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You are boat leader Sir. He wants to peevent war. and if you don't understand the responsibility of US as being a Great power then God help u

The description of transportation in Chinese cities is, in my experience, inaccurate. Tier 1 cities(Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen) and Tier 2 cities (Chengdu etc.) are largely built around subways. Even if you live away from the subways, you take the bus or walk to the subway. In the smaller cities, your description is more accurate.

bro, we'll have scalable fusion before nat gas is 5% of consumption lol - energy is complicated and important you should refrain from commentary imo

Who was president when that influx of Haitian immigrants entered that small Ohio town? Who is responsible for that? If Trump hadn't put pressure on the status of immigration, Biden still would be sitting on his ass and Kamala would be too, encouraging asylum seekers

Regan wanted to kick the mexicans out because of the dem congress. He had to give clamncy

51:06 Noah: "The whole thing was f*cking made up". *Cup disappears*

A good session. Generally very well informed. Pennsylvania gas output from fracking is at an all-time high. The problem in Pennsylvania is that there is a glut of stored natural gas because there isn't enough gas pipelines to carry it away. Building that infrastructure is expensive, and that's the real problem. As Martin Wolf stated some time ago, China will get old before it gets rich. Reagan was a totally dishonest politician who played at being an ultra conservative but who in power was a closet liberal. Make of that what you will. Even Obama admired the skills.

The main problem with solar isn't night time or daily fluctuations. Batteries solve this. The main problems are (1) space as noah mentions and (2) winter, especially at higher latitudes. You have to build MASSIVE overcapacity in solar or battery storage to handle this, which massively drives down efficiency, by a factor of 2 or 3. This makes nuclear and wind relatively competitive.

I’d like you guys to get Adam on the show to hash this out.

Texas takes subsidies from the federal government for all these projects.. also runoff 100s of meters underground!!!!

The PlayStation's price going down is a terrible example, the business model in that market is that they sell the console (which at this point is an x86 computer) at break even or a loss, and then make up the difference in fees in their store (Fortnite currency), cuts of the price of games, etc. People hate on the new consoles being expensive, but back when the PS5 was introduced it was an incredible deal for the hardware, they actually had to raise prices later (even for the base model), which is rare for gaming consoles.

8:34 solar is only cheap because of china, and the west does not produce enough rare minerals.

4:26 who cares about carbon and methane emissions. cracking pollutes the local environment using undisclosed chemicals to leave the cracks open. No costing of environment damage is included in price. Private companies taking a national asset getting fat and leaving a waste land

Tooze's comes out of three toxic mileus, British sectarian hard left and 1980-90's German anti-American anti-nuclear hippy culture, and American academia patronage hard left. And his work shifting from Nazi Germany economic planning to current China-shilling. I've disliked him since I read him dissing Keynes for daring to come up with technical fixes instead of....something else.

Total waste if time. Both had noting informative to say. I won't try to say i know more, but they had almost zero knowlrdge discussion beyord some business headlinrs. An unkind and unfair remark would be IDIOTS.

Nonsense blabbering

Eric is very smart but a bit out of date. Seems like this interview was recorded in early 2024

”Google has a shitton of data that tesla doesn’t have” - a shitton of data on SF and CALI lmao. A shitton of data of 0.01% of the driveable roads in the world, a magnitute or two less data collectors on the road, extremely homogenous dataset. - Yea very nice data advantage

Economists are wrong because the study of economies is a social science and they act like they are scientists like physicists.

Jonah Hill is for sure playing this guy in the upcoming biopic.

Does the fact that you have to go back to the LA riots, 32 years ago to make the Floyd riots seem like nothing in comparison say anything? While people do exaggerate what went on in 2020, i think theres plenty of people who downplay it as well. Seems Noah is one of the latter.

Brad is high on something. He can’t just shut up.

This stuff is over my head. Is your guy's podcast available on youtube?

this doesnt even make sense

What the hell is this channel guys? I look at the videos, topics of each video, guests and it probably one of the most on point channels on youtube with the real deal of info

Faces of Jonah Hill

I liked the episode a lot. You should do it again. I like when Noah has to defend his points against somebody who can make him work for it but its not that antagonistig.

Can Brad stop interrupting every second.

Lol soy boy kamala supporters?? No thanks.

Brad DeLong is such a dweeb

"deeply engage with it, which requires that they be on a transoceanic flight with dodgy wifi and be otherwise board" -- I feel called out.

Can brad just let noah finish? Ruins the "discussion"

Loving the content, but seriously, your bit in UK immigration and race relations was way off, India and Pakistan are not waring in the street! And all of ex EU immigration is HK and Ukraine.

hexapodia is great

One big war spoiled focus and got into huge debts, fighting for never ending war, now again started 2 new war and planing to start 3 new war

DeLong didn't succeed in making the case that GW Bush policies were responsible for all (or most) of the economic problems after 2008.

Absolutely frustrating listen. Brad speaks like he’s writing for the new yorker. Made worse by his inability to shut up while his co-host is responding to questions.

Painful listen and one of the weakest shows to date. Talking over each other repeatedly, rapidly switching topics/points, no video, etc.

I find this difficult to follow. Brad should let Noah at least finish a sentence.

Bull and bear markets kinda seem like praying to false idols like an Indian rain dance or something seems satanic

I also love Alfred marshal. To me, i feel he is the best of all. He is too intelligent..

"You know..." 🤢

What kind of fancy tea does Noah drink?

I enjoy the conversation. Noah's comments about Ukraine-Germany are missing the point that Russia required Ukraine to fully commit to never joining NATO and for whatever reason Ukraine said no. I think German'y efforts to back Ukraine against its own interests is what makes Germany unserious. Germany needed that inexpensive gas from Russia to power its economy (along with the nuclear power it abandoned as Noah points out). Germany is now sputtering as right wing extremist parties rising all through Europe.

27:37 😂 👍

There can't be an us (that includes USA, Europe etc) and India as long as US state department is actively trying regime change in India. Come on Noah, Indians aren't as stupid as you think they are.

We don't have to worry about AI developing agency. We'll give it agency. We'll hand the world over on a silver platter. Do you remember when people used to talk about sandboxing powerful AI systems? Now we just hook them up to the internet first thing!

I miss the Brad Delong podcast. :(

The point about uncertainty in war is sort of hard to overstate. Major questions like "can chinese ballistic missiles hit aircraft carriers" are complete unknowns. Submarine combat? Undersea automated missile launchers? Hell its not even certain what kind of approach china would take?

Dario - AIs need a system 2 thinking which they just do not have the mechanism at present. But Demis Hassabis team at Deep Mind is developing that right now via step-wise processes that keeps track of its step outcomes and then evaluates the best step by red teaming or adversarial gaming approach. Deep Mind is going to sandbox its approach via using Open World games. Then again OpenAI has got its Q* approach which I don't know much about because its secret but seems a bit over-mathematical in my opinion. Anyhow, the goal is system 2 type thinking via Q* or Open World games. Its mixed up with agentic behaviour which is also system 2 thinking at heart imo. What is Anthropic's approach? I bet there are other ways of doing it - wish I knew, I could come up with some ideas myself. I think its got to be some type of heuristic decision tree, like AlpahGO uses. i.e. pieces or chunks of memory that store outcomes and a way of evaluating all the chunks outcomes - or something like that. (I was a pro contract programmer in a previous life)