How 1 Quarter Caused the NFL's Scoring Decline

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 7 พ.ค. 2024
  • Thanks for watching!
    Feel free to check me out elsewhere.
    Twitter: / dr_pigskin
    Wordpress (written stories/blog): drpigskin.wordpress.com/
    Article by Kevin Clark (a good read! Shoutout to him for some nice work referenced in this video): www.theringer.com/nfl/2021/8/...
    Credit to Infraction and LAKEY INSPIRED for the music.
    No copyright infringement intended. Roger Goodell please don't hunt me down, I'm sorry I used CBS clips for the Tyreek montage!
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ความคิดเห็น • 448

  • @buccaneers
    @buccaneers 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +1279

    Todd Bowles is just that guy.

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  23 วันที่ผ่านมา +164

      He really is! What a home run hire for Tampa Bay

    • @BENgalFan1369
      @BENgalFan1369 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +73

      Wait is this frfr the bucs social media dude

    • @stuffanimalsfnaf4363
      @stuffanimalsfnaf4363 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +59

      That’s crazy lmao the BUCCANEERS commented 😭😂😭🤯😭👀 u going places for sure Mr.Pigskin

    • @brittaneymaggard9641
      @brittaneymaggard9641 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@BENgalFan1369I think

    • @SycoticForeverNeverAF
      @SycoticForeverNeverAF 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +17

      To be fair mahomes carved up tod bowls in embarrassing fashion the next time they played lmao

  • @SOCCERADDICT91
    @SOCCERADDICT91 13 วันที่ผ่านมา +49

    For me this solidifies why the Legion Of Boom defense in 2013 is one of the very best in NFL history. Being able to shut down team during the midst of all the advantage shifting to the offense is a monumental feat.

    • @JohnGramer06
      @JohnGramer06 5 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Billie Stephens explained this really well. An extra box defender to stop the run, stock Cover 3, an elite free safety who can cover both sidelines at once (like Earl Thomas), and great defensive backs.
      Brandon Staley in 2020 designed a scheme using the Tite Front that does the same job.

    • @neomarioism
      @neomarioism 2 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      same with the 2015 broncos. going against big ben, tom brady, and MVP cam newton on their superbowl run

  • @ToyeCalvin91
    @ToyeCalvin91 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +213

    If you’re patient enough seemingly everyone can move the ball in between the twenties. The Meta is have a QB that can improvise and create passing opportunities in the redzone when it gets tight and has to be accounted for in the run game, and have a creative offensive scheme that can incorporate RPO’s.. This vid captures that perfectly

    • @georgerojas1949
      @georgerojas1949 10 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

      Facts, there are probably more than 15 qbs in the league that I think with the right ppl around could compete for a ring. Also defense is wildly underrated in team success perceived by the media and fans

    • @dongdoodler
      @dongdoodler 5 วันที่ผ่านมา

      You need an insane o-line or a goated qb/skilled position players who make room when there is none for sure in the redzone. But it is kinda funny seeing the teams that cant even move the ball in the middle of the feild, like how bad is that offense with all that space

  • @Slayer727
    @Slayer727 16 วันที่ผ่านมา +32

    Something I'd like to note, Todd Bowles didn't wait until the Super Bowl to implement the strategy. Check the second half of that KC/Tampa game. The seeds were sown then.

    • @o0usf0o
      @o0usf0o 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Yup! Bowles figured them out and people forgot that the Bucs were coming back in that game.

  • @WarEagleGaming
    @WarEagleGaming 16 วันที่ผ่านมา +179

    Mahomes and the Chiefs were so good that the entire NFL changed the way they played defense just to stop them and other high flying offenses. And they still won back to back Superbowls.

    • @mistersunshine1330
      @mistersunshine1330 15 วันที่ผ่านมา +17

      Because they actually played like a real team. Instead of bazookaing their way down the field

    • @netconner
      @netconner 14 วันที่ผ่านมา +23

      I think the Tampa Super Bowl also changed them forever. They learned that tyreek was expendable and invested heavily on defense in the draft. If you go and look at how well they’ve drafted since 2020 it’s absurd

    • @HitByAPlane
      @HitByAPlane 13 วันที่ผ่านมา +8

      Yeah because they went and completely changed the way offense played and now Mahomes went from 9.1 ypa to like 4

    • @dukeonwheels
      @dukeonwheels 13 วันที่ผ่านมา +8

      The league adjusted, and then Mahomes and the Chiefs adjusted. Great teams do that.

    • @WaitingforGodel
      @WaitingforGodel 12 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Mahomes with the reverse Brady career arc

  • @user-zs5mp4dw2q
    @user-zs5mp4dw2q 15 วันที่ผ่านมา +31

    this shows that the chiefs knew this when they traded hill and basicly their whole reciver group, they knew they needed a change after the changes in the NFL after they got beat in the AFC championchip by the bengals. In my opinion, the change in the big play frequency actully helps the enjoyment because their more valuable. Really enjoyd this, great video!

  • @harrymills2770
    @harrymills2770 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +96

    It's always been this way in the NFL. Defenses eventually catch up.
    It was because the KC O-Line was being dominated by the TB D-Line that they could play shell. KC's OTs were being dominated. TB didn't fear the run and Mahomes had no time to throw. They could mostly play off and come crashing, because they knew the ball was coming out quickly.

    • @introvertedextrovertedtraver
      @introvertedextrovertedtraver 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +9

      In reference to the SB the chief Oline got injured just before the superbowl where 2 starters went down.

    • @LuckyAJC
      @LuckyAJC 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

      ​@@introvertedextrovertedtraverwasn't it more them that? I think a couple of the backups also went down, had some 3rd stringers out there

    • @nautgamingnautgaming9949
      @nautgamingnautgaming9949 13 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      I really agree with Harry mills
      It's teams CANT throw deep because the pass rush talent is much superior to the offensive line talent currently
      Literally a top 3 offensive lineman last year was ALMOST 43 years old
      That speaks volumes
      This also explains the rash of qb n running back injuries

    • @dreb5089
      @dreb5089 12 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      The Bucs got the blueprint in their first matchup. They outscored them after that first quarter 24-10 when they started playing 2 high.

    • @itsmeflacko1618
      @itsmeflacko1618 11 วันที่ผ่านมา

      ​@@dreb5089bruh the chiefs was up by damn near 30. If they was figured out they wouldn't have put up 27 first quarter points 😂

  • @yeshuaisking1247
    @yeshuaisking1247 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +25

    Ironically that just made it easier for the chiefs to win, because Patrick can adapt the best to the new defenses that were created to beat him, while others haven't managed to adapt as well.
    That's crazy.

    • @lydiavalentino
      @lydiavalentino 12 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      And with the additions of Xavier Worthy & Hollywood Brown, the Chiefs are re-opening the possibility of going back to just beating defenses downfield. The Chiefs didn't find themselves in an easier situation, they just adapted.

  • @pathutchison7688
    @pathutchison7688 14 วันที่ผ่านมา +73

    I noticed in the Super Bowl that Mahomes didn’t make those crazy creative plays anymore. Now he just makes the right read and walk the offense down field with high percentage passes. He’s still the best QB I’ve ever seen.

    • @rogerl6212
      @rogerl6212 8 วันที่ผ่านมา +12

      Brady is better.

    • @BossKing1243
      @BossKing1243 7 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@rogerl6212”i’ve ever seen”

    • @null_reference
      @null_reference 7 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      ​@@rogerl6212only in stats. Mahomes has more raw talent

    • @KeegoTheWise
      @KeegoTheWise 6 วันที่ผ่านมา +12

      @@rogerl6212 brady fans are so tiresome with their insecurity

    • @andrewkiehlbauch
      @andrewkiehlbauch 5 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      @@null_reference best thing is mahomes is way better statistically per year than brady ever was

  • @kylescott9529
    @kylescott9529 16 วันที่ผ่านมา +53

    Additional point: Defenses were so blitz and man heavy in the past (at the early part and prior to the 2010s) because the best QBs would dice them up if they played zone. Brady was the king of this. I think the NFL saw the Giants beat Brady twice by having a relentless pass rush and assumed “I must pressure the QB by any means necessary”. I wonder if DCs went that route because they assumed “we are gonna get scored on anyways” so they took an aggressive approach to try and get TOs.
    Also the blitz heavy, single-high, man-coverages are a lot less attractive if your offense also sucks and you are down by 14+ and aren’t forcing the other teams offense to pass. Meanwhile if you have an awesome offense and get UP by 14+ you can send the house and scar a QB for life 😅.

    • @BigGaggle
      @BigGaggle 14 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      Very good points. I would like to also add that the Chiefs played a decent amount of man this year. So it can still be done with the right personal

  • @BENgalFan1369
    @BENgalFan1369 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +201

    Dawg talked ab his first Chick-fil-A like his first time performing coitus, never chabge doctor! 😂

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  23 วันที่ผ่านมา +28

      Out of every comment I’ve ever received, I think this one has made me laugh the most 😂 thanks for watching!

  • @JesseVBuddyTV
    @JesseVBuddyTV 16 วันที่ผ่านมา +19

    Those years had…Tom Brady, Ben Rothilsberger, Aaron Rodgers, Kurt Warner, Both Manning brothers, Drew Breeze, Phillip Rivers. Those are just the ones I can remember I’m sure I’m missing some but it was a blessed era for offenses.

    • @bigdug13
      @bigdug13 13 วันที่ผ่านมา +9

      Lions sucked but Stafford was still a killer, especially with Megatron.

    • @troybaxter
      @troybaxter 6 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

      ​@@bigdug13 Stafford was never the Lions' problem.

    • @Zalis116
      @Zalis116 4 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Warner retired after '09, but I'd also add (along with Stafford) Tony Romo, Russell Wilson, Matt Ryan, Jameis Winston, Cam Newton, and Andrew Luck to the list. Some guys like Derek Carr, Nick Foles, Ryan Fitzpatrick, and Carson Palmer had a few good seasons in there as well.

  • @joshtaylor9884
    @joshtaylor9884 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +13

    Cool. Maybe throwing for 400 yards will actually start to mean something again.

  • @BrothamanASMR
    @BrothamanASMR 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +44

    I've been waiting for someone to make a video on this topic for years. Good work, you took the time and really put a lot into this. Thank you

    • @jt8696.
      @jt8696. 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      I was literally about to make this comment but you already did lol. I've been waiting for a real good one on this too

    • @steph_566
      @steph_566 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      You should watch Brett koleman. He made a video about this at the beginning of the season. This guy did a pretty good job covering it too

    • @jt8696.
      @jt8696. 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @steph_566 hell yeah I enjoyed that one too. I appreciate when people dive into some x's and o's

  • @landonw3327
    @landonw3327 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +36

    It’s a tuff pill to swallow that the most hated team in the league is the reason my favorite team can’t score 💀

    • @yeshuaisking1247
      @yeshuaisking1247 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      And they keep winning and taking advantage of it, it's like you had a billionaire so rich that the gov had to find a heavy tax for everyone, but ironically it only hurts the millionaires the billionaires still have the most cushion.

    • @terrencesteele753
      @terrencesteele753 14 วันที่ผ่านมา

      You spelled best wrong

  • @dr.pigskin
    @dr.pigskin  23 วันที่ผ่านมา +10

    Wow, seems like this video has taken off, thank you to everyone for watching! I appreciate all of the kind words and feedback, I’m glad you guys enjoy this, and your feedback and input is how I get better. Let’s keep it rocking and rolling!

  • @hiLaywell
    @hiLaywell 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +34

    This was a REALLY good video. Completely opened my eyes to a new dimension of the game and what's been happening with it. Extremely well researched and put together. Love this content and I can't wait to see more like it! Dr. Pigskin knows ball.

  • @jackgaleotti2297
    @jackgaleotti2297 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +29

    My favorite NFL TH-camr. The Dr. is a cut above the rest

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  24 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

      Wow, thank you! Those are some kind words, I’m glad you enjoy my content!

    • @harrymills2770
      @harrymills2770 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Good product. Sits too close to the camera.

    • @choosecarefully408
      @choosecarefully408 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@harrymills2770 I didn't want to _say_ anything, but yeah, when he goes from footage back to his room, my personal space feels infringed upon.

    • @harrymills2770
      @harrymills2770 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@choosecarefully408 Most people use phones, I bet. So most people don't notice. But yeah. If you have a large screen computer, it's dental-appointment time, with you as the dentist.
      I never let anyone stand that close to talk to me in person.
      People put their cameras on top of their desktop screen. Back that camera off if you intend a career of YouTubing.

  • @dominicpancella3012
    @dominicpancella3012 12 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Awesome video! You're absolutely right that the Chiefs' depleted O-line allowed Tampa to rush four and keep two safeties high while still creating pressure and therefore dominate Super Bowl LV. But I think we can use the same logic to figure out why Mahomes has been so good in his career against the blitz: more often than not, sending more than 4 defenders after the QB means only a single safety can play high, which opens up big play opportunities-or, if they blitz and leave two high, the middle of the field is wide open for chunk plays by YAC guys like Kelce, who may be the best non-QB at reading defenses and scheming himself open. And if those are covered too, it usually means there's running room for Mahomes to pick up a first down with his legs.

  • @zickyd42
    @zickyd42 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Really well put-together video! I thought it was a clickbait title and was skeptical, but you clearly put so much thought into this! This is such a breath of fresh air on NFL youtube (a landscape riddled with the likes of fivepoints and TGS)

  • @gotoastal
    @gotoastal 14 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Your upbeat cadence is something I thought I would hate, but actually I warmed up very quickly. Nicely done.

  • @derekwhitmire7273
    @derekwhitmire7273 16 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    One of the coolest analysis videos I’ve ever seen. Great balance between deep insights and approachable explanations!

  • @savagedamage8901
    @savagedamage8901 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +8

    this a damn good video. title was interesting and vid explained and answered a question many football fans have been wondering about. watched every second

  • @crazestyle83
    @crazestyle83 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +26

    Let's be honest. Mahomes changed the nfl twice.

    • @ffllaasshh2067
      @ffllaasshh2067 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +9

      Yea he opened the door for big passing air the ball out offense and when the league saw how much Patrick was gonna abuse it and kill the NFL he scared every other team into slamming that hard as hard as they could... And he still prevailed

    • @Michael-sb8jf
      @Michael-sb8jf 17 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      @@ffllaasshh2067
      it was inevitable

    • @alastairhaddix7436
      @alastairhaddix7436 13 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      And he’ll change it again with Reid this year 😅

  • @foreversevenfold1666
    @foreversevenfold1666 11 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Great video! Earned my sub for sure.
    The evolution of NFL playcalling is so fascinating. With the way the defenses adjusted to this style of offense, I can't wait to see how offenses counter it. Wonder if we'll go back to a big reliance on running with less men in the box with all these 2 high safety looks.

  • @kaiklindworth1916
    @kaiklindworth1916 8 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    This is an amazing video, entertaining and informative! I hope scoring doesn't get back to the previous level. I personally don't care for offense and all those flashy plays getting hyped up, and was really happy about the first half of this past SB. It's great to see it explained, and to be able to recognize it as part of the cycle of adapting :)

  • @stuffanimalsfnaf4363
    @stuffanimalsfnaf4363 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +11

    This video was so good it really helped me understand why the NFL is less scoring but yeah defenses have truly gotten better and picked up what offenses do and how to play against them.

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  24 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Thank you, I’m glad you liked it!

    • @mikemike6182
      @mikemike6182 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      this suck for the audience and NFL knew it, thats why they make it harder to tackle next season

    • @marcusrudolph5961
      @marcusrudolph5961 12 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Nfl defenses now just give up unlimited yards and trying to give up 3

  • @crazycarrot6387
    @crazycarrot6387 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    good job bro you deserve way more subscribers for this content

  • @monitawhite4932
    @monitawhite4932 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Good job bud, really appreciate the time, effort, research and dedication

  • @matthewcomfort5894
    @matthewcomfort5894 6 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Mahomes got defenses buffed on purpose knowing he's the only guy that can still overcome them. Big brain move

  • @s1ighted
    @s1ighted 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

    The production quality had me thinking this was a 100k+ sub yt channel,keep up the good work youre going to blow up soon trust

  • @vortex3419
    @vortex3419 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +12

    Interestingly enough, the guy who arguably started this trend, and also crafted a fantastic game plan to stop the Chiefs (Todd Bowles). Has mostly reverted back to his (and the league's) old ways. The Bucs were bottom 3 in the league in explosive pass plays allowed in 2023, still relying on a lot of single-high coverage and classic spot drop zone, which once dominated the NFL of the past. Tampa also blitzed at one of the highest rates in the league. Personally, as a Bucs fan, I think it would behoove Bowles to pivot towards what the rest of the league is doing.
    Great vid btw

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  24 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

      Thank you! And that’s an excellent point, when I was looking at blitz rates I couldn’t help but notice the Bucs were 3rd in the NFL in 2023 with a whopping 45%. Fascinating how Bowles has more or less managed to start this trend and then turn around and buck it!

    • @o0usf0o
      @o0usf0o 3 วันที่ผ่านมา

      I think it’s important to note that the Bucs D-line isn’t what it was in 2020. No more JPP and Suh. Others took a step back. They had trouble generating pressure with 4 last year.

  • @WolverineIncognito
    @WolverineIncognito 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Great video. Loved the Chil-Fil-A references!

  • @shanefindlan599
    @shanefindlan599 14 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Yo this is my first time seeing one of your vids and really enjoyed it think you got crazy potential bro keep it up 💪

  • @gregoryroth2180
    @gregoryroth2180 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    Notice the league pass leader promply became the quarterback throwing to..... Tyreek Hill :/

  • @poeticalvision
    @poeticalvision 5 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Pretty impressive that the Chiefs and Mahomes were able to completely pivot in early 2021 to a different style of play, and since they have won 2 Superbowls.

  • @InstinktzBTW
    @InstinktzBTW 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Your channel is a gem. I see big things for you.

  • @RipliWitani
    @RipliWitani 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    Playing under center or having an effective run game is the key to beating quarters/cover 6.
    Defeating the 46 defense of the Ravens is more complicated, having a quick pass game that has multiple options or a run game that is overwhelming.

    • @koodigocrxzy465
      @koodigocrxzy465 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      The ravens don’t play a 46

  • @xStrypes
    @xStrypes 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

    This actually makes way too much sense, awesome video

  • @doctorbarber1
    @doctorbarber1 9 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    I remember that Super Bowl. Mike Remmers was their starting RT, the same dude who got Cam Newton basically killed on the field by Von Miller in Super Bowl 50.

  • @holdenrayl7953
    @holdenrayl7953 6 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Ironically this is also a video that speaks to Mahomes and Reid’s brilliance. Not only did they survive and adapt but they survived and thrived. The marquee of a HOF HC and QB. I believe offense will shift back to mid 2010 numbers as more teams figure out running the ball will open up so much for them. Hence, why so many offensive lineman were taken early in this years draft.
    God damn this game is a beautiful game 🏈

  • @bubband3782
    @bubband3782 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Nice job sir!! Very informative. SKOL!!

  • @jtwk3400
    @jtwk3400 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    final papers can wait, Dr Pigskin posted!

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  24 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

      Hey, after watching this you’ll feel motivated to dominate those papers like Patrick Mahomes and Tyreek Hill dominated in the 1st quarter of Week 12 of the 2020 season!

    • @jtwk3400
      @jtwk3400 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      @@dr.pigskin considering I had Tyreek Hill on my fantasy team that year, I concur

  • @rogerl6212
    @rogerl6212 8 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Excellent video, I subbed.

  • @aaronstark5060
    @aaronstark5060 วันที่ผ่านมา

    As someone who had been bemoaning the lack of quality defense in the NFL over that stretch, I love to finally see some. It kinda sucks the drama and tension from the game when you know that if Mahomes, Brady, Rodgers, etc. has the ball at the end of the game, they were GOING to score. There was no”let’s see what happens”. You may as well just fast forward to the touchdown. But while I’m happy to see it, I’m also scared to death that this is temporary and in 3-4 years, offenses will figure it out and go right back to being unstoppable.

  • @stuartg7507
    @stuartg7507 12 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I this video was so good you just got a new subscription.

  • @CorpseHoarder
    @CorpseHoarder 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Please please please I beg you for a detailed breakdown like this of the browns defense! It is fascinating and It’s rare to see a football analysis video combine humor and an efficient teaching ability to make it both entertaining and easy to follow. It’d be awesome to understand my favorite team on a deeper level!
    Alternatively… a breakdown of each divisions defense and make it a series? Nonetheless this video rocks 👍🏼

  • @pearchamp
    @pearchamp 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +9

    Great video doctor, going to need a prescription for more content

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  24 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      Pearchamp, thank you! Don’t you worry, I’ve got some exciting stuff planned for this summer 👀

  • @mattclose5490
    @mattclose5490 17 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Excellent video explaining what many fans, especially chiefs fans have known for years. This also perfectly explains the tyreek hill trade. I know it got criticized extensively but anyone who saw this all playing out knew exactly why it happened.

  • @christinesuh5
    @christinesuh5 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +9

    he’s back!!!

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  24 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      Back and better than ever 😎

  • @akimhamlet5092
    @akimhamlet5092 13 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Carlton Davis recovering in the SuperBowl to shut down Hill after Hill took his soul in that game is incredible

  • @DakotahFaye
    @DakotahFaye 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Aye North Dakota represent! Great video

  • @henryvencill8758
    @henryvencill8758 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    he’s done it again!! another certified classic

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  24 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Thank you Henry! Happy to hear you enjoyed it

  • @connormccallen6583
    @connormccallen6583 12 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Great video and analysis

  • @machiavellianos
    @machiavellianos 21 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I don’t know much about football but this is by far the most insightful trend analysis I have come across on YT. I have been wondering why chiefs collapsed in the SB and why their WRs struggled in recent years. I thought it was merely because the WRs weren’t good. I now understand why the old WR style of play is no longer the top on the book.

  • @richborn6700
    @richborn6700 15 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Dr. Pigskin being a Vikings fan warms my cold Minnesotan heart. We suffered together but no more!

    • @KingSalemence3
      @KingSalemence3 12 วันที่ผ่านมา

      No more? You're objectively the worst team in the division, and that's assuming McCarthy is a hit.

  • @bistromathics6
    @bistromathics6 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Officials have also been allowing more and more contact downfield, while O-linemen and receivers are called more often for infractions that were usually ignored in the recent past. This has begun to make various defensive concepts valid, including more one-on-one coverage. Roughing the passer calls also went down last year, and that's both the officiating and the technique of D-linemen. Coaches and players keep pushing the officials on the boundaries. Since it's easier to get pressure on the QB's and it's harder to get separation, complex scheming and disguising looks on both sides of the ball have become more useful. From Spags (and others), you don't know who's blitzing. Offenses are more prone to turn receivers and backs into extra blockers. Also, with the very physical play being allowed (encouraged?) downfield, bigger, more physically dominating receivers, who are more willing and able to mix it up before, during and after the catch (as well as performing blocks on D-linemen), have become more valuable. Young, skinny, fast kids coming out of college, thinking they'll dominate in the NFL, are going to need to bulk up and learn a wider array of skills, no matter how talented. This is why someone like Xavier Worthy is truly a "wait-and-see" for KC (and Buffalo) fans. He's not tall, and at 172, he's going to get knocked around like a pinball. And he's just one example. Until they change the rules, or start calling more DPI, etc., it's going to be very physical downfield. I also noticed in 2023 that, given a possible penalty (when any offensive holding actually occurred) it was more likely to be called in a pass-blocking scenario than in a running scenario. I don't know how that stacks up to previous years, but with the clear trend toward less aggressive calling of personal foul calls for late and out-of-bounds hits, we're likely to see more strange things happening at the QB position (i.e. QB2 becomes much more strategically important). Can't wait to see what they do this year!

  • @mahball2933
    @mahball2933 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Hello fellow North Dakotan. Bismarck native here. Really enjoyed this video. Keep it up.

  • @JediJack16
    @JediJack16 10 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I love this video so much because as a dude who loves defense, it's infuriating how many people just say that offenses have gotten worse, when in reality it's very clearly the defenses getting better

  • @SPTO
    @SPTO 11 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I only just came across this video but it was a great one. I pretty much agree with a lot of your points. The section where you talked about and explained what defenses are doing now was VERY insightful. I had seen a video a couple or so months ago that talked about those same concepts but it was a bit jargon and insidery with its explanation that it was a little hard for me to fully understand it. You explain those same concepts in a much more easy and digestible.
    BTW I think Sean McDermott is one of the defensive coaches who deserves some credit for the changing defenses. He's a little more traditional yes, but he employs a lot of the concepts you explained. It's going to be interesting to see how offenses respond to this overall change. The Chiefs have made some very good adjustments but I also think the Bills are embarking on an interesting experiment as they've gotten bigger with their receivers and have brought in YAC oriented guys who are viewed as slot guys.
    It feels like they're going a little old school with a more balanced offense that goes with shorter throws and utilizing big receivers who have some speed and gain yardage for themselves. I've seen some experts give the Bills middling grades when it comes to what they've done this offseason and indeed it could blow up but I think there's a chance their offense could counteract some of the newfangled defenses out there.
    Anywho, I really enjoyed your video and i'll keep an eye out for more in the future.

  • @seveng1147
    @seveng1147 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

    Chiefs receivers sold mahomes in the Super Bowl too

    • @ChirpingMatt
      @ChirpingMatt 6 วันที่ผ่านมา

      That is an interesting point here. I feel it's too often forgotten that in that game, Mahomes threw two would-be TDs that hit a receiver in the facemask, and somehow both were dropped. The game could just as easily have ended 31-23, and wouldn't have felt like such a domination.
      And that actually might be why the overall defensive shift was as gradual as it was, not really taking full effect until an entire season later. Teams weren't yet sure if that game was an aberration, or if it still works without such a lopsided battle in the trenches. It wasn't really until teams saw it consistently give Mahomes fits in 2021 that everyone bought in.

  • @samwozniak1875
    @samwozniak1875 20 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    This video was great! I'm a big believer that the NFL is cyclical and certain trends are going to come back. I'm expecting Fullbacks and bigger Running Backs to make a return soon with more defenses playing 2 high safety and smaller/quicker defensive linemen who are chasing down athletic quarterbacks will get bodied... Expect more space-eating DL's and man coverage within 10 years.

  • @smurphy98844
    @smurphy98844 21 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Dude...thank you...this video was...revelatory....you've helped me make my dynasty football plan much more precise

    • @scattau41
      @scattau41 14 วันที่ผ่านมา

      in what ways?

    • @smurphy98844
      @smurphy98844 6 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @scattau41 it helped me understand that a shift is here in the league and that certain types of players might not Excell as much as expected nor their peers. For example Caleb Wiliams who is an improv type QB might struggle more than expected and that larger receivers and RBs might be bigger factors going forward.
      Big implications when selecting in dynasty FF leagues

  • @debishop3359
    @debishop3359 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Someone get this man more views

  • @worldsgreatestdude1784
    @worldsgreatestdude1784 17 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    I was happy to see scoring go down

  • @PhilP8980
    @PhilP8980 13 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    I remember watching a game 2019 where Mahomes threw 5 TD passes in the 2nd quarter against the Raiders, in Oakland. It was embarrassing. That's why the cover 2 shell is the base defense now.

  • @itssFlexx
    @itssFlexx 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

    this channel will be huge

  • @milemarker301
    @milemarker301 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    Very interesting take. Maybe the change in tackle rules for this upcoming season is an attempt by the League to undercut the defense trend? :)

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  24 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      You know, that’s a very good point! Obviously player safety was the main reason behind banning the “hip drop” tackle but I wouldn’t be shocked if the league’s scoring decline wasn’t at the very least a slight factor in the NFL’s decision

    • @lockout125
      @lockout125 21 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Defense has been neutered so hard by all the rules lower more skill based scoring is far more entertaining than just basically pussified flag football

  • @manateeburger
    @manateeburger 12 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Excellent video. Earned a sub from me. I think ur channel has a bright future

  • @iamanapachehelicopter
    @iamanapachehelicopter 10 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Don't get me wrong, I really liked the video. It's well-researched, has a good thesis, and good commentary.
    The issue I have is the gum-smacking. I lost count at like 20 gum smacks. Tighten this up, and I feel like your numbers would balloon.
    Other than that, the video is phenomenal. Keep doing what you are doing, brother.
    Edit: You're a vikings fan too? Subscribed. :) SKOL!

  • @ChumblesMumbles
    @ChumblesMumbles 11 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Teams also are simultaneously de-valuing the running game and running backs as well as run-blocking traits in o-linemen, so when the passing game struggles or isn't putting up big yards and big points, they no longer even have the tools available to switch up to a heavier run game.

  • @thesye1014
    @thesye1014 12 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Really gret video fr!!

  • @GarrettsGear
    @GarrettsGear 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Damn, this video was great. I almost considered subscribing, until i realized that you're a vikings fan! Sorry to hear about your disability 💚🧀

  • @win9804
    @win9804 17 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Wow you deserve way more subs

  • @bigsav1984
    @bigsav1984 16 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    The ravens simulated blitz sounds a lot like the zone blitzes were lineman dropped into coverage that teams most notably the Steelers ran in the 90s in response to the west coast offense.

  • @chairmanevan1865
    @chairmanevan1865 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I can't wait to see which qb/coach duo breaks the game open for offenses again

  • @jamesgnann7889
    @jamesgnann7889 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    This is art, doctor!

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  24 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Thank you James, glad you enjoyed it!

  • @focusednba2245
    @focusednba2245 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    This channel about to blow up. Here at 1.99k subs❤️

  • @Deuce5x
    @Deuce5x 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    I think guys like fangio,bowles,Macdonald, saleh,flores, anaroumo helped sculpt the blue print for defenses in todays nfl
    2) Which means nfl offenses will gear towards the Shanahan style/ west coast offense and are focused on establishing the run game to set up the passing game
    3) modern day examples of future offense prototypes are Eagles,chiefs,49ers, ravens,browns,packers, vikings,lions,colts

  • @ruferd
    @ruferd 5 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    What's funny is my dad went from saying "are we ever going to see some defense show up to a game for once?" to saying "this is unbearable to watch, I swear every score is 16-10." real quick.

    • @aaronstark5060
      @aaronstark5060 วันที่ผ่านมา

      I was kinda like your dad in the first part, but in the second part, I was more like “FINALLY! We’re seeing some goddamn defense for a change!”. I got so sick of the way it was where if you gave a good offense the ball in a late game situation, it felt like an automatic score.

  • @LePromisedPrince
    @LePromisedPrince 3 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Very interesting. I think that you’ll see changes to how some teams run their offense in retaliation, with teams reverting to more early 2000s styles of formations, kinda like the lions have been doing. A lot of under center, smash mouth football to force the defense closer to the line, allowing the big plays on play action

  • @ArtisticallySavvyPhotography
    @ArtisticallySavvyPhotography 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    Just found your channel, well presented, well thought out video man, subscribed

  • @Yoboyphilycheeze
    @Yoboyphilycheeze 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thinking football did a awesome break down on modern defense and I you’re 100% correct

  • @lukestevens9375
    @lukestevens9375 15 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

    Nice video, but I would like to make one suggestion. When you throw a bunch of numbers on the screen, it would be nice if you showed a chart along with them. That's quicker to interpret, so you don't have to spend so much time explaining the data and can spend more time analyzing it. E.g. at 6:13, a line or bar chart would really help drive the point home, and would make it obvious that 2017 is an outlier. The video never really addresses why 2017 bucked the trend in the 2010s, so it makes me wonder if the recent downward trend will also be temporary. But again, I'm not trying to nitpick; I still enjoyed the video.
    Also, Fargo has a Chick-Fil-A now. John Wheeler is working on more sunlight. :)

  • @thetimebinder
    @thetimebinder 9 วันที่ผ่านมา

    It's almost like it's Rock Paper Scissors. Heavy blitz gets blown out by deep throws. Deep Coverage gets beat by rushing, and rushing gets beat by a wall.

  • @e2rqey
    @e2rqey 16 วันที่ผ่านมา

    You could do a second part with all the ways offenses are trying to beat those new concepts and score more. Like pre snap motion, bunch sets, route combinations which play off of eachother, more option routes which change depending on the coverage...etc
    Edit: ah I see you already have 😅

  • @nin_tendo6458
    @nin_tendo6458 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Unless Todd Bowles somehow managed to make Toney line up offsides or let balls bounce off his hands to a defender I don't think this is why last year so many teams looked awful.
    I don't disagree that defenses have clearly caught up to offenses as a general statement but a lot of defenses looked bad last season too. The Ravens were the only consistently good looking team all year. Every other team had a stretch of absolute clunkers. Ugly football all year, and I'm a fan of good defense.
    Also Russell Wilson always had the issues he's had the last two years they were just masked by ref nonsense and a great defense.

  • @starwarsROXmy
    @starwarsROXmy 16 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    i like a happy medium between defense and offense. I don't want every game to end in a 7-3 slugfest, but I also don't need every game to be a 42-35 shootout.

  • @darkchocolate3390
    @darkchocolate3390 4 วันที่ผ่านมา

    A big part about why scoring jumped so much from the previous year in 2011 and 2020 was because of no off-season pre Training Camp. 2011 had the lockout and 2020 had the pandemic.

  • @vinsanity982
    @vinsanity982 4 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Also, there’s been a rise in the exotic coverages with concepts like cover 6. However, it seems like offensives are starting to adjust to that as well

  • @alexweinstock943
    @alexweinstock943 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    As a chiefs fan, as soon as I saw the empty seats, I knew the quarter…
    Terrible sign for things to come that season…

  • @TheJumboPackage
    @TheJumboPackage 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Awesome video and super informative!! You gained a new subscriber my friend!

  • @friday8283
    @friday8283 22 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    As we came into the SB that game was what made me convinced the Bucs were going to win, and everyone else looked at just Q1 and projected the Chiefs waxing the Bucs easily.
    In the first half, the bucs gave up 377 yards of offense and 20pts, terrible. But Bowles learned his lesson then and there, it wasn't something they changed up only at the superbowl. The Bucs gave up only 146yds and a td in the second half and lost 24-27 by a single field goal. Excluding the first quarter of that game the bucs would have won 24-10. The second half of that game was the turning point in the bucs season, didn't lose a game after it.

  • @GaminGamer420
    @GaminGamer420 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    i see you're a vikings fan. Were you a fan of Percy Harvin back in the day? He was one of my favorite players to watch, and I was so happy when he got traded to my Hawks.

  • @sabishiihito
    @sabishiihito 20 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Usually when there's a scoring decline, the Competition Committee gets together and we end up having increased emphasis on PI/illegal contact/defensive holding (1996, 2004, 2014). But this time, it's simply due to defenses playing 2-high safeties as you mentioned. Unless they're going to outlaw that defense, there's not much that can be done other than teams going back to being run-heavy. Maybe it's time for the resurgence of the running back?

    • @johnchedsey1306
      @johnchedsey1306 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

      I think the new kickoff rules will boost the scoring average a bit. It'll have nothing to with defensive or offensive innovations, but will hopefully give us a few more exciting huge plays in games.

  • @Essman614
    @Essman614 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    So many commenter are like great video. I didn't know people were so passionate about Chick-fil-A

  • @kizitokatende412
    @kizitokatende412 21 วันที่ผ่านมา

    What an excellent video

  • @MrCheques90
    @MrCheques90 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Curious to see how this takes shape moving forward. I'm wondering if NFL offenses will get more run heavy against the light boxes and shell coverages. Just a total full circle moment for the NFL lol

  • @Agentrock47
    @Agentrock47 12 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Yet people will consistently complain about how defense is dead in the league

    • @moalston4203
      @moalston4203 9 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      We know that every Defense gets scored on so yea defense wins games but teams still score every game

  • @nrg6245
    @nrg6245 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    As a die hard Steelers fan since birth in 2000, what a perfect way to cap off this new defensive error by getting a ring with the best defensive player of all time TJ Watt, and the best defensive team of all time the steel curtain. 🖤💛