How Gaza could trigger a regional war
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 9 พ.ย. 2024
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#IsraeI has its sights on #Gaza. However, #Hezbollah has vowed to stand by Hamas and has threatened to open a second and third front to Israel’s north.
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Palestinian news is not there even in Ground news which can show from multiple news channels,
I saw only a handful
It shows the suppression of the west towards the situation of the reporting especially of the Palestinians ,
The E.U laws getting absurd calling for stringent looking through the news from Hamas supporting Palestinian people confusing it with the whole palestinians vice versa
Meta even TH-cam, google
And TikTok using to suppress Chinese works at the same time
News bias and western double standard 😅😊
What will happen Ukraine
ZIONISM = TERRORISM
🇵🇸FREE PALESTINE🇵🇸
you are bias as hell, you are only fooling the fools like you
@@amarhadjimurad2363 stalemate until Russia gives up or collapses. Ukraine destroyed and the West ghosts them afterwards. Descent into global chaos as China collapses, Russia collapses and the West becomes a fortress plagued by terrorist attacks. Africa and Latin America continue doing what they do. Climate change causes sea level rises by a meter or two by 2100 causing catastrophic exodus and famine around the world. Me? I grow marijuana on my farm in regional Australia and die of lung cancer in 2080
As a Lebanese national, I thank you for this very informative and clear report.
Things have always been turbulent but not as much as the present time, so it was always hard to get a clear perspective on things. Thank you for that!
Dont worry Israel wont attack the Maronites
Can Lebanon defeat Israel
😄😄@@c.f.okonta8815
Well, they did attack a church in Gaza so who knows@@ghsense2626
@@ghsense2626 they didn't get the memo when Israhell struck a thousand year old church in Gaza... hypocrites
"If push comes to shove, it is usually better to give up a pawn, if it means protecting a rook." What a great phrase describing the mindset of key-players in geopolitics 👍.
A fitting analogy while discussing the part of the world that brought chess to fame (after its invention in India)
WE ARE the pawns. No matter religion or race.
Fight the real monsters. Our so called leaders.
Except I think he’s quite wrong. Iran doesn’t need Hezbolla for its own defense, that’s just silly. Iran has a huge stockpile of its own missiles and its backing of Hezbolla is specifically aimed at power projection out of Lebanon and Syria.
No, we have a real differences. It is not just leaders to recognize their struggle in the region is real for both sides and then maybe they can solve the problems. It is insult to everyone to say otherwise.
Reminds me of when Israel attacked uss Liberty.....
According to Iyad El-Baghdadi, Iran has to maintain credibility. If Iran abandons Hamas all of it's other proxies will notice and make greater demands of Tehran in future.
👏 excellent observation
While true, remember Hamas is a Sunni terrorist organization and not Shia like Hezbollah. Iran and Hamas share similarities only on their policies against Israel. Iran has an interest in helping them because Hamas are actively trying to defeat Israel. Out of all proxies Iran has, Hamas is the one who they can afford losing.
This Report shows Iranian and Syrian forces entering the war through Syria. At this point I turned it off.
1. Iran has very little logistical or force projection capabilities to support such a move.
2. The US military occupies the route through which they would have to move.... good luck getting through THAT!
3. Iranian conventional forces would be stretched over a large area of open desert, and could be annihilated by air strikes, especially if the US joined the war.
4. Syria is in the middle of a civil war. They have little to no means of attacking Israel. If they did, they would have responded to the almost constant Israeli bombing strikes on their territory.
5. Good luck attacking the Golan heights from the north!
@@jamesburke3803
Good points.
Israel and the US would love an excuse to take out Iranian military infrastructure...that would give it to them.
@@charlesharper2357 ... I believe that this is precisely the plan. They're looking for a decent enough casus belli, simply.
Amazingly neutrally informative. Insane that the best news you get are from TH-cam.
This channel has blossomed into a true treasure of the internet, best measured coverage on every single geopolitical issue.
W/ disgusting written in advertising
@@brandonchampagne7194what do you mean?
@@brandonchampagne7194you advertise champagne in your username. You're a hypocrite so shut your mouth lol
I hate the AI voice
It's detailed
This guy has the perfect voice for narrating details and current events. Bravo sir!
The number one rule of warfare is to never underestimate or downplay your enemy
We all know that
Rule number two: be sad when your enemy turns out to be a few lazy or incompetent idiots, because you didn't get challenged enough to defeat the next enemy which will be strong, numerous and smart
If you pray, pray for strong enemies. If you don't, hope for strong enemies. Strong enemies make you stronger
@@d16024❤
Israel got EXPOSED. I never want to hear them talk tough again. When action came their conscript soldiers got overrun lost 4 bases,1400 citizens and countless military vehicles. They are conscripts with F16s
Most comprehensive and unbiased news I've seen in so long, extremely refreshing, bless you. I feel much more confident in my knowledge of the situation.
Very well done. I've recommended this to a friend who's a foreign policy security analyst for the government, and he raves about your analysis and relative objectivity.
If that isn't a ringing endorsement I don't know what is.
With all the corporate and government influenced news these days, the objective truth is like a glass of spring water amidst a sea of cold coffee and flat cola. Well done brother.
You kind of undercut the endorsement of this content by your friend since he’s an advisor to the government and in your third paragraph you point out that government influence on what we’re told makes it unreliable. Though this video does indeed seem to be pretty neutral, I would certainly agree that any information associated with or endorsed by government or its people is never to be trusted. Nowhere is this more true than with the governments of the U.S. and Israel when it comes to what’s going on over there. I have found, on the other hand, that many scholars, journalists and regular citizens who grew up in Israel, with all the brainwashing that entails, but who have seen through the lies, are an excellent source of information. Top of this list, for me, would be Ilan Pappe, Miko Peled, and Amira Haas. These are people who had every reason to be unreservedly pro-Israel throughout their lives, but have instead cut through the BS and decided to share what they’ve learned with the world. I’ve learned a lot from them.
He doesn’t care about some low level fp analyst endorsement
Also understanding who is making the content is important as Caspian report is Azerbaijani. That doesn’t make him unreliable in many aspects but unfortunately biases are bound to happen. In no way am I saying Caspian report is unreliable. Quite the opposite but having all the information in regards to where your information is coming from is important.
@@meganbaker9116This is a religious war started by Hamas, that has only 1 goal for it's existence: destroying the Israelites, to achieve this goal they hold the population of Gaza hostage and use them as human shields. It's not an equal war for Israel because they want to welcome the Palastians to the state of Israel and end their suffering, but Hamas uses the Israelites sympathy against them. The war is not against the Palastians but against Hamas
@@meganbaker9116 The problem is, left-leaning people in Israel (i.e. the types of people you're referring to) are the same as left-leaning people in every other democratic country, i.e. so focused on individual-level suffering that they become blind to the big picture. Far from an 'excellent source of information', they just tell you what any left-leaning person would. They ignore biological realities, and they ignore the fact that some cultures produce better human capital than others, even despite having fewer resources at the start. They ignore this because it points to an inconvenient truth: that not all cultures are equally useful to our species.
“So anyway I started blasting!”
-Everyone apparently
What could possibly go wrong...
Oh no
But I don't see so good....
Moto of US 😂
@@dexlab7539not only the us everyone
Outstanding presentation! These events give new meaning to the phrase, "multi- dimensional threats" and point out the need for all of us who are making comments to put aside our emotions and give serious thought to our remarks!
Well said!
Our comments don't mean shit..
Absolutely! Seldom do we see this kind of balance.
@@jokeradviser5843. 😅 900😊I
You’re right the threat of western imperialism and it’s white supremacist indifference to the lives of poor brown ppl has never been more clear.
Great analytics! I always admire the analytics on this channel, how everything is described and shown in detail. Truly a lot of work goes into making these videos! Greetings from your homeland Azerbaijan! Aferin!
Through all the noise on this topic right now, I know that I can always trust this channel to be clear concise and well researched. Thank you for what you do. It's needed in times like these.
Unfortunately, he made Israel the victim, but it is essentially the occupier who continues to oppress the Palestinians.
not true@@elsayed2002
Another excellent analysis! I’ve studied Middle East politics for years and your great take on the situation from a non biased perspective is very refreshing. Thank you for showing the complexity in this situation while at the same time showing the simple truths therein. I always look forward to your next installment.
AHMM, NON_BIASED?????
🤣🤣
@@MuhammadUmair-t4t Lol I blame it all completely on Islamic extremism. So this guy was pretty non biased if you ask me
I live in Haifa, so your videos are like a weather forecast for me. Thanks, appreciate it!
damn, wish you the best🙏🏽🙏🏽
free palestine
@@starcapture3040free your mind
You won't be living there for long
@@Why_did_TH-cam_add_handlesthis is why the west considers you as a savage beasts. There is no such thing as islamophobia, just fear of terrorists
The accuracy and lack of bias (as much as that is possible) is really appreciated to see here.
When corporate media comes knocking on your door, I hope you say no. You do a terrific job and I value your analysis a great deal.
corporate media is just another arm of the state at this point, yet another weapon of the information war. Thats why we have to rely on grass roots reporting to get the full picture.
China shilling gone unnoticed?
because he doesn't entirely conflict from corporate media. You don't know his channel or have a rational understanding of politics as much as you think you do.
Everyone has a price
*This is an insanely well presented video. A rarity in times such as these where facts and bias get mixed to present a one-sided and therefore corrupted perspective to explain the geopolitical situation in the Eastern Mediterranean.*
one thing he didn't address is why hezbollah is waiting so long to "do something"
@@medic5133 he touched on it, there are many things deterring them but mostly it's Iran which ironically fears Hezbollah losing their power and therefore weakening it's greatest proxy group and through that it's upper hand in Lebanon and against Israel. Along with Lebanon already being in turmoil which can cause an enormous uproar from the Lebanese. With all this, and all the built up anger and protests in Iran, they are aware that the West can cause devastating destruction to the Islamic regime in Iran and topple the force holding the middle east back from achieving peace and stability.
@@medic5133 you didn't watch the full video? hmmm
@@medic5133 that is exactly what he was talking in the video on the second part of it
Welcome to Caspian Report - this is how all his videos are!
Thank you Shirvan for reminding us that in the Middle East things can always go from bad to worse!
Propaganda. Don't believe the fearmonger,
What do all Middle East nations have in common I wonder? 🤔
@@adelinad3513 Than tell us the truth bro... Don't leave us hanging. I'm sure you're a geopolitical mastermind.
From Israel: guess we didn't really need a reminder on that.
@@kingsimba9513your mom
this aged well
What a hypercomplicated world we live in. Especially politically. If the aliens do exist i can understand why would they pass us by
There's a large chance an alien probe, if it landed somewhere random on the earth, would send back very interesting data on deep sea fish life.
or they flew home quickly and are now on their way with ships loaded with new weapons they hope to sell us :D let's see them take Raytheon out of business :p
@@ralphzechendorf1644 or maybe to use those weapons to exterminate us instead
They saw an average TikTok video and decided to start deleting the sun
It's fairly simple, the Arabs have hated the Jews for 1500years.
Shirvan, I have been watching your channel from the very beginning and I have to say your videos have come such a long way - you can even hear it in the voice/accent! Thank you, as always, for another hugely insightful video.
Part of me is sad that his accent is going away, but his video quality has just got better and better.
Kudos for presenting the situation in an objective manner
By their definition,
They are saying that the thief has every right to defend itself.
What they mean is that the thief can go and kill many people in a village for years, so people will be scared and won't try to do something.
They support the thief in his theft and in his killing, they even give them aid. And the thief is also killing babies.
@@Success_with_Touhidif Israel is a thief, Hamas is a murderer
@@Success_with_TouhidPalestine has no real allies
He did not mention how Gazan civilians are starving and have their water cut off by Israel. Not objective at all. Everyone in Gaza will be eager to raise arms against the Israeli apartheid regime.
New here?
Amazingly informative video as always. Can't thank you enough for allowing me to make a sense of current events in a sea of very biased and politically motivated news reports
We can never get truth from the media indeed
Fun times we live in, great stuff
😂 I know right
Fun? Shut up
Fun times indeed 🤡 as your not in Gaza
at least in this era we know what would happen before the big war unlike in the past, suddenly bug war happened.
it has always been like this but now we're being bombarde with information from all sides
its crazy that just as this video drops, US struck Iran-linked targets in Syria
Not that crazy. United States and isreal have been bombing Syria for thr past 7 years nonstop. Also US has troops in North Easter Syria and Southern Syria on the border with Iraq and Jordan. They occupy the lands there, they just so happen to oil fields as well.
And irans proxies Struck US bases just after that. They Struck us bases 16 times after the hamas operation
Right
They have done it before. The difference this time is that the strikes are getting a lot of attention from the media.
@@User-jr7vf these strikes are way more than normal
I would like to see this issue discussed in the context of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict because so many of the regional powers with a stake in that war also have a stake in the conflict in Israel. As I see it, the greatest regional danger is a convergence of unrelated regional crises setting off a broader conflict. It is easy to see how this can spread like a wildfire. Let's all hope it doesn't.
Caspian report is Azerbaijani so I think he doesn’t want to touch on this issue due to certain biases. Which is understandable and extremely admirable. If he did he’d probably become more of a propagandist rather than a legitimate geopolitical analysis and I’m sure he is fully aware of that. He seems extremely intelligent and honourable.
In a sense this war is by extension connected to the Armenian Azerbaijani conflict. There’s a reason why Azerbaijan and Turkey buy weapons from Israel and there’s a reason why they both have the same tactics when it comes to their minorities. It’s interesting as well because Israel right now is doing the exact same thing that Azerbaijan-did to Armenia. Israel never used to block aid or internet to Gaza before, but I think the Azeri government doing it to the Armenians for 9 months kinda inspired them too.
I’m not denying that Armenia did some bad things too they definitely did. But similar to Hamas if you deny someone’s independence and self determination which is a human right expect retaliation. Resistance against subjugation and genocide isn’t terrorism similar to Palestine you know.
In the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict the US, the UK, and Frace have zero interest in it. As for Israel, the case is totally different.
@@User-jr7vf Armenia has long wanted to join nato and establish itself into the western sphere. But Armenia unlike Greece didn’t exist when nato was formed. Armenia was still subjugated under Soviet rule. When they gained independence from the Soviets. They very much favoured the west, they developed a democracy and implemented a constitution.
However the west already allowed Turkey in, who would of fought tooth and nail to keep Armenia out. They are fighting now to keep Sweden out. Imagine Armenia tried to join. So Armenia to survive had to ally with Russia there previous overlords to ensure there survival even tho they were a democracy and had very western values.
It’s kinda bit the west in the as* though because, now Turkey is very much aligning itself with Russia and people are realising the amount of problems Turkey has caused. I mean it doesn’t magically happen that every nation that borders you doesn’t like you. Both Muslim and Christian and both in nato or not, don’t like Turkey.
@@AtarahMata Interesting info you gave me. I didn't know that the French is aiding Armenia.
Just wanted to say how excellent your reporting is. You’ve been accurate and have been more clear and better at analyses than some of people I know at think tanks. Great work as always.
While it's tough for Israel and Palestine, Iran is really playing a game of chess with Saudi Arabia and the US. I doubt there'll be direct confrontation with Iran as that would mean the biggest conflict since WW2.
These are muslims, deathwishers with nothing to lose. They ain't resting til they dead or continue getting whatever they want
I don't think Iran has to worry about Saudi Arabia here... if the Saudi's backed the US that would mean backing Israel, in the midst of this crisis, against other Muslims. Their people would revolt. Their options are neutrality OR intervening against Israel to some extent as well in an effort to prevent Iran from claiming the de-facto title of "defender of the Islamic world" for itself
Biggest conflict since WW2 only until China finally does make a move on Taiwan & Philippines.
@@GeneralGrievousCISI mean Saudi Arabia intercepted some missiles launched by Houthis in Yemen that were heading towards Isr*el in the past week.
@@GeneralGrievousCISwithout usa or any other big arms producer, saudi is exposed to iran. So saudi has no choice as it is an existencial situation for then.
Iran would love to control meca, it also truly wants to control oil market. Their objective includes crossing saudi and go up thru egipt to control suez canal and be at europe border, med sea.
Been a fan of your channel since I was in the 8th grade. Now 23. Thank you for making learning fun. And the always jaw dropping one liner intros. 😂
Haha
23th grade ? Congrats ! 😅
lol@@R_V_
This is not learning is liying
@adelinad3513 how so？
Glad to see that someone is looking at this situation in a clear and sober manner.
We don't see this in the American mainstream media. And I suspect in the Westen mainstream media as well.
You are providing a valuable service to the public.
Please keep up the good work.
A lot of it available in mainstream media, academia and other open sources around the world. Sorting through and compiling it all s the daunting task.
Like it's not too little information, but a torrential flood of information from the various actors.
We dont see this in ANY media, not just 'western' media. You dont see this sort of detail in indian news for example
I, unlike you, actually read western media, and what they write is basically the same as what Shirvan says. Of course they cant go as much into detail as him since they need to keep their news articles somewhat short. We in the west have independent media houses that can concentrate on only bringing news without any intervention by anyone, just like this TH-cam channel.
@@abraham2172 It's not a lack of information, but a torrent of information. Like a stream of snippets and smaller stories that gets hard to navigate.
The underreported part right now is the West Bank. There was no attack from there but the settler movement seems intent on stirring up trouble and really showing why Israel needs a two-front war. The IDF is arresting Hamas members, sympathizers and associates. There's growing demonstrations among the palestinians on the West Bank.
@@abraham2172 Could you just F off with the 'independent' part? Western media may be independent when it comes to internal affairs, but when it comes to foreign matters, they are NOT always independent. Ever since my country was subjected to orchestrated smear campaign (filled with fake news and deliberate half-truths) by the American and European media, I realized what a BS Western media is. By the way, in the West you don't have full freedom of speech either; you can only say what is allowed to be said. Once you cross that boundary, you will be subjected to smear campaigns, made a fool and will be silenced from the media and SNS. Most Western people are truly living in their own bubble.
As a journalist, I truly appreciate this great coverage of conflicts. Long live the Caspian Report!!
I hope you report only on local news and topics like culture and the weather and traffic. Because you clearly don't understand the meaning of objectivity.
@@justatiger6268 Objectivity is what matters to the audience, not your opinion. That´s what non-journalists will never understand.
Im from south Lebanon, congratulations on your interpretation, pretty accurate
Hey Lebanese 🤗
Im Bosnian from Australia, Labayk ya Nas...!!!
Dont you affraid of what is going to happen? or you support Hizballah?
@@ori1676 no, im not shia and dont think freeing palestinians is something Hezbollah is capable of. It will just destroy our country and achieve nothing.. but palestinians are living under a brutal inhumane occupation and must be given their rights and freedom
@@commercialandresidentialpl7337 assuming im shia w the name ricardo is crazy ngl😭
There are more people arguing over Shirvan’s accent than about Israel and Palestine in the comments 😂
just remember, Bibi's son wasnt called up, he's hanging out at Miami, FL beaches, sipping on margaritas. special exemptions are great, arent they ?!
This guy delivers his content in the best ways I have seen. I like his videos much.
@@felixdatche9278 ikr? He has an academic story telling way of presenting.
And the accent is just the cherry on the top
Yet I haven't found a single of one such comments
@@Gizziiusagood for his son.
Stop calling him “bi bi” like you know him. Can’t stand it when people use nicknames .
I don’t always agree with your analysis but I know you are thorough and methodical. Cheers to that!👍
He is factual. He presents various possible outcomes. Not much that is subjective.
Too bad he doesn't disclose any sources. While I also believe is wants to be objective, this fact bothers me a great deal. @@jamesmedina2062
I’m doing my honours in International Relations, this topic has arisen, so when this video appeared in my feed, naturally I was ready to nit pick at the video.
But alas, really informative, articulated perfectly, for lack of better words, I enjoyed watching this as a student.
My thesis will be including what you’re mentioned, so thank you.
On the other hand, from a humanitarian point of view, from what was a provocative stance against Israel from Hezbollah, looks like it is an imminent threat to Israel and will definitely become an all out regional war, sooner rather than later.
You’re going to cite a TH-cam video for your thesis?
No no, just verification, I’m heading in the direction I want to head towards.
I don’t think I can cite a TH-cam video.
Yet another brilliant Caspian Report: calm, objective, and clear, as usual.
Objective? Like please... He literally called opposing side of IDF in this conflict an vultures :D
Excellent description of all the intricacies of the situation in the Middle East. Ty very much for taking the time and doing such a good job!
Your pronunciation and vocabulary has gotten sooo much better. Also, thank you for doing your due diligence when finding information on stories. Your a unicorn in this era for doing that
He is using ai
''you're''
This isn’t going to end as a regional conflict. This will be a global conflict.
Moscha dajan, israeli general chief if staff said 1954 already ‚our nuclear rockets can reach every capital city of europe, if the west doesnt support us, we will take them down with us‘ and this plan has been publicly postulated by israeli presidents/ministers AT LEAST once anually. They dont stop threatening the whole world yet the video is titled how gaza may trigger the war
Quick! Buy toiletpapier while you can!!
@@calid.source?
@@legoyoda645 i wont give you source for world beeing not flat and i wont be giving you source for israeli authorities quotes which they are not even trying to hide. If you are interested, go read more.
How?
Neither Russia nor China give a fuck about Israel nor the Arab states.
It'll be a regional conflict
1 question. Why is Israel green and the rest of the Arab world red...
Very simple. We did not instigate this war. The only war we HAVE definitively started ourselves was the Six Day War. We are marked green because we are the target, and potential spark of a wider war because of it. not because we are the "good guys".
Whatever you may think about Israel it's an objective fact that we did not start this conflict. Hamas did. And by proxy Iran.
@@eyalamit5120 You started it all by occuping Palestine, you will pay for it soon
@@tjlazer6631 Sure thing buddy, genocidal maniac.
@@tjlazer6631 I live in a Jewish majority city built by Jews. My entire family was born here. I am not going anywhere.
Very comprehensive report on the strategic implications of the conflict and its various outcomes… it is actually a chess board game in full action and at its peak
You do NOT want to push a nuclear power into a "use them or lose them" situation!
who are they gonna nuke? palestine who is basically in the same region as them?
@@FourOneNineOneFourOne LOL.. waste a nuke on some crude scud launch platform in Yemen?
@@bastiaan7777777 youre underestimating the power of nukes. They cause a lot more damage than just targetting "launch platform". The blasting area and the nuclear fallout are a major disaster. Plus think that its much bigger than you'd seen in ww2. I wouldnt push a nuclear power to its back if i were them.
@@FourOneNineOneFourOne so you admit that Israel has nukes?
@@user-op8fg3ny3j everybody knows Israel has nukes. the only reason probably why the last war before hamas decided to end themselves in the short future is 50 years ago for a reason.
Subscribed. Very clear, precise, and informative reporting
World war 3 could easily be triggered by a regional war sparking off over all of this. Scary times
World war three would require the other world powers. None of them are making any moves besides the US and china having a token naval force in the region
It's really not possible. The other super power "china" hates muslims.
Iran is the only actual country who may get involved and they know it would be horrific loses on thier part. Russia is busy and China doesn't care about Muslims. The only reason China is speaking cryptically in support of Gaza is because they have to be vocally against anything tbe US does
Why ww3? It's just a "religious/culture" war if it is Israel and its neighbors.
WW3 has been raging since... the end of WW2, whenever you determine that to be.
Thank you for all of your hard work.
PALESTINE 🇵🇸 HAS THE RIGHT TO DEFEND ITSELF
From what? They started it.
@@Shadow-iu4cw
You want to push us into the puzzle of who came first, the chicken or the egg?
@@احمدالعربي-و2ط7ي nah man, there’s no point, if they started a war, that’s what Israel decided to answer with, if you think I support the killing of innocents, I don’t I wish there was a peace solution but it seems that’s not what they want.
@@Shadow-iu4cw
From foreign invaders
You start crying when your jobs are taken by foreigners and the Palestinians home and land is been taken yet you seem to look the other side!!!
Irony
@@Etty21914 the whole world was conquered and invaded, there’s nothing I can say about that except the fact I wish it wasn’t like it.
Kudos to the hook in the intro. It is reminiscent of a verse from a poem written by Ibn Rushd. It goes "Death is a cup that all humans will drink from, and the grave is a door that all humans will pass through"
Just want to clear some facts up. First up, The Dwight D Eisenhower Carrier Strike Group was actually moved to the Middle East a couple days ago. Second, neither of these strike groups have F-35’s. Both of them have about 5 fighter squadrons on each carrier consisting mainly of F-18s
USS Abraham Lincoln has a squadron of F35's and the USS America has a squadron each for Marines and Navy...
I hope none of this happens. This is getting out of hand.
Intentionally (getting out of hand). The U.S. “Quid-Pro-Quo Beijing Joe Xi(bi)den” Regime is driving the world toward WW3 in order to force their “Build-Back-Socialist” plan.
More then 3000 innocent Palestinian childeren are bombed by satanyahu.. you think so..?
It most likely isn’t, lol. This guy is exaggerating for views.
@FadeHook23 lol
Where's the exaggeration, everything said is all available on Intel briefings
@@eliesleiman3723Too many assumptions
This is content I like to see somethin impartial explaining how complicated the situation actually is. Instead on the news and in social media we get hit with emotionally motivated propaganda .
Interesting Analysis and even interesting colour representation, with Red representing the 'bad brown boys' and the green with 'good white ones'.
i like the color red
romans were red
american confederacy was red
the ottoman empire was red
hitler’s germany was red
the ussr was red
almost all other good guys were red
I could envision ethnic groups like Kurds, Azerbaijani, Druze coming out on top if Iran, Iraq, Syria and Lebanon get involved in a wider conflict.
Peshmerga in Iraq is dying to the point of becoming no man's land and Azeris in Iran wouldn't care about liberating themselves while there's an struggle that doesn't directly affect them (unless something really bad happens in the caucassus). Idk about the Druze though.
None of them are strong enough
@MegaMrWrong Suitable username for comment
@@curtisthomas2670 The kurd enclave in Syria managed to come into being because the central government got very busy with other things than suppressing them. Like these groups don't need to be stronger than their respective governments, they need their respective governments to be busy elsewhere.
Lol Druzes are pro-Assad, genius.
Amazing video. Another front you didn’t mention is the Houthi’s in Yemen. Last week, they shot dozens of advanced missiles into israel, that were actually intercepted by the US (edit: and Saudi Arabia (!)) . also, another aspect is US bases in the middle east (like in Iraq and Syria), and the fact that the US is sending many air defense systems to the area, in order to prepare for such escalations.
Read somewhere that saudi also intercepted them.
@@puraLusa right
The Houthis are a very real threat. The USMC recently did a wargame where the Houthis fired ASCM's at DDG's
@@puraLusa Well yeah I mean if a foreign missile would've passed in your own airspace, surly you would've intercepted it
@@axonice some would, some wouldn't. This is the 1st time saudis intercepted a missile suposedly going towards israel. For example, in this situation, if iran sends a missile towards israel, I doubt syrian army would intercept it.
So, 🤷♀️ geopolitics, proxies etc - a big messy world.
I greet the people of Israel with respect and love from Türkiye. I hope no more people suffer and your wounds heal as soon as possible 🇹🇷🤝🇮🇱
Thank you
😂😂😂😂😂
🤢🤢
Caspean report is the only media house that you need to stay informed.
Shirvan is on another level.
Very impressed by how objective this is. Well done.
Once gain, amazing analysis
The video ends with common sense remarks, well I don't believe any common sense is left in the region given the sheer atrocities being committed
Common sense has always been relative. What's common to you or I is different to what's common for someone in israel or gaza.
Just my thoughts.
Winner takes all in the region. We're playing for keeps now.
@@akitt2Nope common sense is always universal.
@@nishant54 only applies to things like science. Others things could be a relative thing
@@nishant54when the European colonizers came to colonize india, they called Indian women loose/wh*re because Indian women had uncovered bellies, while the Indians called European women loose/wh*re because they showed the skin of their legs.... It was a common sense as per the respective cultures. ...
Great analysis, well thought out and superb explanation - I buy it.
This is a clear and precise report amazing job!
This was an incredibly high quality video 👏
At this point, it's frankly embarrassing for a geopolitical channel to assume the Iranian president has any authority. The Iranian president is a caretaker. Everything is at the hand of the supreme leader Khamenei. The president being hardline only means that the orders of Khamenei are carried more quickly and thoroughly.
Eh, it's well understood that "iranian president" is just a shorthand for "iranian religious & cultural leader"; it doesn't change the video that much and it's easy to just mentally substitute those two terms.
You don't think saying *Gaza* is trying to start WWIII was the dumbest part?
@@ElijsDima It doesn't change the video but it does contribute to the dangerous narrative that the Islamic republic in my country is a normal-ish regime in which the politics actually change because a radical is president and would become normal once a reformist or a moderate is in power. While in reality it's a fanatic Isalmo-fascist regime whose leaders think they can bring the end of times and the rise of the messiah through their policies. It's also a point often pushed in the west by groups who knowingly or unknowingly have become lobbyists for the IR among the academia and journalists.
@@joekickarze I don't recall at any part of the video he said "WWIII" or like mentions of Russia and China joining this. All the talks was about a regional war which given the explanation in the video, are plausible.
@@Ali-bu6lo I understood that the parliament and by extension the government is fairly neutered. There are elections, but candidates must be vetted by the guardian council who forms a sort of... I think theocratic supreme court.
The revolutionary guard corps is a strange thing. From what I understand, they have a fairly broad mandate to preserve the revolution. With a lot of autonomy in how they do this, including from several theocrats. They are separate from many other iranian state instruments.
If the theocrats were removed completely for some reason, the revolutionary guard would be a functional miltary government with a legitimacy problem.
How real this episode is going to be is very disturbing.
From far east to far west, from professional journalist to think tanks, government offices, UNO and experts and pundits I have not till now found any voice showing us the full unbiased disonative-cognizance-free potential trajectory that this conflict is unwittingly heading into.
Masterpiece!
On information, reporting, analysis of the simmering potential and the possible outcomes.
I personally have always enjoyed his accent! Have been a viewer for at least a year or two now and this channel continues to only get better! Cheers from Canada!
unfortunately, there were a lot of parameters that you didnt notice in the video.
Awsome work 👏. Very insightful and unbiased.
Thanks for actually laying out the facts of the current military situation
😂😂
Western people that keep saying that Hamas is Iran's ally are really ignorant of the diverse geopolitical landscape in the middle-east
Hamas may share with Iran a common enemy, but they're not allies, as a matter of fact Hamas and Hezbollah went face to face in the Syrian Civil War, in which Hamas, as well as other Sunni militia groups backed mostly by the Turkey-Qatar alliance faced Shia militia groups, backed mainly by Iran and Russia.
Please next time learn more about the middle east before delivering wrong biased information to people.
Great, well researched video, as always. I appreciate how well you illustrated the risks of what a regional conflict could look like along with the consequences for all parties involved. I fave a sense that this will get nasty, as the retoriric from all angles is far greater than what I saw during the past intifadas with public statements from all sides skewing to a genocidal nature. This is decades of anger, pain, and tension that has built into a powdercage where nether side of the conflict views the other as human and the governments and non-state actors on all sides do not seem to see the existence of civilians based on their statements. This conflict should expand, as you've shown, will likely devolve into the concept of total warfare with multiple instances of war crimes on display. The Israeli government seems hell-bent on destroying Hamas and willing to stake the survival of the state itself to achieve that goal. It will, as you concluded, truly be up to Iran on whether we see this worst-case scenario play out.
One actor I'm missing in this part is Fatah. The Fatah faction under Abbas still rules the territorial authority on the West Bank.
Brilliant, as usual. Thank you for bringing some light into these times of brainless hatred.
Was nice knowing you all
See you on the other side
@davemeads859
Thanks for the compliment on calling me nice. Needed that.
Such great objective content, thank you!
Love the new intro, excellent video, great job covering the interplay of forces in the potential conflict.
Interesting analysis of the situation, and loved your conclusion allegory to chess.
It appears more and more that Iran is advancing its pawn, the Houties in Yemen, by firing SSM's and Cruise Missiles to southern Israel.
Good show today. Thank you sir.
It was always going to begin and end in the Middle East.
Deep
Western asia
Thats were all the peace and love of Christianity, Islam and Judaism comes from after all ❤❤❤
@@nishant54north east africa 😉
Just always remember what Bismarck said. 😂 "It must be from the east!"
Saw a video of a little girl no more than 8 years old blinded by a bomb being treated in hospital and even though most of the comments were praying for her a lot of comments were talking about how Israel is going to build beach front and telling people to secure there property in Gaza now while laughing at the little girl. How can any human laugh at the pain and misery of a child whether they are Jewish Muslim Christian etc at the end of the day that’s a kid. Also been seeing mock ups from some Israeli pages of community sketched and malls they plan on building in Gaza calling it “Israel’s newest travel destination “ which is absolutely sickening
few minutes watching the video : yup this report isn't neutral.
If there was ever a place where I think a nuclear strike WOULDN’T trigger a global nuclear war, I think it’d be in the Middle-East. The U.S, China, Russia, Europe don’t care enough for that region to destroy themselves in a M.A.D scenario, and would collectively agree to not do anything about it. And if a regional war ever triggers, that became an existential threat to Israel, I don’t doubt they would strike the invading countries if they couldn’t win the war otherwise.
Wrong.
They wouldn't dare.
They wouldn't survive after this.
Pakistan said that it would gladly give to any Muslim nation a stock of its nuclear arsenal if they feel threatened by a nuclear warhead.
Therefore, china and russia will care whether they like it or not.
Iran is not an isolated country.
It has countries, autonomous regions filled with the same ethnicity in the Middle East and central Asia.
Therefore, if israel dares to drop one of them, it'll undoubtedly spread across the world.
Usa and Israel barks about using them, but they wouldn't dare.
They said the same thing before taking Baghdad that they might use them, but in the end, they didn't.
Will Israel use them if faced with extinction?
Whether they use them or not, the end result will be the same for them.
The zionist project will eventually end.
the war started when israel settled there, gaza has been always there
Regardless of History, the Israeli nation is here now and its people have no other place to go. Shouldn't we advocate for a solution that respects the humanity of ALL involved instead of "choosing a side"?
@@avivb4598 nope, that makes too much sense.
I was here since, 205k subscribers. Was scared you increased following would compromise your objectivity but it hasn't. Great work and you have my respects !
EXCELLENT AS ALWAYS
Why aren’t you mentioning the deaths of thousands of innocent Palestinian children caused by Israel
Because Hamas uses Palestinians as human shields so idiots like you can defend them perhaps.
Incredibly well made video
you’re very knowledgable my friend, great video.
Shirvan, by far it was one of your best videos. Thank you for producing and saghol
Israel fought Hamas in 2009 on a big scale too which you forgot ! So its 5 times
And 2014
They’ve been fighting. The only thing changed is social media. Now everyone with a camera can report
@@born2win262 Very true! I protested against the 2009 2008 wars so remember it well. I agree due to social media everyone is jumping in on it despite having social media back then people made no money 💰 out of this things hence less interest
@@ShikaStyle123 Very true too!
@@ShikaStyle123 and 2006
Good to see a timeline of how all the different conflicts involved could escalate. Just one note: I'm thankful for your attempt to make geopolitics being interesting and spectacular, but 'Hezbollah is the one rocking the stage and stealing the show', feels a little too lighthearted and detached in my opinion.
One interesting way to look at it is that Iran already got what it wanted when Hamas attacked Israel and prevented any normalization of relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia. Therefore it doesn't really need to do much more, having already achieved its objectives.
That's right. Also a few people took notice of the message sent by the Iranian leadership to the Americans: we don't want to get involved in this, please don't attack us. I mean, a few days after the Hamas attack, the Iranian leader himself gave a speech in which he said Iran had nothing to do with it. Note that it is not the Iranian president coming forth and saying it. Instead the supreme leader "took the time" to do it himself. Why do you think he would do that? Of course, to send an important and strong message to the American leadership. He was basically asking the Americans not to attack them in retaliation for Hamas' attack on Israel.
Interesting video about Hamas and Hezbollah armies. But I noticed you failed to mention much about how the IDF has a $24B defense budget (15th largest in the world) vs $700m
how much of that is from the us?
@@me_12-vw1vi0 but thr us gives Israel 3 billion a year to buy us defence
Great analysis as always. I cant help but think of the massive humanitarian/refugee crisis that would arise from this situation if all goes south.
No need to imagine. There is a massive humanitarian/refugee crisis that has millions in refugee camps in Jordan, Syria, and any other country that has some of the suffering people from Israel's actions already.
Yes, that's the part that EU and it's citizens are missing. Millions of refugees will run into Europe. Syria was only one country back in 2015, the whole region has a much bigger population in case people wonder!
Excellent Reporting!
Calling out Hezbollah and Hamas as rogue, is calling a spade, a spade. Thank you.
Exactly what Israel proved itself to be as well.
@@timestimesx7535how so?
@@inoovator3756 Sorry man, I tried to respond but the comment kept getting deleted.
@@timestimesx7535 interesting
This is an excellent analysis, I noticed that no mention of the houthi rebels involves in this and what about turkey and Egypt?
the US needs to NOT get involved. no more world police.
they already have troops and tanks there bro
Congratulations, Shirvan! I haven't watched your videos for a while. Your accent has changed completely for the better. The video is great as always
Shirvan hasn't sounded the same in the last few videos.
Agreed.
Clearly a supporter of israel
Yes, looks like he is using some AI tool to voice his videos (If you notice, he suddenly has less of an accent now, adult humans aren’t capable of doing that in that short amount of time)
He got replaced. By crab people 🦀
Thinking the same. He may have taken some lessons to neutralize his accent.