The Hidden Linchpin of the World's Next Major War
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 5 ก.ค. 2024
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When the Cold War ended, the United States made an active decision to shrink defense production capacity to just barely cover ongoing deliveries. This has saved taxpayers a great deal of money and helped grow the economy. But it also leaves a huge cap if a full-scale war breaks out against Russia or China. Moreover, the World War II plan to rapidly shift civilian production to military production will not work anymore because manufacturing has slowly shifted offshore.
Thus, in the event of an industrialized war, the United States will need to find a way to bridge the gap until it can produce sufficient weapons itself. And that key to victory might just be Mexico.
0:00 Mexico: A Hidden Linchpin?
0:45 Just-in-Time Manufacturing
3:00 Flipping the Switch to Expanded Capacity
4:47 Current Threats to the U.S.
8:34 Why There Is No Simple Solution
12:40 How to Solve the Problem
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If US treated México as equal, things would be different in terms of mexico prioritizing US relationship. But the US always treat Mexico as his dog, thats why its unacceptable that we prioritice US among all
Why should the USA try to be friends with the country who’s importing substances into the country and not to mention the thousands of illegals crossing the border every year
Indeed, it’s ridiculous how all Americans seem to misunderstand that our relationship is not a happy partnership where we are glad to be neighbors of the Americans and would help them in a war, naive if not stupid. We hate the relationship we have with them, and we only tolerate it because we are hopeless, if they actually believe a single Mexican would build tanks for them, they are soon to be hit with a hard reality
The cartels rule Mexico.
Above there is an American who talks about the importance of the United States of maintaining good relations with Mexico, since it is their "backyard" and they must take care of it.
Now, perhaps they actually have good intentions, but their arrogance does not allow them to see Mexico or any other Latin American country as an equal.
Give me a break! Trafficking that’s what Mexico does run by the damn cartels if they hate us so much why are they all doing everything they can to jump north of the Rio Grande. We couldn’t trust those people.
Speaking as a U.S. citizen, I wish we spent more time appreciating how lucky the U.S.A. is to be sharing our national borders with Mexico and Canada. There are issues, but not the kind of issues that have taken place between neighbors like Ukraine/Russia, Russia/Everybody in Eastern Europe, India/Pakistan, India/China, China/Tibet, Israel/rest of the Middle East, North Korea/SouthKorea, etc... North Americans should be nurturing the relationships that geography has blessed us with.
I wholeheartedly agree with you.
That’s bc Mexico is not a military country like those countries. If Mexico was like Ukraine and wanted the territory that the USA stole from them it would be like any other conflict
It's not a result of naturally blessed geography but of an explicit series of conquests in the 19th century, establishing the us as a power without peers in the western hemisphere with very easily defensible borders
It's crazy that this is true inspite of Mexico loosing half of it territory to the US. How most Mexicans now a day can acknowledge the bs and get on with their lives. Therese no major push to get the land back or even that much bad will against what actually happened.
Yet you see the Taiwan China issue and the north south Korea all want what was taken.
Mexican were in esnce like whatever man just let us cross over when we want . Yet even that was taken away and now we have all these super foreign people that don't even value work the same way Mexican and US people do. They just want asylum.
Rant over
👏🏼👏🏼👏🏼👏🏼👏🏼👏🏼🙏💪🏻
this is why mexico is heavely focused on being self sufficient
About Mexico and its contribution to the war effort during WW2: "Mexico supplied more strategic raw materials than any other Latin American nation, including zinc, mercury, copper, graphite, cadmium, and lead. It is estimated that 40% of all the raw materials that built the American war machine were provided by Mexico. In addition, Mexican oil was instrumental in running the war efforts".
Correct Sr
.......at a cost!?!
@@TomTomicMic Yeah and? Did you want 40% of all the raw materials supplied to the U.S. during this critical time to be free?
Primera y única vez
40% of all raw materials, seems high to me. being a Canadian and knowing how much we sent the states and knowing how interconnected or economy is with American industry in the 40's. Can you link a source?
Another factor explaining Mexico's rise: demographics. China along with the rest of the advanced world is aging out pretty rapidly, which explains why Mexican labor is now cheaper than Chinese labor and is located most conveniently.....right in our backyard. No wonder corporations are rushing build factories in Mexico, which explains why they are the largest trading partner of America right now.
And mostly tariff free trade between the US and Mexico.
Although not as extreme as China, Mexico has gone through the demographic transition also. It is at sub-replacement level fertility. Given the much smaller population of Mexico, its labor costs are likely to increase rapidly.
... always has been man, come here to California, Texas, New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada, etc etc down here. Mexicans coming here to do our landcare and promoting the Corpus Christi Church
@@richdobbs6595 US international trade has never really been about costs; it has always been about security. It’s a hard concept for most Degrass, but it’s still true. This is the way trade used to be before the US led world order. It seems the world is shifting that towards that concept.
@@chillxxx241 I'm not following your point, and especially how it is relevant to my comment. In my comment, I just said that cost differentials between China and Mexico are likely to disappear. Please connect the dots a bit more so I can understand what point you are making.
Mexican Engineers are now better than US Engineers, as an engineer born in the US and worked with both.... Man the US is Lost with this generation.
Perhaps the previous generation lost the current one.
Bull 💩!😂
@@przn832just jealous envious ahahahahahahahahahaha
Been hearing that too for the last four years at least
That's absolutely not true, Mexico sucks at engineering...y'all half ass everything
“This is Mexico”
Me a Mexican: no sh*t !
Mexico: "A poco no"
Anoma
Nombre*
Mexico will try to stay neutral as long as possible, while it will cooperate with the USA behind the scenes, like World War II Mexico won't actually become involved until its own territory or people are attacked. Those that say the USA can just take over northern Mexico and have direct control over the factories, is severely underestimating Mexican nationalism and while Mexico doesn't have the military to stop the USA, who do you think will work in the factories? with an uncooperative population the USA would control the factories but not the workers and thus no production. I think the best course would be to keep Mexico officially neutral but still working for the USA making components for the war effort under the table, kind of what Germany did during WWII with Sweden and Spain.
Sweeden and Spain never stopped working for England in WWII,
They morally supported Germany but that never stop them to sell raw materials to England
Yes Mexicans are very nationalistic there will be too many guerrillas warfare
💯🇲🇽
Yes sir got to stay together
No stay away from our states yawn are not full with the 9 yaw took yaw want more hell no treat us like crap and want us to help u hell no the mexican population is pro Russian
I guess 13 million industry workers today can produce a LOT more than 19 million some decades ago.
Just look at labor in the agriculture sector comparing today to 100 years ago.
With automation, they can.
I just hope the USA doesn't end up in a war with the industrial powerhouse of Mexico, which according to this video the USA would clearly lose. I mean you saw how many manufacturing jobs they have.
@@michaelthomas5433 The US and Mexico are actually on par with one another when it comes to manufacturing goods. When it comes to manufacturing expensive items like turbofan engines, Turbines, Rockets, Transmissions, Hydraulic control systems, tanks, IFVs, weaponry, ships and aircraft, they are not on par. in 30 years or so, the gap will shrink.
@@GentiluomoStraniero Then like I said. So lucky the USA is not at war with Mexico which would surely win as you pointed out.
The Zimmerman "Telegram" pun was phenomenal!
Haha. i didn't get it until I read this comment.
Putin Hashtag
Jesus effin Christ, just NOW getting it 😂🤦🏽♂️
"just in time" is all too likely to turn into "just too late" and moves on to become "too little too late"
As we saw during the pandemic & during the various disruptions to oceanic trade. 🥲
The acronym used by our beloved MBA’s for just in time is JIT. It sounds like a familiar curse word, doesn’t it ?
'Just-in-time' or lean manufacturing was implemented in an effort to stay competitive and avoid even worse loss of industrial capacity. As pointed out in the video; holding unused inventory or production capacity is very expensive.
JIT is misunderstood by this video. It has nothing to do with the finished product being ready just as it is required; it is a method by which production is managed.
If there's one thing I learned from COVID, it's that JIT screwed all of us.
The Mexican Goverment have been slowly arquitecting their geopolitics for decades, now the fruits are starting to bear.
Now they depend on us for their goods their labor food the mexican population is very pro Russian right now
People always forget: wars are won in FACTORIES, NOT in battles...
Big time. Putler can be forced to withdraw but only by economics. He would then be deposed.
@@govinda102000he would not be deposed in central and South America plus if Mexico’s independence is at stake they might call on non us intervention money doesn’t change minds do
50/50
Germany lost in World War II because it ran out of resources for its military industry.
He attacked the USSR and... He lost in both, in factories and in battles (At first he won, but everything changes)
ALL wars in history have been to benefit the powerful and wealthy, gotta tell the cannon fodder peasants its for their freedom. Dem0cr4cy has never been a real thing , just a facade
Been studying latin america for years and people ask why. I tell them "youll see. overnight everyone will become experts and nothing I learn will mean anything. Just remember that"
Im Brazilian and... Well, what a mess we are in here.
Mexico however is in a good position... And Argentina under Milei may become quite a juggernaut in the near future.
We need to see future developments. I believe LATAM will take a turn to the right very soon, and that will be a major turning point. With the success of Milei in Argentina, we may see a future of great growth in the region if others get inspired by it. I certainly hope Brazil does
@@user-je3sk8cj6glmao rightwing governments never care about their people😂 what are you a shareholder?
@@user-je3sk8cj6g you're a bot, aren't you. You're really arguing that Milei is improving Argentina? By all serious metrics he is collapsing the Argentinian production capacity to satisfy foreign interests. The mess is happening there, not in Brazil...
The mess was already there, and all indicators like risk, inflation and such are going down.
@user-je3sk8cj6g so what was your grandpa doing during the war?
8:20 "In the future, the threats might not be as microscopic." - *shows a picture of Putin*
That made me laugh out loud!
same lol
Una pizca de discreto y fino humor 🇲🇽
Turns out offshoring your industrial capacity was a bad idea.
Depends on whose interests you're evaluating. If your only goal was to maximize return to shareholders while gutting the ability of labor unions to use collective bargaining to keep wages consistent with living costs, opening up international capital and trade flows was better than a hundred gold mines.
Greed will kill us all
We didn't offshore our industrial capacity.
@@pax6833 Is that why the US & others are so dependent on China?
@@kayvee256 Totally agree with you. Reaganite / Thatcherite economics has been a disaster on so many levels
If Trump wins the election, his own statements about Mexico and migrants would turn against him.
Many people in Mexico would not feel comfortable knowing that the hypothetical weapons produced would have any relationship with the United States or Israel's army or worse, a third world war.
Currently the AMLO government depends a lot on its popularity, I would bet that Mexico would maintain its neutrality.
they already have 9 years ago. young mexicans now are far more reactionary and involved in identity politics then ever before one reason amlo beat that drum the loudest was for this very reason. the mexicans of the 60s 70s and 80s are gone. genz and millenials mexicans arent anything like their parents.
Russia may supply Mexico with nuclear weapons. If mexico accepts, that will make them our enemies.
Mexico would maintain neutrality no metter which US administration is on cause we don't trust Americans in general. Edit: also, we have many more immediate problems right here in our backyard. A wise government would focus on that. Kinda what happened in WW1.
Consider that the upcoming president is also from AMLO's party
You are half right, on the one hand, the majority of the Mexican population is indifferent to the wars that are being fought on the other side of the ocean, God, the majority of the population would not know how to locate Ukraine or Israel on the map, Now, if Mexicans don't care about wars in Ukraine or the Middle East, do you think they would care about making weapons as long as they get a salary?
On the other hand, the current political party that governs Mexico has the popular support of the majority of the population; it is enough for the current or new president to express themselves negatively about the production of weapons for war for the Mexican population to also reject them. .
Thank you sir, you have just solved the mystery which has plagued me since 1986. I was in the US Army transferring from one duty station to the next. A girl walked up to me at an airport and said: "Where are Yinz from?"
I've been wondering what the hell she was talking about ever since.
Where were you stationed at the time?
@alexandredesouza3692 transferring between Fort Benning, Georgia and Fort Wainwright, Alaska.
@@markfetherman6593yinz is pittsburgese I believe
@@markfetherman6593 Neat!
That’s Pittsburgh slang… we say yinz in my city
"This is Mexico" Whoa, whoa, slow down there intellectual man.
The man doesn't even slow down to let me write this stuff!
Nearshore is key
Make no mistake, this IS an Atlanticist channel.
The reason why they're critizicing the tweet of Mexico's new president is because it isn't advancing Atlanticist interests.
It is clear... no doubt
these people think they're gods. where they haven't been able to pacify the Houthis in Aden, they earnestly believe they'll be able to deal with a full scale war of conquest right at their doorstep.
Is an old man, he goes to sleep at 4 pm 😂.
I've learned more than I need to about geopolitics here. Won't stop though
Note that the vast majority of the Mexican manufacturing facilities in question are located hard up on the US border. There’s no question that those facilities will convert over to US war production if called upon. The only question is what the price will be.
A point to be raised is that Texas has been cultivating and integrating those industries for over 20 years. Northern mexico is spiritually closer to texas than it is to Mexico City.
There is non-zero chance that, if pushed, from chihuahua to monterrey would prefer to break away from the politiquing in Mexico city.
We are hurling towards a world in which those provinces would call on Texas to protect their mexican industry from... mexican nationalization.
@@takunveritas this scenario is very likely to happen. The US has a history of taking Mexican land, so this wouldn't be a surprise. The question that would rise is what this woud cause in an event of a major war against Russia or China. Mexico won't cede it's territory without a fight and this would undoubtedly put US' enemies' troops in Mexican soil.
Let's not forget how such invasion of Mexico would make the whole Latin America extremely fearful and they will find protection from US' agressions in China and Russia. So, in summary, things aren't so simple.
@@takunveritas If there is a major war, Mexico will not have an independent foreign or industrial policy. The Mexican central government doesn't have control over all of their own territory currently.
I love the exceptions that area has too, just to make logistics of shipping into the U.S. easier.
@@richdobbs6595rally round the flag effect. If the US actually invades to take territory, the cartels and Latin America will unite to fight lol. You definitely don't want/need a Vietnam part 2 on your southern border, and internationally expect even more pushback compared to the support of Israel
Reagan’s economic policies have been haunting this country for 40 years.
Reagan is a poor man's Calvin Coolidge.
The world more like
Nah, NAFTA was good. And if you’re referring to other policies, the decline in manufacturing started before Reagan with 70’s seeing big declines in what is now the rust belt
He's part of the right, so wouldn't that make him right?
I'll see myself out.
you misspelled Clinton
If our defense spending is almost a trillion a year and we are low on ammo? Who the ....... is stealing the money?
That's the real question... Remember how last year the Pentagon said in its expenditure declaration that well, it really had no idea where 1 trillion usd were spent. And the media (of all types, CNN, FOX, etc) keept on looking at their belly buttons and feeding the culture wars as if this declaration were mere bureaucracy and no news of importance at all?
We'll never know because the IRS tried to audit the military and it was so fvked they couldn't make a real assessment
Donald Rumsfel
The Oligarchy that owns the military industrial complex and everything else that hasn't been shipped offshore
read 'war is a racket' by major general smedley butler, written in 1935 and you'll see it's the same group of interests / politicians taking all that money
You can thank greedy wall street. I have worked at numerous successful startups. The board/large stake holders at these companies are always out to maximize profits and off shore as much as they can to get higher profit margins. Here in Silicon Valley we created whole new industries and thousands of new jobs and they were all shipped overseas to maximize profits. They save on lower labor costs and lax environmental laws.
That’s because IRA’s and 401k’s are dependent on the Stock Market to keep them from failing. It’s also a byproduct of TAX Laws the keep seniors over 65 as taxpayers. It’s what happens when retirement plans partner with the government instead of Business. The writing has been on the Wall since the decline of Unions that negotiated Retirement plans with Corporations. It’s also allowed CEO’s to win higher compensation compared to the Working men and women.
Globalism benefited the whole world at the expense of the Average American. Now we can buy cheap crap that we don't need at Walmart and Amazon, and can't afford to buy a home.
Yeah, and when we get in a War either China, it will all be cut off!!! We won’t even be able to produce all the Medicines that WE INVENTED!!!😡😡😡😡 much less have any Steel to build Weapons with!!! All our Steel is imported!!!
Greedy wall street, or US government overreach? Labor costs = minimum wage and environmental laws speak for themselves.
@@rcgunner7086 to sustain a country in the long term, which is of some interest for a reasonably functioning governemnt (but not for the typical wall street trader), a good living wage and some kind of environmental laws are prerequisites. China has neither (at least not in practice) and even if that policy changes successfully overnight, it will take a good part of a century to overcome the damage done to the country and its people over the last 70 years. What you may call overreach, is more like preventing that from happening to the US.
Hearing Will refer to us Yinzers was a pleasant surprise. I’ve lived in Pittsburgh my whole life, you did the city justice sir. Hit the nail on the head 🎯
yankees are weird
I am not sure how long he has been with the University of Pittsburgh but it is nice to see he is picking up on the local dialect. Maybe we will bump into him at a "Stillers" game wearing Black and Gold sometime.
@@jeffreywj7773 It's crazy because I've watched and enjoyed this channel for a long while. Knowing when I tailgate out of Heinz Field I may run into the TH-cam geopolitical advisor is worthy of a good laugh and/or a drink.
@@jeffreywj7773Having lived 90 miles south of Yinzerburgh for 25 years since starting college, it’s been truly remarkable to see the transformation of Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh was the first, and still the leader, in throwing off the shackles of the “rust belt” and becoming a modern, vibrant city. With all that said, Eat S@*t Pitt!!!
Seeing as he's a professor AT the University of Pittsburgh, it's no surprise!
I would so much rather that our brothers and sisters in Mexico get our support in terms of manufacturing VS countries across the world from us that hate us.
nice of you to think they don't hate US as well
@@pottertheavenger1363 most of us (mexicans) dont hate the US. There is a loud minority that hate the US but most of us have families and friends in your country, so we have a vested interest that the US is at least safe.
@pottertheavenger1363 spoiler: we don't, especially people like me that live in Northern Mexico. Most of our economic prosperity is thanks to the US, so we cannot hate them
@@danielnavarro9607 Same with us up here. You'll have some loud idiots that don't like anyone outside our borders but most of us see Mexico as brethren since we all share a landmass and have families in each other's countries.
Same here.
Meanwhile Canada is sitting in the north, with a cost of living crisis, saying, "we aren't fans of Russia too!"
Yeah, and Canada only puts 1.3% of their GDP into the Military!!! They are almost the very lowest contributor to NATO!!!! Canada needs to do their part!!!
Canada has gone from a subject of international envy to a subject of international ridicule in less than a decade…
They charge and whine too much
The U.S. should have never ended the Bracero program. It was really beneficial to both countries.
Is this the next Zimmerman Telegraph?
Border war talk comes true?
honestly the biggest difference here is that Mexico has seemingly chosen a side, their relations with the US have been continuously deteriorating for well over 30 years now.
@@dominuslogik484do you not know about operation condor?
@@robertduluth8994 you want to know what that is irrelevant here? Mexico was not a participant or a target of operation Condor. in fact Operation Condor only was active in nations south of Venezuela.
@@dominuslogik484
I'm not surprised, Trump is openly racist to them, and the Republicans have made such a massive deal about closing the border
The high school bully that grew old and fat no longer capable of pushing his weight around. This is my analogy of the United States as sad and lonely place.
The "Zimmerman Telegram" sequence might be the best joke in the history of this channel. Well done!
Quite apart from the brilliant build up to the "Telegram" pun, it's also funny to imagine Chancellor Scholz trying to rope Mexico into defeating the US.
Why Americans are never aware that the Zimmerman telegraph was an idea seeded by one of your Jewish double agents in Mexico??
Like if your government wasn't already trying to enter the party.
@@BobfromSydney mexico isn't stupid like ukraine
Mexico has always been considered by USA as "second class citizens nation" , dont forget the U.S politician who once said " we dont want a Japan on our south border"
That's why they are complete lunatics for even proposing that Mexico would accept such unfair deal like always, also in an event of direct conflict you can expect us teaming up with China or Russia.
I wonder what China's wartime production capacity would be if they had to get serious for a major conflict.
Does little good if it can't be moved in any volume. Warfare today is far from WWII.
😳 I’m sure they got some big ships to move weapons around with over there too
Pretty sure they would create Mechas and sht
In terms of geopolitical relations to the United States, Mexico is easily the most important country. Canada is a close 2nd. Everyone else is way far behind on geopolitical importance, even China.
As a Mexican we are friends with the majority of the world and try to stay out of things
The us stole 55 percent of our land are you serious ?
Mexicos Foreign policy is to get along with all countries, Except for Equador ( American puppet president ) and a Peru 🇵🇪 . 😂
The Guts profile pic is the chef’s kiss.
Lol, lmao even. Rolling on the floor laughing if you will.
The mental gymnastics that these channels are practicing, while they avoid all of the integral information about the core culture that our people have against all international warring makes me guess that they do not consider the idea that; if they come at our doors offering us blood money for what would essentially be creating their own self destructive tools of war, we would simply say no. Is very naive, but It would still be in character for them to think so. Some people still think we live in Santa Ana's times and that money is all there is in life.
Japan: Don’t touch their boats
Germany Do NOT encourage Mexico to invade the US
USA:. Dont invade Mexico
paranoid
@@luisrivg Being realist, I would say.
@@asdnfakjfsdlasdjfksalf you need to see less movies
Can we talk about how disgusting outsourcing is. Why is it glorified to hired foreigners for dirt cheap while racking in billions. I hate this system is gross
because the population began to age in america. we all knew since the 70s that when the boomers retire each and every generation will be smaller then the rest. so you can complain about it but if you build a system that is basically a ponzi scheme and you start running out of people at the bottom of the pyramid and cant find replacements the whole things starts to bend shake and buckle. i.e. the american economy. so go ahead and deport millions and millions like so many americans love to wet dream about. well see what happens to the american economy.
Indeed, it is just a bigger way of exploting people and avoiding at all costs any workers rights being fulfilled, as well as the gig economy. Anybody remembers the really important battles fought by the US workers? Yeah, the organized and cohesive fight against the US oligarchs (and the same in other countries) to get things like a minimum wage, the weekend, paid sick days, a pension fund, no child labor. Those were the US people battles that indeed changed the world and neoliberalism bypassed their victories by destabilizing other countries economies, invading them with mandatory product dumping signed through IMF "loans" and other strategies alike... leaving US workers broke, and workers in other countries almost enslaved. A beautiful postcard from Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Perú, Colombia, and so many many many other places, including Tijuana.
Stephen Stills wrote a song called “Love the one you’re with”. Sounds simple, right? It’s actually full of wonderful wisdom. My parents immigrated to the Midwest in the 1950s from Monterrey, Mexico. My three older siblings were born in Mexico, but my youngest sister and I were born in the U.S. At times we encountered discrimination but it was normally subtle, I assume in part because my family is light skinned. My dad prospered at work and sent us to Catholic Schools. Intermarriage happened in a blink of an eye and what we thought of as a traditional Northern Mexican family became a very ethnically mixed family. Who you think you are is important, but it should never be static. The only thing constant in life is change. Bad things happen to everyone, despite them, make the conscious choice to live a life of gratitude. CHOOSE to love those around you, and always thank everyone.
Love your videos. Thanks for keeping us all well informed.
Russia isn't 'up to' 10,000 shells a day, it's down from 20,000 last June, and 50,000 in the June of 2022. It isn't that Russia has grown stronger, in fact the opposite is true, it's that Ukraine had grown weaker over the seven months they were without support. This also subtly implies that the claimed production figures of 5.4 million shells a year are wrong, as if Russia is in full offensive expenditures should be at or above that figure, and by extension implies that Russia's military manufacturing infrastructure may be worse off than thought.
You're right, math doesn't add up. That 3.6-3.7 million shells a year as per what he stated in this video. I think in all likelihood Russia can only manufacture about 1.8-2.2 million shells a year. The difference is being made up for via aid from North Korea.
I think the problem with the 5.4 million shells number is that it includes all shells and calibres whereas the 10,000 shells a day number is only or mainly for 152mm artillery shells. This has polluted the whole NATO vs russia shell production debate. It would be best if we could compare actual NATO 155mm vs russian 152mm production numbers.
The Russians still have the upper hand when it comes to shell production.
@@user-aero68 Correct, except that the 10,000 shells per day includes anything above 81mm - including 120mm mortars and grad rockets. This means that Russia is either lying about the amount of shells they produce, or they're counting things that really shouldn't count like 60mm mortar shells.
@@DawudSandstorm2 Thanks for clarifying that 10k number
That's not what "Just in time" means. JIT means not needing to keep large inventories of products by optimizing the system to deliver only what is needed, where it's needed, when it's needed
that worked so well during covid... and we'll see how well it works with the bird flu lockdowns.
We need mexico. The US should treat Mexico like their brother state. Mexicans are the hardest working people I know. lol and we can’t forget about that food ❤️
As always, thanks for the great update, in your own in inimitable style. All the best to you! x
I'm looking forward to seeing Mexico succeed and become a manufacturing power of North America, I actually support this because this will also ensure Mexico's Economy can provide new jobs for the people living down there. And if it means American and Canadian companies investing in Mexico I actually am for it. Imports would be much cheaper than importing it from China.
I hope that too, the problem that Mexico has a current party thats full of corrupt, stupid and incompetent people. So we may see a shrink in economic growth.
The same thing you said back in 1994 with nafta 😂
@@koiue.g8709 NAFTA was a really great deal for Mexico, in the short term it hit hard, but it opened a shitload of growth out of it.
@@AtemerusRhayli Mexican here, yeah it was great ...for the big companies, the poor people became poorer and that's why emigration was at it's highest the next decade after the sign of the treaty
@@koiue.g8709 Yeah, but remember Mexican made used to be considered expensive, scarce and bad quality. The crash in economy was because Salinas went balls to the walls expecting to get Mexico to do a massive leap forward. And the poor being poor is just a massive business for the goverment, so is the best interest for them to keep it that way. You can see it with the current goverment, is the same shit before 2000s
I always enjoy these commentaries!!
Dr Spaniel,
This was a very interesting & informative video. Thanks for the "education!"
Another great informative video 😊
"In times of war, all your base are belong to US." - Defense Production Act 1950
Yeah so we dont have another possible ww1 situation
mexico no tiene bases militares extranjeras en su territorio
I'd like to hear more about China's connection to the Cartels (given the fentynal trade), and whether that could be leveraged in a US-China conflict to destabilize or start a civil war in Mexico. The Zapatistas in the south might also play into such a conflict.
Not at all.
@@Reiber1991 Oh wow all questions answered then.
@@neolithictransitrevolution427at least you found out the answer quickly.
There's no connection between China and the Cartels, there is a connection between the Cartels and the US military going back to the Indian American wars going all the through the Vietnam War and into modern times, basically the USA funds Cartels with money and weapons to destabilize the region and create consent security problems in the region so that we look at the USA for security. What the USA doesn't count is on Chinese technology being implemented in the region for security reasons, what's Washington so afraid of by Mexico having Chinese facial recognition cameras between the Mexico and El Salvador border?
China is the biggest colonial power in western South America. Since they do it economically, rather than with their military, people don't notice. It would be weird if they DIDN'T have some connection to at least the Venezuelan organizations. Probably Columbia too... bribes go a long way, as does technological assistance.
Thank you for this, Mr Spaniel. Interesting, amusing, and just scary enough!
A thousand coins won't buy you a sword once the attack has begun.
Ok nazi😊
Believe me when I tell you that Mexico is an honorable and committed neighbor, if we are treated with respect and openness to negotiate. We are a peaceful country and perhaps we cannot help you with the issue of weapons, The carrying of weapons is prohibited here and our army is only defensive, but without a doubt we can fully commit ourselves to supporting them with honest work to prosper among all as how good neighbors and friends.
Spanish is easier to learn than Manderin. So I welcome our Mexican Overlords
Si
Bienvenido amigo, te daremos tu paquete de tequila y quesadillas con tu sombrero oficial.
True, but that's not the point of the video at all. Did you even watch it?
@@Haankaas it's almost like it was a joke
@@HaankaasIt’s a joke bro. Although I would rather the Mexicans. At least we can have fun Russia looks boring af
it takes me probably 5 times the length of your videos to take in all the information that you put in them lol. you are the most informative geopolitical content creator I know of on TH-cam
Very interesting! Learned alot from this one, I was pretty ignorant about this compared to most of your other videos
It's leverage and nothing else (because Russia has nothing to offer Mexico). . . and not much leverage at that. When push comes to shove, Mexico knows where its bread is buttered.
National Mexican here, I can surely tell you it's not from the U.S, previous Presidents before AMLO served as bootlickers to the U.S gov. That's not the case anymore our resources will no longer be sold at pennies on the dollar and other nations are offering better business now.
Not just the U.S. other countries U.S. needs Mexico as Mexico needs the U.s.😂
Wrong how about weapons. Military support just like there doing to Africa
That changed when AMLO became president, hes goal is to make Mexico self-sufficient and hes done that like recovering the oil and energy industry that the US tried to destroy.
Russia has tons to offer from diplomatic protection from the US government if they ch|mp out one day alongside the latest reliable small arms, cheap drones that destroy Israeli Ukrainian German British and American tanks, satellite systems SAMs and military supplies at a better value than America at fraction of the cost
Choosing labor as the measure of industrial capability seems about as relevant as coal production... kind of missed the mark. I would have used gross tonnage of produced goods, or something similar. Automation has heavily impacted the industrial work place for the last 40 years. I would link sources for that, but TH-cam doesn't like links in chat anymore.
it will be reversed. just like nuclear power all it takes is a couple of bad incidents to do away with the idea. you automate everything all it takes is one good cyberattack (russia and china excel at this) to cripple a nations crutial idk medical supply company? bad idea. you also dont have the man power to compete with china they can literally out work and out build you. so either find new friends or go at it alone and hope for the best? idk doubt the identity politics in mexico will allow for america and mexico to suddenly become best friends.
Thumbs up and already subscribed. Great Video Essay, and thanks for the Maps.... yeah, almost the entire Western Border of Ukraine is alongside Poland. That explains so much of what I've heard about Poland arming up and sending so much Military Aid to Ukraine.
Good analysis of the ongoing geopolitics of building things that go boom! Keep it up!
You seem very quiet on Israel/Lebanon?
We got the video we asked for👍
After watching the video .. me and three people fell for it Lmao
Appreciate the in-depth overview of the economy & the impact of weapons production...
William, thanks for this insight into Mexico.
Given distance to Taiwan to mainland, don’t expect US Navy to approach very close to this area given the Chinese missile and drone capacity. Expect to sea blockade at distance, naval mines at choke points. Perhaps Marines in parts of Philippines.
PS - Brazil would be the other manufacturing hub to look at.
PS2. - Given the incredible waste of lives and material in the Russian-Ukraine war, hope others take a lesson and avoid more war.
Brazil Is much More aligned with China than México Will ever be. They actually are on BRICS
Looking at a map, there is zero potential for large-scale ground combat between the US and China. We ain’t gonna invade China. China has zero capability to deploy and support tens of thousands of troops overseas, given the naval choke points. So much hand-wringing for nothing.
Besides, it would be economic suicide for China to go to war. Imports and exports would crater.
Edit: South Korea, maybe? But why spill American blood for a small peninsula? Just for the principle? That whole “domino theory” in the ‘50s was complete BS. Korea is a dead end, and strategically unimportant, economically useful but hardly critical.
The estimates that I have read are that it would take 500K to 2 million PLA troops to pacify Taiwan, and while China could attack Taiwan with missiles at any time, controlling the island would require an invasion, which would require moving huge numbers of troops to ports with large numbers of ships to transport those troops, and all of this would be visible to all from satellite. No surprise invasion, which would allow the US to park carriers far enough east of Taiwan to be hard to reach, but close enough to support Taiwan's effort to repel an invasion. Your comment on a blockade is spot on, since all shipping to and from China must go through choke points between islands. With all shipping stopped from entering or leaving the Chinese mainland, and all trade with the US, Europe and other allies stopped, this would certainly put pressure on the CCP to come to some sort of settlement. The CCP wants to survive and continue to rule China. Could they do this if half a million PLA troops drowned when their ships were sunk, most the only child of many families due to the now ended "one child" policy, in a society where the son and his wife are expected to take care of the parents in their old age?
Missiles and drones aren't a "capacity", they're a capability, which for the Chinese military is dubious at best.
The same 1 that is on the BRICS?
Because of their geographic location, Mexico and Canada are key components of the American engine. Without them, the US wouldn't be able to hold on its own against the world in modern times.
But the mexican population is done with the USA mexico is very pro Russian right now
Informative, thank you!
Excellent video, thank you.
Yup! Despite having a considerably porous border with the US and a major conflict, we received little to no attention.
1) Echoing the comments, counting number of people employed rather than output doesn't seem to be a good comparison unless the degree of automation is the same in both places.
2) Mexico wouldn't necessarily have to switch over to arms manufacturing. They could pick up the slack for US switching more of it's capacity over.
Like number two so much. Brilliant.
Good, informative and a bit thought-provoking video, very interesting.
Great video, thanks
Why did you look at U.S. manufacturing employment instead of the value of U.S. manufacturing output?
Just-in-time production is not about capacity. It's about inventory. If you have the ability to produce two million rounds of 155 a month, but each factory keeps only one day's worth of parts and raw materials on hand, that's just-in-time production even if you're currently only producing two thousand rounds a month. If you only have the ability to produce two thousand rounds a month, but the factory for each step in the process has three years' worth of parts and raw materials stockpiled on site, that's not just-in-time.
--
The US manufactures more stuff than ever. But it doesn't take anywhere near as much labor as it did fifty or a hundred years ago. Just because there are fewer manufacturing jobs, that doesn't mean there's less manufacturing.
I think this point was more aimed at the weapon stockpiles.
if you have an inventory of 10,000,000 shells then if you suddenly need lots of shells, you have them ready, and time to build production capacity.
if you just have production capacity for 500,000pa shells and no existing inventory, youll be in trouble if you suddenly need 2,000,000pa.
Just-in-time concepts are applied as much to industrial capacity as raw material or parts inventory. Unused capacity is inventory - of plant and industrial equipment, and it is probably more expensive that parts sitting a warehouse or raw materials in a pile somewhere.
This video completely disregards what was done to military industry in the 90s after the Cold War. If most of the infrastructure was still in place and got maintained then we would have had zero issues supplying Ukraine. We could have probably outpaced the Russian by now.
@@richdobbs6595 That would certainly make sense. I learned the terms the other way 'round: inventory is a type of capital, and not vice versa. But it's been a couple decades since then, so it wouldn't be surprising if the usage has changed.
@@danwylie-sears1134 The terminology isn't really important. You can look at it either way. But the general concept applies both to capital and work in process. It is just costs more to hold capital in surplus, but also higher risk since you don't have control over orders.
excellent analysis and horizon!
amazing video
Mexico's salary is also going up.
Yes it is my brother I make 6000 pesos a week no need to go n be treated like crap in a country were is a police state they think they actually free jajajaj they fed them that lie and bought it mexico is were freedom is at true freedom
@@MandoGaytan-hr5od unfortunately most first world countries are soft police states. Hopefully Mexico will improve without the hurdles of a paranoid government.
Babe wake up, the guy with the lines and the books just dropped a new video 🎉
Meanwhile dude is single :p
@@provokedfob Plot Twist: Your mom rolls out from under his covers and asks why you aren't out looking for a job so you can move out of the basement.
@@provokedfob married and have 2 children 😂
@@awjaaa that would be necrophelia my guy
@@Stevieoggy1992 hahaha that's totally fine :D it was just a joke 🤣
"The Force (of law, that is)" with a picture of Mark Hamill on screen got me.
I saw the poll and responded, but then shortly through the video I was like “wait, this is also that other topic he polled”. Touché
Everybody should think about this right after the depression we spent the equivalent of 1.5 trillion dollars and then after the war we built the interstate highway system and went to the moon. I don't want to hear anybody say anything about running out of money. This whole deficit thing is just an excuse not to invest in the economy and not to invest in the country and its people
New vid yay
This great info - thanks for that; also appreciate the wry humour. 😉
Sure would be nice if we could all just get along. WTF. We are all in this together. Former U.S. Marine here. So tired of hate and war. Be nice if we could all get together someday and celibrate peace.
I have never heard anyone pronounce Carnegie like that
Can you believe Taco Bell tried to open in Mexico? THAT'S American arrogance...
How is it arrogance? Taco Bell isn't Mexican food.
@@boardcertifiableyeah it’s a Bad copy.
@@pixellordm8780It’s not a copy tho. It’s Mexican-American food not Mexican food.
They carefully told the Mexicans that the aren't selling Mexican food.
Mexicans in Mexico say Taco Bell doesnt have Mexican food
Great analysis
always nice to see my hometown. from the good pics, to that one flaming dumpster floating dahn the flooded street.
3:25 - this is proper ganda 👍👍
I love how they trolled the Kaiser: "U ain't no Doberman, ya Weiner." 😂
I guess we need a new one with a Shar-Pei.
And apparently, a Chihuahua? 🤷🏼♂️ Lol
U.S. manufacturing is near record highs. I think there are far fewer people employed in manufacturing because of automation and other efficiencies.
If automation and efficiencies in US factories were real we would not have to set up so many factories abroad. Go to Home Depot or other stores and look at the packaging and see where products are made.
Or you could look at the statistics on manufacturing and see that output has doubled in the past 30 years while the number of people working in this sector has gone down. Maybe there's a different explanation for that.
@@ericstevens8131 Automation comes at a cost . For a number of decades a large quantity of consumer goods were and still are manufactured abroad to save on labor costs, environmental compliance, taxes, and access to foreign markets.
It's certainly true that a lot of our manufacturing has gone overseas. I made my original comment to point out that this video seems to use the number of people employed in manufacturing as a signifier of its decline, when the fact is that manufacturing has doubled in the U.S. over recent decades.
If we were to get into a situation where we had to suddenly ramp up manufacturing to support a conflict, I'm confident we could do it. I'm also confident that many Mexican manufacturers would be more than happy to make money from our defense needs.
@@ericstevens8131 U.S. agriculture is insanely productive, even though a very small percentage of U.S. residents are farmers. On the other hand, in nations with widespread famines, most of the population pokes away at the dirt with sticks, trying to raise enough food to feed themselves.
This was fantastic!
Semiconductor manufacturing is likely the most critical capability for the security of the United States. The Biden administration with the enthusiastic support of US companies, particularly Intel has been making massive investments in facilities and development of advanced technology. I am surprised this did not come up in your analysis.
The best part of the congratulations from Russia is that they called Mexicos President a MAN. And She just took it… like a man! 🤣
You’re mistaken, the English text of the tweet was translated from Spanish. Spanish has a word “su” which can either mean “his” or “her” and the auto translate feature decided to incorrectly translate “su” as “his”
@@redberet3669 I’m not mistaken. I read what was written… thanks tho
@@Ji66almao you are though
@@Ji66a you are just wrong. It's a translation error.
"Cancillería de Rusia 🇷🇺
@mae_rusia
·
Jun 3
🇷🇺🇲🇽 Vladímir Putin felicitó a @Claudiashein por su triunfo en las elecciones presidenciales de México.
💬 Confiamos en que su actividad en el cargo
..."
This is the original tweet in Spanish.
As others have pointed out, "su" is a gender neutral term to refer to someone. It is using the way of speaking to someone formally "your" or about someone "their" or "his" or "her".
Thanks!
Good and dense content. 👍
Yay you chose to do this one
Actually, that Ford bomber plant (Willow Run,) was purpose-built to manufacture B-24 Liberators. It was sold to Kaiser at the end of the war, and never produced a single Ford automobile.
The plant perhaps, but the people may have come from car manufactoring.
“Build that wall! And Mexico should pay for it!”
(With such rhetoric, Mexico will likely seek different political and economic partners. Trump and his acolytes will be the demise of the U.S.)
The force! Good one
Thank You William.