Love the honesty and outlook! This is something that I've been worried about, and hearing some other TH-camrs' false confidence about AI "never becoming good enough" to replace them, has not been helpful. I appreciate the tips and the rest of the channel!
Thanks for the comment Brocton! I don’t ever want to promote fear, but I do think it is best to be prepared to pivot and accept these incoming technologies rather than pretend they don’t pose a risk. Thanks for watching
AI doesn't need to do your work perfectly to destroy your freelance job. All it needs to do is substantially reduce the workload. Then all you need to do is understand the basic concept of supply and demand. More automated supply means that the demand side will ask for much lower prices. Much much much lower.
Things became complex. That's why people separated like web designer, UI-UX designer, front-end developer, back-end developer. With AI, things will become much easier. Because of this, we will become full stack devs who can do everything. I mean there will be new type of full stack development in the future.
These tools are CRAZY! Great points you bring up, AI doesn't have to be the death of our careers, we could actually use it to boost our careers IF you don't panic and instead UTILIZE the tools 🤑
@Zack Wick Learn programming then let it code something for you. Most of the time people just talk that type od shit without knowing anything. Look fireships video about AI there were failed ones before and this one is gonna fail too
@Zack Wick But in the end as you are aware its impossible to autopilot it plus you need to lnow programming which makes it usless for peiple who dont know how to programm. So chill it wont take anyons job its gonna be tool at best
@Zack Wick And you really think someone is gonna allow machhines to develop themselves that much if they ever become able to. I tried chat gpt for coding tonight and what it was good for is when u forget simple syntax and some more simple stuff. As soon ss I asked how do I remove event listener from within itself, it couldnt give remotey good answer so yeah we can chill and use it as a tool
@Zack Wick bro you had multiple times where this failed it will fail again dont go into consipracy theories. It can be used as tool and thats all. Also yes i prompted it multiple ways it couldnt give it to me so yeah it cant do it
A lot of good points. But the no manual coding part.. even if you haven't had to open VSCode in a while, you're still going to need to know how to code, bare minimum for times when you are trying to shoehorn new things in, make two things work that your AI prompts aren't able to, optimize, and customize later. Not to mention subtleties regarding frameworks. Don't expect AI to spit out a complete, pro level Angular project with the push of a button any time soon.
Humans can't possibly compete in the department of optimization due to iteration/time limitations which AI are much less affected by with computing power.
The issue that comes to my mind is that these AI designs are inspired by what humans made. As we know, webdesign keeps changing and the types of websites we have now are almost nothing like at the beginning. If AI takes over and all there is in a couple of years or decades is AI designs only, then how will the AI innovate and come up with new design trends?
You can guide it with your input and create something new, this idea that ai is like this solo thing that only spits out designs without some type of human input on design is very false. it just makes designing and idea formations very very fast cause it automates alot of stuff we've been doing over and over again.
It won't. The larger the model, the more expensive it is to train & run, so there's a motivation to "lock" it for lengthy periods between training runs. I can easily see users becoming dependent on AI, unable to even conceive of new content - creativity is a muscle, it def gets rusty if you don't use it.
It can learn literally instantly! All u gotta do is feed it all the new trends and BAM u can create design using new trends. Not only that, AI is able to predict trends so people who use AI can pretty much trendy designs first.
Love this positive outlook. If you want to work in ANY electronic media you must adapt and evolve. Being stagnant will kill your career. Get uncomfortable once in a while. Nice take.
Really appreciate perspective! I think it’s helpful to think of the ways we can improve our work or business, rather than trying to hold on to how we work today.
The very last subject that stupid computers might replace is organic feeling and human creativity. the only ones who can be worried are designers who have been uncreative so far anyway :)
I'm guessing the risk is that AI gets so good that someone basically creates a super creative and efficient Wix that automatically writes awesome copy, builds custom layout, and adapts the design automatically over time for efficiency. Most small to medium business owners would probably build their landing page internally if such existed.
Except that AI doesn't know what good branding/marketing looks like, or how to achieve target KPIs, or what human-centric design is. If all you need is to auto-fill a template with bland About/Buy/Contact Us copy, then probably Wix & Square will come up with an auto-gen service. But most clients, especially enterprise, gov't/education, brand & campaign-targeted landing pages, etc are going to need something that reflects a host of business & human considerations.
@@josselincol I could see it as a step-by-step walkthrough, drilling down into "what kind of website do you need?" But most people aren't good at really defining their problem-space, so no matter how good the tech is, they won't really be able to direct it to a good solution. Designers & developers aren't just there to write code/make pretty pics, we're there to translate all the hand-wavey, abstract-thinking, & domain-specific targets into something concrete. That's always going to be a fairly unique/needed skill-set, because ppl don't change as quickly as tech.
He is point on, whoever denies this is just trying to make himself feel better plus this is only early stage, from gpt 3 to gpt 4 is already a big improvement so imagine the next ones
Not a designer but a guy who needs a few websites. At the moment the only useful think i found they are good at is creating hero images. Some illustration if needed. Thats all. Not even good at icons, buttons, sections, footers, inner pages etc. And for sure no animations. Yes 10 years of training later it will be a bit different, but only if one day there is a additional manual interaction.
I found the AI tools get writing and designing ideas kickstarted, on far less coffee than I need to get going. That's how I'm working them into my process, to put something on the proverbial blank page.
Thanks for easing my nerves a bit about AI. I'm a computer science major graduating from uni soon and all this talk about AI replacing programmers and starting to automate parts of other careers I'm interested in worries me. Hopefully we got at least a few more decades before AI replaces our jobs. 😅😅
It can be scary but if nothing else, as developers/designers we are taught to think outside the box and solve problems. There will always be a place for our kind!
Don't worry, as a pro developer, most of the job is working with humans. Understanding the business, balancing user needs/wants, translating IRL processes & workflows to code, and then maintaining that code across systems/generations/business changes. UI/UX is even more human-centric, since you really are designing an interface to meet humans where they're at (or where you want them to be). No matter how well-trained, an AI just doesn't really understand people, or what will evoke human emotion.
These computers are not sentient, they are still programs that are able to save new information in relevant files. They are not alive, nor ever will be.
While yeah, AI could replace us, I seriously doubt that a lot of people will want to actually use it in it's full potential. I mean, I work as an accountant and most of my clients wont even sort their invoices correctly. So I don't think most business owners will magically gravitate away from designers. Designers of any kind just will have more tools to use.
I was doing design back in 1985. But I hated it, rubylithe over lays and comping your text and handing it to a typesetter. I was working a "StatCamera" back then to prep art for printing. Saw the web in 1991 and never looked back. Thank god also for Apple in 1987. I had to teach myself Photoshop because I didn't have a manual. Now I am into AI and MidJourney. Did a brief stint into VR but VR is so antiquated. We need a device that tracks eye movement in a room and displays via laser images directly on the retina. Yes, it is safe.
I expected clickbait, but this is actually a well-reasoned argument and a useful video! But I think you're wrong about there being no manual coding in a few years. There's always someone managing the robotic assembly lines, and at least someone managing the self-serve checkouts at grocery stores. So I think many devs will lose their jobs, but there will ALWAYS be some (albeit reduced) need for coders. At the very least, to fix the bugs that the machines can't. But probably more than that.
MidJourney already produces a “trendy” like web design. They all have a similar look and feel to them in my experience. If I am correct, AI can only produce out of what already exists. So it can’t really create anything but from what humans create. It seems to me web design will have to be mostly human driven for AI to even work.??
Definitely. WordPress is easier than getting your HTML/CSS/JavaScript spelled out for you and having to utilize it on your own, and people still hire others to do it for them. AI is way way overhyped.
MidJ also is just producing an image mockup, usually of a single page/screen. It has no context, no concept of user-flow, no way to extract those component pics and produce a usable layout. It also doesn't understand accessibility standards, framework specs, security, user-profiles/archetypes, etc. It just makes pretty pics for easily-impressed clients. But someone (a team, often) will still have to actually turn that into a complete, working website/app/experience.
So i'm transiting from a solo website designer to running an agency , get an office space and the branding that comes with it . I need some sort of validation for this move , i'm kinda nervous cos it seems like a big step . Is an Agency the right step ? Or AI will eventually take over webdesign ? Am i coming to the party late or is this still a good time ? I will appreciate any input guys .
Well, I go back much further than most of the folks you're in concert with. I was born in 1957. When I was a kid, we watched B&W TVs. In Palo Alto in the early '90s, I paid $7 a month to login to the 'World Wide Web' where I could only stay online for 20 minutes at a time. There was no GUI web browser like Netscape until '95. It was strictly text based. Your message was very timely as Chat GPT just announced GPT 4, and Google is also launching AI within its workspace plans. All I can say is, we all better buckle up, for the ride will be bumpy, but we must stay the course.
Nice catch this story with Bill. We are lucky to have this opportunity. Hey I discovered your channel yesterday and so far the few vidéos I watched really clic on me. Very interesting content ! Nice work
I tried a few AI-generated websites and the results were not the good. I’m sure it will get better. But I’m already using AI to produce page boilerplate content for websites.
honestly i think its gonna happend the same as you said, basically if you want to be expert in 3y from now u need to learn to use 3 hand from ai and combine your sklills with it
There’s going to be no manual coding in the next few years 6:20 I’m not sure how long a few years it’s exactly to you but let’s say between 2-8? Let’s see if you’re right. Not sure if you are a developer but having used a fair few ai tools to code they still seem a long way away from coding a semi-decent project nevermind a fully fledged complex project.
There are clients which buy suits off the shelf - and there are dressmaker clients. Template stores are present for years, luckily not everyone is happy with a generic looking design. "Why should I hire you, when a template only costs around $ 60" are common questions until now.
Because what a site looks like is maybe 10% of what matters. Businesses I work with have struggled with sites that don't actually work with their business and integrate into their processes. You have to since problems and become valuable.
I believe we’re not all that far away from Tony Stark’s J.A.R.V.I.S. Being able to ask the right questions for AI maybe the skill you need to learn. Although I just asked Chat GPT to give me a prompt for Midjourney and it did an amazing job.
Cool chat. A few things I'd add: 1. Lotus 123 preceded Excel and, in many ways, was better. (Anyone remember X Language?) 2. I have already started showing new customers example of potential websites designed by AI and none of them liked them. (I was honest where they came from.) 3. Producing a website and updating it are two different things. Websites will always need updates - AI won't help much here. (You mentioned 'curation') 4. My customers wouldn't know where to start. 5. Agree with your next steps - just use it, don't fight it. I don't think we should worry too much.
I said the same about Lotus - it was superior, then MSFT copied it 😂 But to the point, spreadsheet apps offered significant, and fairly obvious, improvements over paper. Even with just the early functions on-offer (and those floating point errors), skilled analysts could work faster, and more reliably/consistently, with later support for database integration. It was a game-changer, arguably even more than word-processing apps (Wordperfect > Word LOL). But these AI systems, as-is lack a lot of what you'd need for an effective tool. They still don't have temporal consistency, or the ability to "claim" output. So you can't guarantee that you can resume with the same/similar output in a diff session, nor that someone else might just spit out your "unique" design. The Uncanny Valley & anatomy issues - hands/teeth, human & animal - are dealbreakers for a lot of marketing applications. Even for internal idea-generation, you can't accurately A/B test if some [most!] of the images evoke visceral revulsion. There are also a ton of legal implications that haven't been ironed out, from the very real worries about unlicensed training data, to questions of copyright/IP ownership on the work-product. Artists/designers are cheaper to hire than lawyers 😅 For any of this to have real legs, all that (and more) need to be settled, and that's gonna take a helluva lot more than a couple months.
@@mandisaw I agree. I was a publisher in the mid 90s when Quark and Pagemaker changed the landscape, but you still needed people to make things happen. Publishing got cheaper and quicker - I didn't have to drive to Bristol at 3am with copy (thanks email) - but a bunch of competitors - all with the same capabilities - entered the market and we still had to fight them. IMHO Ai will make things easier and cheaper, but most companies stick to the knitting and will not want to build their own sites or spend money on setting up departments to do the same.
I love everything you do but please keep in mind that computers are definitely not "sentient" just now. 1) We don't know the exact definition of what sentience means but 2) we do know that Ai is definitely not there yet. No matter what Google employees think, even if it would progress super fast they would not be able to tell for sure if it is sentient bc we dont have a positive definition of it.
The thought of becoming a curator rather than a creator sure sounds out of whack tbh. More and more we keep making decisions and adopting technology that makes our lives supposedly “easier”, but at what cost?.. And don’t get me wrong, I’m not trying to hold on to old ways. But surely I can’t be the only one thinking that we’re making a few wrong turns.
"Creator to curator" sounds a helluva lot like the folks at Panera or McD's downgrading from cashiers to greeters since iPads take your order. If human workers are just needed to transform data from one system to another, sans creativity, companies will likely hire the cheapest, least-skilled people they can get away with.
Payton, great video but imagine being in tech before the PC and the internet. I was there before WordPress, Wix and all of these tools but, I'm still here. I'm like a master mechanic with experience. AI has replaced the web designer and it will develop personalized web designs in real-time. Imagine going to a website it looks at your online presence and shows you a personalized web design based on your profile. Humans operate by rules but AI will break the rules. I'm seeing real outside-the-box innovation because AI breaks the rules. It will create its own prompt recipes based on your creativity.
I don't want to be nitpicking, but they are not sentient, man! 🤖 I agree with you that the simple power AI has to iterate will be a huge disrupter in many industries. The order of magnitude in the scale of training data and additional functionality between chatgpt3 and 4 and the predicted size of 5... it's practically exponetial 😅Born in 84, dialing up internet until almost uni days 🤣
My comment on sentient comes based on reports that I have heard from google employees talking about major progress they are seeing that I believe hasn’t really been released yet. Nothing that we can use as of right now. But I do believe it exists and is progressing faster than I am comfortable with! 😂 this is going to be crazy! But thanks for watching and thanks for the comment
This is the headline from the article “Google (GOOG) has fired the engineer who claimed an unreleased AI system had become sentient” who knows what that could mean tho!
@@PaytonClarkSmith Nah, that Google guy was pretty much immediately debunked. Sounds like he was seeing the same sort of AI "hallucinations" as that Times reporter & various Redditors mentioned. Too much time in the lab 😅
I have been playing with AIs a bit and have found that an expert in a field will be able to talk to (prompt) an AI in ways that a regular person won’t. This will get the AI to produce better results with less trial and error. Just like AI assisted humans are the best chess players, so will be experts in their fields. I do have to contradict myself a bit here and correct it to say expert enough. Generalists who have a wide breath of knowledge to talk the jargon and understand the concepts but lack the depth of a true expert, will get the most out of AI since it give them the depth they lack.
I risk creating competition for myself however I can tell you that the future is PWAs, not websites. In today's world everyone wants an app. With a pwa you get a website and an app in one.
I Really get value from your videos They are also entertaining. But you don't need to explain things like we are 5 year olds learning design. Talk to us the way you normally do, preferably without Bill
Thanks for the comment! I try to make these videos easy for all to understand. But poor bill 😅. This makes me want to sneak him in to all my future videos 😂. Bill was meant to be a star ⭐️
@@PaytonClarkSmith i love that you actually give real useful advice and no fluff. You are also "entertaining" to listen to. But it's time Bill finally losses his job. I recommend your content to all our jr designers at my work place.
Amazing video man! 🙌 I managed to build a website on wordpress a few years back that worked on automatic posting content. I built and deploy it in a day, within the first week was getting more than 50.000 views per day, within a month was already above six million views and it was generating over $3000 a month. Everything was on auto, i had to do nothing. I just had to pay $200 for hosting. I can't imagine all the amazing stuff I will be able to do with AI 🤯
A.I. won't be getting rid of Software Engineers, coding anytime soon. You still need someone to parse what it spits out + a myriad of other human-only tasks
Tech favors those who move with it. I don't get the inertia with accepting new technology anyways. In spirit, all tech is supposed to make things easier. Imagine churning out multiple mockups within minutes and only filtering out better versions to share with the client. It will definitely improve my workflow.
Once it learns to instantaneously create multiple versions and ab test to see which one performs best, which doesn't seem too far away, it's pretty much over lmao
what would be over? ab testing is just one part of the process. the scenario you described would be like driving to work in a car, instead of a horse carriage. I'd be pretty happy myself if a step in my work could be sped up like that lol
@@filetmignon9978 just saw your reply now, but that's a pretty weak analogy. Unless we are the horse. What would be over is the current role of a designer as it is, or at least it will be a lousy and competitive career prospect. I don't mean just the ab testing, saying that would be silly. I mean taking the task and kpi from the pm, applying rules of UX and visual design, and instantly creating output of multiple versions. This is what the business owners want, not "human creativity". Think Midjourney, but better, and with ability to push it live instantly. No miscommunication, no waiting, and probably cheaper than hiring a good agency. A lot of it is feasible already, just a matter of putting it all together. But of course, I'm being a bit pessimistic here
Information architects and business problem solving thinking is what will see you survive. If you are focused just on UI 👎. UI can literally be designed by business performance. AI could bring AB …. CDEFGHIJK… testing. What converts will be used, not your “taste”
As a coder, I can produce more code now than ever with the help of AI. It's a tool to leverage what you know. But your competition will have the same advantage. It's a win for the client.
I prefer to have full control of my work, rather than trusting that AI will give me some decent results after the 200th prompt. If I had known that I'm going to have to be a curator, and not a creator, I wouldn't get into design those 10 years ago. Also, AI running our businesses? Let's be honest, business people will pay AI to do the work for them, instead of paying us to have AI to do our work.
I love the content... but I think it's a bit too sensationalized. As someone with experience in UI Design and Fullstack Web Development and has been researching the AI movement for years now, I wanted to offer a few corrections: 1. THERE WILL BE A SPIKE IN THE NEED FOR DEVELOPERS IN THE NEXT 5 YEARS. AI tools are still built with code and AI, while can certainly accelerate the ability to code, the assumption is that humans won't need to modify frameworks and platforms to keep up with latest security trends and thwart hackers (which I'm sure AI will help them supercharge their powers). The tasks and process that a developer goes through will change - but it has been for decades. Nevermind the fact that AI will make coding more accessible, which means people will make inefficient apps and websites because they don't know how to use the tools, and developers will have to either rebuild these or fix them. While some coding jobs will drop off, but believe it or not, website and code is an IP and is protected by copyright law - which leads us to the next point... 2. AI GENERATED CANNOT BE COPYRIGHTED. This is a big one. This will help retain some design jobs and shift more of the design work away from layouts and towards branding. It means that if you generated a company's site and branding using AI, then literally anyone can just copy it, pretend to be that company (with a slightly different name) and there's little legal recourse that the business could take. It's a good way to go out of business. 3. THE TRANSITION WILL BE LONGER THAN 2 MONTHS. It took decades for Excel to be widely adopted. The process was gradual, probably more gradual than AI will be, but the point is that we are all in new territory here and any change of this scale takes years to be widely adopted. Thanks again for putting this content out there in the world. Maybe you can do a follow up video addressing some of these issues (heck some could be videos all on their own).
It's 2023 people are fast. ChatGPT is growing faster than all existing Social Networks. AI is so hyped doesn't even need marketing. Businesses have adapted them, these Jobs like Code are in danger.
The copyright issue is critical - in both directions, training & output. I doubt most serious clients would want to potentially open themselves to liability by using gen-AI material of questionable provenance, and that lacks copyright protection. Pretty sure that's why Adobe is making such a fuss about the supposed ethicality of their AI project, Firefly.
Thanks for all the informations, though i still believe not all things will be guided by humans, we have to accept the fact that AI will surely replace some jobs, while in some complex jobs it still needs human to guide them, that's where the job becomes easier for humans, i agree with that, so AI will not be 100% treat to our skills, it will in few easy things but not all, thanks for making it easy for us to understand and accept the reality
hey maybethe future will be even more freaky, what if the future is AI as a new device, no screens, not even VR and augmented reality, something like a watch you talk into (hopefully not a chip in the brain - not in my lifetime anyway). Paradigm shifts in software tend to lead to new hardware, look at the iphone. What are the design considerations of that? Brave new world bro, brave new world. Where there is business and humans there is always the need for design, capital 'D", thinking made visual etc. Just adapt, you don't have a choice anyway.
We will soon get a new ai based ux tool that will make us design faster and more websites for client. So I believe we will charge more and get more clients in a fewer period of time. And also I believe that Design and Front end developement will form one single job.
I am not sure how much hands on work experience you have but to say that UX design and front end dev will form a single job is…ambitious to say the least. Being a good UX designer, good at research, understanding HIG, Fluent, Atlassian design systems, understanding product strategy, having good communication and presentation skills is already pretty damn difficult. Add to that front end dev: not just HTML and CSS 😂 but also JS coupled with knowledge of Angular/React/Vue, Tailwind for CSS. Add to that knowledge of Authentication Strategies, SSR, React Native and Flutter. And I didn’t name it all. There’s a reason why both UX designers and Front-End devs make 100-200k a year in the US at good companies.
@@StayUnited12 You made a lot of good points there. But overall I can understand the nerve and risks that AI can represent for us ux/ui designers. But I still believe that Designers and developers will still be needed. I am not really that frightened by AI. Even in 50 years we still need designers and developers
I'm not a person who has a proficiency at UI but Imagine Apple is using a design which developed by MidJourney. That's like using a design from WordPress. Even fanboys of Apple will shame Apple if that happens. I think big companies will always prefer different UI than other companies and prefer non generic UIs due to marketing concerns. Because production and sales are the things that every company can do. That's why companies are working on marketing heavily and being different is very important for proper marketing. Also companies sometimes change their web designs or need micro web sites for their marketing campaigns. AI may be act like inspirator for UI/UX developers that are working at bigger companies. Many small companies are already using WYSIWYG. That's just my opinion though. I can't predict the real future and I don't take any responsibility about if AI replace your UI/UX jobs. Research for yourself thoroughly!
Love the honesty and outlook! This is something that I've been worried about, and hearing some other TH-camrs' false confidence about AI "never becoming good enough" to replace them, has not been helpful. I appreciate the tips and the rest of the channel!
Thanks for the comment Brocton! I don’t ever want to promote fear, but I do think it is best to be prepared to pivot and accept these incoming technologies rather than pretend they don’t pose a risk. Thanks for watching
what's wrong with the camera? it's making me feel nauseous... 😞
Zooms in and out, has an problem with the autofocus
Amen to that
I think you mean what's wrong with the editor.
It's to keep our tiny lizard brains focused, but it does seem to be more distracting.
It was edited by ai 😂
@@maciejstachowicz7505 haha nice joke 😂
AI doesn't need to do your work perfectly to destroy your freelance job. All it needs to do is substantially reduce the workload. Then all you need to do is understand the basic concept of supply and demand. More automated supply means that the demand side will ask for much lower prices. Much much much lower.
Things became complex. That's why people separated like web designer, UI-UX designer, front-end developer, back-end developer.
With AI, things will become much easier. Because of this, we will become full stack devs who can do everything. I mean there will be new type of full stack development in the future.
There will be an ai driven ide that will eliminate the "stack."
These tools are CRAZY! Great points you bring up, AI doesn't have to be the death of our careers, we could actually use it to boost our careers IF you don't panic and instead UTILIZE the tools 🤑
@Zack Wick the barrier is it can design file but cant code it and upload it for shit and it will never get there just look
@Zack Wick Learn programming then let it code something for you. Most of the time people just talk that type od shit without knowing anything. Look fireships video about AI there were failed ones before and this one is gonna fail too
@Zack Wick But in the end as you are aware its impossible to autopilot it plus you need to lnow programming which makes it usless for peiple who dont know how to programm. So chill it wont take anyons job its gonna be tool at best
@Zack Wick And you really think someone is gonna allow machhines to develop themselves that much if they ever become able to. I tried chat gpt for coding tonight and what it was good for is when u forget simple syntax and some more simple stuff. As soon ss I asked how do I remove event listener from within itself, it couldnt give remotey good answer so yeah we can chill and use it as a tool
@Zack Wick bro you had multiple times where this failed it will fail again dont go into consipracy theories. It can be used as tool and thats all. Also yes i prompted it multiple ways it couldnt give it to me so yeah it cant do it
A lot of good points. But the no manual coding part.. even if you haven't had to open VSCode in a while, you're still going to need to know how to code, bare minimum for times when you are trying to shoehorn new things in, make two things work that your AI prompts aren't able to, optimize, and customize later. Not to mention subtleties regarding frameworks. Don't expect AI to spit out a complete, pro level Angular project with the push of a button any time soon.
Humans can't possibly compete in the department of optimization due to iteration/time limitations which AI are much less affected by with computing power.
The issue that comes to my mind is that these AI designs are inspired by what humans made. As we know, webdesign keeps changing and the types of websites we have now are almost nothing like at the beginning. If AI takes over and all there is in a couple of years or decades is AI designs only, then how will the AI innovate and come up with new design trends?
You can guide it with your input and create something new, this idea that ai is like this solo thing that only spits out designs without some type of human input on design is very false. it just makes designing and idea formations very very fast cause it automates alot of stuff we've been doing over and over again.
Eventually it will learn from itself
It won't. The larger the model, the more expensive it is to train & run, so there's a motivation to "lock" it for lengthy periods between training runs.
I can easily see users becoming dependent on AI, unable to even conceive of new content - creativity is a muscle, it def gets rusty if you don't use it.
It can learn literally instantly! All u gotta do is feed it all the new trends and BAM u can create design using new trends. Not only that, AI is able to predict trends so people who use AI can pretty much trendy designs first.
Design always adapts to trends, so if we would product the same things people would stop caring and we would be driven to create newness, somehow.
Love this positive outlook. If you want to work in ANY electronic media you must adapt and evolve. Being stagnant will kill your career. Get uncomfortable once in a while. Nice take.
Really appreciate perspective! I think it’s helpful to think of the ways we can improve our work or business, rather than trying to hold on to how we work today.
Totally agree Seth
The very last subject that stupid computers might replace is organic feeling and human creativity. the only ones who can be worried are designers who have been uncreative so far anyway :)
I'm guessing the risk is that AI gets so good that someone basically creates a super creative and efficient Wix that automatically writes awesome copy, builds custom layout, and adapts the design automatically over time for efficiency. Most small to medium business owners would probably build their landing page internally if such existed.
Except that AI doesn't know what good branding/marketing looks like, or how to achieve target KPIs, or what human-centric design is. If all you need is to auto-fill a template with bland About/Buy/Contact Us copy, then probably Wix & Square will come up with an auto-gen service.
But most clients, especially enterprise, gov't/education, brand & campaign-targeted landing pages, etc are going to need something that reflects a host of business & human considerations.
@@mandisaw I wouldn’t be so sure this never happens.
@@josselincol I could see it as a step-by-step walkthrough, drilling down into "what kind of website do you need?" But most people aren't good at really defining their problem-space, so no matter how good the tech is, they won't really be able to direct it to a good solution.
Designers & developers aren't just there to write code/make pretty pics, we're there to translate all the hand-wavey, abstract-thinking, & domain-specific targets into something concrete. That's always going to be a fairly unique/needed skill-set, because ppl don't change as quickly as tech.
He is point on, whoever denies this is just trying to make himself feel better plus this is only early stage, from gpt 3 to gpt 4 is already a big improvement so imagine the next ones
5:35 Which AI tools can "spit out" mock ups like these? I only know about chat GPT which is text based? Thanks.
midjourney is the one i am familiar with
100000% right on. This isn't going anywhere, so we need to use it to our advantage.
Not a designer but a guy who needs a few websites. At the moment the only useful think i found they are good at is creating hero images. Some illustration if needed. Thats all. Not even good at icons, buttons, sections, footers, inner pages etc. And for sure no animations. Yes 10 years of training later it will be a bit different, but only if one day there is a additional manual interaction.
What if I only starting to learn web design? How would you change the way/path of learning? Should I do something different?
I found the AI tools get writing and designing ideas kickstarted, on far less coffee than I need to get going. That's how I'm working them into my process, to put something on the proverbial blank page.
Thanks for easing my nerves a bit about AI. I'm a computer science major graduating from uni soon and all this talk about AI replacing programmers and starting to automate parts of other careers I'm interested in worries me. Hopefully we got at least a few more decades before AI replaces our jobs. 😅😅
It can be scary but if nothing else, as developers/designers we are taught to think outside the box and solve problems. There will always be a place for our kind!
Don't worry, as a pro developer, most of the job is working with humans. Understanding the business, balancing user needs/wants, translating IRL processes & workflows to code, and then maintaining that code across systems/generations/business changes.
UI/UX is even more human-centric, since you really are designing an interface to meet humans where they're at (or where you want them to be). No matter how well-trained, an AI just doesn't really understand people, or what will evoke human emotion.
AI will not replace you, the person who is leveraging these tools will definitely will.
Curator > Creator 👍 I like this perspective! Interesting times indeed, thanks Payton 👌
Thanks for watching Kyle!
Les go!
These computers are not sentient, they are still programs that are able to save new information in relevant files. They are not alive, nor ever will be.
While yeah, AI could replace us, I seriously doubt that a lot of people will want to actually use it in it's full potential.
I mean, I work as an accountant and most of my clients wont even sort their invoices correctly. So I don't think most business owners will magically gravitate away from designers. Designers of any kind just will have more tools to use.
Love this video - as long as I put it in my pocket and didn't look at it. The weird visual choices made me dizzy
Great content... the zooming effect is horrible to watch though. I couldn't stomach the whole thing
I was doing design back in 1985. But I hated it, rubylithe over lays and comping your text and handing it to a typesetter. I was working a "StatCamera" back then to prep art for printing. Saw the web in 1991 and never looked back. Thank god also for Apple in 1987. I had to teach myself Photoshop because I didn't have a manual. Now I am into AI and MidJourney. Did a brief stint into VR but VR is so antiquated. We need a device that tracks eye movement in a room and displays via laser images directly on the retina. Yes, it is safe.
what are the tools we can use?
Realism with some tips and tricks is much needed these days. Thanks.
I expected clickbait, but this is actually a well-reasoned argument and a useful video!
But I think you're wrong about there being no manual coding in a few years. There's always someone managing the robotic assembly lines, and at least someone managing the self-serve checkouts at grocery stores. So I think many devs will lose their jobs, but there will ALWAYS be some (albeit reduced) need for coders. At the very least, to fix the bugs that the machines can't. But probably more than that.
Interesting video, thanks Payton! (The zooming in-and-out in your video feels a bit strange, just my 2 cents)
Huge value from this Payton. Just wanted to say the popping effect of your video is kind of distracting. I wish I can focus more on your topic more.
MidJourney already produces a “trendy” like web design. They all have a similar look and feel to them in my experience. If I am correct, AI can only produce out of what already exists. So it can’t really create anything but from what humans create. It seems to me web design will have to be mostly human driven for AI to even work.??
Definitely. WordPress is easier than getting your HTML/CSS/JavaScript spelled out for you and having to utilize it on your own, and people still hire others to do it for them. AI is way way overhyped.
MidJ also is just producing an image mockup, usually of a single page/screen. It has no context, no concept of user-flow, no way to extract those component pics and produce a usable layout.
It also doesn't understand accessibility standards, framework specs, security, user-profiles/archetypes, etc. It just makes pretty pics for easily-impressed clients.
But someone (a team, often) will still have to actually turn that into a complete, working website/app/experience.
Hey Clark, it's been three months since you posted this video. Any new thoughts on how ai is picking up steam?
So i'm transiting from a solo website designer to running an agency , get an office space and the branding that comes with it . I need some sort of validation for this move , i'm kinda nervous cos it seems like a big step .
Is an Agency the right step ? Or AI will eventually take over webdesign ?
Am i coming to the party late or is this still a good time ?
I will appreciate any input guys .
nobody will be able to tell you, we just don't know what will happen
Well, I go back much further than most of the folks you're in concert with. I was born in 1957. When I was a kid, we watched B&W TVs. In Palo Alto in the early '90s, I paid $7 a month to login to the 'World Wide Web' where I could only stay online for 20 minutes at a time. There was no GUI web browser like Netscape until '95. It was strictly text based.
Your message was very timely as Chat GPT just announced GPT 4, and Google is also launching AI within its workspace plans. All I can say is, we all better buckle up, for the ride will be bumpy, but we must stay the course.
Nice catch this story with Bill. We are lucky to have this opportunity. Hey I discovered your channel yesterday and so far the few vidéos I watched really clic on me. Very interesting content ! Nice work
Incredibles insights man, i love your work, thanks so much !
Thanks Don
'No manual coding in a few years'. That won't age well.
Thanks bro! True time to leave this attachments
I would be HAPPY to go from Web Designer to Web Consultant. I've been designing/developing a long time and I'm ready for a workflow shift.
El codigo aun no puede reemplazarse, aun no lo hace bien, pero es una buena herramienta
This is so good advice! Thank you!
I tried a few AI-generated websites and the results were not the good. I’m sure it will get better. But I’m already using AI to produce page boilerplate content for websites.
Thats awesome!
honestly i think its gonna happend the same as you said, basically if you want to be expert in 3y from now u need to learn to use 3 hand from ai and combine your sklills with it
join up or suffer the consequences haha 🤖
There’s going to be no manual coding in the next few years 6:20
I’m not sure how long a few years it’s exactly to you but let’s say between 2-8? Let’s see if you’re right. Not sure if you are a developer but having used a fair few ai tools to code they still seem a long way away from coding a semi-decent project nevermind a fully fledged complex project.
8:30 learning to guide Ai… the curation along with being able to spot and resolve incorrect outcomes definitely seems like a key to what is happening.
There are clients which buy suits off the shelf - and there are dressmaker clients.
Template stores are present for years, luckily not everyone is happy with a generic looking design.
"Why should I hire you, when a template only costs around $ 60" are common questions until now.
Because what a site looks like is maybe 10% of what matters. Businesses I work with have struggled with sites that don't actually work with their business and integrate into their processes. You have to since problems and become valuable.
@@garthy4u we understand🙏
Spot on this video. This is exactly how I look at AI right now as frontend developer.
I believe we’re not all that far away from Tony Stark’s J.A.R.V.I.S. Being able to ask the right questions for AI maybe the skill you need to learn. Although I just asked Chat GPT to give me a prompt for Midjourney and it did an amazing job.
Cool chat.
A few things I'd add:
1. Lotus 123 preceded Excel and, in many ways, was better. (Anyone remember X Language?)
2. I have already started showing new customers example of potential websites designed by AI and none of them liked them. (I was honest where they came from.)
3. Producing a website and updating it are two different things. Websites will always need updates - AI won't help much here. (You mentioned 'curation')
4. My customers wouldn't know where to start.
5. Agree with your next steps - just use it, don't fight it.
I don't think we should worry too much.
Let’s have a chat here in 1,5 months and see where we are then with Webdesign? 😊
And Visicalc predated both.
@@arty5906 I shall make an entry in my calendar!
I said the same about Lotus - it was superior, then MSFT copied it 😂 But to the point, spreadsheet apps offered significant, and fairly obvious, improvements over paper. Even with just the early functions on-offer (and those floating point errors), skilled analysts could work faster, and more reliably/consistently, with later support for database integration.
It was a game-changer, arguably even more than word-processing apps (Wordperfect > Word LOL).
But these AI systems, as-is lack a lot of what you'd need for an effective tool. They still don't have temporal consistency, or the ability to "claim" output. So you can't guarantee that you can resume with the same/similar output in a diff session, nor that someone else might just spit out your "unique" design.
The Uncanny Valley & anatomy issues - hands/teeth, human & animal - are dealbreakers for a lot of marketing applications. Even for internal idea-generation, you can't accurately A/B test if some [most!] of the images evoke visceral revulsion.
There are also a ton of legal implications that haven't been ironed out, from the very real worries about unlicensed training data, to questions of copyright/IP ownership on the work-product. Artists/designers are cheaper to hire than lawyers 😅
For any of this to have real legs, all that (and more) need to be settled, and that's gonna take a helluva lot more than a couple months.
@@mandisaw I agree.
I was a publisher in the mid 90s when Quark and Pagemaker changed the landscape, but you still needed people to make things happen. Publishing got cheaper and quicker - I didn't have to drive to Bristol at 3am with copy (thanks email) - but a bunch of competitors - all with the same capabilities - entered the market and we still had to fight them.
IMHO Ai will make things easier and cheaper, but most companies stick to the knitting and will not want to build their own sites or spend money on setting up departments to do the same.
VERSATILITY is the only way to survive and thrive in this environment 🤓
What exact AI tool did you use to make the web mockups in your video?
Great video, btw.
Much needed video ….. thankyou soo much
I dont belive it is so ground breaking after Ihave used some AI engines so it has not impressed me. I think we will have work.
I share your perspective 100%. Thanks for the video, very positive:)
In my case, I try to improve my presentation skills and learn how to set up AI workflows and AI environments.
Great information ℹ️🔥🔥🎯
I love everything you do but please keep in mind that computers are definitely not "sentient" just now. 1) We don't know the exact definition of what sentience means but 2) we do know that Ai is definitely not there yet. No matter what Google employees think, even if it would progress super fast they would not be able to tell for sure if it is sentient bc we dont have a positive definition of it.
The thought of becoming a curator rather than a creator sure sounds out of whack tbh. More and more we keep making decisions and adopting technology that makes our lives supposedly “easier”, but at what cost?..
And don’t get me wrong, I’m not trying to hold on to old ways. But surely I can’t be the only one thinking that we’re making a few wrong turns.
"Creator to curator" sounds a helluva lot like the folks at Panera or McD's downgrading from cashiers to greeters since iPads take your order. If human workers are just needed to transform data from one system to another, sans creativity, companies will likely hire the cheapest, least-skilled people they can get away with.
Payton, great video but imagine being in tech before the PC and the internet. I was there before WordPress, Wix and all of these tools but, I'm still here. I'm like a master mechanic with experience. AI has replaced the web designer and it will develop personalized web designs in real-time. Imagine going to a website it looks at your online presence and shows you a personalized web design based on your profile. Humans operate by rules but AI will break the rules. I'm seeing real outside-the-box innovation because AI breaks the rules. It will create its own prompt recipes based on your creativity.
I don't want to be nitpicking, but they are not sentient, man! 🤖 I agree with you that the simple power AI has to iterate will be a huge disrupter in many industries. The order of magnitude in the scale of training data and additional functionality between chatgpt3 and 4 and the predicted size of 5... it's practically exponetial 😅Born in 84, dialing up internet until almost uni days 🤣
My comment on sentient comes based on reports that I have heard from google employees talking about major progress they are seeing that I believe hasn’t really been released yet. Nothing that we can use as of right now. But I do believe it exists and is progressing faster than I am comfortable with! 😂 this is going to be crazy! But thanks for watching and thanks for the comment
This is the headline from the article “Google (GOOG) has fired the engineer who claimed an unreleased AI system had become sentient” who knows what that could mean tho!
@@PaytonClarkSmith Nah, that Google guy was pretty much immediately debunked. Sounds like he was seeing the same sort of AI "hallucinations" as that Times reporter & various Redditors mentioned. Too much time in the lab 😅
I have been playing with AIs a bit and have found that an expert in a field will be able to talk to (prompt) an AI in ways that a regular person won’t. This will get the AI to produce better results with less trial and error. Just like AI assisted humans are the best chess players, so will be experts in their fields. I do have to contradict myself a bit here and correct it to say expert enough. Generalists who have a wide breath of knowledge to talk the jargon and understand the concepts but lack the depth of a true expert, will get the most out of AI since it give them the depth they lack.
I risk creating competition for myself however I can tell you that the future is PWAs, not websites. In today's world everyone wants an app. With a pwa you get a website and an app in one.
I Really get value from your videos
They are also entertaining.
But you don't need to explain things like we are 5 year olds learning design. Talk to us the way you normally do, preferably without Bill
Thanks for the comment! I try to make these videos easy for all to understand. But poor bill 😅. This makes me want to sneak him in to all my future videos 😂. Bill was meant to be a star ⭐️
@@PaytonClarkSmith i love that you actually give real useful advice and no fluff.
You are also "entertaining" to listen to.
But it's time Bill finally losses his job.
I recommend your content to all our jr designers at my work place.
Thanks for the feedback 👍🏻 much appreciated!
Amazing video man! 🙌 I managed to build a website on wordpress a few years back that worked on automatic posting content. I built and deploy it in a day, within the first week was getting more than 50.000 views per day, within a month was already above six million views and it was generating over $3000 a month. Everything was on auto, i had to do nothing. I just had to pay $200 for hosting. I can't imagine all the amazing stuff I will be able to do with AI 🤯
Looking forward the most to ‘my AI design partner’ doing all the basic grunt work 🎉
Its time to finally use right names cause there is difference between web desgin and web ui / web graphic.
A.I. won't be getting rid of Software Engineers, coding anytime soon. You still need someone to parse what it spits out + a myriad of other human-only tasks
Tech favors those who move with it. I don't get the inertia with accepting new technology anyways. In spirit, all tech is supposed to make things easier. Imagine churning out multiple mockups within minutes and only filtering out better versions to share with the client. It will definitely improve my workflow.
Thank you, I bow to you.
Where can I send you a message that you can answer some of my questions?
Thank you!!
Video Editor found new tool zoom in zoom out .
😂
Thank You for being honest and actually accept the changes that are happening because of AI.
Once it learns to instantaneously create multiple versions and ab test to see which one performs best, which doesn't seem too far away, it's pretty much over lmao
what would be over? ab testing is just one part of the process. the scenario you described would be like driving to work in a car, instead of a horse carriage. I'd be pretty happy myself if a step in my work could be sped up like that lol
@@filetmignon9978 just saw your reply now, but that's a pretty weak analogy. Unless we are the horse. What would be over is the current role of a designer as it is, or at least it will be a lousy and competitive career prospect. I don't mean just the ab testing, saying that would be silly. I mean taking the task and kpi from the pm, applying rules of UX and visual design, and instantly creating output of multiple versions. This is what the business owners want, not "human creativity". Think Midjourney, but better, and with ability to push it live instantly. No miscommunication, no waiting, and probably cheaper than hiring a good agency. A lot of it is feasible already, just a matter of putting it all together. But of course, I'm being a bit pessimistic here
before Excel was Lotus 123 just saying
Great content but almost barfed watching from the camera zoom
😂 we got that fixed for future videos, don’t worry!
Information architects and business problem solving thinking is what will see you survive. If you are focused just on UI 👎. UI can literally be designed by business performance. AI could bring AB …. CDEFGHIJK… testing. What converts will be used, not your “taste”
What AI's you use for website mockups and designs_
For me just Midjourney
But don't you think the employers can do these things with the AI's by themselves?
The zooming in and out of the camera is kind of not my favorite thing. :(
As a coder, I can produce more code now than ever with the help of AI. It's a tool to leverage what you know. But your competition will have the same advantage. It's a win for the client.
Good point
I prefer to have full control of my work, rather than trusting that AI will give me some decent results after the 200th prompt. If I had known that I'm going to have to be a curator, and not a creator, I wouldn't get into design those 10 years ago. Also, AI running our businesses? Let's be honest, business people will pay AI to do the work for them, instead of paying us to have AI to do our work.
can anyone link me a video on how to create those mockups using AI?
This is capitulation to the inevitable I guess. The future will suck for those of us that want to use our own skills and creativity.
I love the content... but I think it's a bit too sensationalized. As someone with experience in UI Design and Fullstack Web Development and has been researching the AI movement for years now, I wanted to offer a few corrections:
1. THERE WILL BE A SPIKE IN THE NEED FOR DEVELOPERS IN THE NEXT 5 YEARS.
AI tools are still built with code and AI, while can certainly accelerate the ability to code, the assumption is that humans won't need to modify frameworks and platforms to keep up with latest security trends and thwart hackers (which I'm sure AI will help them supercharge their powers). The tasks and process that a developer goes through will change - but it has been for decades. Nevermind the fact that AI will make coding more accessible, which means people will make inefficient apps and websites because they don't know how to use the tools, and developers will have to either rebuild these or fix them. While some coding jobs will drop off, but believe it or not, website and code is an IP and is protected by copyright law - which leads us to the next point...
2. AI GENERATED CANNOT BE COPYRIGHTED.
This is a big one. This will help retain some design jobs and shift more of the design work away from layouts and towards branding. It means that if you generated a company's site and branding using AI, then literally anyone can just copy it, pretend to be that company (with a slightly different name) and there's little legal recourse that the business could take. It's a good way to go out of business.
3. THE TRANSITION WILL BE LONGER THAN 2 MONTHS.
It took decades for Excel to be widely adopted. The process was gradual, probably more gradual than AI will be, but the point is that we are all in new territory here and any change of this scale takes years to be widely adopted.
Thanks again for putting this content out there in the world. Maybe you can do a follow up video addressing some of these issues (heck some could be videos all on their own).
It's 2023 people are fast. ChatGPT is growing faster than all existing Social Networks. AI is so hyped doesn't even need marketing. Businesses have adapted them, these Jobs like Code are in danger.
The copyright issue is critical - in both directions, training & output. I doubt most serious clients would want to potentially open themselves to liability by using gen-AI material of questionable provenance, and that lacks copyright protection. Pretty sure that's why Adobe is making such a fuss about the supposed ethicality of their AI project, Firefly.
Bill was using Lotus 123
very good video
What ? I just started learning web designing.
Bro, you had dial up in 2008??
I live in Idaho we’re a bit behind here 😂 haha jk, yeah I guess that was more like 20-25 years!
Spreadsheets came well before 1985, and Excel wasn't first.
Thanks for all the informations, though i still believe not all things will be guided by humans, we have to accept the fact that AI will surely replace some jobs, while in some complex jobs it still needs human to guide them, that's where the job becomes easier for humans, i agree with that, so AI will not be 100% treat to our skills, it will in few easy things but not all, thanks for making it easy for us to understand and accept the reality
hey maybethe future will be even more freaky, what if the future is AI as a new device, no screens, not even VR and augmented reality, something like a watch you talk into (hopefully not a chip in the brain - not in my lifetime anyway). Paradigm shifts in software tend to lead to new hardware, look at the iphone. What are the design considerations of that? Brave new world bro, brave new world. Where there is business and humans there is always the need for design, capital 'D", thinking made visual etc. Just adapt, you don't have a choice anyway.
Does anyone already use AI for information gathering/competitor analysis/research?
I do.
@@politismos3929 how?
The future will belong to people with imagination who can use this technology to build things that no one has thought of.
We will soon get a new ai based ux tool that will make us design faster and more websites for client. So I believe we will charge more and get more clients in a fewer period of time. And also I believe that Design and Front end developement will form one single job.
I am not sure how much hands on work experience you have but to say that UX design and front end dev will form a single job is…ambitious to say the least. Being a good UX designer, good at research, understanding HIG, Fluent, Atlassian design systems, understanding product strategy, having good communication and presentation skills is already pretty damn difficult. Add to that front end dev: not just HTML and CSS 😂 but also JS coupled with knowledge of Angular/React/Vue, Tailwind for CSS. Add to that knowledge of Authentication Strategies, SSR, React Native and Flutter. And I didn’t name it all. There’s a reason why both UX designers and Front-End devs make 100-200k a year in the US at good companies.
@@StayUnited12 You made a lot of good points there. But overall I can understand the nerve and risks that AI can represent for us ux/ui designers. But I still believe that Designers and developers will still be needed. I am not really that frightened by AI. Even in 50 years we still need designers and developers
@@muhammadbacar6051 yep 👍
I fear that is head in the sand wishful thinking....
Framer just released AI website tool
I'm not a person who has a proficiency at UI but Imagine Apple is using a design which developed by MidJourney. That's like using a design from WordPress. Even fanboys of Apple will shame Apple if that happens. I think big companies will always prefer different UI than other companies and prefer non generic UIs due to marketing concerns. Because production and sales are the things that every company can do. That's why companies are working on marketing heavily and being different is very important for proper marketing. Also companies sometimes change their web designs or need micro web sites for their marketing campaigns.
AI may be act like inspirator for UI/UX developers that are working at bigger companies.
Many small companies are already using WYSIWYG.
That's just my opinion though.
I can't predict the real future and I don't take any responsibility about if AI replace your UI/UX jobs. Research for yourself thoroughly!
With things getting easier, everyone and their dog can do it
Lol yeah right it ain’t dying. AI has a LONG way to go
It’s all about using the tools. Eg the camera. Stop zooming the shit in and out of it. Not cool. Same with ai. Use it, don’t be used.
Good one! Exemplifies that even with equivalent tools, lack of skill or failing to understand your audience will lead to poor outcomes.
We ARE going to be out of a job... probably within 2 years. that is web designers and marketer... get your plan B fellas
so you wouldn't advice someone to learn web dev?