HUGE POT with POCKET JACKS! | How to WIN $3,000,000 in 3 Days Part 8
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 13 มิ.ย. 2024
- This was another good squeeze spot with a real hand but this time we get 4-Bet by Alex Foxen and a huge pot ensues in this hand breakdown.
0:00 Introduction
0:21 Preflop
2:45 Perfect Squeeze Spot
3:50 Reacting to a 4-Bet
5:15 Fold Pocket Jacks?
6:10 Flop
7:45 Turn
9:10 1/4 Pot Bet
9:40 River
13:15 Facing an All In
15:35 What Should We Do?
16:15 What are his Bluffs?
18:50 Too close to call
The 2023 Super High Roller Bowl was a $300,000 Buy-In event featuring all the killers including Jason Koon, Alex Foxen, Justin Bonomo, Stephen Chidwick, LuckyChewy, Michael Addamo, Isaac Haxton, Nick Petrangelo and more! Stay tuned to the channel for more hands from this "How to Win $3,000,000 in 3 days" series, new videos twice a week!
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This again is why Daniel is still one of the best players in poker. He’s been in the spotlight forever and he’s still doing it. Well played Dan. I love these hand breakdowns.
He’s average. Relax
@@eternalselph There are plenty of places to troll in the world. If you're really so into it, I can give you a number to call, it's only 4 bucks a minute, but tons of people answer and talk shit with you. It's a pretty cool concept. Some guy from Twitter created it.
@@eternalselph I’m not a poker player but even I know daniels one of the better players out there. I watch his videos because of this and the fact that they’re entertaining
@@eternalselph 😂 envy much?
Dude, calling a 4 bet with JJ and calling all bets until the river? Are you serious? And Foxen called Daniel's exact hand while Daniel was completely off.
If Daniel really thought Foxen was on a bluff he should have raised him on the flop or turn.
love the personality and sportsmanship between the two of you all throughout the hand
Both players knew each other's hands. Granted, Daniel realized on the turn. And Foxen realized after the hand. Top Tier play from both 💯
I mean, Foxen could put him on exactly JJ cuz Daniel’s breakdown of hands he couldn’t beat stopped at QQ. So that wasn’t overly impressive.
These hand breakdowns are so informative. Thanks for helping me take home some green in cash games with friends 🤙🏼🔥
Send my 10%!!! 🙂
@@dnegspoker but don't spend the whole dollar at once :D
@@PelycheeaceRA Hey now... $2!
😂
@@dnegspoker Daniel - one question please. What would you do if the bet in river is around 90k? TIA Love watching your content
I think, you, Daniel, are making a lot of money by making your opponents feel comfortable in your company. And there is nothing they can do about it. Way to go! :)
You are not wrong. If I'm comfortable, and they are not, that's an edge for me for sure
Don’t play poker anymore but still watch your hand breakdowns. Keep up the good work!!
I’m really enjoying these. Thank you Daniel, been watching you for 20 years now…!
Very well played and awesome laydown! It would of been interesting how that hand played out if Foxen flats your 3 bet.
Very well could have happened had Addamo not also been a factor, one of the infinite reasons I love Poker
@@christianulmer yes definitely a flat would be dangerous playing AA multiway assuming Addamo flats also... Agreed 👍
Interesting question, but if he flats now the 99 flop is something that could be in his range which would require some caution on my part.
@@dnegspoker I totally agree that would be a scary board for both of you. I was happy you won that tournament. You played great wire to wire and deserved it! Cheers GL this season I wish you the best and great channel thank you for the education!
Love these break downs. Keep up the great work Daniel!
Daniel, as someone just learning the game, you have done so much for the game of Poker! Thank you so much!
One concept he makes that deserves extra emphasis:
Big laydowns are a really big part of poker, especially tournament poker, where your stack value is not a linear equation. I've had above average tournament results, though on strictly small events. I have had MANY times where i made a tough lay down, lived to see another day and went on to place in an event instead of busting out. It really helps when the competition is under bluffing, but you still have to find the folds.
Awesome analysis, Dnegs. Loving this content! Thank you!
My Poker Goat. Loved the analysis.
I have been a full time player now part time....
This was great thought process.
This commentary is so helpful! Thank you!
Much respect. I have trouble getting away with an overpair in 3 bet 4 bet pots, and almost always get shown the goods.
It's really hard to do. And cant always get away with them, gotta get to showdown sometimes
Good fold. I think he knew he had high pairs beat with the jam, as you mentioned towards the end. He called you had jack's too
Love this kind of content
Really amazing breakdown into the mind of an absolute legend.
I don't think it was the lay down that was so nice, but having gone all the way to the edge of the cliff to be 100% sure. That is what took heart.
High level analysis I like it a lot.
This is way way above my level!!
Daniel is the man
He is wrong here because well yes he can have aces in Kings. He doesn’t have them in full because he does 5 bet them sometimes. So when you factor in that and the missed flush draws jack, jack is a call by MDF. No you can still fold because of a reed or ICM but he brought up MDFN is wrong about it.
@@TheTree1 you might be right, but DNEGS is still the nuts
@@VVeZoX I watch the video and he was wrong. It happens. I don’t know more than him, but he was wrong in this instance, factually wrong.
Great series!
Daniel didn't have any AK suited flush draws because Foxen had both of those Aces.
Hey Daniel, thank you once again for the hand breakdown! Pocket Jack's are always an interesting hand, considering that they're one of those 50/50 hands (I find Jacks a middle-premium pair, not a full premium pair). I'm glad that you found the fold on the river. It also helps me out when you explain what hands all beat you in these spots against Foxen, plus the bluffs as well.
Edit: In your book Hold'Em Wisdom for all Players, you have a section on pondering pocket jacks. With today's poker knowledge of hand ranges and ev plays, what would you add to that particular chapter of your book when it comes to Jacks?
Nice explaining ...thx sir
Love ya Daniel keep grinding brother
Man, when Daniel says _"I had good cards"_ and Foxen instantly - instantly - says _"Jacks?"_
Yup.......pretty impressive...2 of the best of the best.
Foxen smilling aften Thatcher hand, good one man :))
Awesome video man.
Great folds & hero calls make a great player.
It would be cool to have the ranges that you mention pop up in the video so one can see the combinations and probabilities!
Agree, that be awesome 😎
With the 3 on the river, the only thing you can beat is AK, A2, A3, A4, or a bluff. Fold was the best option, IMO.
Really good content, keep it up❤️
You have played this hand just perfectly
Beautiful poker Daniel
To me, these tight spot lay downs are what’s most impressive. Protect your stack!
great job
Hey Daniel, I LOVE these breakdowns! Keep em coming! Gonna be a big year for you. When u knew that solvers like rinky-dink bets on 4-bet pots and then Foxen bet 15% pot, does that help you deduce his hand or his potential range in that situation?
Foxen is going to bet ~15% pot on the 99x flop almost 100% of the time. It's his entire range, so it doesn't narrow it down at all
amazing fold
Without knowing he has aces, what do you do if he checks river
What this hand really needed was to be 3 ways, with Rampage having his favorite hand 44 flopping a boat. Then we could analyze which positions he would have doubled up, versus which positions he would have tripled up.
I woulda doubled him up and considered it a cooler. VNH, Dan. You're the man.
Damn Foxen is a warrior. He called the JJs instantly
fairly obvious after what Daniel has said. He clearly has a made hand, and the fact he was wondering if Foxen had As Ks or Qs mean its likley D negs didnt have those. Therefore Jacks most obvious hand for him to have
One of the great examples of why you are one of the best to play the game.
He’s average
@@eternalselph Average, really? a) Then how is he there in the first place? b) I cannot think of more than 3-5 poker players that are right now (maybe) a lil bit ahead of him. And those players don't even include Ivey. I think Daniel right now is a lil bit better than him, even if he himself would probaby deny that. Can you?
@@eternalselph
Lmao average yet winning millions, sure buddy
@@eternalselph Only small men put others down
@@eternalselph And you're way below average LOL.
Is it me, or is Daniel looking more like Shia Labeouf by the day?
Love that Daniel does these. But I also really wish Foxen did as well. I want to know what that man is thinking 😂
Great fold. Scary how the dude knew Daniel had jacks!
Daniel you’re the smartest player!
Nice sweater.
MasterClass in poker
"Floyd Mayweathering the whole thing" i love that quote!!
Nice! I just don´t understand why you gave him A5ss and not A5cc.
High level thinking there
Lol your video! Can you turn up your input on your audio so it catches your voice a little louder. Can’t hear your explanations super well on my iPhone
Foxen face stone cold, until called on the aces, his eyes starting twitching for a moment 😅😅
Thx DNegs
Hi Daniel always been a huge fan, what can you say when someone pre flop raises 2.1 blinds someone calls I have AK suited I 3 bet biggish one of the bigger stacks one calls one folds flop is 6,7,A I raise 30% he calls, then is a 8 I raise 40% he calls then the turn is a 9 I check, he jams the last bit I had to call but he shows 10,3 off suit did I play that bad and why is someone even in a hand with that, it was a 80 dollar entry as well.
If only Alex would give us his thoughts and analysis on this hand. Obviously without watching daniel’s video first. Love ur videos Daniel.
Foxen I think is one of those lil dk luvers.
Sounds like the two wheel cards were the difference between calling and folding.
The explanation was pretty nice. It shows how, in some ways, it can be easier to play against really good opponents. I am still in the "Does he have it or not" place. I play MUCH lower stakes and there is no way my opponents play optimally. For me, the question is a matter of how the guy plays. Is he likely to fire 3 rounds with AK or not. I am also used to 4 betting be very weighted towards AA, KK and maybe some AK. For all these reasons, I usually fold JJ by the turn and will even fold it pre flop if the 4 bet is large and the SPR is low enough.
Hair looks great
Bravo Bravo Bravo
Noticed his post flop bet pacing was faster this hand than most. Leans him towards value, wonder if Daniel noticed this
Daniel - one question please. What would you do if the bet in river is around 90k? TIA Love watching your content
Good question. Then Daniel would be getting like seven or eight to one, and probably would have to call.
Lmao I’m snap calling if I’m in Daniel’s spot 🤣
Absolutely 💯 % the greatest poker mind and player of all time....
Wow… not true
@@eternalselph Let me guess doug polk is 😂
Not only Daniel made all the correct calculations and made a top laydown, but Foxen too put Daniel on his *exact* hand!
Just exemplary poker all around by two absolute beasts! So fantastic to see!
I mean Daniel's table talk basically told Foxen he had jacks.
@@brandonr2906 Now that you mention it, I guess yeah he did say something like Queens beating him.
But I think Foxen still might have put him on that narrow range, hence the river bet size.
In any case, amazing to watch as a spectator!
Can someone explain the trend of going all in with the exception of one chip? Does it have to do with being on the bubble or surviving till the next pay jump?
Shows strength
Can you explain why KK is a snap there for you with the range you put him on? Seems like you’d be blocking more of his bluffs (AK) and his value range is still beating you (AA, A5)
If you don’t call with kk what do you call with?
If I had to make a guess: AQ is also going to be in his range sometimes, also A4, A3, A2 or QQ which don't beat us. Sure, he might not bet A4 A3 A2 because there is some showdown value, but still.
So is it just a balancing thing where you need to call sometimes? If that’s the case is there an argument that JJ is actually a better call than KK because QQ probably isn’t firing river and KK blocks more of the bluffs?
I would imagine the reasoning is that Daniel would then beat Queens and chop with Kings
what is the value of foxen betting 99.5% of his chips, rather than 100%? There's no other tables so no time delay pay jumps, right? What's the value of leaving a minimal amount behind?
I was thinking the exact same thing! What is going on, there has to be a reason, can someone please explain?
Maybe so that he is not obligated to show as he is not technically All-In. I'm just guessing here, too.
@@VVeZoX
But why would Daniel ever just call this river if he decides to go with it, surely he would raise Foxen allin anyways to bust him for the remaining 500. Idk.
Great analysis. 2 questions please anybody: 1) why did Foxen leave 500 chips back? If Daniel is going to call, surely he’d raise the 500 to knock a player out? 2) what are those black square chips/markers the players are passing round? TIA
The black Square chips are time Banks, for each one you get an extra 30 seconds I think. As to why Foxen left 500 chips back, I'm not entirely sure, but maybe in the hope that if Daniel just called the river not thinking to reshove, and foxen lost, then he would still have one chip to play with.
@@BlueGorillaInTheMist thanks buddy
What does is mean to block with AK?
What a fold
Regards Mr. Daniel. If you see this text would like to clarify something. I keep seeing your thinking out loud especially in turn about what range or hands you are putting your opponent in. Won't it be a disadvantage since you r opening up yourself about your thought process ??
Would you have been more willing to call if the river was a 6 or 7 instead of a 3?
I am very curious you said with kings you are dead but what about queen, queen ?
Easy fold !! 😂
The same logic that leads Daniel to a fold told Foxen what Daniel had. I'm guessing tens folds, AA or KK is a call, while JJ/QQ puts you in a difficult spot.
The fact that Daniel used so many time banks told Foxen it was a marginal decision. That guy is good.
Make these more often
Are there not 6 combos of qq, aa, 10 10?
What's the purpose of betting your stack minus one chip?
Would you have bluff if the river was a heart? Why or why not?
Why did Foxen leave a tiny amount behind on the river?
Hi Donial ❤
should he have checked the flopped for deception in place of the 10% bet? then make up with a turn sizing of 60-65. instead of the 15/45
TY, Danato.
With what hands Foxen bets the turn and check back the river giving Daniel with the winner hand? Why do you call the turn bet if you don’t call the river bet? Do you think Foxen would gave up in the river with a miss flush draw? Would he bet the turn with the nut flush draw?
Would AKcc or AKhh continue for that small of a sizing on the turn? Sure he doesn’t have to go huge with those stack sizes but miniscule sizing reeked of value and sure enough he specifically went very small as he was holding the Ah and Ac blocking both nut flush draws and all AK , AQ suited hands that will continue.
@@VVeZoX didnt say anything about laying down AKhh and AKcc. Just saying that the very small sizing on the turn seems more indicative of value (AA KK) then AKsuited with nut flush draw type hands. This maybe also factored into Negreanu’s decision to fold river.
Yes. Daniel is getting 5 to 1, and would be good hitting the flush and probably the ace or the king as well.
Respect on your recognition that having Ah means LESS likely he is bluffing river… so many screw this up that pretend to be studied… impressive play
Please explain
Why did him showing Ace of Hearts make you say he was less likely to be bluffing?? Great video!
I didn't understand that either.
Seconds later Daniel said he didn't know what the computer would say about the odds. I think his instinct said that a bluff was less likely because Foxen used large bets throughout, that's a very good sign that he has a pair and you know one of the card is A.
How does AQ and AK not have showdown value as opposed to A2-A4? What hands are you calling twice that AQ and AK are behind that A2-A4 are not also behind? Sure Aq-AK will be chopping some %, but I dont think you’re calling those often on the turn except specifically AK and AQ of clubs? I
Funny how things have changed since if you call the Turn you should call the River
ok can someone explain why these tourney players bet about all in and leave like 1 chip - Foxen bet 228,500 and left himself 500 ? why ?
I cant see the benefit in this situation .... the commentators saw it coming so what did I miss?
@@Petty-Cash I see it done frequently in tournies ? no idea why.
@@kevincloonan9787 Makes sense in a multi table or somewhere near bubble, kills time to let other players drop out at other tables. In a multi way pot with multiple callers he could even fold to a raise guaranteeing a higher placed payout but I dont see it here.
He put him on a wheel. Thats why he folded. Thats what he said in the moment. Dannis honest when he talks about the hand in his mind out loud.
The ability of pros to lay it down is pretty incredible in these huge pots.
I’m not a Pro and I do it all the time 🥲
@@YallaMiami but the difference is, u lay it down while ahead, lol(jk) a pro and a very good player does it when behind, and, of course, sometimes they are wrong, but more times than not their right.
@@VVeZoX iT depends on the opponent, with this stud, probably not. Depends, of course, ICM, chip stacks, how rich I was or wasn't.
when he shouldn't have been in to begin with?
why does foxen bet all but 500 and not just all-in on the river?
It’s standard practice in tournaments, u want a chip behind if he calls so u aren’t out of the tournament, and to be balanced, u do it with both good hands and bad.
Interesting that if you have KK you don't fold.... these are the small differences that I'm not at that level on.
The math just works out differently. With KK, based on his analysis of the ranges, you only lose to A5 and AA, you chop against KK, and if you think he might shove with QQ you even beat some of his value-shoves, as well as all the bluffs. Getting three to one on the call with those numbers you just have to call. When he has the AA, tough luck, shit happens:)
As much as I respect your opinion on any poker hand , I think it’s a game best learned from the School of Hard Knocks , there’s not much anyone can learn from watching others play . Just my opinion but that’s what I feel . By the way, I respect your opinion and your experience and I love to watch you play.
DNegs doin' his thing. When he is talking he is reading and no one reads opponents better.
I love listening to you talk during a hand. You have a giant brain 🧠.
thnx, i know big words too
Small
Great fold. What’s the deal with betting not all in on the river? To do with time banks?
He gets to choose how crippled he's willing to become if snap called by a big hand. Or can just be giving that impression while holding the nuts, even inducing a shove from the top of your range while still getting paid by other parts of your range that might fold to a shove.
It also alters how likely it is that you'll think he's picking an amount you'll pay off, versus an amount you'll fold to, with some or all of your range. In general, it gives you more to think about, more ways to misinterpret why he picked that amount.
So in that sense, it might make you use more time banks, but I'd say that is rarely the specific reason for making a bet requiring more thinking. The bigger related reason, is that in any specific amount of time, by adding more things for you to think about, you have less time to think about whatever is actually key to figuring out what caused the particular bet.
I've been in situations where I bet, and if the opponents go into the tank for long enough, I will sometimes joke that "I thought I was ahead, hoping you'd call because you should fold. But I'm wrong often enough that maybe you have to call anyway, especially with pot odds." That phrase seems to make them switch from thinking about combos, to thinking about leveling issues and tells. So it's more useful to say it when you do actually want a call, but it's also pretty useful when you're bluffing, they think a long time, and seem more and more likely to call. While it might make them snap call, it might make them rethink and reach a different conclusion, just like any other reason they have to decipher something which could be either a tell or a reverse tell.