Time and time again Pokemon has proved to be profitable long term. Key words there are long term as most people forget about that. In some cases it may be very long term but it has still turned a profit. If Rebel Clash booster boxes can reach $200+ then I believe any set will perform decent long term.
People are also losing their minds over slightly older japanese product/chase cards, so that could be where money is going too lol. Pokemon is by no means doing poorly, just a weak start to the SV era. I think pokemon 151 will change that
@@jameslikesit Yeah 151 should be fantastic, the cards look amazing. Obsidian should do ok as well. I've got zero worries where Pokémon is concerned. One day it'll end but I'd be surprised if it's in my lifetime.
I am running an online TCG store in Germany and it is amazing how big of a discrepancy there is between japanese and non japanese Pokemon products. The japanese Pokemon products are at an all time high demand. And people want more and more. And even the demand for english/german products is still pretty strong here. Shows you the difference between the US and EU.
Online stores popped out of the ground during covid here in germany, and many stayed. Most of them sell for 140/150€ and people still buy this shit. I will never understand why would buy a box for 150€ instead of 120/130 on carmarket.
Remember when boxes of Amonkhet and Hour of Devistation were being sold for $75 and nobody wanted them? Pepperidge farm remembers. These crimson and magenta pokemon boxes are the same dealy-o in 5 years people are gonna kick themselves in the fupa for not buying at $99!
@@wardy4903 I like to buy some now to play with and buy some for later- also to play with 😆. My point is whether you play or invest it's better to buy for cheap so in 5 years if you do go to sell or crack a box you allready got in at the cheapest price point.
You are wrong 100000000% wrong . Here is why you are wrong. The price of a box is dictated by the EV Epected value from that box. The way you are talking is implying every box that nobody is buying has the biggest hit in it. You sir are an idiot and have no clue what you are talking about. Doesn't matter if it's Pokémon magic yugioh. EV sets the price not your petty feelings and opinions.
Rudy you are one of the best investment analyst and your commentary is outstanding. Anyone who admits they were wrong is someone you can trust! Speculation is not investing and certainly not collecting.
Personally, I'm doing MTG Sealed. Mainly because the LOTR set that recently released is a limited print and cost Hasbro licensing money to get printed. That, in addition to the cards that can be pulled, means that as long as the game survives, it'll keep going up. Collector Boosters Tacos to the moon!
Chilling Reign turned out to be one of the most profitable sets for me. I bought cases at the dip when people were just trying to fire dump the product. I got a bunch of booster boxes for 75-90 bucks shipped.
This is how Pokemon should be. It was never meant to be free tendys. The crazy market of investors buying up all the stock created artificial scarcity. Collectors, not investors, were the one's paying high prices to the flippers. Collectors are able to buy direct or buy at a discount when people wanna move things fast. If you can't hoard a box for 5 years, you're not in a place to invest in cardboard.
stores cant sit on stock for long periods to keep the lights on and with lower demand race to the bottom im still happy with my sealed products and look to add some S&V soon as the products bottom out
This seems super normal lol. Like a year ago all the newest boxes were 100 or less. You're talking about these boxes being $99 like its a crazy hard tank when we all bought chilling reign for $70 not too long ago
Yep, the Japanese Pokemon market is hot right now, the English side is down and out. Now is the time to stock up on some SV English BBs and wait for the market to turn. Once SV 151 hits later this year, attention will return and the market will recover. By the 30th anniversary in 2026, all Pokemon TCG products in this era would be golden. Pokemon seal products never disappoint if one can hold on.
The best sealed products that I bought in 2020 were Tag Team GX All Stars and Dream League which I never paid more than $60 per box for, you could even see then how much CP6 and other high class sets had appreciated in value, it wasnt rocket science. My kids will enjoy my inheritance.
@@rorywest4937Even Japanese 151 is almost $300 already for a sealed booster box and it just came out just over a week ago. Tag team GX Japanese era are like $600+ a box these days, minimum.
@realbillymiller1011 awesome! I loaded up on Vmax Climax, Shiny star V, and most of the other boxes from that Era. I missed Eevee heroes and Evolving Skies because I tried to buy as close to retail as possible, usually $55 to $65 a box
I bought on his recommendation too. Modern Horizons 1 has done very well, and Zendikar Rising is a great hold. I have some Metazoo, a bunch of stuff. We’ll see how it goes
RUDY what the hell is going on with LOTR single value? The most expensive cards (non serial) only pay for the booster itself and were not even at the official sell date!
It seems pretty in line with what happens at the start of a new generation for Pokemon, Generally speaking, the base and second/third sets can be a little underwhelming and sell low for quite a while after release. Set quality typically increases after the first two sets in a block once they've got through introducing all the new characters/game mechanics/etc. BW/XY/SS all followed a similar pattern, plus Obsidian Flames/151 are already killing numbers on preorder. The first two S/V sets will probably stay low while sealed prices on the next two sets hold fairly well, both will most likely do just fine over 3-5+ years
Bear = buy. Buy low, sell high. Don't buy pretty damn high already and hope for it to go any higher. Plus like Rudy says, no guarantees. Can't mulligan or reload a saved game, that's what keeps it interesting. It's what makes Texas Hold'em way more exciting to watch and play than chess.
Rudy, the “Pokémon market” is bigger than the price of a booster box of the current ultra modern set. To say Pokémon is in a bear market is highly debatable. Every booster box of sword and shield is up, 151 sold out in minutes, the next set to release is obsidian flames which is a Charizard set, the after market graded slab market is insane, Japan is currently going through a Pokémon mania like we saw here in 2021. Pokémon is as far away from a bear market as possible.
151 sold out on the Pokemon Center website, most likely to scalpers trying to make a quick buck... Problem is Pokemon Company has said 151 is going to be print to demand. I would not be surprised if we see several waves of PCETB on the website, are the scalpers really going to buy all of them? PC can create an infinite supply if they want to and as seen with the Charizard collection from last year, they will print until passed no one is buying them because the profit margin for them is that high... You could still find Charizard in March on shelves at Target for retail... Maybe still can. On top of that mom and pop and little Timmy aren't going to notice or care that their ETB doesn't have an extra Snorlax with the Pokemon Center logo on it so what will the scalpers do with that PCETB? They'll slash prices to get some of their money back. Barring some other pandemic level shutdown, I'm not worried about getting any pokemon boxes I want for now... 5 years from now when the kids have used their promo sunrise mew to make noise in their bike tires, then we'll have a collector problem where those products will go up in price.
I wouldn’t worry about scarlet and violet base and Paldea evolved. They both each have a chase card over $100. These sets are incredibly popular in Japan and our secondary market usually follows theirs. These might do better in the future because of the lack of interest currently and low chance of a reprint.
I have a case of charizard UPCs that were bought for $72 each, I'll keep waiting. Time always proves Pokemon right, and I only have time for these random products to grow.
The pull rates for the paldea set for the ttar or even the magikarp is 1/833 thats crazy to me but i love it. I wonder how the community is gonna be since magic has a 1 of 1 card thats worth more then 20Mil. Theres been what if discussions about 1 of 1 cards comming to pokemon with new sets n stuff
Rudy I started watching you about a few years ago when you did the bathroom video on your pokemon hoard it brought me to your channel 😂 I came for the pokemon but stayed for honest good advice and positive vibes
As always thank you Rudy. These videos have endlessly valuable knowledge. Long time listener and patron. Thanks. Would love to one day shake your hand.
I will be buying some regardless. Especially with the 'fire sale" prices. Fine by me. Also, picking the "bad" sets is genius. Less likely to reprint. Lost Origin, Brilliant Stars.. on the printers right now.
As a collector I'm so happy about this. I'm mainly a Japanese collector but the market there is still beyond crazy so I can at least buy english cards lel
I collect mostly Japanese also, you have to change your tactics. Don't buy the new set, buy the set that was released 2 months ago after numerous print runs have come and gone and the product is cheaper.
@@MrXmoda Yeah right, that would be terrible! I would never collect them! 😳 I gave up with Full Art Trainers of course (at least the most expensive ones) but even setting them aside, a couple of quick examples with CardMarket: Meowscarada SAR €24 in English - €100 In Japanese Gardevoir SAR €38 in English - €160 In Japanese Miraidon SAR €40 in English - €175 In Japanese (Don't get me started on the CHR, €3 in English - like €400 in Japanese because Promo and reasons lel) It's painful still :C
I think as a lot of people have pointed out in the comments, it's important to remember that the Pokémon Company is global. While the US makes up a major portion of the market, a downturn in that market doesn't always mean a downturn everywhere else. The EU market is still really strong, and being from NZ (but living in the UK) I follow those markets as well and they are still sitting strong position for sealed product (this mostly has to do with reduced supply). I'm sure all markets will still ebb and flow as per normal, but long term, the Pokémon juggernaut has never failed. HODL boys and girls!
I think prices are going to drop even further SV Base and Paldea Evolved. No one cares about English at the moment and those 2 sets are especially boring considering what came before and what’s coming after. Obviously they’ll go up in the future, but not at the same speed / level as other SV sets. Saving money for those
I have purchased over ten thousand packs from Sword n Shield. I will NOT purchase any packs of Scarlet n Violet until two things happen. One, markets find a bottom. Two, this next Greater Depression is behind us.
Something had to happen. Shouldn’t take 3,500-4,000 booster packs (SWSH Era) to complete a set of Pokemon cards. I think SV base was an over-correction due to the lower count of special art rares, but Paldea Evolved seems like a better balance.
Pokémon will be fine. To quote Aragorn: "A day may come when the courage of Pokémon fails, but it is not this day". Also 151 is going to shoot this era full of steroids. It'll be what Celebrations and Evolving Skies were to Battle Styles and Chilling Reign.
Rudy isnt exactly being intellectually honest here. Scarlet and violet is doing poorly because all the pokemon money is flowing into 151. It is going BANANAS.
He probably isn't paying attention. It took him ages to realise that all the Metazoo product hadn't been released when he was calling it a home run success. I just assume he's got too much going on in the day to track all this stuff.
I enjoy Rudy market videos. Its entertaining but I keep in mind he is running a business. Shawn over at Reserved Investments is less entertaining, but he does give a more detailed picture of investing in collectibles. You have to navigate floppy tacos and stale doughnuts in this world.
That last bit is how I felt about evolving skies back in December 2021. I was awake at 4 in the morning when I decided id spend my tax returns on evolving skies BBs at 95$ a pop. I believed in it as most of the really rare cards were holding value while it had my brother and I favorite pokemon. If the set didnt retain its value id planned on completing the master set by opening a some cases and creating memories we could share as we usually get into Pokemon and drop it every other few years when sets we like come out. I ended up opening a case or two and we pulled a few of the most expensive cards only to find out the price of ES was slowly climbing after people got bored of the 25th-anniversaryary set. Fast forward I ended up buying the rest of the cards to complete our first master set during the singles price dips during the ES etb reprints in 2022. Id let go of a few boxes to make it possible as it made too much sense considering how much they go for but am still left with 24 more BBs. If you enjoy something take a chance wether you start big or small, test the waters especially when it comes to pokemon as I belive you'll almost certainly break even with enough time. Dont fomo gl lol
I dunno about these easier pull rate statements I have opened quite a few booster boxes of Paldea and it's actually not all that great and def harder than base. The set is huge and there are a lot of worthless rares holos thrown in. I think people are just trying to find something to blame.
always loved cards and even some of the shows as a kid but i finally just got the itch to start collecting. i think i got in at a good time but who knows. i love it either way already and don't even plan to make money LOL just wanna enjoy something
GameStop gave me a bunch of free booster packs. They had a buy 2 get 1 deal and I stacked it with my power up rewards. Never knew there was a problem with pokemon, I haven't opened a pack in 20 years.
Called dollar cost averaging - you should only be down about 15-30% if you bought in on the lows and not so lows. I did not go deep or time it well, and only need to clear $200 a box for breakeven after Rudy's pump and dump
@thefaceoffate I bought in the highs at $400 a box then bought a lot more boxes as prices continued to go down under $100 at the lows. My dollar cost avg is about $200 but still hurts and I'm still under water.
Xy era boxes worked out because of covid, we are back to normal and pokemon need to Reign in printing, also sword and shield era was an anomaly due to all the rares being stolen held back and so the pull rates are hard.
scarlet violet was bound to crash, it's so bad and the fact they had to raise msrp prices makes it worse. it may cause pokemon to resort to reprinting SWSH sets (ES small reprint confirmed btw). who knows, they may even reprint cosmic eclipse due to demand and team up as well. but i think 151 will keep them occupied so probably not major reprints like how vivid voltage crashed into oblivion
It's not your fault! I did it of my own free will. I like werewolf and vampires, so you know which sets I went deep into. But I also went deep into MH2! WIN SOME! LOSE SOME! Same goes for Pokémon! And any other collectable!
It makes perfect sense why these two sets are doing relatively bad. There's nothing desirable in either set. The base set is at least a base set, but that's all it has going for it. ALL Paldea Evolved has going for it is that the generation's starters are on the ETB. The next two sets will be wayyyy more desirable. Obsidian Flames is a Charizard set propped up by Dragonite and Tyranitar. It's going to be the most worthwhile set to buy since Evolving Skies, or at least it will be a real test of whether the pull rates are affecting prices and not just the lack of anything worth pulling in the first two sets. And then 151 will obviously do well long term since it's a gen 1 product. No one is going to care about Random Waifu X once they fade into the past, so any set where the chase card is some trainer that OG fans have never heard of is going to do relatively poorly over time. Obviously if people wait long enough the shit will be worth more than they bought it for, but these next two sets are like actually worth investing in.
Scarlet and violet and Paldea evolved are fire sets im just waiting for the prices to go down to scoop up a bunch. The rest of the sets coming in are crazy I wouldn’t sleep on s/v
Wholesale prices too high, pull rates and new format tanks prices further. Secondary market sales too low. How do these stores make money???? They need to slow/lower production and increase quality control. Gesh…
If you don’t want box prices to crash, come to Canada … boxes never go lower here 😂
Just a booster at retail is like $6-7.99cdn. hearing American prices makes me envious
@PolarShine_ it's so cheap in the usa. Even rare stuff is affordable.
Time and time again Pokemon has proved to be profitable long term. Key words there are long term as most people forget about that. In some cases it may be very long term but it has still turned a profit. If Rebel Clash booster boxes can reach $200+ then I believe any set will perform decent long term.
100% agree because Rebel Clash is ROUGH xD
People are also losing their minds over slightly older japanese product/chase cards, so that could be where money is going too lol. Pokemon is by no means doing poorly, just a weak start to the SV era. I think pokemon 151 will change that
@@jameslikesit Yeah 151 should be fantastic, the cards look amazing. Obsidian should do ok as well. I've got zero worries where Pokémon is concerned. One day it'll end but I'd be surprised if it's in my lifetime.
@@jameslikesit when I found out about 151 I couldn't help but think they made that set as a back up/safety net if S&V turned too many people off
Don’t tell everyone 🤫
I am running an online TCG store in Germany and it is amazing how big of a discrepancy there is between japanese and non japanese Pokemon products. The japanese Pokemon products are at an all time high demand. And people want more and more. And even the demand for english/german products is still pretty strong here. Shows you the difference between the US and EU.
Online stores popped out of the ground during covid here in germany, and many stayed. Most of them sell for 140/150€ and people still buy this shit. I will never understand why would buy a box for 150€ instead of 120/130 on carmarket.
My shop in the us still can't pokemon in stock we buy a bunch 48 hours later it's gone
Remember when boxes of Amonkhet and Hour of Devistation were being sold for $75 and nobody wanted them? Pepperidge farm remembers. These crimson and magenta pokemon boxes are the same dealy-o in 5 years people are gonna kick themselves in the fupa for not buying at $99!
amon-kitty-kat
as long as you're willing to sit on it for 5 years...
@@wardy4903 I like to buy some now to play with and buy some for later- also to play with 😆. My point is whether you play or invest it's better to buy for cheap so in 5 years if you do go to sell or crack a box you allready got in at the cheapest price point.
You are wrong 100000000% wrong . Here is why you are wrong. The price of a box is dictated by the EV Epected value from that box. The way you are talking is implying every box that nobody is buying has the biggest hit in it. You sir are an idiot and have no clue what you are talking about. Doesn't matter if it's Pokémon magic yugioh. EV sets the price not your petty feelings and opinions.
Still don't liek either of those sets
Rudy you are one of the best investment analyst and your commentary is outstanding. Anyone who admits they were wrong is someone you can trust!
Speculation is not investing and certainly not collecting.
Thank you for this, I personally find your videos very helpful and insightful.
If I invested in sealed product, it would pokemon boxes over any other tcg By Far
Absolutely agree
100%
Be Rudy's guest and take some cases of this new horse s*
@@DamienTheCat this is said every few years. So see you in 2025 when you're begging for a booster pack. 🤣
Personally, I'm doing MTG Sealed. Mainly because the LOTR set that recently released is a limited print and cost Hasbro licensing money to get printed. That, in addition to the cards that can be pulled, means that as long as the game survives, it'll keep going up. Collector Boosters Tacos to the moon!
the funny thing is Sun & Moon and older + japanese sets are on FIRE, so the market as a whole is still very good
Plus you've got the Chinese interested as well now. Things are generally looking very healthy.
10x in two and a half years on a couple remix bout boxes :)
Chilling Reign turned out to be one of the most profitable sets for me. I bought cases at the dip when people were just trying to fire dump the product. I got a bunch of booster boxes for 75-90 bucks shipped.
I actually kind of love how the prices are dropping makes it easier to collect all of the special illustrations
Yeah I do think it's important to have these lulls to keep people interested.
This is how Pokemon should be. It was never meant to be free tendys. The crazy market of investors buying up all the stock created artificial scarcity.
Collectors, not investors, were the one's paying high prices to the flippers.
Collectors are able to buy direct or buy at a discount when people wanna move things fast.
If you can't hoard a box for 5 years, you're not in a place to invest in cardboard.
Mostly agree... Pandemic created a lot of the scarcity, investors and scalpers took it to a whole new level.
stores cant sit on stock for long periods to keep the lights on and with lower demand race to the bottom im still happy with my sealed products and look to add some S&V soon as the products bottom out
This seems super normal lol. Like a year ago all the newest boxes were 100 or less. You're talking about these boxes being $99 like its a crazy hard tank when we all bought chilling reign for $70 not too long ago
I think the issue is Pokemon Company raised the price on the boxes so I think $99 might be the new $70 because of that.
Much love, Rudy! :)
My Japanese sealed Sun and Moon boxes are up 1000%. What bear market.
Yep, the Japanese Pokemon market is hot right now, the English side is down and out. Now is the time to stock up on some SV English BBs and wait for the market to turn. Once SV 151 hits later this year, attention will return and the market will recover. By the 30th anniversary in 2026, all Pokemon TCG products in this era would be golden. Pokemon seal products never disappoint if one can hold on.
How many boxes do you have? Keep them for a few more years and they will all be $300 plus
The best sealed products that I bought in 2020 were Tag Team GX All Stars and Dream League which I never paid more than $60 per box for, you could even see then how much CP6 and other high class sets had appreciated in value, it wasnt rocket science. My kids will enjoy my inheritance.
@@rorywest4937Even Japanese 151 is almost $300 already for a sealed booster box and it just came out just over a week ago. Tag team GX Japanese era are like $600+ a box these days, minimum.
@realbillymiller1011 awesome! I loaded up on Vmax Climax, Shiny star V, and most of the other boxes from that Era. I missed Eevee heroes and Evolving Skies because I tried to buy as close to retail as possible, usually $55 to $65 a box
We stay the course🔝💪thanks Rudy! Stay awesome people
Solid advice and I have made that very same mistake MULTIPLE times, thank you for reminding me.
Awesome intro my dude!
I bought Dominaria United cause Rudy the hype man made me do it.
Sorry that happened to you
I bought on his recommendation too. Modern Horizons 1 has done very well, and Zendikar Rising is a great hold.
I have some Metazoo, a bunch of stuff. We’ll see how it goes
RUDY what the hell is going on with LOTR single value?
The most expensive cards (non serial) only pay for the booster itself and were not even at the official sell date!
It seems pretty in line with what happens at the start of a new generation for Pokemon, Generally speaking, the base and second/third sets can be a little underwhelming and sell low for quite a while after release. Set quality typically increases after the first two sets in a block once they've got through introducing all the new characters/game mechanics/etc. BW/XY/SS all followed a similar pattern, plus Obsidian Flames/151 are already killing numbers on preorder. The first two S/V sets will probably stay low while sealed prices on the next two sets hold fairly well, both will most likely do just fine over 3-5+ years
Need a Rudy and TheReportOfTheWeek mashup on new Taco Bell releases
lord of the rings soaking ALL the money out of TCGs like a black hole summer
Bear = buy. Buy low, sell high. Don't buy pretty damn high already and hope for it to go any higher. Plus like Rudy says, no guarantees. Can't mulligan or reload a saved game, that's what keeps it interesting. It's what makes Texas Hold'em way more exciting to watch and play than chess.
Agreed...(apart from Chess-Boxing:)
Rudy, the “Pokémon market” is bigger than the price of a booster box of the current ultra modern set. To say Pokémon is in a bear market is highly debatable. Every booster box of sword and shield is up, 151 sold out in minutes, the next set to release is obsidian flames which is a Charizard set, the after market graded slab market is insane, Japan is currently going through a Pokémon mania like we saw here in 2021. Pokémon is as far away from a bear market as possible.
151 sold out on the Pokemon Center website, most likely to scalpers trying to make a quick buck... Problem is Pokemon Company has said 151 is going to be print to demand. I would not be surprised if we see several waves of PCETB on the website, are the scalpers really going to buy all of them? PC can create an infinite supply if they want to and as seen with the Charizard collection from last year, they will print until passed no one is buying them because the profit margin for them is that high... You could still find Charizard in March on shelves at Target for retail... Maybe still can. On top of that mom and pop and little Timmy aren't going to notice or care that their ETB doesn't have an extra Snorlax with the Pokemon Center logo on it so what will the scalpers do with that PCETB? They'll slash prices to get some of their money back.
Barring some other pandemic level shutdown, I'm not worried about getting any pokemon boxes I want for now...
5 years from now when the kids have used their promo sunrise mew to make noise in their bike tires, then we'll have a collector problem where those products will go up in price.
Aw c'mon we missed the ride to Rudy's Hair? Count me out lmao
I wouldn’t worry about scarlet and violet base and Paldea evolved. They both each have a chase card over $100. These sets are incredibly popular in Japan and our secondary market usually follows theirs. These might do better in the future because of the lack of interest currently and low chance of a reprint.
I listened. I bought. I learned to buy as things tumbled, and it’s hard.
But it’s a winning formula
I have a case of charizard UPCs that were bought for $72 each, I'll keep waiting. Time always proves Pokemon right, and I only have time for these random products to grow.
Thanks Ruddy loved this one
as usual hit it right on the head. cheers rudy.
Good Ol Tom, thanks for looking out for him lol
Solid advice as always. Appreciate you Rudy.
The pull rates for the paldea set for the ttar or even the magikarp is 1/833 thats crazy to me but i love it. I wonder how the community is gonna be since magic has a 1 of 1 card thats worth more then 20Mil. Theres been what if discussions about 1 of 1 cards comming to pokemon with new sets n stuff
Rudy I started watching you about a few years ago when you did the bathroom video on your pokemon hoard it brought me to your channel 😂 I came for the pokemon but stayed for honest good advice and positive vibes
Love these kind of videos!
Its both the rarity and the cards, pretty much no chase cards before the next two sets 151 / OF. these two sets will do more than fine :)
As always thank you Rudy. These videos have endlessly valuable knowledge. Long time listener and patron. Thanks. Would love to one day shake your hand.
I will be buying some regardless.
Especially with the 'fire sale" prices. Fine by me.
Also, picking the "bad" sets is genius. Less likely to reprint.
Lost Origin, Brilliant Stars.. on the printers right now.
Rudy, I went to my first draft with my fiance. We had a blast. It was for Lord of the rings. Everyone got the one ring
Soon the FED with add cards to their CPI. Seems like a good gauge of market sentiment. 😅
I pulled the iono sar and sir and the magikarp in the first few packs however it took me 1500 more packs to pull them again
Japanese pokemon is slowly taking over
151 will be the biggest set ever
Prices across the board for basically all collectibles seem to be dropping back down to pre-Covid levels. Retro video games are doing the same.
As a collector I'm so happy about this. I'm mainly a Japanese collector but the market there is still beyond crazy so I can at least buy english cards lel
The sets being so large sucks but SV base can be singled out for stupid cheap.
as long as you dont collect japanese pokemon waifu's you're good!
I collect mostly Japanese also, you have to change your tactics. Don't buy the new set, buy the set that was released 2 months ago after numerous print runs have come and gone and the product is cheaper.
@@MrXmoda Yeah right, that would be terrible! I would never collect them! 😳
I gave up with Full Art Trainers of course (at least the most expensive ones) but even setting them aside, a couple of quick examples with CardMarket:
Meowscarada SAR €24 in English - €100 In Japanese
Gardevoir SAR €38 in English - €160 In Japanese
Miraidon SAR €40 in English - €175 In Japanese (Don't get me started on the CHR, €3 in English - like €400 in Japanese because Promo and reasons lel)
It's painful still :C
I think as a lot of people have pointed out in the comments, it's important to remember that the Pokémon Company is global. While the US makes up a major portion of the market, a downturn in that market doesn't always mean a downturn everywhere else. The EU market is still really strong, and being from NZ (but living in the UK) I follow those markets as well and they are still sitting strong position for sealed product (this mostly has to do with reduced supply). I'm sure all markets will still ebb and flow as per normal, but long term, the Pokémon juggernaut has never failed. HODL boys and girls!
This happens every set and then 2 years later people fomo
I'm still wondering what the hell fomo means 😂
F*** off & miss out? Lol am I close?
@@Pokebino_tcg Fear of missing out
@@frizzyowns6654🤦 ahh yeah I know that feeling well
@@frizzyowns6654hey I was pretty close tho coming out of the blind 🦯🦮
I think prices are going to drop even further SV Base and Paldea Evolved. No one cares about English at the moment and those 2 sets are especially boring considering what came before and what’s coming after. Obviously they’ll go up in the future, but not at the same speed / level as other SV sets. Saving money for those
Thank your Rudy I never get tiered of these videos. ❤
I have purchased over ten thousand packs from Sword n Shield. I will NOT purchase any packs of Scarlet n Violet until two things happen. One, markets find a bottom. Two, this next Greater Depression is behind us.
Greater depression. 🤣
Great video. Really enjoyed the jokes but also enjoy the video and how it applies to all TCGs. Thanks!!
Something had to happen. Shouldn’t take 3,500-4,000 booster packs (SWSH Era) to complete a set of Pokemon cards. I think SV base was an over-correction due to the lower count of special art rares, but Paldea Evolved seems like a better balance.
The speed at which our society moves make it so much harder to understand how to invest properly. You have to think in decades not years.
You’re often referenced, but the algorithm has finally led me here…
Love the pokemon videos!!!
Rudy knowing what you know. Can we expect a huge move into the paldea evolved market like you did with chilling reign?
Pokémon will be fine. To quote Aragorn:
"A day may come when the courage of Pokémon fails, but it is not this day".
Also 151 is going to shoot this era full of steroids. It'll be what Celebrations and Evolving Skies were to Battle Styles and Chilling Reign.
Rudy’s bathroom is were cards appreciate in value
Pokémon going to make their money they don't care about investors and collector?
Rudy isnt exactly being intellectually honest here. Scarlet and violet is doing poorly because all the pokemon money is flowing into 151. It is going BANANAS.
idek what 151 is
He probably isn't paying attention. It took him ages to realise that all the Metazoo product hadn't been released when he was calling it a home run success. I just assume he's got too much going on in the day to track all this stuff.
battle styles big underrated
I enjoy Rudy market videos. Its entertaining but I keep in mind he is running a business.
Shawn over at Reserved Investments is less entertaining, but he does give a more detailed picture of investing in collectibles.
You have to navigate floppy tacos and stale doughnuts in this world.
Love you Rudy ❤!
Im glad that i bought most of my FAB legendaries during dip in summer 2022, saved me hundreds dollars.
I was here for the bathroom video. Mightve been my first one around covid time
I think Pokemon is acting as a leading indicator on the TCG's market. Possible conclusion: rough times ahead for TCG's investors.
not if you are playing the long game anyway
That last bit is how I felt about evolving skies back in December 2021. I was awake at 4 in the morning when I decided id spend my tax returns on evolving skies BBs at 95$ a pop. I believed in it as most of the really rare cards were holding value while it had my brother and I favorite pokemon. If the set didnt retain its value id planned on completing the master set by opening a some cases and creating memories we could share as we usually get into Pokemon and drop it every other few years when sets we like come out. I ended up opening a case or two and we pulled a few of the most expensive cards only to find out the price of ES was slowly climbing after people got bored of the 25th-anniversaryary set. Fast forward I ended up buying the rest of the cards to complete our first master set during the singles price dips during the ES etb reprints in 2022. Id let go of a few boxes to make it possible as it made too much sense considering how much they go for but am still left with 24 more BBs. If you enjoy something take a chance wether you start big or small, test the waters especially when it comes to pokemon as I belive you'll almost certainly break even with enough time. Dont fomo gl lol
Keep 'em Pokemon videos coming !
I dunno about these easier pull rate statements I have opened quite a few booster boxes of Paldea and it's actually not all that great and def harder than base. The set is huge and there are a lot of worthless rares holos thrown in. I think people are just trying to find something to blame.
Yeah I've heard a lot of people say they're struggling to get all the big hits.
Are those Tazos hanging in the background?
$99 36 packs @$5 per pack $180 minus taxes still a profit on my end.
always loved cards and even some of the shows as a kid but i finally just got the itch to start collecting. i think i got in at a good time but who knows. i love it either way already and don't even plan to make money LOL just wanna enjoy something
GameStop gave me a bunch of free booster packs. They had a buy 2 get 1 deal and I stacked it with my power up rewards.
Never knew there was a problem with pokemon, I haven't opened a pack in 20 years.
Sounds like good product to pick up a few weeks to a month after it comes out at a huge discount with maximum enjoyablity when opening.
Monarch booster boxes to $1K !!! 😅😂 I'm still waiting after that crash and losing 75% of my money...ugh
Called dollar cost averaging - you should only be down about 15-30% if you bought in on the lows and not so lows. I did not go deep or time it well, and only need to clear $200 a box for breakeven after Rudy's pump and dump
@thefaceoffate I bought in the highs at $400 a box then bought a lot more boxes as prices continued to go down under $100 at the lows. My dollar cost avg is about $200 but still hurts and I'm still under water.
Obsidian flames will be good just because of zard
Which pokemon boxes are good to invest and buy today?
Xy era boxes worked out because of covid, we are back to normal and pokemon need to Reign in printing, also sword and shield era was an anomaly due to all the rares being stolen held back and so the pull rates are hard.
Damn Pokémon prices are just so much higher than a few years ago lol
New blocks take a year to get value after the old stuff rotates out. Playing Pokémon is important now. Look at event attendance.
Lol we are back to Rudy’s Bathroom era
scarlet violet was bound to crash, it's so bad and the fact they had to raise msrp prices makes it worse. it may cause pokemon to resort to reprinting SWSH sets (ES small reprint confirmed btw). who knows, they may even reprint cosmic eclipse due to demand and team up as well. but i think 151 will keep them occupied so probably not major reprints like how vivid voltage crashed into oblivion
Very true man, sadly true
Is it easier pull rate or just the guy taking every other rare was caught and no longer works at the printers
Xd
and yet jp pokemon is at an all time high
Base set's generally do bad anyway.
Great video thank you
It's not your fault! I did it of my own free will. I like werewolf and vampires, so you know which sets I went deep into. But I also went deep into MH2!
WIN SOME! LOSE SOME! Same goes for Pokémon! And any other collectable!
It makes perfect sense why these two sets are doing relatively bad. There's nothing desirable in either set. The base set is at least a base set, but that's all it has going for it. ALL Paldea Evolved has going for it is that the generation's starters are on the ETB. The next two sets will be wayyyy more desirable. Obsidian Flames is a Charizard set propped up by Dragonite and Tyranitar. It's going to be the most worthwhile set to buy since Evolving Skies, or at least it will be a real test of whether the pull rates are affecting prices and not just the lack of anything worth pulling in the first two sets. And then 151 will obviously do well long term since it's a gen 1 product. No one is going to care about Random Waifu X once they fade into the past, so any set where the chase card is some trainer that OG fans have never heard of is going to do relatively poorly over time. Obviously if people wait long enough the shit will be worth more than they bought it for, but these next two sets are like actually worth investing in.
Rudy rocks
❤ this video was great.
I brought 6 boxes at £84 shipped then another 7 at £74 shipped from the same seller 😅 people dumping
A lot of money flowing into 151 and holding out for obsidian flames at the moment
0:03 FOLKS~! ❤🤣
Scarlet and violet and Paldea evolved are fire sets im just waiting for the prices to go down to scoop up a bunch. The rest of the sets coming in are crazy I wouldn’t sleep on s/v
How much are you wanting to pay?
When dealing with timmies you need to say "No backies". Otherwise, they will think there is backies one year later.
Killer video.
This is why I cringe at people complaining about terrible pull rates, THAT'S A GOOD THING.
Wholesale prices too high, pull rates and new format tanks prices further. Secondary market sales too low. How do these stores make money???? They need to slow/lower production and increase quality control. Gesh…
If I hold long term on mullen. what you think?