I still find it wild how stacked 2019 was. Parasite, Ford v Ferrari, The Irishman, Jojo Rabbit, Joker, Little Women, Marriage Story, 1917, and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, all great movies and I'd be fine with any one winning (although I'm glad Parasite won, since it was the best out of that bright bunch).
I think it had the same problem as 1999. A diverse bunch of great, successful movies that could have started a new trend, but then a big disaster happened shortly thereafter and people just wanted escapism again
2010 always stands out to me. Best Picture nominees: Black Swan, 127 Hours, Inception, The Social Network, Toy Story 3..... and then The King's Speech won.
and True Grit! When talking about 2010 movies that one gets a little bit forgotten, but it's my personal favorite from that year. The movie has really grown on me over the years.
Two years that stand out to me are 1994 and 1997, as both gave us movies that almost everyone went to see and either got nominated or won an award, but but had us rooting for them since we may have saw them, one way or another - 1994: The Lion King (4 nominations, 2 wins) Forrest Gump (13 nominations - including Best Picture, 6 wins) True Lies (1 nomination) The Mask (1 nomination) Speed (3 nominations, 2 wins) Four Weddings and a Funeral (2 nominations - including Best Picture) Interview with the Vampire (2 nominations) Clear and Present Danger (2 nominations) Pulp Fiction (7 nominations - including Best Picture, 1 win) 1997: Titanic (14 nominations - including Best Picture, 11 wins) The Lost World: Jurassic Park (1 nomination) Men in Black (3 nominations, 1 win) Air Force One (2 nominations) As Good as It Gets (7 nominations - including Best Picture, 2 wins) My Best Friend's Wedding (1 nomination) The Fifth Element (1 nomination) The Full Monty (4 nominations - including Best Picture, 1 win) Hercules (1 nomination) Face/Off (1 nomination)
As the years go by, i realise how important the Oscars are in keeping the films remembered. Too many great movies are swept under the carpet with time and putting an Oscar astrix gives it enough cache not to fall into the void of quantity
I've come to appreciate the oscars much more as a simple means to advertise and celebrate film - who cares if they don't always get it right, if it gets people talking about film in a fun way then that's great. Reckon if we all looked back on our own favourite films of each yr we'd probs cringe at some of our choices too lol.
exactly the same reason why i root that my favorite movies are won in major categories... but it's not making them safe against massive hate from the audience of audience disagree with decision
2017 was great, 2019 is goated. unfortunately the wrong movie won best picture for 2017, personally I would say either Three Billboards or Lady Bird shoulda won
Yeah, 2017 in general was a very good movie year! You had fantastic movies like Blade Runner 2049, Phantom Thread and Lady Bird. And just in general many good, fun, interesting movies, like Get Out, Call Me By Your Name, Baby Driver, A Ghost Story, Good Time, Thor: Ragnarok, Spiderman: Homecoming, Paddington 2... (First Reformed is technically also 2017, though it's more a 2018 movie)
I’ve definitely felt a lack of something big to root for lately in terms of Oscar buzz. Big films like Anora, Conclave, Challengers and Dune 2 while all really good in their own right, I don’t have the passion about them I did for last years big films. Aside from my pipe dream of I Saw The TV Glow being nominated which unfortunately won’t happen in a million years, I can’t get behind anything rn and say “I want that to win best picture”.
Another thing I think made last year and last Oscar season so great is that even with so many deserved nominations and wins, there were still so many films and people many of us would of loved to see nominated. Last year was THAT good
I think maybe what you’re talking about is that some years you can tell you’ve got a lot of movies that will probably still be culturally relevant and/or genuinely make an impact while other years it seems like even though the movies can be good, it doesn’t necessarily feel like the kinds of movies people will continue to talk about in the coming years. Sometimes I miss a movie that’s nominated and it just gets completely forgotten by me and seemingly everyone who saw it because I never really hear it mentioned again. I think maybe we can sorta feel when there’s a lot of heavy hitters
I honestly wish Monkey Man would rise from its grave and surprise because I think it would be a great Best Picture nomination especially given what Dev Patel put himself through to see it to its end + how Netflix literally abandoned his creative vision
@@Sharpe1502 I felt like it was a controlled frenzy. Even when Monkey Man "jumped the shark" occasionally it was always interesting. I also don't think there are really 10 movies that are better than this so there's that as well.
I would love if Challengers and I Saw the TV Glow would get at least a few nominations, but they haven't been in the conversation at all and likely will be forgotten or ignored in favor of movies that are pushed at the last minute.
My real preference is a year where there are actual surprises, as opposed to last year where everyone knew what the 10 nominees were months beforehand. Because as long as Netflix exists, you're always going to get at least one movie that most film nerds hate in the lineup.
I think it’s cool that you can just hop on TH-cam, shoot a quick video explaining your take on whatever topic, and post it - and I treat it like any main channel banger that you throw out there . Lfg
I think a major reason that last year was so big was because of the name recognition attached to a lot of the movies. Nolan, Scorsese, Lanthimos, Gerwig, RDJ, Emma Stone, etc. Whereas this year if you look at the frontrunners for Best Director, there really aren’t any big names other than Denis Villeneuve. And even he doesn’t seem to be a lock.
Anora being not just an award contender but a best picture frontrunner is pretty insane because for years Baker has been one of those filmmakers people point at when arguing the Oscars are irrelevant and don’t get movies. If The Substance somehow launched into the top 10 (I don’t think it will) it would probably be one of the most populist lineups in a long time for the Letterboxd crowd.
Just for laughs, these were the Best Picture nominees for 2011: The Artist Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close The Tree of Life Midnight in Paris The Descendants Hugo The Help Moneyball War Horse
Not a good list overall, but The Tree of Life getting nominated was so exciting at the time (especially since it was so divisive - it was not a guarantee) that I think it redeems it. Plus, Hugo was also a genuinely great movie, and Moneyball and The Descendants were excellent.
Feel like it's gonna be a straight head to head between the Brutalist vs Anora for best picture this year - As I've got older I've come to appreciate the oscars more, less so as a genuine rating system (lol, like realistically if I looked at my favourite film from every yr I'd also cringe at some of my picks from my taste in previous yrs) and more as a big advert for Film - just a solid and fun way to get people talking about and more importantly going to see films that they wouldn't necessarily go to see anyway.
I agree with the fact that the Oscar nominees don’t automatically determine whether we’ve had a good year for film. Because while the 2021 Oscars were objectively trash, 2021 was also the same year we got The Green Knight, Dune, The Tragedy of Macbeth, The Last Duel, Cop Shop, and Nine Days. All amazing films that the academy ignored because they have this absolute aversion to a little something called genre.
1939 stands out still: Mr. Smith Goes To Washington, Stagecoach, Ninotchka, Wuthering Heights, The Hunchback Of Notre Dame, Of Mice And Men, The Wizard Of Oz, and Gone With The Wind.
2020 was so great to watch considering it was during the literal peak of the pandemic. It was kinda sad compared to all the joy we received from 2019 which was one of the best of all time but it had its unique quality on its own
I love a ton of movies that have come out this year, but not a lot really feel like "Oscars" movies. I think it feels this way because 2022 and 2023 had such powerhouse Oscars line-ups. 2022 had Everything Everywhere, Banshees, RRR, Fabelmans, Tar, Aftersun. 2023 had Past Lives, Poor Things, The Holdovers, Killers of the Flower Moon, Oppenheimer, Anatomy of a Fall, Zone of Interest. And a ton more. There aren't even very many options for Oscar-bait Biopic yet.
1993 and 1998 Oscar ceremonies will always stand out to me, honestly one of the most stacked Oscar decades, becuz once u go back in the years prior you get some very strange choices that have not stood the test of time at all. The 90s managed to balance popular acclaim and critical acclaim very well, where you had genuinely huge hits that were also critically beloved and are still fondly remember today
Really hoping Challengers gets some noms. This year has been a bit weird though. There's been a lot of great horror this year but the academy's not gonna nominate any of it. The only win that I think is locked is Wild Robot winning best animated feature and even that may not happen lmao.
2019 was the first year I followed the Oscar’s and it was such a fantastic lineup. Had a little bit of something for everybody and Parasite is such a great pick. Bong Joon Ho that Oscar season was legendary. His best director speech is my fav all time.
2008 is one of the best Oscar years in relatively recent memory. There will be blood and No Country for Old Men took most of the awards. I love the fact that these films were not your usual winners/nominees. 2007 was a great year for film, anyway. Of course, 2008 cannot compare with films made and awarded at the Oscars during the 60’s and 70’s. The talent and quality in films made back in those days is still unmatched.
I already set my Gold Derby predictions for either Borderlands or Madame Web winning Best Picture. I feel like Reagan could possibly be a sneak win, but that's just a wild theory.
I think, for me, it comes down to a variety of types of films in the BP race. Think of 2010, 2019, and 2023 in terms of variety of genre. Psychological thriller, action, satire, character study, biopic, epic, indie drama, etc. I also think that, when release schedule is stretched across the year, you have more word of mouth and build up for some movies. You have a chance for movies to be seen by more of the public and less of the “I pay attention to art house movies, so I know what’s most likely getting a bunch of Oscar noms” chances.
I just made recorded a podcast episode about early-early Oscar predictions with one of my best friends, and we really think Conclave will be a lot like All Quiet on the Western Front, and win more awards than expected. The Brutalist might also pick some up too.
I would love 'Here' to be recognised at the next Oscars, although because of the negative reaction, I'm not sure how likely this is to happen. Personally, I found the film to be an emotional and beautifully done movie. It also is the first of its kind, being shown from only one angle. It is indeed pushing the medium to a certain extent and it was courageous and commendable of SONY to make it. Unsure of what category this would translate into...special effects perhaps? The de-aging was pretty good.
Do you think The Substance has a chance of a nomination, or any nominations? And do you think some distributors are right in delaying some festival acquisitions with buzz (mainly thinking about Neon witth Life of Chuck) to a release next year rather than going for this year's awards season?
I'm generally against takes that just label a year as being bad for film because I feel every year has its smattering of great and interesting stuff, it's just you sometimes have to know where to look. Will admit that I don't think this year has been great when looking at uber-mainstream films, but we've still had stuff like Dune: Part 2 and Furiosa which I would say are at least very good to great. When it comes to the Oscars, I tend to call it a good year if I like most of big contenders. Feel like the last few years have been pretty good on that front but others disagreeing depending on their personal taste.
A good Oscar year for me is a year were most of the films should be diverse in style, genre, theme and accessibility level. Most of them should 9/10 or above with the few 8s having something worthy. The last 2 years were like that expect both had one mid film that stood out like a sore thumb. 2022 being Triangle of Sadness and 2023 being Maestro. This year would be if Blitz gets in. So far the 10 im predicting on the Awards Expert App are... In order of when I saw them. Dune part 2 - 10/10 Sing Sing - 10/10 The Substance - 9/10 Conclave - 8/10 Emilia Perez - 8/10 Anora - 10/10 A Real Pain - 9/10 Wicked - (seeing Thursday) The Brutalist (Not out yet) Nickel Boys (Not out yet) If the last 3 meet my expectations and all 10 get in, this will be the best Oscars since 2019 cause it would have the things im looking for.
I’m so sad that at this point my 2 favorites of the year aren’t even being talked about. Civil War might (?) get some technical noms but poor Problemista will absolutely walk away without even a mention, which is too bad.
I think a good film year is one where both its mainstream-side and auteur-driven side are both beloved by the public and their dedicated fan bases similar to 2019, 2022, and 2023.
2022 was insanely goated, here where i live they all came out at the same time lmao so I had to try to watch like 15 or more movies the same month (;literally it was like 15 movies) and I missed a lot of them sadly, I mean that year we had EEAO babylon top gun maverick the whale the fablesman avatar 2 banshees of inesherin RRR Tar The batman Spiderman into the spiderverse Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio Bones and all lol
Karsten mentioned examples of certain years and their respective Best Picture line-ups. A lot of those movies were and still are talked about mostly in the context of the award season race but nothing beyond. I'm not saying every Best Picture winner should be like "The Return of the King". That's one of the extremes. I'm saying it shouldn't be the other extreme either ("The Artist", anyone?). There should be a middle ground. And a solution would be to change the mentality that all awards contenders should get a proper release after they've already been nominated at the Oscars or other important ceremonies. That should only be reserved for movies that will most likely fly under the radar without that kind of hype. It's pointless to do it with movies that will get enough attention anyway. It's not about which movies get the most votes from Academy members; it's about which movies get the most votes from Academy members *while* the general public roots for them. Look, there's this notion that we celebrate movies at the end of each year as a way to cement them as future classics, but it's harder than it seems. How can we predict which movies will stand the test of time? Which movies will age poorly and which movies will be re-evaluated having been panned at first? A good hint is the Best Picture Oscar... but not in the sense that the trophy validates a consensus; in the sense that a movie can simultaneously leave a mark in the industry and in pop culture.
I had been predicting Anora to win best picture all year. But now I’m thinking it could be Wicked or The Substance. Weird movies won when Trump was president/won. Not the common Oscar fare (Moonlight, The Shape of Water, and Parasite). I wonder if his win could spark another three or four years of odd wins. In any case, I think the winner next year is going to be something people aren’t expecting. Considering how angry women are, I have a feeling women voters are going to be voting for those two movies.
Partly kinda hoping The Substance goes full Silence of the Lambs and completely sweeps the Oscars, just because it would be the first time a horror film had done that since the latter came out and it would be awesome to see happen
The Grammys isn't a legit awards show. It's mainly just a popularity contest. It's like if Best Picture went to movies like Deadpool, Top Gun: Maverick, and Avengers: Endgame.
@@ytkenny5 I have to agree with this unfortunately. taylor swift's album and songs got a plethora of noms, despite me going the entire year having never heard any of them. Charli, Ariana, Chapelle, etc. all dominated this year, and I'm really hoping they get the acclaim they deserve
2007 and 2019 are supreme examples of great Oscar years. I'd say 2005 and 2020 are among the worst, not necessarily in terms of films nominated, but the films that (undeservedly) won. Crash over Brokeback Mountain; CODA over Licorice Pizza, for example.
Yeah this year feels pretty dead honestly. There doesn’t seem to be any clear front-runner to get the awards circles genuinely excited. I would have said Anora a few weeks ago, but after seeing it it’s really not the crowd pleaser it’s being marketed as. This time last year we had lots of buzz and excitement about Poor Things and KOTFM, and Oppenheimer had already been in the conversation for months
i think about this from time to time. but its all 100% subjective to my opinions, i dont really care about reviews or acclaim, i just base it off the films that i personally am drawn to watch...it took me forever to watch oppenheimer because it didnt look interesting 😭
I don’t think this is gonna be a bad Oscar year or a bad year for film overall, however the fact that we’ve just had two all time great film years in a row makes it a bit underwhelming. Even tho 2022 & 2023 were probably more the exception while this year was a step back to reality
2024 has been a *fun* year for me I haven’t seen many incredible films but I’ve seen loads of fun ones Planet of the Apes Deadpool Fall Guy Furiosa Twisters Joker 2 Hit Man Paddington 3
I watched Emilia Perez the other day and I thought it was so much worse than last year's awards season villain Maestro. Which probably isn't a good sign.
I still find it wild how stacked 2019 was. Parasite, Ford v Ferrari, The Irishman, Jojo Rabbit, Joker, Little Women, Marriage Story, 1917, and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, all great movies and I'd be fine with any one winning (although I'm glad Parasite won, since it was the best out of that bright bunch).
I think it had the same problem as 1999. A diverse bunch of great, successful movies that could have started a new trend, but then a big disaster happened shortly thereafter and people just wanted escapism again
I saw every possible Best Picture movie (and a few others nominated elsewhere) in a theater that year. Absolutely stacked
And that’s not even mentioning other movies that didn’t get nominated, Uncut Gems, Lighthpuse etc.
@@aidanscorner847I thought the light house was 2018, but yeah it was an incredibly stacked year.
RED ONE SWEEP BABYYYYYY!!!!!!
it's gonna be game over
Trap sweep
definitely!!!!
There’s gonna new hierarchy of power in the awards race
It’s Joever, bro
2010 always stands out to me. Best Picture nominees: Black Swan, 127 Hours, Inception, The Social Network, Toy Story 3..... and then The King's Speech won.
and True Grit! When talking about 2010 movies that one gets a little bit forgotten, but it's my personal favorite from that year. The movie has really grown on me over the years.
and The King's Speech won!😅 I really like and adore that film, but over Inception or The Social Network was something.
Two years that stand out to me are 1994 and 1997, as both gave us movies that almost everyone went to see and either got nominated or won an award, but but had us rooting for them since we may have saw them, one way or another -
1994:
The Lion King (4 nominations, 2 wins)
Forrest Gump (13 nominations - including Best Picture, 6 wins)
True Lies (1 nomination)
The Mask (1 nomination)
Speed (3 nominations, 2 wins)
Four Weddings and a Funeral (2 nominations - including Best Picture)
Interview with the Vampire (2 nominations)
Clear and Present Danger (2 nominations)
Pulp Fiction (7 nominations - including Best Picture, 1 win)
1997:
Titanic (14 nominations - including Best Picture, 11 wins)
The Lost World: Jurassic Park (1 nomination)
Men in Black (3 nominations, 1 win)
Air Force One (2 nominations)
As Good as It Gets (7 nominations - including Best Picture, 2 wins)
My Best Friend's Wedding (1 nomination)
The Fifth Element (1 nomination)
The Full Monty (4 nominations - including Best Picture, 1 win)
Hercules (1 nomination)
Face/Off (1 nomination)
Of course it did, it combined all the things the Oscars love: historical dramas, royals, sappy story
tbf I really love The Kings Speech, tho inception is my fav film
As the years go by, i realise how important the Oscars are in keeping the films remembered. Too many great movies are swept under the carpet with time and putting an Oscar astrix gives it enough cache not to fall into the void of quantity
I've come to appreciate the oscars much more as a simple means to advertise and celebrate film - who cares if they don't always get it right, if it gets people talking about film in a fun way then that's great. Reckon if we all looked back on our own favourite films of each yr we'd probs cringe at some of our choices too lol.
@julilu423 spot on
exactly the same reason why i root that my favorite movies are won in major categories... but it's not making them safe against massive hate from the audience of audience disagree with decision
Im calling it now: the Crow is gonna win best picture
THIS GUY KNOWS IT!
I'm rooting for Borderlands!
@@jonassonstwas752 I’m personally in favour of Venom:The Last Dance ,but you guys know the Oscars would never give it to a threequel.
Are you going to pretend Red One doesnt exist???
Cocaine Bear still elegible???
To this day I am still shocked at how overlooked Tick,Tick BOOM was in 2022....
I feel Andrew Garfield carried the film. Without him the film is ok.
@@tofansultani8472 I would say Andrew Garfield should've won best actor that year for the movie tbh
very poor film, Andrew is great though
Yeah, Andrew really deserved that Oscar...then we wouldn't have had the Smith/Rock drama
@@georgelinford5576 Absolutely baffles me... Andrew's performance was amazing, best that year, in my humble opinion
I'm still blown away by 2017 and 2019.
My favorite movies those years were the oscars nominated ones, otherwise my favorites have 0 oscar nominations.
2017 was great, 2019 is goated. unfortunately the wrong movie won best picture for 2017, personally I would say either Three Billboards or Lady Bird shoulda won
Yeah, 2017 in general was a very good movie year! You had fantastic movies like Blade Runner 2049, Phantom Thread and Lady Bird. And just in general many good, fun, interesting movies, like Get Out, Call Me By Your Name, Baby Driver, A Ghost Story, Good Time, Thor: Ragnarok, Spiderman: Homecoming, Paddington 2...
(First Reformed is technically also 2017, though it's more a 2018 movie)
I tell people all the time about 2019. A BONKERS year.
I’ve definitely felt a lack of something big to root for lately in terms of Oscar buzz. Big films like Anora, Conclave, Challengers and Dune 2 while all really good in their own right, I don’t have the passion about them I did for last years big films. Aside from my pipe dream of I Saw The TV Glow being nominated which unfortunately won’t happen in a million years, I can’t get behind anything rn and say “I want that to win best picture”.
Imagine if last year's line-up had May December in BP instead of Maestro... would have probably been the uncontested #1 in the expanded line-up era
It could’ve been worse. It could’ve been Nyad. 😂
Another thing I think made last year and last Oscar season so great is that even with so many deserved nominations and wins, there were still so many films and people many of us would of loved to see nominated. Last year was THAT good
1999 is the ultimate example of this. One of the most exciting years in cinema and the Oscar nominees were... those...
To be fair, I think American Beauty is a perfect snapshot of 1999 for better or worse.
I think maybe what you’re talking about is that some years you can tell you’ve got a lot of movies that will probably still be culturally relevant and/or genuinely make an impact while other years it seems like even though the movies can be good, it doesn’t necessarily feel like the kinds of movies people will continue to talk about in the coming years. Sometimes I miss a movie that’s nominated and it just gets completely forgotten by me and seemingly everyone who saw it because I never really hear it mentioned again. I think maybe we can sorta feel when there’s a lot of heavy hitters
there havent been that many in recent years too which adds to it
I will drink an entire bottle of worcestershire sauce if The Substance is nominated for Best Picture
Not gonna happen but a demi Moore nomination would be amazing
Yuk. The last 20 min of the movie were gross.
Why though? Sure it's not subtle in the least but all the technical aspects of it are award worthy, like Avatar
Brace yourself…
its so shit
Megalopolis sweep
We'll all go back to the cluuuuub
I honestly wish Monkey Man would rise from its grave and surprise because I think it would be a great Best Picture nomination especially given what Dev Patel put himself through to see it to its end + how Netflix literally abandoned his creative vision
100%. Fantastic Film
Wholheartedly agree. One of my favorites this year and it feels like it didn’t get the love it deserves.
Monkey Man for Best Picture is INSANE
It’s too messy. It was good and I really look forward to his next venture, but it needed work with the edit.
@@Sharpe1502 I felt like it was a controlled frenzy. Even when Monkey Man "jumped the shark" occasionally it was always interesting. I also don't think there are really 10 movies that are better than this so there's that as well.
I would love if Challengers and I Saw the TV Glow would get at least a few nominations, but they haven't been in the conversation at all and likely will be forgotten or ignored in favor of movies that are pushed at the last minute.
My real preference is a year where there are actual surprises, as opposed to last year where everyone knew what the 10 nominees were months beforehand. Because as long as Netflix exists, you're always going to get at least one movie that most film nerds hate in the lineup.
Mank, Don’t Look Up, Maestro and now will likely be Emilia Perez
I think it’s cool that you can just hop on TH-cam, shoot a quick video explaining your take on whatever topic, and post it - and I treat it like any main channel banger that you throw out there . Lfg
I think a major reason that last year was so big was because of the name recognition attached to a lot of the movies. Nolan, Scorsese, Lanthimos, Gerwig, RDJ, Emma Stone, etc.
Whereas this year if you look at the frontrunners for Best Director, there really aren’t any big names other than Denis Villeneuve. And even he doesn’t seem to be a lock.
Anora being not just an award contender but a best picture frontrunner is pretty insane because for years Baker has been one of those filmmakers people point at when arguing the Oscars are irrelevant and don’t get movies. If The Substance somehow launched into the top 10 (I don’t think it will) it would probably be one of the most populist lineups in a long time for the Letterboxd crowd.
The Substance alone is keeping me on the edge of my seat this award season. I desperately need it to do well.
I personally think an Oscar year is strong when the blockbusters are good and we're not just awarding the same handful of genres.
Just for laughs, these were the Best Picture nominees for 2011:
The Artist
Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
The Tree of Life
Midnight in Paris
The Descendants
Hugo
The Help
Moneyball
War Horse
Weird year that was
Worst year of the 2010s. Even worse than 2018
Awful year.
Not a good list overall, but The Tree of Life getting nominated was so exciting at the time (especially since it was so divisive - it was not a guarantee) that I think it redeems it. Plus, Hugo was also a genuinely great movie, and Moneyball and The Descendants were excellent.
For a minute I thought you were talking about the Disney version of descendants 😭😭
Feel like it's gonna be a straight head to head between the Brutalist vs Anora for best picture this year - As I've got older I've come to appreciate the oscars more, less so as a genuine rating system (lol, like realistically if I looked at my favourite film from every yr I'd also cringe at some of my picks from my taste in previous yrs) and more as a big advert for Film - just a solid and fun way to get people talking about and more importantly going to see films that they wouldn't necessarily go to see anyway.
this will be the best oscars only for Conan
2019 ruled
I agree with the fact that the Oscar nominees don’t automatically determine whether we’ve had a good year for film. Because while the 2021 Oscars were objectively trash, 2021 was also the same year we got The Green Knight, Dune, The Tragedy of Macbeth, The Last Duel, Cop Shop, and Nine Days. All amazing films that the academy ignored because they have this absolute aversion to a little something called genre.
We need an hour long video on your ranking of all Oscar years Karsten!
"People want to see gay tennis players." Wow, quote of the century.
would love to see the substance get some love from the academy , now THATS a movie im rooting for!
1939 stands out still: Mr. Smith Goes To Washington, Stagecoach, Ninotchka, Wuthering Heights, The Hunchback Of Notre Dame, Of Mice And Men, The Wizard Of Oz, and Gone With The Wind.
🤓
There’s also love affair, goodbye mr chips and dark victory, hunchback of notre dame wasn’t nominated for best picture
2020 was so great to watch considering it was during the literal peak of the pandemic. It was kinda sad compared to all the joy we received from 2019 which was one of the best of all time but it had its unique quality on its own
Honestly have been thinking lately; about how this year might be a down year as far as the Oscars go. So, really cool you made this video!
I love a ton of movies that have come out this year, but not a lot really feel like "Oscars" movies. I think it feels this way because 2022 and 2023 had such powerhouse Oscars line-ups. 2022 had Everything Everywhere, Banshees, RRR, Fabelmans, Tar, Aftersun. 2023 had Past Lives, Poor Things, The Holdovers, Killers of the Flower Moon, Oppenheimer, Anatomy of a Fall, Zone of Interest. And a ton more. There aren't even very many options for Oscar-bait Biopic yet.
I’m hoping dune part 2 gets nominated for best picture
1993 and 1998 Oscar ceremonies will always stand out to me, honestly one of the most stacked Oscar decades, becuz once u go back in the years prior you get some very strange choices that have not stood the test of time at all. The 90s managed to balance popular acclaim and critical acclaim very well, where you had genuinely huge hits that were also critically beloved and are still fondly remember today
When was the last time you watched Nomadland?
Definitely fits in the "what the hell" category of BP winners, especially since it beat stuff like The Father and Judas and the Black Messiah
It's not a bad movie but I'd never watch it again.
That was the year of Promising Young Woman, sorry.
Really hoping Challengers gets some noms. This year has been a bit weird though. There's been a lot of great horror this year but the academy's not gonna nominate any of it. The only win that I think is locked is Wild Robot winning best animated feature and even that may not happen lmao.
The On Cinema Oscar Specials make every year a good Oscar year
This actually looks like the greatest sh*tpost of a movie ever
2019 was the first year I followed the Oscar’s and it was such a fantastic lineup. Had a little bit of something for everybody and Parasite is such a great pick. Bong Joon Ho that Oscar season was legendary. His best director speech is my fav all time.
I think this has been an incredible year for films.
2008 is one of the best Oscar years in relatively recent memory. There will be blood and No Country for Old Men took most of the awards. I love the fact that these films were not your usual winners/nominees. 2007 was a great year for film, anyway.
Of course, 2008 cannot compare with films made and awarded at the Oscars during the 60’s and 70’s. The talent and quality in films made back in those days is still unmatched.
I already set my Gold Derby predictions for either Borderlands or Madame Web winning Best Picture. I feel like Reagan could possibly be a sneak win, but that's just a wild theory.
I think, for me, it comes down to a variety of types of films in the BP race. Think of 2010, 2019, and 2023 in terms of variety of genre. Psychological thriller, action, satire, character study, biopic, epic, indie drama, etc.
I also think that, when release schedule is stretched across the year, you have more word of mouth and build up for some movies. You have a chance for movies to be seen by more of the public and less of the “I pay attention to art house movies, so I know what’s most likely getting a bunch of Oscar noms” chances.
I just made recorded a podcast episode about early-early Oscar predictions with one of my best friends, and we really think Conclave will be a lot like All Quiet on the Western Front, and win more awards than expected. The Brutalist might also pick some up too.
I would love 'Here' to be recognised at the next Oscars, although because of the negative reaction, I'm not sure how likely this is to happen. Personally, I found the film to be an emotional and beautifully done movie. It also is the first of its kind, being shown from only one angle. It is indeed pushing the medium to a certain extent and it was courageous and commendable of SONY to make it. Unsure of what category this would translate into...special effects perhaps? The de-aging was pretty good.
literally just saw this tweet earlier today and thought it would be a great topic for a video 😂
Wtf I put this in my watch later thinking it was a Mike's Mic video
Queen
Do you think The Substance has a chance of a nomination, or any nominations? And do you think some distributors are right in delaying some festival acquisitions with buzz (mainly thinking about Neon witth Life of Chuck) to a release next year rather than going for this year's awards season?
genuinely absurd how karsten continues to transform into James Franco
Bro obviously doesn’t know that Kraven the Hunter comes out this year
Sony keeping the streets fed with bangers all year 🙏💯🔥
I'm generally against takes that just label a year as being bad for film because I feel every year has its smattering of great and interesting stuff, it's just you sometimes have to know where to look. Will admit that I don't think this year has been great when looking at uber-mainstream films, but we've still had stuff like Dune: Part 2 and Furiosa which I would say are at least very good to great.
When it comes to the Oscars, I tend to call it a good year if I like most of big contenders. Feel like the last few years have been pretty good on that front but others disagreeing depending on their personal taste.
Hey Karsten, do you plan on livestreaming your reaction to the Oscars?
I’d watch this
i think nosferatu is going to be THEEEEE movie of the year oh and anora
6:12 trap was a crazy thing to throw in there
If hundreds of beavers even gets nominated for best picture I’ll adopt an orphan
The older I get, the more I realize every year is awesome for movies. Then, The Oscars end up picking some random movie for Best Picture
A good Oscar year for me is a year were most of the films should be diverse in style, genre, theme and accessibility level. Most of them should 9/10 or above with the few 8s having something worthy. The last 2 years were like that expect both had one mid film that stood out like a sore thumb. 2022 being Triangle of Sadness and 2023 being Maestro. This year would be if Blitz gets in. So far the 10 im predicting on the Awards Expert App are... In order of when I saw them.
Dune part 2 - 10/10
Sing Sing - 10/10
The Substance - 9/10
Conclave - 8/10
Emilia Perez - 8/10
Anora - 10/10
A Real Pain - 9/10
Wicked - (seeing Thursday)
The Brutalist (Not out yet)
Nickel Boys (Not out yet)
If the last 3 meet my expectations and all 10 get in, this will be the best Oscars since 2019 cause it would have the things im looking for.
kursten ranquist you should make “it’s getting dark and i’m looking weird” merch
There are absolutely "Good" Oscar years and "Bad" Oscar years, this statement is not up for debate.
Karsten do more director filmography’s ranked. I like those.
What an Oscat-Bait video!
Kinds of kindness was released this year btw
we’re aware
I’m so sad that at this point my 2 favorites of the year aren’t even being talked about. Civil War might (?) get some technical noms but poor Problemista will absolutely walk away without even a mention, which is too bad.
On movies, I stand on them like Squidward and say "I hate you all."
I think a good film year is one where both its mainstream-side and auteur-driven side are both beloved by the public and their dedicated fan bases similar to 2019, 2022, and 2023.
2022 was insanely goated, here where i live they all came out at the same time lmao so I had to try to watch like 15 or more movies the same month (;literally it was like 15 movies) and I missed a lot of them sadly, I mean that year we had EEAO babylon top gun maverick the whale the fablesman avatar 2 banshees of inesherin RRR Tar The batman Spiderman into the spiderverse Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio Bones and all lol
Karsten mentioned examples of certain years and their respective Best Picture line-ups. A lot of those movies were and still are talked about mostly in the context of the award season race but nothing beyond. I'm not saying every Best Picture winner should be like "The Return of the King". That's one of the extremes. I'm saying it shouldn't be the other extreme either ("The Artist", anyone?). There should be a middle ground. And a solution would be to change the mentality that all awards contenders should get a proper release after they've already been nominated at the Oscars or other important ceremonies. That should only be reserved for movies that will most likely fly under the radar without that kind of hype. It's pointless to do it with movies that will get enough attention anyway. It's not about which movies get the most votes from Academy members; it's about which movies get the most votes from Academy members *while* the general public roots for them.
Look, there's this notion that we celebrate movies at the end of each year as a way to cement them as future classics, but it's harder than it seems. How can we predict which movies will stand the test of time? Which movies will age poorly and which movies will be re-evaluated having been panned at first? A good hint is the Best Picture Oscar... but not in the sense that the trophy validates a consensus; in the sense that a movie can simultaneously leave a mark in the industry and in pop culture.
Not having seen The Brutalist and Anora, Emilia Perez is my favorite.
You did not mention "The Substance"
Honestly I have very high hopes for wicked and a complete unknown
Hundreds of Beavers for best picture!
Where's your wicked video, karsten??
This year was never gonna be as strong with the recent strikes. Still think its better than 2021. Next year looks to be pretty good
I had been predicting Anora to win best picture all year. But now I’m thinking it could be Wicked or The Substance. Weird movies won when Trump was president/won. Not the common Oscar fare (Moonlight, The Shape of Water, and Parasite). I wonder if his win could spark another three or four years of odd wins.
In any case, I think the winner next year is going to be something people aren’t expecting. Considering how angry women are, I have a feeling women voters are going to be voting for those two movies.
Partly kinda hoping The Substance goes full Silence of the Lambs and completely sweeps the Oscars, just because it would be the first time a horror film had done that since the latter came out and it would be awesome to see happen
It would be so devastating but also kinda funny if the trump biopic that came out this year got nominated for a few accolades 😭
its definitely a good grammy year though, an insanely competitive lineup with no obvious/clear contender to sweep
The Grammys isn't a legit awards show. It's mainly just a popularity contest. It's like if Best Picture went to movies like Deadpool, Top Gun: Maverick, and Avengers: Endgame.
@@ytkenny5 I have to agree with this unfortunately. taylor swift's album and songs got a plethora of noms, despite me going the entire year having never heard any of them. Charli, Ariana, Chapelle, etc. all dominated this year, and I'm really hoping they get the acclaim they deserve
2007 and 2019 are supreme examples of great Oscar years. I'd say 2005 and 2020 are among the worst, not necessarily in terms of films nominated, but the films that (undeservedly) won. Crash over Brokeback Mountain; CODA over Licorice Pizza, for example.
Yeah this year feels pretty dead honestly. There doesn’t seem to be any clear front-runner to get the awards circles genuinely excited. I would have said Anora a few weeks ago, but after seeing it it’s really not the crowd pleaser it’s being marketed as. This time last year we had lots of buzz and excitement about Poor Things and KOTFM, and Oppenheimer had already been in the conversation for months
i think about this from time to time. but its all 100% subjective to my opinions, i dont really care about reviews or acclaim, i just base it off the films that i personally am drawn to watch...it took me forever to watch oppenheimer because it didnt look interesting 😭
I’d LOVE if Dune pt. 2 won!
Dennis Villeneuve is winning his maiden Oscar this year.
My predictions as of right now:
Anora
Blitz
The Brutalist
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Dune Part 2
Emilia Perez
Nickel Boys
The Substance
Wicked
6:21 much as I enjoyed Hundreds of Beavers, most websites define it as 2022. I guess America just got it 2 years late.
Was “Challengers” really considered a hit? I mean yes it is beloved on the internet but I feel like it didn’t make any money back from its budget?
For the amount it made and its budget I think so?
I thought you were about to get into ranking Best Picture lineups by year before you wisely just ended the video
I don’t think this is gonna be a bad Oscar year or a bad year for film overall, however the fact that we’ve just had two all time great film years in a row makes it a bit underwhelming. Even tho 2022 & 2023 were probably more the exception while this year was a step back to reality
The Brutalist!!!
brazilians can't relate, we are already 100% invested in cheering for I'm Still Here
ele dizendo que tá chato esse ano enquanto isso já tem fã de emilia perez xingando a gente com 4 meses de antecedência
before i watch the video: when the Best Picture nominees dont make me lose all faith in the American filmmaking industry
2024 has been a *fun* year for me
I haven’t seen many incredible films but I’ve seen loads of fun ones
Planet of the Apes
Deadpool
Fall Guy
Furiosa
Twisters
Joker 2
Hit Man
Paddington 3
This year fun because it’s definitely not predictable- accept Kieran Culkin.
I watched Emilia Perez the other day and I thought it was so much worse than last year's awards season villain Maestro. Which probably isn't a good sign.
Can y'all imagine if Hundreds of Beavers got a nomination for... anything?
that a 2023 film
@spencerlane415 It's actually a 2022 film, but it didn't get a theatrical release until this year
Why is Emilia Perez the villain? Y´all are so tired.
1997 and 2007 were both great.
keep the vids on this channel comin
THE SUBSTANCE 🗣️🗣️🫶🏼🫶🏼
THE BEAST FOR BEST PICTURE LEA SEYDOUX BEST ACTRESS
Major difference is that there is NO clear front-runner, I mean there’s like 10-15 movies shuffling around possible nomination.
2014 was a fantastic year for the actors/actresses, but Gravity taking home a bunch of awards ruins it for me.