to all the people that says they are not interested in politic they turn out to be the most politicians. for example: in spain the dictator franco used to say: don´t introduce in politic, is the best for you
The question is how far can Putin continue when he fails, and he is failing on practically all fronts except for keeping the Russians like sheep, at present that his is only success!?!
Hoping to be spared by being ignorant reminds me of some famous sentences by Martin Niemöller about the nazi oppressionin Germany: Als die Nazis die Kommunisten holten, habe ich geschwiegen, ich war ja kein Kommunist. Als sie die Sozialdemokraten einsperrten, habe ich geschwiegen, ich war ja kein Sozialdemokrat. Als sie die Gewerkschafter holten, habe ich geschwiegen, ich war ja kein Gewerkschafter. Als sie mich holten, gab es keinen mehr, der protestieren konnte.
Even in a well established democracy you have politicians who just despice the commen citizen. f.e. our vice MP (Kaag) in the Netherlands said that we as citizens are to stupid to vote! Also she wanted to activly sideline an opposing critical politician!
"We have no army, we have a horde of slaves cowed by discipline, ordered about by thieves and slave traders. This horde is not an army because it possesses neither any real loyalty to faith, tsar and fatherland - words that have been so much misused! - nor valour, nor military dignity. All it possesses are, on the one hand, passive patience and repressed discontent, and on the other, cruelty, servitude and corruption.” Leo Tolstoy
North Korea is WAY more stable. They didn't have a power switch that wasn't a direct inheritance since 1940s. The russia had like three coups and collapsed in the same period. Also there's NO heir for khuilo. Too late to built one of his daughters up. Once he keels over, russia stops existing as a state. It's gone.
To my mind, the "responsibility ownership" message was quite explicit. In the very opening of Prigozhin's "obituary" by Putin, one gets: "He was a man with a difficult fate, and he made serious mistakes in life" before falling into the "de mortuis nil nisi bonum" pattern. Besides, Putin could have chosen to say nothing publicly about Prigozhin's death, I think that his choice to do it brings even more significance into what he said.
Yeah Putin said, according to a CNN translation: “He was a man of difficult fate, and he made serious mistakes in life, and he achieved the results needed both for himself and when I asked him about it - for a common cause, as in these last months,” So he made mistakes and achieved the results he needed.
This was demonstrating just a couple of his propaganda machine working points, mixing truth with lies to keep citizens off balance and by allowing some sympathies for poor old Prigozhin and some questions surrounding how this happened, a pressure safety valve deflection to avoid protests etc
So what you are saying is 'needed', as defined by Putin, right? I.e. being shot down and killed in his aircraft? If that is what you meant, great observation, one I didn't tease out of that well thought out statement. Rare for Putin, and probably just statistical happenstance, rather than conscious thought of a well executed turn of phrase, given what I see of the rest of his thoughts and actions, which all seem to be a cluster****, as of late. @@Rastloese
@@MrJdsenior Putin is arguably the most rational of all the senior leaders in Russia. At the moment he is having to deal with the ghastly mess created by a combination of his subordinates and his refusal to admit to mistakes.
I heard from a SAM missile battery commander I know personally, that the video evidence is clear that the recent plane full of war criminals, was shot down with a missile, before it "crashed".
When everyone is operating in fear they don’t take chances. They don’t do things efficiently or try new methods. They often don’t deliver important bad or serious news right away.
@@doncarlodivargas5497 We have leaned, Ukraine has learned and it working at getting rid of the corruption leftover from the Russian occupation during USSR times. The question is: Will the Russians learn?
@@57thorns - yes, you are right, many have learned, I agree, but still millions and billions of people live in such rotten societies, and millions of people in the west prefer it to a system with a future
På et tidspunkt kan man undertrykke folk så meget, at de bliver ligeglade med følgerne og gør oprør. Om det bliver en paladsrevolution og/eller en folkelig opstand er ikke til at sige. Men lad endelig russerne kæmpe indbyrdes, så bliver det lettere for ukrainerne.
Karma is a feelgood story we tell ourselves to cope with perceived injustice. That said, I'm also certain that Putin has bad things coming his way. He will not die of old age as a free man. He will either not die of old age, or he will die in prison. If I was a betting man I would put money on the Ukrainians getting to him somehow. Budanov seems precisely as ice cold and audacious as is needed to pull of that kind of stunt.
He will most likely put a bullet in his own head before anyone can take him alive...He is to shit scared of what will happen to him if he ever get's captured! Remember, that a guy like Putin is uber paranoiac and he also reigns by those means, instilling fear into others. That is all Putin really has got going for him... Once that fear-mongering is gone or has no use any more, Putin will also be finished!!! When Putin moves among his ministers in the Kremlin (or wherever), he is the only one that is armed... Anybody dear come close to him uninvited, such a person is "dead-meat"... It also means that Putin has the ability to take himself out too, should he deem necessary!
@@megalomaniacalHalidesupposedly this is precisely the fate that Putin is terrified of and trying to avoid, to the point he has even used the Ghaddafi name in discussions about this topic.
Utkin liked Wagner because Wagner was Hitler’s favorite composer. That’s why they call themselves “musicians” or “the orchestra” instead of “murderous racist thug”
@micixduda You can't be a neo-nazi militia without being racist. You cannot have a commander with nazi symbols tattooed in his skin without being a neo-nazi unit.
@@micixduda Because if you're a Hitler fan you automatically are a racist. You can't say: "I like that Hitler guy, but I dislike his racism!" when his most significant characteristic is his racism.
Ruling by fear is the ultimate weakness. True strength comes from true loyalty. Who could be loyal to a boss who could, and will, stab you in the back without blinking. This is the beginning of the end for him.
@@setlerking believed in what? He was a seminary student turned burglar who became a leader of socialist atheist dictatorship and provided mass russification policy despite not being russian himself. Stalin had zero ideals, his only goal was power at any cost.
He is not denying it as he's trying to curb the increasing criticism for failing in Ukraine, hopefully Ukraine will have far more success and increase the threats to Putin to a conclusion!?!
Putin is just like the bully that states "Why are you hitting yourself?" While beating up someone weaker then himself. This type of bullying is found in every culture all over the world. All be it only in Russia it will lead you all the way into the Kremlin.
They have never been plausible in my opinion… only the spin-factor is different. Once it was like 50% vodka mind-boggling bullshit… now a beer like 6% beer not-worth-a-booze story. What use would it be anyway… it‘s always been a duck.
Puck, it seems like most other channels covering Ukraine are simply racing to report the same content. Your videos almost always provoke a new way of looking at the current situation, and I find that so valuable.
His insights are informative and valuable, but not always 100% right. Though his analysis of the facts are honest, factual and truthful, sometimes his conclusions are not spot on. For instance, “Fear is the new normal,” in his video’s title. I responded to that by asking, “Hold on? What’s, ‘new,’ about it?” Putin has always murdered his opponents, for more than 20 years now. He’s ramping up his consolidation of power moves right now, but it’s literally the typical way he has always done things. Things began to look a bit, “new,” when the unusual levels of criticism were being levelled at him from senior figures inside his own country. But, Putin is literally restoring the Russia that was before his insanely misjudged war in Ukraine, probably in order to be in a, “safe,” position to pull his forces out of part or all of Ukraine without being deposed for, “weakness.” Admiral Nielsen, I have noticed, has a tendency to see Russia through his NATO tinted lenses. That’s fine, as those lenses do have 20/20 sight and all, but they favour long term narratives, both forward thinking, and past analysis, which can be flawed when it comes to judging the facts in the moment. And this is the sort of result I’m speaking of, where Putin’s purging of opponents is being judged as some kind of new phenomena, because NATO has always given Putin the benefit of the doubt, historically, and cannot bring themselves to admit that their policy of Appeasement is what lead to the Ukraine war in the first place. NATO and the UN made the same historical mistake over Crimea that the allies did with Hitler over The Sudetenland and other territories, hoping to buy peace at the cost of other people’s freedom.
@@ashroskell man you miss the point totally, before this Prigozhin asassination the Kleptocrats and others in the inner circle like the Siloviki and Turbo Patriots etc, themselves (i;e; not dissidents) did not have to fear retribution as when Putin made a deal with them, he stuck to it. They were not ruled by "fear", but by being loyal and that guaranteed no hassles. What you are referring to is the dissidents, who had to fear being killed by the Kremlin. That fear was always there, but not for the inner circle, for them now fear is the new normal too. You over generalised and didn't go down to the details. Anders made it quite clear too, but hey even I miss points in clips and need to re-watch them over, i happens to all of us! 🙃
Can you blame Russia for not wanting to be captured like the rest of Europe by the tendrils of the Marshal Plan & US imperialism? An example is being made out of Russia for daring to co-produce Nordstream II with Germany.
A wise man once said that you may not take an interest in politics, but make no mistake, politics WILL take an interest in you. And you will not enjoy that kind of interest.
We in the West have come to think of political opponents as being separated by opposing political ideologies, when it is far more common, now and throughout history, that the only real thing separating political opponents is a desire for power.
I find it fascinating to see, and scary as hell, all the things I learned in high school about communizm is coming true in our lifetime. We must get rid of Putin, China and North Korea. I'm at a loss to know how to solve all the problems. Thank you Anders for your voice of reason. Much appreciated Sir.
We mustn't do anything. What we should do is be vigilant that our home state governments do not concentrate power to the point they become totolitarian. Stay armed, stay free.
@9m + you breezed thru a brilliant observation which is applicable beyond the situation in Russia: one cannot have ambitions for both the country and a person concurrently. The latter is short term. Especially if that person is elderly.
Fun Fact: Girkin was constantly complaining about the lack of Ideology in Putins Leadership and especially the War on Ukraine. By being in Prison he made his Point come true! :) Thanks for you viewpoint’s! As always very interesting!
Solzhenitsyn said that being in a Russian Gulag was good because he got to meet so many poets artists and writers and great thinkers ...Russian literature is full of such tragic and emotional scenes....Pasternaks Doctor Zhivago ...good book, good film
When the Russian invasion of Ukraine started, my first thought was that Ukraine would be conquered by Russia at such a speed that the World wouldn't be able to do much. Happily, I was 100% wrong: Zelensky turned out to be a great war leader and communicator, and the Ukrainian Armed Forces managed to save Kyiv and eventually halt the invasion. Not only that, they have been able to free lots of territory that was taken by the Russians in the first months of the war! What a feat! This is the stuff legends are made of! Having said that, I am absolutely appalled (and of course totally ecstatic about it!) by the ridiculous chaos that has plagued every single thing the Russians have done so far. The only thing that saved the Russians up until now is mass: they don't care about their own losses, they have huge numbers of vehicles to throw into the grinder, gazillions of mines. Well, to start giving Ukraine what it needs only after many months of "let's not antagonise Putin too much" helped the Russians quite a lot. Imagine if the UA had cluster ammo during the first phase of the Battle of Bakhmut... or Storm Shadows during the Siege of Mariupol...
sharp analysis Anders, I think you are correct. i didnt know much about it but what you say makes sense and amazing ot see those of your predictions that already came true like prigozhin etc
Mr. Puck, you are the professional that I listen to the most. You definitely know what you are talking about. I just wish that I could take you and your family to dinner if and when you visit New York City. Paul Messina
Almost every few days I check your channel for new videos (eventhough i have the bell enabled ;) ) Your videos, and the storytelling, are fascinating to listen to. Thank you for them!
The fact that the Wagner High command was travelling freely in Russia make me think that it was not Putin who ordered this mission, but rather Shoigu and his confederates. I truly believe that Putin and Prigozhin actually had a long con going and that the death of these men is a loss for Putin and a win for Shoigu. Of course, only time will tell.
Thanks Anders. Your videos are not only super informative and interesting, but also very impressive produced given how they generally are shot in one go. You really know your s***. Following you (and Peter Zeihan who has similar depth and width of knowledge and similar communication skills) provides me more perspective than I'm able to find anywhere else -at least with so little effort needed from my side. Thanks.
This was actually pretty funny. When you said that people on Russian talkshows say stuff like "This was a predictable outcome for Prigozhin.", I laughed my ass off. Like, they don't even give a shit this time, lol.
Agree. Daniel 7:8 I considered the horns, and behold another little horn (man of perdition) sprung out of the midst of them: and three (district of columbia, ottawa, european union, silowiki) of the first horns were plucked up at the presence thereof: ...
But I think it has gone to a new fear level maybe not seen since Stalin. Is the average Moscovite's daily life completely unimpacted, i. e., the same as 3 years ago?
@@sarahrosen4985 I don't know, but would guess they don't care much as-is. I think they will just get use to rocket flying around their ears and go about the day as usual. Maybe if 50.000 people got killed in Moscow or something like a 9/11 event they would start worry and notice, but I think it would take a lot more for anyone to act even from a selfish perspective. But i'm no Russia expert, thats just my impression on Russians now.
Great stream, as usual. The Putin first loyalty system is very much a pre-industrial mentality when kings claimed divine origins and were the object of loyalty. It seems to me Putin very much wants to go back to that era.
@@MrJdsenior It feels like big egos crowd other videos, and the info plays second bananas. He does give his credentials but the video isn't a trumpet blasting how awesome he is(not intentionally, anyway).
The thing about Prigozhin that puzzles me is that he didn't seem to realize that the minute he started up that highway towards Moscow, he had crossed the Rubicon as far as Putin was concerned. Prigozhin could throw the dice and possibly win. To call the whole thing off was the dumbest thing he could possibly have done because Putin would never tolerate treason and Prigozhin became a dead man walking. Maybe Prigozhin thought he had made an ally with a Russian Air Force commander who later chickened out and Prigozhin then panicked. In any case, better to continue throwing the dice.
Prigozhin realised, or was told by Putin, that his chances of reaching anywhere worthwhile in Moscow were extremely low. He then decided that it was better to stay alive, even if that might be for only a short time.
Now anyone who claimed that calling off was the right choice must eat their necktie. @@hb1338 Ukrainian cardboard drones can hit the center of moscow. Anyone with actual tanks would have had far better chances storming government buildings in moscow than trying to outrun russian air defense on one thing they're good at shooting down, civilian planes.
The result was indeed predictable. What I would not have predicted was Prigozhin thinking he could just fly into Russian air space in a company jet. His ego must have been far larger than his sense of self-preservation. I hope you feel better soon.
Good analysis as usual! However I find it incredible that so much of Wagner PMC were on the one plane and it was pre known to the extent to make an attack on the plane possible.
I still want to see the video of live bodies walking on the plane together. Also, was it typical for them to travel together or was this the first (and last) time?
@@pierresaelen3097 I think to some extend Prigozhin felt he had to maintain that attitude to remain relevant and "too big to fall". But everyone getting on the same airplane still seems careless.
It is his job for the Danish government to do military analysis, his videos on You Tube are just a little extra for those who cannot watch Danish TV, a shame that people other than Danes do not have the pleasure of his insightful explanation of the course of the war
Thank you, once again, for an insightful, thoughtful analysis. I hope you are well now, ensconced in a more comfortable lodging and with convivial company.
Fear fades. Remember the old Soviet joke: a man goes to the store to buy bread, but they are out of bread. He loses his temper, starts to complain about the government out loud, and someone taps him on the shoulder. "I'm with the KGB, and you should watch what you say." The man appears shaken, stops ranting, and goes home. His wife sees him and asks what's the matter. She asks if he is upset about them running out of bread. He says, "No, what I'm upset about is that the KGB is running out of bullets." Putin doesn't have enough bullets for everyone.
Although the topic may be a little sad and dismal, I become a little happy whenever there is a new Ander Puck Nielsen video. You always present your perspective in a short and tidy way. I like that.
"“it is much safer to be feared than loved because ...love is preserved by the link of obligation which, owing to the baseness of men, is broken at every opportunity for their advantage; but fear preserves you by a dread of punishment which never fails. But remember, Putin, that you cannot be both feared and loved.” ~ Niccolo Machiavelli, The Prince, Revised Edition.
Hinsidan, (dansk brug af sv. hinsidan den anden side; på svensk også: hinsides (præp., adv.)), den anden side (af Øresund). På svensk bruges ordet dog primært som betegnelsen for "det hinsides". Altså livet efter døden. Jeg håber, at det ikke står så galt til med Anders helbred.
Finally! ..Ive been going to your channel every day since this happened, waiting for your take on the situation. Thanks for the analysis, clear & concise as always
This is a return to absolute monarchy. Modern day right-wing movements still retire ideological activiation from "the people". There is still some concept of the people, a body politic. What Putin is pushing Russia towards is an ideology of the soverign. The citizen's job isn't to think or be "activated". It is to follow the whims of the state (in this case, the singular head of state). Russian politics is going to get that much more vacuous
Just because you don't have any interest in politics doesn't mean politics won't take an interest in you.
to all the people that says they are not interested in politic they turn out to be the most politicians. for example: in spain the dictator franco used to say: don´t introduce in politic, is the best for you
The question is how far can Putin continue when he fails, and he is failing on practically all fronts except for keeping the Russians like sheep, at present that his is only success!?!
Hoping to be spared by being ignorant reminds me of some famous sentences by Martin Niemöller about the nazi oppressionin Germany:
Als die Nazis die Kommunisten holten,
habe ich geschwiegen,
ich war ja kein Kommunist.
Als sie die Sozialdemokraten einsperrten,
habe ich geschwiegen,
ich war ja kein Sozialdemokrat.
Als sie die Gewerkschafter holten,
habe ich geschwiegen,
ich war ja kein Gewerkschafter.
Als sie mich holten,
gab es keinen mehr,
der protestieren konnte.
Even in a well established democracy you have politicians who just despice the commen citizen.
f.e. our vice MP (Kaag) in the Netherlands said that we as citizens are to stupid to vote!
Also she wanted to activly sideline an opposing critical politician!
Pericles remembers
"We have no army, we have a horde of slaves cowed by discipline, ordered about by thieves and slave traders.
This horde is not an army because it possesses neither any real loyalty to faith, tsar and fatherland - words that have been so much misused! - nor valour, nor military dignity. All it possesses are, on the one hand, passive patience and repressed discontent, and on the other, cruelty, servitude and corruption.”
Leo Tolstoy
These words are true testament about how russia has really never moved on from the 18th century.
A nuclear power with pre industrial revolution attitudes. Pathetic.
@@davefloyd9443 But scaringly dangerous!
Thank you Anders for this fascinating analysis.
@@lorenzcassidy3960 I'm not sure their nukes would work. The money for maintenance is probably stolen. Russia is a kleptocracy.
"Smallest hotelroom, but hey, there's a ship." 😂👍
Can we appreciate how Anders always records his videos in one take?
In this video, there was actually a cut (actually a blend-over), so... not a great example ;-)
But generally, you are right.
Ok
Well, he is a professional briefer, so perhaps it's easier for him than normal youtube vloggers.
There was one cut in this one thought :D
@@E3ECO It is perfectly possible for *any* TH-camr to learn how to make good presentations. It sad that so few seem to bother.
So... Putin looked at North Korea and went "Yup, that's what I want."
Looked at his options and realized he was down to one.
@@penguinista I didn't think of that 😂 that's a dilemma you don't want
@@markredacted8547 A single option cannot, by definition, constitute a dilemma.
To fail as a government or to go full NK was my thinking.@@hb1338
North Korea is WAY more stable. They didn't have a power switch that wasn't a direct inheritance since 1940s. The russia had like three coups and collapsed in the same period. Also there's NO heir for khuilo. Too late to built one of his daughters up. Once he keels over, russia stops existing as a state. It's gone.
To my mind, the "responsibility ownership" message was quite explicit. In the very opening of Prigozhin's "obituary" by Putin, one gets: "He was a man with a difficult fate, and he made serious mistakes in life" before falling into the "de mortuis nil nisi bonum" pattern.
Besides, Putin could have chosen to say nothing publicly about Prigozhin's death, I think that his choice to do it brings even more significance into what he said.
Yeah Putin said, according to a CNN translation: “He was a man of difficult fate, and he made serious mistakes in life, and he achieved the results needed both for himself and when I asked him about it - for a common cause, as in these last months,” So he made mistakes and achieved the results he needed.
Et tu morituris, Putin. Sikkert før du ønsker det.
This was demonstrating just a couple of his propaganda machine working points, mixing truth with lies to keep citizens off balance and by allowing some sympathies for poor old Prigozhin and some questions surrounding how this happened, a pressure safety valve deflection to avoid protests etc
So what you are saying is 'needed', as defined by Putin, right? I.e. being shot down and killed in his aircraft? If that is what you meant, great observation, one I didn't tease out of that well thought out statement. Rare for Putin, and probably just statistical happenstance, rather than conscious thought of a well executed turn of phrase, given what I see of the rest of his thoughts and actions, which all seem to be a cluster****, as of late. @@Rastloese
@@MrJdsenior Putin is arguably the most rational of all the senior leaders in Russia. At the moment he is having to deal with the ghastly mess created by a combination of his subordinates and his refusal to admit to mistakes.
Has a single plane crash ever killed so many war criminals in one go?
A plane full of russian admirals crashed about twenty years ago. Not war criminals I guess but will that do? It's quite the story if you look it up.
1981 was already 42 years ago
I heard from a SAM missile battery commander I know personally, that the video evidence is clear that the recent plane full of war criminals, was shot down with a missile, before it "crashed".
You think they were alive when they were put on the plane?
@@Kyle-sr6jm If they weren't, the people flying the plane must have been very nervous.
When everyone is operating in fear they don’t take chances. They don’t do things efficiently or try new methods. They often don’t deliver important bad or serious news right away.
Similar to how putin screamed his "Kyiv in 3 days" or when russia lost all of Kherson and Kharkiv lol
Also the reason why such societies rot and crumble, when will we learn
Eventually, the fearful lose their fear. Anger and rage subsume the fear.
And that children, is how russia got a new leader
@@doncarlodivargas5497 We have leaned, Ukraine has learned and it working at getting rid of the corruption leftover from the Russian occupation during USSR times. The question is: Will the Russians learn?
@@57thorns - yes, you are right, many have learned, I agree, but still millions and billions of people live in such rotten societies, and millions of people in the west prefer it to a system with a future
Fear has always been normal in Russia -- for more than a thousand years...
Yep - the first Czar, Ivan the Terrible, pretty much invented the police state.
Nah, only about 5 centuries.
Fear has always been normal in Colonies of the Western World - for more than a thousand years...
@@TomislavPuklin-wz1bl I disagree that this has been normal in western colonies, but i am glad that you agree its normal in Russia.
i suggest that instead of repeating political narratives you get yourself acquainted with reliable historic research@@Cygnus888
Sorry to hear you are stuck in Sweden. As a Dane, that must be a living nightmare.
Great video once again - your insight is very appreciated.
Ouch lol
😂
🤣
Ha! Good hearted dig! 🇸🇪🇩🇰
På et tidspunkt kan man undertrykke folk så meget, at de bliver ligeglade med følgerne og gør oprør. Om det bliver en paladsrevolution og/eller en folkelig opstand er ikke til at sige. Men lad endelig russerne kæmpe indbyrdes, så bliver det lettere for ukrainerne.
Get well soon!
I can't wait to see what karma has in store for Putin.
Ghadaffi could probably warn him of a few- Oh, wait...
Karma is a feelgood story we tell ourselves to cope with perceived injustice. That said, I'm also certain that Putin has bad things coming his way. He will not die of old age as a free man. He will either not die of old age, or he will die in prison. If I was a betting man I would put money on the Ukrainians getting to him somehow. Budanov seems precisely as ice cold and audacious as is needed to pull of that kind of stunt.
He will most likely put a bullet in his own head before anyone can take him alive...He is to shit scared of what will happen to him if he ever get's captured! Remember, that a guy like Putin is uber paranoiac and he also reigns by those means, instilling fear into others. That is all Putin really has got going for him... Once that fear-mongering is gone or has no use any more, Putin will also be finished!!!
When Putin moves among his ministers in the Kremlin (or wherever), he is the only one that is armed... Anybody dear come close to him uninvited, such a person is "dead-meat"... It also means that Putin has the ability to take himself out too, should he deem necessary!
@@megalomaniacalHalidesupposedly this is precisely the fate that Putin is terrified of and trying to avoid, to the point he has even used the Ghaddafi name in discussions about this topic.
Remember what kind of support Ceausescu had before the execution.
Utkin liked Wagner because Wagner was Hitler’s favorite composer. That’s why they call themselves “musicians” or “the orchestra” instead of “murderous racist thug”
Yep and now they are dancing to the devil's tune .
Why racist?
@micixduda You can't be a neo-nazi militia without being racist. You cannot have a commander with nazi symbols tattooed in his skin without being a neo-nazi unit.
@@micixduda Because if you're a Hitler fan you automatically are a racist. You can't say: "I like that Hitler guy, but I dislike his racism!" when his most significant characteristic is his racism.
@@kurteibensteiner2736 oh didn't know he was Hitler fan, do you have any source for this claim?
Excellent stuff, thanks Anders.
Ruling by fear is the ultimate weakness. True strength comes from true loyalty. Who could be loyal to a boss who could, and will, stab you in the back without blinking. This is the beginning of the end for him.
Great vid. He's well on his way to going full Stalin. He sees how well that worked for Stalin and he wants the same thing. Another reign of terror.
Stalin outlawed religion. Putin recruits in mosques. And padres are saying it's an honour to die for the motherland.
Putin wishes he could be Stalin, Stalin at least believed in something and had the ability to lead a nation to victory.
@@setlerking believed in what? He was a seminary student turned burglar who became a leader of socialist atheist dictatorship and provided mass russification policy despite not being russian himself. Stalin had zero ideals, his only goal was power at any cost.
Putin always did not hesitate to kill enemies, but he moved from plausible deniability to almost acknowledging his role...
P00tin imagined that they were plausibly deniable, but they were more like implausible denials. Who in their right mind ever believed his patent lies?
He is KGB that's how he was trained. Nothing new about their methods.
He is not denying it as he's trying to curb the increasing criticism for failing in Ukraine, hopefully Ukraine will have far more success and increase the threats to Putin to a conclusion!?!
Putin is just like the bully that states "Why are you hitting yourself?" While beating up someone weaker then himself.
This type of bullying is found in every culture all over the world. All be it only in Russia it will lead you all the way into the Kremlin.
They have never been plausible in my opinion… only the spin-factor is different. Once it was like 50% vodka mind-boggling bullshit… now a beer like 6% beer not-worth-a-booze story. What use would it be anyway… it‘s always been a duck.
Viewing your presentations are always time well spent by me. Thank you.
Puck, it seems like most other channels covering Ukraine are simply racing to report the same content. Your videos almost always provoke a new way of looking at the current situation, and I find that so valuable.
As always, I enjoy your insights into the chaos that is Russia and its war.
same, also the acoustics in the tiny room did change how he sounded!
His insights are informative and valuable, but not always 100% right. Though his analysis of the facts are honest, factual and truthful, sometimes his conclusions are not spot on. For instance, “Fear is the new normal,” in his video’s title. I responded to that by asking, “Hold on? What’s, ‘new,’ about it?” Putin has always murdered his opponents, for more than 20 years now. He’s ramping up his consolidation of power moves right now, but it’s literally the typical way he has always done things.
Things began to look a bit, “new,” when the unusual levels of criticism were being levelled at him from senior figures inside his own country. But, Putin is literally restoring the Russia that was before his insanely misjudged war in Ukraine, probably in order to be in a, “safe,” position to pull his forces out of part or all of Ukraine without being deposed for, “weakness.”
Admiral Nielsen, I have noticed, has a tendency to see Russia through his NATO tinted lenses. That’s fine, as those lenses do have 20/20 sight and all, but they favour long term narratives, both forward thinking, and past analysis, which can be flawed when it comes to judging the facts in the moment.
And this is the sort of result I’m speaking of, where Putin’s purging of opponents is being judged as some kind of new phenomena, because NATO has always given Putin the benefit of the doubt, historically, and cannot bring themselves to admit that their policy of Appeasement is what lead to the Ukraine war in the first place. NATO and the UN made the same historical mistake over Crimea that the allies did with Hitler over The Sudetenland and other territories, hoping to buy peace at the cost of other people’s freedom.
@@ashroskell man you miss the point totally, before this Prigozhin asassination the Kleptocrats and others in the inner circle like the Siloviki and Turbo Patriots etc, themselves (i;e; not dissidents) did not have to fear retribution as when Putin made a deal with them, he stuck to it. They were not ruled by "fear", but by being loyal and that guaranteed no hassles. What you are referring to is the dissidents, who had to fear being killed by the Kremlin. That fear was always there, but not for the inner circle, for them now fear is the new normal too. You over generalised and didn't go down to the details. Anders made it quite clear too, but hey even I miss points in clips and need to re-watch them over, i happens to all of us! 🙃
Can you blame Russia for not wanting to be captured like the rest of Europe by the tendrils of the Marshal Plan & US imperialism? An example is being made out of Russia for daring to co-produce Nordstream II with Germany.
@@FreeTheDonbas So Russian imperialism is ok ? Maybe you wouldn't be talking that BS if you'd lost a home to Russian imperialism like i have, clown.
Tak Anders for endnu en god video.
A wise man once said that you may not take an interest in politics, but make no mistake, politics WILL take an interest in you. And you will not enjoy that kind of interest.
Always good to hear from you!!
So much to learn in life.
Great program.
RS. Canada
We in the West have come to think of political opponents as being separated by opposing political ideologies, when it is far more common, now and throughout history, that the only real thing separating political opponents is a desire for power.
No, the desire for power is almost universal amongst politicians, regardless of which party or group they belong to.
@@hb1338 that wasn't their point and doesn't contradict it. What they said was that opponents don't need to have differences to have a conflict.
@@KasumiRINA indeed and it is a wisdom old as time itself. There will always be conflict as long there's two people alive.
Excellent analysis, Anders!
I find it fascinating to see, and scary as hell, all the things I learned in high school about communizm is coming true in our lifetime. We must get rid of Putin, China and North Korea. I'm at a loss to know how to solve all the problems.
Thank you Anders for your voice of reason. Much appreciated Sir.
We mustn't do anything.
What we should do is be vigilant that our home state governments do not concentrate power to the point they become totolitarian.
Stay armed, stay free.
Can you explain in detail why you believe modern Russia is communist? It's even more hyper-capitalist than the US.
Thank you very much for your excellent videos!
🇺🇦 Слава Україні! 🇺🇦
@9m + you breezed thru a brilliant observation which is applicable beyond the situation in Russia: one cannot have ambitions for both the country and a person concurrently. The latter is short term. Especially if that person is elderly.
Well thought out and presented.
Fun Fact: Girkin was constantly complaining about the lack of Ideology in Putins Leadership and especially the War on Ukraine. By being in Prison he made his Point come true! :)
Thanks for you viewpoint’s! As always very interesting!
Perhaps Girkin got a prison cell next to poor Aleksej Navalnyj, interesting conversations they can have through the cell bars.
Solzhenitsyn said that being in a Russian Gulag was good because he got to meet so many poets artists and writers and great thinkers ...Russian literature is full of such tragic and emotional scenes....Pasternaks Doctor Zhivago ...good book, good film
You can’t cross the Rubicon and not go all the way to Rome……what was he thinking? These people are clearly a lot less clever than we think.
When the Russian invasion of Ukraine started, my first thought was that Ukraine would be conquered by Russia at such a speed that the World wouldn't be able to do much.
Happily, I was 100% wrong: Zelensky turned out to be a great war leader and communicator, and the Ukrainian Armed Forces managed to save Kyiv and eventually halt the invasion. Not only that, they have been able to free lots of territory that was taken by the Russians in the first months of the war! What a feat! This is the stuff legends are made of!
Having said that, I am absolutely appalled (and of course totally ecstatic about it!) by the ridiculous chaos that has plagued every single thing the Russians have done so far.
The only thing that saved the Russians up until now is mass: they don't care about their own losses, they have huge numbers of vehicles to throw into the grinder, gazillions of mines. Well, to start giving Ukraine what it needs only after many months of "let's not antagonise Putin too much" helped the Russians quite a lot. Imagine if the UA had cluster ammo during the first phase of the Battle of Bakhmut... or Storm Shadows during the Siege of Mariupol...
Prigozhin did not put his cellphone into "airplane mode", that is why it crashed.
sharp analysis Anders, I think you are correct. i didnt know much about it but what you say makes sense
and amazing ot see those of your predictions that already came true like prigozhin etc
Great analysis as always Anders. Hope you feel better soon!
Get better soon Anders! ❤
Get well soon! Thank you for your great insights and analysis of this complex situation.
As usual, clear and powerful. Thank you for your work.
Super informative as usual. Thank you Anders!
Well done AP.
Thank you Anders, spot on as always. Get well soon!
Insightful as always, keep them coming.
Thanks for the video once again, Anders! Hope you recover quickly!
Get well soon my man, and good video as always with some great points Anders!
Thank you! Your insights are always helpful. I hope you'll feel better soon. 🎉
Mr. Puck, you are the professional that I listen to the most. You definitely know what you are talking about. I just wish that I could take you and your family to dinner if and when you visit New York City. Paul Messina
Hope you're feeling better soon. Great analysis as always.
Thank you Anders, I'm always waiting to hear your clear and well grounded views! hope your final remark turns out to be right.
Almost every few days I check your channel for new videos (eventhough i have the bell enabled ;) )
Your videos, and the storytelling, are fascinating to listen to. Thank you for them!
Thanks for once again shining your spotlight Anders.
Wishing you a speedy recovery :)))
Great video and perspective, as always. Hope you feel better soon.
Viewing your presentations are always time well spent by me. Thank you.. Som altid god video og godt arbejde .
Thanks for another wonderful and insightful post
This is brilliant- thanks, Anders!
glad to see you back Anders ! The ship model in beautiful !
Interesting discussion as always.
I feel like fear was always deeply ingrained in russia
Always appreciate your perspective.
Great program!
Wow, You nailed it 🎯 I’m subscribing today❗️
The fact that the Wagner High command was travelling freely in Russia make me think that it was not Putin who ordered this mission, but rather Shoigu and his confederates. I truly believe that Putin and Prigozhin actually had a long con going and that the death of these men is a loss for Putin and a win for Shoigu. Of course, only time will tell.
Always great. Today was super great full of insight. Much appreciated(:
Love from Latvia
Great thoughts on a shift many have not noticed or really thought about enough to notice. I hope you are feeling better soon.
Thanks Anders. Your videos are not only super informative and interesting, but also very impressive produced given how they generally are shot in one go. You really know your s***. Following you (and Peter Zeihan who has similar depth and width of knowledge and similar communication skills) provides me more perspective than I'm able to find anywhere else -at least with so little effort needed from my side. Thanks.
This was actually pretty funny. When you said that people on Russian talkshows say stuff like "This was a predictable outcome for Prigozhin.", I laughed my ass off. Like, they don't even give a shit this time, lol.
I like your analysis so much that i started to press the like 👍🏻 button before even listening.
Wonderful video. So informative and interesting! Thank you!
The lesson to be learned in Russia is, if you cross the Rubicon, don't stop.
Understatement of the year!
Or as 'the Ugly' said in 'The Good, the Bad and the Ugly': "If you can shoot, shoot. Don't talk."
Fear is the not the new normal in Russian politics, it's just normal 🤣
Agree. Daniel 7:8 I considered the horns, and behold another little horn (man of perdition) sprung out of the midst of them: and three (district of columbia, ottawa, european union, silowiki) of the first horns were plucked up at the presence thereof: ...
Or the old normal :)
@@Chrisklown I never understood why people quote some religion. It's all made up bs by man anyway.
But I think it has gone to a new fear level maybe not seen since Stalin. Is the average Moscovite's daily life completely unimpacted, i. e., the same as 3 years ago?
@@sarahrosen4985 I don't know, but would guess they don't care much as-is. I think they will just get use to rocket flying around their ears and go about the day as usual. Maybe if 50.000 people got killed in Moscow or something like a 9/11 event they would start worry and notice, but I think it would take a lot more for anyone to act even from a selfish perspective. But i'm no Russia expert, thats just my impression on Russians now.
Very enjoyable Anders, very informative, Thanks and get well soon!
We need an update on Russia's grain blockade, and one the Ukrainian counteroffensive.
Great stream, as usual. The Putin first loyalty system is very much a pre-industrial mentality when kings claimed divine origins and were the object of loyalty. It seems to me Putin very much wants to go back to that era.
Always informative, I appreciate the insight and perspective
As always very good analysis! Get well soon!! Greetings from Germany
Great video, I can't seem to find anyone else as respectful of the information they are sharing.
He is, but there are tons of others.
@@MrJdsenior It feels like big egos crowd other videos, and the info plays second bananas. He does give his credentials but the video isn't a trumpet blasting how awesome he is(not intentionally, anyway).
The thing about Prigozhin that puzzles me is that he didn't seem to realize that the minute he started up that highway towards Moscow, he had crossed the Rubicon as far as Putin was concerned. Prigozhin could throw the dice and possibly win. To call the whole thing off was the dumbest thing he could possibly have done because Putin would never tolerate treason and Prigozhin became a dead man walking. Maybe Prigozhin thought he had made an ally with a Russian Air Force commander who later chickened out and Prigozhin then panicked. In any case, better to continue throwing the dice.
That's the lesson learned for those who may follow.
Prigozhin realised, or was told by Putin, that his chances of reaching anywhere worthwhile in Moscow were extremely low. He then decided that it was better to stay alive, even if that might be for only a short time.
Now anyone who claimed that calling off was the right choice must eat their necktie. @@hb1338 Ukrainian cardboard drones can hit the center of moscow. Anyone with actual tanks would have had far better chances storming government buildings in moscow than trying to outrun russian air defense on one thing they're good at shooting down, civilian planes.
Thanks! (And I hope you feel better soon!)
Thank you Sir.
Best wishes from BC, Canada
The result was indeed predictable. What I would not have predicted was Prigozhin thinking he could just fly into Russian air space in a company jet. His ego must have been far larger than his sense of self-preservation. I hope you feel better soon.
Good analysis as usual! However I find it incredible that so much of Wagner PMC were on the one plane and it was pre known to the extent to make an attack on the plane possible.
Hubris.
Prig and his top brass felt overconfident.
Question is: what made them feel like that?
Yes, it really was not impressive operational security.
I still want to see the video of live bodies walking on the plane together. Also, was it typical for them to travel together or was this the first (and last) time?
@@pierresaelen3097 I think to some extend Prigozhin felt he had to maintain that attitude to remain relevant and "too big to fall". But everyone getting on the same airplane still seems careless.
Basicly details are unknown by us. Maybe the passengers have been drugged before boarding. Then again, maybe this, maybe that...
Thank you very much!
Interesting piece, thanks for sharing. 👍
Endnu en super video 👍 god bedring!
Thank you for your work.
It is his job for the Danish government to do military analysis, his videos on You Tube are just a little extra for those who cannot watch Danish TV, a shame that people other than Danes do not have the pleasure of his insightful explanation of the course of the war
Thank you, once again, for an insightful, thoughtful analysis. I hope you are well now, ensconced in a more comfortable lodging and with convivial company.
Mange tak for dine meget klare analyser.
Fear fades. Remember the old Soviet joke: a man goes to the store to buy bread, but they are out of bread. He loses his temper, starts to complain about the government out loud, and someone taps him on the shoulder. "I'm with the KGB, and you should watch what you say." The man appears shaken, stops ranting, and goes home. His wife sees him and asks what's the matter. She asks if he is upset about them running out of bread. He says, "No, what I'm upset about is that the KGB is running out of bullets." Putin doesn't have enough bullets for everyone.
I'm pretty sure that's an "american" joke about the soviets, but hey, when did the meaning of words mattered to liberals?
The new normal is the old normal. It has just been extended to new objects.
Although the topic may be a little sad and dismal, I become a little happy whenever there is a new Ander Puck Nielsen video. You always present your perspective in a short and tidy way. I like that.
As always, thank you Anders.👍
"“it is much safer to be feared than loved because ...love is preserved by the link of obligation which, owing to the baseness of men, is broken at every opportunity for their advantage; but fear preserves you by a dread of punishment which never fails. But remember, Putin, that you cannot be both feared and loved.” ~ Niccolo Machiavelli, The Prince, Revised Edition.
the correct quote is "It is better to be feared than loved, if you cannot have both" - Niccolo Machiavelli
@@gawkthimm6030 That's the truncated version.
@@Guy-Lewis sure
Tak for endnu en interessant video. God bedring hinsidan. 🙂
Hinsidan, (dansk brug af sv. hinsidan den anden side; på svensk også: hinsides (præp., adv.)), den anden side (af Øresund). På svensk bruges ordet dog primært som betegnelsen for "det hinsides". Altså livet efter døden. Jeg håber, at det ikke står så galt til med Anders helbred.
God bedring Anders! En af dine bedste video til dato
Excellent, as always.
Finally! ..Ive been going to your channel every day since this happened, waiting for your take on the situation. Thanks for the analysis, clear & concise as always
This is a return to absolute monarchy. Modern day right-wing movements still retire ideological activiation from "the people". There is still some concept of the people, a body politic. What Putin is pushing Russia towards is an ideology of the soverign. The citizen's job isn't to think or be "activated". It is to follow the whims of the state (in this case, the singular head of state). Russian politics is going to get that much more vacuous
Interesting thought. Thanks.
Good content as always. Thank you!
So interesting! Thank you.
I really value your commentary, see you on other shows which is always a plus.👍