3rd Parties Will Help Trump Win the 2024 Election (Polling Analysis)
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 19 พ.ค. 2024
- Voter interest in alternatives to the major parties is at its highest point in three decades, meaning that unless there's a significant decline in support for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and others over the summer and into the fall, the influence of third-party candidates on the 2024 Electoral College map will be the single most decisive factor in determining the election's outcome between former President Donald Trump and sitting President Joe Biden.
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I love how people claim Stein cost Hilary the election and ignore that Johnson out-performed her.
Trump would have won without third parties considering how johnson did
Hilary cost herself that election. She underestimated her opponent, after 8 years this dude was preaching how we’re going to make our nation great again and always said “ us “ when he referred to his campaign. Hilary called us all worthy of condemnation and her main campaign message was about herself not the people. She could’ve won bcuz a lot of those states were close like 2020 but she was just the most horrible candidate, such an unlikeable, corrupt, fake, and snobby politician.
@@CaiyrogStein voters would not vote for hillary because they hate her and think she is a horrible person.
More moderate view ... LOL. @@Caiyrog
True. Third-party angst comes up every time. However, i have to wonder how many people wouldn't vote AT ALL were it not for a third option. For instance, it is almost taken as gospel that Ralph Nader voters cost Al gore the presidency in 2000. Going back further, in 1980, there were quite a number of states in which independent John Anderson's vote total was greater than Reagan's margin over Jimmy Carter. If they hadn't voted for Anderson, how many would've voted at all?
The ultimate irony would be for Donald Trump to sekect RFKJR as director of the CIA.
Which means Trump paid RFK to run.
And Trey Gowdy to run the FBI
Ramaswamay press secretary
Rand Paul treasury
@@kootenaykid81 and Ronald McDonald as the hamburger inspector.
That would be amazing haha
@kootenaykid81 I'd put ramaswamy as either VP or CoS. Put him in a position where 1. He gains experience for 2028 and 2. Can lay the ground work for his agenda to root out the deep state once he gets elected.
If Kennedy gets a state I will be very impressed and it would actually be kind of surreal
I think there is a window (narrow but I see it there) if Kennedy can win a small number of electoral votes that ends of preventing any candidate from a majority of electoral votes. In this case the House of Representatives could find its way to supporting Kennedy as the politically acceptable compromise choice.
@@rjlt4841 state delegates would choose in that case, where a majority of 26 states wins the election. Considering there are more republican state majorities, Trump would win. I could see RFK getting a few in the states where its equally divided among dems and gop.
@@rjlt4841 unfortunately RFK Jr. is going to win ZERO states.
if he was capable of being on the debate stage. I could see him taking a couple
I want RFK jr on the debate stage.
RFK jr
@@coolbreezeGP sorry you’re correct I screwed up there.
@@spookymiraclepreacher6037 It would be cool to se RFK on the stage but I dont believe he would like the world of today.
Trump is demanding a debate with Joe ASAP ! But he would tear Joe up !! Joe has destroyed this nation. His handlers won't let him debate without a good drug cocktail.
@@moonpie2637His son certainly doesn't like it, that's why he's running. And I'm glad for that comment because I tell you, it really sickens me to the teeth all the people complaining about "Well if you vote for 3rd party you're 'really' voting for B because you're sucking votes from A..." People who say that and then turn around and complain when neither party gets anything done are part of the problem. I will vote for RFK2. Not against Trump. Not against Biden. But FOR RFK. Is it a crime to want to vote for someone you support rather than who will make things easier for your 2nd choice? Is this what it's come to? I also laugh at the irony of 3rd party being a wasted vote. So me voting for RFK because I truly believe in him is a wasted vote, yet you not doing so because you think it'll hurt/help someone else, that's NOT wasting a vote?
May all of the third party "hopefuls" take votes away from the current Despot-in-chief.
Moderate Democrats, or "Kennedy" Democrats (older), will help RFK pull votes away from Biden, since the Democrats have strayed too far left for them.
Maybe some will come to their senses and vote Trump!!
@@spaceace1006yea, vote for the guy who increased America’s National Debt by 25% while blundering his tariff war on China 😂😂😂. Really a smart guy 😂
@@spaceace1006 Trump and RFK Jr. are in the same 'Epstein' club
@@homiej8163thought China phase one was signed. USMCA passed too. Biden is planning to keep Trumps tariffs on.
The two party system is the biggest problem with the country that's keeps it divided. Everyone should be an independent candidate and have their own views instead of the status quo.
More parties solves nothing. There is no system that can be invented to weed out people considered extremist or non mainstream.
Democrats claim only moderates win elections and Biden is no moderate. Maybe 40 years ago he was considered one, but this is his fourth run for president. Obviously he has been hurt by things like plagiarism and age and other issues, not where he falls on the political scale.
Rank choice voting or putting both parties in one primary are both non starters too me. I think both are stupid.
We all know the Dominion machines were rigged in 2020, my uncle said so, and he was a federal employee whistleblower with evidence.
Polarization will never go away, can’t blame Trump. It existed back as far as Clinton and Bush Jr.
The word moderate means nothing to me. One can move the goalposts on the definition of it on anything from food, alcohol use or politics
Trump’s opinions and ideas were moderate viewpoints in 2015 and 2016. And in order for the left to escape how close they were to independent viewpoint, the left had to go even further left. But those viewpoints are now considered right wing and what is left over for moderates and independents? There is not much left in the middle between the two parties.
That would solve nothing……… Politics has always been cutthroat. That will never change. Governor Cox of Utah wants a disagree better program. I want Utah to boot him for another Republican governor. Cox hates Trump and he is a career politician like Biden.
@@Streetlocksmithit’s not the viewpoints. The parties are the same things. They aren’t safe havens for differing ideologies. The two parties are a safe haven for corporations and elites to pool money into and dictate who each president will be. The two parties are private entities deciding public outcomes. I will not put another vote into either of the parties as long as I am in this shitty country, because they are undemocratic and to vote for a rep or dem is a direct vote against democracy
I honestly would not be so worried about our economy if it was trump and rfk
Trump wrecked our economy though.
Whats wrong with the economy?
@@charlest2858 inflation, mortgage rates. I been trying to buy a house the last two years but can’t
@@charlest2858 the economy is shit gas is 3 dollars higher from previous cabinet. We are also funding endless wars. The above causing inflation and mortgage rates are so high I can’t buy my dream house
@@charlest2858 Idk, our money is toilet paper now?
You missed the mark on 2016. Gary Johnson garnered more votes than Jill Stein and considering he was a popular libertarian with similar policies to Trump, had Johnson bowed out Trump would have likely won Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Johnson's home state of New Mexico. So the Jill Stein alternate reality is rendered moot.
I did the math out of curiosity. If Johnson wasn’t in the race, Trump would’ve won Minnesota, New Hampshire, Colorado and New Mexico
@@SuperNeos2well only feelings matter to liberals
You’re forgetting a lot of Johnson voters just wouldn’t have voted. If Johnson had dropped out AND endorsed trump then you’re probably right. But many libertarians are more liberal
@@bababooey8330 There are conservative & liberal libertarians. Johnson was a left-libertarian. Right-Libertarians would be someone like Austin Petersen.
@@Hschlick84 admittedly, my memory of Gary Johnson's platform is pretty hazey, but I don't remember him being left-libertarian. I could be wrong. I tend to associate libertarianism with fiscal conservatism, social moderation, and small government... Not exactly "left-leaning stuff". I can't say with certainty where Johnson votes would've gone, but it seems far-fetched to think they would break for establishment politician, war hawk, big gov Hillary Clinton.
let RFK debate both of them.
Cheap Gas & a President Who Doesn't Mumble 2024
Not how the Federal Reserve works, Einstein.
Our money was worth more, housing was more affordable, we weren't facing a war with Russia, Iran, or China, our civil liberties weren't under attack on a daily basis, etc.
Joe Biden is a traitor and the Deep State is villainous af.
Gas is about 2.90 to 3.20 where I am. That's prety much the same I was paying in 2019.
As someone who graduated with a PoliSci major, this is very impressive. Honest calculations by the author that isn't tilted left or right. Fantastic job here!
Most useless degree possible
Communications has left the chat.
@@changedpace9169 used your mom last night
@@changedpace9169 nobody cares about your opinion.
@@docliquidplays7989 atleast you can be the manager someplace with a communications degree lol
RFK Jr. will help RFK Jr. win the election
RFK Jr is helping his buddy Trump. They both belong to Epstein club
??????????????
TH-cam. The film the Trump Organization tried to suppress | You've Been Trumped Too (2020) | Full Film
Third party’s are often overlooked but I have seen more support for RFK than any other third party in recent times
The only thing I can say is that I hope your correct. We need a leader. Not the buffoon who's occupied that chair for the last four years
Appreciate the hard work you put in these videos
Something I noticed is that left news keeps saying RFK jr. will help trump win. While right news says RFK jr. help Biden win. (Also where did they get there polling data depending how it can be very inaccurate to decently okay)
I say RFK Jr will help Trump more than hurt him, his voting base is already incredibly devoted and wants him to win if for no other reason than revenge against Biden. It's why he was the clear winner of the primaries compared to say, Vivek who also appeals to many of the same points but just doesn't have the same star power and weight of influence. If people actually wanted a politician like Trump but "without the baggage" they would've picked DeSantis but that just didn't happen. Contrasting this, Biden has never been truly popular or conected with his voters, he was just the anti-Trump blue figurehead. More moderate Democrat voters who are disgusted with Biden's handling of... pretty much everything that's happened in his term are more likely to vote Kennedy than another term of a clearly rapidly degrading old man.
Or in other words, Trump voters love Trump more than Biden voters hate him, they're not going to pick anyone else this time around while those on the left probably will in good numbers.
Former rep voting Kennedy
Do you really think Texas and Florida are going to be that low? That doesn’t seem likely given the border issues
Do you live in either state? There's an interesting map that shows "fear of immigrants" increasing the farther you get from the southern border. Texas and Florida are also very diverse; including a large plurality of latinos, some who are extremely conservative like Miami Cubans and some who aren't, like many 2nd and 3rd Gen chicanos.
Montana will not go 3rd party, that pic is friggin disgusting. Montana is Trump country.
@@brandoninhofer6592
But Montana is Jon Tester land!
@@stevegarcia3731 Montana has another senator, governor, plus 2 reps who aren't dems.
@@stevegarcia3731 Saying Montana goes for RFK is just like saying Montana goes Dem... not happening.
I believe that if it were not for Chicago, IL would be a republican state. We should have separate districts like Maine and Nebraska.
Amen to that. Every large city screws things up for everyone else in the state. Even California is a "red" state when you take away the election fraud. That's why California has several counties that has more votes counted than registered voters in the county.
I’d move back to Illinois if Chicago were separate from it
It's the sad truth, a massive part of voting is determined by just a few urban hellholes that just pile people up like termite mounds and brainwash them into thinking their destitute way of life makes them more intelligent and important than anyone living outside of the heaps.
Look at each states population density maps then look at the election maps in each state
I live in Crook County, Illinois and I second that motion!!!
RFK would make a great Attorney General
That he would.
He's running against Trump too why would Trump appoint someone who ran against him?
That's not gonna happy anyways because Trump is taking the big L again.
Advice of The Day: Opposing viewpoints shouldn’t be censored 🤬 rather than it should be debated. What happened to go old fashion debates? All of sudden if you’ve difference of opinions with someone you get censored 🤬 which is wrong.
Nah we should ban speech about LGBT delusions
The most significant third party candidate I remember is Ross Perot. RFK is the biggest since then.
And he's in the race to win!
I wanna see a video of RFK's best-case scenario. Can he win a few states like George Wallace?
Not likely, Wallace had a big Dixiecrat block plus a lot of big city urban Whites voted against bussing. Different issues and different voting block.
@@davidneumann5175 I'm not saying he'll win the same states or that it's likely, but I ran a best-case scenario and he won seven
Probably not. Democrats will give him money to campaign in red states, and Republicans will give him money to campaign in blue states. He won't win any states, but he could screw things up enough to alter the outcome of the election.
Do a video on the states that are locks for Trump. And also how border crisis is shifting the electorate towards Trump. Georgia should be a lock imo
FAKE BORDER CRISIS
THE
251 MILLION REAL AMERICANS
DON'T CARE ABOUT
IMMIGRATION
No it’s not since it’s getting around that the republicans blocked the bill that would of fixed the issue
Georgia North Carolina Arizona Michigan are lock for Biden
@@barronspears Get off the crack pipe.
@@evr0.904 trump lost almost all those states he's gonna lose again North Carolina will flip 2024
Last poll had Trump up 10 in Michigan. WTH?
the Muslims are really upset with biden. if they don't vote, trump has michigan
What about the 22 million unregistered voters?? 😂
They're just called criminals from an objective standpoint
Biden is done regardless
It’s trump that’s toast not president Biden
Troll^^
@@darrenukNovember 5 will be here before we know it.TRUMP 2024!!!
@@carlos16094Nov 5th does not feel close at all
The troll is right, remember how obvious 2020 rigging was now imagine what they're going to do
wow this is really going to change a lot of people thoughts about what is going on in this 2024 election
youtbe. The film the Trump Organization tried to suppress | You've Been Trumped Too (2020) | Full Film
Solid info! Great breakdown!
Trump2024
Amen! Keep pushing it... we cannot take a single vote for granted. Each of us needs to fight for every single vote.
I can't wait for this video to be proven wrong in November so all you magas cry rigged again like you did in 2020.
Thank you for this video. I was wondering about RFK’s effects. I really enjoy your analysis, Thanks again.
Why do I feel that if it was Trump v RFK that Kennedy would will. Or at least run better than Biden would against Trump. I don't think that most of the ignorant voters even know RFK is an option. So if Biden was out and people realize that this guy is one of the famous Kennedy's running as a Democrat then I think he comes close to winning.
He's an anti-vaxxer lunatic with the voice of an elderly dalek. People like the _idea_ of RFK, Jr.
This is a good foundation for explaining why we have a "2 party system". We have the ability to choose our nation's CEO, unlike a parliamentary system. So it's better to be strategic and concentrate in a zero sum game. The popularity of the other parties only comes about when the country is more fractured in culture - notice the last time in the 90s was also during the surge of PC (woke) culture and riding high on the backs of an economic boom. Third parties serve a good purpose as an alarm for either party to keep them in check with the middle.
Ross Perot. Only this time with a better outcome
If he just stayed in the race he was beating the 2 party candidates. Our manufacturing economy would be saved.
@@spookymiraclepreacher6037One of the biggest tragedies was Perot leaving. He lost all momentum
@@SuperNeos2 yeah for sure. I don’t remember what made him leave and come back. Life threatened? I mean he ran against a Clinton and they like to suicide witnesses especially at that time period.
The best outcome in 92 would’ve been for Perot winning the presidency. But Clinton winning over Bush was still a better outcome in 92
@@spookymiraclepreacher6037The debt would be three quarters what it is today
This was very informative, even if it is just a simulation. Thank you for the video!
In some states RFK Jr is polling at 20%. In others he almost is in second place.
And it’s only the beginning of the year which he’s has a big chance to win
The critical thing is not the percentages, but in which states.
ya RFK 'Epstein' Jr
JUNOR IS A FLAT EARTHIER ANTI VAX NUTTER!
No worries the U.S. is at the cusp of collapse and breakup!
Vote rfk it’s possible!
RFK Jr only needs to be on the ballot in key swing states to have a significant impact on the election. He will be on the ballot in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and is a write-in candidate in Pennsylvania. I'm hoping for Wisconsin next.
It is better if he was in the ballot in ALL 50 US states and the District of Columbia!
Third parties tend to poll higher than the actual share of votes they get.
RFK Jr would be more effective if he didn't have that unfortunate condition with his voice. Just saying.
He better hope a lot of old videos don't resurface, too. I remember the first video I saw of him (after he dropped out of sight for decades) where he and his half-dozen or so supporters were protesting and trying to shut down coal - blaming all our environmental woes on the evil Republicans and their coal producing states. (At the time, most coal producing states were solidly Democrat.) That's why I cringe when people keep expressing their support for him when they don't know a damn thing about him.
@@dougearnest7590 babe, you clearly know nothing about him.
@@dougearnest7590we know. We just know his views have changed. He had a huge shift during covid
Congrats on the 100k!
Thank you!!
@@ElectionPredictionsOfficialYT Wait, you only have 100k subscribers? That's still impressive but you deserve much more
vote for who you want, not because your scared of another person. Whatever happens, happens.
I need you to post more. Love all your prediction videos
I really like your videos of political elections.
I 🙏 pray to God you’re correct with your prediction! 🤙
Praying to a made up sky daddy.
I thought u quit youtube for a second. Great video!
he hadnt done a video for like 10 days before this calm down. no need to panic and think they quit just because of no video uploads for a little over a week.
And the fact that we have all these issues in this country and his number one concern is Ukraine makes me sick
Trump supporters cannot get complacent. Act like we are down by 20. Go out and vote, vote, vote!
So true, because the Dems will be working the ballot harvesting gig like there is no tomorrow in our nursing homes, universities and all through the unban cities gathering up 100's of 1000's of ballots. It is why Biden is in office.
Let's make them wear out those printing presses trying to keep up with the demand for 3:00 a.m. votes.
Good, I am now all for third parties! Trump 2024, Too Big to Rig
Oh come on....Trump isn't THAT fat...
the last time I voted was in 2008. I didn’t vote for anyone in 2012 since I didn’t care for anyone. I was split between voting for Hillary or Trump. I didn’t think Trump would win in 2016 so I didn’t vote for him, and I thought Hillary was out played by Trump during the debates that’s why I didn’t vote for her. I started supporting Trump after I seen what he did with the economy after he became president, because the only thing I experienced under Obama was misery and hardship. I didn’t feel confident to vote for anyone even though I supported Trump in 2020. Now after observing a drastic difference between Biden’s policies, which caused inflation, the Ukraine war, high gas prices, high grocery, increased rent and vehicle prices. People scalping certain products after covid, etc. Which I blame all on Biden and his support and lack of hold back of the stimulus he approved to spending ballooning our deficit even higher which we certainly don’t need. Compared to Trump’s policies, I faired certainly better under Trump. I felt safer under Trump. Trump show that he cared significantly more about the well-being of the American. His foreign policy was spot on, especially with tariffs. He stood up to NATO. He stood up to the European Union and their tariffs on American made goods. He put China in their place for intellectual property theft, which was hurting corporations. Kim Jong-un didn’t bother us. So overall, I felt like Trump did a really good job on foreign policy better than anyone else the last three decades. Oh, and he got NAFTA re-signed to help American farmers and a slew of other positive economic policies with that deal. In 2015 he went up to Michigan and told GM and other car manufacturers not to ship manufacturing to Mexico because if you do, I’m going to put tariffs on those vehicles when they’re imported. So he saved a lot of jobs in Michigan. I can go on and. So I can very easily say I am enthusiastic to vote for Trump in 2024. I have zero doubts. He will win! You don’t see anyone else doing any of these things that Trump did because everyone else’s bought by lobbyist and special interests and Trump can’t be bought.
Vote rfk jr please.
You are talking the biggest load of rubbish it is because of the way trump put your country in debt is why everything is so much expensive when will you America learn you can not keep making money so you can live a high lifestyle and the only people who were better off when trump was in office were the wealthy and it is because trump was in Putins office and did not keep a close watch on that evil bas are that was able to invaded and kill so many innocent people how many more countries is he going to be allowed to do this to and if your trump gets in he will try and turn America into another Russia he has already stated some of the things he will do trump is insane and has dementia if you can say that biden has it then trump is just the same when will you America stop being so selfish and think of you country trump is destroying America and all its history so he can make money he lied to all of you when he said he was not making money and did not take his wages he was making money all the time and a lot more than his wages this is a man who has pay very little taxes or supported his country all his life and he was a democratic for years and only moved to the republican party because the democratic would not let him anywhere near their party and the republican party has disgrace itself and has become lawless just like trump who would ever have believe that some Americans would vote for a dictator go ahead and vote for trump and you and America will regret it you might not suffer but your children and grandchildren will in years to come America once was a lawless country and it will be one again if trump has his ways a lot of people around the world have lost faith in America people and when trump was in office the visitors to America went down big time as a lot of people from other countries detest him he is a old man just like biden and neither of them should be running for office and if anyone from the Kennedy family help trump or the republican party then they are traitor I just hope that by the time the election come around that his illness will to advance for him to take office did you learn nothing when it happened Mr Regan but he was a good leader and he never sold his country out like trump did how can this happen to a big beautiful country that you can not find a younger honest good person who is for his country and people anyone who votes for trump should hang their head in shame because a lot of people believe that you will be at war with a few other countries and some of the people that has been you alleys for year will not support you trump mouth is too big and he is not a clever smart man and he will destroy America
@@Deadbeatwaffleno, stop begging for votes for a third party. There is just no chance to win.
The world was objectively a better place when Trump was president. No new wars, booming consumer confidence and foreign policy that kept jobs here in the USA. Trump is the obvious choice.
@@Deadbeatwaffle But why?
It is difficult for me to comment positive or negative because of my personal bias. Normally that would mean that I would view your work positively when you favor my preferred candidate and negatively when you do not. But that's not a good metric to use. It does a disservice to you and is unfair to myself. What I will say is that I find your even handedness refreshing. I've looked at a lot of similar channels and most of them have an obvious bias and are too quick to let their electoral maps reflect that. And it shows. Therefore I look forward to each of your episodes, knowing that I will see a reasonably fair assessment that does not reflect your own personal bias (I assume you have one, most people do), but instead reflects the facts as they exist at the time of the episode being published. That's refreshing. Thank you.
Finally a thorough analysis including all three third-party candidates! I suppose the impact of Stein and West is too small to quantify. Anyway, good news for Trump. As a European I endorse Trump for president!
I'm curious - which European country?
@@vKazak8165 I am from the Netherlands but I am living and working in Luxembourg, a tiny country wedged between Germany and France.
I'm waiting to see who the Libertarians will run. Then if that person, and RFK are not on the stage with Biden and Trump it will be a real shame. The same people who claim to want to "preserve Democracy" don't actually want it at all.
Nazi Germany of course@@vKazak8165
@@ernstvandijk6342Actually Luxembourg is little more than a principality. But ✅ to Netherlands.
I feel like the only thing that will happen differently in the election compared to this map you have created will be that Trump will probably win Michigan, and has a likely chance to get the 2nd district in Nebraska by tilt margins, according to fellow pollsters. Either way, good video! Good day.
Yeah there’s zero chance Trump will win Wisconsin and Pennsylvania without also winning Michigan
I think Biden should sweep the former blue wall states, but I agree that trump should get NE 02
@@RuneCodeCurrent data does not bear that out I'd like to hear your rationale.
Rfk will win Michigan
@@Deadbeatwaffle I would not have a problem with that but sadly RFK Jr doesn’t have big polling in most states because he is not recognized enough. I could maybe see him winning Nevada, Utah, or Arizona if he got popular enough, but I just can’t ever see it happening with Michigan.
I wish RFK Jr. could help RFK Jr. be our next president.
Bro the text notification you got at 16:48 scared me so bad bcuz I’m home alone babysitting and it sounded so faint but realistic since I’m wearing air pods 😂😂 I thought someone was hiding in the house and there phone went off, I had to run to the room to rewind the video 😭😭
I have voted third party in the past and this year, as you pointed out, is probably their best year yet, but I am convinced that the T man, in spite of my not actually liking him, is in fact needed to get the country back to where we were 15 years ago... in the middle where we can work out differences.
You've got to be kidding me? The T man doesn't give a shit about ANY Americans other than himself. He wants to make as much money as he can, while building his connections as much as possible to try to make sure he doesn't get locked up after his presidency. What is 'unifying' about Donald fucking Trump?
You're full of shit.
The T man is Trump, right?
You realize Trump ruined our economy in 2020 right? How do people forget that?
@@kmartradiowrong, the dem states like New York and others, which are a huge part of the economy, decided to shut things down and several small business suffered
@@kmartradio how can you put blame on anyone over a natural event called Covid? How ignorantly biased do you have to be? Keep your opinions closed. And tell it to someone who cares.😂❤
Trump beats biden without JFK jr. as well...
Amen! Keep pushing it... we cannot take a single vote for granted. Each of us needs to fight for every single vote.
*Rfk Jr.
It’s RFK Jr lol and it’s much more close of a race without RFK Jr in it.
Trump won 2020 we all know that. They stole the election and we showed our tummies to them
I like your content. Consider a mic mixer to allow you to pull some bass out of your recordings. The boom is very pronounced.
It's gonna be huge!
It’s gonna be Yuge!!!
Hard to disagree, as Ross Perot promoters said, vote your conscience.
doh
told you long time ago
oldschool dems will vote RFK
How about everyone grabs friends and family who were offended by mean tweets. Tell them to vote for trump so we can put out this dumpster fire they started.
In other words, the best way to prevent Trump from winning is for Biden to drop out.
After the Tyson layoffs and Haiti mess I completely In the Trump camp.
As someone with family living in the UK and are suffering from a horrible economy after Biden forced Europe to get involved in Russia/Ukraine and Israel/Gaza, I'm voting Trump.
Trump will let Russia win immediately. Same with Israel. We get Russian oil. Gas goes down. Stock market rips. And we stop spending billions on these useless wars.
remember when Kanya was runnin for president lmao
Wasn't *Kanya where Obama was born? LMAO
He would be better than Biden.
Obama wasn't even an citizen he was born in Kenya not Hawaii sheriff joe arrpio knew Obamas Hawaii birth certificate was fake. Obama won because first black president of the United States.
@spookymiraclepreacher6037 Nah, I think Kanye would probably be worse. He's legitimately sick in the head.
@@spookymiraclepreacher6037 he is running Biden's presidency as it is lol
Awesome. RFK third party win votes yes Thomas. Brilliant content. He get 11% US vote RFK Third party.
I agree with the overall outcome. However I think the amount of votes pulled from Trump are severely overstated and the amounts pulled from biden severely understated. People who like trump don't like RFK they respect him. There's a difference. Like would be "I'm open to voting for him" respect is "he's not bad." Also let's not forget up until last year RFK was a Democrat darling. They absolutely loved him. I think he will pull substantially more democrats than Republicans.
People see his stance on vaccines yet forget the fact that he is a flaming liberal on every other issue. His father was literally the king of flaming liberals. I respect RFK Jr. as well for sticking it to the DNC, but he doesn't get my vote just by doing that. Biden supporters who think that RFK is not an issue for them are going to be in for a really big shock.
Popularity literally doesn't mean anything, if everyone in the opposing party hates you but you get 100% turnout of your party because you're loved, you can still win. If all the haters are in California it means nothing.
You are an excellent orator, and you are extremely articulate.
Monotonous and unpleasant voice as f...
Pretty good analysis keep at it
California for Trump!!!
TURN CALI REDDDDDD
Stop being dumb and be realistic
Amen! Keep pushing it... we cannot take a single vote for granted. Each of us needs to fight for every single vote.
Texas will turn blue before California turns red
I was looking for a funny joke today. Thanks for this!
Southerners aren't going to waste votes on losers.
why can’t American have a legitimate 3rd party?? Both the Dems n Rep fight this concept and we Americans suffer every election!
Well said. Our 2-party system has become so corrupt.
America has a long history of rising third parties, but one of the major parties (sometimes both) end up co-opting the contral idea that the rising third party is bases around. The late 1890 and early 1900 Progressive Party never won a national office, but every item of their party platform was eventualy enacted into law. Not necessarily good law, but law.
The Dems are much, much stronger in opposing a third party candidate than Republican's. The Dems charge are arrest political opponents and impeach opposition for any thing they feel. No one likes competition, but as to who HATES it more, like would be DEMS all day long.
@@criszadrozny4015 Only partially well said. The Dems are much, much stronger in opposing a third party candidate than Republican's.
@@pep590 if that was true, Trump would have never became president considering he’s a moderate who ran on an independent ticket also a third-party, before switching to Republican.
Oh Lord, I hope so!
I would t be surprised if NJ becomes a close swing state. We have yet to see a poll but many New Yorkers have switched from NY to NJ due to policy. The latest NY Times/Sienna poll only has Biden up 10 in NY
No we are still very blue, even with low voter turnout. Dema gained seats in the state house in an odd election year.
With 3 parties, it will be like in Taiwan. They got a minority president.
I am Asian vote for Trump because he puts American first
check out RFK Jr. He's the real deal.
Love your spreadsheet. It’s so well designed
youtbe. The film the Trump Organization tried to suppress | You've Been Trumped Too (2020) | Full Film
Trump is ahead and gaining more popular in Michigan and in New Mexico
Trump should press gang RFK jr to be his Vice.
That’ll be a great way to get disenfranchised dems and independents/3rd party voters
Thats A great way for Trump to definitely lose the election again.
Knowing a tad more about RFK Jr than the average person who knows nothing about RFK Jr, I would be against having him as VP - however, you make a good point - he could bring in more of the clueless vote. @@andrewghostronin38
I think it will be tusli gabbard for same effect
He did, he declined since he's running himself. But maybe he'll have a cabinet position
Most democrats that i know in my family, friends and colleagues circles are mostly going for Trump this time. Biden unfortunately has zero chance unless they pull a 🐇 out of a. 🎩
Mail-in ballot printer go brrrrr
Hmm every Dem I know is voting GenocideJoe because Trump will take away abortion. Sad but true
@@riskyflash6812?
Do you mind me asking what state you are all in? Rural or suburban?
I have never voted for a major party and I never will. RFK all the way
Great analysis! I didn’t realize how much the third-party could affect the election results
I am thinking about Virginia
Could Trump win Virginia
Since Glenn youngkin won Virginia for governor.
Can Trump win Virginia???
Is that possible????
No. The suburbs of DC have such a large population that they overpower the rest of the state, which is mostly conservative.
Government workers won't vote for less government.
Trump has more energy than Diden even he has 3 yrs in gap age . Congratulations for president Trump God bless 😊
Wake up. Trump is a sham. Vote rfk jr or risk being stuck in a duopoly until the country crumbles.
Love how everyone blames Stein for Hillary losing but in every state in question Johnson got way more votes than Stein. Libertarian vote usually drains more from GOP than Dem. Hillary didnt even go to Wisconsin, her arrogance and laziness, not Stein, is what sunk her
I’m one of those weird Stein 2016 voters, and for what it’s worth, Stein did not “draw my vote away” from Hillary Clinton. I would never have voted for Clinton.
This is also anecdotal, but I have a couple of friends in swing states who are supporting RFK, and neither of them would even consider voting for Biden (or Harris or Newsom, if they end up as the unelected “nominees”).
trump just said he condems the congress ban on tik tok. while biden will pass the law can you please make a video on how this may or may not sway gen z voters in this election thank you!
It won’t. Most voters won’t care about that.
When trump was president he wanted to ban TikTok so congress has done it
The rumor is Gen Z will commit suicide if TikTok is banned, so if they are dead it will help Biden, because dead people always vote for democrats
It will have very little affect imo.
It’s a Trojan horse for the government to ban USA apps and websites.
The wokes need to lose.
Swing state voter here, voting FOR RFK no matter what!
Thanks alot. You will guarantee a trump win. Thanks again. 😂
He probably won't win, but if he wins even one state, that will set a precedent for the next election to show Americans that third parties can actually gain support. And who knows if the Dems and GOP can't nomiate any good candidates a third party might have a shot.
Maybe. Really, they should start small (state and local levels) and try to build on whatever successes they may have there.
trump for uk !
Play it like he is way ahead. The best way for Trump to lose is if people are sure he will win
It seems that the media learned their mistakes of 2016.
That’s what happened in 2020
I wish ppl would stop giving their vite to those who dont deserve it, if just 3 states voted any third-party our election would be very different
Hahahahahaha i said the same thing to my mom the other day when we talking about it. I was like this is great news for Trumpers.
youtbe. The film the Trump Organization tried to suppress | You've Been Trumped Too (2020) | Full Film
I heard Hawaii is voting for Trump ❤2024 🎉🎉🎉
Yea right
It is entirely possible. Biden is deeply unpopular there after the Maui wildfires.
Hawaii - birthplace of Obama's photoshopped birth certificate, if not of Obama himself.
Get your ears checked.
YES ! YES ! Brandon Biden hates that !
Jill Stein has a criminal record in North Dakota.
Really? What did she do?
@@2015BLOXXERshe got arrested
It’s nice to see third parties polling well
Are you adjusting your predictions to take into account industrial levels of mail in ballot fraud? Obviously this was the single biggest determinative factor in the 2020 election.
RFK is nearly polling high enough to get on the debates provided Rs and Ds don't move the goalposts again. Considering both Biden and Trump are net unpopular, and RFK is net popular, as soon as people realize that not only can he pickup support but he can win, we might not be a spoiler but the lead candidate. He has appeal to edges of both parties but more importantly towards independents which makes up as many voters as the Rs and Ds combined, and in a 3 way race only 34% is needed to win. Of course one thing that the DNC and GOP agree 100% on is that Americans should have no other choices besides themselves.
Trump is very popular. That's bullshit that he's not. His popularity has even grown since 2020. Trump 2024 love that guy 😂
I don’t really get the point of voting for the 3rd person when there’s a zero chance they’ll win
I hope!