ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 5 มี.ค. 2024
- TWITCH: / lunaticj
TWITTER: / lunaticjtv
DISCORD: / discord
10 years ago, a mysterious upwarp glitch in Tick Tock Clock during a Super Mario 64 speedrun happened for no apparent reason. Years later, a myth about cosmic rays causing this glitch spread across the Internet, with people believing it to be true despite Mario 64 experts disagreeing. This is how this wild theory spiraled out of control.
Edited by: @OfficialGlitchDoctor
beautiful sky (Xandrey): • beautiful sky
CCM→BBH? (Atogami): • CCM→BBH? 17:15
Dupdome Moving Bar: • weird teleporting thing
• moving bar glitch (ful...
www.twitch.tv/dupdome/clip/En...
Ian_1243 BitFS Downwarp: • 2022 12 08 00 45 41
SM64 - TTC Upwarp $1000 Bounty (pannenkoek2012): • SM64 - TTC Upwarp $100...
The Universe is Hostile to Computers (Veritasium): • The Universe is Hostil...
TTC Upwarp: Ceiling Warp vs Byte Change (pannenkoek2012): • TTC Upwarp: Ceiling Wa...
Ukikipedia TTC Upwarp Timeline: ukikipedia.net/wiki/Tick_Tock...
Ukikipedia Unsolved Glitches List: ukikipedia.net/wiki/List_of_u...
Was it Really an Ionizing Particle, Though? (TeabagSRL): • Was it Really an Ioniz...
#speedrun #mario #supermario64 - เกม
![[Full Episode] Hell's Kitchen Thailand EP.12 | 28 เม.ย. 67](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/xCjbu5t25Pw/mqdefault.jpg)
Please check the description if you want links to videos and the Ukikipedia pages featured in this video. i highly recommend checking those videos if you liked seeing those weird anomalies.
EDIT: Here's a link to the SM64 TASing and ABC Discord Server for those interested. Many SM64 experts are active there: discord.gg/ECskvyF Also I want to make it clear that cosmic rays have likely caused bitflips in computers like that one election in Belgium. I'm just saying it probably didn't happen to DOTA_Teabag in this specific scenario.
Ok
11 years* you round up from 6 months. we're in march now.
I find it hilarious how you call the glitches "anomalies". Keep up the good work man.
You've earned it 🏆
Hey Lunatic! Just want to say that it’s been great watching your channel grow, especially since you’ve had such high production quality right out of the gate. Can’t wait for that 100k!
....was this not a joke outside of literally the person who suggested it?
A cosmic ray traveled 92mil miles to flip a bit at Google HQ so this video got recommended to me.
Ok, but what if I told you it happened TWICE
@@kr1v twice you mean 3 times
A series of cosmis rays typed this comment
Thats crazy, because that JUST NOW happened to me.
Your here
Dies in CCM, gets mad, slaps his N64, then goes to re-enter CCM but ends up in BBH instead.
The creepypasta writes itself.
Imagine a kid happening unto that, but in 1996, lolz.
@@glidershowerI literally wouldn’t go to sleep for like 2 weeks if this happened to me (even though I was born in 07). I had a deathly fear of boos when I was little.
Vindictive N64 sends abusive Japanese player on a wild goose chase!
*wild Ghost chase! ;)
Revenge of abused Mario
Until I see definitive proof that outside rays didnt cause a bit flip, I'm sticking my N64 in a microwave at the start of TTC and hoping for good IRL RNG.
gl bro wish you luck 🙏🏿
Gl man wish you the best
But microwaves aren't ionizing radiation 😂
@@R3SerialDreams 🤓
@@R3SerialDreamssimply place some uranium ore on the console then.
There was an election in Belgium in 2003 where a candidate got 4096 extra votes (2^12) due to a cosmic ray bitflip. It was found and corrected, but strange and unlikely things happen given a large enough sample size and period of time.
From an outsider to this situation, it sounds like a guy tried to cheat then paid media to paint it as an accident when he got caught, lol.
@@Dante02d12 i can see why you would guess that, but circumstances dictate otherwise. It happened within the machine and was immediately spotted and fixed; she was among the least popular candidates out of 10ish, and as a minor candidate on a local election (iirc it was about 7000 votes for the whole race) had no ability to control the machines.
@@alexanderolson6622 Thanks for the added context!
computer calculating voting counts doesnt have ecc ram? nice.
also all ram has parity bit so it should've given error
It was originally "speed run", until we found a glitch to drop the space, so now its "speedrun"
Space skip
Going for that spedrun any % e skip
saved 1 second off the initial run but not a pb
Verb
spdrn
***WORLD RECORD*** 3-7-24 😂
As an aside, cosmic ray interactions are in fact very common when working with some equipment! They're a regular nuisance for Raman spectrometry, for example, as they interrupt your spectra by creating 'spikes' at random wavelengths.
Speedrunners, please take care while running Mario 64 on your CCD detectors.
They’re also a big problem for autopilot software on airplanes, since airplanes have less protection from the atmosphere when they’re in the air.
Whoa, I just made a comment talking exactly about raman spectroscopy! The first time I saw that huge spike I got excited! Then after having seen it over and over again it lost some magic.
Good to know since the lab I work at just got a Raman IR. I'll just blame the cosmos every time a sample fails 😅
Also, computers _do_ experience random bit flips fairly often (it's why ECC exists); just, most of them are caused by less interesting interference.
Sounds like it's Rayman speedrunners who should be concerned
You said that in the veritasium video he used the glitch as an example of a bit flip definitely happening but this is what he really said "...the best explanation anyone can come up with is that a cosmic ray caused the glitch".
thats... just as bad and just as wrong? we had better explanations
@@ouravantgarde maybe, but lets be honest, if you are making a scientific video about a common think that is not that rare to happend and you come across a good example that seems legit you wouldn't search in forums and communities for hours just to check if it is true
@@lorenzobuero7115 it didnt require that. LITERALLY the video the article referenced said outright that they disapprove of it. they didnt do basic fact checking, a science channel like that should be doing basic research, but honestly theyve never been the best
@@ouravantgarde No you don't, what you have is a bunch hypotheses with a significantly lower burden of evidence, all which which have failed to be met. Not even by physically tinkering with the hardware involved in the glitch has the memory error theory been proved. The only problem with the cosmic ray theory is that it's non falsifiable since you would have to replicate the exact conditions of the entire universe to test that theory, that doesn't make it a bad theory.
@@ouravantgarde we literally do not have better explanations. If you critically think about this video at all, nothing else he suggested is as likely, and he also continually said that it wasn’t a bit flip, when the bit flip perfectly re-created the timing of the fall, meaning it warped him to the right height. The only other explanation is, a bit was flipped, but we don’t know why. That’s not a full explanation. That’s just describing the phenomenon.
I never expected to see a person so angry at cosmic rays in my life, the internet is truly boundless
who's angry?
@@TweedleDeem LunaticJ, watch the video
@@TweedleDeem The dude sperging out over cosmic rays lol.
He's not mad about cosmic rays. He is just correcting misinformation.
@@Gigamex2 it's just a joke don't take it seriously
your opponent getting hit by a solar flare would be one hell of a way to lose a speedrun race
I lost the run to CME, dude!
For real!!
Krillin coming in with a solar flare
@SteveNeubauer smh not even giving credit to Tenshinhan.
PANNENKOEK 🥞🥞🥞🥞🥞🥞🥞🥞🥞🥞
I can’t believe Big Speedrun is trying to gatekeep the common tech of cosmic ray manipulation.
Shh, keep quiet, I don't want them to find out I've been manipulating my runs for over a decade with that orphaned source I "aquired"...
(Just kidding. I don't a have an orphaned source and I don't speedrun either. And if I had one, I'd probably be long dead by now.)
Don't. They'll silence us even more than they already are. Keep your thoughts to yourself. There'll be a time where Big Speedrun will fall and cosmic ray manipulation will be a widely used strat.
@c0d3warrior riiiiiight. Just admit you do speed runs in space to manipulate memory
"The clip of the bit switch and what happened is actually slightly different so it couldnt have happened" he says as the two clips match up perfectly except for the frame interpolation and fails to give anything else than even resembles the clip.
They’re so similar it left me confused as to why he was claiming they were different.
Exactly, either if it was a cosmic ray or not, its hard to believe it was anything other than a bit flip.
nope.
IT IS SLIGHTLY LONGER BEFORE DAMAGE IS TAKEN
NOT BY MUCH BUT THEY ARENT IDENTICAL
weve moved on from fucking click bait to lengthy bullshit videos, it seems. The worst part, i dont think buddy is in on his own scheme.:(
@kevinnone4728 This is not new. Now the entire internet is filled with pseudo intellectual content creators and audiences alike.
The BitFS downwarp being around 900 units doesn't automatically rule out a bit flip, because Mario's position is stored as 32-bit floating-point numbers, meaning the highest bit represents the sign, the next 8 represent the exponent, and the remaining 23 give the mantissa, to make up a number of the form (basically) mantissa * 2^exponent. Flipping one of the mantissa bits will add or subtract a power of 2, but flipping one of the exponent bits will *multiply* the previous value by some power of 2, meaning if the Y coordinate started as -900 and the last bit of the exponent was flipped from 0 to 1, it would become -1800, resulting in a 900-unit downwarp. I know the lower sections of BitFS are below Y=0 (because of the A press save on Wii VC) but I don't know if the coordinates perfectly match the clip
Hi, Cosmic-Radiation-Bit-Flip researcher here (I am not making that up, that is actually my job). So to keep a long story short: computers are weird and trying to model anything happening on hardware exactly is practically impossible. I disagree with the statement that a cosmic bit flip cannot be the cause, simply as it is very hard to prove that it isn't and it is within the realm of (at least theoretical) possibilities. However, there are two other things we should consider that make the cosmic ray theory very unlikely. The first is the very low amount of radiation we observe on earth. A satellite within the Low Earth Orbit will still only get a small number of radiation events in the mission time, for a device on earth the possibility is negligible. On satellites we still need to consider the effects of radiation if hardware is safety critical, we have a very bad setup (high amounts of radiation expected), or we have long missions and aging effects, but that is satellite mission stuff. Secondly, we shouldn't forget how much hardware just doesn't work. Modern computer chips have a huge percentage of the chip that just doesn't work due to manufacturing problems. If you produce a CPU with 12 cores but only 10 work: sell it as a 10 core CPU, that's how it's done. Thus hardware malfunctions are definitely not unlikely and again really really hard to identify, even if you have the hardware in your hands.
TLDR: is the cosmic ray theory possible? Yes, it is possible. Is the theory likely: No, it's not likely. Even though it's not impossible, the odds are very low. So we shouldn't say it's impossible, but also not act as if it was definitely the solution.
Well said. this mirrors my thoughts, but it bothers me that people are thinking i don't believe cosmic rays can affect computers when all I'm saying is it probably didn't happen in this specific instance
@@LunaticJI do agree with both of these comments I just think maybe next time use your words more carefully if that makes sense
this is just feedback and not a way to make you look bad, just saying it's a myth and it's rare is not best things to say when making an statement, next time maybe not put that people opinions as much and make people look dumb, im not sure it was your intentions and I know everyone has different views just this is what I think. Over all even if I disagreed and thought sometimes you was a bit dramatic this still a good video just needed some clarification.
@@catlance I agree with you. I feel LunaticJ's tone was too dismissive of the possibility. Stating that other explanations are more likely is more than enough to keep the question open and being dismissive diminishes his credibility, weakening his case rather than strengthening it. Another important point is that even very unlikely things happen all the time. With Mario 64 being streamed all around the world every day, we should fully expect to see all kinds of strange outcomes and glitches from time to time, including random hardware glitches, and yes, maybe even bit flips.
According to what you say in the video (18:25 for one example), you’re not saying it probably isn’t a cosmic ray, you’re saying it’s definitively not a cosmic ray. And some of the evidence you provide for it not being a bit flip is also extremely hypocritical. You take a discord comment of Pannen eyeballing the downwarp distance as “like 900” and proclaim it as irrefutable expert analysis that the distance CANNOT be 1024. Not a minute later, you’re mocking journalists for doing close to the same thing. Honestly, the entire tone of the video feels like you’re mocking your viewers for not knowing the intricacies of the situation and daring to believe a cosmic ray could be the cause. Which it still could, because you provided no hard evidence disproving it. All you did was state that it’s less likely than a hardware malfunction, followed by more talking down to the viewer for ever believing otherwise.
@@LunaticJIt's the tone. You sound really... smug throughout this video, and it really comes off as if you are dismissing the possibility entirely. You sound like you are mocking the idea. To be clear, I agree with you that it's unlikely but possible, but your tone was super off-putting.
LJ: "10 years ago..."
Me: "Oh so like 2003"
LJ "September 21st 2013"
Me: Turns to dust
I honestly have no idea why people keep saying that, although i still feel 2013 like yesterday.
Technology wise, because i always go for low-specs, so when i try something that isn't, i'm amazed at technology's progress LOL.
@@manuelkfc7916the other day i got an ebook and im still baffled at how it works
It gets worse with thinking about how 2009 was 15 Years Ago, and kids born in 2006 are graduating High School this year.
Same age as Pokémon X and Y.
We get it, we're old. I swear I see this exact comment on every video that has even a singular date. Get over it.
The footage you showed comparing DOTA's run to a TAS isn't even identical before the upwarp occurred, and the only difference after the bit flip is a slight change in the camera angle. The fact that, in both cases, DOTA and Panen reach the same height and hit the ground at the same time should be clear evidence that a bit WAS flipped. Even if it wasn't cosmic rays, the height that DOTA got in his speedrun was exactly the amount you would get switching the leading byte of height to from C5 to C4.
Veritasium's video describes the event with much uncertainty, because it was never proven or disproven, which is good scientific communication. In his video he said: "This is *possibly* the rarest thing...", "...it *seems like* a newly discovered glitch...", and "The *best explanation* anyone can come up with is that a cosmic ray caused the glitch." That he cited The Gamer is cause for concern, but Veritasium never, as you suggested, used this incident "...as an example of a bit flip *definitely* happening..."
it is astounding how this guy (lunaticJ) has gotten so angry over people not agreeing with him, over something that has not been proven either way.
@@delcogoblin name fits i guess
@@delcogoblin1. he wasnt angry in the video. 2. not proven either way? really? thats not an argument when youre defending a very unlikely argument instead of listening to the most likely scenario. as another commenter said "did i forget and put a dirty bowl in the cupboard, or did some complete stranger break into my house for no reason and plant a dirty bowl in my cupboard? well, no proof either way!". see how stupid it sounds to say "no proof either way" here? 3. veritasium did this exactly. "the best explanation anyone can come up with." really? science wannabe youtube commenters making an insane theory over the sensible and simpler explanation is "the best explanation anyone can come up with?"
@@ouravantgarde so what's your sensible and simpler explanation, Señor D. Ryder?
@@delcogoblinI think that is a hardware malfunction.
Huh, I'd never thought the community had the idea "It conclusively was a cosmic ray", but rather "We can't quite figure out what happened, and a cosmic ray was a possibility, since we can't figure out how else it might have happened yet."
Someone plagiarized a yt video into a short and said it was the only possible explanation and went viral a few weeks ago
Not only was it just a "it could have been one", because a single bit flip causes the same behavior, a cosmic ray was proposed as one of the many plausible explanations. It's as simple as that. This video isn't even necessary.
yeah this wouldn't be the first time something similar happened and was observable
i dont remember when exactly but in veritasium's video he talked about the small radioactive particles in intel chip's ceramic caused a single flip of bit 12 in a register which caused one of the candidates for an election to receive 4096 extra votes (noticeable and while it wasn't a cosmic ray the particles emitted from the uranium are the same)
@@kadupse yeah, it could have been just a fun video about "what probably happened" but instead was weirdly hostile about the whole thing.
@@korumannbecause videos of accusatory tones get pedalled more to viewers
New speedrun strat: bring your console with you onto the ISS and play up there where cosmic rays are way, way, way more common and reap the rewards
And then it flips the wrong bit and switches you to the game over screen lol
@@thethree13o epic gamer strats, bring 10 bajillion copies of a game into space, run them all at once, and keep them running and restarting until eventually you get a world record time
i just did that and the iss is now falling down , woops
New speedrunning strat: play with a bag of cesium over your N64
ISS orbits below Earth's magnetosphere
But we also have to consider this happened ONCE in the entire history of mario 64 speedrunning. Out of the millions of people, only one recorded instance had an instance like this. This means it is still very plausible that out of every speedrunner this one just happened to trigger a bit flip.
It’s definitely a bit flip (the video’s reasoning why it isn’t is basically vapor), but whether it’s a cosmic ray is completely unprovable either way. Because, as you said, it’s only happened once, and because there are millions of hours of speedrun footage recorded, I think it’s totally possible and even makes sense that somewhere in all that, there would be a single instance of a cosmic-ray-caused bit flip.
@@WiggyWamWamI don’t see why the dude cares so much, a bit flip from the stars is dope and just helps the Mario speedrun community get a spotlight. It’s not like it is even proven to be wrong and also seems like the most plausible reason presented
"We don't know" not only means "it's not proven it DID happen", it also means "it's not proven it DID NOT happen". It's simply not yet proven on either side.
Yeah, but it's worth getting Occam's Razor involved there too.
burden of proof is on the person who claimed it happened, given the incredibly low probability of it happening
Are u slow
@gmdnikoyou should do it first pal
@gmdnikoChill, I think he might be artistic
that cuphead journalist is never going to live that down.
The guy didn't even review the game, and even had positive impressions of it. Yet here we are years later using him as the frontliner example of "bad gaming journalism" because he was bad at a video game once
@@supra_sr Also worth noting that he wasn't a "regular" (for lack of a better word) gaming journalist, he mostly covered the industry-side of gaming, not gaming itself.
@@supra_sr Gamers don't let skill issue slide, you know the rules and so do I
@@supra_sr deserved
Have they finished the tutorial yet?
Okay yeah, but also the phrase: “Sun assisted speedrun” goes really fucking hard. It’s highly likely that it’s not true, as you’ve already mentioned, but god it sounds cool.
Gotta get some of then neutrinos
Just like aliens*, big foot and whatnot, we may keep making memes about that while ensuring people are informed that they're not real.
*Aliens are real; but they're nowhere near Earth and we have yet to find any.
Tfw you RNGmanip the SUN.
@@0Cazador RNGmanipulating sun so your crops get sunlight for the entire day
Vertassium (I think that's the channel spelling, or at least close) has a great video on bit flips
I’m not sure you disproved the null in this video. Working around spacecraft, we have modeled these events on hardware, and while it is significantly harder the closer to earth you are for such an anomaly to occur, we have documented cases every year of this happening.
This was clearly a conspiracy put into place to harm speedrunner Kosmic by making it harder to find his content on the internet.
Why isn't this comment popular?
I'm an electronics engineer.
It's definitely unlikely to be a cosmic ray bitflip, but it could be as simple as environmental radiation or contamination in the packaging of the semiconductor chips, or a variety of other semiconductor device physics stuff.
Fun fact: did you know that trace contamination of certain radioactive metals in the solder used to put chips down can cause bitflips?
Interesting. There's a 1996 scientific paper called "Single event upset at ground level" that states that (quoting Wikipedia):
"Electrical or magnetic interference inside a computer system can cause a single bit of dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) to spontaneously flip to the opposite state. It was initially thought that this was mainly due to alpha particles emitted by contaminants in chip packaging material, but research has shown that the majority of one-off soft errors in DRAM chips occur as a result of background radiation, chiefly neutrons from cosmic ray secondaries, which may change the contents of one or more memory cells or interfere with the circuitry used to read or write to them."
I've talked to astrophysicists about this before and they disagree, cosmic rays (especially neutrinos) are very capable of flipping bits and should actually do it fairly often (over years duh) statistically speaking. You and an astrophysicist should get together to come out with a truly informed opinion.
Where do you think the classic static noise pattern comes from? Radiation, yea, but a lot of that radiation is in fact cosmic in nature (fun fact, a not insignificant portion of that noise comes from the CMB.)
And yes, before you go ''ackchually'', yes, i am aware modern electronic devices including chips are built to self correct enough to make that noise negligible, but that design does not cover all energy levels of particles (and even types of particles themselves) that the chip will realistically be exposed to.
@@thelelanatorlol3978 About 100 trillion neutrinos pass through your body every second. With 8 billion people and many many many many more electronic devices, a cosmic particle hitting a chip is not rare at all. Just happens continiously.
Satellite expert here. Bit flips are something we have to constantly design and shield against due to the extremely hostile nature of Space. However, these satalites are orbiting above the protective shielding our earth and atmosphere provide. On earth, bit flips are significantly rarer.
EXCEPT! Our sun goes through an 11 year cycle of rising solar activity (solar flares, sunspots, coronal mass ejections etc.) Eventually culminating in the "solar maximum" before activity begins to decrease again. During the year or so before and after a solar maximum, computer issues caused by the sun are slightly more common. The last solar maximum was in 2014, meaning this run took place during a period of extremely high solar activity.
Btw, the next solar maximum is building up and will be here by 2025, and experts are prediciting that it's going to be a rough one.
Even on earth, cosmic rays can cause hundreds of megabytes worth of RAM data to be scrambled every month. Of course, most modern hardware can comfortably deal with single bit flip events, cosmic ray or otherwise.
@@thelelanatorlol3978the problem is, a N64 is not modern. that leaves the theory open
Satellite GOD here : you don't know what the fuck you are talking about. Please shut the fuck up. Thank You.
A coworker from my first job was testing a component that would end up on a satellite running our software. He would often start running tests on the device, then work on something else while those ran, and would later see that some random test failed. But he couldn't figure out why. He tried catching the failure by running the test suite with a debugger attached dozens of times over night, but came back in the morning to all the tests being green. So this was an enormously frustrating thing to deal with.
How could the tests fail only when he was in the office?
So he tried running the tests in the debugger once again in the morning, and got up to go get a bagel. But the debugger immediately paused on a failed test. It turned out that the slight electromagnetic impulse from his chair whenever he stood up/sat down/shifted his weight was enough to flip bits in the device's cache/RAM and cause a test to fail. With additional EM shielding the failures disappeared.
The local environment can be a much better place to look for sources of spontaneous memory corruption than cosmic rays, though cosmic rays can cause rare bit flips on earth's surface.
i guess 2025 is the time to get into mario 64 speedrunning
'It happens if a bit flips, and nothing we know flips bits, but it definitely can't be cosmic rays because I don't like that idea' - this guy.
Exactly lmao
It doesn't help to misrepresent someone with your own argument. The sad reality here is that people were fed a lie that was more spectacular and special like it absolutely happened and was the most magical event in speedrunning history, because that was the popular theory they all loved to just go with because they didn't have a more satisfying answer. "We don't have an answer, so lets just assume it was something magical." That's literally humanity for ya. They do it with UFO's all the time, jumping right to conclusions with the exciting/newsworthy answer they want it to be. Whereas if we're being sensible we'd go right to it's "probably a bird" / "probably a hardware issue".
And if someone were to push a more realistic conclusion, who would listen to them when there's a more popular exciting answer being pushed at the time? (as if it's fact too) This is the video to set the record straight, at a better time when people wont be as blindly stubborn over something they just got convinced of just because it's a more exciting answer. And of course as expected, the few hardcore believers have gotten upset, trying to discredit the uploader and calling him smug for not being as kind to their faith and explaining how misinformation can spread like wildfire. "A lie travels around the globe while the truth is still putting on its shoes."
Good job, you completely missed the point.
The problem with the situation is that it was that the cosmic ray hypothesis was represented as fact, when it is just a theory. Whether or not you believe that theory is up to personal opinion. He never disproved the theory at all during the video, just that he (and many SM64 experts) personally thought it was too unlikely to be the cause.
Everybody has the right to believe whatever they want, as long as that belief isn't hurting anyone or themselves. If you want to believe that it was a cosmic ray, then there's nothing wrong with that. But just like you, LunaticJ is also entitled to his own opinion. And he didn't shame anyone for having their opinions, so neither should you.
@@eyesistorm that’s not his point necessarily
I work in the same office at NASA JPL as the radiation effects expert in Veritasium's video. If you have a GB of RAM, then you might be getting a bit flip once per day on earth on average caused by cosmic rays. Google estimated the DIMMs in their study were getting 10 per day. So there are billions of bit flips every day on earth induced by cosmic rays. A single event can cause one bit to flip or many. Radiation induced upset in memories is very well understood; there are particle accelerators all around the world used for testing electronics that run 24/7/365. If N64 had 4 MB of RAM, then a bit flip every 200-300 days would be expected (1/250th compared to 1 GB). So games who only play a couple hours per week may never see bit flips in their lives. But gamers playing 8 hours per day... they may not all see them on their 4 MB systems, but many (10-30%?) definitely saw them on N64 if they played a few hours per week for a few years. As someone whose job is to understand electronic interconnect reliability, solder joints, intrinsic memory cell reliability, and radiation effects; by far the most likely explanation is radiation induced upset rather than any of the other possibilities mentioned. Anything to do with interconnects or solder joints or anything at a package level (cart slap) would cause catastrophic malfunction; not a single bit flip. Intermittency on one or more signals between the cartridge and system does not cause a single bit flip. That leads to major memory corruption. The only other credible root cause in my opinion is a weak bit; one that is marginal and beginning to fail. This is common in memories. All electronics have a limited lifetime and will eventually fail; process marginalities in memories create a distribution of bit cell lifetimes with some failing before others. However, in that case, you would likely see further degradation over subsequent months and years of use. Not sure if that was the case for that user. If the glitch was isolated to a single run, it was most likely cosmic ray (not EM interference; that also does not flip specific bits...) This is not conjecture; it is 25 years of daily first-hand experience dealing with electronic component reliability issues including the ones mentioned in the video. (the explanation at 14:00 about powers of 2 is total nonsense; what about a bit flip that changes mario's position 512 to a position where there is no floor and he falls the rest of the way to 900? i'm not saying that's precisely the case, but it's not remotely as simple as described in that section of the video.)
I thought this was a solid proof it is not cosmic rays. I'm disapointed, it could still be cosmic rays, it is not ruled out
hahahaha he had to change the thumbnail
Exactly what I was thinking, he makes it sound like it's been for sure disproven but people still don't know what caused it. Went back and watched the Veritasium video and he does a great job at saying it's just a very likely scenario not a proven fact. The guy in this video act's like cosmic rays flipping bits is some outlandish thing but yet if he actually watched the Veritasium video he's criticizing he'd know it actually happens way more often than one would think, normally just not in such a visual way. I definitely agree that a lot of video game journalist do a very poor job at getting the facts right and it sucks, but calling this the biggest myth in speedrunning history when it's still a very plausible theory is just disingenuous.
The chances are very low, but it can't really be fully ruled out. It would be amazingly lucky for it to happen at that exact moment, but not impossible.
What about the fact that by RECREATING the bit flip it didn't match? That's pretty solid evidence.
@@blueberrimuffin6682 Iirc, it was pretty damn close, no? And couldn't that be up to user error? Even for someone so experienced, I feel like it would be hard to replicate it perfectly. Unless there's some more tech I don't understand- I'll admit I'm not very in to this space.
What you didn't mention is that most of the articles and some of the memes say the warp "saved time" or would have saved time, but it doesn't even do that. He was going for the red coins and it only moved him away from them and would have forced him to move back down to where the platforms were
Yeah he went for "Get A Hand" as a backup. If he got that star already, it certainly would've lost more time
Yeah the whole reason there was a bounty in the first place was for future use in A Press challenges or speedrun categories. The glitch is still in the first phase of speedrun metamorphosis but articles are treating it like a crazy time skip for a wr pace or something.
@@beangorl7005if we had a cosmic ray gun that could change bits on demand it could be used for a WR run.
But it could help if there was some way to replicate it elsewhere in the game, I imagine
Counterpoint: If the actual cause of the upwarp hasn’t been definitively proven, then you can’t say with certainty that the cosmic ray hypothesis is untrue.
I choose to believe…
It’s maybe a counter argument but as you said, rooted in nothing but belief. There’s nothing scientific about saying “it could be this, so you should entertain it”. You go with the explanation that’s most likely, and remain open minded enough to change your mind if you see that something else is more likely.
@@Cosmalano Nope, wrong! Every other hypothesis has resisted demonstration despite having a much lower test-ability treshold, it's literally anti-scientific to refuse entertaining a perfectly plausible explanation on grounds of odds when none of the other more mundane ones can be proven despite having the exact offending hardware that experienced the glitch in the first place.
@@TheCamps10 that is not “anti-scientific,” let alone literally so. Science doesn’t depend on “proving” an idea right, it depends on proving them wrong. Cargo cult science seeks to probe things right. In science you always seek to disprove a hypothesis.
The bit flip hypothesis did not produce the same effect when tested, which ruled it out. If you want to entirely rule out the faulty hardware explanation, then you need to demonstrate that it doesn’t work. If you’re not after ruling things out, then we’re back to my original point, whatever is most likely is the one you should go with, until it’s proven wrong. That’s the only way science works. Nothing in science has ever nor can ever be “proven right”.
Even if the bit flip produced the same effect, this wouldn’t mean that a cosmic ray caused it, nor that this is indeed what happened. Just like how saying the Earth is flat works as a hypothesis when you see a couple of effects, but doesn’t hold up when you consider even more, where as the globe Earth model captures everything you could throw at it.
the only thing this video proves is that there are many POTENTIAL causes for the up-warp, but because nobody knows exactly what happened it could still be a cosmic ray event. just because it's unlikely doesn't mean it is impossible. so saying that it's a totally impossible myth isn't very accurate. It is unlikely but that does not mean impossible.
The electrical surge segment reminded me of a clip from Runnerguy2489. The framerate in his game chugs briefly at the exact same moment that lightning struck outside his house.
EDIT - Never mind, just saw the clip and it's a stream lag rather than a game lag.
Oooh that's interesting - iirc the N64's CPU runs with a 1.5x multiplier on the base clock frequency. If Pin 112 is 3.3v, then it runs at 1.5x, however if it's grounded then it runs at 1x. I wonder if the strike somehow dropped the voltage enough on pin 112 that the CPU dropped to it's 1x base frequency, which resulted in the framerate chugging.
"Was that lightning?" I think it was called.
@@kargaroc386Just saw the clip, looks like it's a stream lag rather than a game lag unfortunately :(
You can see the webcam freeze too, and immediately after the unfreeze you can also see a slight flash in the door frame.
@@Jademalo the N64 does have a rare bug in its clock generator(?). Maybe once every several thousand times you turn it on, it runs at half speed. The audio is all slowed down and spoopy and the video is a weird static (TV not properly syncing to a very-off-time signal). There are a couple clips of it on Twitch.
While that evidently didn't happen here, I wonder if it ever could happen while the game is running? It wouldn't be helpful at all, though.
@@Jademalo Heh, if it's Stream lag maybe the lighting still caused it, maybe via packet loss from interference somewhere
Im not sayung it's cosmic rays but i just wanted to point out that cosmic ray bit flips are insanely common (unless you use ECC memory, they still happen but they get corrected 99% of the time). Like they happen to computers at an hourly rate, and if you gain elevation above sea level they massively increase in frequency. Aviation and Space deal with them by having so many redundancies and protections that the bit flips dont matter much. But a Nintendo 64 has no such protection, its bits will be flipped. Its not a matter of if they will happen but when. But this rarely (as in on an individual basis, on a provincial/state level they have caused issues all the time we just account for them nowadays) results in much issues let alone a bit flip like we saw.
That said, this isnt a fact of the situation; cosmic ray bit flips may have had nothing to do with it. But the fact that the height change from one bit flip was nearly identical it feels safe assuming its a bit flip of some kind. But i wont say it as a fact since there is no such thing as 100%.
Highly improbable does not mean "impossible". You didn't really definitively rule it out. And like you said, it's still unsolved.
he... he knows. you said it yourself that he said it himself (several times, even)
Im a researcher in radiation effects in electronics. A bit flip, although very unlikely on Earth's surface is absolutely possible and has been observed in labs and simulations multiple times. The problem with bit flips caused from cosmic rays is that they are highly unpredictable and hard to confirm after the fact.
this happens in science journalism all the time. A journal is released where the author of the paper states that the study MIGHT show [xyz] to be true, and then people go around saying that [xyz] is DEFINITELY true and is PROVEN BY SCIENCE.
Science is dead, it used to be about finding the truth, now it's "take my word for it and TRUST THE SCIENCE or you're an evil conspiracy theorist"
"the science"
That’s why science journalism articles are no credible sources for dissertations and papers and why scientists read the studies itself.
Doesn't help that terrible science education has left the vast majority of the population believing that science "proves" that things are "fact", rather than just being the process by which we eliminate impossibilities through repeated observation and analysis.
Here's my life hack, look for the words "peer reviewed".
Peer-reviewed = the science version of "pics or it didn't happen"
Teacher: "Why didn't you do your homework"
Me: "A cosmic ray ate my dog"
@@TheGameMakeGuy after that the rumbing started
I spelled dog backwards and he created a reality without homework.
@@abloogywoogywoo Everyone deserves to live in that reality. I don't think I have to do the thing I do in school at home lol
"why were you drunk driving?"
"a cosmic ray bitflipped me"
6:20 honestly as a person who loves science the cosmic bit flip theory sounds perfectly plausible. Doesn’t matter if it visually looked jolting if all that was needed was a single binary digit to be flipped. Do yk how many times scientists called discoveries outlandish and discarded legitimate results? Happens a lot more then you’d think and putting it aside due to chance isn’t very scientific.
Lmao so many other people are in the same boat
Why do we do any science or testing when we can just run a blender next to a Nintendo and poke it with a stick asking it to do something like this.
14:00
Mario's position is stored as a floating-point number, which is stored vastly differently than an integer. A bit flip in the mantissa would change the value by a power of two, but a bit flip in the exponent would multiply or divide the value by a power of two. If the Y-position were, say, 1800, a bit flip in the lowest bit of the mantissa could change the value to 900, a difference of 900.
Nice catch, that seems reasonable!
No, stop! You are scaring him with first semester computer-science knowledge!
13:21 Guys, he tried to run a blender next to the console and nothing happened. I'm convinced. No more tests needed.
I really don’t understand why that is in the video. Does the editor think that a food processor/blender has significant electromagnetic radiation?
Does bro get his food processor from aliens?
@@zaxtonhong3958its to try and cause a power surge some high power blenders are known to cause them, not saying it was a good test of course
New M64 category: 70 stars w/ powersurge
@@zaxtonhong3958 Blender%
I NEED MORE VOLTS thousands millions billions trillions
"ya DONT get it dude! I need this video where I pass off what I say in a condescending tone as a fact, and where nothing substantial can come out of the conclusion to be exactly 20 minutes, I JUST NEED THAT AD REVENUE"
it doesn't have anything substantial because it's an unsolved mystery. newsflash: not everything has a satisfying answer.
@@youraveragerobloxkid This whole video boils down to "Hey, you guys remember that unsolved mystery? WELL, erm ACTUALLY, it's still an unsolved mystery". This whole video is unnecessary
@Finn-po4kt This video's purpose is to say how the cosmic ray theory is highly unlikely all things considered
@@youraveragerobloxkid It doesn't though. It just lists out random terms and rarity claims with the source being "because I said so." The claim that cosmic ray bit flips are such a rare occurrence that it is absurd to say it could have caused this wrong warp really shows he has no idea what he is talking about.
@@cileavictoria1229 dude, a cosmic ray has to travel 93 million miles through the earth's atmosphere affecting the specific bit that changes mario's height. It's hella unlikely, especially so if you consider his N64 doesn't work properly.
I work in biopharma with highly sensitive equipment. We get cosmic rays happening regularly causing outliers in our data. We have to account for it with our software. On a normal PC size machine this stuff happens once or twice a day sometimes while we are running tests. Tests only capture data for a minute or so. So really we are only capturing data for about 2 hours at most in a workday. And in that time we often see them. Sometimes it'll be a few days without observing one. If just one bit needs to be hit to cause this, then it's just as likely as any other bit being hit. I'd say it's plausible.
Don't get me wrong, you've absolutely convinced me that hardware issues are the far more likely culprit here, but I feel like you MASSIVELY underestimate just how common cosmic rays are. They're not some out-there weird physics concept, you've had several pass by you in just the time you've read this alone. Single flip events are a good chunk of the reason error correction codes are as robust as they are.
That's also why cosmic rays couldn't be the culprit. They pass every console everywhere.
@@wyattcensored9361many bits to flip, redundancies and fabrication techniques in modern technology to prevent single event upsets from affecting normal use, eec memory
@@wyattcensored9361 most of those rays aren't strong enough to cause a bit flip, but some of them are. That's why servers use ECC memory
Yep, if your PC has enough RAM there are actually scripts you can run to detect them based on bit flips.
According to IBM, for each gigabyte of RAM your PC has, you will experience one cosmic ray induced bit flip per week. Though, this was in the 1990s and technology has changed since then, so the numbers might be a bit different now.
@@thelegend8570 Data corruption on hard drives is super common as well. Modern file systems do lots of integrity checks but even so people who are in the habit of doing extra validity checks on their data often find that errors have crept in!
Definitely a case of “technically possible” getting warped into “100% confirmed”. But look, either I’m an idiot who accidentally put a dirty bowl back in the cupboard, or someone broke in and put a dirty bowl in the cupboard. Both are possible, guess we’ll never know.
Probably not even technically possible. Cosmic rays are pretty common, and I've never heard of a confirmed bit flip as result.
someone broke in 100%
@@gloweye Bit flips from cosmic rays are very common. They just don't usually result in much as modern computers have ways for correcting the flip. Especially if you go above sea level, aviation and space get it the worst and it used to be a constant problem.
Copied this from a blog post by some guy (john d cook). This incident is well documented:
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Radiolab did an episode on the case of a cosmic bit flip changing the vote tally in a Belgian election in 2003. The error was caught because one candidate got more votes than was logically possible. A recount showed that the person in question got 4096 more votes in the first count than the second count. The difference of exactly 212 votes was a clue that there had been a bit flip. All the other counts remained unchanged when they reran the tally.
It’s interesting that the cosmic ray-induced error was discovered presumably because the software quality was high. All software is subject to cosmic bit flipping, but most of it is so buggy that you couldn’t rule out other sources of error.
Cosmic bit flipping is becoming more common because processors have become smaller and more energy efficient: the less energy it takes for a program to set a bit intentionally, the less energy it takes for radiation to set a bit accidentally.
@@gloweyeWell that's just a matter of you not hearing about them
Dram engineer here. My job is literally to debug these type of silicon bugs. There isnt really enough info to determine what is failing in the memory chip. Could be capacitors losing charge due to lack of refresh cycles, unintentionally causing a row hammer attack, bad voltage reads on sense amps...
Most likely, software issue as a bit flip in these cases could happen to any of the million bits in the array. Its weird how the bit flips would only happen to player coordinate.....
Is Mario's position something that is transfered between console and cartridge at that time? I would assume it is loaded at the start of the level from the cartridge, but then it stays in RAM. That makes a faulty/tilted/slapped cartridge seem unlikely to have caused that behaviour for me.
To be fair: Invalid Instructions might be read from the cardridge which could technically cause such a thing
This video really frustrates me. It keeps saying that cosmic rays are bad and implausible because of [some reason] (probably because it's fancy physics), so some mysterious other error has to be causing it. while i myself think that it's more likely that it's just faulty hardware flipping a bit for some electricity reason (N64s are old), it's just not rigorous or well explained at all. there's not even a single number on how rare cosmic rays altering bits on earth is, how often N64s fail, etc., there's nothing. it's just a cycle of "here's something kinda similar that happened that dosen't look like a bit flip" into "experts think it's dumb" repeat.
the part about Veritasium "using the article and video as an example of a bit flip definitely happening"
in his video all he says is that no one has been able to replicate it and a bit flip from cosmic rays is the "best explanation anyone can come up with". does not seem like he was claiming it definitely happened to me.
But this guy ran a blender by his N64 so he clearly knows what he's talking about.
If there is any channel I trust to do the proper research it is Veritasium. One of the most prolific scientific channels on the platform that routinely has experts in their field on to discuss their work.
While watching this video, I couldn’t help but grow annoyed by Lunatic constantly attacking the theory. He didn’t even provide a theory of his own.
The idea at the time is that cosmic rays were the explanation that just made the most sense. And it’s true; it did make the most sense at the time. Aside from the cartridge or console just being faulty.
And even coming out of the video, it isn’t exactly firmly debunked, either. Unlikely, but was it definitely not a cosmic ray? We don’t know.
@@richboy455hate to break it to you, but every other video Veritasium makes is an explicit sponsorship where the science is secondary to promoting the product. Not to say that this makes these videos completely inaccurate or anything, but you should be critical of the media you consume and shouldn't put blind trust in anything on TH-cam, especially in the pop science sphere
@@richboy455unless he is being sponsored to do the video. The one about dandruff, the one about self driving and the one done with Mercedes are utterly corporate propaganda nothing more.
LOL Veritasium is very very thorough with their research. Mentioning that article doesn't mean they reached their conclusion from that article.
"some other kind of memory error" a bit flip from a charged particle (could be coming from the universe, could be coming from a nearby piece of uranium) is the most common memory error
That doesn’t mean it was a goddam solar ray, you dolt.
I'll tell you what happened every copy of Mario 64 is personalized and this footage proves it.
Every copy of your mom's onlyfans JOI video is personalized
Question, we know ur joking but, I wonder how the “personalised” part would work, I bet if a game were to see all of your search history and then track down your personality using digital footprints it could possible change the the game to fit you? It sounds cool, could be done perhaps, I’ve seen that video about a guy who made a game that sees your search history so I don’t think it’s that far fetched
@@sciburger8000 your mom onlyfans joi video is personalized
@@sciburger8000 LLL_Mantis? The one that imitates psychomatis' ability to read the memory card in a playstation but with the browser history. Would be pretty cool if a game could use that instead of telling you that you are in to random fetishes lol
6:00
it's not nearly as rare as you think. just, most systems are memory managed and almost 0 bits of your memory are system critical so you don't ever notice.
I've actually tested this with older ssds and have a few examples of where a single bit of a bios rom chip got flipped and disabled a whole computer. lucky for dual bios and flash back.
this is the biggest fault with the video imo. the experts that are cited are always speedrunners or tas engineers, never a person who is actually an expert on gaming hardware or storage or physics. if a bit flip seems plausible, then why not leave the video at "this is still unsolved" instead of "cosmic rays are impossible to have caused this"
@@angrymurloc7626Thing is, based on the other TTC anomalies experienced by a different person, cosmic rays being the cause gets less and less likely, bordering on being impossible
@@grunkleg.3110 Dupdome had faulty hardware which is why he not only had multiple bitflips occurring one after another, but they were all reproducible by himself in the same play session. Dota_teabag on the other hand could never reproduce this and neither could the person who bought and inspected his hardware. So that actually increases the odds that this was a bitflip caused by something non-reproducible, which means it could have been a cosmic ray. It could have electromagnetic too. No one knows, but to say "it simply isn't true" like this video creator said seems really short sighted even if you are annoyed at misinfo being spread.
I also don't like how he says "pannenkoek's tas doesn't line up completely, meaning the bitflip theory might be wrong" but the tas didn't even line up correctly when Mario was on the ground, he was several frames off the entire time.
@@angrymurloc7626 He stated it was possible multiple times throughout the video, he was just rejecting the games journo myth that it was conclusively proven by a guy who's name they couldn't even get right since they're all too busy chasing clicks to worry about making sure they're not just repeating the same falsehoods.
I didn't really mention that when I was pulling bios off of boards to check them against clean bois install, I regularly found dozens of flips per year running. most of them were inconsequential but I'd be willing to bet the 20yr old problem of hardware just not working one day is somehow related. a large portion of your bios is just channel controllers for hardware.
I'm not saying a cosmic ray bit flip was definitely the cause, but bit flips due to cosmic rays are VERY common. They just usually don't cause noticeable issues. They are one of (though not the only) reasons why ECC memory was created. One research I read a while back said that on average 4 bits are flipped in every gigabyte of RAM per month. Another said that a system with 4gb of RAM has a 96% chance of experiencing a cosmic ray bit flip every 3 days.
hey, weighing in with this is a programmer and systems administrator, bit flips happen constantly, be it from heat, radiation or cosmic rays and are usually caught by inbuilt error correction, the n64 used 4mb of RDRAM running at 400mhz on a 9 bit bus, early versions of this RAM standard had no error checking but the standard used a pretty big transistor which would require more energy comparative to the phone in your pocket or your laptop's modern hardware, so a flipped bit is more likely than you may think, complicating things is that the Mario height variable is stored in hexadecimal, and Mario was still moving vertically, so depending on where in the process and part of the system the flip happened could radically change the outcome, as it would make nonlinear changes to the value because of the conversion from hex, changing this bit at the right time seems to me like the most likely cause of the error. weather its ionising radiation from space or because the passively cooled memory was overheating or a solar flare is completely academic and unknowable, but IS more likely to be the case because of the energy requirement to flip a bit in that kind of memory module and it is a compelling story, and one I will continue to tell to comfort people when they can't open their word documents due to data corruption
tl;dr we live in a world where ECC memory has made us forget that this isn't even unlikely anymore, it just goes unnoticed because Richard Hamming is an underappreciated genius
also wtf are you talking about when you call those clips too different, they match perfectly, except one is running on native hardware with shitty 90s frame generation
@@gunslingerspartan I think his point is that they don't overlay 1 to 1 over each other, but the outcome shown is completely identical.
A rather silly gripe to claim "Not identical"
I came to this video expecting to be shown why the cosmic ray theory is false but now I believe it much more strongly lol
May I ask why?
@@AldinRamic cos its cool
@@420quickscoper5 ok
I think this video adequatly covers ways other than cosmic rays this could have happened, however, it does not adequatly disprove the general idea of a bitflip to a degree that justifies the language used.
Came here looking for this comment. If it's not solved, you can't say it WASN'T a cosmic ray just like you can't say it was.
@@paytonhearn2502 How else would he get to bring up his tired "ethics in gaming journalism" points?
It's not even relevant here too
@@paytonhearn2502 that’s exactly how science works. If there is a likely solution backed by evidence(the faulty console) and someone comes up with another solution which is orders of magnitudes less likely, the science community doesn’t go „we can’t determine which one it is because both are possible“. They go „There is a very small change it _did_ happen like that, but the general consensus is that it happened like this“.
If it wasn’t that way we’d have to consider that gravity might not exist because there is a possibility that all things just fall downwards through random quantum tunneling.
@@foximacentauri7891 What evidence? And how do you define which solution is more or less likely? If I was paying attention, the video said that upwarps have not been proven to happen because of faulty consoles. If that's the case, it's not obvious to say that faulty console is more likely source just because it can create other types of glitches.
At least the bitflip has some kind of experimental evidence to back it up since the TAS recreation was close enough to not rule it out(i.e it was *really* close to what we saw).
So we have one hypothesis about cosmic rays that can and was tested and it resulted in good but inconclusive evidence, and another hypothesis which has no evidence and is untestable and is basically just "faulty console can result in any kind of glitch, so it's probably that even though we don't know how". Either one could be the reason, but neither is "orders of magnitude less likely." because we lack data to make such claims
I'm not very far into this video but just wanted to mention that cosmic rays flipping bits in RAM is not an "out there" concept. Server-grade RAM is literally designed to combat this for data integrity.
Cosmic rays being the cause of this is probably what is being questioned. To your point though, there is also something called "functional safety" in ISO and IEC standards. There are dictations to the way code must be written that assumes a bit could randomly be toggled. An example is that there cannot be any "hanging" or dormant code in which it has the potential of being executed even though it would never execute in any expected scenario. Even if that piece of code is commented out, it cannot be present at all if it doesn't belong there.
18:38 the idea that a sun fart affected a speedrun is still funny, sorry fun police 🤓🤓
Dies in CCM, gets mad, slaps his N64, then goes to re-enter CCM but ends up in BBH instead. He gets what he asked for; a different level.
"Fuck this level man *hits console*
Here ya go bud, a better level
Every-
>complains about people taking "it could've happened" and making it "it did happen"
>takes "it probably didn't happen" and makes it "it didn't happen"
>refuses to elaborate
>ends video
Let's be real though A cosmic ray traveling 8 light minutes through earths electromagnetic field into some guys house and into a very specific part of a circuit board at the exact perfect time causing mario end up on a higher platform isn't very likely.
@@lol-de4lo That's like saying a dart hitting an exact spot down to the millimeter isn't that likely. But throw a dart in hindsight, and wow, look at that. At exactly 1:13:004s I hit exactly 10.413cm by 5.143cm on the dart board, even though the probability of hitting that exact spot should be impossible!
His smug tone while fighting misinformation with more misinformation really makes me angry.
@@lol-de4loYou're missing the point. Your devices get walloped by cosmic EM radiation all the time. Radios have static for a reason. The only reason computers don't glitch all the time is that they do, but programs handle errors like that all the time. And when they do fail, it just crashes. The fact that this glitch was blatantly visible is the only difference.
@@Darkra98
I feel like those are very very very very different levels of unlikely/impossible/improbable & aren't comparable in the slightest.
“Bad game journalism” implies that there is good game journalism. Basically an oxymoron.
Reasons why the cosmic ray flip is a myth:
- there's a different upwarp glitch
- someone had many bit flips happening
- some other person had a slightly similar thing happen that wasn't a bit flip
- uhhh some people had faulty consoles that loaded textures wrong
- uhhhhh someone slapped their console and the wrong level loaded
also I ran my mixer next to my console
>person's game has a history of weird bugs
>weird bug happens in person's game
>hurr must be cosmic rays
@@electroflame6188 You mean
> person's game wouldn't start sometimes
> someone tested the game and there were no bugs
> but some other people had bugs
> clearly, it proves that was a bug
well yes, proof by contradiction
@@spicyseliph Not sure u know what that is
@@spicyseliph It's not proof by contradiction, none of the cited examples for causes of glitches in sm64 apply to this case.
Yeah cosmic rays flipping bits like this is not statistically likely, especially when other explanations are available, but just because it is not a proven fact, and just because it originally came from a place of literally just guessing and presenting it as fact, doesn't mean it's an impossibility
The repeated disregard for cosmic rays as a possible reason is unscientific, given how much they happen all the time. I suggest going to a lab that shows it in action, its actually quite fun, but on the more serious side, space agencies definitely have to account for it in their computers, where coding errors are accounted for and auto-repaired to insure failure is minimized as much as possible. The rarity that the rays specifically hitting computer bits is fine, given it's not just likely, its statistically guaranteed when enough people play it, especially for many hours, days, years.
Hell, the existence of ECC RAM alone debunks half this guy's video
Spends entire video showing how cosmic radiation is still the best explanation, then gets mad at journalists for reporting it correctly.
Given that his cartridge caused a lot of other reoccurring strange events it’s safe to say that the upwarp was not caused by a cosmic ray. However since pannenkoeks video proved that a single bit flip could cause such an upwarp it kinda proves that cosmic rays could cause glitches like this one. Maybe future SM64 speedrun strats revolve around playing the game on top of mount everest to expose the console to more radiation and just hope to bit flip into the credits.
The best part about the TheGamer article is that the upwarp didn't even save him time, it did the exact opposite.
the complete opposite
You're being absolutely clowned on
Bit flips caused by gamma rays happen much more often than you would think. The term "cosmic ray" used in English is offputting and makes it sound outlandishly unlikely. "Background radiation" is more accurate as it originates from space, earth, radioactive decay or any other thing producing exotic particles. Try turning on a geiger counter at home and see for yourself. Just because something sounds unbelievable to you doesn't mean it didn't happen.
Better title: "This theory isn't confirmed, so I'll make a video about how it definitely isn't true (I won't provide evidence though)"
Thought this was gonna prove the bitflip theory wrong but it just goes over all the likely theories and in the end the bitflip is the only one that has had any sort of evidence that could be reproduced, and you even bring up the dupdome instance which only reinforces the idea of a bitflip caused by a cosmic ray. In dupdome's scenario it is far more likely that a hardware error was in effect, as there were multiple bitflips occurring in predictable ways, but in the dota_teabag scenario we've taken apart the N64 and cartridge itself and in your own words "nothing notable popped up." Faulty hardware can be ruled out completely due to those tests. As for cartridge tilts and slaps, nothing in the dota_teabag clip indicates any sort of sudden harm to the console like in the atogami clip. In every other example shown of faulty cartridge connections, the interference is far greater than the upwarp and anomalies occur for far longer, animations and textures glitching out for several seconds at a time that isn't in line with the sudden, one frame change we see in the dota_teabag clip.
Every alternate scenario you've presented has other caveats and such that make them differ too greatly from the dota_teabag clip. Faulty hardware has been disproven by further testing. Faulty connections cause wildly different scenarios from the one we are trying to recreate. The bitflip is the ONLY scenario that has shown a correlation to what actually happened in the clip. It is the only scenario that actually hits the mark, and no matter how unlikely a SEU is, the results suggest that it's still more likely than anything you've shown. Hell, the idea that cosmic rays are "unlikely" is even questioned in your vid. You say yourself that bitflips usually don't effect a computer in "a visually observable manner." This implies that they happen more often than we have observed, thus making our own perception of how likely they are to happen to be inaccurate. Which, of course, they do. Hardware and software usually just has ways to handle errors that the end user doesn't perceive, like simply crashing.
I'm not gonna argue that poor journalism leads to myths, but if YOU are, then you should be doing your due diligence. You said that Veritasium used the clips as an example of a bitflip "DEFINITELY happening thanks to a cosmic ray." This is objectively incorrect and can be proven wrong by simply watching his video. His actual words were "the best explanation anyone could come up with is that a cosmic ray caused the glitch," which is a perfectly reasonable take that still leaves room for doubt. If you're gonna criticize him for poor journalistic integrity, criticize him for getting pannen's name wrong, don't shove words in his mouth. The fact that you're willing to put such blatant misinformation in your video calls in to question your own integrity.
tldr, bitflip is still the most likely scenario as nothing else has come close to replicating it. Cosmic rays affecting hardware is more common than we think. You should stop making up quotes to make others look bad.
This should be at the very top of the comment section
Perfect description of what's wrong with the video IMO.
Essentially saying 'the cosmic ray bit flip theory "simply isn't true" (his words)' while providing evidence that a bit flip is the most plausible theory for that exact glitch is wild to me. Trying to call out bad journalism through _this_ video of all things is just peak irony.
Adding another comment here to try to push this comment to the top. People tend to open comment reply sections with more replies, and upon reading the replies are psychologically more likely to actually read the long original comment, and thus more likely to like said comment, pushing it further to the top, where more people can see it as it rightfully belongs to be.
Doing my bit to push this comment up.
This
Ok, SRL speedboomer here, the cosmic ray theory was around way before the 2020 clickbait article, i remember hearing about it when it happened in 2013. Furthermore, it was a common rumor back in the 80s and 90s back when computer hardware wasn't nearly as robust as it is today. The rumor goes (yes a rumor) that people would purchase RAM upgrades for their PCs, and when this RAM turned out to be faulty, people would angrily call the manufacturing companies of said RAM looking for answers. Instead of admitting that they sold faulty RAM to the customer, they would blame crazy things like cosmic rays for flipping bits. So yes, this Cosmic Ray Meme has been in computing for at least 40 years lol.
bc of solar flares during the time period which absolutely fried a bunch of computers and lead to an article about something people couldn't verify on their own
Wow
Cosmic rays are a well established part of video game history. Maybe their effects are less prevalent due to the shear volume of bits contained in newer games, but older gamers are familiar with them. I recall an Atari racing game that was quite susceptible to these rays.
This was a fascinating watch. I've had a handful of weird one-time things (mostly random wrongwarps in gameboy games) happen over the years, but I never even thought of them as more than weird quirks in old games. That said, I think myths like that are fun. Gives speedrunning another dimension to view them from.
Honestly it's really disappointing that you've included disinformation of your own in your criticism of disinformation about this. You have, and present, excellent evidence that the upwarp has far more likely explanations, but you also include complete garbage. Bafflingly, at 10:21 you somehow claim there's no confirmation that any bits were flipped at all, as if Mario's position didn't change or his position isn't a bit value, as if the game runs on magic instead of bit operations.
Literally within your own video, at 12:37, alongside compelling examples of same-game same-stage same-type positional glitches repeatedly occurring, you show a comment discussing how cartridge tilt causing this type of glitch is "bunk". This is shortly after you spent about 4 minutes claiming cartridge tilt could be the cause. You appear to lump every type glitch together as if they're all the same thing, bizarrely treating cartridge-read errors as if they're the same as positional data being corrupted in real-time.
The bit being that value is the same thing as Mario being in that position, so for the video to say the bit didn't flip is to say that Mario is not at the top floor when we see him there. The console can flip bits too, but the implication of his statement would suggest that the bits don't change and the game runs without memory management.
@@drednaught608 I thought the implication was that bit flips sometimes happen outside of the game's programming, not that no bits flip ever.
This! A cartridge read error would occur as the level is loaded into the console's memory upon level start, not randomly during the level. Mario's position isn't determined based on cartridge data, because that would be insane.
What happens is that the console copies the level data from the cartridge into its internal memory, which is then used to compute Mario's position in the game world, which is then used to control everything from the renderer to enemy AI algorithms and other such mechanics.
It sounds like the cosmic ray theory is the most "complete" theory to explain the observed phenomenon. It's recognized that it is unlikely, but I think this has to be weighed against the evidence that we know cosmic rays do occasionally cause observable bit flips in computer systems.
The alternative theory here is "something something to do with faulty hardware", but a complete theory isn't presented.
I would say neither a single event upset nor a spurious hardware failure can be ruled out at this point. It seems unlikely given the limited evidence we'll ever be able to come to a fully definitive solution since the event happened in the past and we don't have access to the hardware state at the time. In that case the best we can hope for are some good theories, and I think both theories above are decent.
3:47 i love how one comment said: "get dream on this, he has a lot of cosmic radiation in his house"
Funfact: Bitflips occur way more often (caused by various reasons) than you think and most of the time have absolutely 0 effect on whatever you're doing. But there is a reason for ECC Memory in the professional world, where 1 second of downtime is the equivalent to your yearly salary (or more)
I will weigh in and say that it's extremely unlikely for a faulty cartridge read/cartridge tilt to cause an up-warp. There's a reason those glitches in games are often limited to animations, models and sounds/music freaking out. Cartridge tilting tends to not affect things that are always loaded in memory, such as the game's code and its associated memory. It would be very unlikely for that to be the cause of an upward warp. That's an effect you would only see if you used a ROM corruptor for amusement.
I wouldn't dismiss the bit flip theory entirely, for that reason. The only other viable option at that point is some sort of undiscovered bug/quirk in the game's physics. I'm not saying the bit flip is necessarily caused by a cosmic ray, but it's exceedingly plausible that a bit was flipped to make that happen.
DOTA_Teabag made a YT video(a YT short for some reason?) showing the game crashing with Mario doing the classic corrupted animation with corrupted music. So it seems like hardware issues is(or are?) the culprit.
9:57
Yeah I don't see how tilting the cartridge would affect the mario position variables stored on the N64 ram. I mean I guess hypothetically it could read a faulty instruction of the cartridge that would do that, but that's VERY unlikely.
@@jakob_ch Except it doesn't. Logic on N64 cannot be executed directly from ROM, it must be loaded into RAM first, and if you don't set up certain memory segments correctly, only the first megabyte of RAM can ever be used for executable code. Additional logic is never loaded in the middle of a level, only during transitions.
The actual impossible hypothesis is that it was a cartridge tilt. Mario's height is stored in RAM, not ROM, and is only modified by code that was already loaded at that point.
I literally stopped watching the video to see how more than 90% of the comments against argued in a polite and plausible way, I have rarely seen this, epic
nah fr everyones pretty chill with disagreeing with the video and the like
I dislike it
They may be respectful but some are delusional, (unintentionally) making it easier to argue against it by twisting his words (strawman).
Fringe nerd shit like this will sometimes bring out the worst... but occasionally the intertwining of two different technical fields that rarely interact (speed running and TAS experts meet survivability and electrical engineering professionals in a friendly debate on the the existence of funny mustache man breaking the laws of game physics because of a stray ionic particle exacting ultimate justice.
I'll gladly change that😅
I'm annoyed because this whole video is speculation arguing against other speculation😅
20 minutes of just “STOP HAVING FUN”
6:22 Outlandish maybe, but it happened once in a very obvious way in a British voting machine.
It was obvious as in "that least likely candidate has more votes than the entire area has people and if we flip that one bit of its count we get to something we would expect".
Now that I am informed, I will now intentionally meme about incorrect information.
Ikr? I love this meme, the thought of cosmic radiation affecting sm64 is so silly and wacky, kinda ruins the fun to be like, "um, actually..." ☝️🤓 Just enjoy the fun, no one give a shit if it's factual
Bro that glitch of the Japanese player going to big boo haunt, if that happened to me as a kid I would have been absolutely terrified
Right? That's some B3313 crap
I would never hit my console again
It's not discussed in the video, but memory corruption is usually a more prevalent cause of errors than cosmic ray bitflips. Typically you'd have a wrong address stored in memory (e.g. memory already freed reallocated to another variable) and then one part of code would modify the memory at that address, causing strange behavior observed by the actual owner of the memory location. So it could easily have been a second-order effect by hardware corrupting a pointer that then subtracted one in the wrong place. Partially in the case where a lot of errors happened in a short timeframe.
If anything, I am MORE convinced that it was a cosmic ray after watching
how does your brain function
I have no idea why the SM64 glitch happened (the cache thing makes sense to me), but I don't know who told you that cosmic rays flipping memory bits is "rare". High performance servers, the main reason you pay extra money for error correcting RAM is in no small part because cosmic ray bit flips aren't terribly uncommon, particular if you have a lot of RAM. I'm not saying they happen all the time, but they absolutely do happen, and if you have data that you want to protect you need to actually consider it. Data centers use error correcting RAM specifically for this .
Now, obviously, the N64 *does not* have a ton of RAM, but considering how many millions of hours have been spent playing SM64 it feels like a cosmic ray bit flip at some point is inevitable, considering that the N64 doesn't have error correcting memory (I'm not even sure it had been invented yet!).
It hadn't been invented yet because bitflips weren't as common. Memory nowadays is built on a much smaller process node, where less current is needed to flip a bit. More efficient, also more susceptible to bitflips from cosmic rays or quantum tunneling. Even non-ECC memory has some error correction nowadays.
This is wrong, parity in memory is as old as memory. IBM had commercially available ECC RAM in the 50s
I really don’t think you know what rare means if you think saying “they don’t happen all the time but they DO happen” somehow contradicts the claim that it’s rare.
You’re basically saying “it’s not rare but essentially it’s rare”
@@zzodysseuszz no, I am agreeing it is rare. I am claiming that given enough hours of playtime an unlikely event becomes basically inevitable. The video had the tone of “it’s rare so it didn’t happen”, and I am arguing that even if they are rare, there have been untold millions of hours playing Mario 64, on systems that don’t have error correcting memory, so it wouldn’t be *weird* if it did happen eventually. Law of large numbers and whatnot.
@@zzodysseuszz The claim in the video is that it's practically impossible for a cosmic ray to flip the bits in an N64, despite the fact that it's a very well-known phenomena that happens plenty of times on other kinds of computers.
Luigi: Oh hey! You are back early
Mario: Clock's haunted...
Luigi: What?
*Mario loads a gun and climbs back into the clock*
Mario: Clock's haunted...
That's what the Mario 64 shotgun mod is for.
XD
Is this supposed to be a B3313 reference?
@@andreasjoannai6441moon's haunted
4:55 - Obviously the videos don't match perfectly. It's a movement/input recreation, obviously it's a little bit different here and there. It's different since before the glitch happens, it will also be slightly different while and after the glitch happens. Unless you have the TAS for the original button presses, I don't think you could ever recreate it 1:1. It still is EXTREMELY CLOSE to the original video. So the bit change still looks like the most probable cause of this.
Great video, I need that additional context 😀
The clip recreating a bitflip does look almost identical (to me at least) to the original event
You'd be surprised how often people blame the cartridge connection ("cart tilts") when it's actually a loose power supply in the back side.
i remember when pannen put out the bounty for this, but i NEVER heard anything about cosmic rays lmao. this is wild
I only ever heard about the cosmic ray
Complete opposite for me back when this was still new.
I first found a video talking about the cosmic rays (or the possibility of it being the case) before I heard about the bounty
I saw the video in 2016, returned in 2017 to see comments talking about the cosmic ray.
Im shaking and crying the gamer would never spread misinformatiom on the internet
The real biggest myth in gaming is that gaming journalists have any journalistic integrity whatsoever
bit flips arent that rare, i witnessed one at work once, a single bit flipped in a huge array of pointers causing a crash on my personal dev machine, i had a debugger attached and couldn't find any explanation other than random flip, its not knowable if it was a cosmic ray, but i choose to believe it was because there are LOTS of cosmic ray particles around us at all times, magnetic interference is surprisingly pretty unlikely. look up cloud chambers, you can witness for yourself just how many rays interact with us every day.
given the vast amounts of mario speedrunning footage and older cpus being more vulnerable to bit flips, i think the hypothesis is actually quite likely, but it's likely we will never prove it either way.
"and older cpus being more vulnerable to bit flips"
I thought it was the opposite way around?
Modern devices have some limited means of detecting and correcting for unintended bit flips, older devices will simply accept whatever value was produced by the flip.
So….. after watching this video… it was cosmic rays.
🧠🗿
Imagine being upset by a meme though. The cosmic ray meme is successful not necessarily because people believe it happened, but because the idea that it could happen is really funny.