Global to National 2050 Overview: Refresh Before Updates

This week let's review the global and national outlook as we get ready for the release of the 5th National Climate Assessment next month. I want to make sure I can easily recognize what looks different in the upcoming new projections. If you're newer to the channel, this is a good opportunity to get caught up on our current understanding based on high-consensus international and federal reports.
I look real sad in this video. I am an American Jew. My family is close to many people who were murdered or taken hostage in Israel this terrible week. To me, it is important that even in the face of these terrible things, we do not take our eyes off climate. Climate is the deepest threat we face.

[@ashleyquick5712]

Is it weird to say I can't wait for next month's Climate Assessment (and your analysis)? Lol. Thank you for all the work you do.

[@AmericanResiliency]

Thanks so much! I am definitely counting the days until the release. I'll get the information condensed and clarified asap.

[@jenreneeu]

I found your channel on Reddit and I’m grateful. Thank you for what you do 😊

[@AmericanResiliency]

I'm glad it's helpful! Look forward to getting you updated state-level information asap.

[@AmandaHeron-qh8wh]

I absolutely love the dog map very helpful visualization! ❤

[@kainmitchell898]

Finding your channel has been a great benefit! Do you have an idea when people will begin to move based on climate changes?

[@AmericanResiliency]

I'm glad you're finding the channel useful! There are a fair amount of people moving now- I hear from people looking for advice every week.
With home insurance increasingly unavailable in CA, FL, and LA, many people want to get out of other vulnerable markets before their homes lose value. There are some cities, like Duluth, MN, and Burlington, VT, that already are gaining reputations as climate destinations.

[@stephanienelson7252]

These maps are very helpful thanks!

[@AmericanResiliency]

You're welcome- glad they're useful!

[@jessdavis1192]

I found your channel through Reddit and your videos are amazing. Thanks for all the information!! Your channel will blow up one day.
Do you think Chicago will move in the right direction? I work remotely and want to move there and sell my car, but wonder if you think Chicago has potential for a positive future. It seems like you do but not sure.
Appreciate your response if you happen to see this. Thanks!!

[@AmericanResiliency]

@jessdavis1192 thanks for your kind words- we all deserve access to this information.
I think Chicago has a lot of potential. The city is making serious investments with climate in mind. The '95 heat wave made a big impression on people. There's a lot of awareness of heat as a hazard and a good focus on community response to heat. My advice, look for places to live near the lake for the summer cooling effect, and talk with locals to learn if/how bad the streets flood in the area before you make a decision.

[@jessdavis1192]

Thank you so much for responding!

[@FigureOnAStick]

The near future is gonna be quite a challenge for places like LA and Phoenix. Not only are they facing intense heat, but the car-centric infrastructure exacerbates the heat island effect even more.

[@AmericanResiliency]

Oh yeah. Total concrete islands. Phoenix's level of extreme heat island is already keeping nighttime temperatures way above the natural local habitat, and pushing rain away from the local area.
Many cities made on that model would benefit from big changes towards heat-resilient design. Look at Chicago vs Minneapolis. Minneapolis has so much more green space- a model in the right direction.

[@Fairlycool]

For the "growing crop zone" that is moving north from the midwest, what are the crops that will be moving north with the climate change? I'm guessing nothing will still grow in the winter there. My understanding is that most of the veggies in the US are grown in California and if someone is eating a salad in Minnesota in the winter that salad was grown in Arizona. We wont see those crops being grown there up in the north in the winter. Where will this year round agriculture move from California and Arizona within the US?

[@AmericanResiliency]

I love this question. You are right about salad crops- basically all winter salad is from AZ. I think there will be more seasonal production of salad crops- in states like Georgia and the Carolinas, they will be able to put them out for a larger portion of the year, covering the shoulder seasons.
Some of these table crops are also good for growing indoors. There's a lot of interest, research, and investment for indoor and hydroponic cultivation, particularly for tomatoes and strawberries. That would allow for year-round production.
As conditions get worse for agriculture in AZ and much of CA, the market for many table crops will change. There are a lot of players hoping to enter the market, from young farmers to agribusiness startups. I'm hopeful we will end up with a more diversified, localized, resilient food system.

[@Fairlycool]

@@AmericanResiliency I figured there would be an indoor farming solution here. If that truly does happen then the water stress in most of these regions like CA and AZ will drop significantly since I always thought most of the water stress was due to farming year round in those regions and not that much due to the human population. Farmers (day laborers) and industrial farming will want to grow in year round locations for the most part and not shut down in the winter or look for other jobs when they can't grow food.

[@AmericanResiliency]

@Fairlycool it could potentially take a lot of water stress off the region- for sure!