Can Russia win in Ukraine with nuclear weapons?
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 9 มิ.ย. 2024
- The nuclear talk is back. Russia is again threatening the West with nuclear retaliation, but how close are we actually to nuclear war? In this video I discuss what will happen if Russia uses nuclear weapons in Ukraine, and I argue that it will more likely lead to Russian defeat than victory. But unfortunately that does not mean that we can ignore the danger of nuclear escalation as a result of the conflict.
0:00 Nuclear rhetoric is back
2:01 A weapon of weakness
2:40 Less confident about Ukraine strategy
4:00 Not a wonder weapon
5:15 Could lead to Putin's downfall
7:47 The International explanation
8:20 A nonproliferation nightmare
11:04 When might Russia use nuclear weapons?
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We apprciate your thoughtful and balanced commentary Anders.
you seem pretty daft:
1. 2 nukes on kiev and the war is over
2. Dear russian slaves and meat, NATO has attacked (for added effect stage a false flag operation) us and we beat them by sending nukes. they are now scared and defeated
can you be abit less dellusional. after so many years of hyping of ukraine, can you just acknowledge defeat is inevitable without NATO entering the war, in which if NATO enters the war, we will have WWIII and a nuclear exchange? you are not helping the Ukrainian by lying about their conditions, the more you hype them up, the more europe will see thing as under control and the less money and resources they will focus on Ukraine. it is way better to be honest and tell them the truth, then to lie and prolong the slatemate. NATO must consider the possibility of a nuclear war.
@@lagrangewei Why Ukraine has already liberated 50% of Ukraine. Europe is ramping up the defense industry, the US aid will keep coming. Russia has two years left in the fight, if the west start sanction India and Russia the support to Russia will be gone. Russia is alone in this against Ukraine supported by the richest and biggest military power in the world. If we in the west decide that Russia will lose, then Russia will lose, if Russia uses 1 nuke Putler and Russia is over as a nation. There is no way out of this for Russia anymore, Surrender or total downfall is whats waiting Russia.
Russia making a nuclear escalation gambit is actually highly detrimental to them as long as the West sticks to a proportional retaliation strategy.
Nuclear weapons are most useful when you don't use them.
Last week Putin threatened to nuke a McDonald's because they got his value meal order wrong😂 Russia is nothing more than a joke at this point lol
They are also useful if you have no other choice to avoid defeat.
Putin has been threatening the weather with Nukes for 20 years. Maybe the rhetoric has increased but its always been there in some regard
Are they? I mean, they were quite effective when the US used them if you want to be cynical about it.
@@TheMrCougarful Not even nuclear weapons can help the russian military, it's such a complete joke lol
Wow. Someone delivering facts and not fear mongering. I’m impressed.
A very strange channel.
Anyone old enough to remember the Cold War knows nuclear weapons are useless in reality. How long would it take for any of Russia's neighbors to normalize relationships and resume trade? China, India, all the Russian friends in Africa or Middle East would fear being branded a pariah, being cut out of global trade and turn their backs on Russia as soon as the fist bomb blew.
This guy is to facts as pig is to flying.
@@tomk3732. Yeah. Bizarre. It's like listening to interviews with Ben Hodges. He was the highest ranking American NATO member in Europe but he has absolutely no idea about Russia, Putin, Russia's military strategies, Russia's M.I.C. capabilities, Russia's military equipment, Russia's economy... NOTHING!!
It's unbelievable. I watch these experts get it wrong over and over and over again and wonder, are they really this incompetent? Or are they lying?
@@tomk3732 Then you should rather watch Russian state TV, instead of wasting your time here. The facts being presented there are probably more to your liking. But Z-patriots seem to be constantly drawn towards YT-channels like this one, like moths are drawn towards a flame. Somehow, they simply can't stay away. 😆
THIS IS MY FAVORITE CHANNEL about war in Ukraine. Greetings from Romania
How can you consider this guy credible after he accused russia for destroying nord stream 2? When i saw that video i knew he is not objective at all.
salutari
Appreciate the (relatively) short format of these analysis videos. There are quite a few other excellent channels like Perun and Wlliam Spaniel who do explainers but they all produce one hour long materials that not everybody has the time to listen to. You fill a much needed gap for people interested in the conflict.
For those of us who remember the Cold War, this kind of threat is familiar and not something we tend to worry about. For the younger ones who have never known constant nuclear threats, this kind of threat is scary. If we are heading into another cold war, everyone is going to have to get used to these threats because they will be far more constant, even without a war going on.
Coldwar times are over ...! Remember Russia is not big threat to us its china wait n watch on coming October brics + expansion n their plan to kill dollar dominance with centralised currency bwn southeast asian african and middle eastern countries... west hegemony nearing its end !
Oh, we are already in a cold war with Russia. Hints: continuous cyber attacks, misinformation, assassination in Germany, exploding ammo storage in Bulgaria, extensive drone usage on oil platforms in the north sea, buying up real estate in Finland close to military installation, etc etc
I lived through the Cold War and all this nuclear bomb talk is so ho hum, rofl.
I believe that knowledge about nuclear weapons and how (and why) they can be used is the key to cope with a new cold war - at the end of the day, war is still business and ned to give an outcome ;)
Served in the DK Army 4 years 63-67 as engineer large part of the training was decontamination as the Russians was expected to hit our radars towards the Baltic Sea as later told by the Polish after 91 the plan was to use a 2megaton bomb first if did not succeed then a 5megaton half the main island would be destroyed as soldiers were told if they came life expectancy would be approximately 4 hours glad they were broke and stayed home,never imagined these times would come the Russians have never been rational and trustworthy now in Canada since 70 and glad for 👍it 🇩🇰🇨🇦👨🏼🦳
You are one of the best sources on YT. Always balanced, clear and informed
True!
He is spokesman of NATO. He's a Danish NATO officer, he can't say one word that contradicts anything that NATO, or the Danish govenrment, says. But he might be more well-spoken than the childish "reporters" you know from your own country,
Edited for typos
You guys are clueless. Weak minds
@@MeBallerman Finally somebody using the brains. NATO is pushing planet towards nuclear abyss.
@@MeBallerman Oh that's such a good argument, I had better watch RT for half an hour to balance out my opinion, there's no reason at all that Russia might want to twist the facts and bend the narrative when they are obviously doing so well
This channel always delivers a calm analysis without the hysterical fear mongering of many media outlets. Really like the content! 👍
You explain this so calmly and clearly, I needed this. Thank you.
When your bluff has been called a dozen times already, how effective is it any longer?
"Wolf! Wolf! Wolf!"
Foolish Western talking point. Our leaders don't seem to understand the difference between a 'warning' and a 'threat'.!!
As long as they have nuclear arsenal u can never call a bluff.
That is now called "strategic ambiguity". You never when the other side has set the thresholds of its red lines. Happened with Ukraine in 2008, 2014 and 2022. In all those occasions, the West ignored Russia's previous warnings, later followed by disbelief. The current Israeli-Iranian crisis is another example. Israel never expected such a reaction from Iran.
@@santoriniblue8413 I think Israel did tbh. I mean the net result of that was Iran looking very stupid and embarrassed.
Recently a man was investigated by the russian police during a putin rally. The man said, "Putin gave me the happiest childhood you could ever have!" The policeman looked at him and said "You're 60, putin wasn't president when you were a child!" The man looked at him and said "yes! He wasn't there, this is why I had a happy childhood!"😂
@user873kak I'm still laughing about him screaming "Kyiv in 3 days"😂😂😂
@@dpelpal Putin never said Kyiv in 3 days. You can actually search the whole catalog of TH-cam videos right now and you won't find it. That statement was said by western media over and over again.
@@boxingsense3459 Oh yes comrade and the MOSKVA still sails as well!!!😂
It is fortunate that there are no such fools, like you, in Russia.
@@dpelpal 😂😂😂 Yeah, and 20% of Ukraine is now under NATO control after more than $200 billion dollars.
Anders. Thank you. A very interesting and thought provoking insight. I love your videos. Muvh appreciated. John from UK
Russian Vatniks talk about nukes the way ‘billionare tech-bros talk about pods
In order to preserve non proliferation countries must not only make it clear that they would respond strongly if one were used, but also clearly and transparently ignore nuclear blackmail. If we want to keep a lid on the number of nuclear powers, it must be clear to all countries that there are no real advantages to possessing them.
Nato is amassing and stacking massive forces all over the western border of Russia. Of course Russia is going to be talking about deterrents.
Yeah, but it is clear from North Korea that is advantageous to possess them if you are going to be isolated regardless. At least with the current dynamics, nuclear proliferation is going to occur. Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey are probably the current lineup. If Taiwan falls, you've got South Korea, Japan, and Indonesia.
Anders didn't mention it but the US and president Biden already made it clear if Russia uses nuclear weapons in Ukraine, then the US will respond 'very strongly' to it (making sure Russia will regret having done it) and China too already signalled to Putin what will happen if he dares to use nuclear weapons
@@richdobbs6595 Taiwan will be one of the first if Russia gets away with the use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine - and China told Putin they won't like it one bit
@@embreis2257 That was my thinking. Taiwan, South Korea and, Japan probably have everything you need to start a nuclear program and detailed plans on how to get that program started ASAP. Both China and North Korea really don't want that to happen
I really appreciate your insight and analysis of these important issues. You deliver the material well and are a true professional. Keep up the good work!
Thank you Anders, fantastic summary
It is getting tiresome 😣 the nuclear ☢️ blackmail !!!!
And laughable lol. Last week putin threatened to nuke a McDonald's for getting his value meal order wrong
Its not blackmail its a reaction ,warning to Nato trups if they put boots on ukraine and I BET they are serious
Rather things being tiresome than things lightiing up in the dark.
@@dpelpal Yes and the McDonald's is only 1 mile from his bunker.😄
this expert is full of contradicing propoganda..russia cant use weapons without looking weak..yet america nuked 2 cities war crimes diud they also not look weak????????????????????????
I look to this channel for the most consistently cogent analysis of the war in Ukraine.
I agree.
Telegraph Ukraine daily is recommended too
Comedy - same as Denys.
@@tomk3732If this comedy, you are the circus clown.
@@sot11cat No, video author is the performing clown - I am in the audience and I am in on the joke. You seem to not get it.
Love your logical analysis of the situation as always! It really does help process the noise and see clearly! Please continue with your excellent work!
This channel is great! Your analytics and knowledge is on top, thank you for contribution in these crazy times.
TY Anders for your great videos. 🎉🎉❤
Always good food for thought! Thank you for sharing, @Anders.
Thank you for your insight throughout this conflict. It's reassuring to find that there are sane people in the world.
Bluffing. All day long. Dont give the bastards an inch. They will never stop.
I think they stripped the parts out of most of their nuclear in the 1990s and sold them on ebay to get food money😂😂😂
absolutely agree. call their bluff
@@dpelpal As I understand it, they took whatever little funding they had and used it to maintain and even grow their nuclear deterrent as best they could during that time to the detriment of their conventional forces. I do not think Russias nuclear forces are are anything to scoff at... But im also certain they will not use them in this stage of the. conflict. Putin may be the lowest form of life on earth but hes not going to commit suicide.
@@dpelpal As i understand it, they took whatever little funding they had and used it to maintain and even enhance a core of their nuclear deterrent. We should not underestimate their nuclear arsenal. Theyre still bluffing, but their nuclear forces are no joke.
@@Thewestcoastshooter They spent all the money on their military and it's still a complete joke? 😂
What a wonderfully argued explanation, I'm quite blown away by the way you simplify and explain such an overwhelming and worrying topic. I've long held the view that Putin will not (can not) use nuclear weapons, but never been able to argue clearly why, so it was a great relief to hear you break the question down with such clear and concise logic. Thank you.
He will not if he does he will be faced with nuclae weapons from the west
except the expert is full of contradictions...russia use nuke means russia weak..america NUKED 2 civillian japanese cities..so strong..PROPOGANDA
Yep. I have watched him from day 1 of this war and he is spot on each time. The US president should hire him.
After the US backed coup the whole issue for the Russians is security. if NATO enters Ukraine and install missiles...Russia has about 5 minutes to react. Whether you believe it or not Russia sees this as an existential threat and they most likely would use nuclear weapons if pressured. But contrary to what Anders says, Russia is winning and was always going to win. Obama warned against any conflict in Ukraine as the Russians ability to escalate was greater than NATO's. He was right.
Nah
Great presentation Anders, thank you.
Fantastic explanation. Its the best nonnuclear picture I have ever seen. Thanks a lot.
Tack!
You do understand Russia will Winn this war?
@@jojjeja9371 Will never happen, Ukraine and the west will never trow away a world order since 1946 that would open up for dictatorships and, pure evil like Russia, China, North Korea and Iran to do as they want to their neighbors. Thats not even a possibility. Russia is weak and the sanctions bites like never before, we are slowly boiling the frog. Russia has all ready lost this war they just don’t understand it. Russia has a life line by China and India. A lufe line that will end the day the west says stop or we will not bye your gods anymore. These country’s are going down to if they don’t stop supporting the genocide in Ukraine. And if Ukraine would lose against all odds that means WW3 and boots on the ground for Nato. The west has has 30/1 in resources and military power and as you know the will to support Ukraine has gone up the last month. When Ukraine liberates their lands from the Russian Nazis, Russia will collapse. China will then take a big bite of Russia and all the country’s inside Russia that want to leave Russia, like the stolen parts of Georgia, Chechenia, and many other minority’s Russia will brake up in pieces. These regions hate Pution because he send them first as canon food and don’t pay their familys. And I don’t care what you heard at RT or some other Russian fake Nazi state media. You don’t invade other country’s thats a fact. 500 000 dead or wounded Russian soldiers 709-1800 dead a day compared to 100 000 dead UA-soldiers, a totally failed invasion of Ukraine, a Russian Black sea navy taken out by a country without a navy. And last Ukraine has all ready taken back 50%. Yes Russia will take some small grounds the upcoming weeks but then the US aid will arrive, and Europe are starting up the war production at the same time as Russias war industry will be blown to peaces now when the ban on bombing Russia with western weapons are lifted. Russia is weak and have all ready sold their soul to china. Putin is wanted iver half of the world, Nato has started to expend even more. The Russian economy and export is falling like a dead bird and you think Russia is winning 😂😂😂 Ukraine don’t need to win the war, they need to hold the line, Russia will destroy itself from the inside. Let’s see what happened now when 7 Nato country’s is about to send its soldiers in to Ukraine to release them to the front, and when the mobilization is on. Russia is digging its own grave in Ukraine just like they did in Afghanistan. We all know when Russia are afraid and we are doing something right and that when Russia starts threatening the worlds with nukes.
@@jojjeja9371 Nope - Slava Ukraini
Great video Anders . Can you do a video on hybrid warfare? . Why isn't the west responding to russian cyber attacks ?
Hybrid or Cyber?
The West are actively involved in hybrid warfare against their own nations…
…The West = kleptocratic komrades ie the 1% are like a worm that got a taste for the apple they’ve all but gorged on the guts of.
The non-supplicant members of the 99% need to establish a rational meritocratic capitalism with an aim for egalitarianism…
…that Beautiful Undiscovered Country, which evil - in all its perversity - is repulsed by.
How do you know they aren't responding or planning a response?
@@falten2 obviously something is being done about it , but i would like to know more about how the west could/would handle that kind of attacks
@@krede77 You did say that nothing was happening, hence my question. But your second post makes alot more sense. Guess we will just have to wait and see.. Im sure there is alot of cloak and dagger in this game.
I appreciate your analysis so much. Thank you for your insights.
Great points. Thanks for doing this.
Thank you for this thoughtful perpective
Clear as ever Anders, thanks and keep it up
"We are not close to nuclear war... at this point..."
Hiya AP, thanks for this explanation.
Great video thank you
Amazing video again. Your viewpoint on topics like these are very refreshing. Thank you for these very informative videos. 👍🏻
Yeah, his viewpoint is refreshing and very wrongheaded. He has no idea what he's talking about. He's just a goofball with an opinion that happens to be wrong. Remember what they told you Ukraine was going to win Ukraine is going to be completely destroyed. They already have 500,000 dead people.
Great analysis ! Thank you for sharing !
Very well laid out! Thanks!
Very interesting & informative video Mr Nielsen. Thank you for your analysis!
Thank you 😊
Thank you for your excellent work. ❤
Thanks! Important subject especially the closing sentences
We got this Ukraine!🇺🇦
What is the difference between russian and English fairy tales? English fairy tales begin with "Once upon a time," but russian fairy tales begin with "It will be soon...." 🤣
😂
You got nothing
You got palestine as well ja
Ukraine lost the legs to stand on.
Thoughtful and informative as always. Thank you!
As usual greatly instructive
Playing the nuke card would be inherently risky, the US has at least eight SSBN constantly at sea, the UK one, the French one any one of which could make a mess of Russia no one is winning if all that's left is a smoking cinder.
Bullshit, Russia has none, right? Nitwit.
Nato is amassing and stacking massive forces all over the western border of Russia. Of course Russia is going to be talking about deterrents.
And how many Russian nuke subs?
@@noahway13I think you miss the point. Nobody wins in a nuclear exchange, it's MAD to think differently.
@@noahway13 Allegedly 4 or 5 at sea, given their maintenance prob 1/2 that.
Thanks as always for such wonderful and structured analysis. I am visiting Denmark in July I hope to bump into you in Kopenhagen.
Stalker
Thank you for another excellent video!
Another great and clear-eyed analysis, thank you!
When Saurons orchs are performing badly on the battlefield you can see two sure signs, 1. Sauron ratteling his nuke threats and 2. the photos of Sauron are looking more like Gollum, when he is losing his ring (Ukraine) in the River.
Till today we have only 1 country which used nukes against enemies and it were not "evil empire" of USSR/Russia, it made light democratic USA, just remember it
@@tsugumorihoney2288so
@tsugumorihoney2288 ,absolutely remember. The point was to end that instantly. Save millions of lives using conventional warfare. Your point is taken as it is. Hello Bot!
@@davidsawyer1599it's nice of the bots to undermine their own arguments lol
@@davidsawyer1599 so according to your logic, Russia must use nuke to end war fast and same millions of lives?
Who wants to deploy nukes on their doorstep? That's nuts.
The nukes would actually not target Ukraine.
Putano cares not one iota for anybody, including his own people. "Nuts" or not, that's the reality we have.
@@johannesvalterdivizzini1523, for Putin this is a game of who can be the craziest...
I really appreciate your calm analysis
Great analysis. Thank you
Love your analysis and how you look at things. Your oversight and insights are so high level.
Good one
Insight and logic
🎉🎉🎉🎉
Thanks 🙏
great video as always!
Thanks for the video
Thank you for providing sanity and clarity.
as always: clear thoughts evolved
Anders, the clarity in how you see the world is astounding and expressed wholesomely by yourself. Hej Hej.
I am seriously impressed with your logic and reasoning. To the extent that I will even forgive you for wearing a tie. (lol)
Seriously though, keep up the good work!
Cheers
Nothing wrong with a shirt and tie. Nice to see someone dress smart for a change
I fail to see how using nuclear weapons in Ukraine is a win. For one I thought the point was to retake Ukraine. You can't occupy irradiated land. Also, the political fallout would be worse than from the bombs. Total embargo, kicked out of the UN, etc. It's hard to run a country when nobody will trade with you.
You can occupy irradiated land. In fact, it may be easier to occupy irradiated land. Besides Russia doesn't want Ukraine but to control access to Russia, and that is in Western Ukraine and Poland. Remember people never stopped working at Chernobyl, and human activity has continued in the surrounding area to this very day. I think the threat of NATO responding if Putin does such a thing will prevent tactical nukes. I believe Sullivan or Kirby have already alluded to this last time he threatened
hundred thousands dead and you can ask question if its holocoust.
Russians so afraid of shadows
they attac eweryone, they surely live in the past. As a result they repeat it themselves, and make shadows threathening.
With their foggy logic they will newe feel safe. They are a victim of their own halusination.
Nuclear weapons dont have as much radiation as people think and they would be detonated in the air so the radiation would not be absorbed as much into the ground, Japan was hit twice and safe to live in a very short time after
The UN is defunct and no longer matters in any way, shape or form. Case in point: Hamas was just recognized as a country by the UN.
Thats was very informative ,and about time someone talked about this. Thanks Anders !!
I just used mine for the first time tonight. It is very nice! I was skeptical of the built-in measurer, but it works well. Tight seals, nice pour, and NO condensation! Well done.
Finally a someone talks reasonably
Its like a bee threaten with his sting, knowing its his strongest-weakst weapon.
Putin's like a schoolyard kid saying he'll get his big brother just because he's losing
Have you looked into what independent journalists are reporting? Maybe it's a good idea.
Losing? Ok you guy's have lost all credibility. See ya!
He’s not losing
@@nathanhazlehurst484 What he is winning?. tell me...
@@brianrichardson3331 What he is winning tell me?. He lost land sinds the start of the invasion..He lose men and armor everyday at a high rate. what he get back for it?.
check the land he lost 2023 after the gain 2022 after a attack ukraine did not now...U look the war map now.
What diod Putin win?. Tell me....Nothing!!. In this rate it will take 80 a 100 years..
Anders, you are both brilliant and so articulate. We await your every broadcast! Greetings from Connecticut USA!
Nice, objective, clear analysis. Thank you
I too feel this time around of nuclear blackmail it is a sign of weakness.
Strong nations send warning first.
@@tomk3732 which they have done.. agree.
Thank you Sir!
Great analysis, as usual
Thank you for this rational and articulate explanation.
Thank you for your explenation. Since the start of the full scale war against Ukraine I thought briefly about this nuclear threat and then decided that it is a bluff. Glad my own thoughts about that are about the same as your.
I wish your explenation would be broadcasted by the mass media as far too many people still fall for it.
People seem to be mistaking a warning for a threat. Contrary to what the video states, Putin nor anyone else has spoken about using nukes in Ukraine, why would they? They are doing fine on the battlefield, it is Ukraine which is getting devastated.
Putin's warning was about the use of NATO weapons to attack Russian territory, the warning is that it risks Russia considering the country which supplied the weapons as a party to the war, then there will be no problem to hit them on home soil, using whatever weapons they deem fit.
In that situation everyone seems to jump direct to nukes, but Russia has a lot of none nuke missiles, able to avoid NATO air defences and strike anywhere in Europe.
👍👊
Very well explained, thanks.
Oh, I think the retaliation would have before he got on television.
Non-proliferation part is obvious, but when it comes to selling use of nuclear weapons to domestic audience cant Putin simply say something like it is to save lives of Russian soldiers that would otherwise die trying to "denazify" Ukraine using conventional means? He can point out that it worked for USA in WW2 and blame west for escalation as usual.
Non proliferation wasn't the issue back then it is today. It was assumed the Russians would get the bomb no matter what.
Russia's own policy on the use of nuclear weapons would not consider that a valid situation for there use
@@nic.h Putin has already been a president many times longer than Russian laws would've allowed when he started. Turns out he can just change the laws when he feels like it.
That said, even he can't do that without some preparation, which is where he could potentially be overthrown if the change is too unpopular.
@@pRahvi0 yes fair point dictators don't tend to care about rules
I watched a video yesterday where Russia was making nuclear threats, from 2016.
Threats go back to the USSR.
Anders, you are really getting good at this. Your points are
straight up whip lash delivered. Very potent, very powerful. I hope some Russians are reading along..
As usual, a great video
You should make a video about the new Kharkiv offensive
Oh yes, take popcorn and watch the comedian.
He doesn't need to make a video, I already know how he would say in the video that the Russian offensive on Kharkov failed and Russians have huge losses . . . :)
Would you watch this? This guy is a moron!
Thank you 👍🇺🇦❤
Russia be like: Yep, totally gonna use them. Maybe. You don’t know. Probably.
One of your best vids🧑🦽💕🇺🇦🇩🇪
Excellent analysis
It's all very logic, unfortunately Putin isn't.
But what is the thing that Putin can't destroy with an Iskander but if he destroyed it with a nuke would restore Russia's superpower status?
I can't think of anything.
When it comes to his own survival as dictator of Russia he is logical. Of course from the perspective of the people of Russia not.
A clear sign of desperation on Russia's part. It just means that Ukraine is winning.
Does this mean they're not going to take "Kyiv in THREE DAYS!"? 🤭
Explain that about America nuking Japan?
Huh? shush up skimpy.
Because at some point in time Ukraine will be drained of manpower and will lose this war of attrition, NATO will have to decide to put boots on the ground,
That's why Russia calls Wolf so now and then, they know that victory will slip away from them when NATO shows up.
Are you insane? Ukraine has 600,000 kia. Losing ground everyday . Ukraine hasn't took any territory since september 2022. American and Ukraine Generals and Nato leaders admit this. Stop falling for propaganda
✔
Solid logical reasoning. 😊 now just to memorize your analysis to share with my associates. ❤❤❤
Thank you very much for sharing your thoughts with, it's always helpful! 💙💛
Only time nuclear weapons were used, were against country losing the war already, having no allies, and with no way to retaliate.
All the opposite is true of Ukraine.
Its seems to be a stalemate like in WW1 and nobody is winning at the moment.
...And we know the effects now...
So, it's useless crying about it unless you are going to use them hint hint russia
Yes, Japan was losing the war when the nuclear weapons were used. But, the situation in 1945 was different than 2024, for many reasons.
It's not fair to make comparisons.
@@danm9006 Yes, now situation is worse due to total capacity of the nuclear weapons
@danm9006 lol the comparisons is not fair just because the US was the one Using it lol😂?
I think one of the key points is that the Chinese government would be absolutely furious. Being a pariah in the west is one thing, being isolated from China is quite another.
What does China have to do with it?
@@Tonik-13 loads. The Russian economy is increasingly dependent on China. President Xi, while being pretty supportive of the Russian government has been fairly explicit that any use of nuclear weapons would be unacceptable. The Chinese government doesn't want to see any kind of nuclear war, limited or otherwise for a variety of reasons. China is also pretty obviously the senior partner in any kind of alliance or partnership between Russia and China, having a vastly larger economy, military, population, etc. the only thing Russia really has over China now is access to natural resources and a far larger nuclear arsenal. That said China is expanding and modernising its own nuclear arsenal. The Chinese government certainly doesn't want to see a world where every country with the economic and scientific capacity pursues a nuclear weapons program. They already have to contend with dubious situations of Pakistan and India sabre rattling on their frontier and the DPRK with a nuclear arsenal threatening their neighbours every so often (though this was presumably pursued with Beijing's knowledge and blessing).
@@wh8787 Buddy, you have written so much but not a single fresh thought, try to say something that is not common knowledge for a change.
But still you made a mistake, Russia and China are indeed interconnected, but you overestimate China's influence on Russia. China has no power over Russia, that is the essence of the relationship between these two countries, unlike the west they preach sovereignty, and non-interference in the internal affairs of the country. Of course Russia will take into account China's opinion, but Russia will ensure its own security as it sees fit and will act at its own discretion, in its own interests and China can't and won't do anything about it. Even if it doesn't like something.
@@Tonik-13 China doesn't rule Russia, this much is true. However, in a nuclear scenario, China, and many other states would no longer do trade with Russia, the Russian economy and perhaps russia itself would collapse. This would be unacceptable to the oligarchs, would see to it that Putin would be strung up. Russia can pretend it doesn't need China, but it does need China, now more than ever, and in that way, China has considerable influence of Russia.
@@pnwdrifter5680 What kind of trade are you talking about? In the nuclear scenario, there will be no trade at all, there will be no one to trade. The West very often talks about the possible use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine. It seems that the West dreams about this and wants to provoke Russia to take this step. But I will tell you one secret - there are no targets for nuclear weapons in Ukraine. The Russian weapons of the apocalypse are aimed at the real enemies of Russia. And if it comes to its application, Russia will be least concerned about trade and China's opinion...
Great video!
The problem with nuclear weapons is that once they're used they no longer become a deterrent
I want to know how well maintained the Russian nuclear weapons are?
This is irrelevant. Badly maintained nukes can also cause a lot of damage.
@@no_more_spamplease5121If the don't explode during launch, or crash, than you get a fizzle eventmor nothing. basically a radiologic spill.
and no, they haven't maintained them at all. mabye a handful. many silos have even been closed permanently because the fuel, which is poisonous, has been leaking......
Perun made a video on that and the conclusion is that the probability of their nukes working is very high by the fact that they have literal heaps of fissile material , i advice people to go and watch his channel
This is difficult for the public to judge due to a lack of transparency. However, we do know that Russia has fewer financial resources at its disposal than the USA.
Back than in my childhood there was a joke: Policeman asks the guy who tried to steal a nuclear bomb why he did it. "I wanted to sell it to by potatoes". "Why didn't you steal potatoes in the first place?". "Potatoes are better guarded" was the answer.
They must be losing (again).
Excellent and down to earth analysis, probably the best on Russian nukes I have heard so far.
Very interesting, clear analysis.
Let’s hope it never happens. call the bluff now . F16s now. Blackmail.
F-16s already happened dummy. The process is well underway.