Can Russia win in Ukraine with nuclear weapons?

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 11 ก.ค. 2024
  • The nuclear talk is back. Russia is again threatening the West with nuclear retaliation, but how close are we actually to nuclear war? In this video I discuss what will happen if Russia uses nuclear weapons in Ukraine, and I argue that it will more likely lead to Russian defeat than victory. But unfortunately that does not mean that we can ignore the danger of nuclear escalation as a result of the conflict.
    0:00 Nuclear rhetoric is back
    2:01 A weapon of weakness
    2:40 Less confident about Ukraine strategy
    4:00 Not a wonder weapon
    5:15 Could lead to Putin's downfall
    7:47 The International explanation
    8:20 A nonproliferation nightmare
    11:04 When might Russia use nuclear weapons?

ความคิดเห็น • 3.1K

  • @anderspuck
    @anderspuck  2 หลายเดือนก่อน +135

    If you want to support the channel, please consider subscribing to my newsletter on www.logicofwar.com.
    And remember to be careful about attempts at impersonation scams in the comments section where someone uses my profile picture from a different account. I will never ask you to contact me on private platforms like Telegram or WhatsApp.

    • @Thewestcoastshooter
      @Thewestcoastshooter 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +11

      We apprciate your thoughtful and balanced commentary Anders.

    • @tektkite7255
      @tektkite7255 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      you seem pretty daft:
      1. 2 nukes on kiev and the war is over
      2. Dear russian slaves and meat, NATO has attacked (for added effect stage a false flag operation) us and we beat them by sending nukes. they are now scared and defeated

    • @lagrangewei
      @lagrangewei 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      can you be abit less dellusional. after so many years of hyping of ukraine, can you just acknowledge defeat is inevitable without NATO entering the war, in which if NATO enters the war, we will have WWIII and a nuclear exchange? you are not helping the Ukrainian by lying about their conditions, the more you hype them up, the more europe will see thing as under control and the less money and resources they will focus on Ukraine. it is way better to be honest and tell them the truth, then to lie and prolong the slatemate. NATO must consider the possibility of a nuclear war.

    • @ThePearsson
      @ThePearsson 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      @@lagrangewei Why Ukraine has already liberated 50% of Ukraine. Europe is ramping up the defense industry, the US aid will keep coming. Russia has two years left in the fight, if the west start sanction India and Russia the support to Russia will be gone. Russia is alone in this against Ukraine supported by the richest and biggest military power in the world. If we in the west decide that Russia will lose, then Russia will lose, if Russia uses 1 nuke Putler and Russia is over as a nation. There is no way out of this for Russia anymore, Surrender or total downfall is whats waiting Russia.

    • @madisondines7441
      @madisondines7441 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Russia making a nuclear escalation gambit is actually highly detrimental to them as long as the West sticks to a proportional retaliation strategy.

  • @mawkishdave
    @mawkishdave 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +848

    Nuclear weapons are most useful when you don't use them.

    • @dpelpal
      @dpelpal 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +74

      Last week Putin threatened to nuke a McDonald's because they got his value meal order wrong😂 Russia is nothing more than a joke at this point lol

    • @TheMrCougarful
      @TheMrCougarful 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

      They are also useful if you have no other choice to avoid defeat.

    • @sage8573
      @sage8573 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Putin has been threatening the weather with Nukes for 20 years. Maybe the rhetoric has increased but its always been there in some regard

    • @flixri726
      @flixri726 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +14

      Are they? I mean, they were quite effective when the US used them if you want to be cynical about it.

    • @dpelpal
      @dpelpal 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +26

      @@TheMrCougarful Not even nuclear weapons can help the russian military, it's such a complete joke lol

  • @mayberryastronomy6335
    @mayberryastronomy6335 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +327

    Wow. Someone delivering facts and not fear mongering. I’m impressed.

    • @markbryant4641
      @markbryant4641 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      A very strange channel.

    • @katiehettinger7857
      @katiehettinger7857 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Anyone old enough to remember the Cold War knows nuclear weapons are useless in reality. How long would it take for any of Russia's neighbors to normalize relationships and resume trade? China, India, all the Russian friends in Africa or Middle East would fear being branded a pariah, being cut out of global trade and turn their backs on Russia as soon as the fist bomb blew.

    • @tomk3732
      @tomk3732 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +13

      This guy is to facts as pig is to flying.

    • @markbryant4641
      @markbryant4641 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@tomk3732. Yeah. Bizarre. It's like listening to interviews with Ben Hodges. He was the highest ranking American NATO member in Europe but he has absolutely no idea about Russia, Putin, Russia's military strategies, Russia's M.I.C. capabilities, Russia's military equipment, Russia's economy... NOTHING!!
      It's unbelievable. I watch these experts get it wrong over and over and over again and wonder, are they really this incompetent? Or are they lying?

    • @reneblom2160
      @reneblom2160 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +37

      @@tomk3732 Then you should rather watch Russian state TV, instead of wasting your time here. The facts being presented there are probably more to your liking. But Z-patriots seem to be constantly drawn towards YT-channels like this one, like moths are drawn towards a flame. Somehow, they simply can't stay away. 😆

  • @StyleXtube
    @StyleXtube 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +18

    You explain this so calmly and clearly, I needed this. Thank you.

  • @thegreatujo
    @thegreatujo หลายเดือนก่อน +22

    Appreciate the (relatively) short format of these analysis videos. There are quite a few other excellent channels like Perun and Wlliam Spaniel who do explainers but they all produce one hour long materials that not everybody has the time to listen to. You fill a much needed gap for people interested in the conflict.

  • @donixion4368
    @donixion4368 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +365

    For those of us who remember the Cold War, this kind of threat is familiar and not something we tend to worry about. For the younger ones who have never known constant nuclear threats, this kind of threat is scary. If we are heading into another cold war, everyone is going to have to get used to these threats because they will be far more constant, even without a war going on.

    • @praveendreamer
      @praveendreamer 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Coldwar times are over ...! Remember Russia is not big threat to us its china wait n watch on coming October brics + expansion n their plan to kill dollar dominance with centralised currency bwn southeast asian african and middle eastern countries... west hegemony nearing its end !

    • @snyde02
      @snyde02 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +55

      Oh, we are already in a cold war with Russia. Hints: continuous cyber attacks, misinformation, assassination in Germany, exploding ammo storage in Bulgaria, extensive drone usage on oil platforms in the north sea, buying up real estate in Finland close to military installation, etc etc

    • @TDurden527
      @TDurden527 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +19

      I lived through the Cold War and all this nuclear bomb talk is so ho hum, rofl.

    • @michaelnielsen5573
      @michaelnielsen5573 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      I believe that knowledge about nuclear weapons and how (and why) they can be used is the key to cope with a new cold war - at the end of the day, war is still business and ned to give an outcome ;)

    • @perchristophersen8966
      @perchristophersen8966 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +34

      Served in the DK Army 4 years 63-67 as engineer large part of the training was decontamination as the Russians was expected to hit our radars towards the Baltic Sea as later told by the Polish after 91 the plan was to use a 2megaton bomb first if did not succeed then a 5megaton half the main island would be destroyed as soldiers were told if they came life expectancy would be approximately 4 hours glad they were broke and stayed home,never imagined these times would come the Russians have never been rational and trustworthy now in Canada since 70 and glad for 👍it 🇩🇰🇨🇦👨🏼‍🦳

  • @PovlKvols
    @PovlKvols 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +12

    Always good food for thought! Thank you for sharing, @Anders.

  • @johnboardman4820
    @johnboardman4820 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    Anders. Thank you. A very interesting and thought provoking insight. I love your videos. Muvh appreciated. John from UK

  • @residentgeardo
    @residentgeardo 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

    This channel always delivers a calm analysis without the hysterical fear mongering of many media outlets. Really like the content! 👍

  • @marcelholan6983
    @marcelholan6983 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    Thank you Anders, fantastic summary

  • @tamasgyorffy1
    @tamasgyorffy1 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    Thanks! Important subject especially the closing sentences

  • @jamesowens7176
    @jamesowens7176 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Love your logical analysis of the situation as always! It really does help process the noise and see clearly! Please continue with your excellent work!

  • @teddyhansen9178
    @teddyhansen9178 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    Fantastic explanation. Its the best nonnuclear picture I have ever seen. Thanks a lot.

  • @velox__
    @velox__ 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    Clear as ever Anders, thanks and keep it up

  • @underdog578
    @underdog578 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +102

    In order to preserve non proliferation countries must not only make it clear that they would respond strongly if one were used, but also clearly and transparently ignore nuclear blackmail. If we want to keep a lid on the number of nuclear powers, it must be clear to all countries that there are no real advantages to possessing them.

    • @geronimo5537
      @geronimo5537 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Nato is amassing and stacking massive forces all over the western border of Russia. Of course Russia is going to be talking about deterrents.

    • @richdobbs6595
      @richdobbs6595 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +11

      Yeah, but it is clear from North Korea that is advantageous to possess them if you are going to be isolated regardless. At least with the current dynamics, nuclear proliferation is going to occur. Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey are probably the current lineup. If Taiwan falls, you've got South Korea, Japan, and Indonesia.

    • @embreis2257
      @embreis2257 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Anders didn't mention it but the US and president Biden already made it clear if Russia uses nuclear weapons in Ukraine, then the US will respond 'very strongly' to it (making sure Russia will regret having done it) and China too already signalled to Putin what will happen if he dares to use nuclear weapons

    • @embreis2257
      @embreis2257 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      @@richdobbs6595 Taiwan will be one of the first if Russia gets away with the use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine - and China told Putin they won't like it one bit

    • @nommchompsky
      @nommchompsky 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

      ​@@embreis2257 That was my thinking. Taiwan, South Korea and, Japan probably have everything you need to start a nuclear program and detailed plans on how to get that program started ASAP. Both China and North Korea really don't want that to happen

  • @splzeug
    @splzeug 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    I really appreciate your insight and analysis of these important issues. You deliver the material well and are a true professional. Keep up the good work!

  • @MorfarsSprutFest
    @MorfarsSprutFest หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    This channel is great! Your analytics and knowledge is on top, thank you for contribution in these crazy times.

  • @fraumahler5934
    @fraumahler5934 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    Thank you for this thoughtful perpective

  • @stevendaugherty7590
    @stevendaugherty7590 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    Very interesting & informative video Mr Nielsen. Thank you for your analysis!

  • @Chimp_No_1
    @Chimp_No_1 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Great analysis ! Thank you for sharing !

  • @CNCTEMATIC
    @CNCTEMATIC 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Great presentation Anders, thank you.

  • @blasterrax5621
    @blasterrax5621 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +84

    TY Anders for your great videos. 🎉🎉❤

  • @RickTheClipper
    @RickTheClipper 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +165

    You are one of the best sources on YT. Always balanced, clear and informed

    • @b_lumenkraft
      @b_lumenkraft 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

      True!

    • @MeBallerman
      @MeBallerman 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

      He is spokesman of NATO. He's a Danish NATO officer, he can't say one word that contradicts anything that NATO, or the Danish govenrment, says. But he might be more well-spoken than the childish "reporters" you know from your own country,
      Edited for typos

    • @vikalmarentes4376
      @vikalmarentes4376 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      You guys are clueless. Weak minds

    • @zeljkopopovic2662
      @zeljkopopovic2662 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@MeBallerman Finally somebody using the brains. NATO is pushing planet towards nuclear abyss.

    • @rorychivers8769
      @rorychivers8769 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

      @@MeBallerman Oh that's such a good argument, I had better watch RT for half an hour to balance out my opinion, there's no reason at all that Russia might want to twist the facts and bend the narrative when they are obviously doing so well

  • @chrislong3938
    @chrislong3938 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Very well laid out! Thanks!

  • @craigbenson398
    @craigbenson398 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Great points. Thanks for doing this.

  • @RogerMillerInVA
    @RogerMillerInVA 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    I appreciate your analysis so much. Thank you for your insights.

  • @Jemacaza
    @Jemacaza 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    Amazing video again. Your viewpoint on topics like these are very refreshing. Thank you for these very informative videos. 👍🏻

    • @Lamarck922
      @Lamarck922 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Yeah, his viewpoint is refreshing and very wrongheaded. He has no idea what he's talking about. He's just a goofball with an opinion that happens to be wrong. Remember what they told you Ukraine was going to win Ukraine is going to be completely destroyed. They already have 500,000 dead people.

  • @hamlinsondra
    @hamlinsondra 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Thank you for your insight throughout this conflict. It's reassuring to find that there are sane people in the world.

  • @martinelzen5127
    @martinelzen5127 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Hiya AP, thanks for this explanation.

  • @alandoherty5237
    @alandoherty5237 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +15

    Great video thank you

  • @Thewestcoastshooter
    @Thewestcoastshooter 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +362

    Bluffing. All day long. Dont give the bastards an inch. They will never stop.

    • @dpelpal
      @dpelpal 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +25

      I think they stripped the parts out of most of their nuclear in the 1990s and sold them on ebay to get food money😂😂😂

    • @CyberBeep_kenshi
      @CyberBeep_kenshi 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +21

      absolutely agree. call their bluff

    • @Thewestcoastshooter
      @Thewestcoastshooter 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@dpelpal As I understand it, they took whatever little funding they had and used it to maintain and even grow their nuclear deterrent as best they could during that time to the detriment of their conventional forces. I do not think Russias nuclear forces are are anything to scoff at... But im also certain they will not use them in this stage of the. conflict. Putin may be the lowest form of life on earth but hes not going to commit suicide.

    • @Thewestcoastshooter
      @Thewestcoastshooter 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

      @@dpelpal As i understand it, they took whatever little funding they had and used it to maintain and even enhance a core of their nuclear deterrent. We should not underestimate their nuclear arsenal. Theyre still bluffing, but their nuclear forces are no joke.

    • @dpelpal
      @dpelpal 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +13

      ​@@Thewestcoastshooter They spent all the money on their military and it's still a complete joke? 😂

  • @rowanhaigh8782
    @rowanhaigh8782 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you for your excellent work. ❤

  • @CamilleCullen-ow6qj
    @CamilleCullen-ow6qj 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    great video as always!

  • @HR_8035_YEA
    @HR_8035_YEA 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +98

    When your bluff has been called a dozen times already, how effective is it any longer?

    • @ghostlightx9005
      @ghostlightx9005 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

      "Wolf! Wolf! Wolf!"

    • @delboyg01
      @delboyg01 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Foolish Western talking point. Our leaders don't seem to understand the difference between a 'warning' and a 'threat'.!!

    • @Omgiamsotriggered
      @Omgiamsotriggered 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

      As long as they have nuclear arsenal u can never call a bluff.

    • @santoriniblue8413
      @santoriniblue8413 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

      That is now called "strategic ambiguity". You never when the other side has set the thresholds of its red lines. Happened with Ukraine in 2008, 2014 and 2022. In all those occasions, the West ignored Russia's previous warnings, later followed by disbelief. The current Israeli-Iranian crisis is another example. Israel never expected such a reaction from Iran.

    • @ghostlightx9005
      @ghostlightx9005 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      @@santoriniblue8413 I think Israel did tbh. I mean the net result of that was Iran looking very stupid and embarrassed.

  • @Rath-Angkor-Thom
    @Rath-Angkor-Thom 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    Thank you 😊

  • @jimdale9143
    @jimdale9143 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thoughtful and informative as always. Thank you!

  • @flaviucalin
    @flaviucalin 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +59

    THIS IS MY FAVORITE CHANNEL about war in Ukraine. Greetings from Romania

    • @Marko9515
      @Marko9515 หลายเดือนก่อน

      How can you consider this guy credible after he accused russia for destroying nord stream 2? When i saw that video i knew he is not objective at all.

    • @Andrei-YT01
      @Andrei-YT01 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      salutari

  • @ralphhardie7492
    @ralphhardie7492 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    Good one
    Insight and logic
    🎉🎉🎉🎉
    Thanks 🙏

  • @ThePearsson
    @ThePearsson 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +20

    Tack!

    • @jojjeja9371
      @jojjeja9371 หลายเดือนก่อน

      You do understand Russia will Winn this war?

    • @ThePearsson
      @ThePearsson หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@jojjeja9371 Will never happen, Ukraine and the west will never trow away a world order since 1946 that would open up for dictatorships and, pure evil like Russia, China, North Korea and Iran to do as they want to their neighbors. Thats not even a possibility. Russia is weak and the sanctions bites like never before, we are slowly boiling the frog. Russia has all ready lost this war they just don’t understand it. Russia has a life line by China and India. A lufe line that will end the day the west says stop or we will not bye your gods anymore. These country’s are going down to if they don’t stop supporting the genocide in Ukraine. And if Ukraine would lose against all odds that means WW3 and boots on the ground for Nato. The west has has 30/1 in resources and military power and as you know the will to support Ukraine has gone up the last month. When Ukraine liberates their lands from the Russian Nazis, Russia will collapse. China will then take a big bite of Russia and all the country’s inside Russia that want to leave Russia, like the stolen parts of Georgia, Chechenia, and many other minority’s Russia will brake up in pieces. These regions hate Pution because he send them first as canon food and don’t pay their familys. And I don’t care what you heard at RT or some other Russian fake Nazi state media. You don’t invade other country’s thats a fact. 500 000 dead or wounded Russian soldiers 709-1800 dead a day compared to 100 000 dead UA-soldiers, a totally failed invasion of Ukraine, a Russian Black sea navy taken out by a country without a navy. And last Ukraine has all ready taken back 50%. Yes Russia will take some small grounds the upcoming weeks but then the US aid will arrive, and Europe are starting up the war production at the same time as Russias war industry will be blown to peaces now when the ban on bombing Russia with western weapons are lifted. Russia is weak and have all ready sold their soul to china. Putin is wanted iver half of the world, Nato has started to expend even more. The Russian economy and export is falling like a dead bird and you think Russia is winning 😂😂😂 Ukraine don’t need to win the war, they need to hold the line, Russia will destroy itself from the inside. Let’s see what happened now when 7 Nato country’s is about to send its soldiers in to Ukraine to release them to the front, and when the mobilization is on. Russia is digging its own grave in Ukraine just like they did in Afghanistan. We all know when Russia are afraid and we are doing something right and that when Russia starts threatening the worlds with nukes.

    • @Rottweilerdsq
      @Rottweilerdsq หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@jojjeja9371 Nope - Slava Ukraini

    • @jojjeja9371
      @jojjeja9371 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@Rottweilerdsq You are delusional, or you are part of the not exiting European brainwashed military. Germany maybe?

    • @jojjeja9371
      @jojjeja9371 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@Rottweilerdsq England have a militært counting 70.000 soldiers. The only credible "European" military is Turkey, and they will leave Nato for sure.

  • @PeanutsDadForever
    @PeanutsDadForever 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you for another excellent video!

  • @littlepea1325
    @littlepea1325 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    As usual greatly instructive

  • @Chiller11
    @Chiller11 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +47

    I look to this channel for the most consistently cogent analysis of the war in Ukraine.

    • @larsrons7937
      @larsrons7937 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      I agree.

    • @heatrayzvideo3007
      @heatrayzvideo3007 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Telegraph Ukraine daily is recommended too

    • @tomk3732
      @tomk3732 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Comedy - same as Denys.

    • @sot11cat
      @sot11cat 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      ​@@tomk3732If this comedy, you are the circus clown.

    • @tomk3732
      @tomk3732 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@sot11cat No, video author is the performing clown - I am in the audience and I am in on the joke. You seem to not get it.

  • @garyoconnor6131
    @garyoconnor6131 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +14

    Love your analysis and how you look at things. Your oversight and insights are so high level.

  • @bethanyrae001
    @bethanyrae001 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great analysis. Thank you

  • @christopherseidl444
    @christopherseidl444 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +22

    Thanks as always for such wonderful and structured analysis. I am visiting Denmark in July I hope to bump into you in Kopenhagen.

  • @eudaenomic
    @eudaenomic 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    Thank you for providing sanity and clarity.

  • @stevenjohnston7809
    @stevenjohnston7809 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thanks for the video

  • @brianrasmussen2956
    @brianrasmussen2956 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Great content!

  • @dpelpal
    @dpelpal 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +468

    Recently a man was investigated by the russian police during a putin rally. The man said, "Putin gave me the happiest childhood you could ever have!" The policeman looked at him and said "You're 60, putin wasn't president when you were a child!" The man looked at him and said "yes! He wasn't there, this is why I had a happy childhood!"😂

    • @dpelpal
      @dpelpal 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +34

      @user873kak I'm still laughing about him screaming "Kyiv in 3 days"😂😂😂

    • @boxingsense3459
      @boxingsense3459 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +29

      ​@@dpelpal Putin never said Kyiv in 3 days. You can actually search the whole catalog of TH-cam videos right now and you won't find it. That statement was said by western media over and over again.

    • @dpelpal
      @dpelpal 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +56

      ​@@boxingsense3459 Oh yes comrade and the MOSKVA still sails as well!!!😂

    • @BratBugarin
      @BratBugarin 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      It is fortunate that there are no such fools, like you, in Russia.

    • @boxingsense3459
      @boxingsense3459 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +14

      @@dpelpal 😂😂😂 Yeah, and 20% of Ukraine is now under NATO control after more than $200 billion dollars.

  • @luisekjeldsen1515
    @luisekjeldsen1515 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    Thats was very informative ,and about time someone talked about this. Thanks Anders !!

  • @mike_oe
    @mike_oe 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Another great and clear-eyed analysis, thank you!

  • @q-tuber7034
    @q-tuber7034 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great analysis, as usual

  • @AirB-101
    @AirB-101 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

    Thank you Sir!

  • @thomaskrenn3808
    @thomaskrenn3808 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    as always: clear thoughts evolved

  • @UncleJoeLITE
    @UncleJoeLITE 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Very well explained, thanks.

  • @TheDaveRout
    @TheDaveRout 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I really appreciate your calm analysis

  • @krede77
    @krede77 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +16

    Great video Anders . Can you do a video on hybrid warfare? . Why isn't the west responding to russian cyber attacks ?

    • @jooseppib1082
      @jooseppib1082 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Hybrid or Cyber?

    • @BeardLAD
      @BeardLAD 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      The West are actively involved in hybrid warfare against their own nations…
      …The West = kleptocratic komrades ie the 1% are like a worm that got a taste for the apple they’ve all but gorged on the guts of.
      The non-supplicant members of the 99% need to establish a rational meritocratic capitalism with an aim for egalitarianism…
      …that Beautiful Undiscovered Country, which evil - in all its perversity - is repulsed by.

    • @falten2
      @falten2 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      How do you know they aren't responding or planning a response?

    • @krede77
      @krede77 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      @@falten2 obviously something is being done about it , but i would like to know more about how the west could/would handle that kind of attacks

    • @falten2
      @falten2 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@krede77 You did say that nothing was happening, hence my question. But your second post makes alot more sense. Guess we will just have to wait and see.. Im sure there is alot of cloak and dagger in this game.

  • @LukVik
    @LukVik 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +203

    It is getting tiresome 😣 the nuclear ☢️ blackmail !!!!

    • @dpelpal
      @dpelpal 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +28

      And laughable lol. Last week putin threatened to nuke a McDonald's for getting his value meal order wrong

    • @God-ub8fn
      @God-ub8fn 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Its not blackmail its a reaction ,warning to Nato trups if they put boots on ukraine and I BET they are serious

    • @JZsBFF
      @JZsBFF 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      Rather things being tiresome than things lightiing up in the dark.

    • @jeremybunn8473
      @jeremybunn8473 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      @@dpelpal Yes and the McDonald's is only 1 mile from his bunker.😄

    • @gazzarafalemozzy4766
      @gazzarafalemozzy4766 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      this expert is full of contradicing propoganda..russia cant use weapons without looking weak..yet america nuked 2 cities war crimes diud they also not look weak????????????????????????

  • @TheDarkSnaffle
    @TheDarkSnaffle 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great video!

  • @IMBlakeley
    @IMBlakeley 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +78

    Playing the nuke card would be inherently risky, the US has at least eight SSBN constantly at sea, the UK one, the French one any one of which could make a mess of Russia no one is winning if all that's left is a smoking cinder.

    • @obisanchez5286
      @obisanchez5286 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Bullshit, Russia has none, right? Nitwit.

    • @geronimo5537
      @geronimo5537 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Nato is amassing and stacking massive forces all over the western border of Russia. Of course Russia is going to be talking about deterrents.

    • @noahway13
      @noahway13 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      And how many Russian nuke subs?

    • @michaelillingworth6433
      @michaelillingworth6433 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +40

      ​@@noahway13I think you miss the point. Nobody wins in a nuclear exchange, it's MAD to think differently.

    • @IMBlakeley
      @IMBlakeley 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +13

      @@noahway13 Allegedly 4 or 5 at sea, given their maintenance prob 1/2 that.

  • @kirk34
    @kirk34 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +13

    👍👊

  • @kennethpedersen335
    @kennethpedersen335 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    As usual, a great video

  • @andrewhumphries4029
    @andrewhumphries4029 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Nice, objective, clear analysis. Thank you

  • @yamaneko-ex8fy
    @yamaneko-ex8fy 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

    Thank you for your explenation. Since the start of the full scale war against Ukraine I thought briefly about this nuclear threat and then decided that it is a bluff. Glad my own thoughts about that are about the same as your.
    I wish your explenation would be broadcasted by the mass media as far too many people still fall for it.

    • @delboyg01
      @delboyg01 หลายเดือนก่อน

      People seem to be mistaking a warning for a threat. Contrary to what the video states, Putin nor anyone else has spoken about using nukes in Ukraine, why would they? They are doing fine on the battlefield, it is Ukraine which is getting devastated.
      Putin's warning was about the use of NATO weapons to attack Russian territory, the warning is that it risks Russia considering the country which supplied the weapons as a party to the war, then there will be no problem to hit them on home soil, using whatever weapons they deem fit.
      In that situation everyone seems to jump direct to nukes, but Russia has a lot of none nuke missiles, able to avoid NATO air defences and strike anywhere in Europe.

  • @richardmiddleton4634
    @richardmiddleton4634 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +30

    I fail to see how using nuclear weapons in Ukraine is a win. For one I thought the point was to retake Ukraine. You can't occupy irradiated land. Also, the political fallout would be worse than from the bombs. Total embargo, kicked out of the UN, etc. It's hard to run a country when nobody will trade with you.

    • @intractablemaskvpmGy
      @intractablemaskvpmGy 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

      You can occupy irradiated land. In fact, it may be easier to occupy irradiated land. Besides Russia doesn't want Ukraine but to control access to Russia, and that is in Western Ukraine and Poland. Remember people never stopped working at Chernobyl, and human activity has continued in the surrounding area to this very day. I think the threat of NATO responding if Putin does such a thing will prevent tactical nukes. I believe Sullivan or Kirby have already alluded to this last time he threatened

    • @pastuh
      @pastuh 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      hundred thousands dead and you can ask question if its holocoust.

    • @kjellrogerjgensen60
      @kjellrogerjgensen60 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Russians so afraid of shadows
      they attac eweryone, they surely live in the past. As a result they repeat it themselves, and make shadows threathening.
      With their foggy logic they will newe feel safe. They are a victim of their own halusination.

    • @saltzkruber732
      @saltzkruber732 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +14

      Nuclear weapons dont have as much radiation as people think and they would be detonated in the air so the radiation would not be absorbed as much into the ground, Japan was hit twice and safe to live in a very short time after

    • @nvelsen1975
      @nvelsen1975 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      The UN is defunct and no longer matters in any way, shape or form. Case in point: Hamas was just recognized as a country by the UN.

  • @pamelahalstead
    @pamelahalstead 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Anders, you are both brilliant and so articulate. We await your every broadcast! Greetings from Connecticut USA!

  • @haroldsmith45302
    @haroldsmith45302 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Thank you for this rational and articulate explanation.

  • @user-tc1by7un3k
    @user-tc1by7un3k 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Thank you 👍🇺🇦❤

  • @paulhaynes8045
    @paulhaynes8045 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +72

    What a wonderfully argued explanation, I'm quite blown away by the way you simplify and explain such an overwhelming and worrying topic. I've long held the view that Putin will not (can not) use nuclear weapons, but never been able to argue clearly why, so it was a great relief to hear you break the question down with such clear and concise logic. Thank you.

    • @hasansarhan9296
      @hasansarhan9296 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      He will not if he does he will be faced with nuclae weapons from the west

    • @gazzarafalemozzy4766
      @gazzarafalemozzy4766 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      except the expert is full of contradictions...russia use nuke means russia weak..america NUKED 2 civillian japanese cities..so strong..PROPOGANDA

    • @fdllicks
      @fdllicks 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      Yep. I have watched him from day 1 of this war and he is spot on each time. The US president should hire him.

    • @Jimbo2193
      @Jimbo2193 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      After the US backed coup the whole issue for the Russians is security. if NATO enters Ukraine and install missiles...Russia has about 5 minutes to react. Whether you believe it or not Russia sees this as an existential threat and they most likely would use nuclear weapons if pressured. But contrary to what Anders says, Russia is winning and was always going to win. Obama warned against any conflict in Ukraine as the Russians ability to escalate was greater than NATO's. He was right.

    • @Shadow_banned_by_YouTube
      @Shadow_banned_by_YouTube หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Nah

  • @dunwitch
    @dunwitch 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Excellent analysis

  • @philb2628
    @philb2628 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Very interesting, clear analysis.

  • @hansleijonmarck9768
    @hansleijonmarck9768 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    I too feel this time around of nuclear blackmail it is a sign of weakness.

    • @tomk3732
      @tomk3732 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Strong nations send warning first.

    • @Jimbo2193
      @Jimbo2193 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@tomk3732 which they have done.. agree.

  • @VitalityJolt
    @VitalityJolt 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +81

    We got this Ukraine!🇺🇦

    • @dpelpal
      @dpelpal 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +12

      What is the difference between russian and English fairy tales? English fairy tales begin with "Once upon a time," but russian fairy tales begin with "It will be soon...." 🤣

    • @gagecee5129
      @gagecee5129 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      😂

    • @JamboniUk
      @JamboniUk 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      You got nothing

    • @bigboyhova
      @bigboyhova 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      You got palestine as well ja

    • @marinblaze
      @marinblaze 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Ukraine lost the legs to stand on.

  • @RajuDas-qu1li
    @RajuDas-qu1li 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Helpful indeed!

  • @davidbowie1996
    @davidbowie1996 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thanks!

  • @kreur
    @kreur 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

    Non-proliferation part is obvious, but when it comes to selling use of nuclear weapons to domestic audience cant Putin simply say something like it is to save lives of Russian soldiers that would otherwise die trying to "denazify" Ukraine using conventional means? He can point out that it worked for USA in WW2 and blame west for escalation as usual.

    • @pierman4858
      @pierman4858 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Non proliferation wasn't the issue back then it is today. It was assumed the Russians would get the bomb no matter what.

    • @nic.h
      @nic.h 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Russia's own policy on the use of nuclear weapons would not consider that a valid situation for there use

    • @pRahvi0
      @pRahvi0 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      @@nic.h Putin has already been a president many times longer than Russian laws would've allowed when he started. Turns out he can just change the laws when he feels like it.
      That said, even he can't do that without some preparation, which is where he could potentially be overthrown if the change is too unpopular.

    • @nic.h
      @nic.h หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@pRahvi0 yes fair point dictators don't tend to care about rules

  • @deckearns
    @deckearns 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    Who wants to deploy nukes on their doorstep? That's nuts.

    • @mirror452
      @mirror452 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      The nukes would actually not target Ukraine.

    • @johannesvalterdivizzini1523
      @johannesvalterdivizzini1523 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Putano cares not one iota for anybody, including his own people. "Nuts" or not, that's the reality we have.

    • @cookiecola5852
      @cookiecola5852 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@johannesvalterdivizzini1523, for Putin this is a game of who can be the craziest...

  • @mikelanglow-bi2sv
    @mikelanglow-bi2sv 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Solid logical reasoning. 😊 now just to memorize your analysis to share with my associates. ❤❤❤

  • @Countryboy071
    @Countryboy071 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Liked and subscribed. First time seeing this channe.

  • @ewok40k
    @ewok40k 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +42

    Only time nuclear weapons were used, were against country losing the war already, having no allies, and with no way to retaliate.
    All the opposite is true of Ukraine.

    • @obelic71
      @obelic71 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Its seems to be a stalemate like in WW1 and nobody is winning at the moment.

    • @blacklion8208
      @blacklion8208 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      ...And we know the effects now...
      So, it's useless crying about it unless you are going to use them hint hint russia

    • @danm9006
      @danm9006 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Yes, Japan was losing the war when the nuclear weapons were used. But, the situation in 1945 was different than 2024, for many reasons.
      It's not fair to make comparisons.

    • @antebratincevic6764
      @antebratincevic6764 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@danm9006 Yes, now situation is worse due to total capacity of the nuclear weapons

    • @lucotonico
      @lucotonico 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@danm9006 lol the comparisons is not fair just because the US was the one Using it lol😂?

  • @loudtim265
    @loudtim265 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    I watched a video yesterday where Russia was making nuclear threats, from 2016.

    • @petersinclair3997
      @petersinclair3997 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Threats go back to the USSR.

  • @racebiketuner
    @racebiketuner หลายเดือนก่อน

    You make some good points.

  • @suliemanalfuhaid1447
    @suliemanalfuhaid1447 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    You should make a video about the new Kharkiv offensive

    • @tomk3732
      @tomk3732 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Oh yes, take popcorn and watch the comedian.

    • @markojuric4954
      @markojuric4954 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      He doesn't need to make a video, I already know how he would say in the video that the Russian offensive on Kharkov failed and Russians have huge losses . . . :)

    • @megawutt
      @megawutt 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Would you watch this? This guy is a moron!

  • @neilcook4686
    @neilcook4686 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    Mange tak 😊

  • @mejon5498
    @mejon5498 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Well said.

  • @itwasntme9687
    @itwasntme9687 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you very much for sharing your thoughts with, it's always helpful! 💙💛

  • @diverboy70
    @diverboy70 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +61

    When Saurons orchs are performing badly on the battlefield you can see two sure signs, 1. Sauron ratteling his nuke threats and 2. the photos of Sauron are looking more like Gollum, when he is losing his ring (Ukraine) in the River.

    • @tsugumorihoney2288
      @tsugumorihoney2288 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

      Till today we have only 1 country which used nukes against enemies and it were not "evil empire" of USSR/Russia, it made light democratic USA, just remember it

    • @joeperkowski
      @joeperkowski 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@tsugumorihoney2288so

    • @davidsawyer1599
      @davidsawyer1599 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

      ​@tsugumorihoney2288 ,absolutely remember. The point was to end that instantly. Save millions of lives using conventional warfare. Your point is taken as it is. Hello Bot!

    • @nicklindberg90
      @nicklindberg90 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      ​@@davidsawyer1599it's nice of the bots to undermine their own arguments lol

    • @tsugumorihoney2288
      @tsugumorihoney2288 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

      @@davidsawyer1599 so according to your logic, Russia must use nuke to end war fast and same millions of lives?

  • @marcusmoonstein242
    @marcusmoonstein242 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +107

    A clear sign of desperation on Russia's part. It just means that Ukraine is winning.

    • @dpelpal
      @dpelpal 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +18

      Does this mean they're not going to take "Kyiv in THREE DAYS!"? 🤭

    • @JamboniUk
      @JamboniUk 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Explain that about America nuking Japan?
      Huh? shush up skimpy.

    • @JZsBFF
      @JZsBFF 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Because at some point in time Ukraine will be drained of manpower and will lose this war of attrition, NATO will have to decide to put boots on the ground,
      That's why Russia calls Wolf so now and then, they know that victory will slip away from them when NATO shows up.

    • @scottfay3553
      @scottfay3553 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Are you insane? Ukraine has 600,000 kia. Losing ground everyday . Ukraine hasn't took any territory since september 2022. American and Ukraine Generals and Nato leaders admit this. Stop falling for propaganda

    • @ChrisM541
      @ChrisM541 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

  • @cwallcw
    @cwallcw 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Love ur stuff, but we’ve been down this road a few times in this “war”, same ole same ole.

  • @1337Superfly
    @1337Superfly 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Anders, you are really getting good at this. Your points are
    straight up whip lash delivered. Very potent, very powerful. I hope some Russians are reading along..

  • @usmarine4636
    @usmarine4636 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    The dogs are barking Sancho, is a sign that we are moving on !!!
    Let the dogs bark 😂😂😂

  • @surters
    @surters 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    Its difficult to say as whatever they say has been lies, so how can we ever know what they actually say?

  • @Wulfrune
    @Wulfrune 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Anders, the clarity in how you see the world is astounding and expressed wholesomely by yourself. Hej Hej.

  • @chrismackenzie4789
    @chrismackenzie4789 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Brilliant show

  • @1Fmarcel
    @1Fmarcel 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +16

    It's all very logic, unfortunately Putin isn't.

    • @sogerc1
      @sogerc1 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      But what is the thing that Putin can't destroy with an Iskander but if he destroyed it with a nuke would restore Russia's superpower status?
      I can't think of anything.

    • @pierman4858
      @pierman4858 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      When it comes to his own survival as dictator of Russia he is logical. Of course from the perspective of the people of Russia not.

  • @Ukie88
    @Ukie88 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    Let’s hope it never happens. call the bluff now . F16s now. Blackmail.

    • @zacklewis342
      @zacklewis342 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      F-16s already happened dummy. The process is well underway.

  • @ronb8066
    @ronb8066 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Excellent and down to earth analysis, probably the best on Russian nukes I have heard so far.

  • @stephenking27
    @stephenking27 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Another brilliant analysis, Anders. Thank you from 🇦🇺

  • @chrismartin5662
    @chrismartin5662 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +62

    Putin's like a schoolyard kid saying he'll get his big brother just because he's losing

    • @ashton1952
      @ashton1952 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

      Have you looked into what independent journalists are reporting? Maybe it's a good idea.

    • @nathanhazlehurst484
      @nathanhazlehurst484 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +11

      Losing? Ok you guy's have lost all credibility. See ya!

    • @brianrichardson3331
      @brianrichardson3331 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

      He’s not losing

    • @user-tf1jj3ej3v
      @user-tf1jj3ej3v 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      @@-Highlander-42 He is winning 18% of Ukraine along with its resources and ensuring that Ukraine is less useful for NATO if inducted in its current state.

    • @sot11cat
      @sot11cat 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@nathanhazlehurst484He has lost $300 bn. He is under a warrant arrest. He has lost most of soviet stocks. Finland abd Sweden are in NATO and 1000 km+ of NATO borders are added, the Baltic Sea is a NATO lake, the Black Sea is closed and half of his fleet there is destroyed, Crimea and the bridge of shame is about to be attacked, Belgorod is under contant attack, Gazprom is almost bankrupt, N. Korean missiles that explode on air are desoerately needed. I stop here. Do you see putin winning? Really?
      If you think russia can easily hold these territories it has stolen and annexed, you must be either an ignorant or a russian troll 👿. This war is the last chapter of Russia's deatruction. The first one was putin's installation into the throne.

  • @nerdynautilus5373
    @nerdynautilus5373 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    Did the USA use nuclear weapons against Japan from a position of weakness?

    • @tessaninetails8065
      @tessaninetails8065 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Nobody else had them at the time so there was no risk of retaliation. And yes, they kinda did. The US didn't want to accept Japans terms for surrender, didn't want to fight a prolonged war in Japan and wanted to end the Soviet advance into Asia

    • @AnthonyBlamthony
      @AnthonyBlamthony หลายเดือนก่อน

      We didn’t want to do the land invasion bc that was going to be 100 times bloodier than the nukes. That was a special case, it wasn’t because we couldn’t do it because we didn’t want to. This is a little different. Russia wouldn’t be nuking for the same purpose the US did, Russia would be nuking solely out of not wanting to face a humiliating defeat. That is not nearly as justifiable of a reason and Russia knows that.