The Coming Turkish Population Crisis
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 29 มิ.ย. 2024
- In this video, I analyse the recent development of Turkish demographics on the national, regional and ethnic level.
- timestamps -
00:00 - Introduction
02:41 - The Two Faces of Turkey
08:42 - The White Turks and The Black Turks
13:46 - Demographic Implosion in Ottoman Style
My Patreon: / kaiserbauch
My Buymeacoffee page: www.buymeacoffee.com/kaiserbaucw
Photos used in the video and for the thumbnail:
docs.google.com/document/d/1_...
Some of The Sources For This Video:
www.tuik.gov.tr/
www.iz.sk/en/projects/eu-regi...
www.amazon.com/Lineages-Moder...
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/7864588/
iupress.istanbul.edu.tr/en/jo...
www.academia.edu/7313264/Regi...
besacenter.org/turkey-kurds-k...
I immediately noticed lot of hate on the AI images. I get a lot of requests to make the videos more audio-visually compelling and I thought this might be an interesting thing to try. If you hate it, I do not have to do it. But sometimes I am looking for a picture of something that I just can not find on the free stock image platforms. I will make a poll on the issue.
I also said that Istanbul is the capital, while it is obviously Ankara, which is pretty stupid mistake to make. Sorry for that! I am going to edit it out.
Next episode central asia.
Why do you hate Türkiye so much???🇹🇷🇹🇷🇹🇷🇹🇷
@@mozaic529 Why do you think that?
@@kaiserbauch9092 Türkiye is strongest European power and Kurds want to be apart of Türkiye but you lie and say they want to be seperate
@@kaiserbauch9092 I love your videos very informative and great content keep it up(just no Türkiye slander)
Bulgaria's fertility rate in 2023: 1.81
Turkey's fertility rate in 2023: 1.51
...
I never thought that we would live in a timeline where a country like Bulgaria with a depressing Demographic history would surpass a country like Turkey with historically high birth rates.
Yeah and if you count only ethnic Turks then their fertility will be close to that of Germans or Japanese. It's so surprising their fertility has declined that much
In Bulgaria the Roma bring up the average. Ethnic Bulgarians have more like 1.3 fertility
They always said that Religions and Social conservatism could help increase fertility rate. But Turkey, UAE, Qatar, Iran and Bahrain shows otherwise.
Turkey is actually very socially liberal@@nntflow7058
Low fertility rates have strong relation with socialist policies. Huge taxation, no private property, supression of free speech and many other things from socialism are taking its toll
As a Turkish person, while watching the Euros in Germany, I realized that there were more Turks in Germany than in Turkey
This is because of the social benefits provided for free to Turks (and others) in West Europe, i.e. housing, money, health services. Otherwise they vast majority wouldn't be there.
@@christopherneufelt8971 The majority of Turks in Germany belong to the working class, so they pay taxes and do work that Germans don't want to do. It is natural that they benefit accordingly from the social system for which they pay for. I don't know what your problem is.
@@SanaNeLan1945 Let me tell you what his problem is.
Someone told him a lie that turks or Muslims in general live for free in western countries with everything paid by the Government.
@@SanaNeLan1945 The problem is they are the enemy of Europa
@@SanaNeLan1945There’s no such thing as “work germans don’t want to do” only work that germans are not paid enough to do. Too many people in the working age groups all over europe because of mass migration. They undercut the value of native labour.
Your analysis is good but incomplete due to not taking into account the millions of illegal immigrants in Turkey who have much higher fertility rate than Turks and Kurds which will certainly have a huge effect on the demographics.
This makes it worse...
Onları göndercektik ya noldu o işe
@@prohacker5086 Erdoğan istemiyor
They wont solve anything, any 2. to 3. generation immigrants fertility rate drops to sub-replacement level. The child of a ghana immigrant family will just very like have 0-1 children only.
@@prohacker5086
Demographic crisis made the government cancel their deportation as the economy needs young workers
how to save turkey: give them the german turks back
they were invited over after the war
@@BOZ_11 And Turkey can invite them back to Turkey.
And turkey will reset back to Islam 😂
@@FS-me8mj 99% of Turkish citizens are Sunni Muslims. Genius
@@BOZ_11 as guest workers
also noticed that, the turkish diaspora in vienna is far more conservative than the average west to central turk
Funny how that works huh
Because they are not welcomed by Austrians. So they remain religious.
Atleast Half of The "Turks" are actually Kurds
Hasanaljadid
How can you tell?
@@Hasanaljadidnot even close to half but whatever makes you happy ig
Knew you would get around to this. Yes, its very bad, and Turkey is "solving it" in the same way as Western European countries - endless immigration from unknown quantities. Now its bayram, and every Turk in Istanbul is in the countryside to visit their family, I can see just how many foreigners there are. Arabs, Persians, Russians, Ukrainians, Chinese, Germans. 10 years ago in bayram the city would've been empty because the Turks would be away and the Turks would be the only people living here. Now the city is active, but none of the people are familiar. Every day I hear foreign speech outside my window, even Armenian.
Armenian speach was there much before the turkish one from Altay/Mongolia area has arrived.
@@ilyapolishuk5126its still foreign
@@Dicka899 For Armenians living there so is Turkish
Turks are already Brazilian tier in their genetics so why are you complaining if more are added to the mix?
@@KhoroshavinKosmos yeah sure but it’s not their home
*Turks somehow feel more turkish in Germany than in turkiye*
That’s how it goes. Boers are more Dutch than the Netherlands. Germans in Romania or Kazakhstan more German than Germany.
@@TickleMeChelmno The USA be like:
It's just diaspora nationalism, people want to feel part of a culture they already identify with and recognize when they don't easily fit into the one they see everyday.
cameroonemperor755
I don’t get it. Is this some sort of meme?
@@TickleMeChelmno Americans and their heritage
I'm convinced that cities are population tombs, black holes, dead ends.
Yes, they are.
Cause of small 1-3 bedroom apartments. People living in apartments usually have 0, 1, or rarely 2 kids max (except they just straight off the boat third world immigrants).
In suburbs it's usually 1-3. Rural areas - 2-3, rarely 4, very rarely more.
There aren't many big houses in cities, I would suspect that rich families who live in mansions have higher than average fertility.
@@danbaltic9678 Not to mention that many rich people live in suburbs anyway.
The secret is to nationalize the cities for the needs of the state and to subsidize rural living for the needs of the people.
@@danbaltic9678 have to say that the trend, the message spread in the west is that having kids is not sane acting due to tight economic reality. Or because females want to party and have a successful lucrative job, and then have kids..Some even claim that the act of bearing a child is the outmost selfish act. So yeah, we are basically leaving the breeding to those coming from the east
And the comments about Turkey being Arab + Kurdish will finally be right
No because Turkey also imports large amounts of deeply Islamic Turkic folk from CA.
@@kubilaybalci5724 They are trying to rice themselves again? Lol
@@kubilaybalci5724that's largely been unsuccessful tho since Central Asians rather go to Europe or Russia
@@kubilaybalci5724the central asians coming to turkey are usually liberal and dont have high birthrates either
Turkey is already 60% kurdish, albanian and syrian. Erdogan is Georgian.
Do one about Brazil too. We have such terrible demographics that our census in 2022 showed, instead of the 215 million expected, 203 million. This meant our birth rate is far too low to sustain that model. And our economy is also big enough to be influential in the world stage. So please, about us in some video. If you need any help with, I can gladly take.
Otherwise, wonderful video. Like.
Brazillian economy 'used to be' influential when it was 6th largest in world around 15 years back.....now it's 10h largest and constantly being taken over by others.
Main reason:- excess crime
@@NoOne-kx7zs Brazil is actually the seventh largest economy in the world.
Not denying that we're in the deep shit economically though. But it is still in top 10.
Why did you import "them"? It was one of the biggest mistakes in human history. You will not build a country unless you remove them all.
Brazil can actually keep its fertility rate high if the more Southeasterners settle in the Center-West region
@@NoOne-kx7zs where did you pull up those stats from lmao?
I'm sorry but the A.I images are a big turn off as a 1st time viewers of the channel.
Yeah not a fan of the AI. This is the first time he has used them in videos though
You forget to mention the increasing number of immigrants from Africa and Asia which have higher birthrates than the Turks and the Kurds and how it is effecting the country economically and socially.
There are not many immigrants except from asia except Afghans who have a higher fertility rate then Kurds. Although, 90% of the African ones do
What Asians
@@thesubarctic4860 afghans
African😂😂 oh maybe the Northern Africa ohh I get you now
@@iyiolaabosede9500u refuse to consider north africans as humans
These poor AI images are distracting and annoying. Isnt there some stock images that would visualize things better.
I like them. (I have watched almost every video on the channel)
The video production went so far. From needing to pause every 10 seconds to read a huge wall of text to comfortably watch a video while eating.
@@Arnouxvaze But these images are wrong, and can be misleading. For example, the Kurdistan flag is not red, yellow and green with star in the middle, like Ghana's.
This is so soyjack
I thought exactly the same. The "traditional Muslim family" picture was a cringe.
Nothing against AI images. Just cheap, low effort, generic ones that are all over the place and look all the same.
You can easily make AI generated pictures that people wouldn’t even know are generated.
I had a girlfriend from Istanbul (ethnic Turkish, you could say "White Turkish") when I was younger and lived there for a while.
One guy even apologised to me for the kind of immigrants that came to Europe, saying that they were not exactly the elite..
One older gentleman tried to convince me to convert to Islam at the bus stop.
A younger guy at my favourite fast food stand tried to find out my exact address. I was afraid that he or his people were going to rob me, but my local friends told me that he had probably something very different in mind..
Fascinating place, so many different cultures in one city..
Why would you go to turkey though?
sounds sketchy for sure
imagine being into Turkish 304s.
@@jurassicthunder Pleas what are "Turkish 304s"?
@@politicsandart7994 For the same reasons millions of others do.
It is a pretty fantastic place.
I'm from Philadelphia but my family and I spend about 4 months out of every year in Turkiye. Been going there since the early 2000s.
Turkey is not comparable to Arab or south Asian countries just because it is Muslim. It’s history is unique.
Can comparable with UAE or Qatar
@@Hasanaljadid I disagree. Turkish culture is nothing like arabic culture. Maybe you could compare historically with Iran, but 20th century Turkish history is unique (secular, liberal, nationalist) among Muslim nations.
@@Hasanaljadid I guess "nothing like arabic culture" is an exaggeration. There are similarities and shared heritage, but lumping the two together because of religion and the history of the Ottoman Empire is like saying England and Romania have the same culture because of Christianity and Roman history.
@@mp77744UAE,Bahrain is also liberal,secular, has low birth rates
@@Hasanaljadid Not really.
Different culture, different history, different genetic make up and different geography. There are some cultural similarities though due to the influence of a shared religion.
Could you do a video about south america demography (Brazil, Argentina, Chile and etc)?
Absolutely.
Yeah, he also should talk about their middle income trap
PLENTY OF DATA ON YOU TUBE FOR THESE CONTRIES, JUST LOOK FOR IT
As a Peruvian, I'd like to see a video like that about South American countries, I've realized that here fertility rate has dropped to 1.9 kids per woman in 2024
Another massive ticking time bomb is Latin America. Chile TFR is headed below 1, and Colombia is down to 1.3, and all of this happened only recently.
Check again. Colombia is even lower
Bolivia 2.7
Peru 2.3
It's still not bad in south America
@@TickleMeChelmnoFor Colombia it's about 1.6 and for Chile it's 1.4
Not below 1.
manjushagongale
Nope. It’s 1.2 as of 2023 and declined even more this year in Colombia. It’s 1.2 also in 2023 in Chile and declined even more also this year. Look it up on Wikipedia.
@@TickleMeChelmno Other sites give different data.
My estimate is it can be like 1.45 to 1.5
As a white Turk, it is necessary to write something here.
In the last 5 years, young people are more worried about their future than ever before. Almost every one of them talks about leaving the country and building a life in a different country.
Economic challenges have been the only agenda of the country for years. This hardship is such that marriages are breaking up and new unions are not turning into marriages.
25% of young people spend time in the family home doing nothing.
Raising children is extremely costly. Even raising 1 child as a White Turk is incredibly expensive. Especially education has an incredibly high cost. As a result, for the first time, there is regression in every field.
Mercantilism is an universal problem...
White turk 😂
>turk
>white
😂😂😂😂😂
@@MuhammedAL-Chad-nz4jxWhite turk means liberal turk
Önce Erdoğan is finished in 2028 the country will go back to normal again
Mountain Czechs😂
Northen Hungary
President of Czechoslovakia Edvard Beneš of Czech nationality - who was behind expulsion of Germans after WW2 - had this to say about Slovaks:
"You will never get me to recognise the Slovak nation. It is my scientific conviction, which I will not change...I hold unwaveringly the opinion that the Slovaks are Czechs and that the Slovak language is only one of the dialects of the Czech language, as is the case with Hanáčtina or other dialects of the Czech language. I do not prevent anyone from calling himself a Slovak, but I will not allow it to be said that there is a Slovak nation...'"
So it may sound stupid now, but not back then.
What we have for dinner? Mountain turkey 🦃 😂😂😂
@@j.vdubois5074 did the czechs hold more power in the czechoslovakian nation?
@@habbomanish yes almost all till 1968.
I seriously appreciate your content. I would like to add, since you are talking about Turkey, that culturally turkic countries like Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan are actually facing a population explosion. And not because of immigration. Its about their fertility rates. It would be great if you make content for Central Asia some day. Since these countries basically wipe out all of the conventional theories about literacy rates, religiosity, the position of women in the society, and above all, being formal soviet republics. Lets take into consideration that Kazakhstan have had one of the lowest fertility rates on the planet in the beginning of the century, including a massive population exodus of the country, and the actual numbers makes the kazakh case probably the most resilient country on the entire planet on this matter. The fertility rate is above 3 children per woman, in Uzbekistan, in the last year recorded, it is 3,5 children per woman. And in southern Kazakhstan it is above 4 children per woman. The average Kazakh fertility is higher than Haiti (The country with the highest rate in the entire american continent), the one of Uzbekistan is higher than the one of Ghana, and the southern Kazakhstan one is comparable to the one of South Sudan. Their turning tide of demographics is insane, and it wipes out all of the conventional theories. Even the minorities inside kazakhstan such as the Ukrainian minority, on the latest reported data, reported 1,88 children per ukrainian woman, that would be a number that mainland Ukraine wont have even in their dreams at this moment. Its like these countries were the only ones who beated their drug addiction and became sober ever since. Way better than the case of Israel, since that country had never got into drugs (demographic implosion) in the first place. If I am suffering a drug addiction (sub replacement level fertility), I will certainly listen the man that used to be on drugs and overcame it, rather than the one that had never experienced any drug use in the first place. From a Subscriber, I believe, These countries deserve a Video. Thank You for all your content by the way.
i doubt he will do a video about it because nobody(absolutely nobody) understands whats going on in central asia. as former soviet union countries they have very high education level rates(especially women education), not bad economies and good enough infrastructure.
all of this basically screams that demography analysis is completely wrong on the popular/mainstream theories. they will never admit it.
In Kazakhstan it is all about two things:
* strong family traditions which are long gone in the West (e.g. grandparents often take up the role of the full time babysitters - that's considered absolutely normal, and help their children financially, and otherwise)
* renaissance of the national identity and spirit after dropping the 300-year long russian colonial yoke.
@@dehaman_4_144 I am closely familiar with Central Asia as I have lived there for some time. It is all about culture/family traditions there.
Actually the Faroes is the closest analogy you can find in Europe.
This is called exception to the rule. You can add Mongolia. It is unprecedented indeed, but it’s also very volatile as all of it fluctuates dramatically in a given year. I believe it is ethnic nationalism. There has been a lot of emigration of its European minority (formerly majorities) and assimilation of other non-central Asians (Koreans, Tatars, Crimeans, Turks etc) and a lot of return migration from Russia, China and each other to become more homogenous. It is worth a study.
@@TickleMeChelmno Kazakhs are actually doing what many of these rightwingers dream of: they integrate those aliens who are willing to integrate, and they get rid of those who aren't.
Ethnic Germans in Kazakhstan were actually relatively well integrated with the Kazakhs.
Many spoke Kazakh well. They mostly emigrated to Germany in the 90s due to economic reasons primarily.
Ethnic Russians OTOH did not care to learn Kazakh, and the Kazakhs view them as colonizers/occupiers. Naturally many of the ethnic russians have returned to where they came from.
Very similar to the Baltics.
The amount of population growth Turkey has seen while the balkans and Greece have largely stagnated always sends shivers down my spine.
Why??
new ottoman empire time @@Banditxam4
it is good to fear when you are prey
@@skeletalforce9673 The Ottoman Empire no longer exists, now there is the Republic of Türkiye.
@@skeletalforce9673
There cannot be ᶜUṯmaaniyyat or Ottoman empire or any Islaam related power!
There can be in the Muslim world highly dictatorial power that lead to internal conflicts and perhaps nation to nation (Muslim nation with Muslim nation or Muslim nation with non-Muslim nation) conflicts just the same as the problems that exist in the non-Muslim third world countries in general, no different whatsoever!
It's highly unlikely to bring forth the concept of empire in the Muslim world (but humanity whether Muslim or non-Muslim is the same, as delusional as one another)!
The only ones that have higher chances of empire are those that are at the top hierarchically in power, and they're all non-Muslims!
So, the chances of Ottoman empire are extremely slim, unless those non-Muslim powers at the top want to exploitatively play games in the Muslim world and they do, but still it can only result further deterioration of the Muslim world rather than bring out of the chaos they're in!
So, in reality the only ones one has to worry are those non-Muslims in power, danger to all, whether Muslims or non-Muslims!
Turkey demographics are fine. They just move to Europe😂
Least sympathetic country to have a low population growth.
That trend is going to slow down considering Europe is slowly collapsing. Not too long from now forget people wanting to go there, you're going to have Europeans trying to get out.
Essentially the only people you have going over there now are people who have zero clue about the world with no idea where Europe is headed and how hard their children's lives are going to be in Europe in 40 years.
@@williamdavis9562 what do you mean? Do you think my historical enemies: African Americans are going to conquer Europe?
williamdavis9562
Hi ‘William’ (ataturk), how’s the weather in Antalya?
Honestly, Ethnic Turks arent migrating in large Numbers to Europe. The migration from Turkey is mostly composed und of Kurds, like in Germany where 85% of turkish asylum seekers are Kurds
Remember that secular city dwellers are also created from assimilated rural migrants to the cities.
And, as the declining birth rate shows and demonstrates its spread towards the Kurdish-majority regions, it also includes the minority groups and their children (of what little is being born, considering that only around 958,000 births were recorded in the ENTIRE COUNTRY of Turkey in 2023, for reference, 1.3 million births were recorded in 2001, 22 YEARS ago). And it has been demonstrated that the ONLY big supporters of what Erdogan is planning are people who are around the same age as Reccip, most of the younger Kurds despise Erdogan and his desire to make Turkey less secular.
@FredrikNaevisdal.
Insightful comment my friend. Well played.
@@DR3ADER1 Do you have actual data to back that up? Teenagers always go through a rebel phase then turn traditional later.
@williamdavis9562 In early 1900s, the French left was worried that the high birth rates among the rural Catholics and large scale migration from Catholic Poland, Spain, and Italy would make France, a right wing theocratic state. But once they moved into the cities, the children and grandchildren of devout Catholcis became secular leftists. Same thing might happen in Turkish cities as well. The secular left breeds by "converting" the children of the religious.
@@greatwolf5372 By the time this transformation happens we’ll be in a post liberal world order. Aka such a thing won’t really exist let alone convert people over to.
Finally a video not about europeans going extinct!
I was so sick of it myself. It’s funny how Europeans have had a much longer demographic transition than any other region.
Part of Turkey is geographically part of Europe and a lot of Turks identify as European so...
You forgot about His video about Eastern Europe
Most of Western Turkey is demographically European. They were just Turkified and now they think they're descendants of Mongol Turks rather than Greeks and Native Anatolians. It is a loss for Europeans again
Turkiey is sort of semi-european so the narrative has not changed all that much.
there is another country like this:
America
look at the birthrates of the Amish in comparison with, like, people from seattle.
You could also include Mennonites. The difference is these people often emigrate and colonize Latin America.
@@TickleMeChelmno based mennonites.
@Dokkariled.
Now if the Amish consisted of about 20 percent of the total population. Then yes, it would be an apples to apples comparison.
The Amish are simply too small in number to be taken into account with such things.
@@williamdavis9562 By 2100 they'll be about 20-40 million.
The Amish population is doubling every 20-25 years. By 2050 they estimated to go over the 1 million mark and by 2200 they will be at near 200 million. Now whether that rate of growth continues is another matter.
The issue is mainly secular vs religious (look at the names by births) or diaspora communities. But plenty of Turks will intentionally deny this or blame muh economics (how many bougie Turks have 3 kids or more?) cuz God forbids saying one thing good about Anatolian conservatives or about Islam. Some seculars see the trajectory and switch sides but keep it to themselves to not be ostracized.
What are examples of Kurdish vs Turkish names? Is özil a Kurd?
@@TickleMeChelmno i mean religious vs Turkic/Mongolian and or other names, my secular family is an outlier (I have 4 siblings but none of us have Islamic names)
@@TickleMeChelmno özil is not a kurd even if he was a kurd we wouldnt care. He has chosen to play in german team and he belongs to turkish diaspora.
@emrecanarduc4378
That’s not the question. Either he is Kurdish or Turkish regardless of what he wants.
@@TickleMeChelmno so i am saying it . özil is not kurdish not even a ethnic one.
What is the likelihood that cities are just naturally opposed to fertility and that the correlation with education only exists because highly educated jobs tend to be located in cities?
This is atleast part of it. Since records began cities have always had lower fertility than the average.
Ezy life?
Kurdistan does not exist on the world map?
You mean Kurdistan in France and Kurdistan in Germany
101 years ago, turkey didn't exist on the world map either.
@@hamlet557Yeah it was Ottoman and Ottoman was Turkish so
@@Sn.rv14 Ottomans weren't only turkish. So..
@@hamlet557 Ottoman was a Turkish Empire ıt's our history. End of the history
@@Sn.rv14 ok, "end of history"
:)
I'm Whatifalthist and i do not aprove this message.
Why
He's a massive ottoman supporter and how it will be a superpower. @@qasimsudad1726
To me, I mean, it would be the strongest power in all of Middle East and North, Eastern Africa. But way too many equally sized powers around it to try to contain Turkey
@qasimsudad1726 he's joking. There's a youtuber called whatifalthist and he thinks Turkey is going to be the next middle eastern super power
Well looks like they're on the clock if they wanna do that.
Aint this guy is editor for whatalthis
This is the best video I've seen about Turkey's demographics. It was so good that it pushed me to write something about it.
Just as not everyone living in Eastern Turkey is Kurdish, not everyone living in the developed metropolitan regions of Turkey is Turkish either. Nearly half of the Kurdish population lives in the mentioned developed western regions. As it is said in the video, there are 2 million Kurds (and i believe they're more than 2 million) in Istanbul alone. So, while the TFR of the Turks is the same as the Japanese, the TFR of the Kurds is most likely a little bit below 2.1.
The part missed in the video is: The migrations to Turkey in the last 10 years, the fact that these migrations will continue to increase, and the high birth rates of these immigrants (almost 5 children per woman). Based on this, it can be predicted that in the next 50 years, Turkey will turn into an ideal(!) multicultural country where no single ethnic group will form the majority (%50+). It is clear that the indigenous ethnic groups in Turkey (Turks, Kurds, Zazas, Laz, Circassians etc.) will become minorities.
The possible consequences of such a major demographic change (increasing crime rates, socio-cultural change, political instability, potential civil war, etc.) make me terrified as a Turk living in Turkey. I am quite sure that in the long run, an extremely bad fate awaits us. This country will either collapse like the Ottoman Empire, or it will accept its multiculturalism and become a kind of Anatolian Confederation where many different ethnic groups are forced to live together, like Pakistan. And eventually it will be like Pakistan. In any case, i believe a very uncertain and gloomy future awaits people in Turkey.
There is no Arab country that still has a tfr of 5. Is Turkey getting immigrants from Somalia?
When was Turkey NOT multicultural?
@@PowerSimplified1871 when it wasn't Turkey.
@@deaththekid3998 Yes. From Somalia, and recently also from Rwanda. And I believe the Syrians are born pregnant.
I suppose Turkey went all the way back around then. From diverse to homogeneous to diverse again (but diverse in a different way)
can you make a vide about the demographics of rroma in the balkans especially romania and bulgaria? Some people here in romania say that htey would become a majority because of their higher birthrates
But don't they die mostly in childhood?
@@constantinethecataphract5949 infant mortality has decreased by a lot even in rroma communities
@@bingchilling4717
Sad. I know they are also the vast majority of abortions in Greece as well.
@@bingchilling4717I can’t speak for every country but in my country Roma mortality is at 50s unfortunately Roma face discrimination till this day and unless it becomes normal to get education and free healthcare I don’t see this situation changing soon
Those bad AI generated pictures are ugly and distracting.
happy that I was not the one who said it. Utterly bullshit pictures. Insanely cheesy
Agreed
Smoke coming out of the minaret in one of the pictures hahahahaha
They're cool
@jermania766.
No serious person watches these videos for the pretty pictures.
If they spend all their effort the pictures, the content and research will suffer. If you want nicer looking pictures, try a children's book. They have fantastic pictures.
Thank you so much for your video, I was waiting for it 🙏🏻 It's very accurate. Economical crisis is also a factor of demographic decline
There are millions of Turks in Germany and the Netherlands. Remigration will probably be welcomed by the country of origin in this case lol
And even more by their host countries lol
Those Turks in Germany are mostly 2nd or 3rd generation
@@Hasanaljadid And their political attitudes are more in line with younger Americans in the Southern, traditionally conservative states. Because like their similarly-aged compatriots in North America, a lot of younger Turkish Germans do NOT support Erdogan or his Ultranationalist, Conservative views. This has an extra knock-on effect in that because people who are wealthier and more cosmopolitan than say, the poorer, traditionalist classes raise and birth fewer children, it damages the birth rates of both the nations they currently reside in AND their nation of origin.
@@DR3ADER1 add to that sometimes erdogan uses warlike rhetoric... who wants to be killed by stupid dictator war. He would wish to expand empire and has bombed some places but being close to EU and NATO member doesnt allow as much madness thankfully. birthrates tend to be lower in dictatorian countries... which is shame coz conservatives usually have more kids but this is bad kind of conservative leadership... so they are also not "stupid" when no good future awaits. poland is one of few countris matching this balance to get remigration but inflation is beast everywhere.
@@DR3ADER1Is that really the case? I often see videos where entire streets in Germany are filled up with Turks marching for Erdoğan. And it seems to be one of the places where groups like the Grey Wolves are a real problem.
Yes, my wishlist video is here
I would like to point out some shortcomings and mistakes in the video.
1- No one ever called Kurds mountain Turks. This is a myth and a well-known mistake.
2-Turkey's westernisation started in the Ottoman Empire. The Ottoman Empire was an empire that ruled for 600 years and in its last 200 years, westernisation moves took place. All of the reforms made when the Republic was proclaimed had their roots in the last 200 years of the Ottoman Empire, or at least they were planned to be made. The Republic preferred to make this process faster than the Ottoman Empire.
3- The Black Turks, who are rural, less educated and poorer are more conservative than the White Turks, who are urban, educated and wealthy, but Black Turks are more modern but than most Muslim societies. For example, not counting the small number of extremists, the average conservative black Turk is as conservative as the average Georgian or Armenian conservative. There are certain reasons for this. Firstly, it cannot be said that the republican revolutions did not affect the Black Turks. Secondly, the Turks actually do not have enough theoretical knowledge about Islam. This may sound surprising, but it is a fact. Islam and Judaism, unlike Christianity, contain many rules. Islam, whose language of worship is still Arabic, is more difficult to influence non-Arabic-speaking nations such as the Turks than Arabic-speaking Muslims. This is akin to the Catholic population in the Middle Ages, who did not know Latin, worshipping in Latin. One more piece of information is that the language we call Arabic today is actually Modern Standard Arabic. And this dialect of Arabic is nobody's mother tongue. Today, people in Arab countries speak their local dialects in normal life and learn Modern Standard Arabic at school. Modern Standard Arabic is the language of education, law and media. It is not the language of daily life. Local dialects of Arabic may even be as different from each other as Italian and Spanish. In this respect, modern standard Arabic is similar to Latin. Lastly I can say that when each culture accepts a new religion, it accepts that religion by adapting it to its own culture. Traces of Turkic shamanism and Anatolian paganism can be seen in the Turks. Just like in every society. In the 7th century the Islamisation of the Turks began and was completed in the 10th century, but according to the writings of travellers, until the 15th century, although the mass of the Turks called themselves Muslims, in fact their lives were dominated by pagan elements. After the 15th century, when the Turks became the leaders of the Muslims, this situation began to change. But as I have already written, the influence of ancient traditions has not been completely broken.
Şanlıurfa province is ethnically very diverse. Locally, It's about 45% Kurdish/Zaza and 40% Arab.
The city center used to have a Turkish majority until 40s. There are some Turkish/Turkmen villages spread out around city center and the west. Also the Karakeçili tribe who are relatives of the founders of Ottoman dynasty, ironically kurdified and speaks Kurdish as mother tongue.
It's politically diverse too. I'd say about 30% of Kurds/Zazas are of Hanefi sect, which were initially yazidi that avoided islamisation through Arab conquest and islamised by Turkish conquests later on, thus have a closer culture to Turks and have mostly a state favored view and dont vote for Kurdish separatist parties or recruited by them to PKK. On another note, Şanlıurfa is also where PKK founder Abdullah Öcalan was born.
Funnily enough a few big Arab tribes support MHP, a supposed Turkish nationalist party and they are usually represented with one MP every election.
The province also hosts like 800k Syrians. Which is like 35% rate of the locals. Most are Arabs with some kurds and Turkmen being in the mix.
Şanlıurfa is known as city of Abraham and it's very heavy on religion. Kurds being in competition with Arab tribes for the domination of the province leads to a population race. Thus kurds of Şanlıurfa are less impacted by the soft secularization of Kurds that happened in other provinces like Hakkari and Van and thus still have high birthrates.
Oh and there's also Uzbek village that is created in the 80s from Uzbeks in Afghanistan in the southern border to create border pass security and manpower to work at the Ceylanpınar farm (world biggest collective farm or something) by the coup regime.
Hope some people appreciate this information.
And it worked wonders for you, not
@@TickleMeChelmno judging by your profile name, you know it's unsustainable and will collapse. All those small ethnicities tugging country in a different direction.
Actually I'm a bit surprised by the inability of turks to assimilate all those middle eastern foreigners. I thought it was much simpler in with islamic population.
Actual central asian genetic ancestry in modern Turkey is around 10% on average. There are settlements where people have almost 100% central asian ancestry, but moat of the people have almost none.
It would be smart for turks to reject its turkic myth and islamic ideology. "We are the same people as before the turkic conquest, we were here even before Alexander the great" and accept christianity. It would work wonders for the country.
@@hulking_presenceby that logic, native Anatolian populations precede Christianity in the region as well, so Anatolians should follow the ancient Hattian religion. That sounds dumb, right? Yeah, because it is. This situation has nothing to do with religion; moreover, the vast majority of the current Anatolian populace follow Islam by will.
@@Solotocius Hardly anyone follows religions out of their own volition, but almost everyone does so out of family tradition and ethnicity. Religion is only one aspect of culture and power. Spontaneous change is very difficult and can only be individual. Christians in the area now called Turkey became Muslims because of Muslims' imperial government pressure and familial convenience (Christians would be second-class citizens - dhimmi - and would have to pay a special tax , the jizyia). In an increasingly Muslim state, such as present-day Turkey, they will certainly not become Christians again (unless the present rulers go too far in imposing religious obligations, because then it would end up like Iran, where people are turning away from the Muslim religion).
good video as always
Please don't use AI, it looks like shit.
i don't like Ai too .
@@samankucher5117but its only him. Chzech Man. Not AI
No
5:05 As a minor nitpick, I don't think it can be called "irredentism" if any kind of Kurdistan doesn't exist as an independent country. It's just separatism.
Thanks for shedding a light on this concept in Turkey, as a Turk myself I am happy to see creators like you making objective documentary videos about Turkey, as there is usually a lot of turkophobic ones...
That's because entire southern and orthodox Europe hates Turkey for historical reasons, western countries are sometimes mad that Turkish diaspora is so big.
He is Czech, western slavs don't really have a reason to dislike Turkey.
rightly so lol
@nixcurpick4708
Turkophobia is dying out.
Cant complain about Turkophobia when turkish in general(even the non nationalist ones) Extremely Xenophobic.Arab hate,Kurd hate,hating Armenians,Syrians,Greeks even sometimes people like Mongols(LOL) that are related almost identical to the turkic culture and language.There are even cases where nationalist will call a ethnic turk like a kazak or tatar Mongol(As an insult).Quite weird for people who whine about ''Turkophobia''.Understandable if the video maker is an armenian-Greek or something.But in general even iranian kurds reception to turks isn't turkophobic* as you say here is an example:th-cam.com/video/6E1V5Rd1ygM/w-d-xo.html Most of the time people cry Turk/Greek/Kurd/German/Arab --Phobia when they encounter counter arguments or when they see something they nationaly/Religiously/Politically dont like.But like I said there are real examples to this.Like Arabs hating kurds/turks...turks hating kurds/armenians/persians/arabs or vice versa.Kurds hating arabs/turks/armenians or even turks hating other turks / kurds hating other kurds saying saying they arent ''Real'' turks ''real'' kurds and so on and so forth.All this jazz to be honest despite all ethnic and linguistic diversity in places like Turkey/Syria or even India If you actually research this matters.There is more division because of religion or even sects of religion and Politics/Political parties compared to let's say language or ethnicity.Of course there are exceptions to this.Apologies for the essay.
Low fertility in Turkey is likely to be much less of a problem than in Europe. Türkiye welcomes residents of Central Asia who are close to it in culture and language. Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan. Where the birth rate is still quite high.
Sounds like spains situation
Depends on a country. Poland welcomes Ukrainians, Spain and Portugal welcomes Latinos etc.
@@TheSwedishHistorian Yes, more or less like that. Which puts the country in a very good position. It does not have to spend on rising and educating kids, but gets ready working and paying taxes migrants.
@@ermin2248 I think Ukrainians are a huge gift for the hosting countries. Poland and Germany first of all.
They can't offset the below 1.3-1.4 birth rate that native Turks have (aka white Turks). Kurds and Syrian immigrants are the only reason why the population didn't start declining 1-2 decades ago.
You should do a video about Hungary’s demographics. That would be a banger
That would be like making a movie where everyone knows the ending.
Thanks for the video.
My man donated 0.5 euros
@@systemreset9410 Hey, at least I donated something. Also in Turkey minimum vage less then 500 euros.
@@systemreset9410let him. in his country, that probably feels like a lot. I still found your comment funny😂
@@systemreset9410 So?
@@NoctLightCloud Still, the prices in Turkiye are cheaper than in the Eurozone. maybe it's more like a Euro or two.
A Kaiserbach video? Czech yeah!
In 1924, Greece and Turkey had similar population, but Turkey had just taken for itself an area five times bigger than Greece and Greeks were crowded in a fraction of their previous living space. So Greeks migrated to the USA, Canada, Australia and Germany. So apart from Greek reluctance to have children, there was also a lack of resources and room for growth. Also many people who are counted as Turks consider themselves Kurds not Turks.
no. it was like 12 times bigger. wth are you talking about
@@kizgintosbaga Turkey 1927 census 13.650.000
Greece 1928 census 6.500.000
@@Thanos_Kyriakopoulos now add the displaced ones.
@@kizgintosbaga I know the truth hurts, please don't make yourself any sillier by talking back with nonsense
Greeks & Bulgarians: “Don’t mind if we do.”
What does that mean in light of the video?
Hello there Monsieur Z
they have the same fertility rate as turkey if not lower
Yes they will catch up in … 600 years? No, probably not
i dont think greeks would like this as less stable turkey becomes, the less of a bulwark against illegal migrants it becomes, turkey should never have allowed the illegals into the nation but erdogan does everything to stay in power so he welcomed the illegals saying they are "our brothers/sisters in islam" and now around 5/6 million syrians live in turkey, not mentioning the afghans, africans, bengali and other immigrants, and thanks to the security concerns those immigrants bringed with them paired with the economic crisis and erdogans policies the turkish youth are way more worried aboult their future compaired to lets say an italian teen, which would in turn lower the fertility rate as the mindset of "if i can't even take care of myself, how am i going to marry someone and take care of a child" sets in, but my hopes are high for the nation as erdogan's terms are ending in 2028, and with the increased participation from the turkish youth even if erdogan re-runs for the elections he will most likely be ousted from power and more than quarter of a century of AKP tyrany will end
I really don't mind the ai photos since they seem to be used sparingly it adds color. As longs as the maps graphs and cartograms continue to take center stage!
great video but the capital isn't istanbul it's ankara
Ankara isnt a real place
@@TheFalseShepphard So what is it?
Celtic Galatia?
@@TheFalseShepphardGuess my relatives live in the void, then 🤷♂️
@@TheFalseShepphard So you're saying I visited a place in the void regions that don't really exist last year?
Wow, gotta tell my wife that our trip must have been a sci-fi experience.
@@TheFalseShepphard go to your white nationalist forum, not youtube
Very interesting video as always x
They massacred millions of Kurds
I think you are confusing with Armenians. Turkish-PKK war led to the death of 40-50k Kurdish people.
As a Turk, I can say that this was well made
Would you do demographic video in Emerging major economies such as India, Indonesia, Brazil, Nigeria? Because it will be an interesting discussion wheater some of these countries able to escape middle incone trap or not.
Great video, couldn’t be explained better
Good job again!
Turkish diaspora, it's time to return home!
Most Turkish passport holders are kurds
American diaspora, it’s time to return home!
@@Qwerkaway more realistic since Turkey isn't that far from there diaspora wear as Americans have been there for 200+ years most Turks came in the 1960s or earlier
@@joemama4473 It was in 1071??? The conquest of Manzikert
You said that the meiji restoration was far bigger and more successful than Atatürks reforms, which is ridiculous. The element of religion is what makes Atatürks feat absolutely incomparable and far more impressive than that of the Japanese. Japan went from a traditionalist monarchy to an industrialized monarchy. Turkey went from an islamic caliphate with sharia law, completely agrarian economy and medieval society to an egalitarian laicistic democratic republic with a modern industrial economy integrated into the global market and extremely high literacy for both genders. Turkey went from one end of the ideological spectrum to the other, it's like if the papal state became an atheist communist technocracy
What a downfall. I mean, it’s impressive, but I don’t think that it’s a good thing.
Japanese reforms stayed and even continued, whereas Turkey started reverting and hasn't stopped since Menderes. The immediate impact of Atatürk's reform was arguably stronger, but they were not realistic, since they didn't take into account how the population will respond it. He also never had a real plan as to how to democratize the country; he was just in love with the ideals of democracy. In the end, all it resulted was in unhealthy expectations from the state from all sectors of society, and the subsequent populism facilitated by these attitudes.
Japan could progress without as much problem due to not living near oil-rich sheikhs pumping religious propaganda under protection from their superpower masters, not to mention an entirely uniform ethnic composition of about 99% Japanese.
@@FaraStiriRO Was a great thing actually.
No. Japan is more impressive and is also just civilizationally superior
Glad i found this channel. There's no others like it and i hope it continues to grow
Holy moly Turkey's TFR has crashed. It seems like yesterday they were chilling over 2. Now theyve basically matched the EU.
They basically did what Italy, Portugal and Spain did. Young people left to find work elsewhere and had their children there, leaving an older population behind.
@@redstone5062 Uzmanlık belgen nereden?
India exhibits similar fertility rate disparities, with the highest and lowest fertility rates found in neighboring states, which are Bihar and sikkim respectively.I think fertility Rate will spike if cryopreservation of Eggs and IVF becomes more accessible
Well said brother..
Yeah...
Not to mention, Biharis are ethnically and racially different from the Sikkimese people. Now I understand why Bhutan resisted merging with India, even though they did so by committing some [censored] acts back in the 1990s.
The fertility science fiction will never become a reality. A few wealthy careerists will never translate to millions annually.
@@TickleMeChelmno
If left to individuals yes but if it's a government controlled Eugenics
Don't worry.
We'll send some from the Netherlands. We have too many of them anyway.
On paper there are 2 million Turks in Germany. In reality, there are 8 million Turks. 6 million have German citizenship
great video
Stop the Ai slop
Please make video about demography of Europe in 2050-2100 in terms of ethic diversity.
I like the AI generated pictures and would be interested to know what the prompt was for the Slovak/Mountain Czech uprising image.. :)
Nice video❤
Bro amazing video, but I had to turn subtitles on
India also has vast diversity in fertility rates between different regions/states...some states have tfr of more than 3 while some have just about 1
Thanks for this video, I was hoping to see about population of Turkey because I live in Turkey. AI images were visually nice but they were typical orientalist viewpoint about Turkey. Let me add the information you didnt mention here. (1). Turkey is facing deep economical and institutional crises for the last ten years so many educated professionals flee from Turkey. (2). Refugees and people fleeing from wars and economic disasters come to Turkey as it is crossroads for Africa, Asia, Easten Europe and Middle East. Most of them later leave or go to 3rd countries so this created a low cost refugee economy which caused further unemployment . People cannot marry or decide to have kids if they cannot guarantee a source of income. Syrians, Kurds or Arabs can but most of the population in Turkey cannot. (3). Rents, House Prices and Food prices are too high so people cannot go for marriage, rent a house, cannot afford to buy food hence cannot have kids. (4). Having kids out of marriage is not seen legitimate in Turkey which is still a conservative country (5) Educated or working women in Turkey dont want more than 1-2 kids because raising kid is too expensive. It requires hell a lot of time , money and efford. (6) Turkish population is getting more urbanised and they have to live in smaller houses so they prioritise to survive. (7) New generation in the coutryside dont want to live and work in the rural areas. Lack of public services, jobs and proper housing push people to migrate into cities. (8) Covid crises and following high infilation changed peoples priorities in Turkey. They only think about health, keeping the job, good use of money, keeping housing, food and transport. (9) Most of the refugees like syrians, afghans, ukranians, russians, iranians and people from central asia now emigrate from turkey because they cannot save and send this money to their families in their countries. So they return or looking ways to go to Europe. (10). Current birth rates among refugees are amazingly high they have at least 5 kids and they enjoy free health service and schools in Turkey which they never had in their native countries. Schools, hospitals, streets are full of them and unfortunately some of them are beggars, drug sellers, prostitutes and abused by criminals . This is not sustainable. There is a growing anger among locals for them, sooner or later there will be local issues and currently anti immigration sentiment is raising. Some of them are already Turkish Citizen but it wont change anything because Turkish society can easily explode to minorities or newcomers so there is a big demographic change will likely happen in the near future. (11) Turkey is in the middle of wars geographically so government has to spend more on defence. If Turkey will have no choice other than waging war in this region, so after wars population pyramid will change forever. Every Turk was born as soldier, you cant finish them by killing because Turks and Kurds are familiar with wars and it helps to remember our national identity. I expect some form of war will happen in the near future and our goverment and people are preparing for those dark days.
Thanks for explaining it so well. In iran it's not nearly as bad however the birth rate is around 1.52 low. But among our afghan refugees its 3.8 2024. But afghans are quite similar so it's not as different as a turk to an Arab.
New vid from Kaiser Buch. I liked and been a subscriber for a long time. Comment for the algorithm gods.
Very good analysis on Turkey, that is one of the best I’ve watched on TH-cam. Keep up the good work!
bro if this goes on, I will just marry a kurdish lady and just go for it, because not only does the economy not help with this situation, but the unwillingness of Turkish women for motherhood is another issue, like what do you not like about kids, they are litterally small versions of you, who wouldnt want that
they are most of the time annoying
What make you believe a Kurdish woman would want a non Kurdish man ?
@@Viyoke they aint racist thats why
@@Viyoke There are pleeeenty of couples where Kurdish women are with non-Kurdish men, usually Turks.
@@ViyokeMy cousin married Kurdish it's very common
@kaiserbauch9092 In terms of demographic disparities Nigeria is most prominent: Christian south has around 2 point fertility rate while nothern muslim part around 7-8.
Edit: My bad. Lagos has around 3.4 fertility rate which is the lowest and 7.3 in Katsina, which is still high difference.
The south should really fight for independence
There is no verifiable information on anything in sub Saharan Africa.
That’s not true. It’s like 5 per region.
Can you do Spain where the fertility rate is 1,19? I think the lowest in Europe
Lowest is Ukraine where it is 0.8
Lowest is Ukraine
Ever since finding your Israel episode I've been obsessed with your channel. Keep it up.
8:18 istanbul isnt the capital dude
He said that Istanbul is the city in Turkey with the largest Kurdish population, not that it is the capital.
Constantinople is
@@realityisenough"Istanbul" is just the term the Turks heard the Greeks of the area used to refer to Constantinople, translating to basically "to the city". It's important to keep this in mind before complaining about the name.
He just said it has most kurds, he didn't say it was the capital.
@@AccountCommenter777 The video was later edited. He says so
The birth rate of Kurds has also started to decrease rapidly. Their rate in the population will probably increase from 15-8% to 20-25% and then stop.
Ethnic Turks reproduce at 1.3, Kurds at 2.5, Arabs at 5-6. The fastest growing population in the future will be Arabs.
Of course, if we manage to send them back, we will largely get rid of this problem, but it is a difficult task.
The economic crisis is also effective in the decline in Turkey's birth rates. Unlike the West, the sudden decline was accelerated after the collapse, not economic development. I hope that if we get out of the economic bottleneck, the ethnic Turkish birth rate will increase again.
I am skeptical that the rural Kurdish demography will get worse than the Turkish one, considering how rural eastern Anatolia is.
You could recall the 7 million Turks in Western Europe.
the problem is we have islamic half-dictator in our country and his party is strong and manipulative. also our people is always dividing to 2 for smallest things happening in country.
@@jasser6470 You're absolutely right, I fail to see a situation in which rural people in Kurdish villages have less children than the urbanized Turks.
But it isn't out of the realm of possibility that their birthrate numbers are also dropping to a point where they only hold a slight advantage in birthrate.
I do see both parties increasing their birthrates if the ruling elite can somehow increase the purchasing power of the average worker. (tall task I know)
I don't think we're going to see the irreversible demographic collapse there we've seen in Europe. Mainly due to religious factors.
@@TickleMeChelmno They'll mostly leave on their own not too long from now when Europe collapses under it's own weight. That isn't really the question, the question is where ethnic Europeans are going to try to migrate to.
Ankara is the capital, not Istanbul
Great presentation I totally enjoyed watching it. I would love see to another presentation on demographics of Armenia. Thank you!
Iran birthrates are declining also
Yes irans birth rate is at around 1.5 also most afghan refugees have a birth rate of around 3.8 of 2024
@@nebhalabir1201
Shāh Mahmūd Hotak must be proud
@@jostnamane3951
afghans are also iranic and we aren't afraid of them
Iran is their own country
@@user_18789 That is true to an extent, but societal norms and beliefs are more influential factors in determining the overall reaction of a people towards something like mass immigration than ethnicity.
user_18789
There is no such thing as an Afghan. There are disparate ethnic groups and a lot of the ones you’re getting are hazara and Uzbek.
Fertility decrease is because of heavy industrialism, urbanism and women's rights/freedoms (to work, to vote, to own property and get governmental aid after children) . Simple as that.
Its far from
Simple when you take a deep dive into it.
More or less, probably the biggest factor is female education and them turning from conservative to progressive like it already happened. In the past men were the progressive ones now this has shifted.
@@edjohnson8017 It is actually very simple when you take a deep dive into it, it's only the midwits who try to make it sound complex.
@@tamerofhorses2200much better then the halfwits who take such a simplistic approach to complex issues.
Like Thailand far more rural and less educated then the United States yet has a third less births.
Not really. Israel has all these and still has increased birth rates 😂 It's economics and cultural stuff too.
Very informative video... Congrats
I have to give you give my admiration! You find relevant society changes in front of other youtubers!
Thank you very much!
I think Erdogan is trying to transform the Turkish identity into essentially a pan Islamic identity. If you are muslim and integrate and learn the language you can become a "Turk" Turkish geneology was already Brazil tier so this isn't surprising that they would go for a strategy like that.
Yeah except I don't think the people living in the Western Turkish cities are going to appreciate their new neighbors even if they both are Muslim.
@@komisossoutsidi5801 100 years ago even the Atheist Kemalist types kicked out non-Muslim ethnic Turks for Muslim Balkan folk. The Turkish state doesn't care.
But Most Kurds don’t support him
Spot on. He’s trying to turn the country into a Sunni Iran. Just like Persia became Iran, he wants to turn Turkey into Anatolia.
Islamists correctly identified the Turkish national identity and the high level of nationalism as an obstacle to their dream of Islamic state and have been trying to transform the country accordingly ever since.
That’s the prime reason why he wants to import Arabs into the country en masse. Because while they were trying to transform the country, his core supporters changed as well. They are now better educated, wealthier and are accustomed to the freedoms of a secular state. So their support of Shaira and an Islamic revolution is in a freefall so he needs to inject fresh blood.
Things will turn bloody though, you heard it from me first.
@@Hasanaljadid they will import everyone else that will.
Can you do a video about Central Asia?
Very dense in information, i like it. Thank you
Getting rich means less children, all around the world is the same . Once women have financial power means less children. Those who say they cannot have children because of lack of money they are totally wrong. Even Africans going to get rich consequently have less children.
Financial power is becoming a curse for society.
Richer countries have more family problems.
Richer also means older. 30 is not new 20
I miss the old Turks. Sad to see we have less children 🇹🇷🇹🇷🇹🇷🇹🇷💪
Thank westernization
They're all in Germany lol
Hey KaiserBauch. Big fan here! Great to see that there is someone like you that is fully aware of the plate tectonics that is demography. I have been looking into Turkish demographics a lot the last few weeks and hey, here is your video. Basically on call. Is there anyway to get in touch? Greetings from Germany.
Next video on Iran? I really want to know what happened there as well.
I think you had a mistake mixing the so called 'black Turks' and kurds. Erdogan is a conservative and islamist yes but he is not kurdish and not everyone voting for erdogan are kurds. contrarily kurds dont vote for erdogan they vote for hdp. conservative and islamist people vote for erdogan and I dont think its appropriate to describe most of them are less educated and poor. There are educated and rich people voting for erdogan too.there are Turkish nationalist voting for erdogan too somehow. Its like people voting for angela merkel's party christian democrat party in germany. I dont think most of them are poor and less educated. they are just christians and conservatives. In Turkey, people voting for Erdogan are mostly conservatives and liberals and rightists. People voting for CHP are leftists. and it doesnt mean you are educated if you drink alcohol. and civilization does not belong to 'europe' or the 'west'. we can be civil and not 'european'. and there are no 'BLACK Turks' in Turkey. you just made it up. there are brown kurdish and arabic people. there can be wheat skinned Turkish people. It is a result of 'anatolian' DNA and J2 haplogroup. Greeks and south italians are also have J2 haplogroup. So if you want to call that people 'Black' you have to call greeks and south italians, 'black' too cause they have the same skin tone and haplogroup as this people.
South indians has j2 😂
J2 is a Middle Eastern haplogroup and it's the most common among Iraqi and Levantine Arabs as well as among Iranians.
> we can be civil and not 'european'.
Only East Asians can be that
true, most of the so called white secular turks have Balkan immigrant background instead of Anatolian
Cousin marriage is extremely common among christian europeans.
Nobody, even people who hate Europeans or Christians or both, would ever believe that. Nice rage bait though.
Call back 7.5 Million Turks home then.
7 millions Syrians have already moved to Turkey
Wishful thinking by some. The truth is that BR is declining all over Turkiye and in a few years all provinces will be below replacement rate. So, not ticking time bomb in a regional differential sense, really. Turkiye is still getting a lot of net inflow migration from its periphery including Central Asia, Caucuses, Middle East. With economic stability the net migrations will eventually become significantly positive. So the population will still increase before it starts to decline by birth, I am pretty sure. As a UK citizen I can see parallels in this regard.
The real time bomb is in EU countries, especially countries such as France and Germany, for obvious reasons.
Also, we should quote @WhatIfAlthist for every time saying that Turkey will be a superpower. How in the fuck can a country with this terrible demographics be a great power?
thing is, almost all relatively developed countries will be demographically fucked this century
all the superpowers have fucked demographics
This is the Peter Zeihan-ist effect. These fake population numbers like Africa (which has zero reliability to be verified) are used as a frame of reference based on a projection to also somehow become a superpower. Nigeria will never become one for obvious reasons and won’t even remain intact because of tribalism.
Will never happen. Every country will struggle to maintain what it already has this era because of demographics.
WhatifAlthist think he knows more than what he actually knows.
Economy is beyond fucked in Turkey. Surviving is a struggle let alone having kids.
Look at Africa it economy was the only problem nobody in Africa would have kids
@abdullahiabdisalan1170 yep but in an industrialized society economy it's pretty much the main problem for not having kids, it's simply too expensive, in africa it's a different story kids are free labour
@@abdullahiabdisalan1170 You dont know how fertility rates works.
You could be a very good geography teacher... Very informative with most recent statistics
i hope more people sees this video it is actually accurate and very informative