Hi Johnny, big fan of your work here from South Africa, Ive just gone back to this video and compared it to whats happening over the last week in this region,VERY INTRIGUING! PLEASE do a follow up video on this with your speculation and also do something regarding the monetary system and BRICS. Here is a vid from an Islamic eschatologist assumptions from more than 10 years ago th-cam.com/video/uNnIC6dkpoI/w-d-xo.html . Look forward to your content! Thanks
Maybe you could update the development of this video as time goes by. One thing people may underestimate the inevitability of the war. The nationalism of China rises every day. If you have a chance to view the news and reaction of people in China, you may raise the odds of war probabilities. The politics and nationalism distorts the rational thought process.
You can bet the Chinese government is gauging the worlds reaction and response to the Ukrainian crisis as we watch this video. Thanks for another informative and interesting video Johnny.
Russia attacking Ukraine is making me worry as a Taiwanese that China might try the same thing depending on the outcome of how NATO reacts to the attack.
Nato cant do anything because ukraine is not part of it. Nato is a defensive organisation which means if any member is attacked then its an attack on all members. Ukraine unfortunately is not part of it so we cannot get involved however if Russia tries anything with the baltic states then we will get involved as the baltic states are part of the organisation. I do hope Taiwan get protection either from japan usa or india…
No doubt you guys are next. Pakistan took out Pro US Afghanistan 2021 Russia Pro US Ukraine 2022 China Pro US Taiwan 2023 Iran Pro US Israel 2024 These countries are like an Anti-US gang.
This may suprise you but despite the conflict going on in Ukraine, this era is one of the most peaceful time in human history, for example 19th century saw far more chaotic warfare, most notably Napolenic wars, Franco-Prussian war, American civil war, Taiping rebellion and much more. So yeah, in comparison to other centuries in human history this is relatively peaceful.
Peace in the west, western instigated war everywhere else. One of the main reasons Putin has the confidence to attack a Ukraine is because the US and NATO have been doing it over and over again in the past decades, the only difference now is that it is so close to home, with blonde haired blue eyed refugees. These are the chickens of imperialist interventionism coming home to roost.
As a veteran, all I can really say is nobody should want a war. If you don't know what it's like to take a life, be happy. You don't want that guilt on your shoulders for the rest of your life.
Some US General said that there is a possibility of a war with China in the late 2020s, which is exactly when I turn 18 and have to sign the draft. A war with China would definitely cause a draft to be called.
Fun fact: US Navy has more presence in the Black Sea, Med, and off the shores of China than we ever did near the oceans and seas of the Middle East. The Cold War never truly ended. It just went classified, and got less front page news.
It's worth mentioning that Taiwan houses the majority of the world's semiconductor fabrication. If you thought COVID disrupted the supply chain, you haven't seen anything yet.
@@MortalWombat22 chips. everything from smartphones, game consoles, TVs, graphics cards, processors (CPUs), even a fridge uses a microchip. Basically almost anything electronic
Yeah as an Indian I have often caught myself romanticising foreign and historical conflicts, but when I think of the ongoing conflicts (internal and external) in my own country it feels more like horror than fascination. Glad he is pointing this out.
Legally speaking, the Chinese Civil War haven't ended yet. It has lasted for decades, since 1946, when the KMT suddenly attacked CPC controlled area disregarding the fact that Mao and Chiang had signed a treaty called "Double Ten Agreement". The agreement expressed the idea that KMT and CPC would unite together and set up a new state. After KMT attacked Shandong and Shaanxi, both under CPC controll, CPC decided to attack KMT to liberate the whole country. People under the reign of KMT had been suffering for decades, so they welcomed the PLA warmly. The KMT, due to failure in the mainland, had to escape to Taiwan with the illusion that they could counterattack on the mainland. Though both the people under CPC and KMT reign agreed that they are Chinese, the current government of Taiwan are deleting ancient literature from the textbook, making old Taiwanese upset."When I close my eyes, I can see the beuatiful scenes of Dongting Lake, thinking of Fan Zhongyan's article. Only when I step onto the land of Wuhan, of Xi'an, of Beijing, I can feel the vastness of Dongting Lake, the majesty of the Terracotta Army, and the magnificence of the Forbidden City." This is what a Taiwanese told me. Taiwan is politically "independent" from PRC, but nationally closely connected with Chinese nation. That is why the CPC is not trying to "invade" Taiwan, instead liberating them.
The history part is correct. But the new generation in Taiwan treasures their democracy. They were born and grew up in Taiwan, not China. They are biologically Chinese and identify themselves as Taiwanese. (kind of like Chinese-American or Chinese-Malaysian ) More and more people are preparing to fight against the invasion. They are schools （like black bear academia ) that teach people how to assist soldiers and protect themselves in battle, even teach them how to use guns.
i’m not trying to downplay the severity of this situation but i have to say... the production value of your videos is off the charts. the effort is definitely appreciated. great work man.
@@PK.Skerzos I mean I think those scenes are a bit too much too but you can’t deny that the quality of the production is insanely good for a youtube video and it’s a gift to us tbh
@@PK.Skerzos I have to agree. The amount of times where it's just shots of his bewilderment at some image on a screen is worthy of an Illuminati documentary. But I'm a fan - and I'm all for artists and journalists trying out new stuff. Just don't particularly like this as it takes away from the seriousness for me.
Watching this made me deeply realize how fragile the tension is and how fast it could escalate. Definitely a huge eye opener for someone to be actively engaged with the current situations.
Yeah its tense over there. I have seen many interviews of Taiwanese people saying that they go about their life without thinking about it. Though I am sure its always in the back of your head so to speak. This is all before Putin decided to show the resemblance between him and other tyrants from history.
With such fragile tension, Tsai Ingwen still decided to poke the bear. Tells alot about the Dpp. I really hope Taiwanese don't pay the price for this clown's actions.
The funny thing is that many people don't know that Taiwan's constitution also recognizes one China. Considers mainland China a part of China and has been planning to counter Beijing and unify China since before 1949. If you look at the maps published by the US half a century ago, Taiwan and south China Sea are all Chinese. Before World War I there were only a few dozen countries in the world. Now there are about 200 countries in the world. Has anyone ever wondered why? In Taiwan, people over 40 yrs old consider themselves Chinese and most want to reunify China, while people under 20 do not consider themselves Chinese and do not think Taiwan has a relationship with China. Has anyone ever wondered why? Countries all over the world recognize the One-China principle and do not consider Taiwan as a country. Taiwan is originally a part of China, and the civil war between Taiwan and the mainland is China's internal affair. If a war breaks out, it is not an invasion.Is a civil war.
He is absolutely right when he says that we have been in an unusually long period of relative peace in the world. The default in human history has been war and brutality. Those things go in cycles. And human nature has not changed.
@@raymonds7492 that’s not true either. There has been NO peace. The only reason you would say there’s been “relative peace” is because there has been no coverage on the unrest. A lot has happened between WWII and the Ukrainian and Russian War.
@@WillieFungo relative peace. Keyword relative. Go google some death-tolls for wars of the past. And I’m sure you won’t like to hear this but the relative peace we have all enjoyed is a result of Americas naval presence throughout the worlds oceans that has made it more beneficial for countries to trade rather than fight one another
They are really well made documentaries, but I'm hesitant when it comes to these international topics. Everything I know about China has come from Westerners like this guy, I would take all of this with a huge grain of salt.
Throughout my time living in Japan the spectre of an invasion of Taiwan has lingered over daily news here - particularly after Xi came to power. On the one hand, east Asia feels remarkably peaceful and safe, and then suddenly North Korea fires a missile over the Pacific, a hawkish Chinese commentator declares it’s time to take Taiwan by force or a disputed island gets surrounded by Japanese and a Chinese naval vessels. Watching Ukraine unfold with horror made me realise not to take this relatively peaceful time for granted in East Asia, as it could all go horribly wrong incredibly fast. (Great video as always mate. The ominous soundtrack alone made me cower in fear).
Johnny, Joshua here...I write books about Taiwan and was living there in the summer of 1995 (and well after). I liked your analysis. It was both well thought out and humble in that you saw clearly the point in which speculation ceases to be productive. Thanks for making this. JSB.
1995? That was just before China "invaded" wasn't it? Wasn't that the headline, China about to invade? Keep then scared so they behave! (White terror, was that the mainland wouldn't it?) It was just 29 years ago and people are still frightened!
China doesn’t want to invade Taiwan. That’s a last resort. The Chinese leadership prefers to resolve the political Issues through peaceful means. One can be cynical is all it consumes are western news
A friend at the German military explained to me once that the constant probing of Taiwanese air space is not just posturing and not just to cover up a real attack until it's too late. It's also about provoking a response from the Taiwanese military, both to gather intel about it and tire it out.
I also like Jocko's analogy: "Going into a war and saying that you're only going to kill the bad guys, not accidentally hitting any civilians, no collateral damage... is like saying you're going to be a boxer and never in your career be hit. It's just not going to happen that way."
Never in the history of human beings has war been so visually available. Any war from this point forward is going to have a lasting, significant impact on humanity.
Me and my nephew was actually just talking about this yesterday,like you seen little bit with afghan but not literal live video like you are seeing coming out of Ukraine and now with tech it's literally letting people see what war really is not just after math still pictures. I feel like it will make a difference about people going and wanting to go to war after this and will Change alot of stuff going forward....
Okay, during the two world wars war definitely was more present when today and actually there were thousands of wars in human history. Just the last 50 years were quite peaceful for western world and it's really sad that our peace seems to be in big danger now!
@@thetravelingguy2954 They aren't talking about the prevalence of war, but the fact that today you can actually see what's happening around the world, not only now but for years to come since things can be recorded.
Does it? Sounds more like a survivorship bias. Wars that don't escalate stay very small and fizzle out and written, at best, as footnotes in history books. The result being people only recall the ones that escalated, and hence make that wrong conclusion.
The funny thing is that many people don't know that Taiwan's constitution also recognizes one China. Considers mainland China a part of China and has been planning to counter Beijing and unify China since before 1949. If you look at the maps published by the US half a century ago, Taiwan and south China Sea are all Chinese. Before World War I there were only a few dozen countries in the world. Now there are about 200 countries in the world. Has anyone ever wondered why? In Taiwan, people over 40 yrs old consider themselves Chinese and most want to reunify China, while people under 20 do not consider themselves Chinese and do not think Taiwan has a relationship with China. Has anyone ever wondered why? Countries all over the world recognize the One-China principle and do not consider Taiwan as a country. Taiwan is originally a part of China, and the civil war between Taiwan and the mainland is China's internal affair. If a war breaks out, it is not an invasion.Is a civil war. China wants peace. But the US wants to use Taiwan to split China, the US doesn't want to see any strong independent country, the US wants all countries to be small and weak and obedient to the US.
I have a new video coming soon explaining the Russian invasion into Ukraine now that it's happening. Stay tuned and subscribe to get notified when it comes out. Also if you live in Ukraine I really want to include your voice in my upcoming video. I'm collecting accounts of what people are seeing and feeling. Go to my instagram and send me a video instagram.com/johnny.harris/
I'm a Security student and have been prototyping war games for this scenario for a few months now. This is incredibly well researched and confirmed a lot of what I've found in research and given me new angles and information to consider. Thank you, sincerely. I've been to Taiwan, one day I hope I get the opportunity to live there. It's a beautiful island with a vibrant and friendly Chinese and Aboriginal culture. I've never felt more at home and safe in my life than on the island. I don't want war and I hope that cooler heads will prevail, but we will all have to wait and see.
You mean you are a war mongering American hawk or shall I say Hack! You think Americans bombing killing and invading other countries is ok... since only non whites get killed by the thousands... you people are SICK.
I have watched so many videos of this dude is like he is obsessed with China. From his point of views I can tell not only he has not a single clue about Asia in general, he also possesses this “I know stuff I’m smart, I’m independent, lemme teach you what to think” meanwhile pushing some ideology vibe going on. If you look at his early videos, he doesn’t really talk abt the stuff he does today, hmmmm.
I totally get that vibe too. It's more like he read a couple of NYT opinion articles as the source of these videos and ignorantly omitted so many important pieces.
I’m not really sure what you mean. Yeah he’s done a lot of videos on Asia but I wouldn’t say he’s “obsessed” with it. Also which agenda do you think he’s pushing? If you think it’s anti-Chinese, I would politely disagree since he stresses that the PRC should not be de-humanised and that whichever course of action they take is based on a will to reunite Taiwan to the motherland.
and he's missing a LOT of very important information here. but the point is to get views, not really give a realistic picture... which this piece doesn't provide.
It was either Ukraine or Taiwan, apparently Joe Biden made his choice of giving up on Ukraine for Taiwan where the greater interests are. Even though it’s a fact that the most powerful military force is US navy, the only one who could beat US navy up is US airforce, Juggling two wars against the second and the third military presences in the world at the same time would be a mission impossible for the states.
@@chenx4528 Nope it was Ukraine and Taiwan. If China saw Russia's Ukraine invasion be met by stiff resistance from the west in the form of military aid and boots and the ground, they would think twice before poking the American Giant. However, if Ukraine falls, China will rightfully assume that the American Giant is asleep and will not hesitate to take Taiwan by force. Ukraine is no less important than Taiwan for it is the door between Russia and Nato. Taiwan obviously is in a good strategic location and makes semiconductors. By abandoning Ukraine, the US will incentivise China to attack. Sanctions are never going to deter China if they are useless in Russia, a much poorer country. The US military ain't gonna help Taiwan. They will sit idly by while Biden tries appeasement again.
not really. most likely, America and China get to a deal, that China takes back Taiwan and Taiwan will be just like a state in the US that can have its own election and industry, China will not set military bases in Taiwan and Taiwan is not allowed to have army. As long as America is powerful, that deal can be effective.
speaking about peaceful china and taiwan both are Chinese, and speaking about humanity why recently US and allies making high tension everywhere ? doing that becouse US is big military country or US just need entertainment ? or maybe making Taiwan as pawn like Ukraine so if plan get suceed then US will get bonus new strategic allies ?
Let's hope that is the case, but time and time again, saturations or sequence of events push countries into war that no body wants in the first place. It's tragic, but it had happened, and most likely will again.
Let’s keep in mind, Taiwan makes most of the best chips that the world uses. Your computer or phone you are using has one of those chips, american military vehicle systems, missile systems and all other important things. Taiwan is pretty important. Edit: this comment is just highlighting a fact not pointed out in the video. I’m not saying that they are the only thing Taiwan is good for nor am I saying I don’t care about the Taiwanese. It’s purely a fact I wanted to share as it’s yet another reason why it’d be beneficial for countries to save the lives of the Taiwanese if an invasion would occur. Frankly, it’s disappointing I have to clarify this. No faith at all.
TSMC has almost completed two of the worlds largest Semiconductor Fabs. in the world located in Phoenix Arizona easy to look up. USA has ensured they will have all the 6nm or smaller semiconductors they will ever need!
Taiwan was important, America government forced taiwan to establish factory in US. and force taiwan to share its data with us government. today Taiwan is not so important.
Imagine if the United States lost California in a civil war, and when the United States tried to reclaim the area, China sent troops from thousands of kilometers away, saying that it could not tolerate an American invasion of California. Then you'll understand what it means to be nosy
That’s not the case for Taiwan and China If you actually look in to the history, China claim to own Taiwan for very short of time. Spain, Netherlands, and Japan have claim to own Taiwan for a much longer time Not to mention that PRC NEVER own Taiwan ever in history.
@@黃麥塊 history of California: California was part of New Spain until that kingdom dissolved in 1821, becoming part of Mexico until the Mexican-American War (1846-1848). Sounds like there just needs to be a war to own part of the land?
A very concise description of Taiwan and mainland China. The Republic of China owns Taiwan, and there is a civil war relationship between the Republic of China and the People's Republic of China.
How do you know the context of the world and the California 75 years from now ? Or are you going to ignore the fact that the Chinese civil war ended 75 years ago and Taiwan is a free country ?
I am a Chinese person in the US. I think given the ferocity of Ukraine’s defense and similar mindset of the Taiwanese, China would be doubly careful. Imagine how easy it was to spot the build up of Russian troops on a super long Ukrainian border, imagine how obvious the build up will be on the Fujian coast. I think a Taiwan invasion is far less likely now because of Ukraine.
I think Ukraine's invasion give china perfect example how to invade taiwan.... Usa will keep itself at distance because of ww3 risk and sleepy biden will say something stupid again and given sanctions warning which can't be put on China properly because of their manufacturim and earth like lithium ...
I wish I were as optimistic as you. Russia has the economy of Texas, China has the economy of the US. China has also been supporting Russia in their invasion, which would be a logical move if they themselves wanted to invade Taiwan. I'm not saying it will happen for sure but I think Ukraine made it more, not less likely.
Unfortunately, it remains a “what If”only if the ruling party of Taiwan decides to make a change of its confrontational attitude towards China, which won’t happen because of politics.
@@vividvulpe9842 do you live in Taiwan, Russia, Ukraine, yemen, or Russia? Because if not there’s no stress. You may act like it’s impacting you but it’s not. Life in the civilized world is so comfortable people will seek trauma that doesn’t even apply to them.
Bro you said peace time. What cave are you living in. Iraq, Afghanistan vs America for 20 years. Taliban won in the end after 20 years. So manyliveslost all sides. America won't help Taiwan. America is fake news. America will just abandon Taiwan like Iraq, Afghanistan and Ukraine.
As a person from former Yugoslavia, war in the beginning, if you fight for your motherland is exciting, but the longer it goes, the more exhausting it starts to be. So diplomacy seems to be a way better way, although it consumes more time, than a invasion
@@MrK-js3it Dont worry about that as it stands now the CCP will fall hard, the countries coruption is already destroying the country. The chinese although I really love the people and the culture there have, because of communism, lost all their values. Religion is not allowed, everything is about the CCP and we all can see how the party behaves, so the people behave like that to. We all can see the many food scandals, the buildings that collaps etc. In Yugoslavia although not perfect, the people really liked it and the party first and foremost looked after the people, but China is a pool full of corruption. Im not a hardline communist, but if it is excecuted good, I believe in it. The Yugoslav wars didnt happen, because of coummism, but because of that that brewed in the meantime, the ultra nationalist movements since WW2. The chinese army is big, but it is riddled in corruption and wouldnt function good as a team, lets not talk about the equipment.
So far, the designation Taiwan has never been an official country designation. The regime that currently administers the land on Taiwan is called the Republic of China (ROC). The civil war broke out in China in 1945, and the government on Chinese territory at that time was the Republic of China. The two sides in the civil war were the Communist Party of China (CPC) and the Republic of China (ROC), and in 1949 the ROC lost the war in mainland China, the CPC established the People's Republic of China (PRC), and the government of the ROC moved to Taiwan. So it was a civil war in China.
It definitely does feel like it's closer than ever that they'd do this. Especially with how they handled Hong Kong and most people just forgot after such a short time, and now Russia doing what they're doing, why not China do it too? Truly frightening...
As a foreigner residing in Taiwan, I can attest to the fact that Taiwan is such an evolved, resourceful country that no one wants it invaded with non-peaceful means. China is undoubtedly taking lessons from the Ukraine-Russian conflict and applying them to its relations with Taiwan. If there is a war, China's stakes are unquestionably higher than Russia's in the Ukraine conflict. InshaAllah, this conflicts will end in a peaceful manner.
Logically speaking I really wonder what would bring the most benefit? Is Taiwan really the goal other than just in name? Or maybe it's more domestic distraction and a need for continued economic growth that could make a war itself profitable? China is rather self-sufficient if compared to Russia. So sanctions won't matter as much. But also, China doesn't seem to have a delusional monocrat or proud nostalgics. In fact, there is no better time in recent history to be proud of China.
@@zakuro8532 China has been mostly following this sort of strategic ambiguity understanding (between CN, US, and TW) on the Taiwan issue for a very long time. I think in recent years the issue escalated a bit, the direct reason being the way how DPP came to power and are operating things there (highly ideologically possessed, highly anti-Chinahints, and hinting at amending the ROC constitution). But the seed has been planted way back to Li Teng-Hui's times. Right now it's actually sort of backfiring for China because left-leaning patriotic young people want to see Taiwan taken back (by force). But for the government, there is no direct benefit, or rather the benefits won't outweigh the costs, at least in the short term. As for the Taiwan government, as long as they're not recklessly optimistic (like NATO and Zelenskiy, expanding right up against the face of Putin and just thinking that it's modern 21st century nobody is daring to start a war) and know that a red line actually exists, I don't see China actually mounting an attack on Taiwan. Unless the whole world already went into utter chaos and nobody cares anymore. Which, I hate to say it but, actually seems likely depending on how NATO reacts to the Ukraine situation. That being said, if Ukraine doesn't survive this attack and the subsequent downfall of the US hegemony actually begins... For China It's gonna be either a quick and decisive battle, or a peaceful, long-term and multi-generational process of trying to bring the hearts of people on both sides of the strait back together, for a basis of reunion. The cultural ties are there, but people (on both sides) have been brainwashed ideologues for so long that unless we find a new common ground for conversations, some of the nominal "value differences" just make really huge gaps for mutual understanding.
Technically Taiwan (Republic of China) and mainland (People's Republic of China) are still in war status. The Chinese civil war hasn't ended. There is no cease fire agreement since 1949, with one party on the mainland and the other on the island.
@@bobreynolds4980 Yes, but after the Chinese Civil war, the REPUBLIC of China only had Taiwan island and some small islands, while North Korea 🇰🇵 and South Korea 🇰🇷 split the territory 50-50. There is no one side on the Korean peninsula and one side on Jeju Island
@flisnoo shaboo You need to learn more about the history. Republic of China was built in mainland in 1912, and its government fled to the island of Taiwan after losing Chinese civil war in 1949.
I am a Taiwanese [I think No. 1. We in Taiwan did not launch armed attacks when the enemy leader’s troops violated the airspace and territorial waters [this allows us Taiwanese to live a stable life] and will not encounter them early War. 2. I have released a trailer for a movie: [Zero-Day Attack] to let more people understand the situation in the Taiwan Strait and what will happen in the future [possibly] 3. Even if we Taiwanese do not win, we have no way out or even no way out. Possible retreat]And we are telling people abroad a piece of news: our air defense identification [and infrared cameras on the ground] can clearly see [Chinese military aircraft] and we have similar videos.But thank you very much for explaining and answering this tense situation]
@@meocean5499 ,, of course,, he will get it wrong. .. the title are all click bait, ,, the content is the meat . and it's impossible to cover all possibilities and scenario's .
Seeing current situation happening in Ukraine. As a Taiwanese. Even just read the title makes me uncomfortable and terrified. I hope we don’t have to face the war. Thank you for making this video Johnny.
I am from Taiwan Thank you for being so professional with your team for introducing Taiwan to China through the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and I hope that the war between Russia and Ukraine will end soon, and may there be peace in the world
sorry for you but that war just doubled or tripled chances that china will invade formosa. now they are backing russia and buying their energy much cheaper than the rest of the world and soon russia will back china...
A true democracy in Taiwan would allow the people in Taiwan to vote for the future, including whether they want to reunite with PRC, change their official name from ROC to Taiwan, and whether they want to spend their people’s tax money buying outdated American weapons.
Taiwan, which calls itself the Republic of China, also controls areas such as Kinmen and Matsu, which are very close to the mainland. Why didn't the author talk about it? Both sides of the Taiwan Strait belong to the same China which is determined by history and law. The current Taiwan authorities are a local Chinese regime, and that is the truth.
The Communist bandits are external forces and are not part of the Chinese nation!共匪是外勢力， 不是中華民族的一部分！武统大陆方可天下太平！黄花岗2.0反共复民将来临！武統大陸方可天下太平！ 黃花崗2.0反共复民將來臨！Only by invading Mainland China can there be peace in the world. Yellow Flower Mound Uprising 2.0, Opposing Communist Autocracy and Reviving the Republic of China coming soon!
The terrifying thing is that Taiwan has diplomatic relationship with only 14 countries, and is not in most international organizations (including the UN), which makes any international assistance very tricky.
If usa ever got involved in a war on taiwan, it would mean massacres on taiwanese people, they would "accidentally" drone strike innocent civilians every week, just like every other country that they "saved", dont fall for the propoganda suggesting america is the worlds saviour, regardless of which way you view this issue
Depends on the scenario, attack on U.S forces automatically brings NATO into war. Doesn’t matter if Taiwan is recognized internationally, as soon as the U.S enters the narrative changes
@Joscha Wexler The US has no business creating a treaty with Taiwan as it does not have a legitimate government. Any such treaty should be abrogated. The only legitimate government in China is in Beijing. Make any and all treaties with them, not with anyone else.
@Joscha Wexler It's not really a defence pact though, US is just required to provide "assistance", whatever that means, and is deliberately left ambiguous.
There is an old saying that ‘no one does their best thinking standing on a rattlesnake’. Let’s hope that all parties think things through very, very carefully BEFORE taking actions which could have catastrophic consequences. As Johnny noted, once events begin, it is impossible to know where they will go.
Well said brother. As a Navy Veteran, i pray for peach and hope things does not escalate with China! And, i pray that the situation with Ukraine end sooner rather than later. As a Cambodian American, i pray and hope for peach around the world. War can never be the answer. GOB bless us all!!!
India has a strict No First Use or Strike First policy. Unless provoked outright, India won't attack but it will certainly quadruple up its alertness in the Himalayan region and defend it with their lives. This much is guaranteed.
@@stewie__69 Open wiki and check every wars India has fought till date and find me one where India has started or provoked first. What is it that you do not like about India's foreign policy? Is it wrong to defend ones sovreignity and self respect?
@@VikramHalderkonVict what about bullying Bangladesh and Nepal all the time? You want reference? Search Tista water crisis. And sri lanka hates the tamils not all of india.india is not like china .their a lot of ethnicities combined.for example a bengali from india is not that much harassed by sri lankans.
@@shakilasharmin935 The way this is worded sounds like Sri Lanka bullying Tamils doesn't matter much cuz they're just... Tamils after all. Tamils are Indians too and the union Government is so pathetic and slow to react to any Sri Lankan aggression against Tamils, which only pushes Tamils to be want to secede.
Lmao. “War is a nightmare” *proceeds to show animated cgi clips showcasing the coolness of us military with cool music* anything for that engagement huh?
My partner was working on the west coast of Taiwan last year and the year before, he saw a lot of military aircraft regularly. I'm scared to think what will happen if he is back there this year. My heart goes out to everyone affected by all of this in Taiwan, China, Ukraine, Russia and around the world
War might not liked but it’s the only thing that brings peace unfortunately. We’ve been without a war for 70 years and I don’t think people enjoy this time compared to how it was right after the war.
Really glad I found your channel, mate. American veteran, deep into geopolitical and macroeconomical research, and frankly it's hard to find like minded people to feel solidarity with.
A month ago, Johnny Harris made a video on Russia invading Ukraine. It became a reality. It chills me to think that the same could happen to China and Taiwan
It won't. We have military bases in Taiwan, we have many Asian allies in the area including South Korea and Japan, very strong nations . There's even more allies around and they know invading Taiwan will have us defend them . Ukraine is different. We didn't have any bases and they weren't apart of nato or anything and were a satellite state of ussr. China is weaker than Russia too.
@@jordanspencer3602 We have many strong allies in Europe such as Britain, France, and Poland. We have military bases in Eastern Europe. Did any of this stop Russia?
@@squidjit83 Taiwan is a little different. It’s strategically more important. The SCS is very important to almost all of the world, and china having sole ownership of it would threaten world stability. Taiwan is the buffer, while Ukraine doesn’t have much strategic importance to most countries in the world. Everyone trades with Asia, so everyone needs the SCS to remain open and free.
As a Taiwanese, I am shivering watching this video. I have never wanted to see a bloodshed on both sides of the strait. I personally had lived in China for years. And I actually quite like the place and people where I lived. For me, Taiwanese and mainlanders are like brothers. I think we both live just fine given the situation we are in now. Why people just can’t let it be this way?
As a Chinese, what I want to say is that China is weakening America's world hegemony through various means. In the Middle East and Ukraine. Taiwan is not an urgent issue to be solved. When China successfully rises and the United States is no longer strong, Taiwan will easily be placed in the right position. Finally, your video is great and I have subscribed to you
China is collapsing in more ways than you can count, be it birth rate or economy. They have about 5 years to invade or they will never be able to, and China is simply not ready for a war against America. China’s rise ended 4 years ago.
Johnny I'm gonna be honest I think you missed a HUGE part of this equation: the economic ramifications. We can argue about who would win in a military confrontation between the US and China until hell freezes over, but the economic ramifications for China if they chose to invade Taiwan tomorrow would be DISASTROUS. I'm talking full-scale collapse of their entire economy. The reason? China relies on international trade for its economy to function. It is a manufacturing hub that produces goods for the entire world. And guess who their biggest trading partner is: THE UNITED STATES! China has an enormous trade surplus with the United States (meaning we buy more from them then they do from us). If that line of trade evaporated overnight, it would absolutely decimate the Chinese economy. It would also have a huge negative impact on the United States, but certainly not to the same extent as China. The negative economic ramifications of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan alone are enough for China to table the idea for the foreseeable future. There are efforts underway in China to wean itself off of its trade reliance on the US, but that will be a slow and tedious process. You can't overlook these kinds of factors and simply skip to the military side of things when this is such a huge part of even the initial decision to retake Taiwan. Edit: Said deficit instead of surplus
I agree but I want to point out a similar arguments were used before WW2 to argue war would never happen. Then again international trade is much bigger then it was in the 30's.
China isn't as cheap as they used to be a lot of that manufacturing is moving to other countries. Apple is investing heavily in Vietnam and they're not the only country in the region booming.
@@ethanstine426 International commerce is more intertwined than ever. We literally depend on eachother for the world to function properly. Just look at Covid and we've already seen the impact.
For all the shit America gets from us Europeans and others, democracy and the liberal international order would've long died if we Europeans were the ones upholding it by ourselves. Thank you, America.
How is repeatedly saying “reunite” not filtered? He is repeating a false Chinese narrative. The fact is China has never had any control or legal claim to Taiwan. Yes they have strategic and egotistical reasons for claiming Taiwan, but there is no legal standing.
"I wish it need not have happened in my time,” said Frodo. “So do I,” said Gandalf, “and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us.” I'm getting tired of living through unprecedented times
As a Taiwanese, I can say that this is a super accurate video, and I can’t imagine how much effort you’ve put into the making of this! As always, thank you for your quality contents! Keep it up!
I never found a channel, found a website or met a person that talked about the stuff I spend most of my days and years googling. Your videos are THE MOST intriguing content I’ve ever come across. I don’t know what you do or studied in college but I need to know lol.. you literally live the life I want to live 😂. I’m so into history, geography, etc. I love your channel so much !!!!
a warning to heed: I agree he's a great and more notably intriguing source. Like any other news source, take this with a grain of salt. He's done some sketchier things in the past (first that comes to mind is in one of his videos promoting a economic policy with a slightly sketchy foundation to it) and due to lack of time to cover a story, can oversimplify which gets the wrong picture/missing details. I'd recommend looking at maybe the first 100 comments or so and see what any locals say about the situation(s) covered
@@jermm2183 I don't know why but I feel as if many of the first hand comments are bullshit and trolls who fake it due to how barebone it is. I very seldomly see true accounts of what actually happened
I spent a month in Thailand with my Thai wife summer of 2019. My wife was translating the news for me as China was to invade Taiwan. We left early to head back to the States since I didn't want to be stuck overseas if war broke out. I flew with Eva airlines, a Taiwan airline, into Taipei for a quick layover then on to LAX. It was all over their news and Taiwan was praising Trump for sending 80 fighter jets to Taiwan which thwarted the invasion. When I got to the States 12 hours later, not a peep of this on American news sites. Not Fox, CNN,RT, MSNBC none of them.
@@roadrules3671 my close friends aunt lives in taiwan. The mainland chinese are actually pressuring the inhabitants of taiwan. And yes impending invasion is being spread in the island and people are prepping for incoming war. While her aunt has since fled taiwan and just arrived in canada last month. Her aunt said that she attended a community meeting prepping for first aid and relief goods and also mini drills. Though she had to move out because she's already 75 and her children are worried sick.
@@hudhinton1880 Then you are speaking entirely out of your ass. Trump had American troops training Ukranian forces EVERY year of his administration. Over 1.5 billion in military aid was sent to the Ukraine during his administration. What you are obsessed about is a two week halt in aid to investigate corruption in the Ukrainian government, to make sure our aid was being used to build up Ukrainian defenses and not being diverted into bribes to Hunter Biden, that Joe Biden forced the Ukranians to pay under Obama. HINT: A two week pause in aid in FOUR YEARS is not "betraying Ukraine". In fact, Leftists have always whined about US aid being diverted by corruption- everywhere EXCEPT Ukraine. Probably because in the Ukraine, it was Joe Biden, one of their own, gettting the US Aid diverted. The outrage over Trump demanding an investigation is entirely hypocritical BS, posing and lies done by people who've spent years actually enriching themselves off the corruption, and gullible leftists like you fell for it utterly.
Hi Johhny, I know only you will appreciate this comment. The scene at 3:37 with the paper chart is shot and animated to perfection and I just wanted you to know that it's awesome. Really really good job on that!!
LOL this guy have no idea what he is talking about. China is way stronger than the Russia, if US is not going to war with Russia over Ukraine. What makes you think US will go to war against China for Taiwan?? A worthless Island at this point.
That's not true, Ukraine was not part of NATO, hence NATO not intervening militarily in the Russian occupation. Taiwan on the other hand has been assured of its protection by the US, with Biden saying they will protect Taiwan. Therefore it would probably lead to a Nuclear war if China invaded Taiwan which is not going to happen with Russia as it invades Ukraine.
Chinas reasons for not invading Taiwan are the same reason zero persons were killed during the Hong Kong protest. That is. Escalating violence in reality doesn’t actually help to pacify and win over the population
My Taiwanese parents always say that China doesn't even need an army, if everyone in China spits it's enough to drown Taiwan. The scary thing for me wasn't just the fighter jets, its the fact that so many Chinese young people I've seen are so hostile towards Taiwan and it's not going away
Have you ever thought that the hostiles are both ways? Actually, at least according to my experience knowing all the people around me, China (mainland) was much more friendly to Taiwan than Taiwan to China. Everything got worse after Tsai tore up 1992 Consensus.
@@xiaomingjohn8761 Exactly. "Taiwan is a beautiful place and the people is nice" is not wrong, kids are still taught the same in today's school too, and that we're the same people, having the same origins. But what they are not taught in school is all the hatred that Taiwanese have towards Chinese. Taiwan's education however is more on the opposite side.
@@tianqiyu415 I think we're talking about different things. People in Taiwan learn about Chinese culture in school, and I grew up loving Chinese culture. But we do not agree with the government, and the freedom to raise voice and disagree with our own government is very important to many of us. And you can't deny the fact that mere mentions of Taiwan internationally by public figures and brands lead to scandals, boycott, and backlash. If that's not the definition of hostility I don't know what is.
@@tianqiyu415 on an international stage, China has been INCREDIBLY hostile towards Taiwan. Actively attacking anyone (NBA, John Cena lol) who even addresses Taiwan directly. Not to mention the constant airspace violation mentioned in this video. Being constantly exposed to that, some Taiwanese citizens may become hostile even towards just average Chinese citizens. Though that is a small subset of the people. The shared language, heritage, and in some cases family means that many citizens can actually get along fine politics aside. But let's be real, Taiwan is at risk of being invaded by China, not the other way around. So what do you say to that?
Keeping every thing aside the quality of content and video are just out of earth . This is next level of content presenation . Hats off to you and your team behind production
@@jjc4232 You literally commented this like 20 times under all his videos... We can clearly see the only person here backed by any goverment is you literally as bot commenting the same stuff over and over again even tho you just visibly showing yourself as bot... pathetic
That’s because you are consuming western propaganda. Goto Taiwan and people have been living with this for 60 years, no one seriously thinks China will invade. Neither do the Chinese themselves. War is a last resort. Diplomatic solution is always the preferred option. 25 percent of Taiwanese works for mainland China businesses. There won’t be a war unless United States creates one
@@ireckon7351 True but considering how foreign wars almost always turn out for China I truly doubt they will, I think it's already a really huge risk invading Ukraine, China won't do something similar (probably unless Taiwan declares independence which they themselves know would be suicide) and not this year anyway
I will tell you guys one thing. Ukraine and Taiwan is not the same in terms of battlefield. Taiwan is mountainous whereas Ukraine is mostly flat. Taiwan is also an island so China needs to do an amphibious assault and it is safe to say that a full on assault on Taiwan will be much much more costly and challenging than D-Day. The Chinese government cant risk to lose the assault either because if they do, their imagine will be greatly tarnished and it may even end their government.
yep, invading ukraine are far more easier than invading taiwan. And before russia invade ukraine they need to prepare a month to build their army near ukraineborder. And also those military build up are very hard to cover up especially in dense urban region like china.
While it is true, but sometimes wrong decision are being made. Maybe someone high-up believing China is strong enough to take on the whole world, and though everything could be done in a week. The next thing we know, people are send to die for nothing.
I think you should have mentioned why Taiwan is so important. Most of the worlds computer chips are made there and control over Taiwan also means control over vital shipping routes. Overall China would get an immense power and control not only in the region, but the whole world. US probably couldn’t afford to ignore this.
Production line can be relocated to somewhere else, the so called "semiconductor shield" does not actually exist the truth is, we people in TW have to consociate to fight back and protect our homeland as long as we can be brave and determined like those Ukrainian people, we can still have some hope
Exactly, it is also why the US is intervening, not to be the good guys or anything, but to make sur TSMC doesn't fall into chinese hands. If China has control over production of Computer chips, it could means that american companies and smart weapons manufacturers won't get any more chips, which would give China a technological, economical and military advantage
Very well analysed. But in terms of China, it is very unlikely they will start a war, but as per your assumption sanctions against Taiwan would be the most likely direction. War is very unpredictable and once the cat is out of the bag, you just can’t stop it.
Unlike Ukraine, the West can't let Taiwan go without some sort of a fight, direct or indirectly. 75% of the world's semi-conductors and chips come from there. Of which, many Western powers use in their defense industries.
You can't pretend being able to understand the mind of a dictator, nobody can! Just watch what Putin did. UNLIKELY?! What does it even mean to a person intoxicated in power who thinks he might be a god, he can do whatever he like to do?
China uses soft power, not hard power like Russia. China relies more on trade as their method of control over time, while Russia uses hard and direct methods. I do agree that a direct war with Taiwan is unlikely but definitely still possible in future.
I’m currently focusing on EU - Taiwan relations for my masters and the potential Chinese takeover is something that’s constantly in the back of everyones mind whenever discussing Taiwan. I think the Ukraine situation will be an important case study for China. China’s economy is extremely important for the communist party’s legitimacy. How long lasting the foreign sanctions on Russia are and how they impact the countries economy over time could be a very strong deterrent for the potential invasion of Taiwan. If however the west capitulates to Russia after short period because its an important gas and oil supplier then China may see an invasion of Taiwan as being worth the risk.
You also forgot that china holds usa eu and australia for balls,because of debt diplomacy.USA EU and Australias economies are dependent from China.Nobody wants to accept that after this show in Ukrainr entire wolrd will become chineese slave.China has studied and waited for this moment for 100 years.They want revenge for boxer revolution when russia usa uk france austrohingary italy germany and japan attacked china.Russian crippled economy will cuase theire dependence from china And now china will attack taiwan amd force usa for ground invasion,for which usa isnt ready.Russian army is a defensive one,thats why they are doing bad in ukraine,usa army is offensive one that is why they will loose against china,especially when they start coubter ground invasion
I think you are right there. China isn't dumb. They wait and watch and learn. If Russia gets out of this with minimal damage then China would deem it a risk worth taking. Especially because it's easier for us to sanction Russia than China. And China knows how important they are for the global trade.
It is clear why US wants relations with Ukraine or Taiwan. They want to keep an eye on Russia and China and this obviously doesn’t go well with Russians and Chinese. In my opinion their interference is what threatens Russia and China. Not blaming the US here, but cannot always be a coincidence.
Thank you for bringing this up at this time. Been concerned about this situation for months, and the political ideologies behind what is happening in Ukraine cannot be a virus we allow to affect the growing populism and nationalism we see globally.
Taiwan isn't internationally recognised as an independent sovereign nation. That will be an issue if China does use force as the law isn't necessarily being broken.
That is correct, Legally Taiwan belongs to China, the only one being a bully and not following internacional law is the US, if the US goes to war over Taiwan it would be ilegal. But the US doesn't care and the UN won't dare sanction the US, but also, no one would dare anger China over an ilegal war. It will be the US vs Russia and China, IF they actually go to war, my guess is that China will build enough nuclear weapons to make the US think twice.
@@100KillingDays That´s like saying that Uruguay is just a province of Argentina, just cause it´s smaller and we share the same begginings. They are separated territories, the only reason why they are not an independent country is out of fear of China. It´s a forced situation more comparable to slavery wishes from a big nation to a smaller one. Taiwan does not want mainland goverment with their undemocratic one party sistem to rule them. If China want to be the world´s biggest recognized power and the people of Taiwan being more fond of them, the best thing they could do is giving their people the power and become finally a country worthy of the times we are living in. The chinese goverment has a structure meant for the past that doesn´t make sense in this age.
"I really hope that we are past needing to resort to this version of conflict to settle our disputes at this time in our history". I totally echo your view on this. We need a lot of wisdom and patience in finding a peaceful solution to the situation. We have a lot to learn from the Russian/Ukraine conflict that is going on right now. I believe this conflict could have been prevented.
You’re making a typical mistake here!!! Putin has already made up his mind, he wants to recreate the great Russian Empire-hence he has to take all the countries that used to be in it!! No talking in the world will change that!! Same goes for China, Xi Jinping has already made up his mind-Xi wants to expand in all directions, he will take Taiwan and he won’t stop there, Xi and the Chinese Communist Party want to dominate and govern the world (these remarks are even written down in their constitution!!) So beware of China (not the people but the government) THEY WILL BE THE CAUSE OF WWIII !!!!!!!
@@timothymcgee871 I disagree with you here. Russia was all obliging to the west and did nothing wrong up to 2007. In fact, Russia showed a desire to be a member of NATO too in Putin's early years. He wanted to "hang out" with the west but was rejected. In the meantime NATO expanded to the west against its promise not to do so. Ukraine seems the last straw. Check this video out for some facts: th-cam.com/video/8X7Ng75e5gQ/w-d-xo.html
@@rockycheny5437 Russia was welcomed by the West into the elite G8 way back in 1997 despite not actually deserving to be in it, so it is in fact the West that is actually obliging and accommodating toward Russia; it was basically one giant affirmative action for a country. Also, NATO never promised not to enlarge; Gorbachev himself said so, and so do the actual records pertaining to the matter. And in any case, if your neighbors, one after another, literally beg a country thousands of miles away for protection, you might want to take a hard look at yourself and ask why and be honest with the answer.
Actually Taiwanese will give it up at least 1 month early when they heard the Chinese government officially announced that the operation to liberate Taiwan will officially begin.
You’ve built yourself as someone who people can go to for a credible, non bias take on big global topics. You’re doing so much good for the world, I give you my humble thanks.
@@vb9950 well, everything that didnt happen yet are all speculations arent they? atleast his videos are backed by supporting infos and are indeed helpful to prepare us of the possible outcomes of these conflicts.
@@vb9950 do you remember that people are supposed to plan for the future? he also even states full out war is unlikely long response ahead: informed speculations are used to plan actions and policies. for my school for example, they hired people to speculate the population growth for my town, and school which has been within 10 people off for the school recent population boom, over a decade ago. because of that, the school planned expansions accordingly. development of cities or towns, new policies, military actions, everything is decided through speculation that they will improve things.researched speculations about the future are used as info on what is needed and we take action by doing something we _hope_ will improve things
Except that time he made a propaganda video and didn't disclose it, then when called out insisted making a sponsored video for a political organisation without disclosing it's sponsored is ok, when he's further called out on that (including the fact he obtained pre-release copy of a book) he decided to shift the conversation to "well why aren't we discussing the contents of my video?" - clearly because he doesn't want to discuss undisclosed sponsorhsips : th-cam.com/video/Dum0bqWfiGw/w-d-xo.html😅 I trust him for inconsequential videos about mcdonalds ice cream machines and American breakfasts, but little else without a huge grain of salt.
Hey! Johnny, it’s my first time watching your video. I‘m from Taiwan. A TH-camr who named Uncle Topher pointed out that you conveyed the wrong message in the video. I think you have to confirm it clearly if you want to make this kinda video.
I am a Chinese...I have friends in Taiwan, and I hope this would not happen as no one want war. As difficult it is to live now under the Covid situation, we shouldn't risk anyone's lives on this. I believe there are better ways to handle these kind of conflicts.
Just want to say that you covered this very well and even tried to show people that there is a chance for things to go well. Even though there’s also a possibility it might go sideways you talked positively about this and also covered ways this could go, I love your energy and you seem like an awesome and smart guy. Thank you for this and have a nice day
I am a mainlander Chinese, and I am 40 years old. I have something to say. We were taught that Taiwan is part of China in the school, but they didn't really tell us what happened in the past 100 years, and how Taiwan was separate from us. As we grew up, and started to gather information from different sources including TH-cam :), we started to understand what happened. Taiwan of course is part of China, no matter it is Communist China or Democrats China (lets call it this way) managing this land, Taiwan Island belongs to Chinese, this race of people who have been living on this planet for 5000 years. Vice versa, for those Taiwan residents, you all should know that the mainland is your land too. Just because you are not allowed to come here freely, doesn't mean that you should forget your origin. For those who don't really understand China and Taiwan, you can take South Korea and North Korea to help you understand. They used be one nation, and are supposed to be one nation as always (as a Chinese, I still hope to see the day that the Korean Peninsula will be united). Because of geopolitical conflicts including the best interests of Soviets, Chinese and Americans, they were torn apart and became two nations being run by two different parties -both are widely acknowledged including by UN. China and Taiwan is basically the same thing, the only difference is that in China the communists won the civil war. Kuoming Tang (democrats party) lost the war and they had to evacuate to Taiwan island with the Americans' help. With the soviets help, and as being one of the largest countries with its largest population, communist China won the acceptance in UN and acknowledgement by the international community while the managing parties in Taiwan never got acknowledged. As a Chinese, I hope to see the country land's unification one day, but I don't wanna see it done by war. If it would have to take a war to unify the country, I'd rather see Taiwan separate from mainland forever.
The Communist bandits are a foreign power, not part of the Chinese race. 支那共匪是外势力，不是中华民族的一部分。If CPC is a foreign power, it cannot be a civil war.如果中共是外國勢力，那就不可能是內戰。
Thanks for watching! I made a poster about maps & i hope you like it. You can check it out here: store.dftba.com/products/all-maps-are-wrong-poster
The USA is always a trouble maker rubbish
Hi Johnny, big fan of your work here from South Africa, Ive just gone back to this video and compared it to whats happening over the last week in this region,VERY INTRIGUING! PLEASE do a follow up video on this with your speculation and also do something regarding the monetary system and BRICS. Here is a vid from an Islamic eschatologist assumptions from more than 10 years ago th-cam.com/video/uNnIC6dkpoI/w-d-xo.html . Look forward to your content! Thanks
Maybe you could update the development of this video as time goes by. One thing people may underestimate the inevitability of the war. The nationalism of China rises every day. If you have a chance to view the news and reaction of people in China, you may raise the odds of war probabilities. The politics and nationalism distorts the rational thought process.
th-cam.com/video/CM6HwH9FxQk/w-d-xo.html
USA citizens are already vacating Taiwan, it can very easily predict that USA and west would very conveniently abandon Taiwan before 2025-27.
You can bet the Chinese government is gauging the worlds reaction and response to the Ukrainian crisis as we watch this video. Thanks for another informative and interesting video Johnny.
Appeasement all over again
there is nothing even remotely similar between taiwan and Ukraine
I dont think xi is as stupid as putin
@@xb2856 Hope he is.
Putin is bold not stupid
Russia attacking Ukraine is making me worry as a Taiwanese that China might try the same thing depending on the outcome of how NATO reacts to the attack.
Nato cant do anything because ukraine is not part of it. Nato is a defensive organisation which means if any member is attacked then its an attack on all members. Ukraine unfortunately is not part of it so we cannot get involved however if Russia tries anything with the baltic states then we will get involved as the baltic states are part of the organisation. I do hope Taiwan get protection either from japan usa or india…
No doubt you guys are next.
Pakistan took out Pro US Afghanistan 2021
Russia Pro US Ukraine 2022
China Pro US Taiwan 2023
Iran Pro US Israel 2024
These countries are like an Anti-US gang.
@@supramonstaglock5962 Where did you learn this ? Fox news ? Do some more research before saying stupid things.
The UN will send a strongly worded letter to China
@@jaymax9560 You forgot North Korea invading South Korean (pro US)
"We live in a different era"
This is a very scary thought as someone who grown up through an era of peace thinking that it will last forever.
This may suprise you but despite the conflict going on in Ukraine, this era is one of the most peaceful time in human history, for example 19th century saw far more chaotic warfare, most notably Napolenic wars, Franco-Prussian war, American civil war, Taiping rebellion and much more.
So yeah, in comparison to other centuries in human history this is relatively peaceful.
“History repeats itself. First as a tragedy, second ad farce”
Peace in the west, western instigated war everywhere else. One of the main reasons Putin has the confidence to attack a Ukraine is because the US and NATO have been doing it over and over again in the past decades, the only difference now is that it is so close to home, with blonde haired blue eyed refugees. These are the chickens of imperialist interventionism coming home to roost.
@@Wabu_227 unless you live in middle east or central africa...or cartel mexico...
@@ongeri Youre telling us ukrainians are white? GTFO
As a veteran, all I can really say is nobody should want a war. If you don't know what it's like to take a life, be happy. You don't want that guilt on your shoulders for the rest of your life.
So you don't mind not defending your family when they are threatened? There will come a time when even pacifists will take up arms.
@@Mr2tails its joke that the US cares about other countries, you guys don't even care your own people, you have millions homeless people in the street
@@Mr2tailsthe problem is the politicians. We are all going to die for those who care not about us. Look how they treat our veterans.
Some US General said that there is a possibility of a war with China in the late 2020s, which is exactly when I turn 18 and have to sign the draft. A war with China would definitely cause a draft to be called.
@@Mr2tails not what he said at all. nice strawman argument
Fun fact: US Navy has more presence in the Black Sea, Med, and off the shores of China than we ever did near the oceans and seas of the Middle East. The Cold War never truly ended. It just went classified, and got less front page news.
also fun fact. US navy was retreating from black sea because of Russian threats a couple weeks ago.
@@bodigames usa now is seeming like an aging man whos out of his prime and its scary as its the only democratic superpower
The east Med is the sea of the Middle East...
USA lost significance in modern world
well oh shit it looks like cold war is back
It's worth mentioning that Taiwan houses the majority of the world's semiconductor fabrication. If you thought COVID disrupted the supply chain, you haven't seen anything yet.
I was thinking the same thing!! I bet large corporations would pressure the US Govt to assist Taiwan to protect their businesses. IE: Intel.
yep this
What are those used for??
@@MortalWombat22 chips. everything from smartphones, game consoles, TVs, graphics cards, processors (CPUs), even a fridge uses a microchip. Basically almost anything electronic
China is also a big manufacturing country. I bet all countries will be affected if the supply chain is disrupted.
I really appreciate the disclaimer cautioning against romanticizing conflict.
Yeah as an Indian I have often caught myself romanticising foreign and historical conflicts, but when I think of the ongoing conflicts (internal and external) in my own country it feels more like horror than fascination.
Glad he is pointing this out.
War is glorious. Its where boys become men and men become legends.
@@iamthe1234567890 ratio + get drafted
@@Ari-ne2yb yeah
Really appreciate? That’s because you are lamb in a world of lions. Your delicate sensibilities will not be an asset in the future.
Legally speaking, the Chinese Civil War haven't ended yet. It has lasted for decades, since 1946, when the KMT suddenly attacked CPC controlled area disregarding the fact that Mao and Chiang had signed a treaty called "Double Ten Agreement". The agreement expressed the idea that KMT and CPC would unite together and set up a new state. After KMT attacked Shandong and Shaanxi, both under CPC controll, CPC decided to attack KMT to liberate the whole country.
People under the reign of KMT had been suffering for decades, so they welcomed the PLA warmly. The KMT, due to failure in the mainland, had to escape to Taiwan with the illusion that they could counterattack on the mainland.
Though both the people under CPC and KMT reign agreed that they are Chinese, the current government of Taiwan are deleting ancient literature from the textbook, making old Taiwanese upset."When I close my eyes, I can see the beuatiful scenes of Dongting Lake, thinking of Fan Zhongyan's article. Only when I step onto the land of Wuhan, of Xi'an, of Beijing, I can feel the vastness of Dongting Lake, the majesty of the Terracotta Army, and the magnificence of the Forbidden City." This is what a Taiwanese told me.
Taiwan is politically "independent" from PRC, but nationally closely connected with Chinese nation.
That is why the CPC is not trying to "invade" Taiwan, instead liberating them.
The history part is correct.
But the new generation in Taiwan treasures their democracy. They were born and grew up in Taiwan, not China.
They are biologically Chinese and identify themselves as Taiwanese. (kind of like Chinese-American or Chinese-Malaysian )
More and more people are preparing to fight against the invasion. They are schools （like black bear academia ) that teach people how to assist soldiers and protect themselves in battle, even teach them how to use guns.
@@kuocamilla3004 Bro are you Chinese? (Or the so-called “Taiwanese”)
yes,you are right
@@yiranliu-xo2hf I am Taiwanese and living in Taiwan .🇹🇼
@@kuocamilla3004 Taiwan is just a place name, not a country. You have to understand this.
i’m not trying to downplay the severity of this situation but i have to say... the production value of your videos is off the charts. the effort is definitely appreciated. great work man.
I have a small issue with how many times we saw him look at pictures and do faces. I mean cmon, what is this?
@@PK.Skerzos I mean I think those scenes are a bit too much too but you can’t deny that the quality of the production is insanely good for a youtube video and it’s a gift to us tbh
@@PK.Skerzos I have to agree. The amount of times where it's just shots of his bewilderment at some image on a screen is worthy of an Illuminati documentary.
But I'm a fan - and I'm all for artists and journalists trying out new stuff. Just don't particularly like this as it takes away from the seriousness for me.
Having a high production has got nothing to do with being authentic. This is a propaganda piece that has got almost every information incorrectly.
@@mm-wn8vm what’s correct then?
"War always escalates"
Very important to keep in mind.
Funny.
No surprise to anyone who has read Clausewitz.
@So Sexy i'm Sexy read the f'kin room here.
@@sandhanitizer15 it’s a bot lmao, how do you not know this?
@@sandhanitizer15 it’s kinda funny lmao
Watching this made me deeply realize how fragile the tension is and how fast it could escalate. Definitely a huge eye opener for someone to be actively engaged with the current situations.
no one in us.
CHINA 🇨🇳!!! NUMBAH ONE!!! HAHA TRICK YOU AMERICA!!! Taiwan berong to China! 🇨🇳 TRICK YOU TWO TIME HAHA AMERICA
Yeah its tense over there. I have seen many interviews of Taiwanese people saying that they go about their life without thinking about it. Though I am sure its always in the back of your head so to speak. This is all before Putin decided to show the resemblance between him and other tyrants from history.
With such fragile tension, Tsai Ingwen still decided to poke the bear. Tells alot about the Dpp. I really hope Taiwanese don't pay the price for this clown's actions.
The funny thing is that many people don't know that Taiwan's constitution also recognizes one China. Considers mainland China a part of China and has been planning to counter Beijing and unify China since before 1949. If you look at the maps published by the US half a century ago, Taiwan and south China Sea are all Chinese. Before World War I there were only a few dozen countries in the world. Now there are about 200 countries in the world. Has anyone ever wondered why? In Taiwan, people over 40 yrs old consider themselves Chinese and most want to reunify China, while people under 20 do not consider themselves Chinese and do not think Taiwan has a relationship with China. Has anyone ever wondered why? Countries all over the world recognize the One-China principle and do not consider Taiwan as a country. Taiwan is originally a part of China, and the civil war between Taiwan and the mainland is China's internal affair. If a war breaks out, it is not an invasion.Is a civil war.
很有趣的兵推情境，不過在開頭忽略了很重要的一點：如果中國決定要全面侵略台灣，那就得在開戰前數週、甚至數月開始動員必要的兩棲登陸部隊，而這樣規模的部隊移防絕不可能瞞過台灣和美國方面的情報蒐集，換句話說中國是不可能運用大規模兵力對台灣進行偷襲作戰，至少兩者不能兼得。
也許不需要集結，畢竟台灣有國民黨和民眾黨會開城投降，也許我們國軍在前線殺敵背後卻被國民黨的支持者補刀也有可能
Bot
@@kkkuo82167国军大概率前线就投了，比后面的人会投的快。
想什么呢，一人吐口痰都能把台湾淹了
我個人認為，在美軍與臺軍反應過來之前中國就會打來了
He is absolutely right when he says that we have been in an unusually long period of relative peace in the world. The default in human history has been war and brutality. Those things go in cycles. And human nature has not changed.
No we haven’t, there’s always conflict going on in the world. It’s just that it doesn’t receive as much coverage as when “The West” is involved.
Peace? LOL. How ignorant.
The OP said relative peace.
@@raymonds7492 that’s not true either. There has been NO peace. The only reason you would say there’s been “relative peace” is because there has been no coverage on the unrest. A lot has happened between WWII and the Ukrainian and Russian War.
@@WillieFungo relative peace. Keyword relative. Go google some death-tolls for wars of the past. And I’m sure you won’t like to hear this but the relative peace we have all enjoyed is a result of Americas naval presence throughout the worlds oceans that has made it more beneficial for countries to trade rather than fight one another
Johnny Harris and his team really knows how to make entertaining, highly stylized documentary videos in their own distinct way
HEAR HEAR
very kind words :)
thank you!
Make video What hapend if India invade Bangladesh?
@@chemicalreactionbd9568 you mean Pakistan.
They are really well made documentaries, but I'm hesitant when it comes to these international topics.
Everything I know about China has come from Westerners like this guy, I would take all of this with a huge grain of salt.
Throughout my time living in Japan the spectre of an invasion of Taiwan has lingered over daily news here - particularly after Xi came to power. On the one hand, east Asia feels remarkably peaceful and safe, and then suddenly North Korea fires a missile over the Pacific, a hawkish Chinese commentator declares it’s time to take Taiwan by force or a disputed island gets surrounded by Japanese and a Chinese naval vessels. Watching Ukraine unfold with horror made me realise not to take this relatively peaceful time for granted in East Asia, as it could all go horribly wrong incredibly fast.
(Great video as always mate. The ominous soundtrack alone made me cower in fear).
Damn, that must be scary dude
As a Russian person I took the peaceful time for granted
Peace is based on what China wants.
Anything can happen so unexpectedly, what matters is what we have close to us.
time to run back to the UK mr Broad
Johnny, Joshua here...I write books about Taiwan and was living there in the summer of 1995 (and well after). I liked your analysis. It was both well thought out and humble in that you saw clearly the point in which speculation ceases to be productive. Thanks for making this. JSB.
1995? That was just before China "invaded" wasn't it? Wasn't that the headline, China about to invade? Keep then scared so they behave! (White terror, was that the mainland wouldn't it?) It was just 29 years ago and people are still frightened!
Taiwan is just a place name, which is very important. It is not a country.
Please read UN resolution2758. Taiwan is part of China
@@muyi3380yes it is.
@@deputyschrute4504keep dreaming.
Absolutely exceptional piece. Well done man
lol
China doesn’t want to invade Taiwan. That’s a last resort. The Chinese leadership prefers to resolve the political Issues through peaceful means. One can be cynical is all it consumes are western news
@@levelazn proof ?
@@levelazn lol
The briefing is not exaggerated, but factual and precise. th-cam.com/video/BfKF7VRnLos/w-d-xo.html
People forget that the enormous amount of peace in the last hundred years is an anomaly. For most of human history, war was much more common.
Very true.
And it's the US' new world order that resulted in this Pax Romana.
Because for the last 100 years there has been a military superpower that has been superior to any other. That superiority is waning.
Because we peaked military advancement after WW2
A friend at the German military explained to me once that the constant probing of Taiwanese air space is not just posturing and not just to cover up a real attack until it's too late. It's also about provoking a response from the Taiwanese military, both to gather intel about it and tire it out.
well, you need to search what is ADIZ...
Also its to test a response time, if you think about it. You wanna now how long it takes for the enemy to response if you try to attack them
Time to ask Why they need to test + gather data on those response times.
Because if Taiwan strike first then China can say we were defending ourselves.
@@klau88873 bc they want to start a war in the future and to intimidate bc they think they will just surrender bc they dont want to be bombed
Now you can assume the title "What happens if US invades Texas?"
Taiwan and china are diffrent
点了，兄弟
@@诸葛-p5j we dont understand ur language
@@prateeksharma6706Mainland China is part of the Republic of China!
@@prateeksharma6706tell the commies in the PRC to standby for the liberation of Mainland China by the democratic Republic of China!
My favorite quote on this topic:
"War never determines who's right, only who's left."
Food for thought.
WWII really made you doubt who was "right?" You're unsure about how to feel about Nazi Germany? How about ISIS and al-Qaeda? Huh.
They say history is written by the winners. I doubt the winners would say "we were wrong."
I also like Jocko's analogy: "Going into a war and saying that you're only going to kill the bad guys, not accidentally hitting any civilians, no collateral damage... is like saying you're going to be a boxer and never in your career be hit. It's just not going to happen that way."
War and technology
Hand in hand
It's how we advance
Bertrand Russell
Never in the history of human beings has war been so visually available. Any war from this point forward is going to have a lasting, significant impact on humanity.
Me and my nephew was actually just talking about this yesterday,like you seen little bit with afghan but not literal live video like you are seeing coming out of Ukraine and now with tech it's literally letting people see what war really is not just after math still pictures. I feel like it will make a difference about people going and wanting to go to war after this and will Change alot of stuff going forward....
I was just talking about this with my daughter and friends the other day. War is live streamed now in real time.
Okay, during the two world wars war definitely was more present when today and actually there were thousands of wars in human history. Just the last 50 years were quite peaceful for western world and it's really sad that our peace seems to be in big danger now!
@@thetravelingguy2954 They aren't talking about the prevalence of war, but the fact that today you can actually see what's happening around the world, not only now but for years to come since things can be recorded.
After all we are in the end times read Matthew 24:6
"In the nuclear world. The true enemy is war itself." From the film Crimson Tide.
Make video What hapend if India invade Bangladesh?
@@chemicalreactionbd9568
then ,India going to bankrupt
@@chemicalreactionbd9568 that will never happen, there's no reason to. Though something to do with Pakistan is more likely
@@duckpotat9818 yeh yeh.... I know... If india think this they lost their chicken neack Napal to Bangladesh and also lost the Assam
Dictators are the true enemies.
Out here talking about “potential invasion” your country invaded Syria Afghanistan Vietnam Korea Panama Iraq and Libya
“War always escalates”
A very important thing to keep in mind
You're everywhere
Does it? Sounds more like a survivorship bias.
Wars that don't escalate stay very small and fizzle out and written, at best, as footnotes in history books. The result being people only recall the ones that escalated, and hence make that wrong conclusion.
The funny thing is that many people don't know that Taiwan's constitution also recognizes one China. Considers mainland China a part of China and has been planning to counter Beijing and unify China since before 1949. If you look at the maps published by the US half a century ago, Taiwan and south China Sea are all Chinese. Before World War I there were only a few dozen countries in the world. Now there are about 200 countries in the world. Has anyone ever wondered why? In Taiwan, people over 40 yrs old consider themselves Chinese and most want to reunify China, while people under 20 do not consider themselves Chinese and do not think Taiwan has a relationship with China. Has anyone ever wondered why? Countries all over the world recognize the One-China principle and do not consider Taiwan as a country. Taiwan is originally a part of China, and the civil war between Taiwan and the mainland is China's internal affair. If a war breaks out, it is not an invasion.Is a civil war. China wants peace. But the US wants to use Taiwan to split China, the US doesn't want to see any strong independent country, the US wants all countries to be small and weak and obedient to the US.
I have a new video coming soon explaining the Russian invasion into Ukraine now that it's happening. Stay tuned and subscribe to get notified when it comes out. Also if you live in Ukraine I really want to include your voice in my upcoming video. I'm collecting accounts of what people are seeing and feeling. Go to my instagram and send me a video instagram.com/johnny.harris/
Make a video about Israeli occupation of Palestine
@@mercm2691 He has done one video about it but it was several years ago and on Vox
No
Ukraine is WAY more important right now
Your channel is propaganda
I'm a Security student and have been prototyping war games for this scenario for a few months now.
This is incredibly well researched and confirmed a lot of what I've found in research and given me new angles and information to consider. Thank you, sincerely.
I've been to Taiwan, one day I hope I get the opportunity to live there. It's a beautiful island with a vibrant and friendly Chinese and Aboriginal culture. I've never felt more at home and safe in my life than on the island.
I don't want war and I hope that cooler heads will prevail, but we will all have to wait and see.
I'd like to be the first one to try
You mean you are a war mongering American hawk or shall I say Hack! You think Americans bombing killing and invading other countries is ok... since only non whites get killed by the thousands... you people are SICK.
What
@@hclau362 wtf are you talking about?
@@oldarthurmorgan6319 I know what he meant. You all would be surprised how much people been killed by US wars. It exceeded the mongols.
I have watched so many videos of this dude is like he is obsessed with China. From his point of views I can tell not only he has not a single clue about Asia in general, he also possesses this “I know stuff I’m smart, I’m independent, lemme teach you what to think” meanwhile pushing some ideology vibe going on. If you look at his early videos, he doesn’t really talk abt the stuff he does today, hmmmm.
I totally get that vibe too. It's more like he read a couple of NYT opinion articles as the source of these videos and ignorantly omitted so many important pieces.
I’m not really sure what you mean. Yeah he’s done a lot of videos on Asia but I wouldn’t say he’s “obsessed” with it. Also which agenda do you think he’s pushing? If you think it’s anti-Chinese, I would politely disagree since he stresses that the PRC should not be de-humanised and that whichever course of action they take is based on a will to reunite Taiwan to the motherland.
@@henzohewson Thank you for pointing out my typo btw😂
and he's missing a LOT of very important information here. but the point is to get views, not really give a realistic picture... which this piece doesn't provide.
This is a terrifying reality that's most likely coming
Yeah, and It scares the shit out of me
It was either Ukraine or Taiwan, apparently Joe Biden made his choice of giving up on Ukraine for Taiwan where the greater interests are. Even though it’s a fact that the most powerful military force is US navy, the only one who could beat US navy up is US airforce, Juggling two wars against the second and the third military presences in the world at the same time would be a mission impossible for the states.
@@chenx4528 Nope it was Ukraine and Taiwan. If China saw Russia's Ukraine invasion be met by stiff resistance from the west in the form of military aid and boots and the ground, they would think twice before poking the American Giant. However, if Ukraine falls, China will rightfully assume that the American Giant is asleep and will not hesitate to take Taiwan by force. Ukraine is no less important than Taiwan for it is the door between Russia and Nato. Taiwan obviously is in a good strategic location and makes semiconductors. By abandoning Ukraine, the US will incentivise China to attack. Sanctions are never going to deter China if they are useless in Russia, a much poorer country. The US military ain't gonna help Taiwan. They will sit idly by while Biden tries appeasement again.
not really. most likely, America and China get to a deal, that China takes back Taiwan and Taiwan will be just like a state in the US that can have its own election and industry, China will not set military bases in Taiwan and Taiwan is not allowed to have army. As long as America is powerful, that deal can be effective.
speaking about peaceful china and taiwan both are Chinese, and speaking about humanity why recently US and allies making high tension everywhere ? doing that becouse US is big military country or US just need entertainment ? or maybe making Taiwan as pawn like Ukraine so if plan get suceed then US will get bonus new strategic allies ?
Hopefully this doesn’t happen, we need peace in this world. Thank you for this video.
You're naive. Stay in your home
@@jonathanwildemann3403 please elaborate
Great, another coward looking for support from other weaklings
@@slickimz223 what do you mean? All I want is peace, there is nothing wrong with being a pacifist. No one should support war until last resort.
Let's hope that is the case, but time and time again, saturations or sequence of events push countries into war that no body wants in the first place. It's tragic, but it had happened, and most likely will again.
Let’s keep in mind, Taiwan makes most of the best chips that the world uses. Your computer or phone you are using has one of those chips, american military vehicle systems, missile systems and all other important things. Taiwan is pretty important.
Edit: this comment is just highlighting a fact not pointed out in the video. I’m not saying that they are the only thing Taiwan is good for nor am I saying I don’t care about the Taiwanese. It’s purely a fact I wanted to share as it’s yet another reason why it’d be beneficial for countries to save the lives of the Taiwanese if an invasion would occur. Frankly, it’s disappointing I have to clarify this. No faith at all.
TSMC has almost completed two of the worlds largest Semiconductor Fabs. in the world located in Phoenix Arizona easy to look up. USA has ensured they will have all the 6nm or smaller semiconductors they will ever need!
A few years ago one of their factories was damaged in a natural disaster and the price of memory chips skyrocketed for several months.
Taiwan was important, America government forced taiwan to establish factory in US. and force taiwan to share its data with us government. today Taiwan is not so important.
@@gravestheoutlaw3632 nah
@@gravestheoutlaw3632 the fabs aren't done, besides, most of their infrastructure is still in Taiwan
Imagine if the United States lost California in a civil war, and when the United States tried to reclaim the area, China sent troops from thousands of kilometers away, saying that it could not tolerate an American invasion of California. Then you'll understand what it means to be nosy
That’s not the case for Taiwan and China
If you actually look in to the history, China claim to own Taiwan for very short of time.
Spain, Netherlands, and Japan have claim to own Taiwan for a much longer time
Not to mention that PRC NEVER own Taiwan ever in history.
@@黃麥塊 history of California: California was part of New Spain until that kingdom dissolved in 1821, becoming part of Mexico until the Mexican-American War (1846-1848). Sounds like there just needs to be a war to own part of the land?
@@黃麥塊日本荷兰是殖民者和侵略者，台湾最开始就是中国的😅
A very concise description of Taiwan and mainland China.
The Republic of China owns Taiwan,
and there is a civil war relationship between the Republic of China and the People's Republic of China.
How do you know the context of the world and the California 75 years from now ? Or are you going to ignore the fact that the Chinese civil war ended 75 years ago and Taiwan is a free country ?
I am a Chinese person in the US. I think given the ferocity of Ukraine’s defense and similar mindset of the Taiwanese, China would be doubly careful. Imagine how easy it was to spot the build up of Russian troops on a super long Ukrainian border, imagine how obvious the build up will be on the Fujian coast. I think a Taiwan invasion is far less likely now because of Ukraine.
i agree my chiense brother
I think Ukraine's invasion give china perfect example how to invade taiwan.... Usa will keep itself at distance because of ww3 risk and sleepy biden will say something stupid again and given sanctions warning which can't be put on China properly because of their manufacturim and earth like lithium ...
Besides, the commies have yet to make their tanks swim 😂
I wish I were as optimistic as you. Russia has the economy of Texas, China has the economy of the US. China has also been supporting Russia in their invasion, which would be a logical move if they themselves wanted to invade Taiwan. I'm not saying it will happen for sure but I think Ukraine made it more, not less likely.
Supporting, as in through the media to be clear.
Great video Johnny!
Hopefully a China invasion of Taiwan will remain a "what if" instead of "when".
Hopefully, I am against war and I certainly wouldn't want one happening so close at home.
Well sadly it's always 'when' 😟
Make video What hapend if India invade Bangladesh?
Unfortunately, it remains a “what If”only if the ruling party of Taiwan decides to make a change of its confrontational attitude towards China, which won’t happen because of politics.
@@chemicalreactionbd9568 What will India get out of declaring war on Bangladesh? Others than less dependency on the chicken neck and more radical s?
Damn I'm kinda tired of living my best years through these historic events.
How do these events impact your best years directly
Its just getting started bro. We are like in 1930 in a different color and taste. Remember that US marines have crayons and shit
really fucking eventful isn't it, especially if you have the honor to be the protagonist
@@JVLnetwork through stress and uncertainty- which triggers anxiety.
@@vividvulpe9842 do you live in Taiwan, Russia, Ukraine, yemen, or Russia? Because if not there’s no stress. You may act like it’s impacting you but it’s not. Life in the civilized world is so comfortable people will seek trauma that doesn’t even apply to them.
Looking at this video now with the current situation is scary 😧
I know right!!
Let’s take a moment to appreciate Johnny Harris and his hard work, especially during times like these. Bravo Sir 🙏🏽
Why didn't you just search taiwan AIDZ zone in google？ And you will find what he said in this video is totally wrong
@@baike007 because you're chinese
@@baike007 wumao moment
“奴隶制、殖民主义和殖民主义”都是作恶者所做的恶事。
盎格鲁西方/基督教欧洲人是几个世纪之久的全球主要参与者和捐助者，
- 奴隶制，
- 殖民主义，
- 从北美/南美到澳大利亚/新西兰再到西伯利亚/远东亚洲，直到今天。 🤔
对于上帝的诚实真理，请阅读“中美紧张局势：仔细观察‘五眼’情报伙伴关系/CGTN”中提供的多页“Ole Fella”评论（在 UTube 上）：youtu。是/H6nkAVegk0g
Bro you said peace time. What cave are you living in. Iraq, Afghanistan vs America for 20 years. Taliban won in the end after 20 years. So manyliveslost all sides. America won't help Taiwan. America is fake news. America will just abandon Taiwan like Iraq, Afghanistan and Ukraine.
As a person from former Yugoslavia, war in the beginning, if you fight for your motherland is exciting, but the longer it goes, the more exhausting it starts to be. So diplomacy seems to be a way better way, although it consumes more time, than a invasion
No one wants to live in China ruling. It is worst than Putin's Russia. Ukrainian won't. You got even less chance for Xi's China.
But When Commie is not talking abt the diplomacy ? CCP Need a hard lesson
@@MrK-js3it Dont worry about that as it stands now the CCP will fall hard, the countries coruption is already destroying the country. The chinese although I really love the people and the culture there have, because of communism, lost all their values. Religion is not allowed, everything is about the CCP and we all can see how the party behaves, so the people behave like that to. We all can see the many food scandals, the buildings that collaps etc. In Yugoslavia although not perfect, the people really liked it and the party first and foremost looked after the people, but China is a pool full of corruption. Im not a hardline communist, but if it is excecuted good, I believe in it. The Yugoslav wars didnt happen, because of coummism, but because of that that brewed in the meantime, the ultra nationalist movements since WW2. The chinese army is big, but it is riddled in corruption and wouldnt function good as a team, lets not talk about the equipment.
69 likes
@@Vasagata nice
So far, the designation Taiwan has never been an official country designation. The regime that currently administers the land on Taiwan is called the Republic of China (ROC).
The civil war broke out in China in 1945, and the government on Chinese territory at that time was the Republic of China. The two sides in the civil war were the Communist Party of China (CPC) and the Republic of China (ROC), and in 1949 the ROC lost the war in mainland China, the CPC established the People's Republic of China (PRC), and the government of the ROC moved to Taiwan.
So it was a civil war in China.
yes you are right
China VS China
It definitely does feel like it's closer than ever that they'd do this. Especially with how they handled Hong Kong and most people just forgot after such a short time, and now Russia doing what they're doing, why not China do it too? Truly frightening...
Winnie the Pooh would never dare
@@Tsukiko.97 -69 social credit
The UN better prepare that strongly worded letter condemning China
Make video What hapend if India invade Bangladesh?
Save ukraine 🇺🇦🙏🙏😭😭😭😭
It’s crazy what’s happening around the world atm, and that people really are going to war, hopefully everything resumes as it once was.
It’s always been this crazy
Nope its time for the 100 yr change .
You can't just wait and hope people have to take action
Make video What hapend if India invade Bangladesh?
Such is life. It’s always been this way. If anything, the world is much more peaceful than in comparison to what it once was.
This is a really good video but super stressful to watch as an Asian. Also, the Taiwanese are very warm and kind people so I hope this never happens.
Brain wash propaganda Taiwan and China war why Americans then fight there? Because it is a crap story and most sneaky nation on plante earth.
@@osloreal7042 Chinese bot detected.
It doesn't have to happen. Taiwan could reach out to negotiate a peaceful reincorporation. Absent that, it's going to happen at some point.
@@thesaddestdude3575 It's ture, your American is a really sneaky nation.
western bot 🙏🏻🙏🏻
trivia: CPC and KMT never signed a truce after the breaking out of their civil war.
Correct.
拿回自己的領土需要什麼協議？我覺得你應該是在太平洋上學習的
Doesn't matter because it's not two party fighting under one china right now CCP created a new country.
As a foreigner residing in Taiwan, I can attest to the fact that Taiwan is such an evolved, resourceful country that no one wants it invaded with non-peaceful means. China is undoubtedly taking lessons from the Ukraine-Russian conflict and applying them to its relations with Taiwan. If there is a war, China's stakes are unquestionably higher than Russia's in the Ukraine conflict. InshaAllah, this conflicts will end in a peaceful manner.
Logically speaking I really wonder what would bring the most benefit?
Is Taiwan really the goal other than just in name? Or maybe it's more domestic distraction and a need for continued economic growth that could make a war itself profitable? China is rather self-sufficient if compared to Russia. So sanctions won't matter as much.
But also, China doesn't seem to have a delusional monocrat or proud nostalgics. In fact, there is no better time in recent history to be proud of China.
everyone's got a camera, the days of big countries invading little countries, without international condemnation, are at an end
@@zakuro8532 China has been mostly following this sort of strategic ambiguity understanding (between CN, US, and TW) on the Taiwan issue for a very long time. I think in recent years the issue escalated a bit, the direct reason being the way how DPP came to power and are operating things there (highly ideologically possessed, highly anti-Chinahints, and hinting at amending the ROC constitution). But the seed has been planted way back to Li Teng-Hui's times.
Right now it's actually sort of backfiring for China because left-leaning patriotic young people want to see Taiwan taken back (by force). But for the government, there is no direct benefit, or rather the benefits won't outweigh the costs, at least in the short term.
As for the Taiwan government, as long as they're not recklessly optimistic (like NATO and Zelenskiy, expanding right up against the face of Putin and just thinking that it's modern 21st century nobody is daring to start a war) and know that a red line actually exists, I don't see China actually mounting an attack on Taiwan. Unless the whole world already went into utter chaos and nobody cares anymore. Which, I hate to say it but, actually seems likely depending on how NATO reacts to the Ukraine situation.
That being said, if Ukraine doesn't survive this attack and the subsequent downfall of the US hegemony actually begins... For China It's gonna be either a quick and decisive battle, or a peaceful, long-term and multi-generational process of trying to bring the hearts of people on both sides of the strait back together, for a basis of reunion. The cultural ties are there, but people (on both sides) have been brainwashed ideologues for so long that unless we find a new common ground for conversations, some of the nominal "value differences" just make really huge gaps for mutual understanding.
@@zakuro8532 Growth does not come from destroying assets.
Comparing Taiwan to Ukraine is an insult to freedom and democracy.
Technically Taiwan (Republic of China) and mainland (People's Republic of China) are still in war status. The Chinese civil war hasn't ended. There is no cease fire agreement since 1949, with one party on the mainland and the other on the island.
Very much so like North and South Korea.
@@bobreynolds4980 Yes, but after the Chinese Civil war, the REPUBLIC of China only had Taiwan island and some small islands, while North Korea 🇰🇵 and South Korea 🇰🇷 split the territory 50-50. There is no one side on the Korean peninsula and one side on Jeju Island
U.S. invaded Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, can bloggers predict which country the U.S. will invade next? ?
@flisnoo shaboo mao wanted to invade Taiwan but was impeded by US navy, the war never officially ends in this sense
@flisnoo shaboo You need to learn more about the history. Republic of China was built in mainland in 1912, and its government fled to the island of Taiwan after losing Chinese civil war in 1949.
i love how you highlighted the fact that conflict is not something good and is a nightmare ,so well said brother .
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
fact？are you sure?
th-cam.com/video/WtN6C9xfzFo/w-d-xo.html
th-cam.com/video/WtN6C9xfzFo/w-d-xo.html
I am a Taiwanese [I think No. 1. We in Taiwan did not launch armed attacks when the enemy leader’s troops violated the airspace and territorial waters [this allows us Taiwanese to live a stable life] and will not encounter them early War. 2. I have released a trailer for a movie: [Zero-Day Attack] to let more people understand the situation in the Taiwan Strait and what will happen in the future [possibly] 3. Even if we Taiwanese do not win, we have no way out or even no way out. Possible retreat]And we are telling people abroad a piece of news: our air defense identification [and infrared cameras on the ground] can clearly see [Chinese military aircraft] and we have similar videos.But thank you very much for explaining and answering this tense situation]
This guy went from "Russia won't invade Ukraine" to "China invades Taiwan" in a week
🤣🤣🤣🤣
Gotta get those view count
He will be wrong on both. 😂 😂 😂
misdirection tactic from insider info? who knows 😁
@@meocean5499 ,, of course,, he will get it wrong. .. the title are all click bait, ,, the content is the meat . and it's impossible to cover all possibilities and scenario's .
Seeing current situation happening in Ukraine. As a Taiwanese. Even just read the title makes me uncomfortable and terrified. I hope we don’t have to face the war. Thank you for making this video Johnny.
@Watcher progressive? Progressive?! Get your head checked.
@Watcher Ah, a month old new account praising Xi. Figures.
Sad to say but China will invade,
@Watcher the pooh bear pay u to say that?
@@lkjqwemnbzhfuth i praise xi since i am chinese and im sorry to tell you this but taiwan would be destroyed before lunch break XD
I am from Taiwan
Thank you for being so professional with your team for introducing Taiwan to China through the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and I hope that the war between Russia and Ukraine will end soon, and may there be peace in the world
There will never be peace in the world until the US forces retreat to its North American territories.
sorry for you but that war just doubled or tripled chances that china will invade formosa. now they are backing russia and buying their energy much cheaper than the rest of the world and soon russia will back china...
A true democracy in Taiwan would allow the people in Taiwan to vote for the future, including whether they want to reunite with PRC, change their official name from ROC to Taiwan, and whether they want to spend their people’s tax money buying outdated American weapons.
Hello Chinese province Taiwan
@@alexpug5162 hi west korean.
Taiwan, which calls itself the Republic of China, also controls areas such as Kinmen and Matsu, which are very close to the mainland. Why didn't the author talk about it? Both sides of the Taiwan Strait belong to the same China which is determined by history and law. The current Taiwan authorities are a local Chinese regime, and that is the truth.
The Communist bandits are external forces and are not part of the Chinese nation!共匪是外勢力， 不是中華民族的一部分！武统大陆方可天下太平！黄花岗2.0反共复民将来临！武統大陸方可天下太平！ 黃花崗2.0反共复民將來臨！Only by invading Mainland China can there be peace in the world. Yellow Flower Mound Uprising 2.0, Opposing Communist Autocracy and Reviving the Republic of China coming soon!
The terrifying thing is that Taiwan has diplomatic relationship with only 14 countries, and is not in most international organizations (including the UN), which makes any international assistance very tricky.
If usa ever got involved in a war on taiwan, it would mean massacres on taiwanese people, they would "accidentally" drone strike innocent civilians every week, just like every other country that they "saved", dont fall for the propoganda suggesting america is the worlds saviour, regardless of which way you view this issue
Depends on the scenario, attack on U.S forces automatically brings NATO into war.
Doesn’t matter if Taiwan is recognized internationally, as soon as the U.S enters the narrative changes
@Joscha Wexler Ukraine had Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances.
@Joscha Wexler
The US has no business creating a treaty with Taiwan as it does not have a legitimate government. Any such treaty should be abrogated. The only legitimate government in China is in Beijing. Make any and all treaties with them, not with anyone else.
@Joscha Wexler It's not really a defence pact though, US is just required to provide "assistance", whatever that means, and is deliberately left ambiguous.
There is an old saying that ‘no one does their best thinking standing on a rattlesnake’. Let’s hope that all parties think things through very, very carefully BEFORE taking actions which could have catastrophic consequences. As Johnny noted, once events begin, it is impossible to know where they will go.
Well said brother. As a Navy Veteran, i pray for peach and hope things does not escalate with China! And, i pray that the situation with Ukraine end sooner rather than later. As a Cambodian American, i pray and hope for peach around the world. War can never be the answer. GOB bless us all!!!
i don't want war to start nukes are scary and can end the world, i pray we don't go to war
I'll see y'all in fallout irl
You don't think when you stand on a rattlesnake, you do something, fast before it's too late.
@@sebastianliu2009 peach is fruit 🍑
India has a strict No First Use or Strike First policy. Unless provoked outright, India won't attack but it will certainly quadruple up its alertness in the Himalayan region and defend it with their lives. This much is guaranteed.
I love the foreign policy of India, minus its relation with its neighbors.
@@stewie__69 our neighbors are hostile towards us for some reason lol Nepal Lanka China Pakistan Myanmar like wtf we did bruh
@@stewie__69 Open wiki and check every wars India has fought till date and find me one where India has started or provoked first. What is it that you do not like about India's foreign policy? Is it wrong to defend ones sovreignity and self respect?
@@VikramHalderkonVict what about bullying Bangladesh and Nepal all the time? You want reference? Search Tista water crisis. And sri lanka hates the tamils not all of india.india is not like china .their a lot of ethnicities combined.for example a bengali from india is not that much harassed by sri lankans.
@@shakilasharmin935 The way this is worded sounds like Sri Lanka bullying Tamils doesn't matter much cuz they're just... Tamils after all. Tamils are Indians too and the union Government is so pathetic and slow to react to any Sri Lankan aggression against Tamils, which only pushes Tamils to be want to secede.
Lmao. “War is a nightmare” *proceeds to show animated cgi clips showcasing the coolness of us military with cool music* anything for that engagement huh?
You're a rare gem man, this is journalism, you and your team are informing the masses
My partner was working on the west coast of Taiwan last year and the year before, he saw a lot of military aircraft regularly. I'm scared to think what will happen if he is back there this year. My heart goes out to everyone affected by all of this in Taiwan, China, Ukraine, Russia and around the world
War might not liked but it’s the only thing that brings peace unfortunately. We’ve been without a war for 70 years and I don’t think people enjoy this time compared to how it was right after the war.
Really glad I found your channel, mate. American veteran, deep into geopolitical and macroeconomical research, and frankly it's hard to find like minded people to feel solidarity with.
As a South Korean freaking out because of recent events concerning with North Korea, I hope all Taiwanese people stay safe.
为什么你们总感觉中国大陆会先打，其实大陆在中国台湾宣布独立的时候，并且没有其他办法才会打军事只是最后一个手段。大陆人觉得一切正常，很多消息都是来自台湾媒体的假消息
worry about yourself
I hope all North Korean people stay safe.
A month ago, Johnny Harris made a video on Russia invading Ukraine. It became a reality. It chills me to think that the same could happen to China and Taiwan
It won't. We have military bases in Taiwan, we have many Asian allies in the area including South Korea and Japan, very strong nations . There's even more allies around and they know invading Taiwan will have us defend them . Ukraine is different. We didn't have any bases and they weren't apart of nato or anything and were a satellite state of ussr. China is weaker than Russia too.
The latter has yet to resume the civil war.
@@jordanspencer3602 We have many strong allies in Europe such as Britain, France, and Poland. We have military bases in Eastern Europe. Did any of this stop Russia?
@@squidjit83 Taiwan is a little different. It’s strategically more important. The SCS is very important to almost all of the world, and china having sole ownership of it would threaten world stability. Taiwan is the buffer, while Ukraine doesn’t have much strategic importance to most countries in the world. Everyone trades with Asia, so everyone needs the SCS to remain open and free.
@@jordanspencer3602 China is definitely not weaker than Russia.
As a Taiwanese, I am shivering watching this video.
I have never wanted to see a bloodshed on both sides of the strait.
I personally had lived in China for years.
And I actually quite like the place and people where I lived.
For me, Taiwanese and mainlanders are like brothers.
I think we both live just fine given the situation we are in now.
Why people just can’t let it be this way?
taiwan is better than china in every way. china wants to steal that.
@@rollingthunderinho and here's the answer why things are getting worse... ppl like you
it's the government mostly, not really the people as significantly
@@rollingthunderinho what a nuanced approach to complex relationships
@@cjaden The people support government 🤣
This is a nice way to take my mind off the Ukraine invasion for 20 minutes. Thanks.
Totally feel you man. Reading the Ukraine coverage is exhausting and anxious
Yah, thinking about the invasion of yet another country.... "nice."
Distract from a war with another war
Doesn't seem healthy
lol
@@Potz4pizza @ym j Exactly. I'm going crazy
As a Chinese, what I want to say is that China is weakening America's world hegemony through various means. In the Middle East and Ukraine. Taiwan is not an urgent issue to be solved. When China successfully rises and the United States is no longer strong, Taiwan will easily be placed in the right position.
Finally, your video is great and I have subscribed to you
What is the ‚right’ position?
China is collapsing in more ways than you can count, be it birth rate or economy. They have about 5 years to invade or they will never be able to, and China is simply not ready for a war against America. China’s rise ended 4 years ago.
But how long will China successful rise. Its rising slowly rn. Maybe in 25 years? 50years? Im asking because I want to live in China.
taiwan is a semiconductor hub so definitely large companies would pressure the USA to save it , and also fund the war
@@Li-lx5omwhen the Republic of China liberates Mainland China will it be truly successful.
Johnny I'm gonna be honest I think you missed a HUGE part of this equation: the economic ramifications. We can argue about who would win in a military confrontation between the US and China until hell freezes over, but the economic ramifications for China if they chose to invade Taiwan tomorrow would be DISASTROUS. I'm talking full-scale collapse of their entire economy. The reason? China relies on international trade for its economy to function. It is a manufacturing hub that produces goods for the entire world. And guess who their biggest trading partner is: THE UNITED STATES! China has an enormous trade surplus with the United States (meaning we buy more from them then they do from us). If that line of trade evaporated overnight, it would absolutely decimate the Chinese economy. It would also have a huge negative impact on the United States, but certainly not to the same extent as China. The negative economic ramifications of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan alone are enough for China to table the idea for the foreseeable future. There are efforts underway in China to wean itself off of its trade reliance on the US, but that will be a slow and tedious process. You can't overlook these kinds of factors and simply skip to the military side of things when this is such a huge part of even the initial decision to retake Taiwan.
Edit: Said deficit instead of surplus
Nowadays, the war on economy is less destructive but just as damaging.
I agree but I want to point out a similar arguments were used before WW2 to argue war would never happen. Then again international trade is much bigger then it was in the 30's.
China isn't as cheap as they used to be a lot of that manufacturing is moving to other countries. Apple is investing heavily in Vietnam and they're not the only country in the region booming.
@@ethanstine426 International commerce is more intertwined than ever. We literally depend on eachother for the world to function properly. Just look at Covid and we've already seen the impact.
I’ve always wondered that. The world can cut ties with Russia but we’re intertwined with China
Just so you know, the island of Okinawa (Japan) is in between mainland Japan and Taiwan has the most U.S. military stationed there.
I actually thought about that when he mentioned Guam, where is too far to help out Taiwan in the first place.
For all the shit America gets from us Europeans and others, democracy and the liberal international order would've long died if we Europeans were the ones upholding it by ourselves. Thank you, America.
Finally someone who tells the news the way it is... and NOT filtered for their audience
peter, this is not news. it's a prediction.
Its incredibly filtered mate
How is repeatedly saying “reunite” not filtered? He is repeating a false Chinese narrative. The fact is China has never had any control or legal claim to Taiwan. Yes they have strategic and egotistical reasons for claiming Taiwan, but there is no legal standing.
@@Kevin-kn6uq The people of Taiwan do not see the CCP as their leaders
literally the most biased piece of predictions ever created on the planet
What about the fact that no official ceasefire was reached and that Taiwan considers mainland China as part of its own version of China?
因为现在还在国民党和共产党的内战，台湾是中国的，只不过是中国自己的内政，你应该知道美国最近很火的内战电影吧
Taiwan is what Hong Kong was in before the 90s. US annexation of Hawaii was bad, but they do that to China it will be war
FYI The US gave Hawaii a Bayonette Constitution.
"I wish it need not have happened in my time,” said Frodo.
“So do I,” said Gandalf, “and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us.”
I'm getting tired of living through unprecedented times
As a Taiwanese, I can say that this is a super accurate video, and I can’t imagine how much effort you’ve put into the making of this! As always, thank you for your quality contents! Keep it up!
Not the part where the US came to the rescue.
Well, how about drones attack? Drones alone could take out the entire Taiwanese army.
From what I can see, Ukraine is equivalent to Anschluß before WWII. Taiwan would be like Hitler’s invasion of Poland.
@@dimelo3027 Lmao. You watched too many sci-fi movies!
Yeah as chinese, I hope to destroy Taiwan. I don't hate Taiwan itself, but USA is our enemy.
It's horrendous that normal people take the fall for what their government did. People by no means should suffer over that.
Agreed. I hate leaders
Yep, prepare for more attacks and hate and death by pretty much everyone, as if, Covid didn't incite enough of it
Revolution is the only way.
It’s the system which elects such a government to blame, such a system includes the voters who vote for such a government
Canada sailing through the Taiwanese strait like they're intimidating anyone 😂
I never found a channel, found a website or met a person that talked about the stuff I spend most of my days and years googling. Your videos are THE MOST intriguing content I’ve ever come across. I don’t know what you do or studied in college but I need to know lol.. you literally live the life I want to live 😂. I’m so into history, geography, etc. I love your channel so much !!!!
He studied journalism
a warning to heed: I agree he's a great and more notably intriguing source. Like any other news source, take this with a grain of salt. He's done some sketchier things in the past (first that comes to mind is in one of his videos promoting a economic policy with a slightly sketchy foundation to it) and due to lack of time to cover a story, can oversimplify which gets the wrong picture/missing details. I'd recommend looking at maybe the first 100 comments or so and see what any locals say about the situation(s) covered
@@jermm2183 I don't know why but I feel as if many of the first hand comments are bullshit and trolls who fake it due to how barebone it is. I very seldomly see true accounts of what actually happened
Yea buddy dope fr
Be careful, it's a political propaganda to instigate another war which benefits US.
I spent a month in Thailand with my Thai wife summer of 2019. My wife was translating the news for me as China was to invade Taiwan. We left early to head back to the States since I didn't want to be stuck overseas if war broke out. I flew with Eva airlines, a Taiwan airline, into Taipei for a quick layover then on to LAX. It was all over their news and Taiwan was praising Trump for sending 80 fighter jets to Taiwan which thwarted the invasion. When I got to the States 12 hours later, not a peep of this on American news sites. Not Fox, CNN,RT, MSNBC none of them.
@Insane Seafarer;
Hard to believe; but not at all surprised.
@@roadrules3671 my close friends aunt lives in taiwan. The mainland chinese are actually pressuring the inhabitants of taiwan. And yes impending invasion is being spread in the island and people are prepping for incoming war. While her aunt has since fled taiwan and just arrived in canada last month. Her aunt said that she attended a community meeting prepping for first aid and relief goods and also mini drills. Though she had to move out because she's already 75 and her children are worried sick.
Then it wasn't true. My actual guess is Trump would have allowed China to simply take Taiwan. Same as with Ukraine and Russia.
@@hudhinton1880 It wasn't true? Haha where were you in August of 2019? Watching CNN?
@@hudhinton1880 Then you are speaking entirely out of your ass. Trump had American troops training Ukranian forces EVERY year of his administration. Over 1.5 billion in military aid was sent to the Ukraine during his administration. What you are obsessed about is a two week halt in aid to investigate corruption in the Ukrainian government, to make sure our aid was being used to build up Ukrainian defenses and not being diverted into bribes to Hunter Biden, that Joe Biden forced the Ukranians to pay under Obama. HINT: A two week pause in aid in FOUR YEARS is not "betraying Ukraine". In fact, Leftists have always whined about US aid being diverted by corruption- everywhere EXCEPT Ukraine. Probably because in the Ukraine, it was Joe Biden, one of their own, gettting the US Aid diverted. The outrage over Trump demanding an investigation is entirely hypocritical BS, posing and lies done by people who've spent years actually enriching themselves off the corruption, and gullible leftists like you fell for it utterly.
Hi Johhny, I know only you will appreciate this comment. The scene at 3:37 with the paper chart is shot and animated to perfection and I just wanted you to know that it's awesome. Really really good job on that!!
Very cool scene indeed
LOL this guy have no idea what he is talking about. China is way stronger than the Russia, if US is not going to war with Russia over Ukraine. What makes you think US will go to war against China for Taiwan?? A worthless Island at this point.
U.S. invaded Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, can bloggers predict which country the U.S. will invade next? ?
Very good and informative video Johnny. Keep up the good work
It’s F^κε Ν3ω5
search on ur trusted google and it tells u Taiwan isn’t an independent country
The scariest thing about Ukraine is the fact that if NATO, UN, and the US does not react, China will have no reason NOT to invade Taiwan.
That's not true, Ukraine was not part of NATO, hence NATO not intervening militarily in the Russian occupation. Taiwan on the other hand has been assured of its protection by the US, with Biden saying they will protect Taiwan. Therefore it would probably lead to a Nuclear war if China invaded Taiwan which is not going to happen with Russia as it invades Ukraine.
Chinas reasons for not invading Taiwan are the same reason zero persons were killed during the Hong Kong protest. That is. Escalating violence in reality doesn’t actually help to pacify and win over the population
@@levelazn lmao you really believe that nobody died in Hong Kong?
@@kanyirichege4352 How do the US protect Taiwan? By using their a$$es?
@@noahgreene7246 it’s reported by Hong Kong’s own media.
My Taiwanese parents always say that China doesn't even need an army, if everyone in China spits it's enough to drown Taiwan.
The scary thing for me wasn't just the fighter jets, its the fact that so many Chinese young people I've seen are so hostile towards Taiwan and it's not going away
Have you ever thought that the hostiles are both ways? Actually, at least according to my experience knowing all the people around me, China (mainland) was much more friendly to Taiwan than Taiwan to China. Everything got worse after Tsai tore up 1992 Consensus.
Chinese was taught Taiwan is a beautiful place and the people is nice when they were young.
@@xiaomingjohn8761 Exactly. "Taiwan is a beautiful place and the people is nice" is not wrong, kids are still taught the same in today's school too, and that we're the same people, having the same origins. But what they are not taught in school is all the hatred that Taiwanese have towards Chinese. Taiwan's education however is more on the opposite side.
@@tianqiyu415 I think we're talking about different things. People in Taiwan learn about Chinese culture in school, and I grew up loving Chinese culture. But we do not agree with the government, and the freedom to raise voice and disagree with our own government is very important to many of us. And you can't deny the fact that mere mentions of Taiwan internationally by public figures and brands lead to scandals, boycott, and backlash. If that's not the definition of hostility I don't know what is.
@@tianqiyu415 on an international stage, China has been INCREDIBLY hostile towards Taiwan. Actively attacking anyone (NBA, John Cena lol) who even addresses Taiwan directly. Not to mention the constant airspace violation mentioned in this video. Being constantly exposed to that, some Taiwanese citizens may become hostile even towards just average Chinese citizens. Though that is a small subset of the people. The shared language, heritage, and in some cases family means that many citizens can actually get along fine politics aside. But let's be real, Taiwan is at risk of being invaded by China, not the other way around. So what do you say to that?
Keeping every thing aside the quality of content and video are just out of earth . This is next level of content presenation . Hats off to you and your team behind production
This guy is the reason the worlds fked up. Select talking to sell his fked up narrative
No you're wrong.
th-cam.com/video/hanpeEJf9ik/w-d-xo.html
He is probably back and funded by the CIA
@@jjc4232 You literally commented this like 20 times under all his videos... We can clearly see the only person here backed by any goverment is you literally as bot commenting the same stuff over and over again even tho you just visibly showing yourself as bot... pathetic
Bro, the fact you put all your sources for the world to see at the end of the videos fucking A! 😎💯
I feel like we’re not far off from this situation becoming a reality…
That’s because you are consuming western propaganda. Goto Taiwan and people have been living with this for 60 years, no one seriously thinks China will invade. Neither do the Chinese themselves. War is a last resort. Diplomatic solution is always the preferred option. 25 percent of Taiwanese works for mainland China businesses. There won’t be a war unless United States creates one
@@levelazn
That sounds a lot like the rhetoric that was being spewed about Russia not invading Ukraine, and look how that turned out.
@@ireckon7351 True but considering how foreign wars almost always turn out for China I truly doubt they will, I think it's already a really huge risk invading Ukraine, China won't do something similar (probably unless Taiwan declares independence which they themselves know would be suicide) and not this year anyway
Yeah. Like Ukraine and Russia, so many people and media claims Russia wouldn't invade but they're so wrong
@E.W. Hans and there's too much for them to lose too, which based on their military spendings they definitely will lose if America gets involved
I will tell you guys one thing. Ukraine and Taiwan is not the same in terms of battlefield. Taiwan is mountainous whereas Ukraine is mostly flat. Taiwan is also an island so China needs to do an amphibious assault and it is safe to say that a full on assault on Taiwan will be much much more costly and challenging than D-Day. The Chinese government cant risk to lose the assault either because if they do, their imagine will be greatly tarnished and it may even end their government.
Make video What hapend if India invade Bangladesh?
@@chemicalreactionbd9568 Bangladesh was created by the support of India so why would india invade bangladesh..
yep, invading ukraine are far more easier than invading taiwan. And before russia invade ukraine they need to prepare a month to build their army near ukraineborder. And also those military build up are very hard to cover up especially in dense urban region like china.
@@Fauzanarief-n7i invading Ukraine is much easier than invading Taiwan*
While it is true, but sometimes wrong decision are being made. Maybe someone high-up believing China is strong enough to take on the whole world, and though everything could be done in a week. The next thing we know, people are send to die for nothing.
I think you should have mentioned why Taiwan is so important. Most of the worlds computer chips are made there and control over Taiwan also means control over vital shipping routes. Overall China would get an immense power and control not only in the region, but the whole world. US probably couldn’t afford to ignore this.
Oh exactly facts. They’re wanting to protect the semiconductor chips.
in Australia's 60 minutes the scenario was floated that US will blow those Computer Chip Factories themselves so China does not get them
Not just chips, but they're a leader in producing the world's high end chips. Not the ones that set your thermostat.
Production line can be relocated to somewhere else, the so called "semiconductor shield" does not actually exist
the truth is, we people in TW have to consociate to fight back and protect our homeland
as long as we can be brave and determined like those Ukrainian people, we can still have some hope
Exactly, it is also why the US is intervening, not to be the good guys or anything, but to make sur TSMC doesn't fall into chinese hands.
If China has control over production of Computer chips, it could means that american companies and smart weapons manufacturers won't get any more chips, which would give China a technological, economical and military advantage
I live in Taiwan
And the ROC Government keeps taunting China passive aggressively
Im pretty scared :(
Very well analysed. But in terms of China, it is very unlikely they will start a war, but as per your assumption sanctions against Taiwan would be the most likely direction.
War is very unpredictable and once the cat is out of the bag, you just can’t stop it.
Unlike Ukraine, the West can't let Taiwan go without some sort of a fight, direct or indirectly. 75% of the world's semi-conductors and chips come from there. Of which, many Western powers use in their defense industries.
China sees Taiwan as a huge security risk, which of course it is
And it would be a very big cat indeed.
You can't pretend being able to understand the mind of a dictator, nobody can! Just watch what Putin did. UNLIKELY?! What does it even mean to a person intoxicated in power who thinks he might be a god, he can do whatever he like to do?
China uses soft power, not hard power like Russia. China relies more on trade as their method of control over time, while Russia uses hard and direct methods. I do agree that a direct war with Taiwan is unlikely but definitely still possible in future.
I’m currently focusing on EU - Taiwan relations for my masters and the potential Chinese takeover is something that’s constantly in the back of everyones mind whenever discussing Taiwan. I think the Ukraine situation will be an important case study for China. China’s economy is extremely important for the communist party’s legitimacy. How long lasting the foreign sanctions on Russia are and how they impact the countries economy over time could be a very strong deterrent for the potential invasion of Taiwan. If however the west capitulates to Russia after short period because its an important gas and oil supplier then China may see an invasion of Taiwan as being worth the risk.
You also forgot that china holds usa eu and australia for balls,because of debt diplomacy.USA EU and Australias economies are dependent from China.Nobody wants to accept that after this show in Ukrainr entire wolrd will become chineese slave.China has studied and waited for this moment for 100 years.They want revenge for boxer revolution when russia usa uk france austrohingary italy germany and japan attacked china.Russian crippled economy will cuase theire dependence from china And now china will attack taiwan amd force usa for ground invasion,for which usa isnt ready.Russian army is a defensive one,thats why they are doing bad in ukraine,usa army is offensive one that is why they will loose against china,especially when they start coubter ground invasion
I think you are right there. China isn't dumb. They wait and watch and learn. If Russia gets out of this with minimal damage then China would deem it a risk worth taking. Especially because it's easier for us to sanction Russia than China. And China knows how important they are for the global trade.
@@TheSilverwing999 china will attack taiwan and force use for ground assault
@@ChoongaLoonga china just celebrated 72nd birthday, it’s hard to wait for a moment for 100 yrs in this case.
@@wtam bixer rebellion was in 1900
We need a video on why the US always interferes with every other country’s geopolitics.
It's simple, when you have something to pay them back under negotiation, they will interfere
for profit, Even this video brought him huge income, all for the money
It is clear why US wants relations with Ukraine or Taiwan. They want to keep an eye on Russia and China and this obviously doesn’t go well with Russians and Chinese. In my opinion their interference is what threatens Russia and China. Not blaming the US here, but cannot always be a coincidence.
What other reason could China have to invade Taiwan? US had had a long standing policy to provide politics and military support for Taiwan.
This comment( Kushagra Gupta's comment) needs to have more likes!
And yes,there should be a video made about that. But a VERY unbiased video 😊
10:20 he's showing it to us like definitely we can read it ourselves 😂😂😂
Thank you for bringing this up at this time. Been concerned about this situation for months, and the political ideologies behind what is happening in Ukraine cannot be a virus we allow to affect the growing populism and nationalism we see globally.
@@llkk290 not so cool,cool.
Taiwan isn't internationally recognised as an independent sovereign nation. That will be an issue if China does use force as the law isn't necessarily being broken.
The law didn’t keep us out of our last war
@@100KillingDays yes, they both belong under the leadership of the Kuomintang
That is correct, Legally Taiwan belongs to China, the only one being a bully and not following internacional law is the US, if the US goes to war over Taiwan it would be ilegal. But the US doesn't care and the UN won't dare sanction the US, but also, no one would dare anger China over an ilegal war. It will be the US vs Russia and China, IF they actually go to war, my guess is that China will build enough nuclear weapons to make the US think twice.
@@100KillingDays That´s like saying that Uruguay is just a province of Argentina, just cause it´s smaller and we share the same begginings. They are separated territories, the only reason why they are not an independent country is out of fear of China. It´s a forced situation more comparable to slavery wishes from a big nation to a smaller one. Taiwan does not want mainland goverment with their undemocratic one party sistem to rule them. If China want to be the world´s biggest recognized power and the people of Taiwan being more fond of them, the best thing they could do is giving their people the power and become finally a country worthy of the times we are living in. The chinese goverment has a structure meant for the past that doesn´t make sense in this age.
@@felipevlllll For a person who does not understand Chinese history, self-assessment can only show his ignorance
"I really hope that we are past needing to resort to this version of conflict to settle our disputes at this time in our history". I totally echo your view on this. We need a lot of wisdom and patience in finding a peaceful solution to the situation. We have a lot to learn from the Russian/Ukraine conflict that is going on right now. I believe this conflict could have been prevented.
You’re making a typical mistake here!!!
Putin has already made up his mind, he wants to recreate the great Russian Empire-hence he has to take all the countries that used to be in it!! No talking in the world will change that!!
Same goes for China, Xi Jinping has already made up his mind-Xi wants to expand in all directions, he will take Taiwan and he won’t stop there, Xi and the Chinese Communist Party want to dominate and govern the world (these remarks are even written down in their constitution!!) So beware of China (not the people but the government) THEY WILL BE THE CAUSE OF WWIII !!!!!!!
Seems all these governments would rather infiltrate-destroy-& rebuild.
@@timothymcgee871 I disagree with you here. Russia was all obliging to the west and did nothing wrong up to 2007. In fact, Russia showed a desire to be a member of NATO too in Putin's early years. He wanted to "hang out" with the west but was rejected. In the meantime NATO expanded to the west against its promise not to do so. Ukraine seems the last straw. Check this video out for some facts: th-cam.com/video/8X7Ng75e5gQ/w-d-xo.html
@@timothymcgee871 They will not if US back off and mind it's own business.
@@rockycheny5437 Russia was welcomed by the West into the elite G8 way back in 1997 despite not actually deserving to be in it, so it is in fact the West that is actually obliging and accommodating toward Russia; it was basically one giant affirmative action for a country. Also, NATO never promised not to enlarge; Gorbachev himself said so, and so do the actual records pertaining to the matter. And in any case, if your neighbors, one after another, literally beg a country thousands of miles away for protection, you might want to take a hard look at yourself and ask why and be honest with the answer.
Actually Taiwanese will give it up at least 1 month early when they heard the Chinese government officially announced that the operation to liberate Taiwan will officially begin.
Can’t be more timely to discuss this pending on the current situation in Ukraine. Thank you Johnny for reporting this!
what happened if the US invaded Syria
what happened if the US invaded Iran
what happened if the US invaded Afganistan
its never about right or wrong.when America bombed other countries or even stole land from other people. who really give a fuking care about it
You’ve built yourself as someone who people can go to for a credible, non bias take on big global topics. You’re doing so much good for the world, I give you my humble thanks.
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣so much good for the world? he is making videos about speculation
@@vb9950 well, everything that didnt happen yet are all speculations arent they? atleast his videos are backed by supporting infos and are indeed helpful to prepare us of the possible outcomes of these conflicts.
watch?v=WtN6C9xfzFo
@@vb9950 do you remember that people are supposed to plan for the future? he also even states full out war is unlikely
long response ahead:
informed speculations are
used to plan actions and policies. for my school for example, they hired people to speculate the population growth for my town, and school which has been within 10 people off for the school recent population boom, over a decade ago. because of that, the school planned expansions accordingly. development of cities or towns, new policies, military actions, everything is decided through speculation that they will improve things.researched speculations about the future are used as info on what is needed and we take action by doing something we _hope_ will improve things
Except that time he made a propaganda video and didn't disclose it, then when called out insisted making a sponsored video for a political organisation without disclosing it's sponsored is ok, when he's further called out on that (including the fact he obtained pre-release copy of a book) he decided to shift the conversation to "well why aren't we discussing the contents of my video?" - clearly because he doesn't want to discuss undisclosed sponsorhsips : th-cam.com/video/Dum0bqWfiGw/w-d-xo.html😅
I trust him for inconsequential videos about mcdonalds ice cream machines and American breakfasts, but little else without a huge grain of salt.
Hey! Johnny, it’s my first time watching your video. I‘m from Taiwan. A TH-camr who named Uncle Topher pointed out that you conveyed the wrong message in the video. I think you have to confirm it clearly if you want to make this kinda video.
I am a Chinese...I have friends in Taiwan, and I hope this would not happen as no one want war. As difficult it is to live now under the Covid situation, we shouldn't risk anyone's lives on this. I believe there are better ways to handle these kind of conflicts.
You're wrong some people do want war I don't know why people always say that not everyone is a good person some are freaking evil smh
@@ALUCARDTWILLIGHT especially the Americans
Just want to say that you covered this very well and even tried to show people that there is a chance for things to go well. Even though there’s also a possibility it might go sideways you talked positively about this and also covered ways this could go, I love your energy and you seem like an awesome and smart guy. Thank you for this and have a nice day
His video shows that he knows nothing of other countries' history
As a Chinese, I can only say that there is no need for the world and us to start a war that neither of us can win for political reasons😞
As a US citizen, I agree 😞. God help us all!
The people who don't fight are just staring in the sidelines, knowing very well that they won't gain anything from the war
As a Taiwanese, i totally agree with you. May the world peace.
What is winning?
Tell that to ur president.
I am a mainlander Chinese, and I am 40 years old. I have something to say. We were taught that Taiwan is part of China in the school, but they didn't really tell us what happened in the past 100 years, and how Taiwan was separate from us. As we grew up, and started to gather information from different sources including TH-cam :), we started to understand what happened. Taiwan of course is part of China, no matter it is Communist China or Democrats China (lets call it this way) managing this land, Taiwan Island belongs to Chinese, this race of people who have been living on this planet for 5000 years. Vice versa, for those Taiwan residents, you all should know that the mainland is your land too. Just because you are not allowed to come here freely, doesn't mean that you should forget your origin. For those who don't really understand China and Taiwan, you can take South Korea and North Korea to help you understand. They used be one nation, and are supposed to be one nation as always (as a Chinese, I still hope to see the day that the Korean Peninsula will be united). Because of geopolitical conflicts including the best interests of Soviets, Chinese and Americans, they were torn apart and became two nations being run by two different parties -both are widely acknowledged including by UN. China and Taiwan is basically the same thing, the only difference is that in China the communists won the civil war. Kuoming Tang (democrats party) lost the war and they had to evacuate to Taiwan island with the Americans' help. With the soviets help, and as being one of the largest countries with its largest population, communist China won the acceptance in UN and acknowledgement by the international community while the managing parties in Taiwan never got acknowledged.
As a Chinese, I hope to see the country land's unification one day, but I don't wanna see it done by war. If it would have to take a war to unify the country, I'd rather see Taiwan separate from mainland forever.
The Communist bandits are a foreign power, not part of the Chinese race. 支那共匪是外势力，不是中华民族的一部分。If CPC is a foreign power, it cannot be a civil war.如果中共是外國勢力，那就不可能是內戰。
你这小作文没人欣赏😂😂😂