"And let me be as clear as I can be. In my view, Democrats will not retain the White House, will not regain the Senate or the U.S. House, will not be successful in dozens of governors' races all across this country, unless we generate excitement and momentum and produce a huge voter turnout." -- Bernie Sanders, address to the DNC Aug 28, 2015
Lol I remember when fox news was salivating on this Man when he said this! Four years later, he is now predicting Joe Biden win, and fox news is calling him a left wing turd🤣😂
imgone I Also Predicted Trump Would Win. I Predict He Will Be Impeached Once Mueller Ends The Investigation. Nixon Resigned After He Was Impeached To Avoid Going To Prison. I Was Right The First Time I’ll Be Right Again. Bill Clinton Wasn’t Impeached. You’re Thinking Of Andrew Johnson. Who Was Impeached But Acquitted By The Senate. This Clearly Shows That Trump Supporters Are Stupid.
John McKinney I voted for Bill Clinton the first time I voted when I was 18. Bill Clinton was impeached by the House but not removed from office by the Senate. The Senate trial was in 1999. I also voted for Donald Trump and will be very interested to see Allen’s prediction for 2020.
He technically did. Before 2016 he got 2000 wrong so then he said his keys are used to predict the popular vote. Then changed it again saying it was predicting the electoral college. And to keep his “perfect record” he now says 2000 was a stolen election
@@pats334 Well, the difference between Florida was 538 votes. That is automatic grounds for a recount, and Bush went to SCOTUS (which was bias and conservative) stopped the count. Tell me, how is it fair that Trump got recounts in both GA and AZ where both states had a difference of 11k and 17k votes? Al Gore wasn't given a proper chance at a recount, because Bush knew Florida was going to go to Gore. 2000 was an absolute sh*tshow and a huge miscarriage of justice.
Okay so if you read his book his own word says his system is based on popular vote in 2016 Trump won the electoral college without the popular vote remember Joe Biden on the polls was leading by double-digit margins Trump is currently tied with Kamala that's not enough to win she has to be pulling double digits and she's not Biden Burley one by literally few thousand votes
@@thehalloweenheavymetalmusicwarHe is so far predicting in 2024, not final yet though, that Trump will be a 1 time winner, 2 time loser, and that a lot would have to go wrong for Kamala Harris to lose.
@@adimart2214 Yes indeed, despite she wasn't my inicial pick this year, but I trust Biden that we must unite behind Kamala Harris, as she is the only way to save our Democracy. Let's go Kamala 2024!!! 💙💙💙💪💪💪🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
I'd be curious to know if Trump supporters in these comments have the same glowing regard for Professor Lichtman. This same professor is predicting that Biden will win 2020.
Here Gary Johnson's just about 5% in the polls is enough. Now Lichtman is saying a third party candidate needs to poll 10% or more to make that key false. Moving goalposts a bit?
@@sidtheshuckle Watch the video. They both were judged false. Third party was deemed false here by Lichtman and by different standards than he requires today.
@@user-he8nu2ic1h during that time Gary Johnson was polling at 10% so that’s why Lichtman said it was false. But due to Johnson’s massive underperformance and Aleppo gaffe, garnering only 3%, that key has been made retroactively not against the Dems
I think if Obama, Clinton, and Biden had all gotten into that teleport machine from The Fly (the Jeff Goldblum movie) and melded their genetic material into one single body, they would've become an unbeatable super Democrat called: The Barillary O'Bidinton: Ultimate President
Enthusiasm will win this election . Trump supporters will. Vote for sure . The dems lack any enthusiasm you can see this by clintons rallies half empty halls .
We all have to to counter the fraud that will surely be rampant on Election Day. We must turn out in droves to vote even though we know he's the real winner. Trump-Pence2016!!
Amazing that something so grotesque (a president can commit crimes with impunity i.e. one person is above the law) is even being discussed. Are these judges stupid or criminal?
I found a couple of his key questions to be somewhat subjective, depending on personal beliefs. Example: he has the Iran Nuclear deal as a 'win' for the democrats. I see it as a 'loss' for America.
I love how the people in the comments 4 years ago here are saying yeah this guy is smart! And now that he’s predicting Biden will win they are saying here No He’s stupid! Lmaoo
4 years after, do you Trumpists still like this professor as you did then? 😂😂😂😂 Joseph R. Biden is now the elected 46th president of the United States of America. Love and unity win! 💙💙💙💙
We're all screwed. It's going to take another 35 plus years to undo what all of the corruption in politics has created in our country: excessive cynicism; joblessness; inflamed bigotry and civil unrest; joblessness; perversion and corruption such as that which hasn't been seen since the time of Caligula in the Roman Empire. Big brother is going to feast on the discontent and disloyalty which has been cultivated and fostered in the creation of a police state where we have regrettably come to live under the illusion of freedom, all the while our true constitutional liberties are being systematically dismantled, denied, and destroyed. God save us.
Lichtman is a progressive tool whose support of all things democratic is beyond reproach; having read his editorials and commentary for decades, I wouldn't put cooking the numbers beneath his dignity. JMTC.
Trump supporters. We are leading in NV IA OH NC FL and ME(1ev), if he holds these (266 EVs) and wins ONE more state. We have President Trump. Reality is its very very close, just get out and VOTE!
I will look at the debate Monday, listen to the analysis and will then fill out and Mail my ballot. Not a supporter of Clinton or Trump or Johnson. So right now Stein has my vote, unless I'm convinced differently by the debate. I doubt I will be, but you never know, so they have a chance on Monday.
you'll feel that way with either candidate but most of the things that people think about trump is completely wrong, the most common thing is people think he's a racist
I think this guy is honestly a genius. He’s identified all of the necessary conditions to take the presidency, and applied a pretty strict criteria to each one. I wonder if in the future, polling will be seen as a “snapshot fallacy” (not my concept, but I don’t know who originated it), and Lichtman’s model will take over.
Comparing the 2008, 2012 elections and looking at recent polls/state sway now, Trump is headed for a big electoral win (if voter fraud isn't horrendous). This guy is pretty legit though.
M80 I predicted Trump's win back when he started running. Immigration policy badass: Check Successful businessman: Check Against the elites: Check That's all you need to know.
Demographics...scandals...shifts in public opinion...you can't predict that stuff. The most accurate way to predict the next president is the same as its always been: to ask the people voting how they intend to vote. It works pretty well. It's called polling.
In 2012 Mitt Romney was told by seven talking heads on FOX that he would win the night before the election. Conservative radio and the [CIEC] conservative industrial entertainment complex also predicted a Romney win. However this guy maybe right. Clinton is a flawed candidate but Trump needs to stick to message. Release his taxes & quit insulting fat women.
This professor has only 1 tie. I've watched him in many videos and he always has the same ugly tie on. Please, someone send this man some new ties that are not ugly.
In Australia the people love trump the media & politicians hate him. Same same everywhere he will piss it in. Go trump . We still vote with pencil & paper , you're electronic voting worries me but , he'll win by a landslide.
Evangelicals Trump 76% clinton 17% Independents Trump 70% clinton 20% Melennials Trump 75% clinton 17% BlueCollar White Males Trump 68% clinton 27% Chinese American Community Trump 57.58% Clinton 20.20% undecided 22.22%
Who’s here in 2024 or after?
✋
Yes but now republicans are mad because his prediction doesn’t look like it’s going to line up with their hope lol
Kamala has got it.
It's 2024, and he's now predicting Harris to win.
@@Zachary_Dale Thanks for the update
Looking back, many people probably thought he was crazy. What a prediction! 👍🏼
Oh you must not like his 2020 prediction then
"And let me be as clear as I can be. In my view, Democrats will not retain the White House, will not regain the Senate or the U.S. House, will not be successful in dozens of governors' races all across this country, unless we generate excitement and momentum and produce a huge voter turnout."
-- Bernie Sanders, address to the DNC Aug 28, 2015
Now he's predicting Biden
@@palatasikuntheyoutubecomme2046 Most of the keys say Biden, so it is Biden although he's saying he wont make a final prediction
I still think he was lucky, I mean Trump only won because of the electoral college
Now trumplings are calling this dude fake news🤣
Yes, they dont even when reality slaps them in the face! cult party.
they’re doing it again lol it’s a cult
@@trave7644 As of now the keys favor Harris, I have been following his youtube channel.
Hes got Trump derangement syndrome
@usa26point2mileman yep, I think harris has it
This was 4 years ago, why is the quality make it seem like 1996 lmao
Lol I remember when fox news was salivating on this Man when he said this! Four years later, he is now predicting Joe Biden win, and fox news is calling him a left wing turd🤣😂
I’m a trump supporter but I do still think his predictions are valid and that Biden will win
He also predicted more recently that Trump would be impeached, he’s not a prophet. Lets hope Trump wins again and keep America alive for 4 more years!
@@calebtaylor3835 Trump did get impeached...
@@calebtaylor3835 he did get impeached
@@calebtaylor3835 he did get impeached tho
He just predicted Biden, so we'll see 👍
He might be on another winning streak
and biden won
AND HE SCORED!
He is time traveller
@Hatersgotohell If it's not revealed then how do you know it happened? Your argument is based in speculation.
I like this man. He's smart. I think his prediction is accurate.
Waqar Zahid He’s Also Predicting That Trump Will Be Impeached Like Nixon.
imgone Yet You Were Butthurt Over Kathy Griffin’s Photo Shoot.
imgone I Also Predicted Trump Would Win. I Predict He Will Be Impeached Once Mueller Ends The Investigation. Nixon Resigned After He Was Impeached To Avoid Going To Prison. I Was Right The First Time I’ll Be Right Again. Bill Clinton Wasn’t Impeached. You’re Thinking Of Andrew Johnson. Who Was Impeached But Acquitted By The Senate. This Clearly Shows That Trump Supporters Are Stupid.
John McKinney I voted for Bill Clinton the first time I voted when I was 18. Bill Clinton was impeached by the House but not removed from office by the Senate. The Senate trial was in 1999. I also voted for Donald Trump and will be very interested to see Allen’s prediction for 2020.
@@MovieEnforcer I can't believe how no one has question your "history" lesson. Quite impressive. Good and funny comment!
Now he says Biden will win in 2020.
he is right
Elijah I God I hope so.
breadordecide me too
Me three 😎
walker jfs Joe Biden is anti gun?
Now he’s predicting Trump will lose the 2020 election
He also predicted Trump would be impeached, he had a great 25+ year winning streak. But it’s broken now
@@calebtaylor3835 Trump was impeached, but the GOP refused to even hold a hearing in the senate. He predicted the impeachment correctly.
@@calebtaylor3835 butt hurt? Think for yourself kid
@@calebtaylor3835 now what? Byedon
And he was correct Im starting to think he can see the future
He was right about Bidens win!!!
lol, here in 2024 because i fought with like 20 maga ppl claiming he got 2016 wrong. :) yet, here we are
He technically did. Before 2016 he got 2000 wrong so then he said his keys are used to predict the popular vote. Then changed it again saying it was predicting the electoral college. And to keep his “perfect record” he now says 2000 was a stolen election
@@pats334 Well, the difference between Florida was 538 votes. That is automatic grounds for a recount, and Bush went to SCOTUS (which was bias and conservative) stopped the count. Tell me, how is it fair that Trump got recounts in both GA and AZ where both states had a difference of 11k and 17k votes? Al Gore wasn't given a proper chance at a recount, because Bush knew Florida was going to go to Gore. 2000 was an absolute sh*tshow and a huge miscarriage of justice.
Okay so if you read his book his own word says his system is based on popular vote in 2016 Trump won the electoral college without the popular vote remember Joe Biden on the polls was leading by double-digit margins Trump is currently tied with Kamala that's not enough to win she has to be pulling double digits and she's not Biden Burley one by literally few thousand votes
trump is a winner 2016
And now is the loser as predicted by the same man who predicted his win in 2016. 🤣🤣😂
@@thehalloweenheavymetalmusicwarHe is so far predicting in 2024, not final yet though, that Trump will be a 1 time winner, 2 time loser, and that a lot would have to go wrong for Kamala Harris to lose.
@@HudsonsBayFandom I hope so!💙💙💙🙏🙏🙏
This guy is a legend
WE LAUGHED AT HIM NOW WE RESPECT HIM
Now 2020, American still hope his prediction is accurate.
I agree.
walker jfs he predicted joe Biden
walker jfs i don’t care. I’m just informing you.
@walker jfs my dad is gun owner voting for biden
Another slam dunk
Hillary Clinton>LOCK HER UP! Save our USA vote for Donald Trump!
And your Trump lost this time! Lock up Donald Trump!!! BIDEN 2020!!!
Biden is so awful, im sure you feel stupid for voting for him
@@thehalloweenheavymetalmusicwarKamala 2024!!!!🤣🤣🤣😂😂
@@adimart2214 Yes indeed, despite she wasn't my inicial pick this year, but I trust Biden that we must unite behind Kamala Harris, as she is the only way to save our Democracy. Let's go Kamala 2024!!! 💙💙💙💪💪💪🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
His haircut is longer on one side.
That's just to hide the brain-controlling slug thats attached to the side of his skull.
Likely just another Reptilian trick...👽
I'd be curious to know if Trump supporters in these comments have the same glowing regard for Professor Lichtman. This same professor is predicting that Biden will win 2020.
Trump all the way!!
solid hair game
Moral victory is always a choice if their is morality, but when there is lack of morality choice is limited to the lesser of two evils.
Here Gary Johnson's just about 5% in the polls is enough. Now Lichtman is saying a third party candidate needs to poll 10% or more to make that key false. Moving goalposts a bit?
nope, historically 3rd party candidates underperform their August polls. Disregarding solid historical evidence is moving the goalpost.
@@jeremyjackson7429watch Kennedy will get like 3% everyone comes home politically by Election Day
Key 4 was not turned false but rather Key 2, primary contest. Bernie’s challenge to Hillary was what made Hillary lose
@@sidtheshuckle Watch the video. They both were judged false. Third party was deemed false here by Lichtman and by different standards than he requires today.
@@user-he8nu2ic1h during that time Gary Johnson was polling at 10% so that’s why Lichtman said it was false. But due to Johnson’s massive underperformance and Aleppo gaffe, garnering only 3%, that key has been made retroactively not against the Dems
God i hope he's right, the alternative is just too horrible to contemplate,
How do you feel now
Oh this is from 4 years ago hahahaha
This is good news. I pray this Professor is right.
Dude was legit!
Looks like he just predicted Biden. Do you still pray he is right?
@@michael8990nope he wasn't🤣
Trump for PRESIDENT!!!
My greatest concern is voter fraud
Nice educational video. Vote trump.
I think if Obama, Clinton, and Biden had all gotten into that teleport machine from The Fly (the Jeff Goldblum movie) and melded their genetic material into one single body, they would've become an unbeatable super Democrat called: The Barillary O'Bidinton: Ultimate President
This guy must be a genius or something
He is. now he’s saying joe Biden will win.
you might not like his new prediction
Trump 2016!!!!!
Landslide incoming
He was right
Yep. His keys have proven to be a reliable predictor.
Enthusiasm will win this election . Trump supporters will. Vote for sure . The dems lack any enthusiasm you can see this by clintons rallies half empty halls .
after hearing, I breathe a sign of relief. nonetheless, I will vote for Trump even it means I crawl to voting booth.
We all have to to counter the fraud that will surely be rampant on Election Day. We must turn out in droves to vote even though we know he's the real winner.
Trump-Pence2016!!
You can tell this is old because it is not digital audio it's analogue audio
Amazing that something so grotesque (a president can commit crimes with impunity i.e. one person is above the law) is even being discussed. Are these judges stupid or criminal?
Hope is right Trump 2016
Hell I could have told you all of that a year ago. Go Trump!!
I found a couple of his key questions to be somewhat subjective, depending on personal beliefs. Example: he has the Iran Nuclear deal as a 'win' for the democrats. I see it as a 'loss' for America.
I love how the people in the comments 4 years ago here are saying yeah this guy is smart! And now that he’s predicting Biden will win they are saying here No He’s stupid! Lmaoo
Let’s hope he is right again in 2020
This guy also predicted Trump would be impeached. He isn’t a prophet!
@@calebtaylor3835 But he is impeached? Impeachment doesn't mean removal from office, it means legal charges against a government official.
Hildabeast is going down in flames. TRUMP/PENCE 2016!!!!
4 years after, do you Trumpists still like this professor as you did then? 😂😂😂😂 Joseph R. Biden is now the elected 46th president of the United States of America. Love and unity win! 💙💙💙💙
9 out if ten is not bad.
Even though all presidential elections are fixed.
Someone told me.
VOTE TRUMP/PENCE! OR THINGS WILL JUST GET HILLARIOUS!
We're all screwed. It's going to take another 35 plus years to undo what all of the corruption in politics has created in our country: excessive cynicism; joblessness; inflamed bigotry and civil unrest; joblessness; perversion and corruption such as that which hasn't been seen since the time of Caligula in the Roman Empire.
Big brother is going to feast on the discontent and disloyalty which has been cultivated and fostered in the creation of a police state where we have regrettably come to live under the illusion of freedom, all the while our true constitutional liberties are being systematically dismantled, denied, and destroyed. God save us.
Lichtman is a progressive tool whose support of all things democratic is beyond reproach; having read his editorials and commentary for decades, I wouldn't put cooking the numbers beneath his dignity. JMTC.
long live professor 😉
Bet you don't like his 2020 prediction :P
Pa for Trump
Want an accurate prediction? ... Look at the gambling odds. They are historically more accurate than polls or pundits.
he was right but will be right about this year
Trump supporters. We are leading in NV IA OH NC FL and ME(1ev), if he holds these (266 EVs) and wins ONE more state. We have President Trump. Reality is its very very close, just get out and VOTE!
I look at 538 thats all. Sure polls may change. He may lose FL, he may win PA who knows?
***** is nutz...
NAILED IT!! GIVE THE MAN A BISCUIT!!
Can't believe 5% of Americans will vote for Johnson who doesn't even know what Aleppo is....😂
Brilliant.
now it's going to Kamala again hahahahhaa
just six?....
May the best MAN win.
trump all the way
Why does it looks like the 80s?
I will look at the debate Monday, listen to the analysis and will then fill out and Mail my ballot. Not a supporter of Clinton or Trump or Johnson. So right now Stein has my vote, unless I'm convinced differently by the debate. I doubt I will be, but you never know, so they have a chance on Monday.
jill is at 1% gary isn't a real libertarian and hillary is a corrupt criminal politician.
Trump is just not an option for me. There isn't enough water to wash away that dirty feeling that would come from voting for Trump.
you'll feel that way with either candidate but most of the things that people think about trump is completely wrong, the most common thing is people think he's a racist
if you dislike sjws feminazi's etc vote for trump because that's what the dems brew. they make People intolerant and overly sensitive
I will be voting for Jill not hill and not TrumpTheDump
ive read about his prediction method... good to know he calculates Trump to win :) looks like he will be right for hte 14th time
Hopefully he's right for the 15th time :)
Attalic yeah
Attalic yes.
might not like his new prediction
@@pancakesan9852 yeah. Now they all claim he’s either a paid shill or a fool. Anything to fit their coocoo for Cocoa Puffs reality.
Trump 2016.....
Trump LANDSLIDE 2016 2020
*****. Your name is the Terminator and your voting for Hillary ?? Baaaaaahahahahaha
Your with HER....
AAAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHA
The Presidential Oracle
Trump would be a joke. a not funny joke...
Yeeeeiiii!!!!! I got the same feeling as this man has. Trump 2016
Keep the enthusiasm! He says Biden. Keep the streak going.
He is the Nostradamus of presidential elections.
I think this guy is honestly a genius. He’s identified all of the necessary conditions to take the presidency, and applied a pretty strict criteria to each one.
I wonder if in the future, polling will be seen as a “snapshot fallacy” (not my concept, but I don’t know who originated it), and Lichtman’s model will take over.
Comparing the 2008, 2012 elections and looking at recent polls/state sway now, Trump is headed for a big electoral win (if voter fraud isn't horrendous). This guy is pretty legit though.
He is legit. Now he states Biden is next.
Now gimme the winner in the 2.30 lol
Seven years ago, but NOT in 2024!
He didn't make his prediction yet
A Trump and I will instantally feel safer...Civil plus
WW3 looms !
Lichtman is money
Prof. Lichtman looks pretty goofy but somehow I like him a lot!..also, I hope he's right!!
Do you still like him after today's prediction?
@@michael8990 Chances are, probably not.
MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!!!
lol 😂 win the windmill 😂
hope she doesn't pass out in front of me and start shaking case ive mistaken less for a mating call
i joined the world résistance to fight global corruption and division today .
guess I just moved to professor status because I know Trump will win
It may have just been revoked. He just predicted Biden.
He came to this conclusion because the Dominion machines weren't going to be used this year.
Bush ruined the RNC with the Iraq war. It's been down hill since then. And when the bailout took place, I had had enough with this government.
She's so gross #RIPhillary bring them to heel those were the #mandatoryminimums #superpredators
Oh... THAT Alan Lichtman. With only 2 opposing candidates, he had a 50% chance of being right.
Pretty good odds.
50%^10 elections≈ 0.1%
I guess this time the theory would prove wrong.
That's the guy who played the part of the professor Who helps Elliot in In the movie ET
No that is the actor Peter Coyote who played Agent Keys in the movie ET.
M80 I predicted Trump's win back when he started running.
Immigration policy badass: Check
Successful businessman: Check
Against the elites: Check
That's all you need to know.
Well no shit!
lol viva president trump soon
4 years later, He predicted Biden will win.
Waiting for him to predict Yang's win 🙂
@APLO 2024
Who does he pick now.
Biden
Where’s he at now?
Just predicted Biden
Demographics...scandals...shifts in public opinion...you can't predict that stuff. The most accurate way to predict the next president is the same as its always been: to ask the people voting how they intend to vote. It works pretty well. It's called polling.
😂😂
Bro u were sooo wrong he predicted 2 consecutive elections accurately after u wrote this comment
In 2012 Mitt Romney was told by seven talking heads on FOX that he would win the night before the election. Conservative radio and the [CIEC] conservative industrial entertainment complex also predicted a Romney win. However this guy maybe right. Clinton is a flawed candidate but Trump needs to stick to message. Release his taxes & quit insulting fat women.
This professor has only 1 tie. I've watched him in many videos and he always has the same ugly tie on. Please, someone send this man some new ties that are not ugly.
Says Who??
In Australia the people love trump the media & politicians hate him. Same same everywhere he will piss it in. Go trump . We still vote with pencil & paper , you're electronic voting worries me but , he'll win by a landslide.
Here is a REAL POLL
Trump 75 %
Johnson 10 %
Stein 8 %
clinton 7 %
Evangelicals
Trump 76%
clinton 17%
Independents
Trump 70%
clinton 20%
Melennials
Trump 75%
clinton 17%
BlueCollar White Males
Trump 68%
clinton 27%
Chinese American Community
Trump 57.58%
Clinton 20.20%
undecided 22.22%
Your numbers were really off.
good luck with that...
trump is 6 to 1 underdog,bet the house on it then...
this is fox news......
Boy are you so wrong.(PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN 2020)