The Mathematics of Vice
The Mathematics of Vice
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Hedging Your Bets: A Strategy for Short-Term Success
We're back! Today we continue our series on gambling by laying out a mathematical betting strategy that can bend the odds in any game with a 2-to-1 payout, like Blackjack, Craps, and Roulette.
Remember never to gamble money you can't afford to lose! No amount of strategy can defeat sufficient bad luck.
Video edited by D-Axis aka Danny - linktr.ee/daxismusic
มุมมอง: 5 798

วีดีโอ

Basic Strategy: How to git gud at Blackjack
มุมมอง 2.1K4 ปีที่แล้ว
In the third episode in my miniseries on Blackjack, we finally synthesize everything we learned in the previous two videos into a basic strategy that does NOT require you to memorize tables or do mental calculations. Combined with a logical betting strategy, this video can help you increase your chances of success!
Blackjack and Probability: Livin' on the (House) Edge
มุมมอง 24K4 ปีที่แล้ว
Of all of the games in a casino, Blackjack is one of the least unfavorable to the player, at least when played with an understanding of the probabilities involved. In this video we cover the rules of Blackjack, and how probability can help you make more informed decisions at the table. Sources: Hit or Stand - Blackjack Rules and Strategy: www.hitorstand.net/strategy.php House Edge of Casino Gam...
Cards, Gambling, and Probability: Just the Basics
มุมมอง 9564 ปีที่แล้ว
How is math useful in real life? Can it be used to turn a weekend in Vegas into a new summer home? Well, not quite, but I can make it much more likely that you find success on the Blackjack table! In Episode 1, I cover a few of my general rules of thumb when it comes to gambling, followed by an examination of exactly what is in a deck of cards. The video ends with a brief overview of basic prob...
Welcome to The Mathematics of Vice!
มุมมอง 1954 ปีที่แล้ว
Hello and welcome! On this channel, I hope to demonstrate the mathematical concepts behind our favorite guilty pleasures. If you are interesting in learning about the numbers being gambling, sports, booze and more, please hit that subscribe button! No promises on release schedules just now. Under the circumstances, I hope you understand. 3am by Tokyo Music Walker soundcloud.com/user-356546060 C...

ความคิดเห็น

  • @tommarsden661
    @tommarsden661 2 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Some of the worst BJ advice I’ve ever seen. Probably at least a 4% HA playing this way. Should be playing aggressively versus 2-6 and conservatively vs 7-A. 2-6 should be doubling or splitting nearly every available time.

  • @RCCubing2023
    @RCCubing2023 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    How the HELL do you only have 500 subs these vids are amazing

  • @daviddick5809
    @daviddick5809 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I can't believe he counted up to 21 using his fingers.

  • @minnymoony
    @minnymoony หลายเดือนก่อน

    in minute 13:00, you exclude the unknown card of the dealer. for the player calculating the odds of hit/bust, how should he take account of the unknown card of the dealer. it can be a desired or undesired? there for the "desired outcomes/total possible outcomes" might vary.

  • @haywoodyablome1
    @haywoodyablome1 หลายเดือนก่อน

    The odds stay at 50/50 everytime you flip a coin, they dont change because of the previous result, its called the gamlers fallacy, your math is wrong!

  • @jimmykalkhoven36989
    @jimmykalkhoven36989 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Such a well presented video and strategy Solid math, probability, well worded especially with the hypothetical nature of the many scenarios available to the common gambler. Very practical and sensible approach. A valuable video upload. Much appreciated

  • @CarolMuscarello
    @CarolMuscarello 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    The table does not say 3:2. It says 2:1.

  • @VictorC-f6y
    @VictorC-f6y 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I want to beat the house/casino

  • @Eddierath
    @Eddierath 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Lol people who say it's not viable don't understand practice and refinement... Basically mastery and the time it takes to study, active practice and most importantly TRACKING your progress .. The more skilled you are in any single area of betting, the more proficient you become on keeping what works for your style and incorporating from other techniques besides hedging... Those who come with humility , become the most dangerous at the upper echelons, but those who come knowing it all, with a cup that's already full, with EGO, they are victims from the start .

  • @mac5856
    @mac5856 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    The odds of losing many hands of blackjack are high enough that i wouldn't Martingale, at a $5 table I think the max bet is $500, so if you lose 6 hands you are out

    • @themathematicsofvice1652
      @themathematicsofvice1652 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I talked about that in the video. Thank you for the engagement!

  • @mac5856
    @mac5856 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Sounds like basic blackjack strategy

  • @mac5856
    @mac5856 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Not many single deck games and they never deal even close to a full deck

  • @donarteilacas1294
    @donarteilacas1294 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Useless video, you should talk about how to count cards to win and to make the true count easy because true count in card counting is hard to do

  • @gohotboy
    @gohotboy 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    friendly intro video, describes himself as ex high school math teacher, then calls himself professor, so confused on his academic credentials.

  • @gohotboy
    @gohotboy 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Rules: 1- Casino wins in long run , 2- avoid slot machines as poor odds, 3. avoid alcohol so you don't make impaired decisions, 4. bring a certain amount of money you are willing to lose in exchange for the entertainment of gambling. Do NOT use the ATM. 5. Don't bet your whole wad on one bet, bet smaller so at least you get some entertainment value. He explains a deck of cards and odds of getting a 6 is 4/52 = 1/13.

  • @gohotboy
    @gohotboy 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I googled whether casino's allow you to bring a printed strategy card, and they largely do. If you play perfectly with the right guide for the type of table (dealer staying on all17+ or just hard 17+) then you stand your best chance of minimizing your losses. Each time the authors simple rules deviate from the guide, you give an extra advantage to the house. So, you will lose faster with his rules than with a printable guide. But it has merit over no guide at all. Remember in your video not to use a phrase like "EVERY chance the dealer downcard will be a 10". It is NOTEVERY chance, it is a certain fraction of chances. You know this.

  • @gohotboy
    @gohotboy 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    This is very bad advice. If you were flipping fair coins for a 5$ initial bet and lost the first 5 rounds, and won on the 6th, your gain is only $5 (160 -80-40-20-10-5). Blackjack is NOT equivalent to flipping fair coins, as the house always has an advantage, and tables have limits, which means you can't keep doubling your bet. Good way to lose everything by not remembering things are NOT 50/50. Just continue with your $5 bets and enjoy the ambiance.

  • @tarashoncharuk6822
    @tarashoncharuk6822 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thanks for making this video, too many other ones just list the rules mindlessly without any explanation, this is a good insight into what's behind the basic strategy rules. Obviously your strategy from this video is "less perfect", but I still liked how it covers the majority of hands with reasoning that is easy to remember.

  • @MikhoHadou
    @MikhoHadou 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Mm

  • @bogeys1242
    @bogeys1242 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Bad info at 19:10. He says the only thing that can beat your 19 is a 10 card. Nope. An Ace would beat you and push the other player with 21. In fact, if the Dealer has 21 it will be revealed right away and you lose without a chance to tie. And, yes, BJ is one of the worst games to play.

    • @ImranSheikh-kb5um
      @ImranSheikh-kb5um 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      All casino games favour the casino. After craps, BJ with good rules offers a player strictly playing basic strategy and counting cards almost as good odds.

  • @lostinphil
    @lostinphil 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    This is terrible advice, Progressive betting is a very bad idea, you will always lose in the long run. Learn how to count and use basic strategy.

    • @themathematicsofvice1652
      @themathematicsofvice1652 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      In games of chance at a casino, you always lose in the long run no matter what you do, which is something I've said over and over in these videos. Thanks for the comments though!

  • @lostinphil
    @lostinphil 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Given your rules, you will always lose in the long run 🤦

  • @lostinphil
    @lostinphil 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    You played that wrong, with the current count, hitting a 12-16 against a dealer 10 is a must!

  • @burakyldrm1738
    @burakyldrm1738 9 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Is taking even money a good decision if you have Bj and the dealer has an ace?

    • @Lownwolf-sm5py
      @Lownwolf-sm5py 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Never, unless youre counting cards and the true count is 2 or higher

    • @ImranSheikh-kb5um
      @ImranSheikh-kb5um 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Only in very special cases, and only if you are a card counter.

  • @denesdolor975
    @denesdolor975 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Can you calculate the basic strategy for pontoon where 10s are remove from the 6 decks.

  • @ImPhoRealz
    @ImPhoRealz ปีที่แล้ว

    I used this strategy with a 10k bankroll. You will eventually lose because of the table limit.

  • @SoulKingBK
    @SoulKingBK ปีที่แล้ว

    Pro tip screen shot the tips and make them flash cards.

  • @SoulKingBK
    @SoulKingBK ปีที่แล้ว

    Bro makes videos like he has 1 mill subs

    • @themathematicsofvice1652
      @themathematicsofvice1652 ปีที่แล้ว

      I appreciate that! Comments like this make me want to start making videos again

  • @SoulKingBK
    @SoulKingBK ปีที่แล้ว

    This is the best video I’ve ever watched so well produced. I want you for every gambling game. Majong next so I can beat yakuza 0

  • @Andrew_Young
    @Andrew_Young ปีที่แล้ว

    The first video in this series was great, but I'm not a fan of this one. First, you straight up said something false. You don't get the 3 to 2 payout on a ace and 10 value card after splitting aces, you would only get that payout on your FIRST two cards. I was hoping you were going to break down the mathematical reason why basic strategy works, but instead you just suggest your audience not follow basic strategy. So, this will lead to more money lost for people who actually listen to you. You ARE obviously very good at math, so I'm sure that's why you find this easier to learn than to look at a basic strategy chart, but speaking as a layman, I can guarantee this strategy is not easier than simply bringing your basic strategy chart to the table with you. So, following basic strategy would be both easier and would result in less money lost. Very disappointing!

    • @themathematicsofvice1652
      @themathematicsofvice1652 ปีที่แล้ว

      Thank you for your comment!

    • @Andrew_Young
      @Andrew_Young ปีที่แล้ว

      @@themathematicsofvice1652 Thank you for reading and responding to my comment! I especially like that you did that for a critical comment. It says a lot about your character!

  • @Learner1144
    @Learner1144 ปีที่แล้ว

    Is game of poker just logic ? (Love your vids , pls make more vids)

    • @themathematicsofvice1652
      @themathematicsofvice1652 ปีที่แล้ว

      Poker is an interesting combination of logic and intuition. On the one hand, probability is a big piece of it. On the other, it also involves social engineering. It's not enough to know the odds, you also have to know how to manipulate your fellow players. I'm bad at that personally. There will be more vids at some point, but my regular job and other channels have sadly been taking all of my time.

    • @Learner1144
      @Learner1144 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@themathematicsofvice1652 you have other channels?

    • @themathematicsofvice1652
      @themathematicsofvice1652 ปีที่แล้ว

      Yep! I have a channel about games and a channel about math/computer science. You can find the gaming/d&d channel at TH-cam.com/gamingmathematically And you can find the math channel at professor-cunningham.com

  • @andreandpaula
    @andreandpaula ปีที่แล้ว

    This is terrible

  • @capmendonca
    @capmendonca ปีที่แล้ว

    Except if some how the cards are from some magicians and can be changed

    • @themathematicsofvice1652
      @themathematicsofvice1652 ปีที่แล้ว

      True! A lot of casinos won't let the player touch the cards for exactly that reason, and there are cameras pointed at every table.

  • @Savagemister
    @Savagemister 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Basic strategy chart isn't that hard to memorize. I got it solid in my brain in a few weeks. If you're only doubling against a 4, 5, and 6, you're missing out on extra money. With a 9 yes, but on a ten or eleven, should be doubling more. You'll win more. And if math is your thing, just go ahead and learn to count cards.

    • @themathematicsofvice1652
      @themathematicsofvice1652 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      I will be doing a video on counting cards! Personally I think counting cards isn't worth it because you need a very high initial bank roll in order to make the odds any different, and it ruins the fun of the game for me. Also, memorization is fine, but this is a channel about math.

  • @Savagemister
    @Savagemister 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    10:14, that's backwards

  • @Savagemister
    @Savagemister 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    More often than not, in casinos, the dealer's first card is face up and the second is the hole card. Well, that I've seen anyway.

  • @CoachMediz1992
    @CoachMediz1992 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    So you use martingale

  • @richardgarira
    @richardgarira 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great explanation

  • @Raj-tn5xu
    @Raj-tn5xu 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Nice Explanation....

  • @bookmaster3699
    @bookmaster3699 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Very good videos, thx

  • @donjour69
    @donjour69 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    3:29 🧢 "if you make the right decision" so the (~) symbol is supposed to represent an unfixed/ fluctuating house edge? lol any given hand in cards is dependent on the previous deal. disregarding table rules a player can play suboptimal strategy or other players can influence the hand increasing the house edge stupendously in blackjack

    • @themathematicsofvice1652
      @themathematicsofvice1652 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Yep! If you make the wrong choices, you can increase the house edge, and you can take advantage of the fluctuating probabilities by counting cards. That'll be a future video, when I have the time :)

  • @themathematicsofvice1652
    @themathematicsofvice1652 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    At 06:03 I say $315 instead of $155 based on an earlier, incorrect calculation. At 07:01, I say "5 to 2" when I meant "3 to 2." It annoys me that I didn't catch these.

  • @JohnSmith-kr9bg
    @JohnSmith-kr9bg 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Can someone explain how it's possible to consistently lose 6:1 hands wen I play rng blackjack??? Surely this is a fix!? Guaranteed the dealer will 4-5 hands in a row but I'm lucky to 2 in a row. This doesn't seem "random" to me!?

    • @RolandoAvilaallin
      @RolandoAvilaallin 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Over a large hand sample size these win/loss streaks occur. To keep the house edge to just 0.5%, play on tables with favourable rules and execute basic strategy perfectly.

    • @Savagemister
      @Savagemister 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      In the short run, anything can happen. An hour later, you might have won 5 or more in a row.

    • @MX-CO
      @MX-CO 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I have found times where like you I've lost 5-6 in a row , even 10 in a row a few times, Now to try to avoid that. I watch for awhile and if it seems like the dealer is winning more than losing, not breaking much and seems to be making their hand a lot. I don't play there, another rule I set for myself is if I lose 4 hands back to back I walk away from that table, instead of hoping it's gonna get better. So far I've won several times with this method. Dealers seem to have hot and cold streaks and you definitely want to avoid their hot streaks

  • @paulklemer
    @paulklemer 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Never chase your gambling loss.... it's a trap and you will lose more

  • @paulklemer
    @paulklemer 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    I went over 21 many times

  • @imrahil_327
    @imrahil_327 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Way to slip the Picard quote in there! ;)

    • @themathematicsofvice1652
      @themathematicsofvice1652 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      The captain is very wise, and his words are doubly wise when speaking of games of chance.

    • @Dagrizzb
      @Dagrizzb 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I've never watched Star Trek in my entire life. And I still know this quote. That is how important it is.

  • @emberseves1918
    @emberseves1918 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Casinos are mostly illegal for Koreans in Korea (one exception) but allowed for people with other passports in Korea. I sat down at one blackjack table one time at one of these casinos as my only blackjack experience. I noticed too late that the minimum bet was $50 and was already dealt in. I don't remember the cards, but I lost that one hand and quit. These places are mostly for rich traveling business people not teachers like me.

    • @themathematicsofvice1652
      @themathematicsofvice1652 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      It's kind of shady that they dealt you cards before you placed your bet.

  • @DaidojiKaikou99
    @DaidojiKaikou99 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    I didnt say “heck”.