Egypt plans to green its desert
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 26 ก.ย. 2024
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Egypt is growing at two million people a year. Urban infrastructures can't cope. Now, lawmakers are opting to create arable lands and new cities.
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Egypt needs cooperation in agriculture with A technological and advanced country like Israel, I wonder if another Arab spring will break out.
Thanks, I'll check it out.
Love the new intro matey :)
I like your reports, but more interested in the Ukraine-Russian conflict right now.
Can I join if I'm Mexican?
When I visited Egypt last time, more or less every single faucet I saw was dripping and leaking water - something I thought was not the best practice in a country with a fresh water shortage.
Yea? Well I guess most of the nile flows into the ocean anyway.
The biggest water problem that most nations have revolves around not having enough water for agriculture. Consumer demand for water is almost always met without issue. Even if 100 million faucets leak 1 gallon per day, that's a little over 4 billion gallons per year, or 15 million m^3. 0.025% of Egypt's yearly supply according to this video. Plus it could theoretically be reclaimed, anyway. Still worth stopping but not a priority in my opinion.
Like the other guy said domestic water consumption is peanuts compared to irrigating crops
Which governate?
It's sorta irrelevant. It is not water shortage due to infrastructure, but due to agriculture. It is not like Mexico where people just don't have water to drink or use, but more like they don't have water for crops.
Egypt really does seem like the most make-or-break country in the world. Hope it works out
Due to climate change, it's highly likely to break. The biggest danger facing us is rising sea levels which threaten to plunge the delta underwater, which will destroy the majority of our farm land and put our major population centres under water. Egypt will survive, but many of our people will not. The current megaprojects will not save us.
Brazil would be my bet
@@tannertasman I dont see how brazil is not a world power they have everything they could need. Anyway off topic.
@@Cyndayn If you learned the truth of climate change you would be surprised. I would read about Co2 and what its place in plants is and what levels it has been historically. You will likely say im stupid without even looking. It could turn the entire sahara green.
@@matthorrocks6517 brazil could be one if it fixes their corruption issue and spread the wealth more evenly
The issue of armies being intertwined with states is a topic that deserves a whole documentary on its own.
Egypt, Pakistan, China and Uganda are just a few countries you could start with. Hoping to see more on THIS.
China ? The fastest growing economy
All of those countries have economic growth as a common feature. Egypt For example built an underestimated number of cities in the last 50 years...
@@aneural The government basically sold land to private investors with connections for m^2/1 egp. Literally 1 egp for 1×1 meter of land and the houses were manly for the filthy rich none of your average Egyptians could get it. The only hope Egyptians ask for in day to day life is educate their children good and have good healthcare for their children, so they could work as expats abroad and get money. Two things the Egyptian government will never provide.
Add America to that list
Problem is that foreigners think
Intervention of the army= corruption
That's not the case here in Egypt, when the army intervenes in a certain project it just makes it better.
Some people would disagree with me becuase although it would improve the project and its rate, the private sector would be damaged.
If this happens, it's gonna be Egypt's greatest enterprise, even impressive than the pyramids. I really Hope It comes true, not only for Egypt good, but also as a great example to other nations.
ههه ابقي قابلني لو اتحقق دا مصر دلوقتي عليها ديون بالهبل لدرجة ان الحكومة بتحاول تبيع جزيرة الوراق وبتهجر سكانها بالغصب وبقوة السلاح
it won't. the army is too corrupt, too stupid, too preoccupied with stealing to do anything good for the people.
yeah america needs examples
I've never heard "Terraforming" as an Earth-based concept; only, say Venus or Mars. It is, or could be, brillant in this day and age. Thank you, Shirvan.
It's "Terra" already. There's an old word for what Egypt is attempting here -- "irrigation." Water is almost everything: no water, no agriculture; no agriculture, no population.
Also known as irrigation lol
It's pretty common. Though generally it's referred to as "landscaping" instead
If you can't even do it on earth, then don't dream about it on mars.
@@MultiGERmann yeah my sister was talking about terraforming on Mars but I had to break her fantasy cause something like that will likely not happen in the next 500~1000 years from now. Terraforming is very difficult and especially a dead planet like Mars is nearly impossible because it has no burning core or magnetic field and no ozon layer. Mars has died a long time ago and it is going to need some extremely futuristic technology to get that ball of stone working again...
Ambition without a plan might as well be a prayer.
How does caspian report come up with amazing lines every single video.
They're historical quotes. Finding well-made and appropriate quotes is itself a challenge, but none of them are original. This quote in particular (which is paraphrased) is from a French poet named Antoine de Saint-Exupéry, which is actually “Un objectif sans plan n’est qu’un souhait” (“A goal without a plan is just a wish”), but has been paraphrased many, many times before in the past similarly to how Shivran has, such as “An ambition without a plan is merely a daydream”.
It's a good and applicable quote (even if often slightly misquoted), but it's not original.
@@steve8610 wow can't expect a better answer. How can someone research so much for a TH-cam comment's reply
@@engineeredarmy1152 Im pretty sure that the person already knew the facts, mightve googled a quote similar to it
@@steve8610 An edit to the original is originality, especially wrapped in context.
@@soulreaperichig0 Uh... no it's not. Unless it is made clear that it is quoted from a source, in most professional or academic contexts, that act would almost always be considered plagiarism.
"When plunder becomes a way of life for a groupe of people in a society, they create for themselves a legal system that recognises it and a moral code that glorifies it". Spot on.
I live in a country with a similar system and this describes perfectely what I have seen and experienced, though it's hard to be aware of this fact when you actually live inside such an environement (even if you're not necessarely profitint from it)
where are you from?
@Caspianreport Shirvan, you should've been a poet man 😄 superb words
Spot on indeed.
I believe that most countries are victims of this. people in power look their own interests and don`t care about the public interest or country`s future
my gov is so incompetent they only got the first half right
Sky news
Shirvan, your channel has grown so much over the years and I'm proud to say that I've been here to witness your success!
Same
I was here before it was cool
Will he make another Q&A videos like before?
Is he Indian?
@@konnen4518 The host? No he is Azerbaijani
All the mega projects undertaken in Egypt since 2016 were contracted to all the major private contractors in the country, not by the army. However the private contractors operate under the direct supervision of the army. Private companies are partaking in these mega projects and not ostracized from the developments. Just a nuance that you should note.
finally someone knows what is really happening , people just go thinking oh army is the only entity working and withdrawing loans and not paying private contractors , actually our total loan is decreasing and army are just supervisors to prevent corruption that damaged all these mega projects before plz don't say stuff in your videos that you are not fully aware of
True. All these projects are implemented by the private sector
But this private sector is mostly owned by the army .
@@leonardodavinci5089 Not even 30%
There's usually two ways to "green" a desert. The first way, the right way, is to use only the existing precipitations, but to maximize it. It can be done with native trees and plants that will keep the water for longer, by draining it into the soil rather than letting it slide and flood around. It needs the help of terraces and other bassins to keep some water around, or by watering the plants for the first few years. They've done that in Saudi Arabia or Jordan, it works, you need around 100-200 mm of rain per year. The wrong way to do it is what Israel, California or Australia do for example : simply drill for an aquifer, very deep, and just grow whatever you want. It's stupid, wasteful, and a lie when they claim sustainability. Some people can do it with dessalination plants, or by damming rivers. It's just as wasteful and stupid, at least until we find a sustainable way to use dessalination plants, which is not in the foreseeable future. The way Egypt wants to do it obviously falls in the second category.
Also, Egypt is doing what most countries do. They assume they need more land, more water. They don't maximize what they have. They could use cover crops to increase organic matter content in their fields, as well as yield for their crops. They could grow efficient crops like quinoa, that can sustain drought and salty soil. They could collect water from their over-urbanized area, from the roofs, etc.. like India is starting to do. Greenhouses are rubbish. They rob plants of UV light, that they need for good health and good production. They also often mean hydroponics, which produce tasteless veggies, poor in nutrients. Diverting water from the Nile or damming it is absolutely the worst way to do it. Natural ecosystems are much better at retaining water than anything humans can do. In dry parts of America, they're restoring waterways by stopping grazing and letting beavers come back. They're greening Northern Nevada like that. Obviously Egypt has no beaver, but by observing and using nature, I'm convinced there's a way.
Yes just pumping water upstream where gravity will not take it is asking for trouble. However what makes a big difference is the available soil. Beaver dams and plant growth work because the soil already exists, it just does not retain water. The desert of Egypt might be a different soil composition all together and may take many many years of cycling livestock, water and soil amendment to produce worthwhile yields. Although there is an interesting documentary on YT about a guy who cycled different livestock in Africa(maybe Australia) and this fertilizing and soil disturbance and brought back grasses that retained the rainy season waters and naturally started greening the area. But the existing soil composition was just as important a retaining water. It's sad that he is often discredited though. But I agree, municipalities often work backwards based on volume, and not sustainability. It's ashame.
@@nunyabusiness863 That's not true because you underestimate how soil is created. You can create topsoil (humus) really quickly with the right plants. They did that in volcanic sand in New Zealand for example (look up Christine Jones talks). If you got a real variety of plants in a cover crop, you inject immense quantities of carbon through the roots of plants, create soil life like crazy, and that builds up your soil really fast, in a matter of a few years. And then you can grow crops there. The key is water : you need to water those cover crops for the first few years, or have native plants that can survive on just 100-200 mm of water, which is what you get (at best) in Egypt. But even artificially watering cover crops to build up topsoil would be much much better than just damming rivers and irrigating/fertilizing normal crops without having built topsoil in the first place.
You're entirely right. They should be following permaculture examples, making swales, and growing suitable crops. Cotton is a poor choice because it takes so much water and pesticides.
Wow, that was seriously really convincing 👏🏻, if u dont mind what did u study in uni/college.
@@Aboda._03 I'm a physicist. But I guess I'm just curious about everything. I take care of a 1800 m² urban shared garden, planting veggies and trees and perennials, with no running water on site. My region gets around 600 mm a year, so it's one of the dryest areas in France.
I'll smash the "X" key to doubt. Given Ethiopia's new dam, high corruption and the massive financial costs, I don't see this happening, but I wish them good luck!
X key?
X
@@burprobrox9134 it's a gamer thing, press 'x' button to interact
Well it already started producing energy. It took us long enough.
x
Been a fan since you were at a little over 600k subscribers. It’s great that you are now over one million and more people can see your great content. Best of luck.
@@daddy_1453 same. I was going to say the same. Deserves 1M subs. So does Good Times Bad Times with their recent summary of the recent offensive in the Russo-Ukrainian war
Who checks how subs someone has when subscribing
why do people brag about what point they started watching a youtube channel? touch grass
I'm from Egypt, and may I say u got the situation here so right. The army has put itself as the only organization that can move things in this country, I got friends who work on big reclamation projects in the desert and the corruption is so big, but the big shot trademarks projects are done right for PR. Sadly though, this gov. unlike Hosni's is at least doing something, so it's better than nothing :') my expectations got so low that I see this gov. in this way.
Keep doing great videos.
Thank you for your local perspective. That was helpful to the story.
@@AlexAnder-rv1gu yygggggggggggggggggggggggggggggg
@@AlexAnder-rv1gu yg
Al fasad fi kol 7ita
Hosni's regime didn't do much but it halfed the debt burden left from Sadat and Gamal eras. However the Sissi regime took the debt to more than 200 billion USD and there is less to show for it, the focus on infrastructure is great for the private sector but like the video said the army is competing against them with zero taxes, free labor and direct access to power.
I expect Egypt will adopt the best water saving agricultural technologies and desalinate Mediterranean water with solar power extensively.
As an Egyptian, you made me really scared for the future of my country 💔. I hope things work out in the end somehow...
Then Stop Breeding!
@@MustafaAli-lb8dq wtf 😂
@@habibiseries127 I mean it. The world population is increasing. Even my country's population is increasing. We should first look at our priorities. If we have money, then we should have children. But most people in asia like to have children because they want to make their parents happy or their religion stresses on it.
@@MustafaAli-lb8dq ya trye egypts pop shld decrease for 4 now or else 😰
@@MustafaAli-lb8dq A society needs to maintain a birth rate of minimum 2.11
It's not "stop breeding" you should say, Instead, say "breed in moderation"
If you want everyone to go extinct we should start with you.
Been a fan since 80K subs. Always love your work man
Diverting water from existing river flows is a losing game anyway, because you're fighting over a dwindling resource. The solution is obvious, I think. Egypt has two resources in absolute abundance, and those are sterile, sun-baked land which is absolutely ideal for large-scale solar arrays, and they have seawater from their coastline, which can, with enough energy, be desalinated. Now, they'd have to be desalinating on an epic scale to feed an entire irrigation system out in the countryside somewhere, and that would in turn require a monumental amount of electricity, which is what the huge solar arrays are for. Electricity can turn seawater into fresh water which makes the two equivalent by a certain ratio. With enough electricity they can solve all their water problems. They need to blanket a huge area of desert near the coastline with solar panels and wind turbines along the actual coast for wind, and with a nuke reactor on standby, they'd be set forever.
Solar farms have been tried in the deserts before. And abandoned after failure. Again and again. It turns out that they require more energy to operate than they produce. They might be more practical if they were located closer to urban fringes. But then they'd be competing for good land instead of reclaiming useless desert land.
And who would provide the hundreds of billions ( if not a trillion)
For setting up and purchasing these solar panels ?
They are not cheap and they have a finite life of 12 to 15 years,
In a corrupt dictatorship that is run by the military, private money WILL NOT COME.
@@suryanshsrivastava5551 It is possible.
if china can do it, so can egypt.
Egypt is just more corrupt than china
Sometimes fixing problems is not in the governments interest. Keep the people right on the edge and they will need you forever.
@@matthorrocks6517 it's a dangerous game, it can backfire
Greetings from neighborly Georgia! Shirvan, thank you for your very prompt and concise English. I am Azeri/Georgian fluent in English, and Russian, but my girlfriend is speaking only Georgian and is learning English slowly. We can watch your videos together, learn, teach, and understand because of your great presenting. You are making global impact! Thank you from long time subscriber 🇦🇿🤝🏻🇬🇪
Do not forget Turkey. Our doors and our heart is open to welcome the Georgians. Our Land is your Land.
@@nihatsavmaz6677 Amana turk sekirim
You are such a profound poet.
"Ambition without plan might as well be a prayer"
"Turning sterile sand
into livable land"
Wish all people of all water short nations good luck,with their projects.
🔴 1:11 _"An ambition without a plan ...might as well be a prayer"_
So rightly said...
_Your consistency and your quality of content never disappoints_
Keep it up🏁💙
Like a related saying I've come across recently... "a goal without a project is just a dream!"
@@toranshaw4029 Much better quote, far less insulting to religious people
A prayer is one of the best, if the not the best thing a human can do. God is way stronger than us humans
Been a fan since 400k. You make phenomenal work man. Keep it up! Congrats on surpassing 1 million subs on TH-cam!!!
These projects are so
important ! For the World , Nature , human , animals ect ect ect. ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️
Turning deserts into city is a good strategy as compared to turn green areas
Finally something that isn’t about war. Thank you!
Your videos are always a good way for me to feel informed before I head to bed. Keep up the good work my friend
I wonder how badly the Ukraine situation will hit the middle east. From what I understand the whole region is very depended on grain imports from Ukraine and Russia. The whole region is a powder keg, and when people don't have food they usually start rioting, or worse...
You are correct that the Middle East region imports a significant amount of food from Russia and Ukraine. It will be interesting to see how this conflict impacts the geopolitical situation in the region, especially Egypt.
Lebanon will be hit hard as well. People there have already been struggling to buy food and fuel for a while now.
India can produce enough grain for all of middle East if the prices are high enough
Especially rice , I know Arabs don't eat it much but poorer countries can get cheap grain
@@ramk2443 rice need a lot of water, desert countries can not produce that, rice is none mention in the bible (I think).
Have a nice day from wet southamerica.
@@ferosdc i think he means buying indian rice as opposed to rice seeds
Without the army, these giant projects would not have actually taken place. We see great development in infrastructure, agricultural and industrial, that took place under the hand of the army, but businessmen just want to steal people's money. We are now living the beginning of a strong renaissance in our country, for a better future for us. Long live Egypt, long live Egypt
If any country can do it Egypt can. They have 5000 years of building cities in the middle of nowhere and bringing water to where they need it, coupled with modern permaculture techniques.
Terrible logic
@@JaKingScomez You are right. History means nothing. What was I thinking?
@@apextroll what were you thinking? Because what you said was so incredibly stupid i want to know why you even said that
@@JaKingScomez I should have known history has no relevance to the present or future. I stand corrected.
Dumb take
I like how these videos inspire me in unexpected ways. I saw some insight into understanding ancient politics.
need a quick Ukraine Russia war update video, doesn't have to be with animations, static background pictures and voice is enough
Working on it.
Thanks!
@@CaspianReport As always and thank you for that Good Sir. And congrats on the 1,000,000 Subscribers.......and growing....
Look at Good times bad times
Quick and accurate are almost impossible to coexist.
"... the Army is entrusted with nearly every macroeconomic project".
To say it's alarming is an understatement, but time will tell if they can pull off this gigantic project.
What will the Egyptian people do (and their masters in the EU) if the army can't?
@@meilinchan7314 egypt has no masters
U don’t understand what the army means in Egypt… every family with 2 or more are required to conscript so basically everybody joins the army in Egypt so in our culture the army is not a separate organization it is basically part of us… yes the military hold alot but thats because they are competent than other corrupt government officials… there is no denying that army discipline and hierarchy basically erase corruption which partly thrives in chaos. And by the way army projects are intertwined with the private sector so that basically means that when the army starts a new business or project it gives up to 49% of its shares to the private sector and vice versa when a private entrepreneur has a good idea they invest and they take up to 49% shares of the start up to cover for the investment. This system has been at works for like 8 years and i can tell you it absolutely works… how else would our gdp keep rising despite the pandemic.
@@seifelbagoury7182 They don't understand that when we asked the private sector to hold these projects they refused
But when the army executes them..they become opposing ! 🤗
@@AhmedOsama-ho4np exactly!
Egypt's main problem is its population growth. When the population is growing so fast the economic growth cannot keep up with the population, so GDP per capita remains stagnant.
Exactly correct
I'm quite sure that the Egyptians will be successful no matter what
Where r u from ?
@@user-or1rm1ol3q Greece but my grandfather was a Cypriot born in Egypt
@@Pavlos_Charalambous and why u are sure Egyptians will be successful no matter what?
@@user-or1rm1ol3q they are methodical and they have to, there is no other way.
There's a certain type of countries that are driven by necessity, you know like an old car always fixing something to make it keep moving forward just few more miles at the time
Such a country is Egypt , so am pretty sure that they will come around a solution sooner or later because they have to
0:47 this part is editing genius i had to replay it several times
Good luck to them, we need more projects like this to restore the land and secure food production.
I hope they succeed
@@helloitsme6056 we can't soon we won't even be able to even water our already cultivated land you expect us to be able to make more Ethiopia has already put a stranglehold on our water the only way to solve it is to risk total annihilation of our cities next to the nile by destroying the dam
"to restore the land " except it is not being restored, it has been naturally a desert for a long time. How about curb their frickin population, invest in education, so families raise 2-3 highly educated kids on average, instead of 5-6 half hungry kids.
I disagree, with a growing population like that...it will never be enough
@@abdelrahmantarek5439 🐑🐑🐑غبي
Love your videos my man. Been watching here to fuel my intrests in geopolitics haha
"An ambition without a plan might as well be a prayer". Maaan, I love your quotes!
Viva Egypt 🇪🇬 viva Sisi, viva the Egyptian army who always a burn in Israeli hearts.
Hey Shirvan, Can you make a video on Germany's decision to raise their defense spending. and the geopolitical effects of Germany now having the third-largest military budget.
We need new barracks, new equipment and people are discussing a conscription vs professional army (or both). I have actually no idea if this works out, but I've seen some unrelated government funded projects that doing good. My low expectation is a little bit more optimistic than a few years ago in relation to modernization. The next German comment will probably be someone who's crying on a high level (as usual).
@@limbo3545 As someone from the USA, I am delighted to hear Germany is increasing defense funding. Russia has awoken a sleeping giant.
@Koadi Asra They've got a ways to go. It wasn't long ago there were stories about them using broomsticks painted black for training because they didn't have enough rifles
@@johnr797 Sounds like a fun party
Since the current ruling party had plans to cut the budget even more before ukraine happened, i am somewhat relieved that they made this step.
imo we couldn´t expect the USA to protect german/european interessts forever anyways, i mean what kind of a shitty deal is that for the US Oo?
Maybe with a more capable European Military overall with France, Italy and Germany the US could even relax a bit on it´s own defense budget and spend more on domestic stuff you know make the life of americans better.
That last part is just hopeful thinking i doubt MURICA would relax it´s military spending xD
I was expecting a video on Ukraine. I am not disappointed but i still hope the next one will be about it. best wait for after these "peace talks" though so you have more to analyse! Keep it up Shirvan!
-A fan from the Fijian Islands
I’m looking forward to seeing it also to check nazi imperial comments, from those, who made them on the previous one saying that Ukraine is a nazi poor country that would have fallen after 3 hours of the war. Fuck russia’s nazi regime. There are a thousand units of blown machinery and aviation and over 5 thousand dead corps. Ukraine is hell for the Russian nazists
@@user-bandrsmuzi 40% белых в россии- это украинцы.
это как 30% белых в США - итальянцы или голландцы.
россияне - это зомби в системе ; украинцы - больше свободы.
something which Shirvan didn't mention in this video is that Egypt will be massively affected by the current crisis. The Egyptian population subsists mostly off bread which is subsidised by the government, baked from wheat imported from Ukraine and Russia. We import 90% of our grain from those two countries, and soon there will be a food crisis in Egypt.
@@Cyndaynв
«Зерновой союз Казахстана"
@@user-bandrsmuzi I guess you don't know what a nazi is
The amount of info you know about the geopolitical state of my country is alarmingly amazing, I come here just to hear your take on every new project or so. keep up the good work.
Most of Egyptian wheat comes from Russia and Ukraine . Is there a sense of panic or dawning realisation of food prices shooting up?
Really worried about middle East unrest or turmoil from India 🇮🇳 coz it inevitably has some effect here .
@@ninadkashyap7573 nah, wheat isn't exclusive to ukraine or russia. however i dont see the goverment compromising its good realtions with russia due to the recent crisis. regarding food prices, It'll go up in every part of the world due to us dollar inflation. Dollar inflation hurts third world countries more than first nations as for every dollar they print, we print 15 of our currency and for you i think more. I just hope for less violence in the next reconstruction of the world order and I hope for imperialism to subside from third world countries like yours and mine as it has already cost us alot.
Well this episode was gold ! From the research into the history and status, to the philosophical implications on the outcome of a plan. Well done !
Great analysis Shivan!
I hope that Egypt is successful in its quest to expand the arable land of Egypt.
The Egyptian goverment and military are doing amazing, they invest in their country and build a future for them self.
It's affecting the people in a good way, people support him and people are moving to newly built areas.
Would it be better for Egypt to switch to growing high-value export crops and then importing cheaper grain and foodstuffs?
Nope we were thinking like this. Although it might seem a good idea economically, but when when crisis hit like nowadays in Russian aggression on ukraine, you just can't feed people flowers.
Maybe don't have so many children when the country can't really support it
@@hazzmati go tell all 100 million people that man good luck
@@hazzmati agree but easier said than done. Somehow this is hard wired in the peoples minds
No. During the 2008 financial crisis many African countries that were forced by the IMF to grow cotton, a high-value export crop, rather than food were left in the dust. Suddenly cheaper grain and foodstuff prices went through the roof and eating cotton was not very practical.
P.S. : No, when it comes to food security. Other than that they are already doing that and they are not going to stop. It makes sense.
In Florida, which has sandy - silty soil, we make our lawns have soil strong enough to grow grass; over time, with maintenance, the ground gets more and more fertile
That's actually super interesting. Is it standard practice to leave lawn clippings on the ground to help build up soil?
@@valritz1489 Yeah its often done like that. The clippings if they are small enough can also fertilize the lawn again. Thats why the newly made lawns or beds are always a bit lower than the walk/driveways if it is done by people who know what they are doing.
Florida gets 55 to 60 inches of rain each year. That is a big difference compared to a country in the Sahara.
Florida is a giant wetland swamp, not an extremely dry desert, what you said is true but there’s no comparison with terraforming the Sahara.
It rains a lot in Florida, though. And the climate is different.
"An ambition without a plan, may as well be a prayer". Brilliant.
Greetings from an Egyptian!
If you aren't already working on one, please make a video on the Russian invasion of Ukraine! I would love to hear your breakdown and analysis of the situation.
It’ll probably come after the conflict ends
I'm fairly certain he is aware of it.
There's already a ridiculous amount of media coverage of Russia and Ukraine, plus he's already covered it in prior videos and the present situation is still developing. Best to leave it to the regular media for now and do other stuff. He can assess the Ukraine situation later when things are more settled and clearer. Remember Caspian Report is NOT a news channel. Never has been.
@@ArawnOfAnnwn Bro why are you copy pasting in the comments of anyone who even mentions Ukraine?
Plus, till now, the situation is evolving exactly as he predicted during the tactical analysis of the invasion
Egypt should enter in a type of economic cooperation or integration with with Sudan and libya, Sudan has vast natural agricultural land and plenty of water sources in addition to the massive livestock grazing on natural areas, Libya has massive oil reserves, both countries Libya and sudan are short in human resources, and both are very close culturally to Egypt. The agriculture lands in Egypt have been exhausted and Egypt is now using huge amounts of chemical fertilizers and treated sewerage water to achieve their productivity targets, so the 3 countries have to work out a deal otherwise Egypt will be enter into a very dark years ahead.
true
As an Egyptian I strongly agree
Great observation. Now if we could only get the Libyans west and sount to cooperate with the Libyans east and the Sudanese to cooperate with the Sudanese south and the South Sudanese largest tribe to cooperate with the other tribes there. I am not being satirical, I think it is a brilliant idea, just wonder if the rival tribes people would ever get past their petty differences and start acting wisely together for the common good. Seems obvious. Actually I wonder about that in the U.S. these days too! But let me stay away from our own local miasma.
Nice idea. However I can assure you that there is a lack of trust somehow between Libyans and Egyptians due to many factors and you can’t find this lack of trust between Libya and Tunisia or Libya and Turkey relationships for example. The Egyptians are very shortsighted regarding the foreign relationships. In many decisions the Egyptians have taken they look immature.
The relationship between Egypt and Sudan is tense. Thank you. We do not want this cooperation with them
What Egypt has done in the past 7 years equals what was done since 1970-2011 which is more than 40 years, no exaggeration.
They did do stuff under Nassar, Anwar and Hosni, but when the Muslim Brotherhood were "elected" all hell broke loose, and then people got Sisi instead, who's liked bys most people I know of in Egypt, I only met one who didn't like him but his brother liked him.. But Sisi is difinetly ramping Egypt up to a new age, brining the middle class into newly built areas and improving low class's life.
@@enthusiastisch1922 Piss off. The Muslim Brotherhood was elected and then the West deposed him and funded Sisi.
Egypt could learn from UAE or Saudi Arabia about how to build and manage a livable city on the desert, and make them proper place for living
I'm Egyptian, ElSisi has said in one of his last speaches that army interference is affecting the economy, so the government is taking measures right now to limit the interference of the army. Sorry for my bad English.
The government - him- is taking "measures" to reduce the "army interference" that he is the one pushing for ?
lol, yeah right.
@@mab7727 well, YEAH RIGHT actually. Lol, watch the video bro, why would Sisi say it if he didn’t believe it. Al Sisi is the type of person who really just dgaf and will do what he thinks is right no matter what, he is LITERALLY the most honest leader we got maybe in our whole Egyptian history. ربنا يباركله و يخلي مصر في احسن مكان في العالم
@@egyptiansoldier6535 ah, the 10 cent army.
Did he say anything about condoms?
@@ernie4125 yes he did dummy
As an alternative way of moving population into new grounds, they could revive the Qattara Depression Project which would move people further west (south of El Alamein and pretty near to the Siwa Oasis).
If I were to do that (I said "if" I were), I would do it a bit differently _(and I'm not criticising Egypt by merely tweaking things)_ and would use the private sector angle as a showcase for technologies such as silt-trap-sinks (with digger-buckets there) and linings (such as concrete-lining or others). Also, if it were me, I would want a dual gauge _(european gauage for "dual part1" and then also 3Metre gauge for the "dual part2")_ railway along it (canals) to help with the slit-trap-sinks, and then that also makes money. There is also a problem with the crops which could be tweaked to help and that is basically down to growing trees, the reason for which is fungus and chelation crops because that is how to deal with salts. In other words, fungus (a lot of fungus) pulls up metals _(from trees and rotting-wood in soils)_ in a concentration _(and this can also be done with other crops such as sunflowers, as per germanium)._ Trees produce massive amounts of celluose and then that celluose (calcium carbonate) reacts with the salts and creates various cyanides, i.e. which in turn bond with metals. This can be used to an advantage for removal of heavy metals (but also other metals). The fungus and chelation and sunflower-style crops then pulls those out the soil. It helps if you have Sunlight (and Egypt certainly has that) but solar desalination helps too. A lot of heat/light/photons/electrons and water. Making a future plan to pull in a seawater canal from the cost to where a traintrack meets would help provide extra water _(to keep the rate of supply stable, west of the New-Delta from the Med-Sea)_ but also as a form of transport for vessels. Again that is a source of profit.
A medical train and (boat/ship) vessel can be added as a company healthcare _(with a small amount of anonymous philanthropy for spear health vouchers from employees who have not use them all up in their 4year period)_ because it is scalable. It means that if an NHS system (UK style) exists in a country, it need not meddle with that (nor introduce it) but also it means a voucher system does not erode medical insurance systems _(because vouchers systems are finite each 4 years like a linux-LTS distro is, small and scalable, which admittedly means they are limited in what they offer but also that means they are sometimes easier to deploy)._ This also avoids the messy medical-insurance debates about purely privatised-medical-insurance-versus-obamacare-insurance _(because the vouchers-system simply does not get involved)._ The philanthropy is also anonymous and singular and so it avoids syndicates or federating by smaller cliques. The anonymity is not intended to be perfect either because it would be obvious beyond the "basic-healthcare-donation" that some high-up-boss is one of the few capable of donating that zirconium-dental-implant to a local impoverished farmer _(if that were to ever actually happen)._ Nor does it mess with co-op hospitals. That means if any of those other health systems exist, it need not erode them _(but is can collab if training is funded for example, such as with wages paid by an external entity for a doctor to train when using donated spare vouchers from a staff member to some local random farmer who needs a dental-filling or mild infection treated)._
When it comes to the vast amount of tree crops _(which are not only inedible but also edible),_ tobacco would be grown with it. Trains would be armoured and guarded (armed guards) because they would have high value items (jewellery, etc.) sometimes with he hospital trains carriages. That sells the product and helps with the correct type of social-engineering. A big train can aso deploy a medical vehicle off-the-tracks like an m113 or even a more modern m113A4 medical-evaluation vehicle, and the desert with some water is perfect for it. That is then scalable again. Trees also give good image for the great-green-wall. I'd sling up a lab for fungus antibiotics research too _(not all for humans)_ because there would be so much fungus.
Regarding the 3Metre gauge trains, it is worth adding that not only do they create more room for surgery in hospital trains but also they allow for business expansion such as rented office space _(silent booths with power-over-ethernet 10GBps rj45 internet)_ in carriages and the electric track has 3 rails for out-of-phase electrical signals. Trains would run at 60mph, 120mph or 180mph. A company who want a conference room for chats maybe have to hire a whole carriage (a maybe with catering). From boarding at station1, work starts for office carriages before the employees even get to their building at station2. Always be making profits and bring up the area.
For office and medical training, again it would be scalable so for example a KVM for skole-linux would exist as basic but a higher price band would be available for MacOS _(for BSD-Linux compatibility layer, like a BSD-jail or similar)_ and Microsoft for the linux-subsystem. Some office dude is bound to have a laptop or mitx box with peripherals using some specific driver they desire. Miracast/RemoteFX is an example or Apple sound-recording devices (or some OScope).
My comment has no hate in it and I do no harm. I am not appalled or afraid, boasting or envying or complaining... Just saying. Psalms23: Giving thanks and praise to the Lord and peace and love.
Dude you put a lot into this lol, very interesting
Bless you man
Not gonna lie, this isn't exactly what I was expecting your next video to be about but nonetheless - still a great video!
Can't wait for the Ukraine report
@@megauberduber There's already a ridiculous amount of media coverage of Russia and Ukraine, plus he's already covered it in prior videos and the present situation is still developing. Best to leave it to the regular media for now and do other stuff. He can assess the Ukraine situation later when things are more settled and clearer. Remember Caspian Report is NOT a news channel. Never has been.
@@ArawnOfAnnwn indeed. gotta wait on how itll turn out. nevertheless, slava ukraini.
If you want to see a video about the situation in Ukraine I suggest you go watch good times bad times. They’ve done a video everyday since the conflict started and I think their analysis is excellent.
He could write a script today and it would be out of date tomorrow. Besides, so much fake news surrounding the war that his word would be diluted.
Maybe it is time to revive the Qattara Depression Project. I know it sounded stupid, but given the massive size and evaporation potential of this lake, it could lead to more rain in Egypt, potentially leading to a de-desertification of a large area. Also, it would lower sea levels a little bit, and increase the reflectiveness of the earth surface reducing climate change as well.
Honestly out of all the projects it seems more realistic its 4x the cost of the toshka project but obviously covers a lot more than 4x the area
That is very expensive though
The ocean is less reflective than sand by alot, amd the volume of water you would remove from the ocean is worth a fraction of a millimeter.
I think it would be a much better use of their time to set up a desalination plant and pipe the water directly to tiled fields. (Pipes adding water directly to the soil like a leachfield, you can also add fertilizer this way) you would also want to choose naturally water conservative crops for obvious reasons.
Another concern with growing crops in the desert is the difference between sand/dirt and soil. Sand is just rocks of a particular diameter, dirt is also just tiny rocks, but soil is living and is filled with bugs and microbes and decaying plant matter and all sorts of "goodness" that helps plants grow in it. One of the steps to be taken it the very important addition of topsoil and mulch and generally making it soil and not sterile sand. (Presumably they could transplant some sediment from the nile and soil from existing farms to jumpstart this)
I'd also bet that a massive field of crops would put off more moisture from evapotranspiration than a "small" bay added on to the Mediterranean would. (Assume equivalent land area converted)
@@jasonreed7522 well digging it with backhoes yes the original plan was to nuke it funny enough. Which considering 1030 have been tested globally I suppose it would of been better than obliterating random parts of Siberia or random pacific islands. Not saying nuclear testing is good but it was an inevitability during the cold war so the idea of not doing nuclear testing was not even remotely on the table. Best thing Egypt can do is get their birthrate under control they are in dire need of a 1 child policy. As 105 million people almost entirely along the Nile and rapidly growing is hardly sustainable.
@@TBIcel 1 child policies don't go well (ask china how that went).
The correct way to lower birth rates is to increase general education (especially for women), it also naturally lowers as healthcare and life expectancy go up with industrialization. The US and UK also used to have 8-10 kids a family but once they all are expected to reach adult hood it becomes far less popular to try and put 8-10 kids through college.
A natural consequence of of this improved healthcare/life expectancy is that the last generation of 8 kids will each have 2-3 kids and grow old resulting in a final "spurt" of growth as the higher age brackets fill out.
And my point about the plan originally being "dig it with nukes" is not that we would do the same but that they were very eager to find uses for the bomb other than war, so they probably didn't think about the consequences of putting all that salt water above the fresh water aquafirs or any number of other environmental considerations.
Personally i think using concentrated solar to power desalination and then use that to water crops will be much more beneficial. (They still need to convert sand to soil which means adding other particle sizes and lots of organic matterial to it, something the Nile's floods naturally do) because, fun fact, the US corn belt puts out more oxygen than the Amazon and tons of water vapor, the Amazon is also self watering where most of its rain is sourced from the evapotranspiration from its trees/plants. So just growing massive fields of crops would help increase humidity and therefore rainfall. I just don't think making a new bay of the Mediterranean would realistically do much for the local weather.
recently Egypt built 14 new cities plus new capital my wishes for this country 🇪🇬
We need that Ukraine report
There's already a ridiculous amount of media coverage of Russia and Ukraine, plus he's already covered it in prior videos and the present situation is still developing. Best to leave it to the regular media for now and do other stuff. He can assess the Ukraine situation later when things are more settled and clearer. Remember Caspian Report is NOT a news channel. Never has been.
The population growth of Egypt and whole of Africa (particularly sub-Saharan Africa) is unsustainable. Too much people for economies and especially enviroment to handle. The whole continent is destined to became a battlefield for resources. Hopefully European states take notice and close their borders before its too late. For this project to work Egypt will have to bring down its total fertility rate. Its coming down in recent years, but its still too high for them to handle on the long run.
The way Europe is going with its potential wars, it will be Africa that will need to close its borders from desperate Europeans. Africa is a very large and resource-rich continent with a population smaller than China, that has been made poor by both local tyrant and foreign interest. Africa will need to cut population growth but that must come with sustainable economic growth and modernisation.
@@sulaak lol Africa is a Desert
@@sami3566 brainwashed… only North African is a desert, despite that it’s still the richest region in Africa
@@The-ZebraFinch-Channel lol Africa is desert and only Egypt in North Africa that is totally desert and depends in a River that has it's source outside it's borders
Very informative as usual, thank you. Your comments about the Egyptian military is inaccurate, they only handle the oversight instead of the ministry of housing but actual work is done by the private sector. I am Egyptian and I'm amazed by the scale and speed of completion. Previously a bridge took 15 years to complete but now 2 years so it seems they are efficient. As for corruption there is probably some because we are a 3rd world country where corruption is an art form
Thats because the bridges arent planned properly. Some already collapsed or are build 50 cm next to balconies. Egyptians are a shadow of their genius ancestors when it comes to planning and building.
@@tareka.4857 not true Muslim brothers propaganda
@@ahmadfathy7994 my family lives in Sahel,Shobra..so what are you telling me?
@@tareka.4857 that is just simply not true at all that prolly mb propaganda with their fake ass photos and news
@@gga449 nobody said anything to the Jews and ur clearly dispora
Wow. Egypt has a very, very turbulent future ahead of it fixing that mess.
As they say in SC2 "Hell, its about time!" 100 million people live on the two banks, the rest of the country is desert, its amazing that the Nile could sustain them for that long however personally I would prefere when all these countries in the Middle East would do something about their unchecked population growth! To put this in context, in the last 70 years, in nearly every country from the Maghreb to Indonesia, the population increased by a factor of four!
The increase has already slowed down and is continuing to do so, unfortunately the slowing seems to have started too late
Ot the same pop growth that all industrial nations went through with a basic explanation.
Society goes through the following phases:
1. Agrarian with terrible healthcare, so you want lots of kids because most will die before they can reproduce and its free labor for your farm. (Children as an investment in your future)
2. Urbanization and improving healthcare (people still have large families as is tradition, but only 1 kid of 10 died to pneumonia instead of 6 kids dieing)
3. Because of this population explodes as now these large families all make it to adult hood and have kids of their own. But now college is a thing and expensive (children go from investment to burden in an industrial society with good healthcare)
4. Birthrates drop down to around 2-3 kids per family and pop growth slows but doesn't stop yet. All this health care also means people live longer, so you end up with more seniors and a population with a higher average age than before.
5. Pop growth levels off as the birthrate is now near replacement level and the last of the larger families have grown old and become seniors.
Basically in the transition from agrarian and garbage healthcare with high infant mortality to industrial where you know your 2 kids have to be put through college there is a lag in society realizing that you don't need to have 10 kids anymore but the generation where all 10 kids lived will grow old and once that generation dies off the population growth is back to being really slow but for very different reasons.
No. Indonesia is being deforested, what rhey dont cut down to export to china, they burn. Rain forests are a hidden treasure of diversity and medical drugs, they also trap carbon dioxide that would otherwise be in the atmosphere
12:45 "When plunder becomes a way of life for a group of people in a society over time they create for themself a legal system that recognizes it and a moral code that glorifizes it."
The reason the military handles contracts, is because few years ago when a contract was given to private company to make a road for example, the road would break again and again, because private companies were using cheap materials to maximise their profit. Now when a contract is given to a private company and the supervision is given to military, you can come to egypt and see the roads, World Standard and top safety, this is what the citizens of Egypt want, honesty, not just bunch of lies and corruption
If thats true, then thats not the fault of the private contractors. When a project is up for bidding, the project proposer sets requirements for the project, any bidder that does not meet the requirement is simply eliminated. If the requirements allow the cheapest materials possible, the private contractors were simply fulfilling the contract.
If thats true, then thats not the fault of the private contractors. When a project is up for bidding, the project proposer sets requirements for the project, any bidder that does not meet the requirement is simply eliminated. If the requirements allow the cheapest materials possible, the private contractors were simply fulfilling the contract.
Prayers are stronger than plans😉❤️⛪✝️🇬🇷
﴿ يَا لَيْتَنَا أَطَعْنَا اللَّهَ وَأَطَعْنَا الرَّسُولَا ﴾
أمنية فات وقتها فلم تزدهم غير حسرة وألم وغم ، فلنتداركها ونحن أحياء .
اللهم أيقظ قلوبنا من الغفلة .." 💜
Very interesting. Thx for creating this episode.
Damn i was expecting a Ukraine Update, should be especially interesting for a Azeri. Come on Shirvan, give the people what they want! :D
Too much Ukraine atm. Plus its hardly set it stone history or truth at this point. Gotta wait a year or so to even really cut past the propaganda and idiots banging the war drum.
I like how all these countries are trying to "green" their deserts lmao its just money down the drain or going to a slush fund. Changing a whole regions weather patterns is basically impossible to maintain lol
When I saw the title I knew that in this video will certainly be mentioned the Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, the blessing for Ethiopia and the curse for Egypt.
I hope egypt will blow up the Ethiopian dam and Ethiopia
It's not a curse for Egypt (if refilled in a long period), the country that will be in trouble in face of drought or flood is actually Sudan. but the Lake Nasser and Toushka can accommodate another Nile inside them in case of flood (which is the only strategic weapon Abi Ahmed has)
Curse on u
This will transform the whole of north Africa
As Egyptian I assure you these project are currently under construction like the new delta 300k acres are already reclaimed for agricultural uses
Shirvan we need your insight on the Russia-Ukraine conflict asap!
There's already a ridiculous amount of media coverage of Russia and Ukraine, plus he's already covered it in prior videos and the present situation is still developing. Best to leave it to the regular media for now and do other stuff. He can assess the Ukraine situation later when things are more settled and clearer. Remember Caspian Report is NOT a news channel. Never has been.
Some years ago (some with good memory would recall) Yemen was seen as an example of a country that, due to its water shortage and crisis (the wells were going dry, the little water they had was mainly used for water-thirsty khat, that is a chewing-addictive plant consumed by most of the population), was about to face a humanitarian crisis.
It came with a war. I wonder if Egypt would go the same route as, clearly, the Nile has limitations (regardless of other countries' dams) and desalination doesn't seem to be doing wonders, either.
poor yemen
When things come to a crisis, the govt will just blame Ethiopia and start a war to distract from the crisis.
Waaaaait so a mega project costs $20b, but MS bought activision for $70?
That really puts it into perspective.
Yeah shows you how fucked up capitalism is, you pay 70 Bs to acquire an entertainment video game company while another country in the world need 20B just to survive. but you know what these brown people down there aren't gonna prevent us from getting prototype 3 or a new tony hawk . hell yeah brother
@@MohamedTarek-lz3hi oh wow somehow everything wrong in this world is the fault of capitalism. Could you name one successful country with a Communist economy? Even the Egypt your rooting for takes part in global free trade 😂
@@MohamedTarek-lz3hi Not really. A video game company makes products that sell around the world. An Egyptian megaproject only has impact in Egypt.
@@calc1657 I dunno about your code of ethics sir. But in my book no human being on earth should be endangered or have the possibility of extinction while others *first class citizens* have the luxury to engage in heated screams among fellow gamers in voice chat. This is ludicrous to me and I'm a consumer of such products as well. Anyways who cares eventually these brown people are gonna jump on boats and go to european valhallas up north but be sure to buy the most accurate controller and arm your drones a to shoot their boats while you're setting on your gaming chair.
That was a bit overboard but you get the idea :V ;3
Under the sahara there are huge reserves of water underground since the ice age. Libya built an aqueduct (then destroyed by the war) to bring water from those reserves. Egypt can do the same, a good part of that reserve is in egyptian territory
Production is looking better. Nice work, Caspian Report!
*Egypt/Misr is very cool. We need global south working together🇨🇳🇮🇳🇪🇬🇮🇩*
Maybe they should slow down on that population growth
Egypt is doing great in all domains !
This was so much more than a mega project update! Thank you for the history and for the politics of the Egyptian state!
TH-cam: where the sponsored video ad gets interrupted by another ad before returning to the ad.
First time viewer and I´m imidiately subbed! Great report, and there are so many more interesting videos on your channel!
Low literacy, low female status, brutal internal security forces, a severe corrupt authoritarian government AND a population explosion. Things do not bode well for Egypt regardless of its agriculture.
👍
As an Egyptian, i pretty much agree with this
@@ashiinsane90 I should also have said that my heart goes out to the noble Egyptian people who have shown me many kindnesses.
"there isn't enough ARABle land.."
There's enough to sustain an Arab population of 20milion, there's just to many Arabs in Egypte
if all that water just disappears in the ocean why not just redirect it ? i mean some houses and highways relocated should not be a big deal and after that you just would have to dig a path to make the river cross the country 2-3 times.
"An ambition without a plan might as well be a prayer". My guy spitting like Shakespeare out there
Egypt is one of those few countries that must use regulation to lower birth rates. Sadly, the government is probably not strong enough to intiate such plans.
What will you do with the ageing population?
The issue is that there is a huge resistance from the people. Belive it or not they say this is a religious thing. Once you say birth control everybody starts screaming. The funny thing is that they get more and more kids but can't afford raising them 🤣
@@atzakore The current fertility rate is very high (3~3.5) and Egypt should be able to function correctly with 2~2.5 births per woman, without much of an aging population. Also, the aging population requires money- and having fewer children could divert money to taking care of the already living population.
Forced Birth Controls is a human rights violation
@@Zero_Contradictions A person with sense and who actually lays out facts, thank you.
Would tunnelling water from the Mediterranean Sea to the
Qattara Depression help in any way?
I'm pretty sure that'd just give you another Dead Sea.
@@HeadsFullOfEyeballs If you don’t desalinate the water before, then yes, over time it would turn into another Dead Sea. But if you do, one could create fast farming areas, fishing grounds and the dissipation combined with the local south east winds would turn large areas green again. This of course requires an extensive and complex plan, if desalination becomes cheaper it will most likely be done. The Egyptian government has issued multiple studies in the past and shows some interest in the project.
@@onlymediumsteak9005 That would be a very expensive desalination project. Very very expensive.
It's discussed but it would take 20 years to actually get anything good out of it since it's very slow process
Oh yes Drain the Mediterranean more, that will solve the problem. yes put the whole region at risk of desertification.
Congrats on surpassing 1M. Been watching caspianreport since 2017!!
Excellent report!
It's time to bring back Ancient Egyptian fashion.
"an ambition without a plan might aswell be a prayer." A life without belief is a life without goals. A pointless life.
Great Informative video and I do hope it becomes successful. Greening from the major city Cairo sounds like a great idea since most of Egypt is desert. Besides it makes environmental and long term economic sense. Currently UK is trying to become energy independent with renewables to get net Zero and meet climate agreements. It has food self sufficiency except for exotics and can manage 25-75% electricity production. It depends on weather with the world's largest offshore wind and this increases all the time! On Egypt, doesn't it have some of the world's best resources for solar which could increase available arable land for greening? Isn't there also experimental solar power plant, like in Spain and Morocco, that could potentially provide the means for Egypt to become energy self reliant? Lastly wouldn't a solar powered desalination power plant be the key to start greening Egypt's huge landmass?
@jimmy is it? I know Russia was planning helping Egypt build nuclear energy? Incidentally Egypt is actually a net exporter of electricity by natural gas (66%) alongside meaningful hydropower(18.2%) and oil (15.6%).
@@jamiearnott9669 it is, we're e building plants like the one you mentioned to export energy to surrounding nations.
Recently a massive power line linking Egypt to Cyprus then Greece and unto Europe has been agreed on and is underway.
@@2stoon Yeah, I thought I'd fact check curious, and you're right ;-) I also note BP and ENI were involved in helping Egypt build and utilize it's remaining petrochemical resources for projects you mention. UK still has petrochemical production from the North sea but it is in terminal decline as the resource is used up.
Egypt also have similar plans
Egypt already made a map of best sites with capacity 90 gigawatt
The investments in renewable energy is very high for public and private sector
Even Egypt start working in green hydrogen and there is already alot of European companies started to invest in Egypt Especially that will also help
Also Egypt will host cop27
Man wake up ! Egypt is now the number one electricity exporter in North Africa and middle east thanks to the giant solar farms in the west and eastern parts of egypt
Obviously they need to implement birth control: a two child policy.
Water evaporation must be avoided: pipelines instead of canals. Cover lakes with floating balls or solar panels etc.
One child policy, they have an ecological carrying capacity of about 20 million people. Right now they have 5 times more than their environment/land can carry. It's not sustainable long term.
@@fluoroantimonictippedcruis1537 One child policy fucked china demographics in the long term(so much that its probable china has the worst demographic in the world rn)
Nah less soldiers
@@ythunderboy8694 As I said, the country has a carrying capacity of 20 million people, they are more fucked if they don't depopulate than if they do. China is still over populated even with the predicted 700 million people or whatever it is by 2100 or whatever. China itself only has a carrying capacity of 300 million. You can always recover from a small population and build back up, but you reach that tipping point where you destroy the environment there is no going back. Once the soil and aquifers are thoroughly depleted that's it, you have to wait thousands of years for it to replenish.
If long term ecological sustainability isn't your goal, then do whatever. If it is, you can't say you are for the environment and then in the same breath defend countries that are 4 or 5 times over their sustainable carrying capacity. Maybe 2 or 3 times is ok, you can use tech gimmicks and a lot of energy to make up for shortfalls, but any more and you see widespread degradation of the environment.
Won't be a need to, their total fertility rate is falling fast.
Egypt is always so ambitions..ambition turns to fruition at some point
Egypt in the first place needs to slow down its population's reproduction rate. 160M citizens in 2060 in desert country is far to much.
Iblove how someone can prefict 40 years aheaf. Did anyone expect Corona or Ukraine 3 years ago?
@@greenknight907 There are mathematical methods to predict the population growth and they work pretty well. You know how many children country has today, you can estimate pretty well how many children they will have in the next generation, you can estimate people's life experience based on current trends and observations.
Covid couldn't be predicted but it didn't change anything in the grand scale of things. Some form of conflict in Ukraine was expected, but not of this magnitude.