Warner Bros. fcked up so badly by putting Dune 2 in March because I don't see anyone talk about that movie anymore, as seen by the fact that it doesn't even appear in this video once
Makes me mad to see so many people dismiss it because of the release date. WB is pushing it hard, including Villenueve. I want to believe it's still a top 3 BP contender.
5:05 Good performances in bad films still deserve Oscar contention, but no one should be surprised that the factor of the film being received poorly can influence one’s vote.
i have a tiny baby feeling that Queer is gonna do a lot better than people are currently predicting. which sucks because Challengers should be Guadagnino's front runner this year, but here we are.
4:19 I side with this user because I loved Inside Out 2 more. At the very least, have Inside Out 2 win the Golden Globes then The Wild Robot for Oscars. Golden Globes and Oscars don't always need to have the same best animated feature winner
I view best actress/actor similar to MVP in the NFL. Being in a good movie/team makes it a lot easier for you. But I don’t think a great performance in a bad movie should be overlooked.
1. I personally feel like the substance will get nominated for best pictures since it has gotten so much attention after the Cannes film festival with many different nominations most commonly best actress, supporting actress, make up and hairstyling, and probably production design. 2. I know Civil War has a lower chance of getting any nominations but the most rooting category I feel like Civil War would get would be cinematography. I can see why it would get nominations for sound, but I feel like Civil War would mostly get nominated for cinematography because the shots in the movie are really eerie and beautiful. 3. Despite the wild robot of being animated and the last time an animated was nominated for best picture was in 2011 for Toy story 3 I have a feeling that it will get nominated for best picture with other different types of categories like ad adapted screenplay of course original score and maybe visual effects but I doubt it because we all know how the academy is.
Strange that Sing Sing can win? The director is NEVER mentioned. It'd be the second year in a row of a male dominated Best PIc. It wouldn't matter if it's quality was undeniable but there's a reason the director is never mentioned.
wish i liked anora more but yeah, i thought it was just ok. if it was an hour and 45 minutes, maybe i wouldve thought it was excellent but right now, i dont think it would be a good best pic winner
Ebert argued that great performances in bad films were exactly the types of performances that should win Oscars. They rose above the badness, and that's worth recognition. There's no reason to take it out on the acting or music or cinematography just b/c a film doesn't work well. Your Wicked takes are vile, as expected.
Dune 2 or Wicked will win best adapted screenplay. Wild Robot will win best animated feature. Other than that I have zero strong opinions, let alone controversial ones. Edit: The reason Conclave isn’t getting discussed is because nobody but diehard movie fans came to see that movie. Especially when Gladiator 2, Wicked and Moana 2 released a couple weeks later
I think it’s a mistake to think Emilia Perez can’t win best picture. I believe it won (to some degree) at both Cannes and TIFF, so that could and I would say should be viewed as both Industry and Public approval. I really liked it, though The Substance is still my film of the year
Anora was excruciatingly insufferable. Once her husband leaves her to fend for herself the movie completely falls off a cliff and only gets worse with each scene. Don't even get me started on that fucking ending. Offensively boring film and not at all what it's being sold as.
@@Wired4Life2 great take ! It’s weird cause it’s the only “biopic” (if you can even call it that) that actually balances the social message and the story of the group perfectly
@@liamo31fob And, if we’re emphasizing for non-English aspect of the category, the film is LITERALLY about the linguistic differences. Its English-language bits serve that tension, rather than testing Academy rules to attract votes. (I mean, _Anatomy of a Fall_ is certainly a masterpiece and all, top 5 for 2023, but I’d be lying if I didn’t admit that its within-limits English-language dialogue helped attract more views and thus votes.)
Here's my awards hot take, although it's not the Oscars but rather the Golden Globes Where the fuck is all that "Glen Powell (Hit Man) is going to win best actor in a comedy/musical" coming from? Maybe he could win, who knows? I loved Glenn Powell's performance in Hit Man but I'm having a hard time imagining this win happening. I didn't hear anyone say he was award worthy in their Hit Man reviews so why all of us sudden, y'all are not only throwing Glen Powell in the conversation but claiming he will win?
Wished I would've saw the tweet but here's my hot take: Anora winning Best Picture over Dune: Part Two would be the equivalent of The Holdovers winning over Oppenheimer in my eyes. Great movies, but c'mon what are we doing. I will never understand how Dune isn't the far and away favorite.
My somewhat hot take: A Real Pain's screenplay is way better than Anora's, and Anora doesn't deserve to win Best Original Screenplay. The thermonuclear version of that same take: Anora's writing is just okay, and it winning Best Original Screenplay over A Real Pain would be the 2020s equivalent of Tom Hooper winning Best Director over David Fincher.
Another shocker that could see out of the blue but might not happening getting Naomi Scott for best actress from Smile 2 Just saying but doubtful, anything can happen
Best Actress is either Mikey Madison or Demi Moore. Best Actor is either Colman Domingo or Adrien Brody. Best Supporting Actor and Actress are locked for Kieran Culkin and Ariana Grande.
I really hope that look back will get nominated for best animated feature even though idk if it will happen, also I don’t think moana 2 is gonna get nominated even though it hasn’t even come out yet lol
Thank for agreeing on my Chris Hemsworth take! I said the same thing on the Oscar race subreddit, and it basically resulted in me being called a sexist so that’s fun
I feel mikky Maddison won’t win best actress Oscar as everyone think it is, everyone thinking bc she’s a ingenue but the Oscar’s have long stopping picking up the narrative for a long time I believe Emma stone for la la land was the last time this happened every other best actress winner since then have been verteran legends giving their career best performances, I feel the recent best actress race where Emma stone won again for poor things over lily gladstone is a great example in a perfect world, lily being seen as a ingenue newcomer making a massive breakthrough narrative would’ve won gotten her win in a slam dunk other factors are why she didn’t win but that still is a clear example that young ingenue narrative is no longer the case, Michelle yeoh Oscar win is a great example where if you’re gonna go for a narrative the quality of your performance and movie has to match or enhance the narrative, even outside of best actress we’ve seen this equally in best actor just look at Brandon Fraser winning Austin butler last year, bc of this I feel Nicole Kidman, Demi Moore and Angelina Jolie are gonna be the ones winning the Oscar
-Emilia Pérez is absolute trash -The Substance isn’t that great -Jesse Plemons needs to be nominated for Kinds of Kindness -Sebastian Stan needs to be nominated for A Different man -Felicity Jones needs to win -The Room next door needs to be in the conversation -Nosferatu is probably going to be great, but I’m sure it’s probably not going to be among the important awards -Furiosa was mid at best -I don’t think Anora or The Brutalist or Emilia Perez are going to win, I can see something like sing sing winning the same way coda did.
Anora and wicked lines on the thumbnail r extremely accurate!!!! Couldn't agree more!!!! Both will be tied for worst picture at the razzies!!! In addition anora will win worst actress and wicked worst supporting actress!!!!
cuz then they'd have to do categories for every genre. why would they single out the horror genre when there are dozens of other genres and subgenres (not to mention there's clearly already a bias against horror)?
@@axr7149 Nah, all “Best Debut/1st” categories are condescending AF and give voters the excuse to not have to recognize them in more top categories. *_**glares at Best Animated, Documentary, and International Features**_*
Warner Bros. fcked up so badly by putting Dune 2 in March because I don't see anyone talk about that movie anymore, as seen by the fact that it doesn't even appear in this video once
_Dune: Part Two_ is still a 2024 runaway success, no?
F this constant exploitation of voters’ “bad memories”.
Everything everywhere was released in April and won best picture
I disagree, during such a weak year, Dune 2 has the upper hand in a lot of tech categories
@@mikevilla8230 I mean its a given that dune 2 is winning most, if not all tech gategories tbh
Makes me mad to see so many people dismiss it because of the release date. WB is pushing it hard, including Villenueve. I want to believe it's still a top 3 BP contender.
That comment about Wicked's visual effects is the realest and funniest thing I've heard all month
Thank you.
😁
Challengers for best score should be a no brainer is my hot take
That and Dune Pt.2 are my top 2 in this category (and lowkey overall)
Ever Oscar should with everyone
😄
5:05 Good performances in bad films still deserve Oscar contention, but no one should be surprised that the factor of the film being received poorly can influence one’s vote.
9:50 - 10:30 funniest responses ever
That last comment took me tf out lmaooooooo
i have a tiny baby feeling that Queer is gonna do a lot better than people are currently predicting. which sucks because Challengers should be Guadagnino's front runner this year, but here we are.
Dune part 2 should win everything that it could get a nomination. I MEAN EVERYTHING THAT HES GOING TO GET NOMINATED.
My hot take: Saoirse Ronan in The Outrun is the best performance of the year and should win Best Actress.
Mikey Madison (Anora) and Demi Moore (The Substance) would have a word from that. 😁😁
@kevzsabz8253 Both are amazing, but I still think Ronan is better
Agreed. She's brilliant in that.
Hot take: the Oscars are not cool enough to nominate the substance in best picture
Deadpool & Wolverine will get a VFX nom, Furiosa won't, and the Internet will implode over this.
Not really. They always nominate a marvel project. It’s expected at this point. It’s like the Dianne Warren nomination.
@@benabramowitz18 I agree they always do a marvel movie and Deadpool was insanely popular it's getting in
@@Sharpe1502 Exactly if there's three things you should expect 100% at the Oscars are Marvel,Diane Warren and John Williams
🙃
It is going to be a director/picture split.
Sean Baker for director and The Brutalist for picture.
I think it would be the other way around
@rodrickheffley8794 I can see that. I think Sean Baker is a bigger name in the industry but who knows.
@@TheBlueFuton Here's my theory so far
Brutalist:Director
Anora:Original
Sing Sing:Adapted,Supporting Actor, Picture
@@Cinemadiction I see Sing Sing as Past Lives.
@@TheBlueFuton Nah I think it's way,way stronger I think people are really doubting it but I could be wrong
The Wild Robot is my favorite film of the year. I do truly believe it deserves a spot in the best picture lineup…
I'd love to see that too but probably won't happen
Love these types of videos! Great stuff my man
The brutalist is sweeping
The Oscars are obsolete.
Naomi Scott in smile 2 should be in the conversation. Also, is this the only year where we don't have clear frontrunners in most categories
She actually got nominated for best actress at the Astra Awards
I would watch so many of these videos!!
Wicked IS getting into visual effects 😂 I also have it in adapted screenplay
Ehhhh NGL, _Inside Out 2_ might deserve a Best Adapted Screenplay nom over _Wicked._
@ agreed, wishful thinking but I would love to see inside out 2 in screenplay!
Horror has been KILLING it this year (pun intended) and you just know it’s not gonna be anywhere near the nominations pool 😒
4:19 I side with this user because I loved Inside Out 2 more. At the very least, have Inside Out 2 win the Golden Globes then The Wild Robot for Oscars. Golden Globes and Oscars don't always need to have the same best animated feature winner
I view best actress/actor similar to MVP in the NFL. Being in a good movie/team makes it a lot easier for you. But I don’t think a great performance in a bad movie should be overlooked.
1. I personally feel like the substance will get nominated for best pictures since it has gotten so much attention after the Cannes film festival with many different nominations most commonly best actress, supporting actress, make up and hairstyling, and probably production design.
2. I know Civil War has a lower chance of getting any nominations but the most rooting category I feel like Civil War would get would be cinematography. I can see why it would get nominations for sound, but I feel like Civil War would mostly get nominated for cinematography because the shots in the movie are really eerie and beautiful.
3. Despite the wild robot of being animated and the last time an animated was nominated for best picture was in 2011 for Toy story 3 I have a feeling that it will get nominated for best picture with other different types of categories like ad adapted screenplay of course original score and maybe visual effects but I doubt it because we all know how the academy is.
Strange that Sing Sing can win? The director is NEVER mentioned. It'd be the second year in a row of a male dominated Best PIc. It wouldn't matter if it's quality was undeniable but there's a reason the director is never mentioned.
wish i liked anora more but yeah, i thought it was just ok. if it was an hour and 45 minutes, maybe i wouldve thought it was excellent but right now, i dont think it would be a good best pic winner
Ebert argued that great performances in bad films were exactly the types of performances that should win Oscars. They rose above the badness, and that's worth recognition. There's no reason to take it out on the acting or music or cinematography just b/c a film doesn't work well. Your Wicked takes are vile, as expected.
Dune 2 or Wicked will win best adapted screenplay. Wild Robot will win best animated feature. Other than that I have zero strong opinions, let alone controversial ones.
Edit: The reason Conclave isn’t getting discussed is because nobody but diehard movie fans came to see that movie. Especially when Gladiator 2, Wicked and Moana 2 released a couple weeks later
DUNE SWEEP #LISANALGAIB
I think it’s a mistake to think Emilia Perez can’t win best picture. I believe it won (to some degree) at both Cannes and TIFF, so that could and I would say should be viewed as both Industry and Public approval.
I really liked it, though The Substance is still my film of the year
The Brutalist is the best picture winner america deserves and needs right now but won’t get.
Anora was excruciatingly insufferable. Once her husband leaves her to fend for herself the movie completely falls off a cliff and only gets worse with each scene. Don't even get me started on that fucking ending. Offensively boring film and not at all what it's being sold as.
My hot take is that Wicked or The Substance are going to win Best Picture.
No chance
I just watched Conclave. Loved it
As an Irish person I saw you have Kneecap 2.5 stars on Letterboxd and I was wondering what you didn’t like about it
Yeah, _Kneecap’s_ badass, probably the closing film in recent years to _A Hard Day’s Night._
@@Wired4Life2 great take ! It’s weird cause it’s the only “biopic” (if you can even call it that) that actually balances the social message and the story of the group perfectly
@@liamo31fob And, if we’re emphasizing for non-English aspect of the category, the film is LITERALLY about the linguistic differences. Its English-language bits serve that tension, rather than testing Academy rules to attract votes.
(I mean, _Anatomy of a Fall_ is certainly a masterpiece and all, top 5 for 2023, but I’d be lying if I didn’t admit that its within-limits English-language dialogue helped attract more views and thus votes.)
Here's my awards hot take, although it's not the Oscars but rather the Golden Globes
Where the fuck is all that "Glen Powell (Hit Man) is going to win best actor in a comedy/musical" coming from? Maybe he could win, who knows? I loved Glenn Powell's performance in Hit Man but I'm having a hard time imagining this win happening. I didn't hear anyone say he was award worthy in their Hit Man reviews so why all of us sudden, y'all are not only throwing Glen Powell in the conversation but claiming he will win?
Memoir of a Snail should win best animated feature
I think Globes will go for it
@@joelanthonylim6792 _Mars Express_ tops _Memoir of a Snail._
Agreed, but it's probably gonna lose to Wild Robot, though. It sucks cause Memoir probably has the best ending I've ever seen in a stop-motion movie.
@@mackielunkey2205 realest shit I’ve ever read
Dont forget that wild robot is directed by Chris sanders!!!!
Longlegs has the best cinematography of the year and I am not going to hear otherwise. It deserves to get nominated for that category
Memoir of a Snail should be sweeping Animated Feature and it not doing that genuinely breaks my heart
It won Best Film at British Film Festival and the top prize at Annecy. at least. It's been hauling ass, and rightly so.
😯
Wished I would've saw the tweet but here's my hot take: Anora winning Best Picture over Dune: Part Two would be the equivalent of The Holdovers winning over Oppenheimer in my eyes. Great movies, but c'mon what are we doing. I will never understand how Dune isn't the far and away favorite.
The holdovers is better than Oppenheimer, Anora is better than Dune 2.
@@GodwinBaxterI half agree. I loved the holdovers but found Anora really underwhelming. Hard to believe its the best picture front runner.
@@GodwinBaxter Anora is insufferably terrible don't even put it in the same sentence as Dune.
Emilia Perez and Anora are both over hyped asf.
My somewhat hot take: A Real Pain's screenplay is way better than Anora's, and Anora doesn't deserve to win Best Original Screenplay.
The thermonuclear version of that same take: Anora's writing is just okay, and it winning Best Original Screenplay over A Real Pain would be the 2020s equivalent of Tom Hooper winning Best Director over David Fincher.
and when sing 3 wins best animated feature at the 2026 oscars….
No one in any award body cares what Ben Shapiro has to say.
Here's mine joker is one of the best movies of the year and it should get at least tech noms,it should win cinematography
I really liked Joker too. Sad that the basement dweller haters won. I don't foresee any nominations though.
@summertime_blooz Yeah maybe I hope at least for a cinematography nom say what you will about the movie but you can't deny how gorgeous it looks
Joker: Folie a Deux should get nominated for best makeup and hairstyling
@@frozenwishstudios Yeah,it should but the substance should win and I don't love the movie not am sure of it's chances
@ I agree The Substance deserves to win that category
I've seen almost every possible animated nominee minus gromit, and Flow should won it 100℅!
Zendaya is over rated I don’t think she was phenomenal in Challengers good. Movie was good not fantastic
Another shocker that could see out of the blue but might not happening getting Naomi Scott for best actress from Smile 2
Just saying but doubtful, anything can happen
Best Actress is either Mikey Madison or Demi Moore.
Best Actor is either Colman Domingo or Adrien Brody.
Best Supporting Actor and Actress are locked for Kieran Culkin and Ariana Grande.
I thought Emila Perez is doing badly on Netflix and this would have it fall out of the conversation. But I must be wrong.
love these vids bro
Love these! Definitely wouldn't mind a part 2! When is your next live stream?
i think every oscar should revieve friedns all be
I really hope that look back will get nominated for best animated feature even though idk if it will happen, also I don’t think moana 2 is gonna get nominated even though it hasn’t even come out yet lol
I’ll take a good performance in a bad movie winning, over a mid performance in a great movie winning (JLC 😉)
Thank for agreeing on my Chris Hemsworth take! I said the same thing on the Oscar race subreddit, and it basically resulted in me being called a sexist so that’s fun
I have one BP nom of the 2020s at less than 3 stars, and by far the worst nominee is Don't Look Up.
I feel mikky Maddison won’t win best actress Oscar as everyone think it is, everyone thinking bc she’s a ingenue but the Oscar’s have long stopping picking up the narrative for a long time I believe Emma stone for la la land was the last time this happened every other best actress winner since then have been verteran legends giving their career best performances, I feel the recent best actress race where Emma stone won again for poor things over lily gladstone is a great example in a perfect world, lily being seen as a ingenue newcomer making a massive breakthrough narrative would’ve won gotten her win in a slam dunk other factors are why she didn’t win but that still is a clear example that young ingenue narrative is no longer the case, Michelle yeoh Oscar win is a great example where if you’re gonna go for a narrative the quality of your performance and movie has to match or enhance the narrative, even outside of best actress we’ve seen this equally in best actor just look at Brandon Fraser winning Austin butler last year, bc of this I feel Nicole Kidman, Demi Moore and Angelina Jolie are gonna be the ones winning the Oscar
We wills what happens when golden globes nomination happen
Terrifier 3 should win Best Picture
Hugh Grant or Denzel should absolutely win Best Supporting actor. Hemsworth should be nominated
Ariana Grande world domination
I gave up on the Oscar's after no noms for the batman, but movies like Avatar and Joker get nominated, but whatever! Lol
I think The Batman did get a few Oscar nominations. I forgot what it was
GOOD PERFORMANCES IN BAD MOVIES SHOULD *NOT* GET OSCAR NOMINATIONS!!!!
Emilia Perez was a weird movie with completely lame "music". How this movie has generated any Oscar buzz is beyond me.
Shocking, you take the Torres trolls seriously. They copy and past the same comment under every oscar related youtube videos.
05:07 Definitely hot 😅 also a very bad take! This would also make the Oscar race so much less interesting
I Saw The TV Glow is the worst film I’ve seen in the last 14years; and yes I have seen Cats
🤣
3:00 Kayla better take that Anora slander back, smh
How r u so brutal?
My least favorite film to be nominated this decade is Barbie.
These are excellent hahah! Anora is pretty overrated. Sean Baker’s films are kinda meandering.
-Emilia Pérez is absolute trash
-The Substance isn’t that great
-Jesse Plemons needs to be nominated for Kinds of Kindness
-Sebastian Stan needs to be nominated for A Different man
-Felicity Jones needs to win
-The Room next door needs to be in the conversation
-Nosferatu is probably going to be great, but I’m sure it’s probably not going to be among the important awards
-Furiosa was mid at best
-I don’t think Anora or The Brutalist or Emilia Perez are going to win, I can see something like sing sing winning the same way coda did.
licorice pizza exist and emilia perez is the worst possible bp nom?
Anora and wicked lines on the thumbnail r extremely accurate!!!! Couldn't agree more!!!! Both will be tied for worst picture at the razzies!!! In addition anora will win worst actress and wicked worst supporting actress!!!!
A hater😂
🤭
Man, it's disappointing to hear you call actors cowards just bc they don't want to talk about trump.
The oscars should have a best horror category. Idk why they haven't.
cuz then they'd have to do categories for every genre. why would they single out the horror genre when there are dozens of other genres and subgenres (not to mention there's clearly already a bias against horror)?
@@BROJANGSTER
Agree
I think if a new category makes sense, it would be Best Debut Film of a Director.
@@axr7149 Nah, all “Best Debut/1st” categories are condescending AF and give voters the excuse to not have to recognize them in more top categories.
*_**glares at Best Animated, Documentary, and International Features**_*
It would become a ghetto like best animated movie is now.
People saying anora is overhyped but like challengers wow challengers is fucking cringy and the ending is the worst of the year