Top election predictor: TRUMP LIKELY WINNER if Biden is replaced
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 28 ก.ค. 2024
- -- Allan Lichtman, political historian, author, and professor at American University in Washington DC, joins David to discuss his "Keys to the White House," whether the June 27 presidential debate has any bearing on his model, and his prediction for the 2024 presidential election
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Original show date July 10, 2024
#davidpakmanshow #allanlichtman #2024election
Demand Supreme Court justices be IMPEACHED for giving Trump immunity atadvocacy.com/impeachscotus-7124?ref=dp
@thedavidpakmanshow How many real constitutional scholars say this goes against the constitution
Everyone, including you David, need to stop the anti-Biden rhetoric so dangerous in this times...
@@thedavidpakmanshow but that's what the constitution says? You want to change the constitution without a majority vote because you didn't like it? That's kinda fascist don't you think?
@@jorgegustavoortiz7717 right! We are voting blue no matter what! Even if biden raped a dead child we would vote for him! Trumpers are in a cult!!
@@LowDoughShow all of them...this is what the leftist do. All while saying that we need to accept voting results without question, then they will do this kinda of nonsense and not accept the Supreme Court rulings. You could use the line they like "you are not a law scholar, so you have no say"
Thank you for interviewing Professor Lichtman. The Democrats better get their shit together and stop all this whining. It’s been 2 weeks and they are still freaking out about Biden’s debate performance. No guts and no faith. Black voters are sticking with Biden and I’m starting to believe that because we have had to deal with much more adversity than most, we don’t scare as easily as others.
Blue MAGA strikes again.
Thank you for your post
Seriously! And George Clooney is just butthurt because his wife had beef over Gaza
Exactly! Get a spine! Vote, support & unite behind our president. Don't let the crazy maga win.
Facts if you notice it's white people that are scared and trying to kick Biden out. I agree us Black people have been through hell in this country we don't scare easy. I guess when life has been great for you any adversity scares you shitless
That’s what they said in the French right wing attempt and the people came out and said a resounding NO! France remembers what a dictatorship is like. America never knew a dictator. I hope America figures this out and says NO to Trump just like France!
The shame of it it is that since we’ve never had a despot , the dummies on the right have to taste shit instead of smelling it and realizing what’s up. It’s like they’re young and haven’t touched the hot stove yet. Slow learners.
A bit sad that French left coalition is led by bona fide communists.
I hope the Dems wake up and put up a candidate whose lucid.
Ha.
Does France have "majority rules" elections or do they have an electoral college?
Viva le France!
Please show this message to George Clooney, Pelosi and other stuburn democrats. We understand democracy should team up!
Well said✋🏼
Exactly 💯!!
Clooney should not tell us anything we are for biden
Go biden😂
@@lilidelphi 😂😂😂👍👍👍🏆
I'm a 2nd generation Haitian immigrant my mom grew up during the Duvalier dictatorship and it's the reason my dad left. My mom can't believe American politics are mirroring Haiti's. It is shocking to her a criminal has a chance to be President let alone allow to debate.
It's actually good criminals can run. if they can't, it's too easy to corrupt through lawfare.
I am from Canada I use to wonder why the democrats went full indict trump at all costs. Now I see it works on many people to use “criminal” to define opponents and it works. Personally, I find this much more dangerous.
People from Communist regimes says the same thing about Biden
@@O1OO1O1and it’s ironic Trump is saying that is exactly what he plans to do
@@dalemac614 well, that's because the citizens aren't doing their civic duty.
I’m sick of the mainstream media’s ratings-hungry obsession with Joe’s age. 😡
Especially since Trump is nearly 80 years old himself! (not to mention a convicted felon, rapist, and wannabe dictator)
Exactly!! When EVERYONE knows the other one is not just old, but 🦇 💩 CRAZY.
Thank you. These attacks are demonic
It's not his age but his brain
It isn’t directly about his age. Trump is almost the same age.
ARE WE STILL TALKING ABOUT BIDEN’S PERFORMANCE AND NOT TALKING ABOUT PROJECT 2025, THE SUPREME COURT’S RULING, AND TRUMP’S RELATIONSHIP WITH EPSTEIN?
You are brain washed
Unfortunately, this won’t end. As Democrats, we pride ourselves on shooting ourselves in the foot, instead of doing everything we can to win. Even if it’s a topic worthy of conversation, there are so many doomers, bots, and uninterested blocks of the Democratic electorate that looked at that debate and are sowing dissent and division. Idk how we honestly get back on track to those super important things that you mentioned. I fear for this country and for our party.
Project 2025 is just a right wing fever dream that ain’t directly attached to Trump. He didn’t write it. He ain’t really involved with it. That is why a lot of folks even in the media ain’t mentioning thet.
Epstein stuff is also connected to so many lefties and righties. If you take Trump down with that you have to include Clinton. Hence why Hilary never brought it up.
The Supreme Court ruling is on the Suoreme court. You can’t be acting like the right with conspiracies and stretches.
Yup. David isn't helping the cause either. I'm sorry David but I know you do this for views and subs.
@@mr_drdave_6265 I totally agree with you 💯
I’m so glad I got to hear the Professor’s message. TYT attempted to interview him and it was literally painful to watch. Thank you David for the respect and interest you show and give.
You are right - it was painful - I couldn't finish - Cenk is such a jerk .
@@pjpredhomme7699I've honestly always hated that TH-cam channel. No idea how they got so popular.
professor Lichtman is one of the smartest political experts right now. He makes excellent points to every question he is asked and is always spot on. BTW he's not rooting for one candidate. He predicted Trump over Clinton, Reagan over Carter , Bush over Kerry etc. He doesn't let his political beliefs decide his prediction.
Totally agree
What if he is wrong? It doesn't hurt him very much. He can leave whenever he wants to. He is old and has money.
he is rooting for a candidate. he clearly dislikes trump and prefers anyone who opposes him. i think he's wrong about debates having 0 predictive capability. the debate biden had is clearly significnt.
He did not predict Trump over Clinton. He predicted Clinton would win.
In Australia we vote for the party not the politician, for policy not personalities.
In principle
Our president's brain is mush.
Ha.
Yes and Yes!
In Spain the same , the vote is for the party. I think most European countries have the same system.
But Murica! It’s a circus.
Biden has my vote. I don't know any Biden supporter who has withdrawn their support over his bad debate night. How can anyone think that there is another viable candidate to replace him that has enough name recognition and support to do better than Biden?? I don't believe, sadly, that Kamala Harris is a strong enough candidate to replace him and think that some Never Trumpers will stay home or vote for someone like Haley or even Reagan over Harris. Republicans stand behind DJT but Democrats decide to abandon Biden??? That's insane!!!
I don't know, some people think even Newsom of all politicians has a good chance of replacing Biden. People keep trying to bring up how Europe has shorter elections but the USA is giant and it's very, very difficult to actually get information out that will reach everyone in the USA. Biden has the recognition and he's already shown he's done it, and he's done it well. Yes, I understand the concerns--but to ask him to drop out and cause even more worry in the democratic party when dropping out is a more dangerous option than not doing so, is worrying more than anything going on with Biden himself.
I know about a bunch of Biden supportters that switched after the debate.
Bidden has always struggled in debates, and trying to quickly thing of a response to Trump in a debate who lied every time he opened his mouth, yes Biden may have had to think and respond in the short timeline of the debate rules, but in reality POTUS is the final word and historically they have always taken careful deliberation from numerous people before answering the question.
The denial is getting out of hand. It is clear that he is on the decline and needs to be replaced. We need someone cognitively with it 100% of the time.
I know a lot
I agree with your assessment of the democratic party.
We should not throw our president under the bus. That made me so angry.
Stay the course.
Thank you for the great explanation Prof. Lichtman!
I’m sticking with Biden. Mainstream media needs to focus on what Trump has done
They're too busy cashing checks from GOP donors.
Stoked to vote for Trump!
@Lionheart98801 me too! November can't get here fast enough! TRUMP 2024 🇺🇸
The MSM is against Trump, hence why they protected Biden with the biggest coverup in history. Now the MSM and dims are turning on Biden in an instant, because they cannot hide the truth anymore. The gig is up. Trump 2024
@@Lionheart98801same here! Trump 2024!!!
The mainstream media is not only fueling the fire, they started it, and they love it. Fear and panic mean clicks and views.
Ah yes, Because having legitimate concerns about Bidens mental facilities is “spreading fear and panic” he is only running to lead the free world for the next 4 years. Do you really think Biden is going to last that long? He is deteriorating FAST in real time.
You know what, it’s a win win for people like me. You run Biden, you lose. You swap Biden, you lose.
Maybe if the Democratic Party was good at anything other than power worship and gaslighting yall wouldn’t be in this situation.
😊
All of the CEOs of mainstream news support trump so they are ensuring sabotage.
It was on another channel that showed the donations from the heads of each network. A million each to trump's campaign.
David. Why is TRUMP LIKELY WINNER in uppercase. This is becoming a click-bait page. Stop
💯
Let's not forget Hilary Clinton was ahead in every poll
Interview this guy again after the DNC gets a nominee. This should be interesting.
He already changed his tune....says kamala is in good position to win. Guy is was full of it
It’s so great Professor Lichtman is on the show. He knows his stuff!
No, he is blinded by his ego and his ”model”. Obviously things change when a candidate all of a sudden turns out to suffer from dementia. Biden has done great but now he must step aside. Trump had a massive lead right now, and it’s not because he is all that popular.
I love listening to him
I'm voting for the sane _party,_ not the deranged cult leader.
We have too many people with conspiracy riddled brains and they fall for the likes of Trump. If it happened in Germany in 1933 it can happen again here.
The party that can’t define a women is?
I have not heard 1 single sane comment from any Democrat regarding Biden's dementia
@@Tony-lt2jr "it's yo MAMA!!!... it ain't yo DADDY!!!" LOL if you know you know
@@Tony-lt2jr Just another stupid waste of time MAGA spends tax payer money on.
Thank you, Professor, for pointing out Trumps performance at the debate. Our news media is not talking about it AT ALL!
The debate is not going to change my mind about who I vote for; although one man is accountable for the presidency it take the entire administration to create all of the achievements that happen.
Lawrence O'Donnell, Allan Lichtman, AOC, Bernie Sanders are the voices of reason. Ignore the noise. We overwhelmingly support Biden 💙 🙌
I agree 👍
This man needs to be on the democratic strategy team.
They’re scared to question DNC authority
AOC and Bernie Sanders! So the press is corrupted, cannot believe it. But after all you are attacked by fascism, who knows how these America enemies,,the GOP and all those brainwashed with Limbaugh lies, who e.g. told the BLM wall of moms are all transgender…following mean word.
56% of Democratic voters want Biden to step aside.
Vote BLUE AMERICA, Stay away from trump 😈
Yeah! Keep voting blue! The part that repeatedly accomplishes nothing and drains people’s wallets! Smart idea man!
Cultist?
@@phillipmayo2201Trump is the project 25 cultist
@@phillipmayo2201yes stay away from the dense trump cult! Vote blue
@@phillipmayo2201 yes, the trump cultist. have you paid your annual dues?
Looks like he’s the winner liberal tears come November
Now since Kamala is fighting, his theory has changed
What an extraordinarily well informed and delightful person ! If I weren't 83 years old, I'd want to be one of Professor Lichtman's students.
😂😂😂
Nothing wrong with lifelong learning! Lichtmans book is the next best thing.
I’m a 56-year-old college student. At my community college, classes are only $5 for seniors. That price doesn’t apply for me, but would for you. You should take a class if something interests you and you have a community college with the same deal! I was having terrible memory issues before, but now I’m on the Dean’s list and have only gotten As and Bs. School is so good for the brain! Also, I fell in love with the school and am trying to get a part-time job there. My favorite classes have been with my favorite history professor, the history of Mexico, and also the history of US Latino/as. This coming fall I’ve cut back to just one course so I can get used to the working world again. I’d been a stay-at-home homeschooling mom for over two decades. I schooled our two kids K-12. Now it’s my turn to learn while my kids are moving on with their adult lives. My daughter just got engaged this week! ❤
@@TechnicallyTexanshame on you for laughing at her. It’s never too late to learn things. I’ve been a life-long learner. How sad for you that you seem to think it’s great to walk around not knowing anything.
Lichtman IS the MAN .... HE KNOWS whats going ON and WHAT the STAKES ARE VOTE for JOE WE HAVE TO 100%
I'm still with Biden. We need to share this interview as far and wide as possible.
Me too
#VoteBlue 💯- our lives depend on it!
Me too!!
You're wanting to keep an old man whose brain is not working properly in office. That's elderly abuse.
Obviously if he stays I'll vote for him. But this system is shit that these are our choices and I'm not staying quiet about this disrespectful state that these politicians have put the American people in on both sides.
I'm disgusted with both parties. If all of you want to pretend that this all normal you go ahead and do that but you are just like the people you hate on the Trump team who pretend nothing is wrong.
If you want to lose to Trump, sure. Biden will most likely lose. I don’t believe Allan Lichtman. Biden is so weak. Even though Obama was down in the polls in 2012, he was charismatic and he was able to communicate. Biden is declining rapidly. So many stories are coming out from behind the scenes. World leaders changed a meeting time to earlier because Biden had to “go to bed”
Biden has been replaced ! !
I'm really disappointed Biden didn't endorse vice president Trump. That way it would be Trump vs Trump ! ! MAGA all the way ! !
Pakman has a scared look about his face on this one. Is this the norm for him?
As an Italian I can say that nothing good comes from fascists governing
I am a German. The same.
Thank You!!
@@Hans-WalterThun-np3yz Thank You!!
I am Italian and agree !
All fascist movements begin as socialists
Why even replace Biden, it's his team that helps him run the country and they are all experienced and good at what they do, aside from that Harris is there for a reason! It makes absolutely no sense to panic. Just let Biden get the presidency and if things get bad Harris will take over. I mean it's not the first time we have a cognitively impaired president and I am not even counting Trumps first term.
You seem to just completely dismiss the fact that he has to win the election first.
Then why don’t we just vote someone who can actually lead the country with the same team? At this moment, he is in cognitive decline, and I don’t think he can handle the job right now
That's what I'm saying and frankly I think the Biden campaign should highlight the village because it takes a village right? lol No president, I don't care who they are, does it alone. If anybody's concerned about him not making it through his second term well Kamala has been with him since day one his administration will still be there to do what they've been doing. Cabinet knows his policies and will continue to move the country forward.
This is clearly a media driven narrative at this point
@@daniellai7712even now, at the present moment? So should he retire?
It's not a panic for all of them. The Young Tools for example, just want a more left candidate. Never mind what happens if Joe actually did step down and the tsunami that is created by it.
Do not replace Biden!!
Thanks for allowing the professor to actually speak. Cenk on TYT was very immature and totally disrespectful to this professor. I can actually understand and hear the professor here.🙂↕️
I agree with Mr. Lichtman ♥️🤍💙🇺🇸 Biden/Harris 2024
Us too Joe all the way !! 💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙
Voters are behind Biden…..just a few democrats want to replace Biden, not considering Kamala as his successor. Unfortunately for me rep Adam smith d(d) from Washington is one of them. I wrote him and said I will remember him come reelection time, I haven’t had a reply. Voting Biden allllll the way.
Except they aren't. All the polling shows they aren't. Biden is losing all the swing states in the average of polling. He's a disaster who will lose.
Anyone is a better candidate for the Dems than Biden
My sentiments exactly! I live in a swing state, and my democratic senator will not openly support Biden. I, too, wrote to her and let her know I will remember her lack of clear support for Biden on election day.
For wanting the best possible candidate to beat Trump? You Blue Qs have completely lost your critical thinking and sense of reality. It's astonishing. Absolute cultists.
I'm a democrat and will of course vote for anyone over Trump, but Biden needs to be replaced. He inspires no confidence in the nation at a time where we need a more energetic leader to oppose the monsters on the right.
Good for you. Thank you.
Why do some people think that people who have supported Biden would switch to Trump because...?
Biden has the keys.
''NEVER CHANGE HORSES MIDSTREAM''
@@blessingjohnchelliah4317 lol, that's a gop ad, and a dumb fallacy by republicans.
To your underpants!
There's always an exception...LET'S GO KAMALA💪🙏
I honestly have concerns about Biden’s health, but since Biden has enough confidence in Kamala Harris to be his VP, then I will have confidence in her to step in if he is incapacitated. I would rather be concerned for Bidens health than have America suffer another Trump presidency and possibly a dictatorship. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again- I will vote for Biden even if he is on life support, though I hope it doesn’t come to that
What happen with all the talk about trump [dementia] and now its Biden whos the sick one ?????
I feel the same way!!!
@@deborahboggs6040 Trump "forgets" a lot of things. For example, he said his doctor was Johnson (Jackson), he said he didn't (DID) have sex with a porn star, etc.
@@deborahboggs6040 Trump is screwed up in several different ways, but people who vote for him don't care. Matching him up with another senile old man isn't the way to take his voters away
It not about us Dems it's about the Independents. If they go to the dark side we lose and the polls tell us the debate was a death blow. The sooner Kamala takes over the better
I know absolutely no one who saw the debate and still isn't voting for Biden. VOTE BLUE.
It's not the Biden supporters you should worry about its the undecided voters in the swing states that won't vote for Biden after the debate
It's called delusional
The media is being paid to cause confusion.
@@crypticcryptid5104 people didn’t want to watch the debate, they know what a lying deflecting criminal Trump is, he didn’t disappoint Trump lied continuously throughout the debate !
@@crypticcryptid5104 Debate takeaways. Biden tired, Trump, the same old lying, know nothing scoundrel.
Pak remember that Biden went to a Debate, an cnn was having a rump rally! 😮
Democrats in Congress, better be listening to this man. It's obvious to voters.
David, I am glad you brought Professor Lichtman on the show. I really respect Professor Lichtman, and I especially appreciated when he called out CNN by telling John Berman and Sara Sidner to their faces that they and all other mainstream media are complicit in advancing trump in this election.
He does not look or sound like a professor to me, he sounds like an Joe Bowdon!
❤❤❤❤❤
@@TruthBeTold-kt6sxHe is way smarter than you.
@@jimmymelendez1836 Well you are probably at his level of mediocrity - I know myself than a slow thinker like you may imagine! You, this your 'professor' are slow than sleepy Joe Bidown!
@@TruthBeTold-kt6sx He certainly seem to have some bias towards Joe...
I just think the instability that replacing Biden at this stage would produce would only make it even easier for Trump to win. And we had a primary process. Ppl came out and voted for Biden in the primaries, he won every contest except 1, and he won the delegates he needed. What's fair is fair, he earned re-nomination.
Totally Agree with YOU!!💙🇺🇸💙🇺🇸💙
You're exactly correct!!
Trump hopes that Biden will drop out. Even more reason to keep Joe in !
Well because Biden has zero chance of winning, I’m going to say it would be impossible for any other candidate to have a lower chance of winning.
@@maryanneborders9602lol what, go speak to any Republican. Every Republican in the country wants Biden to stay in because it’s extremely obvious he will lose. It’s sad that it’s extremely obvious to everyone in the country besides a really dumb set of dem voters that Biden has no path to victory
Two weeks later, everyone is celebrating Kamala Harris, but no one remembers Joe Biden.
@@T_1357_F Oh I wanted and still want President Joe Biden to be in the race. Although I will vote for Harris.
I agree Biden should not be replaced
Amen!!!
He looses either way! You’re all blue MAGA.
Your point is now moot! Biden has put his full faith and trust in Kamala Harris. You should too!
@@jmanakajosh9354 *loses, professor. get it right.
@@sinjersable Well, it is a lot of democrats do not want Harris. So,what are you going to do now? But I will vote for Harris.
This guy is so direct - he makes so much sense. All democrats need to stand behind Biden. This uncertainty in Joe makes the dems look weak. I mean there is a wall of support for Trump.
Thanks for bringing him on, David. He's one of the most sane people in the media these days
If he predicts Trumps victory, he won't be...
This man is maga
Omg, hardly and he’s dead wrong, if people follow him we will lose… Biden is losing horribly.
Because he agrees with you?
@@15npaz He's a hack
Don't even know about the Kenedy Nixon debate.
Debates matter.
Finally. Someone with a brain talking about trump's performance.
Thank you Sir . Your words mean the most amazing uplifting news !! President Biden has been a Superb Leader and President of All Time. His leadership has been a great contribution for All Americans, Yet people forget that and dared to push him out so ruthlessly ! Vote 🗳️ Blue and let the people who have been hard towards President Biden eat their (. ) when we win . Blue all the way--
Biden all the way! Keep going Joe!
This guy & Dave are full of shit.
as a Trump voter.... I agree. Please keep Biden. I wanna see another debate
Biden is going to get worse not better..But better a vegetable for President is ok for the TRUMP haters who have believed the left wing media lies about him..The democrats are getting paid back for the lies and damage they've done to Trump and his supporters.‼️‼️
@@danielkokal8819I also agree Biden needs to stay, not vice president Trump, LMFAO
@@danielkokal8819Biden could show up in a diaper and still could win the election. You need to understand that.
They are making it harder for the President to do is job , Joe need to stand his ground and don’t not of them push him out. I am praying for him daily . He has being a lot in his life after losing two children , it takes a lot to break that person.
Will you vote for the replacement they’ll choose at the convention?
@@user-mj3rj7iq1z its fun to watch kkkrats turn on demita biden
@@TechnicallyTexanWe could write in President Biden! In the primaries President Biden won overwhelmingly won as a write in !
@@mickiepisces 😂😂😂
@@TechnicallyTexan glad you find our current dreaded state so funny…
Thank you Professor. I’ve been saying if Trump is a dictator on day one, he’ll be a dictator forever. And to hear you say it, I feel so gratified that you are. Furthermore, I’m voting for Biden. 💙
Actually what trump meant is that he is going be a dictator from Day one...
well, he'll be dictator until that blood clot reaches his brain
Pretty sure Biden was a dictator almost immediately by reversing all of Trump's executive orders
We want Joe I’m an internet surfer big time & all I see are voters wanting Joe not anyone else !!!
Whenever I hear “Biden’s too old”, I can’t help but be reminded of “but what about Hillary Clinton’s emails”. C’mon liberals let’s get out and vote for our nominee and win this election! Don’t listen to the main stream media. They have their own agenda.
He IS too old though. He was too old 4 years ago.
@@jimjo8541 Was he too old to create over 15M jobs? Was he too old to cap insulin prices for seniors at $35. Was he too old to provide student loan forgiveness for over 5M people and counting?
Do you want a democracy where those benefits are still possible or do you want to keep whining and moaning about how old the candidate is, despite him doing the job? And keep in mind, he'd be happily retired if people could have gotten over themselves and voted for Hilary. So many of you all love to complain about how there's no progress and things need to change, but you're the same people who stay home or vote third party because the particular candidate isn't perfect and stunt your own progress.
Good point
💯
Right now I’m most upset with CNN. They are really showing their cards!
Thank you professor Lichtman..well spoke..Biden all the way!!! Media should stop criticizing President Biden and focus in Criminal Trump..vote blue for democracy and freedom
The media is ignoring the fact that tRump has always been against them and has said he will get rid of them.
Trump needs to go to jail and not let him pick his VP.
What crime?
@@troycote4503 All of the ones he was found guilty of, you f'in cretin. Lol
You need to go to jail for voting for Biden 😂
Trumps not going to jail. That bird flew the coop
Do you mean trump go to Jail to visit Biden and his son ??
I agree with Allan Lichtman. The press is helping to bring Biden down. Stay in there Biden. I would vote for you anytime over Trump.
And the media, and others publicly saying that Biden is too old or too slow, isn't exactly giving him confidence either!
It's REALLY difficult though. President Biden now has COVID 😢
Biden's presidency, unlike Donald Trump, is a team not a single man show.
Unfortunately, Biden is not on that team.
Correct... A team of puppet masters and their brain dead puppet...
Who's on the "team"? Do you even know or you're guessing? I know Obama calls the shots. Who do you think calls the shots?
The very fact that people say this means they know Biden is not running anything. No team is on the ballot.
@bIgMiKeObAthats about the dumbest thing i have heard since windmills cause cancer,inject yourself with bleach, look into a eclipse.and so on .MORON
The media misses trump and his tweeting and his drama. They hate that Biden just gets his job done, and done well.
But Biden has to be in bed by 5 PM
@@drbvo9578 so what!
@sublime7617 don't drink and drive.
@@fatimale2527 We pay him to perform past 5 PM since as you probably know 5 PM on the East Coast is 2 PM on the West Coast. Your bar is extremely low, you couldn't come up with a younger fitter liberal?
No, they definitely do not. They have a liberal bias as hell. It is just that at the end of the day, they need to seem fair past a certain point, and having a president who looks like he has Parkinson's or neurological disease fail to adequately address the concerns is a big problem for the democratic party and for them. Joe needs to do better to convince voters that he can at least hold it down for 2-4 more years and not become lost everywhere he goes.
Biden did not seem unfit to me, he seemed tired
Me too
Trump looked pretty tired too accepting his nomination. Folks should remember he’s only 3yrs younger than Biden.
I’ve been saying some of this to my friends who think Biden should step down… last two times an incumbent didn’t run when they were able to, the incumbent party lost (62&68). We have to think about swing voters. They DONT like Harris. Period. Lots of polls say this. I’m a loyal Dem and I don’t like Harris. Of course I would vote for her if she was the nominee… but I think we’d be stupid to run her…. On the other hand, if we were to skip over her that would infuriate the black coalition within our party and they are some of our strongest democratic members… so we’d risk losing part of our most steadfast base if we had an all out fight for the nominee. I personally think David French the long time traditional republican makes a brilliant case for Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania!!! He is a young popular governor of the most critical state that the Dems HAVE to win. If not we lose. Period end of story. So putting him up as our nominee would be great, if it weren’t for the Harris problem. All that to say, I still think Biden is the strongest candidate we have even after the debate debacle! Any Dem will vote for him over Trump, and if we focus on getting the disaffected Repubs that sided with Niki Haley we win. This is what the top Dems and media should be focusing on! What were the reasons they soured on Trump and pound that messaging on how Biden will help those people!!! I also think Biden needs to start doing some round tables with his team, invite the press into the first part to reinforce that the presidency is a coalition of the cabinet! The optics are, “hey press, we want to give you a photo opp, a peek into our strategy session on how to further eliminate opioid deaths, or the border” or whatever and have the appropriate cabinet members there. SHOW THE AMERICAN PEOPLE THE SAUSAGE BEING MADE!!!
Voters determine whos elected not the media
I wish I could say you are right however the media helped Trump in 2016 . Without the help of the media and I mean all the media dump would not have won..
Yes, but they can sow doubt. Remember when James Comey had a last minute investigation of Hillary Clinton?
Sadly much of the media either lies like Trump or fails to state the facts. Huge numbers of people watch Fox Fake News or Trump Lie Media and are never told facts, just lies to anger them and create fear.
Except we don't. At all.
@@yoloparrot42 "Except we don't. At all."
WRONG.
who got more media attention in the 2020 election, Trump or Biden?
Answer
Based on the search results, Donald Trump received significantly more media attention than Joe Biden during the 2020 presidential election campaign. Here are the key points:
Trump was the center of attention throughout the campaign. On Fox News, Trump's coverage outpaced Biden's by a ratio of 3-to-2 during the general election period3.
On CBS, the disparity was even greater, with Trump receiving twice as much coverage as Biden during the general election3.
Over the course of the full 2020 campaign, Trump received four times as much coverage as Biden on CBS and three times as much on Fox News3.
Biden was described as "nearly invisible in the news for long periods during the campaign's earlier stages"3.
The media's focus on Trump was attributed to his ability to consistently generate controversy and novelty, which journalists seek for their news stories and audiences find engaging3.
Trump himself noted that news outlets would quickly interrupt their programming to report on his tweets as "breaking news"3.
This significant imbalance in media attention between Trump and Biden was consistent across different news outlets, regardless of their political leanings. The data clearly shows that Trump dominated media coverage during the 2020 election campaign, receiving substantially more attention than his opponent Joe Biden3.
You can be ignorant of the facts, but doing so has NO IMPACT on them.
Stop the nonsense! I'm with Biden/Harris!
Biden/Harris 2024
It’s a NO Brainer
Because they have no brains
What about hillary and Newsom as vp?
@@Gumsvibe If either of them was popular enough to beat Trump, they would have entered the primary, they didn't because they know they can't.
🤡
For real.
Gotta stick with Joe. Time to show some backbone! Our democracy is in great danger.
Thank you. I will share widely. Please have this guest on regularly.
Im a Dem but this guy is right , Spineless.Thats what my party is.Even when we had both the house and senate they were weak to the republicans.
They were held back by Mancin & Sinima.
And LONG TIME DEMOCRAT , COAL MINE OWNER, Senator Joe YACHT OWNER IN D.C. Manchin! They were VERY cozy for awhile 😮
They are going to cause Trump to win
he is right. spineless post the 1960's
Democrats were the best during the New Deal coalition. Biden has done a good job -- but once his turn is over, it's time for the democrats to find someone who can seriously govern aggressively like Franklin Roosevelt. SCOTUS was shooting down all his new laws during his first term from 1933 to 1937. When he got re-elected in 1936 and began his second term, he put forward a serious bill to reform the supreme court. Biden won't fix the court because he thinks it would "politicize it forever in a way that's unhealthy" -- well,the court is already politicized. There's nothing he could possibly do that would make it worse.
France has just rejected Fascism and so can we. _Whatever. It. Takes.
Trump24💯💪
@@adkest9914nope
Does France have an 81 year old President with early onset dementia?
@@adkest9914y'all are just openly fascist now huh? It's quite alarming
The problem is the Dems are just too weak. And stupid. They need to make public the dangers of Trump.
They need to say that. But they refuse. Why? The Dems are spineless.
Excellent analysis!
As many as repays good with evil shall never go unpunished!
All traitors shall not prosper !
the media is complicit in keeping Trump alive, they love the ratings he gives them, they cant quit Trump
I blame CNN more than anything else 😅😬
Democrats always had and still have this tendency to destroy themselves and their own chances of winning media outlets like The Young Turks are the main culprits for this because they bash Democrat candidates like Biden or Hillary Clinton more than rightwing media ever could you could almost get the feeling TYT wants Trump to win and if he does they definitely helped him a lot
right, and that is how he won in 2016. You know how much it costs to get coverage, wow, it is in the high millions!
All of them are doing it, I’m probably done with all of them even msnbc
@@user-gw5ru6kr6c They have really gone off the rails dueling for viewers. I can tell you, I am in a committee that looks into where Trump is going to get his voters from. Believe me, he has even lost some of his base with those 34 felony criminal convictions. I have no idea why all these media portals, don't look into how much Donald is disliked and despised and all those Independents and Undecided are not going to swing and switch over to Trump, that is just election reality!
Americans won’t just be voting for a single man but a team. Compare Biden’s team to Trump’s too.
trump's team is comprised of criminals! as usual!
This is utter nonsense.
Americans need/want a strong leader and Biden is weak. He's downright frail.
Trumps old team is mostly in prison, or have distanced themselves from him. Oh. You mean his new team? The ones who wrote Project 2025? Shudder.
@@mfoco1why is it nonsense?
Yeah lets ignore polling and rely on this guy's keys! YEAHHHH!!!!
let me ask you a question - what specifically do you know about polling ? because I can make a poll that gives me any kind of results i want - is that meaningful ? perhaps you might not have noticed how frequently the so called expert polls have been way way way off base . did you drown in that red wave in 2022 ?
I am Noticing everyones flubs in media, religion, politics, family...So There !
I will call out the Party when its wrong. “They’re doing the devil’s work.” This interview, the President’s speech to NATO, and the palpable determination and positivity during the Essence Festival in New Orleans this past weekend, gives me hope. This election is about the future and Joe Biden promised to be a bridge to the future. Although his Administration has made historic progress, there’s still a lot more history to make. It is the Democratic Party that must win this election FOR the American people, not just for themselves.
Really? The whole party? How many democrats oppose Biden as the nominee? A handful? The people opposing him are either way or to the whacky left, such as Cenk U, but they're in no way representative of democratic voters. Or you have to go out way to the right, to te Bulwark network, who started out opposing Trump, but now spend all their time opposing Biden. They too aren't representative of democrats.
There's no central control. There are tens of millions of democratic voters. Most still support Biden. That's true in my own case. And pretty much any democratic voters I know.
You're wrongly calling out the wrong people, and not calling out those individuals who are actually guilty.
I'm a Brit in the uk, but I'm worried sick about your election....having researched Project 2025 a lot.
I know polls aren't necessarily accurate, but if you look back in time, Joe Biden's poll numbers were so far ahead of trump's, in the months coming up to the 2020 election!
Putin wants to take Ukraine!
We all know there is Russian propaganda everywhere, in democratic countries.... he's going to be concentrating everything he's got on the US, for trump to win! To take down the US has been his lifelong dream! Now he has trump as a candidate, and "Project 2025" is a blueprint to a DICTATORSHIP, with trump at the helm! Dictatorships stick together....we are seeing it in real time, with Putin finding allies in N.Korea, Iran and China!
I'm nearly 60....I NEVER thought I'd see America in this situation!!
Thank you professor Lichtman!!🙏💙
This poor man thinks that Americans will behave rationally.
I completely agree with your assessment and we, the people are in a no win situation with this election unfortunately. I think we'll have many more problems to come and especially violence no matter what. Term limits, age limits and the supreme court needs to be overhauled. There're so many issues that need to be dealt with . Rough roads ahead 😮😮😮😮😮!
The USA is truly something else. A mix of insane white people and rational immigrants.
I’m voting for the Dems!
Fool...
Biden absolutely should NOT be replaced.
I totally agree. That would be an absolute disaster!
@@donniejay8348as a trump supporter i agree. he better stay in there cause this is just going to get better and better
So how can we keep that from happening...can Biden be a write in ??
Isn’t it insane that our OWN are taking this crap when we have a guy like Trump on the other side??? Holy hell!! I’ll take Biden governing from a nursing home over Trump. Because, again, we’re voting for an administration.
@@donaldvonglitchenberger4108well you don't understand anything, but thanks for the support!
Biden 2024 !!!
It's the man for the job
I'll vote for a Biden on life support before I vote Trump. Replacing Biden now guarantees Dems lose.
Biden will lose if he doesn't step aside
Couch 2024!
@@bIgMiKeObAmNaTrump for prison 2024. Go Democrats go.
I support President Biden. He has proven that he has my back. All other candidate possibilities are not electable to the majority of Americans at this time.
How many migrants are living in your house right now?
Biden doesn't give a crap about you
@@user-cz1mz3pp9n none in mine, what about yours, Ivan?
Debate matters in this case because it reveals that Biden is far more down to road than Ronald Reagan ever was in his mental decline.. desperate times call for desperate measures and Biden cannot get up.. he’s done nothing but be a figurehead fool for the last three years and it’s time for the party to take action and do the right things for the country
PLEZ PUT THIS MAN ON EVERY BROADCAST POSSIBLE!! VOTE VOTE VOTE 💙💙🗽🗽🇺🇸🇺🇸💙💙
He has been in every broadcast promoting the same fallacious arguments.
@@TechnicallyTexan He's been right about every election lol
@@kingflynxi9420yep, 10 out of 10
No 👎 kamala
The media's response the debate still disgusts me. The fact that Trump lied about everything and refused to answer questions is far more important than Biden stumbling over his words. In the real world, if he needs 10 minutes to formulate his response, it's fine, he doesn't need to answer questions as quickly as possible. In fact, it's better in all cases if he isn't making snap decisions.
delusional
JB was fact checked and lied as well 🤷
He’s declining cognitively, in no way is that good and it doesn’t work the way your implying.
Intravenous copium.
It isn’t either/ or. Trump can be despicable and Biden can be feeble. If Biden was truly capable he’d be on every news show out there, but his staff knows he can’t perform.
He prdeicted Hillary would win in 2016, he predicted Trump would win in 2020.
I don’t think the people pointing at Biden winning the primary realize how silly that makes them look. That wasn’t a real primary. Some states went as far as to only put Biden on the ballot.
If democrats force Biden out and we lose to trump, I will renounce my Democratic Party membership and register independent.
What will you do if Biden isn't forced out and Trump wins in an enormous landslide? Feel victorious, I suppose.
@@tarbellehiggins8234Welp I guess that’s his plan lol😂 Love blue MAGA💙
Trump 2024🇺🇸
Chose trump= goodbye democracy
😂😂😂😂 you're a Biden simp? Omfg
If we lose to Rump I'm looking for a way out of here. And I'm Ridin with Biden. This dissension is a mistake. Joe's a fighter, as am I.
I watched the entire debate. Biden had some issues, but Trump was a total disaster. I came away realizing that Joe Biden is sane. A bit slower, but he lives in the real world.
To me they’re both bad. Biden is about to go to the other world.
Exactly…like your wording.
Biden is after all, human, not Jesus.
I agree with you Bass Wars as a former conservative especially knowing his State of the Union and followed up North Carolina speech was the more appropriate venue to highlight his amazing accomplishments he is exceeded expectations on a global scale and that's with the house spending nothing but millions of taxpayers dollars to make him our most vetted president couldn't find any dirt while the other guy was on Epstein's plane more than anyone
LOL
Lichtman was WRONG
Now he’s changing his tune
Trump publicly whines that he doesn't have a game plan if Biden drops out. Has this fallen on deaf ears?
Vote for the party with principles. *Vote for the party with enough integrity to worry about how well the president can do his job if we re elect him !*
You just ruled out Democrats.
@@mfoco1You are a troll
I'm a life long Dem but this is pearl clutching. Every time one of them calls on him to leave I feel my morale slip. they're not listening to the voters. They're gonna ruin their elections from pissing off dem voters.
@@mfoco1 Go cry on trumps shiny shoes you licked.
@@mfoco1 no misogynists!
VOTE BLUE EVERYONE
i wasn't convinced why i should, but u convinced me with that statement....but seriously you guys are talking in an echo chamber, people who were gonna vote blue are gonna vote blue, people with the red team were gonna go with their favorite color team as well. you act as if you're inspiring people on the fence
I vote couch!
It's entirely possible to vote blue having replaced Biden, but Biden losing to Trump looks to be a mathematical certainty. Democrats look set to eat themselves alive, because DNC rigged the primaries.
I'm still in shock that Trump is an actual threat to be president again. I just wonder wtf is wrong w/ these people who are under his spell.
TRUTH BE TOLD,.!!!!!
Unbelievable to watch liberals and the mainstream media drag out a bad debate performance for two weeks. Pathetic.
A lot of it honestly is ageism - i have friends that think they are just too god damn smart - they know everything . They have never really liked Biden really - I wasn't real crazy about him in 2020 - but he has done incredible job in the most difficult circumstances in my life and that is 60 yrs at this point . There are a class of democrats that I guess believe they are intellectually superior - and the LOVE , LOVE Obama . Obama was ok but Biden has accomplished more in 3 . 5 yrs than Obama did in 8 - I am not trying to throw stones - I am just telling you the truth. Obama is a much more elegant speaker - etc etc - can think quick on his feet - always polished - etc etc - Biden has gotten more done - with less yes he is old - older than any other president by a long shot - if he believes he can do the job - there is something really , really wrong with you that you think you know better
What does Alan Lichtman think post - Trump alledged assasination attempt?
Liberals do NOT own the mainstream media.
@@pjpredhomme7699not if he has dementia. He might think he can do the job when he can’t, because he’s not with it all the time.
Is Biden up in the polls?
Tick-tock.
That was a beyond bad debate performance, more than likely the worst performance in presidential election history. Biden should not have been there to begin with, but for Clyburn and Obama making that call, to crush Bernie’s momentum, smh.
Thank you for getting a smart, sane expert on. I’ve long followed professor Litchman. He’s a quantitative historian, & uses the scientific method & mathematical analyses. He’s also an expert on American presidents. Love him!
Well Zelensky and the Iranian regime are in big trouble now...
I hope the good professor predicts President Trump has been the victor.
Thank you, David, for having Allen on. He is a voice of reason in the fog of opinions and talking points.
I believe it's way too late to be talking about replacing President Biden, the best president the US has ever seen over a head cold.
I agree with Mr. Lichtman's opinions about the president and Donald Trump. Why do we allow our media to let Trump slide?
The media let Trump slide because all their CEOs are Trump donors.
Thousands of paid Russian trolls are in on it too and messing with people's heads. Putin wants Trump in, and democracy out. Our nation under Biden makes communist dictatorships look bad in comparison. Under Trump it would be the USSA .
The best president the US has ever seen? I think that is really disrespectful to the legacy of Washington, Lincoln, and FDR. Biden has been the best president in many of our lifetimes, but not in the history of the nation.
The media is in it for the money.
Unfortunately, "Dirty Laundry" sells.
And also, why does the media let trump slide.... You really don't know?
aged like milk
As an Italian American, I thank Mussolini for inspiring FDR's social programs (like Social Security) and for bringing Italy into the modern age via aviation, science, higher living standards for the poor (electricity/ running water), and standardizing the Italian language.
Not a bad track record for the first 12 years. The last 8 years, of course, were a disaster, as they have been for America via Trump and then Biden. There IS a choice: Third Party!