Why tragedy? More countries are developing, are creating middle class, they cooperate. Asian and African countries (majority of world population) are optimistic for their future.
Really? South Korea, Japan, and China face low birth rates and population decline without a cultural openness to immigration to make up the difference. Many young professionals are leaving China because they are pessimistic about the outlook there.
@@makeadifference4all China had a one child policy not too long ago because their population was growing too fast. Why would they need immigration? I have friends who live and work there. They have many international professionals working there, just like any other country.
@@amandab1064 The number of expats working in China has dropped since the pandemic began, and China's population has already started a decline that will probably last decades. There are different estimated ranges of population change. Still, by the end of the century, America's population, which will keep growing modestly due to immigration, may be larger than China's, which will have declined significantly.
At 30:00 about the decline of Russia because of lasting war. I think it is a credible point but the funny thing is that as of now, mid November, the main casualty was the US’s global empire with the revolution that just happened in the US, and the forces that want to transform US from a global empire to a nation state have just won.
This guy is a hack. Russia has done the polar opposite of decline over the last 2 decades. Also it wasn't a "revolution" and Trump is US Primacy chauvinist that sells it to voters with nationalism. His China policy is the opposite of isolationism, same for large military build up increases. The Empire is declining because it's run out of places it can expand to and the unipolar moment is over. Empires either expand or the stagnate and die. Russia's defense industrial base alone, purely in conventional weaponary output terms runs circles around the entire NATO bloc combined. Neoliberalism hollowed out the western industrial base. Forget China. It overtook the US economically years ago.
As a democracy on the far side of the globe, far from all of the crises it is easy for the u s electorate to take their mind off of geopolitics. US interest waxes and wanes historically.
@@kirkm5040 It depends what you mean by US 'interests'. They've been waxing hard since the collapse of the Soviet Union. One might say US now pursues its 'interests' unbridled, with ruthlessness, hubris and contempt for the international order. You've reminded me of what's often said about the public interest. "What interests the public is not necessarily in the public interest." That the US public aren't interested in what their country does in their name overseas isn't deserving of absolution. Ignorance of the law is never a defence. The American people are culpable for their ignorance of the menace the US has become. All Americans can do is hope for mercy from the people among whom they've sewn such ill-will.
I've read Kaplan's books since 2001, staring with the Coming Anarchy, He has taught me so much. But to hear him validate a Harris administration staffed with competent people, shows me he has lost touch with reality. There is no way you could look at the last 4 years and come to the conclusion that this wasn't anything other than a incompetent group of bureaucrat's. The withdrawal of Afghanistan debacle? The open boarder chaos? The social experimentation in the pentagon that has obviously led to dereliction to their duty to defend America instead they commit to woke social virtue signaling. Harris has a clear track record in California and its a record of incompetent management. Mr Kaplan your disdain for Trump which I sympathize with has blinded you to America's left wing danger.
Dear mr Robert D. Kaplan, Your finishing line is the most true one: "Imagination is the ultimate protector." Thank you sir. Have a cybersafe December month. (i'm a European Walter Benjamin reader)
Very educational talk. But only 80 likes ?? Shows the lack of interest in geopolitics. Only 4 percent of the electorate consider foreign policy a priority .
Most of individuals ( especially in the United States ) are not interested in geopolitics and its analysis and impact. Nor are they interested in finance and economics even though they are governed by it on a daily basis. In the United States , only about 1-2% of the population reads sources like New York Times Wall Street journal , financial times , the economist , foreign affairs. The antiimtellecualism is staggering. I say 80 likes is a miracle.
I have some issues with Australia on such issues it being a historic and geographic outlier. Anyway, ideas are always valuable. Thanks for posting this.
it is amazing how America and UK make the whole civilized and advanced continent believe that there was an enemy they need to prevent from called Russia. It is rather amazing how New Atlantis continues to sabotage European economy ruining its industry and grabbing their scientists, and other damn facts. Klapan is just one of them. By the way, how much were you paid to say such unflushed ass balls? Good question that of clash of goods. the answer required examples not round abouts.
Interesting lecture. I think my question would be what role one sees for hubris in tragedy by this definition. I have generally thought that Greek tragedy is particularly relevant for modern geopolitics because it usually is about hubris and the divine or natural retribution that this inspires. in this view, overreach in foreign policy invites tragedy because hubris - ate - nemesis. We create our own nemeses through our own hubris.
It is true that democratic voters have a hold on politition; however, according to Plato, if the "pilosofer king" ever existed he would certainly feel a higher calling. It is unacceptable from Mr. Robert Kaplan to automatically brand every eastern polititions as somewhat free of feeling of burden. Robert Kaplan by his wrongful assertion has unjustifiably has put on the late Joseph Campbell's shoes. Some mistakes big as this is unacceptable from a well educated individual. I do not beleive he is such person. Using Suadi Arabia, libia and the likes as .. is ony a sign of ignorance. These givernments operate under the unreasonable pressure of unjust, undemocratic polititions of the west. Naming few characters in a mythical story so catualy is also a sign of ignorance and lack of respect for the audience. It is almost stupid to use the war in Ukrain so one sidedly as the Russia's aggression. Once again stupidity and ignorance.
@josephpalack1440 How is it declining when her armies are pushing westward and the US has severely compromised its global position just to delay Russian progress? As soon as the US empire breaks or the oil market goes into global scarcity the Russian economy will zoom. Or in other words, why would anyone need a NATO, twenty thousand sanctions etc etc against a declining power?
@@josephpalack1440- The Russian economy is growing, the debt to GDP ratio is low, it has gained territory, and we now live in a multipolar world. Russia is on the ascendant.
@@wvhaugen Russia declining on many parameters! Population, especially educated, leaving the country. In another 25 years Russia will lose at list 10 million people as death rate surpassed birth rate. In Far East decline is more noticeable than in other regions and soon Chinese will take over. As state becomes weaker the civil unrest will flare up again and country will disintegrate. Inshallah
31:30 backgound : После 2-й Мировой войны 10-мильонная Белaрусь 🏳❤🏳 не досчиталась около 3-х мильонов своих жителей, однако околь 2-х миллионов были убиты еще до войны органами коммунистического НКВД. В Беларуси физически уничтожили 70 процентов всех белaруских писателей, убили ученых и художников. (Труппа Третьего Белорусского Государственного театра Владислава Голубка была арестована в полном составе. Почти все были расстреляны.) Убивали по национальному признаку. Ради этого был придуман ярлык "нацдем" (это значит -- национальный демократ, хотя такой партии не существовало). Этот ярлык приклеивали ко всем белорусам, которых сталинисты планировали уничтожить. В недрах НКВД была придумана несуществующая антикоммунистическая организация СВБ ("союз освобождения Белaруси"). Под придуманный фантом энкавэдисты проводили аресты, вели воображаемое следствие, допрашивали, пытали, судили, потом ссылали в paсeю и расстреливали невинных людей. После Рижского сговора в 1921 году Беларусь разделили между Польшей и paсeей. Границу раздела провели недалеко от Менска. Существовал тайный приказ НКВД уничтожать всё белорусское население вдоль границы. Российские аккупанты хотели сделать здесь безлюдную зону. Уничтожение осуществляли пограничные войска. Довереным лицам выдавали винтовку и лопату. Когда такой солдат-пограничник встречал в безлюдном месте (на дороге, в поле, в лесу) одинокого белоруса или белоруску, или ребенка, он стрелял человека, тут же лопатой выкапывал яму и засыпал труп. Такова была инструкция. Люди в деревнях не так боялись "человека с ружьём", как солдата с лопатой. (Эти факты опубликованы в белaруской печати в начале 90-х годов.) В 30-х годах на 95-99 процентов (практически полностью) была уничтожена (сослана и расстреляна) белaруская коммунистическо-партийная и советская администрация. Уничтожали даже директорат и хозяйственных руководителей. На должности убитых администраторов и коммунистических начальников-белорусов присылали “русских” из paсeии. “Русские” 🇷🇺 (так называемые "выдвиженцы") приезжали в Беларусь, занимали освобожденные должности, получали льготы, имущество, квартиры и первое, что они делали -- закрывали белорусские школы, переводили их на “русский” язык, чтобы их дети могли учиться, не обременяя себя изучением, как они говорили, "никому ненужного" белaруского языка. Таким образом оккупанты создавали в Беларуси "русскоязычное” население". Этноцид, лингвацид, мнемацид и геноцид проводзились большевиками одновременно. Уничтожение белaрусов рaсeйским НКВД продолжалось и во времена немецкой аккупации. В июне 1941 года в первые дни войны коммунисты расстреляли в тюрьмах и на этапах тысячи заключенных. Только в Брестской крепости, где была страшная тюрьма НКВД, всех арестованных ликвидировать не успели, часть из них разбежалась. Тем временем большая группа надзирателей и функционеров НКВД была заблокирована в крепости немцами. Они сидели там около месяца, пока не вымерли. Лет через 20 после войны коммунисты придумали легенду о "героической обороне" Брестской крепости. Обращает на себя внимание тот факт, что широкое советское партизанское движение было организовано только в Беларуси и частично -- на этнических белaруских землях, которые были в составе paсeии (Смоленщина, Брянщина). В оккупированой России партизанского движения не было. Почему? Да потому, что продолжал действовать план уничтожения белорусской нации. Москва, используя органы НКВД, втянула массы гражданского белорусского населения в войну против немцев, и этим подставила белорусов под немецкий удар. Необходимое дело борьбы исходило из коварного замысла и осуществлялось подлыми методами. (Сталин хотел получить двойную выгоду.) Энкавэдисты специально около белорусской деревени убивали немца или делали другую провокацию, чтобы вызвать карательную операцию гитлеровцев (которые обычно сжигали всю деревню, чаще всего -- вместе с людьми). Таким образом, кстати, в результате специальной провокации советских партизан была сожжена и известная Хатынь, которую коммунисты потом в 70-х годах разрекламировали на весь мир как типичную жертву фашистского зверства. В результате такой коммуно-фашистской совместной "работы" в Беларуси сожгли более 9 тысяч деревень. Поэтому к концу войны, в результате специальной операции НКВД, многие белaaруские командиры были посланы на смерть, отстранены от командования, убиты и репрессированы. Их места занимали русские, присланные из Мосвы, и верные энкавэдисты. Летом 1944 года, когда "красная армия" заняла Беларусь, “русские” провели мобилизацию в армию на белaруской территории. Десятки тысяч молодых белaруских мужчин, почти без подготовки, бросили на передовую линию фронта. “pусские” командиры поднимали их в ненужные атаки под огонь немецких пулеметов, не дав даже оружия в руки, или с винтовками, но без патронов. Они гибли тысячами, как трава под косой. А те, что бежали назад, попадали под пули энкавэдистских "заградотрядов". Впрочем, заградотряды стреляли и в спину. Так продолжалось уничтожение белaрусов на войне, руками немцев и “русских” одновременно. Как говорили коммунисты, "в борьбе за советскую родину". В 40-х годах русские вывезли в Сибирь и там замучили всех лесников и так называемых "кулаков" из Западной Беларуси. Вывозили вагонами, по разнорядках.
Povery is trending down, literacy rate is trending up, and life span is at the highest it has been in human history. This is only early into the second century of this progress. It could be much, much worse, and it has.
Hence more than enough resources and food for all human.. yeah not easy but thxs to science always more than enough... been so In last 2 generations... Hence all this violence, religios fundamentalism(china included, crazyndictator communism agenda religion like) is sooooo unnecessary and evil... Since unlike before is more than enough food and resources for everyone
The CCP is based on Western thought. Marx and Engels were German. Lenin was Russian, with strong German links. Western political and social thought in most Eastern societies has been dominant because that is their choice. They don't want to face it because they would have to admit intellectual inferiority. Muslim countries are partly Western and partly Eastern. Few of those countries are notably successful without large doses of Western science and technology.
We have freedom of thinking. This naturally and effortlessly incorporates all modes of thinking. In the East, freedom of thought is constricted, particularly in the place your name suggests you are from. Your own understanding of the Eastern mode of thinking is constricted by this, so you have nothing to add. Unless you have something more substantive to say?
@ It is dangerously to think you having freedom of thinking.Really you have not . your way of thinking is solidified by process of socialization from your baby period to now, and going on to your death.
@@marchess286 Dubya famously dodged service. He hardly showed up at all from '71 to '73. I'm not from the US, and I don't see soldiers as 'heroic'. 'Tragic' might be closer to it. Desperate or gullible or both.
Kaplan presents a cherry picked partial view of the arguments he chooses to make. One is better informed by following multiple Indepedent media commentators, at your preference of when and who, broadcast on platforms of your choice.
Starting with historic examples to establish "credibility" which then evolves into biased arguments. Disappointing. Two small examples: 1- talking about the Ukraine war without mentioning the Soviet / Russian ongoing objections on NATO expansion is not objective to say the least 2- saying Gaza was an independent autonomous territory is again not objective then evolving biased
Nobody forced Eastern European, and now Nordic countries, to join. If Russia would have been stable and reliable, without imperialistic tendencies then we would not have seen growth in NATO membership
@@irenecuries If it is so, is it true that the palestinians teritory has been diminished alot since 1948 until today? And if yes, is there a logical explanation for that?
@@irenecuries If it is so, is it true that the palestinians teritory has been diminished alot since 1948 until today? And if yes, is there a logical explanation for that?
11:00 Kaplan's admiration for Nixon is as vile as his administration for Kissinger. Kaplan is also misinformed on the ancient Greeks. He deals in tropes instead of scholarly analysis.
To unite the world you only need one thing, YOU ! awake,respondant a loving, kind, and gentle you ! That's it ! Those who do not move, do not notice, their chains......
I am glad you know the Greek philosophy , should have thought That subject in all universities, but democrat the like of Obama and our Government has been highjuct by social elitists God help Us
This guys has totally bought into the American world view, where our government and its agents have no fault whatsoever in anything that takes place around the world, when in fact our government has been involved in the manipulation and toppling of many democratically elected government across the world. I mean seriously would we not feel the same way had some other country done the same thing that our government did to Iran? It’s interesting how brainwashed Americans are and choose to remain ignorant even though we have so much information at the tips of ours fingers with the technology and information that we have available today. Smh!
Rubbish. US propaganda. The Palestinians are a formidable, courageous and tough people who haven't left their lands despite 76 years of relentless massacres.
Huh , did u listen?... he suggest hamas was wrong choice for gazan...(remember it was egypt teritori)..nevertheless hamas come to power because the collapse of others can't make coalition...hamas won not by majority but by default collapse of all other parties that goes to every other direction
@@clncarpets Russian propaganda encourages both sides of America’s ideological divide to spark the flames. Traditionally radical leftist Americans have been more susceptible to this influence and Russians today still hold influence on those individuals.
When a historian forgets the major reasons a recent war began, ignoring NATO, nukes, broken Bush & Clinton promises & then suggests Russia is winding down or failing after a highly successful campaign, I'd wait for his analysis of Gaza & Lebanon, but I have a 5 year old to meet with who has far more insight into global affairs.
@@leopoldbourne8444 Or else you're listening to people who have lied through their teeth about this from the very start, which incidentally, was around 1998.
Robert, nice job with Botox and fillers 🎉! 72 is a new 52! Any steroids or nootropics too? 😊 Your 72 look sexier than those of Putin.s… What.s the secret?
Moscow horde´s war record :- 1856 defeated by Britain and France 1905 defeated by Japan 1917 defeated by Germany 1920 defeated by Poland, Finland, Estonia and all Baltic states 1939 defeated by Finland 1969 defeated by China 1989 defeated by Afghanistan 1989 defeated in the Cold War. 1996 defeated by Chechnya 2022 defeated by Ukraine WW2 won USA/Britain , meanwhile Stalin's officers were shot or sent to the Gulags. Millions went to the Gulags, including Solzhenitsyn Moscow's only victories come from invading smaller countries :- a) Hungary 1956 b) Czechoslovakia 1968 c) Moldova 1992 d) Georgia 2008
If Hitler hadn't invaded USSR in 1941 how do you think UK would have done against the Nazis? Would FDR have been so aggressive w/lend lease and convoying prior to 12.07.41? Without an aggressive US posture pre-WWII would Hitler have declared war after 12.07.41? A large part of the credit for the defeat of the Nazis goes to Stalin's USSR.
Hey like economist,... 2 types... One that dunno anything, One that doesn't know he/she don't know anything 😅😅😅. Buy nice to hear some interesting thoughts though. He misunderstood china though I think, china birokrasi is related to the kanji (everyone write the same even though speak not the same etc(complex hard to understand for one that dunno but that how china was united in since ancient) with pair of something like religion but different, confusois and mahayana buddishm. Islamic world too, arabic language conquest of ancient in the key with its mercantile identity. Unsurvived able concept in modern world though... those time of glory has past. And comparing 20th century start with now? The difference, for 2 generation now resources and food is more than enough for human kinds unlike in the times of world War cold war etc(thx to modern science)...
Russia is clearly in decline. When you can't defeat one of the poorest/weakest countries in E Europe, your population is declining, and all you have to offer the world is oil & gas, you're in decline.
Russia is probably in decline indeed. but it's the war between Russia and NATO on Ukraine's territory though. if America didn't provide Ukraine with weapons, Russia would have defeated it. so it's not the war against the "weakest" European country
@@Sonia-u9n4t it's one of the weakest countries in Europe that's been provided a limited amount of military aid with many strings attached as far as how they can't use the weapons provided. And Russia would be in serious trouble if they hadn't been receiving aid from China, Iran, and N Korea. Both Russia & Ukraine have friendly countries helping them, that's how wars usually work.
ROBERT D. KAPLAN is widely regarded as one of America's leading travel writers.... Mr. Kaplan should stay as just that... leave the rest alone... just go home and just rest.
Couldn't continue listening to this bullshit.... Maybe this Robert Kaplan needs to work on his history (real history, not the imaginary narratives in his mind) before he spouts out his opinions.
Why tragedy? More countries are developing, are creating middle class, they cooperate. Asian and African countries (majority of world population) are optimistic for their future.
You don’t see the death and displacement of hundreds of thousands of people in Europe and the Middle East as tragedy?
Really? South Korea, Japan, and China face low birth rates and population decline without a cultural openness to immigration to make up the difference. Many young professionals are leaving China because they are pessimistic about the outlook there.
@@makeadifference4all China had a one child policy not too long ago because their population was growing too fast. Why would they need immigration? I have friends who live and work there. They have many international professionals working there, just like any other country.
@@makeadifference4all - exactly. A population that doesn't have children isn't "optimistic".
@@amandab1064 The number of expats working in China has dropped since the pandemic began, and China's population has already started a decline that will probably last decades. There are different estimated ranges of population change. Still, by the end of the century, America's population, which will keep growing modestly due to immigration, may be larger than China's, which will have declined significantly.
At 30:00 about the decline of Russia because of lasting war. I think it is a credible point but the funny thing is that as of now, mid November, the main casualty was the US’s global empire with the revolution that just happened in the US, and the forces that want to transform US from a global empire to a nation state have just won.
This guy is a hack. Russia has done the polar opposite of decline over the last 2 decades. Also it wasn't a "revolution" and Trump is US Primacy chauvinist that sells it to voters with nationalism. His China policy is the opposite of isolationism, same for large military build up increases. The Empire is declining because it's run out of places it can expand to and the unipolar moment is over. Empires either expand or the stagnate and die. Russia's defense industrial base alone, purely in conventional weaponary output terms runs circles around the entire NATO bloc combined. Neoliberalism hollowed out the western industrial base. Forget China. It overtook the US economically years ago.
I'd dispute that the main casualty is the US empire, although that is in decline. The main casualty is of course Ukraine, but also Europe.
Absolutely true. The US role as a reliable international power and ally, is no more.
As a democracy on the far side of the globe, far from all of the crises it is easy for the u s electorate to take their mind off of geopolitics. US interest waxes and wanes historically.
@@kirkm5040 It depends what you mean by US 'interests'. They've been waxing hard since the collapse of the Soviet Union. One might say US now pursues its 'interests' unbridled, with ruthlessness, hubris and contempt for the international order. You've reminded me of what's often said about the public interest. "What interests the public is not necessarily in the public interest." That the US public aren't interested in what their country does in their name overseas isn't deserving of absolution. Ignorance of the law is never a defence. The American people are culpable for their ignorance of the menace the US has become. All Americans can do is hope for mercy from the people among whom they've sewn such ill-will.
I've read Kaplan's books since 2001, staring with the Coming Anarchy, He has taught me so much. But to hear him validate a Harris administration staffed with competent people, shows me he has lost touch with reality. There is no way you could look at the last 4 years and come to the conclusion that this wasn't anything other than a incompetent group of bureaucrat's. The withdrawal of Afghanistan debacle? The open boarder chaos? The social experimentation in the pentagon that has obviously led to dereliction to their duty to defend America instead they commit to woke social virtue signaling. Harris has a clear track record in California and its a record of incompetent management. Mr Kaplan your disdain for Trump which I sympathize with has blinded you to America's left wing danger.
Finally a new Robert Kaplan Video
Dear mr Robert D. Kaplan, Your finishing line is the most true one: "Imagination is the ultimate protector." Thank you sir. Have a cybersafe December month. (i'm a European Walter Benjamin reader)
Very educational talk. But only 80 likes ?? Shows the lack of interest in geopolitics. Only 4 percent of the electorate consider foreign policy a priority .
Show prejudice towards the lecturer. They just don’t like what he says although it’s a good analysis
Most of individuals ( especially in the United States ) are not interested in geopolitics and its analysis and impact. Nor are they interested in finance and economics even though they are governed by it on a daily basis. In the United States , only about 1-2% of the population reads sources like New York Times Wall Street journal , financial times , the economist , foreign affairs. The antiimtellecualism is staggering. I say 80 likes is a miracle.
It’s because all what he said is more western propaganda than facts, his analysis about Ukraine war and Russia future is completely wrong.
Regular people don’t trust these institutions and think tanks. Of course their viewership is low
Where is geopolitics here?
I have some issues with Australia on such issues it being a historic and geographic outlier. Anyway, ideas are always valuable. Thanks for posting this.
Insighful. Loved some of the perspectives...
Excellent food for thought
Lot's to disagree with, but still important to hear especially when it comes from someone who lauds power as a deciding factor in reasoning.
it is amazing how America and UK make the whole civilized and advanced continent believe that there was an enemy they need to prevent from called Russia. It is rather amazing how New Atlantis continues to sabotage European economy ruining its industry and grabbing their scientists, and other damn facts. Klapan is just one of them. By the way, how much were you paid to say such unflushed ass balls? Good question that of clash of goods. the answer required examples not round abouts.
Interesting lecture. I think my question would be what role one sees for hubris in tragedy by this definition. I have generally thought that Greek tragedy is particularly relevant for modern geopolitics because it usually is about hubris and the divine or natural retribution that this inspires.
in this view, overreach in foreign policy invites tragedy because hubris - ate - nemesis. We create our own nemeses through our own hubris.
I had listened for 25 minutes to get a meaningful statement from this guy but I failed … I give up 😂
Because youre too stupid
You're dense.
It is true that democratic voters have a hold on politition; however, according to Plato, if the "pilosofer king" ever existed he would certainly feel a higher calling.
It is unacceptable from Mr. Robert Kaplan to automatically brand every eastern polititions as somewhat free of feeling of burden.
Robert Kaplan by his wrongful assertion has unjustifiably has put on the late Joseph Campbell's shoes.
Some mistakes big as this is unacceptable from a well educated individual. I do not beleive he is such person. Using Suadi Arabia, libia and the likes as .. is ony a sign of ignorance. These givernments operate under the unreasonable pressure of unjust, undemocratic polititions of the west.
Naming few characters in a mythical story so catualy is also a sign of ignorance and lack of respect for the audience.
It is almost stupid to use the war in Ukrain so one sidedly as the Russia's aggression. Once again stupidity and ignorance.
As usual, a great lecture by Robert
Kaplan has been predicting the "decline of the Russian Empire" every day for decades now.
Well it is clearly declining
@josephpalack1440 How is it declining when her armies are pushing westward and the US has severely compromised its global position just to delay Russian progress? As soon as the US empire breaks or the oil market goes into global scarcity the Russian economy will zoom. Or in other words, why would anyone need a NATO, twenty thousand sanctions etc etc against a declining power?
he gets paid everytime he mentions collapse like zeihan also regime change
@@josephpalack1440- The Russian economy is growing, the debt to GDP ratio is low, it has gained territory, and we now live in a multipolar world. Russia is on the ascendant.
@@wvhaugen Russia declining on many parameters! Population, especially educated, leaving the country. In another 25 years Russia will lose at list 10 million people as death rate surpassed birth rate. In Far East decline is more noticeable than in other regions and soon Chinese will take over. As state becomes weaker the civil unrest will flare up again and country will disintegrate. Inshallah
What a wonderful presentation! Thank you
He's been completely wrong in 1993 with his argument about the Balkan wars, and he's only gotten worse... Propagandist, sadly...😢
31:30 backgound : После 2-й Мировой войны 10-мильонная Белaрусь 🏳❤🏳 не досчиталась около 3-х мильонов своих жителей, однако околь 2-х миллионов были убиты еще до войны органами коммунистического НКВД. В Беларуси физически уничтожили 70 процентов всех белaруских писателей, убили ученых и художников. (Труппа Третьего Белорусского Государственного театра Владислава Голубка была арестована в полном составе. Почти все были расстреляны.) Убивали по национальному признаку. Ради этого был придуман ярлык "нацдем" (это значит -- национальный демократ, хотя такой партии не существовало). Этот ярлык приклеивали ко всем белорусам, которых сталинисты планировали уничтожить. В недрах НКВД была придумана несуществующая антикоммунистическая организация СВБ ("союз освобождения Белaруси"). Под придуманный фантом энкавэдисты проводили аресты, вели воображаемое следствие, допрашивали, пытали, судили, потом ссылали в paсeю и расстреливали невинных людей. После Рижского сговора в 1921 году Беларусь разделили между Польшей и paсeей. Границу раздела провели недалеко от Менска. Существовал тайный приказ НКВД уничтожать всё белорусское население вдоль границы. Российские аккупанты хотели сделать здесь безлюдную зону. Уничтожение осуществляли пограничные войска. Довереным лицам выдавали винтовку и лопату. Когда такой солдат-пограничник встречал в безлюдном месте (на дороге, в поле, в лесу) одинокого белоруса или белоруску, или ребенка, он стрелял человека, тут же лопатой выкапывал яму и засыпал труп.
Такова была инструкция. Люди в деревнях не так боялись "человека с ружьём", как солдата с лопатой. (Эти факты опубликованы в белaруской печати в начале 90-х годов.) В 30-х годах на 95-99 процентов (практически полностью) была уничтожена (сослана и расстреляна) белaруская коммунистическо-партийная и советская администрация. Уничтожали даже директорат и хозяйственных руководителей. На должности убитых администраторов и коммунистических начальников-белорусов присылали “русских” из paсeии. “Русские” 🇷🇺 (так называемые "выдвиженцы") приезжали в Беларусь, занимали освобожденные должности, получали льготы, имущество, квартиры и первое, что они делали -- закрывали белорусские школы, переводили их на “русский” язык, чтобы их дети могли учиться, не обременяя себя изучением, как они говорили, "никому ненужного" белaруского языка. Таким образом оккупанты создавали в Беларуси "русскоязычное” население". Этноцид, лингвацид, мнемацид и геноцид проводзились большевиками одновременно.
Уничтожение белaрусов рaсeйским НКВД продолжалось и во времена немецкой аккупации. В июне 1941 года в первые дни войны коммунисты расстреляли в тюрьмах и на этапах тысячи заключенных. Только в Брестской крепости, где была страшная тюрьма НКВД, всех арестованных ликвидировать не успели, часть из них разбежалась. Тем временем большая группа надзирателей и функционеров НКВД была заблокирована в крепости немцами. Они сидели там около месяца, пока не вымерли. Лет через 20 после войны коммунисты придумали легенду о "героической обороне" Брестской крепости. Обращает на себя внимание тот факт, что широкое советское партизанское движение было организовано только в Беларуси и частично -- на этнических белaруских землях, которые были в составе paсeии (Смоленщина, Брянщина). В оккупированой России партизанского движения не было. Почему? Да потому, что продолжал действовать план уничтожения белорусской нации. Москва, используя органы НКВД, втянула массы гражданского белорусского населения в войну против немцев, и этим подставила белорусов под немецкий удар.
Необходимое дело борьбы исходило из коварного замысла и осуществлялось подлыми методами. (Сталин хотел получить двойную выгоду.) Энкавэдисты специально около белорусской деревени убивали немца или делали другую провокацию, чтобы вызвать карательную операцию гитлеровцев (которые обычно сжигали всю деревню, чаще всего -- вместе с людьми). Таким образом, кстати, в результате специальной провокации советских партизан была сожжена и известная Хатынь, которую коммунисты потом в 70-х годах разрекламировали на весь мир как типичную жертву фашистского зверства.
В результате такой коммуно-фашистской совместной "работы" в Беларуси сожгли более 9 тысяч деревень. Поэтому к концу войны, в результате специальной операции НКВД, многие белaaруские командиры были посланы на смерть, отстранены от командования, убиты и репрессированы. Их места занимали русские, присланные из Мосвы, и верные энкавэдисты. Летом 1944 года, когда "красная армия" заняла Беларусь, “русские” провели мобилизацию в армию на белaруской территории. Десятки тысяч молодых белaруских мужчин, почти без подготовки, бросили на передовую линию фронта. “pусские” командиры поднимали их в ненужные атаки под огонь немецких пулеметов, не дав даже оружия в руки, или с винтовками, но без патронов. Они гибли тысячами, как трава под косой. А те, что бежали назад, попадали под пули энкавэдистских "заградотрядов". Впрочем, заградотряды стреляли и в спину. Так продолжалось уничтожение белaрусов на войне, руками немцев и “русских” одновременно. Как говорили коммунисты, "в борьбе за советскую родину". В 40-х годах русские вывезли в Сибирь и там замучили всех лесников и так называемых "кулаков" из Западной Беларуси. Вывозили вагонами, по разнорядках.
Povery is trending down, literacy rate is trending up, and life span is at the highest it has been in human history. This is only early into the second century of this progress. It could be much, much worse, and it has.
Hence more than enough resources and food for all human.. yeah not easy but thxs to science always more than enough... been so In last 2 generations...
Hence all this violence, religios fundamentalism(china included, crazyndictator communism agenda religion like) is sooooo unnecessary and evil...
Since unlike before is more than enough food and resources for everyone
Only using Western thought in thinking, no Eastern thought in thinking means partial thinking.
The CCP is based on Western thought. Marx and Engels were German. Lenin was Russian, with strong German links. Western political and social thought in most Eastern societies has been dominant because that is their choice. They don't want to face it because they would have to admit intellectual inferiority. Muslim countries are partly Western and partly Eastern. Few of those countries are notably successful without large doses of Western science and technology.
@@leopoldbourne8444 I think the correct response should've been, "Confusion say...". Lol
We have freedom of thinking. This naturally and effortlessly incorporates all modes of thinking. In the East, freedom of thought is constricted, particularly in the place your name suggests you are from. Your own understanding of the Eastern mode of thinking is constricted by this, so you have nothing to add. Unless you have something more substantive to say?
@ It is dangerously to think you having freedom of thinking.Really you have not . your way of thinking is solidified by process of socialization from your baby period to now, and going on to your death.
@@袁大陸 Research on free will shows the opposite is true. People behave worse after becoming convinced they don't have it.
Bush II (W) was an officer and pilot in the Air National Guard. He flew the F106, a fast interceptor.
GUFFAWWWWW!!!!!
@lewreed1871 - feel free to post documents showing your own heroic military service.
@@marchess286 Dubya famously dodged service. He hardly showed up at all from '71 to '73. I'm not from the US, and I don't see soldiers as 'heroic'. 'Tragic' might be closer to it. Desperate or gullible or both.
@@lewreed1871 - and, en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Killian_documents_controversy
Kaplan presents a cherry picked partial view of the arguments he chooses to make.
One is better informed by following multiple Indepedent media commentators, at your preference of when and who, broadcast on platforms of your choice.
Kaplan gave a macro picture of the major players . If one follows this sort of thing, one can see that Kaplan's world scenario makes sense.
Great information an almagation from different source for comparisons
Excellent 👌👍❤❤
I think at 15:00, Mr Kaplan is making the case for Christianity and why is it right but in a different way.
Starting with historic examples to establish "credibility" which then evolves into biased arguments.
Disappointing.
Two small examples:
1- talking about the Ukraine war without mentioning the Soviet / Russian ongoing objections on NATO expansion is not objective to say the least
2- saying Gaza was an independent autonomous territory is again not objective
then evolving biased
There is no legal basis for NATO non expansion.
@Rogaline Gaza was an autonomous territory objectively, control was officially given to PA in 2005 which was overthrown by Hamas in 2007.
Nobody forced Eastern European, and now Nordic countries, to join. If Russia would have been stable and reliable, without imperialistic tendencies then we would not have seen growth in NATO membership
@@irenecuries If it is so, is it true that the palestinians teritory has been diminished alot since 1948 until today? And if yes, is there a logical explanation for that?
@@irenecuries If it is so, is it true that the palestinians teritory has been diminished alot since 1948 until today? And if yes, is there a logical explanation for that?
11:00 Kaplan's admiration for Nixon is as vile as his administration for Kissinger. Kaplan is also misinformed on the ancient Greeks. He deals in tropes instead of scholarly analysis.
It's not admiration, just stating reality.
Yet you rebutted nothing.
Kaplan has good information but, unfortunately, his delivery/speaking style detracts from the content.
Does "resonate" mean the same thing as "ring true". Has truth seeking become obsolete?
lots of great bits of information even if i don't agree with his conclusions
To unite the world you only need one thing, YOU ! awake,respondant a loving, kind, and gentle you ! That's it !
Those who do not move, do not notice, their chains......
I am glad you know the Greek philosophy , should have thought
That subject in all universities, but democrat the like of Obama and our
Government has been highjuct by social elitists
God help Us
Huh?
BRILLIANT!!!!
Why you said it’s tragedy?!
Need to follow Thank you
33:50 bookmark
Безопасность Европы и мира в целом это развал Golden Horde (орды 🇷🇺 🌴) ...
The amount of raging, angry foreign paid actors in the comment section tells me he's probably right about a whole lot
A threat to adversaries
The wishful thinking never helps.
This guys has totally bought into the American world view, where our government and its agents have no fault whatsoever in anything that takes place around the world, when in fact our government has been involved in the manipulation and toppling of many democratically elected government across the world. I mean seriously would we not feel the same way had some other country done the same thing that our government did to Iran? It’s interesting how brainwashed Americans are and choose to remain ignorant even though we have so much information at the tips of ours fingers with the technology and information that we have available today. Smh!
The champion of an empire in decline.
Insightful.
Thanks,
At some point simplifying turns into obsenity
Advent Jesus lives in Korea now.
astonishing truth ..
Kaplan is right, because of Iran, what's why Gaza still exsist, otherwise, it has been wiped out long time ago.
Rubbish. US propaganda. The Palestinians are a formidable, courageous and tough people who haven't left their lands despite 76 years of relentless massacres.
Huh , did u listen?... he suggest hamas was wrong choice for gazan...(remember it was egypt teritori)..nevertheless hamas come to power because the collapse of others can't make coalition...hamas won not by majority but by default collapse of all other parties that goes to every other direction
Imagine.
Neither Chechnia nor Dagestan are in Siberia.
The is a lot of Russian trolls around here 😂
Or it’s that Russian propaganda has been successful influencing a lot of Americans/westerners .
@@clncarpets Russian propaganda encourages both sides of America’s ideological divide to spark the flames. Traditionally radical leftist Americans have been more susceptible to this influence and Russians today still hold influence on those individuals.
When a historian forgets the major reasons a recent war began, ignoring NATO, nukes, broken Bush & Clinton promises & then suggests Russia is winding down or failing after a highly successful campaign, I'd wait for his analysis of Gaza & Lebanon, but I have a 5 year old to meet with who has far more insight into global affairs.
Gaza and Lebanon were equally as superficial and full of US propaganda - "the Middle East will be peaceful when there is regime change in Iran." Yawn!
Highly successful campaign? You must be a strange visitor from another planet.
@@leopoldbourne8444 Or else you're listening to people who have lied through their teeth about this from the very start, which incidentally, was around 1998.
Putin regime? How about the gringoland’s regime since 1945?
God said gather in Palestine not genocide the human being and steal their land this causes hate and violence
Same western propaganda and lies 😂😂😂
They have no Shame.
You should read more about history and politics to understand what happening nowadays
I prefer Western propaganda over Eastern one.
@@monishboro8648you have no clue.
Ever read any book on geopolitics?
haha, he quotes kevin rudd as an authority, kevin quotes him as an authority. both have no clues
Robert, nice job with Botox and fillers 🎉! 72 is a new 52! Any steroids or nootropics too? 😊 Your 72 look sexier than those of Putin.s… What.s the secret?
dude wtf
⭐️
You are very wrong .
I like to listen him. But increasingly he sounds deprecated.
Moscow horde´s war record :-
1856 defeated by Britain and France
1905 defeated by Japan
1917 defeated by Germany
1920 defeated by Poland, Finland, Estonia and all Baltic states
1939 defeated by Finland
1969 defeated by China
1989 defeated by Afghanistan
1989 defeated in the Cold War.
1996 defeated by Chechnya
2022 defeated by Ukraine
WW2 won USA/Britain , meanwhile Stalin's officers were shot or sent to the Gulags. Millions went to the Gulags, including Solzhenitsyn
Moscow's only victories come from invading smaller countries :-
a) Hungary 1956
b) Czechoslovakia 1968
c) Moldova 1992
d) Georgia 2008
If Hitler hadn't invaded USSR in 1941 how do you think UK would have done against the Nazis? Would FDR have been so aggressive w/lend lease and convoying prior to 12.07.41? Without an aggressive US posture pre-WWII would Hitler have declared war after 12.07.41? A large part of the credit for the defeat of the Nazis goes to Stalin's USSR.
this is a lie clearly
@@marchess286 Безопасность Европы и мира в целом это развал Golden Horde (орды 🇷🇺 🌴) ...
@@Sonia-u9n4t Безопасность Европы и мира в целом это развал Golden Horde (орды 🇷🇺 🌴) ...
The guy is clueless or wants you to be
Hey like economist,...
2 types...
One that dunno anything,
One that doesn't know he/she don't know anything
😅😅😅.
Buy nice to hear some interesting thoughts though.
He misunderstood china though I think, china birokrasi is related to the kanji (everyone write the same even though speak not the same etc(complex hard to understand for one that dunno but that how china was united in since ancient) with pair of something like religion but different, confusois and mahayana buddishm.
Islamic world too, arabic language conquest of ancient in the key with its mercantile identity.
Unsurvived able concept in modern world though... those time of glory has past.
And comparing 20th century start with now? The difference, for 2 generation now resources and food is more than enough for human kinds unlike in the times of world War cold war etc(thx to modern science)...
Russia is clearly in decline. When you can't defeat one of the poorest/weakest countries in E Europe, your population is declining, and all you have to offer the world is oil & gas, you're in decline.
Russia is probably in decline indeed. but it's the war between Russia and NATO on Ukraine's territory though. if America didn't provide Ukraine with weapons, Russia would have defeated it. so it's not the war against the "weakest" European country
@@Sonia-u9n4t it's one of the weakest countries in Europe that's been provided a limited amount of military aid with many strings attached as far as how they can't use the weapons provided.
And Russia would be in serious trouble if they hadn't been receiving aid from China, Iran, and N Korea. Both Russia & Ukraine have friendly countries helping them, that's how wars usually work.
You talk so much crap!!
False premises, false conclusions, (maybe lies...)
bravo, in short, he has become more and more delusional. he has some ideas in his head, he looks for events (and dreams if needed) to prove his ideas.
@@smirhashBullshit. You just don't have enough of an educational footing.
What a strange deluded guy.
Now you know why he is in many stages
Great lecturer, but one-sided clearly propaganda for Western countries......
Kaplan's talk is all lies and nonsense.
Never read the Greeks or Shakespeare?
😂 okay. Where is your lecture at The Ramsey Center?
This guy has an impressive amount of garbage opinions. History has and will prove him wrong.
Fake guy
Such an ignorant man! He never gives explanation of his conclusion. waste of time listening
ROBERT D. KAPLAN is widely regarded as one of America's leading travel writers....
Mr. Kaplan should stay as just that... leave the rest alone... just go home and just rest.
You need to get some education.
Who are u? I do not think you are saying truths.
What a windbag lmao
Funny and ridiculous enough to cite the Saudi logic and example. Better eclipse with your misinformation 😅
Couldn't continue listening to this bullshit.... Maybe this Robert Kaplan needs to work on his history (real history, not the imaginary narratives in his mind) before he spouts out his opinions.
This man dies not stop telling good stories so stupidly.
western civilisation ? lol
Bed
lying
I read some of this drivel. If he was a writer I am an expert in Persian even though it took me 50 years to know a bit of English.
ill informed journalist
Agree, his opinions are not connect to reality of the other powers, particularly on both Russia and China.