ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 15 มี.ค. 2020
- I’ve been stuck at home for a week after the coronavirus outbreak has halted the world… so I decided to watch Contagion.
_________
Music by Tom Fox Music:
tfbeats.com/
Follow me:
/ caya.photo
/ caya_c137
______
The 2011 film, written by Scott Z. Burns and directed by Steven Soderbergh, depicts a worldwide outbreak of a deadly virus… sound familiar?
So I decided to compare everything thees guys got right, and everything they got wrong.
It’s quite remarkable to see a film almost a decade old, so accurately depict the reality of, possibly, the largest pandemic we have seen this century.
I’ll refer to three points specifically,
- Disease origin.
- Transmission speed.
- The impact of misinformation.
Probably the most shocking match with reality is that the fictitious MEV-1 disease depicted in the movie originates from animals. From bats to pigs, to humans.
The information we have today about COVID-19 tells us that it too has an animal origin: a bat, to a pangolin, to finally reach humans.
It is believed that the disease made its way from a bat to a pangolin in a wet market, specifically, this market in Wuhan where wildlife is traded. The conditions of the market, where animals are stacked on top of each other likely created a similar deadly coincidence.
Now, while only a small portion of the Chinese population consumes wildlife animals, the highly contagious nature of COVID-19 allowed it to quickly spread from patient zero, into the city of Wuhan.
Which brings me to the next point, transmission speed.
The reproduction number is used to estimate and represent how quickly a disease can spread. We use a similar number in the startup world to estimate when a product is ‘viral’, meaning, users that convert other users.
Like COVID-19, the fictitious virus is respiratory and can live in surfaces, fomites (18:28), for several hours or even days- making it all that easy to transmit.
In the film, patient zero contracts the virus in Hong Kong, which is technically another match, and imports it to the US. We see little of the development of the pandemic in other countries, but in the US, it spreads extremely fast.
While MEV-1 and COVID-19 share a similar R-naught factor, in the film, 125+ million people are infected about a month after patient zero.
Patient Zero for the US showed up on January 19th, about two months before I shot this video, and while testing hasn’t been the most efficient in the country, the official estimate today is about 1,500 infected.
In the film, the response from health authorities and the government was prompt, with quarantine zones established as soon as 14 days after the first death.
However, it’s the impact and dynamics of misinformation and mass hysteria, where we can find eerie similarities with our 2020 reality.
Distrust in the government and fake news. In the movie, they are represented by Jude Law’s character, a blogger that, while credited with noticing the epidemic early on, begins disseminates false theories, with no other seeming purpose than generating traffic for his website and chaos.
Alan fakes contracting the disease and fakes getting better using a natural extract called Forsythia.
Forsythia is a real herb, used to treat bronchitis and believed to help reduce inflammation, but even today, without sufficient evidence to be used in medicine. Alan’s claims release chaos as misinformed masses begin to try to get their hands on the extract.
Similarly, a group of conspiracy theorists including Alex Jones has begun promoting Micro-Particle Colloidal Silver Generator that “beats coronavirus”, claiming they have “clinical documentation” to prove it. A cease and desist was issued by the NY Attorney General, but we are yet to find out if it does anything to stop them.
We are, of course, also seeing shortages with masks (which have been advised against by the World Health Organization), hand sanitizer and… toilet paper for some reason.
When a vaccine is developed in the film (incorrectly, just 133 days after patient zero), Jude Law’s character threatens to continue misinforming his followers about the potential side effects of the vaccine. Including autism.
The film also taunts at misinformed government officials.
Which is just icing on the cake after seeing this go down in our real-world White House.
As for what comes next, the film predicts a suspension in basic services, food shortages, and mass graves. Let’s hope we don’t see any of that.
Using this opportunity to remind everyone that washing your hands with soap is the best route. Soap is the best agent to break down the protein and lipid walls of the virus.
I took an epidemics class in college, my prof was a working public health professional. We did a unit where we fact checked movies about epidemics, and our prof said Contagion was the most accurate to what would happen if we were to have a pandemic. But he insisted “that will never happen, because we are too well prepared to handle it.” I wish I could talk to him now!
He probably didn't know the president wasn't interested, and loved golfing
Probably wasn't even wrong. The US at least was very well prepared before the 45th president dismantled the epidemic response systems
Hawaii is falling apart right now and tourists literally don’t give a fuck
100% it's not zoonotic
@@mollistuff that's pretty ignorant. 44th president wasn't better prepared for a pandemic.
Contagion clearly overestimated the will of government to help their citizens, and clearly underestimated the stupidity of people.
In contagion the virus had a 30% mortality rate, while covid has a 0.5% mortality rate. I think that is the difference.
For example in Holland there are some regions which are more religious, you'd expect them to be more anti-vaccine, but they aren't, because those areas got hit the hardest with covid. People really change their behavior based on how severe the situation is. In regions where covid had less impact there is less willingness to vaccinate.
Btw if 30% of everybody is going to die, government officials would want to stop the virus out of fear for their own life. And they'll want to stop the virus out of fear for their own career, since if they don't seem to do enough against it, at least they'll not get elected again.
@@kedrednael In regions where covid had less impact there is less willingness to vaccinate. the greatest region in terms of vaccine hesitancy in the us is the south. the place currently experiencing the worst impacts is the south. while i understand that the US usually takes the short bus, i'm not sure that's a correct premise.
@@ethanstump Yet they're also a bunch of trump supporters aren't they?
@@ethanstump in July-August 2021, we had the worst impact here in Indonesia. It made vaccination rate climbed up really fast, the government made it mandatory to travel & work. Now I think we are doing better, no more ambulance sirens every hour, BOR are reduced dramatically. I believe vaccine really works.
@@kedrednael I dont see being religious is a big factor, maybe its just me, the main cause is ignorance and falsehood, and anyone spreading those for clouts
There was a saying, Trust in God but Tie Your Camel, Have faith but dont be foolish
"Let's hope we don't get to see any of that."
Welp, we kinda did.
You seen many mass graves? Where iam from flu kills same amount of People In a year as covid
Only with a mostly harmless virus.
My home town had mobile morgues after the first wave because we couldn’t process and bury the dead fast enough.
@@finjakke mostly harmless unless it kills you, or leaves you with long term medical issues or something. Honestly do you fucking hear yourself? You're trying to downplay COVID cause you heared one source say one time it's as bad as the flu so that's what you blindly accept? Despite most credible sources saying we should take this seriously your selfish ass is going to condemn the lives of millions because you don't want to look like an alarmist. Honestly if that's all you have to add to the conversation fuck right off.
@@Hamieee thank you. Was just about to say the same thing. We’re almost 2 years into this thing and the fact that *certain* people are still sticking their heads in the sand baffles me.
I remember back in December 2019/January 2020 all the news reports about a new pneumonia-type illness and just thinking I felt like it was a movie line. Watching the hysteria happen live in just three months was so odd, and seeing this video at the beginning of the lockdowns is such a time capsule. We, humans, are sadly so predictable.
I remember the hospitals were overwhelmed Because of those stupid people that weren’t listening.. I felt so bad for healthcare workers putting the there lives at risk all because they didn’t wanna follow safety guidelines.
@@JessicaGarcia-xf9wr and a lot of these health officials lied
Look up the term 'predictive programming' and it will make much more sense
My sons and i were returning from the Caribbean on a cruise ship when we heard the announcement which seemingly no one heard due to having just heard about Koby's death...
I watch Chinese news and I clearly remember in November of 19 there were lines of people outside pharmacies and the pharmacy staff were wearing full hazmat suits. Then December of 19, Chinese people were in hospitals angry because family members were dying and hospitals couldn’t give answers. I told my coworkers about a new virus and they thought I was crazy. I brought mask and everything. I saw the pandemic happening and prepared my family for it. I’m saying all of that to say; do not trust the media. Do what is best for you. The media legit gave wrong information in the beginning. I even had a friend in Japan right before the pandemic and when he came to the United States he was shocked no one was wearing a mask.
2011: We're the audience.
2020: We're all involuntary actors. 😟
The elites often tell us their plans in plays and on TV. 90's TV is full of predictive programming.
Biggest break I'm ever gonna get in my acting career😂
Yeah and I am probably that background supporting character that dies in it.
Looking at the way how it's going in India.
@@veryconfused9768 rip you brother
But we are not getting our payment 😭😭
I mean contagion didnt get anything wrong, they simply had a deadlier virus.
Not sure if there’s a scenario where a virus could spread that fast.
@@Sundara229 Imagine the pandemic starting with the Delta variant.
@@halbgefressen9768 oh god
didn't the healthcare oficials react sooner and yet the virus spread farther? in the movie i mean
@@olegoleg258 Yep, in the movie, the disease still spread despite action on part of healthcare and government officials.
An update part 2 on this now we’re 21 months into the pandemic would be interesting to watch!
Yeah I was shocked he uploaded in March 2020 where so much more has happened
(update)
Anthony Fauci the man who proclaim to be the expert was actually the main financier of the virus in the Wuhan lab
What a twist
for me the most striking difference was that in the movie people were talking to each other without keeping distance... little detail they missed
326.68M confirmed cases with 5.55M death right now so yeah it would be interesting so see a comparison with such high numbers as well.
@@johnnydeleon8210 Most people digitally chipped maybe do you think?
I remember watching this movie and playing Plague Inc I think it was called when it first came out in high school, and I vividly remember saying to my friend “thank god this shit won’t happen to us in real life”… little did we know
Contagion hired scientists and epidemiologists to provide advice on what they would expect from such a pandemic. Hence, the major accuracy.
Predictive Programming. Considering Rockefeller Foundation wrote Lockstep 2020 in 2010. Hmmmm
Sounds more like predictive programming to me. Just like Bill Gates had been years talking about vaccines and viruses... By the way, he and Fauci say that there are more viruses coming on the way...
@@somedude2853 There are more viruses coming. I'm sure this won't be the last pandemic. Hopefully it won't be soon and it won't be worse. I don't even hope people will learn from this because nobody learned from the Spanish flu of 1918.
China funded this movie and released virus after 10 years
They worked with the CDC in the making of themovie. Great film!
The biggest difference though is that MEV-1 was more deadly than SARS-CoV-2. Had COVID had a higher death rate, things would have gotten much worse.
I wonder if that's true...
I think that if COVID had a higher mortality rate, we wouldn't have all these anti-vaxxers and deniers saying dumb shit like "it doesn't exist!" or "it's just a flu!"
It seems to me that everytime they see someone survive it (like Trump) it just emboldens them to say "See? That guy got it and he's fine! It's not so bad!"
Deadly viruses cannot be as contagious as covid,as their hosts die to quickly to actually trasmit the virus (at least globally).That is why ebola did not become a worldwide pandemic.
@@seethrough9115 with the ability to travel around the globe within less than a day, any virus could become a global public health concern if it is easily transmissible such as by respiratory droplets or direct contact.
What i am saying is that covid could not have been deadly as the virus depicted in the movie and as contagious at the same time."Theoretically, a highly successful virus would be one that managed to combine fast replication with a long period of infectiousness, during which its host was well enough to mingle with lots of other hosts that these new viral particles could transmit to"
@@seethrough9115 I disagree. With an incubation of at least a couple days, any viral respiratory infection could….look at the flu pandemics of the past.
I remember watching this movie for the first time during the first lockdown and I was amazed how accurately it described the global situation.
It tells you a lot about the tremendous work of research and writing behind it.
I think the most important difference between the movie and reality is the incubation period. In the movie the incubation period is rather shot, so the virus seems unstopable. In reality the oposite is the case. Covid-19 has a rather long incubation period, so an infected - not knowing he is a spreader - can spread the disease.
Maybe if the incubation period would have been shorter, patients showing sympthos earlier, it would have been easier to contain the infected. Provided the will, to shut down borders and internationl traffic to an absolute minimum, of course.
The virus was also killing 1/4 to 1/5 people REGARDLESS OF AGE. That's a 20-25% kill rate, which is insane, and as a result society actually sort of collapsed in the movie because of how many people ended up dying after about a year (I think its 200-400 million). If COVID had been killing that many people regardless of age/health/whatever the world would be a lot different than it is today, also there would be no anti vaxxers cause they would either be completely wiped out, or would at least have all suffered getting sick.
nah then irl businesses tried to use greed as a legit reason when in reality the economic impact was worse since it would keep areas closed longer.
They need to remake it or a sequel. Show how dumb scared and panicked and incoherent people can be and act when faced with a killer virus.
"The film predicts a suspension on basic services, food shortages and mass graves, lets hope we don't get to see any of that."
"18 Nov 2020 - As NYC has become overwhelmed during the COVID-19 pandemic, thousands of New Yorkers have been buried in mass graves on Hart Island."
Yeah, about that
India
Italy...
Brazil
I'll just continue the trend from the previous commenters:
Mention random country in the hope that it'll distract from how the people of the supposedly "greatest country on earth" can't even figure out the right answer to "do you want to die horribly or not?"
Florida
Please create an update video now that we are almost 2 years into Covid! Would be really amazing to see your analysis
I agree
Definately. I really went ooof at his last statement hopefully there won't be mass graves...
@@ksara2883 Vaccine is already out.
@@ksara2883 So there shouldn't be mass graves. Death rate is only 2% for the virus.
@@ksara2883 Maybe in poor regions there might be mass graves due to lack of access to basic medical supplies.
I remember watching this in my Bio class and the teacher said that a worldwide pandemic such as in Contagion could definitely occur in the future. Everyone was disturbed, including me, and here we are. That was three years ago.
Now please look up how much “EVENT 201” (2019) got right about the COVID Pandemic ... Insanely coincidental just months before the outbreak …
Love your videos^^^
What a coincidence lol
Before anyone gets their panties too much in a twist. WE HAVE KNOWN this was a risk for well over 10 years and several groups had tried to raise the alarm. Sadly they where ignored, or worse in the US the government under trump UNDID the preparation work done by previous governments.
Unsurprisingly, experts knew exactly how this would happen because they're smart and prepared. Then idiots messed everything up by not listening
How’s it a coincidence? Corona viruses have existed since the dawn of man. We deal with them every year; I.e the flu.
COVID-19 is called covid 19 as this strain began going widespread in 2019.
Almost every year we have movies come out about these pandemics.
Why are they accurate? Because the WHO, CDC, and other health officials are constantly planning for, studying, and researching how viruses can potentially become serious pandemics…
generally movies are based on reality, but here reality is based on movie.
Predictive programming
Or the Chinese saw the movie and then got this to reality
@@rigsrecorigsreco6741 maybe. Can't ignored the reality.
This is always the drill for pandemic check out history regarding previous pandemic and epidemic, especially the spanish flu.
Yup. Spooky..
It's uncanny how close the movie is to current reality.
well, to be fair, the protocols are in place for such an event... it's researchable.
Aldz Bus haha true
Aldz Bus mass graves everywhere now
In Ecuador, too.
@@shivjivishnujikalkiavtaar1219 Idiot like you still believe that kind of bullsht theorist when the facts about the virus is already in your face.
The virus in Contagion had a much higher fatality rate. Just imagining COVID with a higher death rate is horrifying to think about.
Real chaos would ensue most likely atleast for the first 6 months of the pandemic. People would stockpile food and other resources for up to atleast 2 or more years (most likely more). Then there would be peace for about a year and a half then when everyone runs out of stuff the chaos will resume…
Now that the world has apparently decided that the virus is here to stay, I guess we'll just have to wait until it mutates into a deadlier form.
I wonder how anti-vaxxers would be beholden to their ideals with a 10% kill rate.
We will 100% see a new virus to be more deadly in the upcoming years . Even quoted by Biden himself
Our race would’ve been on the brink of extinction by now
This turned out to be way too accurate for comfort.
Granted, the hypothetical virus in the movie was more deadly than covid, but fucking hell xD
@Nathan Myers given that no people of colour were murdered by a cop in broad daylight, there wasn’t really a reason to have a protest against the police in this movie.
@Nathan Myers I said “people of colour”, apparently you heard me say “criminals”. Says more about you than it says about me.
predictive programming....
When Contagion first came out, I watched an early showing and the lower third of the theater was filled with medical assistant trainees from a local technical college. It was so spot on, watching it counted as training.
Liar
@@akmoss3092 so you checked all cinemas of the world and concluded no doctors have bin there?
AK Moss is right. He’s lying. What kind of medical program at a college is going to tell workers to go see a movie for training? What if they get questioned “where did you get your training?” And they reply “I saw it in a movie”.
Ridiculous and stupid.
@@SgtDomeshot Well, its totally possible that it was part of their education...just that they had to write a text afterwards about it discussing how close to reality it could be and what decisions certain people made were good/bad.
Its a pretty common metod here in sweden and we have such tasks about every other month i would say!
We were actually told about a book about a European blackout. (Energy engineering). We talked about the research the author did and looked closer into the potential mechanism of failure and restoring the grid.
So yes, if a movie is that factual about a hypothetical it does provide a good starting point in a training program.
fun fact: the hospital they used was actually converted into a covid overflow facility
Wow Really?
Wait for real?
😄😄 "FUN fact"!!🤣🤣
For real? What is it?
@@solidgalaxy3339 Training camps @ 8,277′ … Longhorn crazy ants are being trained to roll the gurneys
There should be a television series adaptation to Contagion.
omfg i almost choked at "i've been stuck at home for a week" LOL
The fact that a movie dating back in 2011 managed to capture more than I would say is 80% of what has happened with the Covid Pandemic, goes to show we human are so predictable. We fall into the same mistakes despite us having science and math telling us not to fall into those mistakes. Despite all that, we still conclude that we are the rational beings of the Universe. It's quite comical when you think about it.
And scary that it is actually really fragile.
Humanity isn’t predictable. We just stupid
@@RaptureHead1993 the stupidity is what makes us predictable
How do we know this movie wasn't used as a script for the current events? There are psychos out there that would such a thing regardless of any denial of that possibly happening..
@@ghendric You have it the wrong way around. This movie used previous events as a script. Just put Spanish flu and people behavior's from other pandemics/ disasters in current day and you have this movie. This movie takes the science and the past seriously.
A realistic, well researched movie about a pandemic will resemble a real pandemic in many ways.
Covid is way less dangerous than the virus in this movie btw.
Current events are way better explained by accidentally leaked virus or virus from animal market, combined with normal human behavior and some incompetence. That's something scientists have been warning about for years, because pandemics happen sometimes and the danger is underestimated. Secret powerful psycho's are not needed at all.
Around @1:41, please respect the man who fell on the floor. The original clip said that he was a doctor who worked for many long hours. He was on his way home here but due to extreme exhaustion and lack of sleep he collapsed.
Then he had a seizure
Next time I collapse i'll get someone to film it and put a caption over it saying i'm a doctor and i'm extremely exhausted due to being a hero fighting the deadly corona virus too.
@@joshua4185 lol. Maybe it's a surveillance camera
@@joshua4185 In china, it would be really surprising if there weren't any sec cams in cities
@@HideOnMada Yes. My post was satire exploiting how people for whatever reason read some comment on the internet from someone they don't know and treat it as gospel.
I would love to see an updated version of this video. I always liked Contagion and this is a great comparison!
I'm not gonna lie...i got tearful and panicked a bit looking back to what happened last year. As a front line health care professional, I was right in the middle of it. I was in the good end of the spectrum but nevertheless a devastating reality. I hope we have gone past the worst.
As an Exorcist I assure you both the COVID and the vaccine are doing the same thing, and all is planned and not by coincidence.
The spirits know a lot about the secrets of humans. My gifts are from God.
its just gone now right? nobody thinks of it ... cause its not pushed down our throats.
"...and mass graves. Let's hope we don't get to see that" Anyone else think about the mass graves they started digging temporarily in NY?
Hart Island? That actually happens all the time you just don't hear about it. Hart Island is the place the unclaimed dead are buried
@@AdamSmith-gs2dv yep. Soilders that were never identified as far back as ww1
I did. Ignore those other fools in the comments
India saw plenty of mass -graves- cremations during covid
@Wary Trout covid is deadly look at india
As a Indian Idk what to say the second wave here is much worse than last year, this is the time People I've known for long are dying because of lack of oxygen this scares the hell out of me I never felt this way last year every day I'm just thankful to be alive.
😂😂😂
True man
India never witnessed pandemic situation in last 50 years,it's worst then the wars.
As per media third wave too in upcoming times !
God knows the reality what is in store for the humanity
@@seldon3735 lol
I haven't seen someone died inside home, but In hospital there are minimal chances they get back home alive.
Sending prayers your way 🙏🏼
The irony of this movie is that in real life the world health organization and cdc are the ones who completely dropped the ball, and the people (although they did stupid things like buy a shitload of toiletpaper) for the most part stayed very calm. They certainly didn't start looting and abandoning their jobs.
It wasn’t 1 in 4 death rate though like the film
Fun fact
I took a health class the December before the pandemic started and we watched this movie. Covid hit right after we watched it. So yeah 2020 was a surreal year for me.
oh wow. that is surreal
“Hopefully their won’t be any mass graves”
Me: Oh this didn’t age well
oof
Aged like milk.
They were digging mass graves in New York well before your comment.
Hart Island has been constantly used as a dumping ground for the corpses of the improvised for centuries.
Oh no.
This video needs a part 2. It's one year after the outbreak.
Especially with Jude Law's character being against the vaccine
In my country outbreak is happening now 😭😭 and at last year we were enjoying because we were safe at that time
Have you not watched part 2 Pandemic, the next outbreak - Worldwar Z, same hero😉
@@anengineer152 do you have any information about the new virus?
@@pheonixxam5812 it mutates very fast and spread easily
Thank you for making this.
the lesson to learn from Covid-19 (and every other Pandemic throughout history) is to be create a culture of hygiene.
ewwwwwwww
“Hopefully we don’t get to that” referring to the mass graves. NYC is burying bodies in mass graves in Hart Island.
Yup saw a photo the other day. An eerie instance of life imitating art.
Unfortunately they have been doing that for decades. New York have always buried their indigent dead on Hart Island. It's only now that people are paying attention.
Yep
Ohh shit
@@sth128 that's nothing go back in time and watch me in the Holocaust and how the Nazis were doing experiment with the Jews and prisoners of war also this coronavirus is bio-weapon
“Hopefully we won’t have mass graves”
This aged like milk
We all thought we were in contagion turns out we're in v for vendetta
Not to mention the state of how bad it is in India
@@katieturows7579 India and Brazil is really fucked right now.. there are now covid patients inside india who are getting black fungus now too.
@@SuperVoidBoyz I've got ass chafing.
Yep
An update would be nice especially with the ivermectin stuff, misinformations and the vaccines being available now
I'd love to see this video revisited, so much has changed since March 2020
I think we could all agree that the single biggest detail that Contagion missed was hands-down the GPU WARS.
I'd say they also missed on that virus would escape lab in China. I mean US paying big dollars towards corona virus research in a laboratory inside communist China. What could go wrong? We had viruses escape labs in UK, in US - luckily all situations got contained - and we enforced very strict regulations because of these few incidents. Meanwhile in Wuhan lab they were literally pouring out viruses down the kitchen sink once they done examining them. But I guess in 2010 it would been out-of-fashion to say anything bad towards communists.
Still the biggest miss IMHO is that of US president suggesting injecting disinfectant to treat virus. Nothing tops that.
@@sk-sm9sh It truly has been a remarkable couple of years.
What is the GPU wars?
@@OktoberVanderslice You basically can not get Graphics Cards (GPUs) at MSRP:)
@@joramsim which is why a new computer was on top of my list to buy, even before toilet paper.
"Let's hope that we don't get to see any of that."
Oh boy, I have bad news
Dude all the quote on quote “similarities” also match the description of ALL pandemics through out history they take all these lessons and make a big one
"The film predicts... mass graves. Let's hope we don't see any of that."
Well.
Whoops
@linguini boi Maybe not in America, but India now and Italy then are 2 good examples of basically mass graves.
@linguini boi There were a few mass graves actually. The only reason why there aren't more is because people don't like them. Funeral homes and morgues run out of space every time there is a surge in cases. There was major news months ago about bodies having to be stored in refrigerated trucks
@linguini boi There were literally mass graves in NYC.
Yeah no, but you should pray to God we don’t reach 1 million confirmed American death.
Chinese after a pandemic is cured: Let’s go back to selling wildlife animals again!!!
Nature: How many times do we have to teach you this lesson old man?!?!?
Maybe 3 or more corona virus variations should do the trick
Until they decide to eat rock
Pictures of Chinese COVID-19 mass graves suggest 650,000 deaths +
You can still make memes while you can, until everything is seriously contagious..
It is mathematically IMPOSSIBLE to have a simulation of 3 variables, virus, pandemic, global financial collapse on 18 October 2019, Event 201 and then in less than 30 days in mid November 2019 ALL of those EXACT variables are met and result in reality. The math does not lie, nor is the math incorrect. It is mathematically impossible. IMPOSSIBLE.
Please create an update video now that we are 3 years into Covid! Would be really amazing to see your analysis 01/01/2023
Great work! I’ve never watched this movie but now I’m interested
Now mass grave sequence is more grime than movie in India.
because it's India
@@crazyfool4231 what u mean? Next can be USA.
@@Mohitkumar-mv8mj USA is not a third world country. it can look after itself and it's peoples
@@crazyfool4231 first of all , get the definition of a "third world country" and then talk.
I understand that govt of my country sucks, but that doesn't define the whole nation.
Also, don't forget to check the death rates of ur so called "first world countries". USA is still at the top. Not to forget , UK also made the list after a new mutation was found. The problem is ofc the govt.
Govt can be corrupt in any country including the developed ones.
@@crazyfool4231 take your hate up your arse and go back to school karen
"I've been stuck in my home for a week"
Me in Lockdown for A year now : 😭😭😭😭😭
At least, you are stuck safely and alive. Stay safe and thankful!
Over over a year
Get vaccinated and avoid long covid.
sitting here in Australia watching the way they do lottery draws on who gets the vaccine & when they get to escape their homes, cause we're all locked down until our turn for the vaccine now in NSW/Sydney
It is Ok to go out as long as u wear a good mask and wash hands. I have been to all stores and many offices. No vaccine. So far so good. I don't wear shoes inside my place. I wear the designated slippers inside. Fear had been created whatever the reason is. Do not watch too much left wing media news. Good clean masks, washing hands, daily dose of vitamin c, and daily exercise outdoor. Don't be afraid and find a way to enjoy your life.
the only parts they got wrong were overestimating government competence and severely underestimating human stupidity.
Crazy that, for some reason, I didn't realize the blogger was FAKING both contracting and healing from the virus all to just gain traffic to his website. I thought he was just making a theory that the certain drug would help people recover from it.
I just picked up on something new. Thanks, Caya
When you have to put a caption in the video to help you differentiate film from reality, you know it's pretty accurate..
The exact same comment as the one I've seen further up the line. Who stole? Or are you both bots?
@@xeyros Wait till you learn about copy pasting.
Is there an updated version of this? I'd kind of like to see what you think in September of 2021
.
Truth doesn't matter.
@@tonycomb7689 sure it does…
doesn't matter to sheep
@@mtbjorng5166 They're sheepal a giant herd
Mass grave happened in amazon state here in Brazil, the shortage of hospitalar O2, made some scenes pretty similar to the movie where the health system couldn't handle anymore and corpses stack.
Interesting to see this in middle of 2021.
Its scary how these movies are telling us whats really out there and has been for a long time.
I think they use films to preprogramme people so we are more accepting of the status quo.
im not liking since there is 69 likes
@@test-jt5el a like says I agree with the statement.
@@katherinegeorge4945 that's what i call simulation movies. I found many of them: Red Dawn, Independence Day, the Battle of Los Angeles, The Road, The Book of Eli, The Matrix, and all dystopian movies.
Yet it's not every simulation was good enough.
Might be the matrix and death is actually been released from it
Never tought when i first saw this movie it would become real years later. Lockdowns, night curfew, social distancing and travel bans. It is lasting for more than a year now. Beter times are on the horizon but the impact wil last a lifetime.
@The turtle ???
it's somehow comforting to know that i've wound up in a version of reality that's slightly more cartoonish than most people's darkest fantasies.
Watching in September 21 and this video is like a time capsule.
They even got the looting right, this is insane.
Because shit like this happened during the SARS outbreak in 2002-2004
Bobspineable but it happened for the same reasons. People because of lockdowns were put into financial struggles, and because much of the emergency services were preoccupied, people began to steal and loot.
This is one of the dumbest comments I've read on TH-cam. What the fuck are you talking about? Nobody has looted because of coronavirus you dumb fuck. Are you not able to tell the difference between two different stories in the news? Is that hard for you? People have been in denial over coronavirus, they have not panicked or looted.
@@deer105 It's called predictive programming, they can put something else in (in this case looting) and even if it doesn't fit the event they can easily provide other events that can happen simultaneously that will produce the other desired effect.
@@deer105 Many are in fact panicking, they're afraid of what they can't see with their own eyes and are distrustful of their own closest relatives visiting them in the name of health and safety, the only problem is that this was just the breeding ground for seeing if the world is ripe for the plucking of the next phase of this global plan for complete control over our very lives.
We are living in a scary crazy world. That movie is a big massive reality check for the future!!
It’s all about their agenda .. when the girl open the box and see what is whritten : be ready at 8...
it’s mean 8 years so 2019 when the corona appears
You are correct th-cam.com/video/DKlPFpgRcW0/w-d-xo.html
The camera man are the astronauts
૨σყαℓ ƭεε check thé scène here vm.tiktok.com/tUdhXf/. The shape above the box looks like the virus shape
@ilias chobxl , THATS FREAKY😲
A rare case where a movie is more truthful than reality itself.
Petition for @Caya to do a part 2 a year after the events!
Contagion was inspired by the 2008 sars virus outbreak
And since COVID is very similar to the sars virus, there are a lot of similarities between COVID and the movie
As he said in the video, the scientific/medical name for it is SARS-COV-2. All coronaviruses (title for the respiratory virus group, not an alternative name for specifically Covid-19 (like many news outlets, medical folk, etc are using it when they just call it 'coronavirus')) are similar from the common cold and the flu to SARS, MERS, and Covid-19, functioning the same way just varying in severity and how easily transmittable they are. Generally the easier they spread they less severe they are to contract, but Covid-19 sits somewhere in the middle where it's multiple times as deadly as the flu but also spreads quite easily too.
If a coronavirus is severe enough to kill everyone who contracts it quite quickly, then it can't spread very far as the person can't come into contact with many other people between contracting it and isolation through fatigue prior to death. Likewise if you had a cold, a much less severe coronavirus, it's not likely to fatigue you to the point you can't still go to work, shops, etc, at least not for a while, so you can come into contact with many other people and surfaces and spread it very easily and it can go through a population very quickly.
@@markwright3161 Was it configured that way in a lab, is the question.
COVID is a SARS virus. It’s really called SARS COVID-2 2019.
@@sukhbirnaidu4360 no. Most viruses come from animals. When you live closer to animals you will experience more of these viruses. Small pox, anthrax and diphtheria all have their origins in animals.
Was actually based on the Nipah virus, which attacks the body in b the same way as the virus in the movie. They gave it wings in the movie, allowing for the virus to essentially evolve into a transmissible virus, whereas Nipah is transmissible from infected animals into humans.
Fun fact, one of the contagion script writter was a doctor in real life.. She's a epidemic investigator.
SARS, MERS, Ebola was under her study.
And now covid19.
I forget the name but you can google it.. There's an interview with her and she said she's one of the 3 writers there.
So covid 19 in other words bio-weapon 105
@@AlejandroP1980s yes
@@SciPunk just to clear things up, the reason there are so many coincidences is because they used science to predict the most likely origins for a virus and the effects on population. while i dont entirely discard conspiracies, i find it really ignorant to think just because this movie is similar to reality it means it was all planned.
it's so good to finally see some people that don't just look at the news all day and then say that that's the reality we live in
ah, i love getting this recommended ten years after the movie was out
This is when a film became a documentary!
As if covid is nearly as dangerous as the virus in contagion
@@NotSomeOrdinaryGuy Jesus maybe calm down a bit, your going everywhere trying to outsmart people
@@lil_katz7682 oh, I don't have to TRY to outsmart people. They do it themselves
@@NotSomeOrdinaryGuy they outsmart themselves?
@@batmanwholaughs3462 indeed
I rewatched this recently, in the movie they reduced the incubation period to a few days instead of the two weeks we have with COVID. You’ll need to update your video with the mass graves in New York.
@@shivjivishnujikalkiavtaar1219 it's sad that morons like you exist
@@shivjivishnujikalkiavtaar1219 lol
This is true but the fictional MEV-1 virus also has a significantly higher fatality rate than COVID-19. I believe it was around 20% or so compared to the 1% we are currently seeing with COVID.
@@EldritchAugur COVID-19 has a higher fatality rate than 1%
@@BlackJoker10 You're correct. I haven't checked the numbers in quite some time and the estimate has currently jumped to around 3.4%. Still bad but nowhere near as deadly as the fictional virus from the film thankfully.
The public hysteria wasn't as bad in real life probably because it wasn't as deadly. I knew a lot of young people who didn't give a shit simply because we knew we'd probably be fine even if we got it. If it was as deadly as it was in the movie we would have freaked out way harder.
"Let's hope we don't get to see any of that." Aged well.
In school we used to write essays about save water plant trees , global warming, green house emissions etc but nobody is doing anything for future generations
dot edu is in with the conspirators!
Greta Thumberg is!
@@ogunyemid who?
@@b-zar8912 A Girl with a Minecraft Head
we are finally making progress with the transition to cleaner energy systems, it just took this long for it be significant.
I remember seeing this film for the first time in theatres and hyperventilating through it. Makes me have a deeper appreciation for what we have all been forced to normalize over the last year. We are not okay
I'm watching this in almost Q4 of 2021 and looking back, and forward- it's scary how accurate contagion was. I remember sitting in the movie theater(back when we used to do that) on release weekend and everyone left the theater quietly because the movie was just "creepy"- like it could never happen, as if it were an insane dramatization and hyperbole of H1N1. Fast forward 10 years and now I feel like Contagion should be a legal requirement to have in all educational curriculums. This video was made last year just as the pandemic started in the US in full force; @Caya says he hopes we don't see mass graves or food shortages, but we did and we are. This movie is so accurate it even depicted the social media influencer misinformation craze that's still happening literally today. If only we took Hollywood more seriously just this once.
I was about to question if "Reality" was a movie then I realised I had zero brain cells.
That film predicted everything with an accuracy of 99.9%
It's not predicted it's pre planned just about it.
May be they created it after watching that movie who knows
@@Sharadhi they scripted in reality coz aftr covid spread all over the world then Chinese govt sealed thr international borders. Don't thy knew this earlier whn it was spreading in Wuhan city how contagious it was y did thy need to sht down aftr March whn it was spread all othr countries this create suspicion and also what happens in China doesn't comes out by media.
99.9% LOL ? Stop talking out of your ass to sound like you got any clue, wtf
All the way down to inconsistent mask usage. There is only one guy wearing a duck mask in a gov't facility.
“and mass graves. let’s hope we don’t get any of that”
a month later oh boy
Us : That didn't age damn well.
578k( in us) deaths o boy that didn't age well
Mass grave happened in every country
Happening in India smh
@@mohiththiyagu6217 lol yes situation here is scary . govt is least concern they were carrying out huge election rallies 15to 20 before
You know it's close when you have to label whether the images are from the movie or real life
Any chance of doing a recap? I'd certainly watch it
Bruh, this is a never ending nightmare
@Jonas Åström ahahah this is like an answer to "Tell me you are living in a first world country (or a country w good management) without telling me you are living in a first world country" lol
@@skop3569 it's not ending in first world countries either. Most people globally are wilfully ignorant, deluded, or seem fed up with doing the right thing due to their immaturity and lack of communal responsibility. This may be the one to end humanity, and it will all be down to our collective hedonism and delusion (i.e. waging wars during a pandemic? Stupid politics around producing and distributing vaccines both worldwide and domestically? Get vaxxed once, but then go to bars, huge markets and clubs unmasked because you're "protected"? willing the old and the sick to die off just so you can enjoy meeting your friends again and because "they would have died anyway"?) and extreme selfishness. This is a worldwide problem and it won't go away as long as we don't collectively change our thoughts on what is important: humanity or hedonism. A view from the "third world".
@@sitandchill2897 i guess you are fed up with the people's bullshit and you are angry to lots of people and i totally understand you and agree with you. But it is worth mentioning that mental health and the will for the "normal" is needed too. And we need to loosen our limitations for that. I definitely do not support people who do not wear masks in a situation where they can! I agree. But if you dont have an open-air option, eat in that cafe with your friends (naturally, without a mask). Try to find a uncrowded cafe, try to find an open-air option, put your mask while you dont eat like waiting for your order BUT dont miss that social eating with your friends because you couldnt find such a place. People need to do the best they can for themselves, society, elderly and sick while also considering effects of constantly thinking about the limitations and sacrificing the possibility of lots of interaction, experiences and memories for a long and still indefinite period of time. This is not selfishness or irresponsibility, this is not just enjoying a club, this a serious need and it is as important as physiological health. So try to empatize with those you see who may be listening music first time from not a headphone or may be having their only the second meal outside with a friend in this 1.5 year. Everyone draws this "precaution/mental need" line at a different point because everyone has different lifes that bring different needs.
@@skop3569 Based Skop.
@@skop3569 i think it is more important to find a new normal within your means than to return to an old normal that increases the spreading of disabling illness: phone calls and video calls instead of face-to-face interactions, music livestreams over in-person clubs and concerts, carry out meals & dine inside home instead of competing with others for limited seating and open-air space
it is not ideal, yet it would still satisfy the psychological needs for interaction, experiences, and memories
safety is not a limit to fulfillment, it is a right to allow for others who need to risk in-person contact for food/medicine/hygiene shopping, for work and for helping others
sincerely, someone who's circumstantially been a hermit before the pandemic even started
Two big differences;
For one, thankfully, it ended up that fomite transmission of covid was pretty rare. I think there's only been a small handful of confirmed fomite transmitted cases, the virus just isn't viable for more than a few minutes on any surface, even if the viral particles are there .
For another, the virus in contagion is far more deadly, although that makes covid even more insidious because it becomes easy to justify to oneself that you won't get it
Haven't heard the short viability on surfaces, aerosols (tiny spit droplets) can hang in the air for hours...
@@annejeppesen160
Yeah, the main mitigation for covid is mask usage, specifically GOOD mask usage. Honestly there should be a public health campaign to get an n95 in the hands of every person on earth
Well, that's sadly not true.
On plastic & steel the virus was identifiable for up to 3 days. Those were early results even from 2020
@@levnzt6949
Identifiable and able to infect are two different things, I'm going by more recent studies.
It's looking like being on a surface for even a little bit of time deactivates covid for....reasons?
I mean, wash your hands anyway, but prioritize a good mask and good mask usage over that
1/3 death rate for MEV 5%< covid
Shortages in a pandemic:
Film: Essential supply like food
Reality: Toilet paper
In my opinion the film is not close enough to reality
That's just an American thing, use a fu fucking bidet
MEV-1 was a hemorrhagic fever and COVID-19 is an acute respiratory infection. That’s also a distinction we should consider
Its not that they predicted it... They were giving us a warning and glimpse of the future. Which is why the simpsons "predicted" so many future events. They are giving us our timeline....
Yes, there were scientific journal articles, I think I saw a piece about one from 2007, warning of exactly what has occurred."
Remember the Halloween episode? Lara Trump 2028.
Bingo
Brainwashed manchurian candidates...scary and deadly in equal parts.
Created or predicted. re-think.
Oooh I watched this when it came out with a bunch of second-year microbiology and epidemiology students. We were prepared to rip it a new one because most of these movies make up all kinds of funky science, but it was actually pretty accurate.
You should revisit this now that a year has gone by. I think your numbers will be even more in line with the movie in terms of globals spread, infections, and deaths.
this is such an interesting video to watch in the present
Need to love how people freak over the virus but then proceed to go into stores without a mask
Exactly or refuse the vaccine
My roommate and I wear our masks and rarely see others wearing theirs...my Dr also works for the CDC she goes on deployment all the time and we had a visit before delta broke out and I'm the type of patient who says...don't feed me bs...so during this visit I asked her ...will we have boosters in the near future and I have a feeling that 2 masks are a good way to go....she said yes that will be true because people are not adhering to protocols for their own sake... and now here we are ...
@@stevemisfit1 to prevent OTHERS from getting it. The only reason the vaccine isn't as effective anymore is because of delta, which only arose because the Indian government can't handle vaccinating all of the people there, so the virus mutated. Lack of vaccines has made the vaccines weaker. You can help by getting vaccinated and reducing the chance of mutation.
@@stevemisfit1 are you stupid? it will prevent getting and SPREADIng the virus to stop this epidemic
@@eastonarnett2050 Israel is almost fully vaccinated and yet sick again. Care to explain that phenomena to me? Oh wait, you can't because it's a scam. No pharmacovigilance, proper trials and good intentions were included in developing this miraculous "vaccine"
Imagine those zombie movies will one day become a reality too.
It will happen coz now children aren't learning with peers but all online. What mental and physical development they would have sitting all day in front Of a laptop or smart phone!! How will they react when they see 1000s in a School or College when they have only seen Parents, Siblings and Domestic Help all thier life stuck at home. They might turn out to be a Lost Generation kid who is a mere Zombie on earth without any purpose.
@@utkarshsrivastava52 sheesh
I don't wanna imagine......scary.bruh!!
It will
Just wait can tell you any details but it will
2:18
When a deadly diseease infected patient cough directly to your face.
You really want to lose your patient!
It's really interesting to see the difference between my experience of Covid-19 as an Australian versus the US. We didn't have Fox News, Joe Rogan types spreading misinformation (at least not to such a degree), we listened, we wore masks and we quarantined. We were able to have concerts and events without fear of spreading covid and we basically went back to normal for parts of the year. No one I know has caught covid let alone died from it, which is a massive difference from people in the US.
However, the US' vaccine roll out was drastically better than ours, our federal government made huge careless mistakes by not signing deals with Pfizer, so even now most of the population isn't vaccinated. On the bright side most people are willing to get vaccinated and the rate of vaccination is climbing everyday.
The kids in the future will someday use this video to cramp on exams 😂💀
they couldn't have picked a better movie to cram on exams with, imho
Amazing outlines comparison. I rewatched this film last night and was struck by the parallels. Nice touch avoid washing hands and cell walls, and avoiding panic. 👏🏼
The species of bat (or any bat for that matter) was not for sale at the Wetmarket.
The species of bat itself was not local to the area, even being nearly a thousand miles away.
There were however two virulogical research centres in Wuhan, which recieved US government financing through a third party for the purpose of virus function gain.
The said bat species, suspected to be the origin species was found at the lab, though at this time, the origin species has still not been found, breaking the previous record of SarS's 8 months to find origin species.
Gain of function research is strictly porhibited in the US during which time funding was being sent to these labs.
For internal matters, it doesn't matter much if this was the origin of the current Covid-19 epidemic. What does matter however was Fauci's illegal conduct/ gross negligence of funding... though the latter can be dismissed thanks to Fauci's leaked personal emails, in which a mail dated to 2019/2020 he had asked "Was this us?" + the summary reports regularly recieved from the institute.
Please do a follow up video to finish out comparing the movie to current events.
Looking at this a year later I would say Contagion is the greatest prediction movie of all time! I used to think Back To the Future would never be beat but this killed it!
Right?
This is not prediction movie it's a pre planned movie just think about it.
@@arshkhan6071 It's a 2011 movie based on the SARS epidemic of 2008. It has not 'predicted' anything, it was based on real events that had already happened.
By happenstance, it's happening again.
So, no, this movie didn't 'predict' anything.
Good movie, though.
@@sukhbirnaidu4360 where was the GLOBAL pandemic in SARS?
Where was the American impact in SARS?
Where was the panic buying in SARS?
Where was the vaccine development & roll out to stop the pandemic in SARS?
Where was the fake news in SARS?
It was predicted, based on virologists understanding, not of SARS, but of a range of outbreaks combined. It most closely follows Spanish Flu not SARS actually
@@mehere8038 You are right for the most part.
Reality is the scariest genre of all.
2011 "Just a movie"
2021 "We are in the movie."
Great video!