FSU might as well just shut down the football program now. Seriously. They went from 13-0 to not even getting into the playoff to losing a bowl game 63-3 to suing the ACC to getting slapped down in said lawsuit to 0-2 and their season (and the meaningful part of Norvell's coaching career) being over already. Reminds me of the Falcons dying as a franchise after 28-3, but at least the next season they made the playoffs again and actually won a game. No, seriously, that was a thing. IDK if I've ever seen a single game devastate, decimate and destroy any college team this rapidly and thoroughly and I'm 51. Clemson's actually in the same situation (they also sued the ACC) but at least it took them a couple of years to implode.
@@DolFan316 The next closest I have ever seen was 1997 Texas. The Longhorns were coming off a Big XII championship upset of Nebraska and had a lot of their talent coming back (including future Heisman winner Ricky Williams) and they lost an early game 66-3 to UCLA. They wound up 4-7 and replaced their coach with Mack Brown the following season.
@@aaronholcomb237 *I REMEMBER THAT GAME!!!* And come to think of it you're right, that seemed to render them irrelevant for the next 6-7 years or so. But even then they still won at least 9 games a season during that stretch. I'm not sure FSU is ever winning 9 games in a season again.
Yes, but they're working only on mathematical probability and don't actually have a feel for a game. Norvell knew his O-line and his QB were not playing well. The analytics are working on average probability. Florida State's offense was not playing average, but well below average, and you can't just assume they will play to their ability on the next play.
If they were gonna make such an inexplicable decision to go for it, they could've at least tried to catch Boston off-guard with a fake punt. Especially with how little they were getting done against BC's defence.
Just wanted to let everybody know that while at Memphis, Norvell was 0-4 in bowl games and his successor is currently 3-0. I had nothing against Norvell personally or his decision to leave, but trust me when I say he could've and should've won a lot more at Memphis than he did. Aside from one great season Norvell was constantly finding ways to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. Also, FSU plays Memphis next. I cannot make this stuff up. I honestly think Memphis can take them.
Analytics is great for getting a baseline of decisions to make, but you need to take the flow of the game into consideration. Analytics says to go for it but it didn't take into account that you have a low conversion rate. EV should also taken into account with the probability of you scoring if you make the conversion vs the probability BC scores if you fail. I imagine that value would favor BC making the risk not worth it. Coaches really would do well to learn about bayesian probability.
It's about to get worse. Just wait until officials start openly and blatantly following the ACC's instructions to screw over FSU in conference games knowing they sued the ACC and now have no chance to win it. I'm not even trying to be mean either, in 3-4 more weeks I'll likely be in the same boat for the same reasons (putrid O-line) because I can easily see my team starting 0-3, maybe 0-4. I suggest you start spending time with friends and loved ones to ease the pain.
I can't believe I'm defending Brandon Staley, but at least when he went for it, he had Justin Herbert at QB, not DJU and his draft stock that's crashing and exploding like a supersonic jet into an immovable object!
Man I think DJ U should've declared for the NFL draft following a season at Oregon St. Back in the acc at FSU his stock is completely tanked from day 3 pick to undrafted (would be lucky to even get a training camp invite)
Nah. We're just really mad that we were lied to all offseason. People watching practice said this was a good team, a team that would compete for an ACC title, maybe with some issues at WR and LB. Nobody prepared us for this absolute #itshow.
Nah, they've just been listening way too much to the analytics nerds who have nothing to lose when they loudly scream that every team should go for it on every 4th down. Easy to say when it's not YOUR job and career on the line...
That was such a desperate move and it wasn't necessary. The Noles' offense hadn't run the ball well all night and D.J. Uiagalelei wasn't a whole lot better. With 2 conference losses and a tough non-conference slate (Charleston Southern aside) coming up, I'm wondering if the Noles are even gonna qualify for a bowl in 2024.
@@encycl07pedia- That UF side is still very talented (its record won't show it because its own schedule is even more frightening) and can definitely beat Florida State even in Tallahassee.
Florida State's plan was clearly to "flip the field" by having the QB punt the ball to BC with his arm, rather than have the punter do it with his leg. Genius...except for the fact that (A) the QB's arm didn't have nearly the power of a punter's leg and (B) they gave up a big return!
Im 50/50 with this. In the moment it certainly looked bad, but giving context to the situation, boston college was averaging over 5 yards a carry. They easily couldve killed the clock on the way to making it a 2 score game. But also giving context, DJ Uworkadoordash is your quarterback here. Part of me would rather trust the defense who was getting killed on the ground too😂
You don't even need to defend your position against analytics here. A coach has to have a feel for the game and realize when a risk is worth it and when it is not. Nothing was working for FSU offensively. I put it more on the O-line than on DJU, not that he was playing well either. But Norvell was in a position where his defense was far more likely to make a play to turn the game than his offense was. A computer at ESPN is working on generalities and doesn't know how poorly you are executing or how dreadful your OL is performing, it only know the law of averages. And nothing about FSU's offense was average on that night. Punting right there is the obvious, common-sense move. And Norvell was a coward for hiding behind analytics and not just saying he made a bad decision. He owned the loss but he also needed to own this play.
The analytics community has degenerated into a bunch of woke hipster nerds who not only consider themselves experts on every conceivable life subject, but insist that anyone who disagrees with them about anything is stupid and probably evil. In other words, they're now essentially the same as pink haired, tatted up millennials on twitter. And like the rest of the woke crowd, everyone would be a lot better off not taking anything they say seriously anymore. It disgusts me how coaches still blindly obey them.
Florida State is an undisciplined team. When the outcome of the game had been decided, you can see FS players showboating during the last few minutes of the game. I can understand if your team is tied or down by 1 position, but during trash time who are you showing off for ?? How Florida State hired an incompetent head coach like Mike Norvell is the reason. A home opener at your own field and the stands were half empty. How could FS lose to Boston College ?? FS would lose to a Florida High School team.
@@davebowman5152 It's really sad that a freaking announcer has so much influence on who makes the playoff and who doesn't. Unless you're telling me Herbie actually gets to vote on this too.
@@DolFan316 the problem wasn't that he is an announcer (analyst), it's that his criticism was genuine and that's ultimately why they got excluded. He honestly wasn't that much of an influence as I believe after Travis went down, they were going to be kicked from the playoffs, they certainly did not deserve a playoff spot over Georgia at the very least.
Blind sheeplike devotion to the analytics community. If coaches are going to completely give away all their agency, they might as well have the analyitcs geeks on the sideline instead.
@DolFan316 So they have to tolerate him for the remainder of the season eh? Just a weird question- I seem to remember seeing your handle before- did you ever use to be on the DVDVR message boards?
Georgia really did kill this program’s ambitions
No, they were just one player from mediocre. Now they’re just bad!
FSU might as well just shut down the football program now. Seriously. They went from 13-0 to not even getting into the playoff to losing a bowl game 63-3 to suing the ACC to getting slapped down in said lawsuit to 0-2 and their season (and the meaningful part of Norvell's coaching career) being over already. Reminds me of the Falcons dying as a franchise after 28-3, but at least the next season they made the playoffs again and actually won a game. No, seriously, that was a thing. IDK if I've ever seen a single game devastate, decimate and destroy any college team this rapidly and thoroughly and I'm 51. Clemson's actually in the same situation (they also sued the ACC) but at least it took them a couple of years to implode.
@@DolFan316 The next closest I have ever seen was 1997 Texas. The Longhorns were coming off a Big XII championship upset of Nebraska and had a lot of their talent coming back (including future Heisman winner Ricky Williams) and they lost an early game 66-3 to UCLA. They wound up 4-7 and replaced their coach with Mack Brown the following season.
@@aaronholcomb237 *I REMEMBER THAT GAME!!!* And come to think of it you're right, that seemed to render them irrelevant for the next 6-7 years or so. But even then they still won at least 9 games a season during that stretch. I'm not sure FSU is ever winning 9 games in a season again.
@@aaronholcomb237 I remember that UT loss to UCLA. The sports media nicknamed the game "Rout 66".
I saw the moment happen and immediately thought “There’s JG’s next entry into Dumb Decisions”
The rare case when getting an interception on 4th down actually works out
Almost was a pick six
"Your quarterback was playing like crap, and that might be an insult to crap." That one made me laugh.
I love how JG09 is just leaning into being the Sports version of AVGN. "What were they thinking??!?!"
I WAS wondering why he had to finish all of his videos before 5:40.
"He's gonna take you back to the past..."
@@DamonNomad82"to play the shitty games that suck ass"
@danmount9462 Love watching AVGN's videos.
They're both from the northeastern USA, so their accents, speech patterns, and slang probably have some overlap.
It seems like ESPN's analytics always say go for it.
Facts
Yes, but they're working only on mathematical probability and don't actually have a feel for a game. Norvell knew his O-line and his QB were not playing well. The analytics are working on average probability. Florida State's offense was not playing average, but well below average, and you can't just assume they will play to their ability on the next play.
If they were gonna make such an inexplicable decision to go for it, they could've at least tried to catch Boston off-guard with a fake punt. Especially with how little they were getting done against BC's defence.
The return of jg8 is making me smile
I refuse to watch college football for a lot of reasons, but thanks to this channel I don't have to 😊
Yeah we’re going all in again on this which I’m thrilled about
@JaguarGator8 Thank you for bringing back JG8, now I'm about to watch your 💩 story about my Birds 😂
0:23-0:31 Certified classic.
Idk why but I enjoy the cfb videos way more than the nfl.
A writer on Bill James’ website said of WAR, and I paraphrase, “WAR is a great stat, but it’s not the only stat.”
Just wanted to let everybody know that while at Memphis, Norvell was 0-4 in bowl games and his successor is currently 3-0.
I had nothing against Norvell personally or his decision to leave, but trust me when I say he could've and should've won a lot more at Memphis than he did. Aside from one great season Norvell was constantly finding ways to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. Also, FSU plays Memphis next. I cannot make this stuff up. I honestly think Memphis can take them.
Analytics is great for getting a baseline of decisions to make, but you need to take the flow of the game into consideration. Analytics says to go for it but it didn't take into account that you have a low conversion rate. EV should also taken into account with the probability of you scoring if you make the conversion vs the probability BC scores if you fail. I imagine that value would favor BC making the risk not worth it. Coaches really would do well to learn about bayesian probability.
As a Noles fan we suck
If it makes you feel any better? The Canes looked awesome the other day!!!
It's about to get worse. Just wait until officials start openly and blatantly following the ACC's instructions to screw over FSU in conference games knowing they sued the ACC and now have no chance to win it. I'm not even trying to be mean either, in 3-4 more weeks I'll likely be in the same boat for the same reasons (putrid O-line) because I can easily see my team starting 0-3, maybe 0-4. I suggest you start spending time with friends and loved ones to ease the pain.
Hey guys, thanks for starting us off with a free conference lead!
@@Dizastermaster. lol. Enjoy your loss to Sorrycuse.
@@encycl07pedia- And you lost to us lil bro 😭
In hindsight, DJ should have entered The NFL Draft. His stock has plummeted playing for an overrated team.
I wonder if he even starts next game tbh
Or he could enter the Transfer Portal (again).
@@CTubeMan isn’t he a senior?
I can't believe I'm defending Brandon Staley, but at least when he went for it, he had Justin Herbert at QB, not DJU and his draft stock that's crashing and exploding like a supersonic jet into an immovable object!
I can't believe you're defending Brandon Staley either 😋
@@DolFan316 ?
@@SortaNonymous It was a joke.
Going for it on 4th and 5 inside your own territory - as a Gator fan I am familiar with this bad decision.
Man I think DJ U should've declared for the NFL draft following a season at Oregon St. Back in the acc at FSU his stock is completely tanked from day 3 pick to undrafted (would be lucky to even get a training camp invite)
There's always the UFL or CFL.
FSU Fans~ “Oh no. We suck again”.
Nah. We're just really mad that we were lied to all offseason. People watching practice said this was a good team, a team that would compete for an ACC title, maybe with some issues at WR and LB. Nobody prepared us for this absolute #itshow.
I think some of these coaches have been playing too much Madden lol
Nah, they've just been listening way too much to the analytics nerds who have nothing to lose when they loudly scream that every team should go for it on every 4th down. Easy to say when it's not YOUR job and career on the line...
@@DolFan316 yeah I was just kidding about the Madden thing lol I totally 💯 percent agree
That was such a desperate move and it wasn't necessary. The Noles' offense hadn't run the ball well all night and D.J. Uiagalelei wasn't a whole lot better. With 2 conference losses and a tough non-conference slate (Charleston Southern aside) coming up, I'm wondering if the Noles are even gonna qualify for a bowl in 2024.
UF is still pretty terrible.
@@encycl07pedia- That UF side is still very talented (its record won't show it because its own schedule is even more frightening) and can definitely beat Florida State even in Tallahassee.
@@marcus813 Anyone can beat FSU at this point.
Florida State's plan was clearly to "flip the field" by having the QB punt the ball to BC with his arm, rather than have the punter do it with his leg. Genius...except for the fact that (A) the QB's arm didn't have nearly the power of a punter's leg and (B) they gave up a big return!
If I were a doctor, I'd diagnose this team with Intrarectalcranialitis.
Im 50/50 with this. In the moment it certainly looked bad, but giving context to the situation, boston college was averaging over 5 yards a carry. They easily couldve killed the clock on the way to making it a 2 score game. But also giving context, DJ Uworkadoordash is your quarterback here. Part of me would rather trust the defense who was getting killed on the ground too😂
So, of the Big 3 in Florida, Mario freaking Cristobal might be the only one to finish the season?
I wouldn't be so sure about that tbh
I mean he HAS a video on this channel LOL. I don't know what amulet Coach Key is rubbing but it seems to embarass these Florida teams for a while
Norvell is fine this season after the last 2, but he is burning through any goodwill he earned fast with the way FSU has been playing recently.
How could Kirk Herbstreit do this?
I honestly have no idea what Herbstreit did, let alone if it was on purpose.
You don't even need to defend your position against analytics here. A coach has to have a feel for the game and realize when a risk is worth it and when it is not. Nothing was working for FSU offensively. I put it more on the O-line than on DJU, not that he was playing well either. But Norvell was in a position where his defense was far more likely to make a play to turn the game than his offense was. A computer at ESPN is working on generalities and doesn't know how poorly you are executing or how dreadful your OL is performing, it only know the law of averages. And nothing about FSU's offense was average on that night.
Punting right there is the obvious, common-sense move. And Norvell was a coward for hiding behind analytics and not just saying he made a bad decision. He owned the loss but he also needed to own this play.
The analytics community has degenerated into a bunch of woke hipster nerds who not only consider themselves experts on every conceivable life subject, but insist that anyone who disagrees with them about anything is stupid and probably evil. In other words, they're now essentially the same as pink haired, tatted up millennials on twitter. And like the rest of the woke crowd, everyone would be a lot better off not taking anything they say seriously anymore. It disgusts me how coaches still blindly obey them.
Florida State is an undisciplined team. When the outcome of the game had been decided, you can see FS players showboating during the last few minutes of the game. I can understand if your team is tied or down by 1 position, but during trash time who are you showing off for ?? How Florida State hired an incompetent head coach like Mike Norvell is the reason. A home opener at your own field and the stands were half empty. How could FS lose to Boston College ?? FS would lose to a Florida High School team.
Memphis was undisciplined when he was there as well.
@@DolFan316 Typical. It shows.
Analytics are going to drive these decisions more times than not man, it's not surprising that he did this as it happens ALL the time in football.
Georgia ruined them, like OSU ruined Clemson. Sad
People are genuinely gonna take Memphis next week...
I mean has Florida State shown ANY signs of life in these first 2 games?
Memphis isn’t going to be a cake walk they’re projected to be the best teams in the American and get the g5 playoff spot
@@crashxd1286 I got money on Memphis especially with how bad FSU has looked in their first 2 games
Memphis are a heavy favorite to win the American Conference so they'll at least make it close.
@@OctoberRust02 you think Memphis will pull the upset?
14:26 When ESPN says kick, they mean punt the football, not a field goal lol
Kirk Herbstreit broke FSU
How so? I'm genuinely curious.
He was one of the biggest reasons they did not make the playoffs last year.
@@davebowman5152 It's really sad that a freaking announcer has so much influence on who makes the playoff and who doesn't. Unless you're telling me Herbie actually gets to vote on this too.
@@DolFan316 the problem wasn't that he is an announcer (analyst), it's that his criticism was genuine and that's ultimately why they got excluded. He honestly wasn't that much of an influence as I believe after Travis went down, they were going to be kicked from the playoffs, they certainly did not deserve a playoff spot over Georgia at the very least.
WHAT THE FRICK, FSU?! It's bad when UCF and MIAMI and USF are all better than you.
E A G L E S
Why are there so many Dumb Decisions being made???
because the coaches in college football wanted JG8 channel to arise lmao
@@IrvinAlvarado44 True
Blind sheeplike devotion to the analytics community. If coaches are going to completely give away all their agency, they might as well have the analyitcs geeks on the sideline instead.
@BHV0810 I'm still waiting on JG7's return as well. For JG8 though he did put out an In Defense Of video as well.
Fired before the end of this season. Then buyout.
The dumb decision was picking up DJU. Source: Clemson fan.
Yeah what was this play call? Norvell is just not it
Florida st program looked completely dead offensively
Norvell, you gonna get fired!!
Actually he won't. It's a $64 million buyout if FSU does.
@DolFan316 So they have to tolerate him for the remainder of the season eh?
Just a weird question- I seem to remember seeing your handle before- did you ever use to be on the DVDVR message boards?
@@arizonawrestlinginterviews1040 Yup. And I've been on so many message boards over the past 27 years I have trouble remembering them all.
That was stupid.
Hey, Fun, Right?
I saw the moment happen and immediately thought “There’s JG’s next entry into Dumb Decisions”