or one of their Allies that the US has a defense pact wit. If that happens then China will suffer a horrible defeat and if those countries want their autonomy back, they will have to throw the Chinese out during the war or right B4 it ends while they r distracted. After all the PLA is not a professional army and will most likely run if they r out gunned & attacked without warning.
The Chinese ppl wont put up with heavy casualties either since they only have 1 male child or 1 female for their 1 child thanks to their 1 child policy. Parents aren’t gonna B happy that their 1 child, that is their whole world, is wasted for things that aren’t theirs and really only important to the thugs in power that constantly pass laws and other such selfish BS that no1 on earth should have to waste their life abiding by so some criminals can continue to commit crimes against humanity in their push for power and their fantasies of world domination.
They tried to invade Vietnam & steal one of their islands or something and got spanked by the Vietnamese for trying to steal from them. The Chinese actually attacked a few different countries since the CCP took control of China from the nationalist after WWII ended & they retreated to the island of Twain which they recently got hanks to the USA beating Japan in WWII and making them give up lots of land and territory, among other things.
China and the countries along the Belt and Road only need to be friendly and do not need control.This is the political wisdom of the Chinese people, which rude Westerners will never understand.
That is already starting to happen
Various news agencies keep referring to the fact that the Chinese have the largest naval force in the world. However, their total tonnage still only equates to about half of America's naval force. Love how people spin this crap.
The elephant in the room is
How long will it take before it goes nuclear
It’s not worth considering, as any contingency for that is pointless
When half the carriers are rendered useless.
technically it already is due to the depleted uranium ammo sent to Ukraine, it's just not ballistically nuclear yet.
Probably won't, China only grows on world trade ,if the west stop buying their goods they will lose half their economy, greed might prevent it .and they know, no winners.
@@adminotaku4799depleted uranium is 100% safe.
Great interview guys, your guest is extremely knowledgeable and has read the situation well
An analogy I use to represent America’s dilemma is a football game. If you were the “American football team” it’s like you were the away team and China is the home team. But the thing is the Chinese football team can pick the game time and you can only have your special teams outside the stadium ready to play. Furthermore you have to travel from New Orleans to play the game in LA whilst only having 2 to 3 minivans transport the team in multiple trips. To make things even more difficult another team in China’s athletic district can all of a sudden have some of their players come play for China in the game.
Trying to be competitive is nice but only if you're not playing with a cheater that subsidizes the crap out of certain industries it deems desirable
It's called "tax-credits / subsidy " in the US
"Cash for cunkler"
"Tax credit" for fab plants.
Tax credit for EV.
All from US and had been doing that for a few decades, so don't be a hypocrites
Really enjoyed this interview, Thanks for the video
I was sent to East Timor as a part of the peace keeping force. As a Civpol we stopped the fighting and ensured legal elections.
Other than U.S. islands and Alaska I don't want the Jones act changed. Ships will not win modern wars since the mass production of the anti ship missiles, but we still need to control the movement of stuff from other countries. The Jones Act was also intended to not repeat the naval situation the north and south had during the civil war and not just WW1.
No the Jone’s act has really hampered things for us in this country. It’s probably the main reason why we can’t really use oil that is drilled in America. There are also other drawbacks that hurt us as well because of the Jobes act. It didn’t have the effect that they hoped it would; they need to change it or reword it for that reason. Maybe allow 2 stops if not crewed by an American and mostly manned by Americans. That would help lower the cost of oil/gas for us as we could finally ship oil drilled in Texas to other parts of the U.S. since right now they can’t because of the Jones Act.
Stages to an unhappy outcome. I think we are at stage 5
1. Trade
2. Technology
3. Geo-political inflience
4. Economy/Capital
5. Belligerence
6. Conflict
Interesting guest
WE never should have let all are factories migrate to china.I dought we have the capabillitys ,other than our allies combined.
It won't be the USA by themselves, Canda Australia Japan and many more nz row boats
When Chris turns his head, it reminds me of my Rottweiler.
Especially his gotti looks like a Rottie 😅
Their Navy has more long range missiles
If the US does nothing about a blockade what do you think the PLA is going to do? They are going to take the next step like they always do then there will be many lives lost because of the US complacency
Weakness and appeasement always cause bigger wars, they do not stop wars they encourage them.
McDonald's is now known as "Tasty" in Russia 😂
Maybe shipbuilding might be a good idea?
The last major Naval conflict was the Falklands war in the 80's, both sides had aircraft carriers, subs, destroyers etc all involved.
Asian Sea.
Good thing half of there sh## isn't going to work right off the top . So that makes it easier. Plus the "people " are probably not willing to die for "Winnie the poo" .
And how many Gen Z are willing to die for Uncle Sam, ON BEHALF OF TAIWAN to top it off?
boomer clown
The ROC (Taiwan) has an 11 Dash Line and claims more territory than the PRC. So America is upholding the claims of the ROC against the Philippines, Japan and Vietnam amongst others. Despite the transition of power to the People’s Republic of China (PRC) in 1949, the ROC continues to assert its claims based on the original 11-Dash Line. The ROC maintains a significant presence on Taiping Island (Itu Aba) in the Spratly Islands, which serves as a key point of its territorial claims. The ROC’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs has repeatedly stated that Taiwan has sovereignty over the archipelagos and surrounding waters within the South China Sea. It is more complicated than this discussion evolves the discourse. As far as the Jones Act is concerned just ask Fat Leonard how to resupply the South East Asian naval fleet. America does not even have a decent Merchant Marine. Just go home and look after Americans. It is too late.
11:44: I do not concur with the the theory of a "fragile" authoritarian regime. 1. How long did Nazi Germany fight on after June 6, 1944? 2. How long did Imperial Japan continue the war after the Marianas and the Philippines were invaded in June and October 1944?
How long did Japan last after Hiroshima and Nagasaki?
@majic5zero Thats the sort of thing that only works once. Now our peer adversaries have parity with nukes of their own.
I do: Fascist regime's start wars, lose them, and are replaced. Democracies keep on keeping on. You are wrong.
Ridiculous looking 👀 at the chinee police stations 🚉 in the US !
With that standoff the Philippines still cuss Obama out on national television 📺 about this!😮😅❤ That was the last president Duterte was the one doing it but the entire country is still raw about it!
The US has a DEI Navy, with lady COs and Pride month celebrations that last all year. Plus we have Admiral Rachel Levine (Stunning & Brave).
America is a disgrace
The Philippines got "Mang Donald"😁😁😁
Quality is over the quantity
Really enjoyed the change of pace, great interview!
Could the growing aggression towards the Philippines be a distraction to draw attention away from Taiwan?
0:16 - 0:36 shelly might be mistaken by the PLA to be sammo hung..
China has a lot of internal problems - massive unemployment, its government workers not getting paid (8 or more months) they are bankrupt, the repercussions of COVID-19 lock downs, industries like steel and real estate going bankrupt, and now some civilian uprisings in some provinces. Even the youth are dissatisfied with the 60 hours + work week and are doing the " lying flat movement" which they no longer put the work ethic or work. Xi-Ping is running out of time if the population goes into complete revolt and massive repression - he cannot fight an internal civil war and external war, in his last speech on January 1, 2024 - he insists on reunification with Taiwan no matter what. He has imprisoned, killed, etc. any party member that has come against him. Notably the Shanghai revolt of COVID-19 and how shocked he and the communist party were when we heard on videos “Down with Xi-Ping and the Communist Party”.
He needs to invade before Donald Trump is in power, if not his window of opportunity will fail. He knows Trump will NOT tolerate China's aggressions like Biden and put massive tariffs on Chinese products.
For me it is not the Philippines' aggression as the spark, another scenario does not consider is that most people do not know that Taiwan has citizens on an island very close to the Chinese mainland. You have the Mastsu, Wuciou, Kinmen, and Pengju island. These all belong to Taiwan and have their citizens which they are very close to mainland China. Ferry transport along with shipping of goods from Taiwan is critical to these islands. I see China blockading these islands and commerce from Taiwan. Taiwan will NOT tolerate this and with China blockading that Taiwan strait and seeing either its citizens imprisoned or killed in these citizens - I think China will try to capitulate Taiwan to surrender but will Taiwan surrender at the cost of some citizens in these islands? This is a plausible scenario and then of course, if not then all can cascade into war - I see Japan, Philippines, Australia, and the USA then getting involved.
Listening to these guys, meaning American military insiders, is being drawn into their world view, from Washington DC, and acceptable corporate media. I'm more interested in the Chinese perspective, which is certainly going to be more flexible, less interested in the kinetic conflict that the M-I-C wants, and likely to outlast any US presidential administration. I used to like your channel (I lived in Shanghai) but I find it too biased, now.
Yes u have a lot of freedom under Chinese rule , as u know, but it's not about being biased, it really about wanting the freedom that is available in the west ,so u do need to choose a side.
@@rosssouthwell8678 You may be over-estimating the "freedom" we have in the West.
The Chinese don´t have to fight a war against people that use Tictoc volutarily. They already won that. Asymetric warfare isn´t something America is very good at.
Anyone living in South East Asia wants a war have got to have his/her head examined. Playing armchair experts are just shooting the breeze. Some countries love wars because wars are good for their arms industries. Ukraine and Gaza to name a few are good examples of the horror of wars. There are plenty of others still recovering from their past wars. ☝️☝️☝️
The Philippines wants the US military to fight for them, the US wants the Philippines to be cannon fodder, and the same goes for Taiwan.
Concerning Ship design. Is that WWII experience still relevant? Did that doctrine change during the Cold War,if so is it still relevant or will we quickly change our approach?
Why is Taiwan's military capacity not discussed??
Taiwan has anti-ship missiles.
Wouldn't Taiwan use them against a blockade?
We should get a big base back in the Philippines 🇵🇭
"Shoeless Shelly" vs. The PLA! Rated R!
It will begin with an episode of Winnie the Pooh mailed to Xi.
This was one of the BEST vids I've seen in a while! Great job, 👍👍
China seems to be taking a more consillitory approach in recent weeks. Apparently their economy is tanking. Xi may be realizing that an exporter cant afford to alienate his customers like he has been doing. Also Russia's war didnt work out as intended. If allied nations and tycoons could coordinate a boycott and if necessary an embargo, this would be the surest way to avoid war. Prosperity makes way more scence for China than warfare.
China is almost bankrupt, the ccp needs a distraction
The US would have difficulty against Bangladesh - No chance against China.
If China goes to war, how would that affect Hong Kong ?
Someone please give this guy a copy of Danger on our Doorstep (by Jim Molan)..
Could be that Chinese "placements" of people and whatever throughout the world is already battles won.
To invade Taiwan they would need a lot of egg rolls....
Could the super container ships that China has built be a threat as repurposed troop carriers or other military purpose against Tawain?
How many CCP troops and intelligence operatives have walked into America in the last 3.5 years?
No body talks about North Korea? What will they do if China is in war
The focus on systems is misplaced. The issue will come down to timing and leadership, the systems will only come into play if prolonged.
Thanks.
I'm confused. My understanding is that Chris was asking about war between China and the Philippines, but it sounds like he's explaining things between China and Taiwan.
Re: My earlier comment about Taiwan annealing China: also lots of gov't. officials, etc. would have to be given a form of amnesty....
thankyou gentlemen
PLA Rocket Force is 80% water fulled munitions/ duds.
yes keep believe that until pla rocket come to your ass😂
Source? China uncensored. Lol
@@user-yw4rx6kb3rsource is US DoD
It's not. Only their oldest missile used for short range tactical warhead delivery is liquid fueled. The rest are Solid Fuel and thus are unaffected by the whole debacle of blatant graft that affects the liquid fueled missiles.
@@hangtuah888try what?!?!?
I know ur Not some communist Chinese drone that thinks they R strong enough to take on the World’s most powerful Navy, Air Force, & Army. Most Everything in China falls apart or doesn’t work properly, because it’s a communist country which makes them not able to make things as good as normal democracies do. It’s because of how communist countries work. China being the most affected at that since corruption is a huge feature in communism, but it’s much much worse in China❕
No1 wants Chinese weapons and the few countries that were gifted military equipment from China, along with the few small countries or rebel groups that did purchase military equipment from China, have all regretted it.
In fact there was a rebel group in one of the South American countries that bought some equipment, the Chinese version of Humvees, they were using to bring the troops to where ever the head of the country was and the whole line of vehicles got stuck on the way because the lead vehicle or 1 of the ones in the front of the column got stuck because their front left tire got stuck on a curb and broke. Then when they realized they couldn’t fix it, they left it and when they finally got to where they were going, they tried using one of the vehicles to ram the gate down and it failed lmfao 😂😂😂😂😂
I saw the video it was hilarious and not surprising because the Chinese communists r not as capable as the Soviets were, but even then they still had similar problems because they mostly lied about everything just like the Chinese do as they r basically a carbon copy of the Soviet Communist Party. Thats why they r a Marxist Stalinist Leninist regime. Stalin was just a thug who murdered his way to controlling the Russians & the communist Chinese leaders r basically the same, at least this Xi and some of his predecessors, but they were smart enough to know that if 1 person was leader for more then a couple terms that it would seriously weaken the country and kill millions of its own ppl (aka slaves as only party members r citizens and everyone else is just another resource for the party to exploit (just like slaves)).
If the chinese attack Phil..their not actually attacking the Phil..its America
Sounds like you guys are all in on war for Taiwan. Why?
How could you not get that it is china forcing war, wow?
Matt's conspiracies are charming. Let'em be. Cris.
I draw pictures. Seems like mostly they don't come true. I try to draw pictures of bad things happening now because i don't want them to come true.
Neat.
I collect funny shaped rocks
3 words
3 gorge dam
Aaaaaaand 400 million are gone.
Absolutely the gloves come off
I’m not worried at all with Democrat Joe Biden at the helm.
The BF4 theme is very loud right now
War never changes.
Very interesting.......SSGN's. I love these 5th columnist.......were do you find them!
Ehm, the war has already started, it's just not hot yet.
Philippines currently is a de facto province of China. It is vastly controlled by oligarchy of Chinese decent.
Alice Gou incident barely scratched the tip of the ice berg.
The depth of control could hardly be fathomed by ordinary Filipinos since even lawmakers and enforcers in senior level positions is of Chinese decent.
Even the president himself is of Chinese decent. Just take a close on his eyes.
When would be the most important thing to know?
China would get no more goods by sea
I'll have The shrimp and broccoli with shrimp fried rice
The Chinese are small and can't see very well. I wouldn't worry too much about them.
Who eats McDonald’s these days or any junk foods 🤮
is anyone questioning whether Hunter or Jim had anything to do with the Afghanistan debacle? If so could you share a reputable link?
I'll assume that this was recorded before the announcement of Biden giving up on 2024 election & bowing out, yes?
It really doesn’t matter whether Biden or Trump were President. The United States does not have a “Mutual Defense” treaty with Taiwan. The US has similar agreements with Taiwan as we do with Israel. The US would attempt to resupply and it would be up to China whether it wanted to attack the US or not.
Doesn’t change anything his administration are still in charge.
@@ElevatedSoul33 This is the role of Congress and not the President. The President can set the tone, but has little control.
@@chillxxx241 you have no idea who’s in charge of congress, do you?
@@chillxxx241 does that mean anything under nuclear weaponry threshold, military,navy,airforce can handle without president on their own, by permission from congress(declaration of war I think)?
NO DO NOT SAY A BLOCKADE IS AN ACT OF WAR!!!! - JFK
I agree great reporting
You guys need to watch Lei's video on the CCP 8-year plan
My sons will not die for Taiwans freedom. They are Americans. They will not lose their social security to Ukraines elite class. Stop funding foreign wars. Become isolationist.
Did you see the XQ-67-A in the news today ? Hi-Tech for sure
You need to look at a recent US Army PRSM missile test launch.
Easy how to do if you already know
Greetings from Quincy, Massachusetts. Thanks for this video. I watched it all. 29:50. Energy is a big issue, but I suspect food is a bigger issue. I looked again at that issue closely a few months ago, and wondered what CCP planners were thinking. Don’t they understand the effects of a war on multiple customers/multiple suppliers of agricultural products worldwide? If world GDP were to drop by 10%, it’s hard to understand what would get accomplished by an invasion of Taiwan. It is not predictable yet what agricultural exporters might do given an unnecessary-to them drop in business. Yet, the rhetoric out of Beijing makes some of us take the talk seriously.