Blackjack and Probability: Livin' on the (House) Edge

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 22 ธ.ค. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 35

  • @SoulKingBK
    @SoulKingBK ปีที่แล้ว +6

    This is the best video I’ve ever watched so well produced. I want you for every gambling game. Majong next so I can beat yakuza 0

  • @emberseves1918
    @emberseves1918 4 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Casinos are mostly illegal for Koreans in Korea (one exception) but allowed for people with other passports in Korea. I sat down at one blackjack table one time at one of these casinos as my only blackjack experience. I noticed too late that the minimum bet was $50 and was already dealt in. I don't remember the cards, but I lost that one hand and quit. These places are mostly for rich traveling business people not teachers like me.

    • @themathematicsofvice1652
      @themathematicsofvice1652  4 ปีที่แล้ว +7

      It's kind of shady that they dealt you cards before you placed your bet.

  • @Savagemister
    @Savagemister 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    10:14, that's backwards

  • @asifanwar5832
    @asifanwar5832 หลายเดือนก่อน

    great video, please do one for baccarat and 3 card poker. subbed!

  • @minnymoony
    @minnymoony 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    in minute 13:00, you exclude the unknown card of the dealer.
    for the player calculating the odds of hit/bust, how should he take account of the unknown card of the dealer. it can be a desired or undesired?
    there for the "desired outcomes/total possible outcomes" might vary.

  • @Savagemister
    @Savagemister 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    More often than not, in casinos, the dealer's first card is face up and the second is the hole card. Well, that I've seen anyway.

  • @denesdolor975
    @denesdolor975 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Can you calculate the basic strategy for pontoon where 10s are remove from the 6 decks.

  • @JohnSmith-kr9bg
    @JohnSmith-kr9bg 3 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Can someone explain how it's possible to consistently lose 6:1 hands wen I play rng blackjack??? Surely this is a fix!? Guaranteed the dealer will 4-5 hands in a row but I'm lucky to 2 in a row. This doesn't seem "random" to me!?

    • @RolandoAvilaallin
      @RolandoAvilaallin 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Over a large hand sample size these win/loss streaks occur. To keep the house edge to just 0.5%, play on tables with favourable rules and execute basic strategy perfectly.

    • @Savagemister
      @Savagemister 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      In the short run, anything can happen. An hour later, you might have won 5 or more in a row.

    • @MX-CO
      @MX-CO 9 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I have found times where like you I've lost 5-6 in a row , even 10 in a row a few times, Now to try to avoid that. I watch for awhile and if it seems like the dealer is winning more than losing, not breaking much and seems to be making their hand a lot. I don't play there, another rule I set for myself is if I lose 4 hands back to back I walk away from that table, instead of hoping it's gonna get better.
      So far I've won several times with this method.
      Dealers seem to have hot and cold streaks and you definitely want to avoid their hot streaks

  • @donjour69
    @donjour69 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    3:29 🧢
    "if you make the right decision" so the (~) symbol is supposed to represent an unfixed/ fluctuating house edge? lol any given hand in cards is dependent on the previous deal.
    disregarding table rules a player can play suboptimal strategy or other players can influence the hand increasing the house edge stupendously in blackjack

    • @themathematicsofvice1652
      @themathematicsofvice1652  3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Yep! If you make the wrong choices, you can increase the house edge, and you can take advantage of the fluctuating probabilities by counting cards. That'll be a future video, when I have the time :)

  • @burakyldrm1738
    @burakyldrm1738 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Is taking even money a good decision if you have Bj and the dealer has an ace?

    • @Lownwolf-sm5py
      @Lownwolf-sm5py 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Never, unless youre counting cards and the true count is 2 or higher

    • @ImranSheikh-kb5um
      @ImranSheikh-kb5um 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Only in very special cases, and only if you are a card counter.

  • @imrahil_327
    @imrahil_327 4 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Way to slip the Picard quote in there! ;)

    • @themathematicsofvice1652
      @themathematicsofvice1652  4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      The captain is very wise, and his words are doubly wise when speaking of games of chance.

    • @Dagrizzb
      @Dagrizzb 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I've never watched Star Trek in my entire life. And I still know this quote. That is how important it is.

  • @richardgarira
    @richardgarira 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Great explanation

  • @mac5856
    @mac5856 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Not many single deck games and they never deal even close to a full deck

  • @lostinphil
    @lostinphil 9 หลายเดือนก่อน

    You played that wrong, with the current count, hitting a 12-16 against a dealer 10 is a must!

  • @capmendonca
    @capmendonca ปีที่แล้ว

    Except if some how the cards are from some magicians and can be changed

    • @themathematicsofvice1652
      @themathematicsofvice1652  ปีที่แล้ว

      True! A lot of casinos won't let the player touch the cards for exactly that reason, and there are cameras pointed at every table.

  • @VictorC-f6y
    @VictorC-f6y 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I want to beat the house/casino

  • @MikhoHadou
    @MikhoHadou 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Mm

  • @bogeys1242
    @bogeys1242 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Bad info at 19:10. He says the only thing that can beat your 19 is a 10 card. Nope. An Ace would beat you and push the other player with 21. In fact, if the Dealer has 21 it will be revealed right away and you lose without a chance to tie. And, yes, BJ is one of the worst games to play.

    • @ImranSheikh-kb5um
      @ImranSheikh-kb5um 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

      All casino games favour the casino.
      After craps, BJ with good rules offers a player strictly playing basic strategy and counting cards almost as good odds.

  • @donarteilacas1294
    @donarteilacas1294 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Useless video, you should talk about how to count cards to win and to make the true count easy because true count in card counting is hard to do

  • @paulklemer
    @paulklemer 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I went over 21 many times

  • @daviddick5809
    @daviddick5809 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I can't believe he counted up to 21 using his fingers.