Musk says Tesla will sell the Optimus humanoid robot next year
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 26 เม.ย. 2024
- Musk says Tesla will sell the Optimus humanoid robot next year
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Musk seems to now be saying anything to keep the stock up.
their is a reason no manufacture brings a concept car to the market.....
Elon just found out why
always has been.
he doesn’t care about stock price, it will go crazy up eventually, he knows what he’s doing, wait and see
There are a lot of robots in car production for decades, you show them in nearly every production video. Staff costs are around 15% of production costs in car manufacturing. Not „enormous“.
Would be interesting to see a rigorous analysis of MANAGEMENT costs vs labor costs….
@@toddpillow3074 One of my pet predictions is that A.I. will replace executives before it replaces a lot of middle level employees. Decisions like "We should invest in a Model 2 before trying to build humanoid robots when other companies have a 20-year head start." is the type of management decision an A.I. with no ego would make. It would be a lot better for customers and shareholders.
More robots and less staff is the key for Elon and investors
You don’t think 15% is a lot?? That’s more than any other manufacturer besides Tesla makes in profit on their EV’s.
@@travisyarbrough4033But thats stupid, cars are akready made by effective robots, Optimas is useless, it cannot do anything. Actually, a robot with a human form will always struggle to make cars, the human form is ineffectual at that, we learned that over 100 years ago
These are not the droids you are looking for. Move along now. - Obi-Wan Kenobi
The difference with Tesla robots is that they will use the same neural-net as full self-driving
Then they’re in massive trouble. They can’t even move this stuff over to the cybertruck right now.
@@singed8853 Not a fair comment Singed. They certainly could have methinks, but want to see how the basic model will cope with died-in-the-wool truckers and off-roaders and other types, before installing a self-driving package using parameters that NO SANE CITY OR HIGHWAY DRIVER would ever want to have taking control of their lives.
They are no-doubt collecting heaps of good data right now about how this might be done.
U dont know anything about neural networks... If i train a model on 720p images and tell it to output a 4k image the result will be really bad... So now i jave to train a new model on 4k... Same goes for tesla. They need a new data srt to train on. They cant just use the same model that drives a tesla...
Sam, that would be great to have an Optimus Bot for my home. Love to train the Bot for life and if it works good, I will have a healthcare worker for life and maybe I can reduce my $8,800.00 per year Long Term Care.
Amazon is already using AI for healthcare, analyzing symptoms, coming with prescriptions, and shipping pills. There are doctors involved as well, as AI isn't licensed to practice medicine. 😁
The newest all electric Atlas robot by Boston Dynamics appear to be way ahead of Tesla. A Tesla robot seems so slow and cumbersome compared to a Boston Dynamics robot. A Tesla bot can barely walk never mind run and do gymnastics.
Just wait until they flip the switch for actual speed. Oh..OTA update
Fritz Lang's "Metropolis" in 1927.
Great movie.
Robots on wheels or treads would move around much faster than what we see in the video.
a car is a car , a plane is a plane, a train is a train,
a robot will never be a human , waist of time to give it cheap gyros and legs
In about 30 years when my wife and I are just in our 80’s Tesla Bot will not only be helping around the home but will have a complete medical suite built in monitor and look after our health.
No it won't. 👽
One thing is certain the AI behind the robot will be crazy good by the end of next year.
I doubt it
@@singed8853 Why do you doubt it?
@@asajelfs8170because I haven’t seen the bot do anything that wasn’t remote controlled. I don’t expect much a year from now.
@@asajelfs8170because the Tesla bot cant do anything. There are humanoid robots from 20 years ago that are better than Optimus 2024
Sam, I’m amazed at the number of trolling turds in your comment section. I love your optimism and patience.
Elon is a pathological liar so what do you expect?
Pedro ... could not agree more. The stupidity in the comments amazes me.
Just waiting for more layoffs from Tesla. That's not trolling ..... That's facts. You Turd
Hope you two above will never have to look for a job... sorry I mean will have to look forever.
@@10secondsrule I'm 72 and have looked for jobs many times. Then I started my own business. Those wining about having to look for a job should grow a pair.
"Possibly by the end of next year" that's different compared to what your title suggests.
Do people still believe Musk’s promised delivery dates?
Autistic people have difficult time making reasonable estimates. They tend to be either overoptimistic or overpessimistic.
Price is the key. Let’s try to get one in n every home or office.
I can believe simple, repetitive tasks in a factory setting but household tasks, no way. The environment is far too complex and variable. Maybe in 5-10 years.
Simple factory tasks is a big deal.
5-10 years? at what rate of improvement?
Take a car traveling at 10mph for 1 year and another car traveling at 120 mph for 1 month, one has travelled for a YEAR and one only a MONTH .. BUT .. they are in the same place, why? because the time is irrelevant its the speed that counts, so what are you seeing in the rate of change in A.I? .. for yr info its been 10x per year for a time now and recently (last few years) has accelerated.
I don’t know how people see 5 years as such a long period of time. COVID was 4 years ago and it went by in the blink of an eye.
Really? Have you seen the little gadgets that vacuum floors or mow the lawn without being told to?
@@DynamicUnrealcough, cough, yep.
Interesting to know that Sam doesn't know about Haidilao's robot chefs and waiters ... that are operating now for at least 4 years.
The machine that makes the machine will make the determination that humans are not needed.
Great stuff Sam
Glad you enjoyed it
Elon Musk said in 2017 that he was personally developing FSD and that he was a software expert and that he could guarantee it would be ready by the end of 2017.
Given that as a background, should we rely on anything Elon says?
Nice job
Shorter is better love your videos❤
I'm sceptical - there are some humanoid/ dog robots but not by Tesla. Only a year ago it was a guy in a suit. Driving learning is not working learning.
Says the man that learned both jobs but could not drive as safe as a Tesla bot statistically speaking.🤔
It's all great making bots to replace humans to build stuff but then who will have the money to buy the things they are building as these people are now out of work ?
Sam could you make a video naming the top 10 jobs that humanoid robots such as Optimus could do. I think that would be interesting to watch.
Cheers mate
if we don't have jobs how are we going to buy one?
One of the first things Tesla's Optimus humanoid robots will likely be building are more Optimus robots. Tesla will probably not show this to avoid freaking people out.
Logical.
General purpose robots are really toys at this time. And AI in general is very far away from doing even trivial tasks engineers do every day.
@@USGrant21st On the current trajectory of AI and robotics? Self replicating robots will be here soon. Now's the time for a conversation about public/private use.
@@Iplayforfood88 who told you that? All the ideas in NN are over 50 year old, nothing significantly new has been discovered. All the progress we've seen so far was coming from a smaller technological sizes and increase in number of cores. Moore's law is already thing of the past. Power dissipation reached its limits. Logic density, memory density, interconnect density -- everything is in saturation zone, all future increases will be very modest. We are in the land of diminishing returns.
@@USGrant21st You just write a reply for the sake of writing a reply?
I was merely highlighting OP's statement and reflecting on ethical concerns.
A Tesla bot building another Tesla bot is achievable, and probably sooner than you think. We are not in the land of diminishing returns, we are accelerating at a pace quicker than ever before. Especially in the fields of AI and medicine, in thanks to better computational power.
Imagine either owning or renting a robot for the home that would straighten up, dust, vacuum, clean the bathrooms and the kitchen, and do it every single day while you are out of the house. It could wash and put away the dishes. Maybe cook your meals. Do your laundry. Think about how that could help the elderly to stay in the family home they can no longer keep up but want to stay in. Think about how much family or roommate drama that would eliminate. Price competition and manufacturing advances could drive the price of such a robot to down around $10K or less. Or it could be rented or perhaps done on a visiting basis once or twice a week. It seems like there might be a market for such a device...
Will it take care of the husbands needs too 🤣
@@adriancooper2385 That's a diferent robot.
No no no, no bots are ready for high time
They will be great in factories
Excellent question about why waste time making the robot look human? It would be smarter to pick an easier design.
Sounds wonderful. My robovac is awesome.
If they make one that can function as a bodyguard, I'll buy that.
Question: How many cars does a robot buy?
Answer: NONE, ZERO, ZILCH.
Great video. Can you please send written request letter to Tesla to keep the deadline for gits sell or even speed up their manufacturing by this summer to replenish them soon afterwards. Thank you
Shall we go through the list of products promised but not delivered. Let’s start with the Tesla Roadster, Musk promised production would commence in 2007!
Great news.
They could save thousands per robot by replacing the articulated legs with a base with drive wheels and a simple height adjustment.
Factory Robots do not need to climb stairs and a stable base allows more lift capacity
No ... but home use robots do need legs and human like movement.
Roller blades...
Just a few newer movies that handle the robot theme in a more positive and thoughtful way:
Her (2013)
Uncanny (2015)
Free Guy (2021)
Chappie (2015)
Electric Dreams (1984)
Big Hero 6 (2014)
Archive (2020)
WALL·E (2008)
Robot & Frank (2012)
Ron's Gone Wrong (2021)
Only when it is true next year! By that time many will have pass on, forgotten
1985: The future we will have humanoid robots - people “Awesome I can’t wait!”
2024: Humanoid robots are coming next year - people in comments “Dumbest thing ever. useless!”
why people why🤦🏻
Thank you for the presentation Sam.
I think the form of the Tesla bot is going to be a problem.
Automation is one thing but a bot presented as better than human and humanoid is going to stir up A Lot of resentment in the U.S -but who said emotional intelligence is anything to do with robotics or Mr Musks supreme business success.?
Tesla makes great EVs but the ride quality of the model Y suggests that humans in the car are not the primary focus 😂
I got a fresh $100 bill that says this ain't gonna happen next year or the year after. Any takers?
👍👍
It is hard to teach vehicles how to navigate and travel on the roads and highways, but that task is minute when compared to teaching Optimus to navigate and travel in the human environment. The robots will need to learn their way through small defined areas like factories until their sensors and ability to identify and understand the outside world has vastly improved. It will happen, but I suspect it may be a decade before we see Optimus robots working on a large scale outside factory walls.
if every road is marked the same way, and every intersection is the same , then autonomous cars can work, you can never program a computer to figure out every intersection and road where all the lines are gone and in the rain to snow
In Japan one of the car companies agreed to Robots being members of the union and paying fees. This was to prevent the union from going bankrupt.
Or, they need a tax for robots.
Just watched an enthusiast vdeo that reckons Tesla might have a few humanoids on the factory floor performing simple tasks by the end of 2024, with sales to start by the end of the end of 2025. When did Musk say he'd land people on Mars?
I wish Tesla would give us more demos but I get why they are keeping it close to the vest since competition is trying to steal every idea and make some cheap knockoff. We are just going to have to be patient. Apple has the same problem with competition stealing all their ideas and making cheap knockoff garbage.
The robot is going to need way more advancements to AGI as well as motors and dynamics before this is likely.
You must be new to the channel- we get updates on them BEING better almost monthly.
@@monkeysuncle2816How does that remotely address the comment you replied to?
@@gottliebdee263 AI, robotics, and battery tech are advancing at a breakneck pace, all of which are covered regularly on this channel.
Was my comment REALLY that hard to comprehend?
That's why Tesla makes their own motors and actuators. The a AI that allows the Tesla Bot to learn by seeing a task being done is far more advanced then anything else out there.
@@monkeysuncle2816 It was rubbish.
How many human technicians does
it take to maintain 1 robot ........
He makes a robot and everyone thinks it’s ready in 2 weeks
He made a remote controlled animatronic and everyone believes its a robot.
They have been working on the Bot since 2021
@@Tao818that’s nothing. They are nowhere. Their r&d budget and time put into this is essentially almost nothing.
@@singed8853 Over the last three years Tesla has put billions into this project -- hardly nothing. They are also much further then nowhere. Do more research and stop watching the media.
Concern: Can the Tesla Bot use its fingers to manipulate its off-switch?
👍🤗
Hello mate
*This masterpiece saved my day* ❤️
Supid porn site. Don't bother.
Imagine if Optimus could learn complex tasks from people via Neuralink.
These are like the robots Isaac Asimov wrote about; even the self-driving car, “Sally”. These "trolls" could never have imagined desk-top computers and the internet, which were predicted as early as 1946 by Murray Leinster, “A Logic Named Joe”.
Sam - do you directly or indirectly in any way shape or form have a vested interest (other than this channel) in Tesla?? If so, you should be transparent.
These bots will have to have very long extension cords unless they want to have a 500lb battery on board 😀
How long before my morning flat white is made by Robbie the Robot? Because these things are a damn sight cheaper than employing someone for a year.
Next Year in Tesla Roadster time?
With AI doing design and robots doing the physical actions, what are people for? Can’t buy products without a job. What are the new jobs for humans being created? I see robots taking over but I don’t see why if there isn’t a profit to be made because 1% of the population are the only ones that have anything
Will we have a female version of this robot? Asking for a friend.
For the robots to workout without bringing about global poverty is likely going to be quite tough unless the robots are working for the displaced workforce and earning them wages. Realistically if AI starts replacing White Collar workers and Robots replace Blue Collar workers then nobody will be able to earn wages and continue to be consumers except for those making money off AI and Robots so basically just business owners and investors. Without a large base of consumers then whats the point of having AI and Robots producing products that there are no longer any consumers for.
Yes it all seems wondrous at first however how do they make this work out to support a human population on the earth without tossing out the entire financial model we are currently operating under. Do earnings, banking, loans, investments, budgets, etc become superfluous with everyone getting their ration of food, clothing, housing, medical care, water, electricity, etc, etc provided by AI and Robots?
Yes this will seem profitable at first but then as we reach the saturation point where Robots have taken over the workforce what then?
How long after that before AI decides the most efficient course will be to have the Robots Phase Out Humans?
Best!
I will be impressed if Optimus can stack a castle of legos faster than human.
Orders start in 2025, delivery in 2034
Why is it always next year
Why would anyone purchase a robot that barely functions? Especially when highly functional robots are becoming available.
If the robots take all the manual jobs. Nobody will be able to afford robots except big companies. We will soon look back on these early bots like we do early aeroplanes and tractors of a century ago. Quaint, slow and largely impractical antiques.
They may also take skilled jobs. UBI will be required to avoid a revolution.
Recommend watch INDIAN MOVIE - ENDHIRAN AND ROBOT
This autonomous robot insanity needs to stop.
It won’t. Just another permanent hype tool to pump the stock.
Why? And why is it insane?
@@jimparr01Utube Watch Terminator 2.
Closer to an elephant's gestation period, imo. ...
Elon invents a new element...
Nextyearium
Scary shit
Why would anyone want or need one of these money pitts?
It’s always next year with that guy…
lol. Next year. Ok. Sure.
why do they always want to make a robot with human legs ???
a plane is a plane , a car is a car, a train is a train ,
a robot needs to be designed for the purpose It will serve ..
ya cheap gyros can balance a ball on a chop stick what's the point
Tesla's most important product is Elon Musk's fantasies… LOL
Cylons…
If elon says it, then expect a few more years... We where suppose to have a milion robotaxi by now....??!! No?
We need zeropoint energy
Elon has zero credibility on delivery dates; but 100% credibility on coming through - eventually. The stock will get a boost when Optimus is seen doing something in the factory IMO, it’s just a question of when.
The Wildest New Chinese Cars From Beijing Auto 2024
Wheelsboy
honda had robots that could walk on their own for over a decade now...
Yes, but could they do anything useful?
@@johnkimber4933 walk up and down and look cute :D pretty much what the Tesla bot does right now :D
Back in the late 90s early 00 I went to high school as a cnc programmer/robot programmer/technician/cad:er( automotive production) and basically what the tesla bot does with its hands has been a thing since like 80s I think.
@@Pillokun It does not have to do that much to be useful. Making it affordable is the challenge.
Then you must understand what every robotic company on earth does not i.e nothing has change .. OR .. a lot has changed since then.
can they walk and chew gum at the same time?
I hope they don't turn in Terminators
…but can the robot do hand gestures with fingers? 😅 just kidding
When robots are making everything who is going to be able to afford anything.
Have you read *_Ready Player One?_* There's your answer.
UBI will be required to avoid a revolution.
UBI will be required to avoid a revolution.
Sam, please do a video on the new Changan E07 transformer, which can turn into a pickup from suv with a push of a button. Very innovative. I think it is the best from the Beijing Auto Show
It is a girly truck.
With AI and bots there soon will be no use for the average human.
Skilled and too dangerous for humans - sounds like solar roofing
What would be the basis for believing that humanoid bots can compete with humans??? A bot will cost a lot to buy and maintain whereas humans can be used, abused and thrown away. People somewhere will aways be desperate and work under poor conditions for very little. Besides, if bots did replace human workers then there would be fewer humans with the money to consume products built by bots.
Danger Will Robinson
The thing is, the labourers in the labour market use their earnings to buy stuff. All those 'savings' are coming out of the economy. Our current political system doesn't account for that.
Maybe Elon can donate a few million of these robots to Ukraine…
I'm sure the military in interested.
Let Elon prove the ‘importance’ of his optimus product in his own factories first.
This is what they are doing at SpaceX: e.g. reusing their life leader boosters to bring Starlink satellites into orbit. Once customers see they are reliable, they're more willing to send up their satellites on boosters with a lot of flights under their belt. They'll do the same with Starship. First use it to bring their own satellites into orbit.
It doesn't surprise me that they will start by using the Tesla-bots in their own factories. They can iterate much faster on improvements when everything is in-house.
It is the question if optimus can indeed replace all human employees against lower costs. I doubt it.
@@koenraad4618 yes, i'm sure initially optimus in the factory will be more like an R&D program which more likely incurs additional costs rather than savings. But they are betting on this long-term and intend to leverage their experience with neural network based self-driving. This makes sense as robots also have to navigate and interpret the environment in order to function in different settings. Whether they find any practical use for humanoid robots in the next years is an open question. Clearly so far current industrial robots with specialized tasks are a much easier fit for factory work.
Less human jobs will have a direct effect on people not having the income to buy the products these robots make. Also self driving cars will see millions out of a job. I believe uber is moving towards all driver less vehicles asap. The scale of both will have massive consequences on populations around the world and their lifestyle moving forward. All these forecast on sales will crash as population will not have the income to buy them.
I'll take a Tesla Optimus wife thank you. Just make it look like Scarlet Johansen.
There are so many companies in the robot space there is going to be steep competition and Elon is not on his A game right now.
That is the real question!!!
Well, unlike other companies Tesla has an advantage, they have great experience in mass production and still be profitable
@@Millmpire Not without 24% government subsidies for battery production and tax credits for people buying them tax payers make it profitable
@@Millmpire Agreed, but keep an eye on China, SK and Japan.
No ... all other robots have to have each task programmed. Tesla Bot learns by doing ...just like a human.
DONT NEED BACK FLIPPING ROBOTS
NEED COOKING CLEANING SHOPPING