Kickers are taking over the NFL.
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 18 ก.ย. 2024
- Take the guesswork out of buying tickets with Gametime. Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code BRETTK for $20 off your first purchase. Last minute tickets. What time is it? Gametime. Terms apply.
Here is the link to the Philly Special hoodie I was wearing in this episode. More new designs to come soon! -- brettkollmann....
Here is a link to our podcast channel, where we have hour long team previews for every single team to get you ready for the season! -- / @bootlegfootball
My Public Discord link -- / discord
Instagram: @brett_kollmann
Threads: @brettkollmann
Twitter: @BrettKollmann
TikTok: @brettkollmann
BFP on Apple: podcasts.apple...
BFP on Spotify: open.spotify.c...
BFP on Stitcher: www.stitcher.c...
![PURPEECH - นี่ฉันเองคนที่... (It's me) [Official MV]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/NuhHd0hOOg8/mqdefault.jpg)
Take the guesswork out of buying tickets with Gametime. Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code BRETTK for $20 off your first purchase. Last minute tickets. What time is it? Gametime. Terms apply.
If Brandon Aubrey gets hurt, there might be pitchforks at your door Brett
Im tracking him down because aubrey is my fantasy mvp
Lmao
He is single handily carrying not 1 but 2 of my 2 fantasy teams. I’ll hunt you down Brett
Good thing Dallas is screwed with or without him lol
im so ready for some trash team in like week 15 vs the 9ers to whip out the craziest quadruple reverse kickoff idea known to man
noooo not the 9ers that team has suffered enough lol
The 49ers week 15 team is the Rams and yeah no for sure McVay would do some shit like that
Tubfrog?!
If belichick was still our coach it would be him 100 percent
TUBFROG APPEARANCE
Justin Tucker is the only kicker in the league that's missed a 50 yard kick this season nfl kickers are 34/36 on 50+ yard kicks
our goats washed 💔💔💔💔
Not quite true. Matt Gay also missed a 50 yarder because he sucks
@themadman8185 I'm gay and I also suck, but they're not giving me a NFL contract for it.
@@calebkimmel372 That's crazy 😭😭😭
@@calebkimmel372🙄🙄
Wow. Another gay person whose whole identity is "I'm gay now pay attention to me"
Soccer player here, Brandon Aubrey is probably the most talented soccer player that's ever converted to playing kicker in the NFL. It's no surprise that he's leading the way on this sort of innovation because these kicks are a lot closer to what soccer players practice doing. I'm excited to see what else he cooks up with more and more practice time
Soccer player here. It has nothing to do with soccer lol. It's just ability
By actually making special teams have to design “plays” in order to increase their chances of scoring on any given kickoff, it adds a whole new dimension to the game that just makes it that more exciting to watch and study. it’ll open the door for more players to make plays and just give us a more exciting product while also limiting injuries. well that’s my take on it anyways😅
This is why I don't think the current rules go far enough. I think it could use just a tad more flexibility when it comes to where players line up because unfortunately, these plays are still largely, as a whole, forgettable. That and starting at the 30 is not punishing enough for the kicking team. Make it the 35.
Get this goofy sh off my lawn
@@Nichrysaliswhy not just at the 50 then if you just wanna give teams shorter and shorter fields to work with we might score 50+ a game that wouldn’t be good at all
😂😂😂😂
You think they werent designing plays before? My goodness you dont have a clue
Good shit. Going from 27% to 30% is not 3%, it is an 11% increase. Drives ending in a FGA going from 14% to 21% is a 50% increase. That's insane.
While this is mathematically true it isn’t how most people are going to hear it.
"technically ☝🏼🤓"
@@ItsArmAvi stay uneducated
@@ItsArmAvi idiocracy
@@ZachHenke Brett should be smarter than this creating content on why 10 yards are so important. This is 3rd grade maffs.
60 yard fgs are about to be so normalized that kickers are going to lose jobs if they can’t kick that far even if they are accurate
As a Vikings fan, I'd still take accuracy.
@@Angrynood im sure the bills would too
Kaimi Fairbairn has been carrying my fantasy team so far
Me too, they have made this poor man hit 3 fifty yarders per game and I am overjoyed about that.
The Texans just did the "every kickoff is a touchback" play to the Bears, mostly because they then threw everything at the Bears' porous O-line and were stuffing them all game.
Well, if an offense is bad, especially on the line there's no incentive to play ball on this because it probably doesn't matter if it's on the thirty for most drives at the start.
Crazy part of it is tucker is falling off.
he came into the game 7-8 years too early i fear
He's still good from under 50. Not as good as he once was, but as good as he ever was once.
Having a wily veteran kicker is weird but I like that for him.
*And* the Steelers & Commanders have wins due strictly to this.
He'll probably get back to form. But he's definitely not the best kicker anymore that mantle has clearly been passed off at this point.
An improvement overall. Another great video Brett!
Also, Sam Darnold - America's Quarterback
Sam "I look like a Lego police officer" Darnold
Very interesting to hear the strategies behind this, it'll be interesting to see what become the most dominant strategies, might need a follow up video at the end of the season
damn another normal hour upload!!
Alien take over the body
@@Speedster___😂
Being one of the first few people who’ve witnessed this kickoff live (XFL 2020 week 1), I’ve always been a massive fan of this kickoff and I never would’ve thought that the nfl would actually do it, but here we are!
Kickers are only dominant when they’re playing the Bears. this is a scientific fact.
Aubrey is getting the chance at a 70 yd field goal this season
Hell yeah I've wanted to see some special teams film content for a while now. Thanks Brett!
the guy who didnt know when the bears drafted a guy would instantly be a top 3 punter in the league maybe came around on his mistakes finally.
I would expect him to be top 3 they do give him a lot of experience 😂
Not as big of a flex as you think it is
This kickoff would be be even more perfect if touchbacks went to the 40 instead of the 30. The return rate would be insane and essentially every kicker will have to adapt
💯
I personally think that goes too far in the other direction of disincentivizing touchbacks. Remember that the whole point of the change was to increase safety while making the kickoff more exciting, but at a certain point having too many returns reintroduces unnecessary injury risk and reduces variety in the play. A touchback is okay every now and then lol
@@ryanmahrenholz3944so what you are saying is we need to also start limiting plays on offense and defence because the more they play the more they are gonna get hurt.
Well, its time to get the cheerleaders involved. Maybe if they outcheer the other team you get to advance the ball 10 yards?
@@donsolos “I like pancakes”
“So you hate waffles?” 🤡🤡🤡
I’m merely talking about the leagues motivations for changing the kickoff doofus. I personally want the physicality back too so go stand on your soapbox elsewhere while the rest of us live in reality.
@@ryanmahrenholz3944 I don't think that's a bad argument however that's where the strategy comes into play of trying to squib it on the landing zone before having it go in the endzone. Many people are predicting that sometime next year it's gonna go back to the old kickoff in it's return rate, cause 30 yards isn't even all that punishing and it doesn't take much effort - just launch it as as far as you can.
Fairburn for the Texans has been carrying my fantasy team 😂
5:30 FtF in the background. I saw you in the comment section recently.
Only Brett would run touchback VT.
Love it.
St. Louis Battlehawks film in a Brett Kollmann video, what universe am I in?
Brett, going to video time stamp 8:18 - you could get yourself a kicker like Chris Boswell who successfully kicked three FGs from outside of 50 yards. Pittsburgh beat Atlanta in week 1 on the leg of Boswell and the pass rush of TJ Watt.
And running the ball and dominating time of possession and keeping the defense off the field, ect
My reaction to the first minute of this video is:
"Cool. Kickoffs are just run plays that cover the width of the field... Wait, does this mean that return blockers are going to be ear-holing trap gunners with a full head of steam from literally across the width of the field? Oh. I don't think this new kickoff is going to last very long."
1:20 TURN AROUND AND BLOCK FOR ME DAMNIT
Issac Punts will love this
truly a game of inches. great vid!
Ngl: I thought this vid was going to be about the Steelers and how their special teams was effectively their offense for Week 1 but your vid was still very good and I'm looking forward to seeing how much more interesting kickoffs are going to get this season!
This is moneyball. Field goals for life
I like the idea of combining the cowboys and jags kickers ideas, aiming to one side of the field and forcing the returner to chase it but also knuckleballing it to make it hard to track. Because of that unpredictable ball path you may end up with more instances of the returner misjudging it and it rolling into the end zone for the 20 yd line touchback, or at least creating a delay in the return to give your guys more time to get there.
Feeling blessed to see a Battlehawks highlight in one of these.
Regarding Kickoffs, I'd like touchback to give possessions on the 40yds line, so this will push teams to return those (and avoid situations where you have 8 touchbacks in the game, and no returns).
You the Man Brett!
They made the kickoff return better but they made onside kicks almost impossible. I would love to see a video that explains how they made the onside kick almost impossible now and potential fixes that actually give teams a chance to recover them
The Browns want their money back hahahahahaha
Took some time to get used to, but it's so much better. I feel like there would be 1-2 returns a game max previously, now it seems like there are 4-5 each week. It's an actual play now, and anything that makes kickers more valuable is fine by me lol
Good on you for mentioning reverses on kickoffs, that’s how Antonio Brown got his very first “big” play in the NFL.
I’m glad these rules have made the special teams element of football matter more again
Thank you for this video! I also love the new kickoffs!
You have to go on Underdog’s Heed the Call and talk about this with Connor, Marc, and Dan.
Excellent breakdown
Well done NFL. Something that is safer, takes more strategy, more skill and is funner to watch.
This is the first video I've seen Brett look healthy in, in a long time.
I thought this video would be about how the 50 yard fg has become seemingly automatic for nfl kickers and 60+ yarders are more and more common
Hi Brett
It’s going to be interesting to see how NFL teams adapt their fourth-down decision making to adjust for these kickoffs. Between a higher likelihood of big returns and the offense getting an extra 5 yards on touchbacks, it significantly increases the opposing offense’s chance of going down field and scoring 3 (or 7) - thus devaluing the 3 points that you get from a field goal. We just saw teams make some interesting calls to go for it on fourth down in the red zone early in games this past weekend, I think we might see that trend continue outside of game situations where teams need to take their 3 points.
Only if scoring somehow went up 20% or more. We might see a 5% bump
I was cautiously optimistic about the "dynamic kickoff"(corny) coming into the season - I'm legitimately excited about the outlook now after the first two weeks. The returns are really mixing up the starting field position, which I think is getting lost in all the "big return potential" talk. If a returner comes out with the ball, there's just as good of a chance that they're getting tackled 5+yds short of the 30 as there is of them getting to the 30, but we're also seeing returns that make it out 5, 10, 15 yards past the 30 too, so it's really mixing things up again. Lets just get that touchback changed from the 30 to the 35 next season like was originally proposed, and I think it'll be pretty solid.
IsaacPunts is living his best life right now.
@IssacPunts is definitely gonna love this video
AGREED how you ended this. I absolutely love the new kickoff. I hear constantly how people hate it on X and it's annoying, why? It's so much more fun than before. It really makes 3 phases of the game again.
If there's a three percent more scoring drives starting at the 30, assuming half are FGs and half are TDs, the risk a team takes by bouncing a kick inside the 20 is that the runback results in a FG or TD either within the play or resulting from a drive with much better field position. If this happens more than one out 6.5 times they try it, it's a losing strategy (again assuming equal numbers FGs and TDs). I think the end of the season will prove that it happens far more often than that because once in a while you get a great kick like the example but usually it will go out the sideline or be run back for good field position or a score. Soon everything will be driven through the back of the endzone and this becomes just another time waster. Maybe I'm wrong, we'll see.
Honestly I think the solution is to just get rid of touchbacks.
Make it so that if the ball lands in the end zone, you redo the kick.
That way they HAVE to kick a returnable ball.
If they wanted more run-outs, they should have made the TB be at the 25, where most special teams players would think "I can do better than _that!" Also, remove announcing you're making an on-side kick. That is stupid.
Reverses worked! Shows one of the hella limited times reverses actually worked in the XFL lol
Alright now i have to stop making fun of the new dynamic kickoff
Fantastic video!
Teams playing my team should ALWAYS kick into the landing zone because that 100% guarantees a holding or block in the back penalty. 100%.
Great video!!!
Bears special teams, defense, and offensive fire power is solid as hell! If only they had an average offensive line like they thought they had on paper before the season started 😢
The problem with the new kick return isn't going to be the difference in touch back starting position affecting decisions, it's also compared to avg returned kick starting positions. Yes the coffin corner kick was great but an oblong shape bouncing right right way on you is not a high bet, especially as weather gets worse.
The real math is if kicks that are returned are on avg getting out beyond the 20, which hint they are, then at which avg return mark between 20 and 30 does the avoidance of the game turning play just always make sense over giving up an extra 1 -3 yards of starting position. Teams will try stuff this year sure, but as soon as too many big returns happen or even normal returns get too good we are right back where we were before. Only way you change it is by making all touch backs go out to a spot that nearly no normal return gets too like the 40 or 45, which is a massive competitive balance issue in its own right.
Why is it a competitive issue? If you don't want it to go to the 40, special teams coordinators should tell the kickers not to do touchbacks
madden once again setting the meta for the NFL , what a time to be alive
Edit: for those wondering the cheat motion that Mia does people in madden where doing it forever
This was a really good video, nice job
Now we only need a way to get the surprise onside kick back 😢
Heyyyy, you got Chis Broussard to cameo on your show! Big time now.
Brandon Aubrey is incredible
Can we get a saints offense breakdown? We haven’t had a video about us in like 4 years 🙏
Idk it feels like the status quo in the NFL is to just do whatever reduces variance the most, even if it’s not the “best” decision. Pretty sure most teams will default to kicking it out of the end zone because there is 0 chance that that ball gets returned for a TD.
Yes, you can break down the stats and find out that doing that is not the ideal play, but it does in fact reduce variance on the play to 0. And that’s what matters most to NFL coaches.
Unless you have a good special teams or your opponent is terrible at it
The UFL warned us!
This was a really good video 🙂
The nfl really needs a test server for these changes before shifting the meta so much.
The Devin Hester nerf has been lifted. He would destroy in this era
That average yard thing doesnt work I feel like youd have to look at the distribution and median. Because a lot of scoring drives + a lot of 3 and outs will look like an average of 30 or so yards.
first things first on in the background lol
I think you're totally wrong about this. They are going to change this rule next season. They will move the kicker back probably, but I'd kick it to the endzone every time. I'd rather you get 3% more scoring drives (which will likely be FGs) then for you to get big returns which score or lead to TDs. Besides, I'm even average returns will be past the 30 yd line by the end of the year.
Shoutout to thumbnail testing
I think you have to compare epa from a landing zone kick vs epa from a kick in the endzone for an apples to apples comparison. Id be curious if once you account for returns in the landing zone if the epa is better for endzone kicks
Question, does the average drive length include shorter fields and end of half/game scenarios where the clock could end the drive? I wonder what the difference is if we only look at drives that start off kickoffs/punts that put the offense at the 30 or further
It's one of the things we lost movinh away from rugby to football. Kicking is hugely valued in rugby but traditionally undervalued in football
How is kicking undervalued in the NFL? Special teams is a critical part of football
Steelers(/raiders) math is different: do i have TJ(/Maxx) on the field.. no? Then boot it out the back
Seeing First Things First in the background was distracting lol
Yeah, screw those kickers Brett, put the curse on them, we need TDs!!!!!
Bro just cursed every kicker in the league
man I know it was called back but u shouldve shown ekeler housing it
Nah Brett, let's talk about how despite all this, the Saints are busting a$$...
Moody ftw
How does the NFL go from the mega pass QB-led league back to "the forward pass is fancy garbage" and rushing/kicking wins games, in like one offseason?
It's been a solid 3/4 years at least. The pendulum always swings back around
An NFL rule change that worked? Dang, never though I'd see the day.
I think they're still going to have to change the starting position to the 35 instead of the 30.
In your research, did you see if there was a difference in not just scoring drive %, but also the number of points per possession scored on those drives? I would assume (but with no data to back this up), that the closer to the end zone a drive starts, not only are the drives more likely to score, but the likelihood of those scored being TDs also increases. Now, it's also reasonable for an armchair analyst to argue that there is a critical starting point needed to dramatically increase the TD%, so perhaps PPP is not as radically changed relative to scoring %, but it would be an interesting factoid to know. Aaaaaand I'm too lazy to figure out where the heck I'd find that data, so... I'm out.
What do you think of the loss of the onside kick? So far I've seen very little excitement in the kickoff and I fear it'll just be touchback once analytics gets going on the risk v reward. But the lack of option for onside kick seems to really hurt the "oh snap, we have one more chance" sort of thing for some games.
Yeah, they should just let the receiving team move once the ball hits the ground.
Keeps the surprise factor, and to compensate for the extra distance the receiving team will always be the ones who see the ball hit the ground first. So they'd be the first to react.
Finaly football ist turning into football again.
The Philly special hoodie seems blueish?
Watching this video so the curse can affect every single kicker in the league and return to regular high-power offense
Rip graham gano
You know the Chiefs are going to be down 6 with 3 seconds left in playoff game and win on this
Hot take:
They got tired of soccer fans calling real football hand egg.
Bad math. You went from average starting position to average starting position after kickoff. Cant extrapolate that data set out to every drive
Brett is a first things first fan???
I have a question about the analytics numbers. If its 27% starting on the 20 and 30% on the 30, what is the likely percent of a score starting at the 42? It seems to me that only netting 22 yards on a punt if its a touchback is still better than the 42. Also what is the percent chance of converting a 4th and 8? I could understand going on 4th and 3 or less but 4th and 8 seems like a stretch. It seems going for it on 4th in no mans land, especially a longer yards to go situation, appears to be a worse potential outcome in terms of opponent starting field position than having a short net punt
My thought as well. There is also a lot of good strategy behind pinning a team inside their 5 or 10 yard line
I hate this season so much.
You’re really about to curse kickers this week aren’t you