Real Reason Trump Won: What's Next For Recession, Wars | Matt Gertken

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 23 ธ.ค. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 235

  • @TheDavidLinReport
    @TheDavidLinReport  หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    What will happen now to the job market, inflation, and wars?
    Subscribe to my free newsletter: davidlinreport.substack.com/
    FOLLOW BCA RESEARCH:
    BCA Research: www.bcaresearch.com/
    X (@bcaresearch): twitter.com/bcaresearch
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  • @LilianScott-dy5nz
    @LilianScott-dy5nz หลายเดือนก่อน +56

    I've been reading about the inverted yield curve, which historically predicts recessions. Do you think the Fed can mitigate this?

    • @Wade453
      @Wade453 หลายเดือนก่อน

      The Federal Reserve is indeed walking a tightrope with its rate hikes, aiming to curb inflation without triggering a recession. Overcorrection could exacerbate the economic slowdown and it is crucial to find that delicate balance.

    • @ThomasColt
      @ThomasColt หลายเดือนก่อน

      Global trade tensions and supply chain disruptions are already impacting businesses. A recession would be devastating.

    • @MikeHollow-rz5dl
      @MikeHollow-rz5dl หลายเดือนก่อน

      The 2025 recession concerns are legitimate, but we should focus on diversifying investments and building economic resilience

    • @Martin-cb7gk
      @Martin-cb7gk หลายเดือนก่อน

      Governments and central banks must coordinate fiscal policies to stimulate growth and prevent a global downturn.

    • @StaceySouth-e3v
      @StaceySouth-e3v หลายเดือนก่อน

      What strategies can individuals take to recession-proof their finances?

  • @Peterl4290
    @Peterl4290 หลายเดือนก่อน +90

    This recession is most likely the result of an external factor. For the first time in decades, the United States is losing its clout as a federal reserve currency. They don't have any more economies to use to control inflation, and less money is being spent on stock and oil trading than in the past. They all lend support to the idea that a new multilateral world order is in the works.

    • @Mrshuster
      @Mrshuster หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Let's face it, increasing stock and index fund purchases during downturns and bear markets is unnerving. Which makes it very difficult for most people, like me, to do. It's challenging to incur the risk of investing the $1 million I have in an S&S.

    • @larrypaul-cw9nk
      @larrypaul-cw9nk หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      That is correct. For the past 23 months, I've been in daily contact with a financial advisor. The difficult part of investing these days is determining when to sell or hold a company when it is trending. My supervisor can advise me on points of entry and exit in the sectors in which I am now active. I can't say I'm sorry because my profits increased by 63% in the third quarter of 2022.

    • @sabastinenoah
      @sabastinenoah หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      I've been considering taking that path. I've kept a lot of stocks, but they're starting to depreciate, and I'm not sure if I should stick onto them or sell them. I believe restructuring my portfolio would be facilitated by engaging your investing coach.

    • @larrypaul-cw9nk
      @larrypaul-cw9nk หลายเดือนก่อน

      I wholeheartedly back financial counsellor Annette Christine Conte who holds a US SEC license. She has been helping me for a long with my portfolio. You may look her up online because she has many reviews.

    • @larrypaul-cw9nk
      @larrypaul-cw9nk หลายเดือนก่อน

      Annette Christine Conte is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.

  • @G.Snackwell
    @G.Snackwell หลายเดือนก่อน +25

    People believing a recession is preventable have truly lost their minds.

    • @sylversoul88
      @sylversoul88 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I mean there's always eventually a recession, the only real question is when. I think recession from end of 2025 would accommodate certain market cycles. A range of time needs to be given. Saying there will not be a recession or there will be a recession is brain dead.

    • @gpwede9855
      @gpwede9855 หลายเดือนก่อน

      What people do not realize the second inflation run is coming and it will be historic like The '70s
      Go to be up to 5 to $6,000 an ounce silver will be over $100 an ounce in gas will be back over $6 a gallon
      Nothing can change it it's part of historical money move

    • @gpwede9855
      @gpwede9855 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Trump spent nine trillion dollars and that is what caused inflation because all the supply chains broke down where is this guy from

    • @FlowerPower-r8h
      @FlowerPower-r8h หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      We are in one.

    • @Cinnabuns2009
      @Cinnabuns2009 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      This guys said "we had a soft landing with ...." I don't think we've landed yet and we're comin' in very hot. Seems delusional to say we've had a soft landing.

  • @onlythetruthformeandyou
    @onlythetruthformeandyou หลายเดือนก่อน +11

    David, can you please educate your interviewees that the GDP, for the past two years, have been greatly inflated by military spending, and government hiring? People are so sick of hearing that the economy is doing well because GDP is this and that. IT IS UTTER NONSENSE.

  • @LeviRobinson270
    @LeviRobinson270 หลายเดือนก่อน +12

    Prosperity doesn't come out that way overnight. What Most people see at a glance-wealth, a perfect career, purpose-is the results of hard labour and hustle over time. I pray anyone who reads this will be successful in life...

    • @Naziru504
      @Naziru504 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Assets that can make one successful in life

    • @Naziru504
      @Naziru504 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I. Forex
      2.Stocks
      3.Shares

    • @Naziru504
      @Naziru504 หลายเดือนก่อน

      forex is profitable and lucrative investment online

    • @OliveLeee
      @OliveLeee หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@Naziru504You are right.

    • @OliveLeee
      @OliveLeee หลายเดือนก่อน

      But I don't know why people remain poor due to ignorance

  • @Grace.h-t8o
    @Grace.h-t8o หลายเดือนก่อน +27

    The market, whether in recession or not, will always be positive to shrewd investors. You just have to know your way around the market. The recent Fed cut is a big advantage also that any serious person will take advantage of. No better time to let the economy work for you than now.

    • @Theodorebarba
      @Theodorebarba หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Same thing I keep saying. Choose quality stocks and follow them up keenly. If you're not one for such complexities, then work with an Adviser to grow your portf0lio. You can't go wrong with a seasoned CFA. Things will become bullish in no time and the diligent inveestors will smile to the bank. Don't forget the last quarter of the year is upon us.

    • @Kin-28-8
      @Kin-28-8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      You're right, I and a few colleagues in NY work with a CFA who prefers we DCA across a number of prospective sectors instead of a lump sum purchase. Following this, my account grew by more than 40% in this 4th quarter.

    • @Thompson-e7h
      @Thompson-e7h หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      This is very insightful. Hope you don't mind me asking you to recommend your CFP

    • @Kin-28-8
      @Kin-28-8 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      'Stacy Lynn Staples' is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.

    • @DhanaPayar
      @DhanaPayar หลายเดือนก่อน

      Wow, her track record looks really good from what I found online. Have been doing this on my own and not much growth. I'll take a chance and see how it goes. Thanks for the info

  • @psramachandran7932
    @psramachandran7932 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Matt Gertken’s analysis is brilliant 👌👏

  • @Ttemmah
    @Ttemmah หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    Inflation, thank genius for letting me know 😂😂

    • @Scorch428
      @Scorch428 หลายเดือนก่อน

      inflation happened with George W Bush, and he got re-elected.
      I think it was the news cycle being relentless, even the more liberal channels were negative.

  • @allal2344
    @allal2344 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    He never stops anything

  • @whdndrn
    @whdndrn หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    Another reason is RFK joining.

    • @davidmann2524
      @davidmann2524 หลายเดือนก่อน

      RFK is not being given any position power or access to anything outside vaccines. Not shocking, Trump completely deregulated the food supply and help more poisonous crap in

    • @ask_why000
      @ask_why000 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Robert has proven to be little more than Trump's useful idiot.
      He'll sideline Kennedy within the first year to pad the pockets of Big RX. Sadly.

    • @Scorch428
      @Scorch428 หลายเดือนก่อน

      As a swing voter from PA, I was just tired of Dems bullshit. The rigging of primaries, not getting anything done change-wise, taking away freedoms, censoring speech.
      I usually do vote Dem but it was just too much - had to send a message that they gotta quit the BS.
      But I know Trump wont be any better. It was two terrible choices.

  • @stevefu1737
    @stevefu1737 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    20% increase of inflation??? What is he talking about? Home price, the biggest factor behind inflation, increased 50 to 100% alone😢

  • @titchglover2601
    @titchglover2601 หลายเดือนก่อน

    great show thank you both

  • @michaelfelt5130
    @michaelfelt5130 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    Actually, tax cuts INCREASE revenues. Every single time it’s been tried. Go back to Reagan and you easily see that. We didn’t have deficits because of tax cuts; we had deficits because Reagan wanted huge increases in defense spending (esp. SDI) and Dem Speaker Tip O’Neil wanted more spending on big Dem social programs. And they both got what they wanted, hence deficits. But you give investors and job creators incentive to risk and create more if you allow them to keep more of what they earn. And so they’re paying a lower tax rate but paying more in increased incomes. Hence lower taxes increase revenues.

  • @MagnumusPI
    @MagnumusPI หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    It's interesting take on Canada's relations with trade. Poillieve (opposition leader) says he is gonna be very "tough" on trade with Trump.

  • @whdndrn
    @whdndrn หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    So is it something good about Trump or bad about Dems.

  • @fredminsky4684
    @fredminsky4684 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    If the products are American made ,tariffs are B.S. time to build factories 😮

    • @F1BeachAV
      @F1BeachAV หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Problem with the US is that companies don’t pay wages for people to be able to afford goods made in the US

    • @FlowerPower-r8h
      @FlowerPower-r8h หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@F1BeachAV they will if you quit importing foreign labor.

  • @actualfacts1055
    @actualfacts1055 หลายเดือนก่อน +31

    Woke has gone broke, people woke up.

    • @Annihilate3275
      @Annihilate3275 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      The awakening needs to continue. Still lots of people asleep (woke).

  • @jennielam8522
    @jennielam8522 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you gentlemen

  • @David-wz3uh
    @David-wz3uh หลายเดือนก่อน

    Mr Gertken makes it sound as though firing the fed chair is as simple as flipping a light switch. No president has ever attempted to remove a Federal Reserve chairman from their role, and so the authority to do so has never been tested. Doesn't sound easy through that lens.

  • @vincentmurphy9252
    @vincentmurphy9252 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    Where is the point Harris could not answer a question that made coherent sense ?

  • @30yearstockcycle
    @30yearstockcycle หลายเดือนก่อน

    What will happen now to the job market, inflation, and wars? What we have here is a: 'this is as good as it gets' moment.

  • @bcarras
    @bcarras หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    Dude this guy d_es n_t kn_w what he is talking ab_ut……st_p wasting _ur time pls….get real.....

  • @mikemcglauflin8985
    @mikemcglauflin8985 หลายเดือนก่อน

    How bad has the behavioral programming become that our talking points are about "race"? Our choices define us, period.

  • @bweber6256
    @bweber6256 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Hey David; please invite Allan Lichtman back to ask if he will be seeing a locksmith about his election "keys" which have been so valuable in unlocking the future election results in past years; but apparently Trump has had the locks changed.

  • @25Soupy
    @25Soupy หลายเดือนก่อน

    19:00 minutes of the video: I find it odd that the central bank insists it's independent yet the president has the authority to fire the chairman.

  • @PonziZombieKiller
    @PonziZombieKiller หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Oringe Jeezus Empire Collapse 🇺🇸

  • @EthanMaloney-qp4lh
    @EthanMaloney-qp4lh หลายเดือนก่อน +36

    I'm ecstatic with the outcome of the election and the year-end market surge. Which hidden jewels in the upcoming bull run would you buy with a 100K right now? My goal is to position myself for a prosperous Q1 in 2025.

    • @SaintYvess
      @SaintYvess หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      Bitcoin through 2025, then high yield ETFs through the bear market 26’-27’ that's my plan.

    • @FelineAirstrip
      @FelineAirstrip หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      Index Funds & ETFs: 40-50%, Emerging Markets (e.g., VWO): 10-15%, Dividend Stocks: 10-20%, Growth Stocks/Small-Caps: 10-20%, REITs: 5-10%
      Remember to always work with a knowledgeable person in the financial market when starting out to avoid getting burnt.

    • @WestonScally7614
      @WestonScally7614 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      “DCA" is the golden term but the key. My dollar portfolio i DCA with is made up of 30% PLTR, 25% NVDA, 15% VOO and over 30% in digital assets, thanks to my CFA. This strategy is what works for my spouse and I. We've made over 80% capital growth minus dividends. Q3 taxable divs this year was $18,388.

    • @sting_grayl
      @sting_grayl หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      I'm seeking guidance. could you refer me to your advisor

    • @WestonScally7614
      @WestonScally7614 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Yeah, she is Victoria Louisa Saylor , look her up. Anyone is free to contact her.

  • @celsooliveira2805
    @celsooliveira2805 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Bring back the guy that predicted on Kamala’s victory based on that cryptic model that he created!

  • @rohitkothari3890
    @rohitkothari3890 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    Kamala got 10 million fewer votes in 2024 than Biden in 2020. Which means:
    1) 2020 results were massively fraudulent. Or
    2) Sleepy Joes better than Cackling Kamala 😂😂

    • @yt_energy
      @yt_energy หลายเดือนก่อน

      or republicans stole 10 million votes to prevent Kamala's victory. we need lawsuits and a hand recount in all 7 battleground states

    • @paulkammerer8206
      @paulkammerer8206 หลายเดือนก่อน

      60 million democrats voted in 2016 & 2024. 80 million in 2020.

    • @yt_energy
      @yt_energy หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@rohitkothari3890 yeah Americans like old white men

  • @FlowerPower-r8h
    @FlowerPower-r8h หลายเดือนก่อน

    We have been in a recession.

  • @gpwede9855
    @gpwede9855 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I'm not sure what you're talking about fuel inflation gasis lower now than it was during the pandemic
    And why would the low income Latinos vote for a president that will not support reason the minimum wage for all the workers that work in the fields in all the dirty jobs that pay minimum wage

  • @fredminsky4684
    @fredminsky4684 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I flation is good, free money, what's the problem 😮

  • @colberthunter12
    @colberthunter12 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Hispanics don't live in large numbers in swing States those would be black strongholds in Milwaukee, Detroit, Philadelphia, Columbus and Atlanta the Major black City strongholds, and we stayed home or voted Republican, not the Hispanics who have large numbers in California and that state went blue, in new York with a large population went blue.

  • @toxicmasculinity6246
    @toxicmasculinity6246 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    20%….lol more like 50+%. This guy believes government statistics

  • @tinad8561
    @tinad8561 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I can’t help but wonder what would happen for market predictions if pundits got their heads out of the pro-oligopoly bubble.

  • @Han-uz1tl
    @Han-uz1tl หลายเดือนก่อน

    Zelensky can go get a real job to pay for his own expenses. Not another US dime for that opportunist.

  • @nikolafrleta4609
    @nikolafrleta4609 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I LISTEN to interviews, you guys LOOK at it. I think think this interview iz great. Interesing guest

  • @strikersmalls
    @strikersmalls หลายเดือนก่อน

    Tell your boy that his buddies at the FED aren't going to exist a year or so from now. Outta here!!!

    • @b1burck
      @b1burck หลายเดือนก่อน

      😅😂..yeah..not possible..where would Trump get his free money if rates are at 0% ?? No one is going to buy treasuries at 0% interest..so is Trump going to default on the debt?? 😅😂 Y'all are d u m B!!!

    • @strikersmalls
      @strikersmalls หลายเดือนก่อน

      @b1burck we the people owe the debt based fiat ponzi scheme Central bank nothing. So yes, dumby they will not exist for anyone to pay them anything. Get your peaon brain outta the box they've placed you in.

  • @WOLFPACKED
    @WOLFPACKED หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I hope next election we see you interviewing more key people David - been following you for years, you ask great questions

  • @Richard-y5u
    @Richard-y5u หลายเดือนก่อน

    Trump can’t fire Powell, he should know that.

    • @eusebiusballentine3187
      @eusebiusballentine3187 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Yet unsurprisingly he doesn’t!

    • @shinobudev
      @shinobudev หลายเดือนก่อน

      The fed is a company or federal whenever it is convenient.

    • @MotoZ7
      @MotoZ7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Didn't Trump threaten Powell before, that's way he was late raising rates.

    • @brian6x
      @brian6x หลายเดือนก่อน

      But he could end the Fed.

  • @yt_energy
    @yt_energy หลายเดือนก่อน

    does this guy have a lisp?

  • @nicolasbevilacqua6690
    @nicolasbevilacqua6690 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    "the economy is doing ok ..."

  • @niceguy8305
    @niceguy8305 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    All bullshit

    • @bellakrinkle9381
      @bellakrinkle9381 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Magical thinking of his!

  • @firstlast8258
    @firstlast8258 17 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Idiocracy

  • @kamilgagala8449
    @kamilgagala8449 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    This guy is getting all his facts wrong!

    • @F1BeachAV
      @F1BeachAV หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Alternative facts

  • @vallmak
    @vallmak หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Bro is so handsome. Not going to believe anything he says.

  • @wapiti3750
    @wapiti3750 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    David's hair looks awful. I think he used a comb or brush today. 🙂

    • @paulcoenen7918
      @paulcoenen7918 หลายเดือนก่อน

      If you are here for David's hair you are a fill in the blank. 😊

    • @wapiti3750
      @wapiti3750 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@paulcoenen7918 I have no desire to see his pecker. I hope you aren't implying that I'm a gayster! 🙂 Actually, I watch him because I am mesmerized with his intellect. Making comments on his hair just keeps me from getting bored with certain guests he has.

  • @napb123
    @napb123 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    David you need to get Scott Ritter on here he has better war analysis

    • @sergmats05
      @sergmats05 หลายเดือนก่อน

      In recent years, he has been a regular contributor to Russian state media outlets RT and Sputnik. He has visited Russia in support of Russia since the start of the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine.So we need to hear from this Russian shill,no thanks

    • @davidmann2524
      @davidmann2524 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Lol he doesn't invite anyone that will say anything bad about the blue and white flag people....he's a coward

  • @gurrrrlish
    @gurrrrlish หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Fantastic analysis !!!!!

  • @Abdul-nt9uk
    @Abdul-nt9uk หลายเดือนก่อน +9

    “The BLACKS” is wild in 2024 😂

    • @theguy9067
      @theguy9067 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Trump won, so 🤷🏻

    • @jasoncortez1238
      @jasoncortez1238 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      lol. Honestly nothing wrong with that, better than “colored” 😂

    • @Abdul-nt9uk
      @Abdul-nt9uk หลายเดือนก่อน

      @ it’s African American for those who are not first gen. It’s African for first gen. It’s like calling Asians “The Orientals” or Mexicans “The Beaners”.

    • @tommclaren812
      @tommclaren812 หลายเดือนก่อน

      He's not white. He has free speech

    • @Christ_is_a_black_man
      @Christ_is_a_black_man หลายเดือนก่อน

      ATTN HETEROSEXUAL BLACK MEN: You have always been the swing vote. Never forget that going forward....

  • @trukxelf
    @trukxelf หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Remember how Trump did tariffs and pumped the Ag biz with subsidies? It could be like that.
    Big - ass deficit spending on its way, just like Trump did in his first term.
    US defense industry is one of the safest and stable investments on the planet, like it or not.

    • @FlowerPower-r8h
      @FlowerPower-r8h หลายเดือนก่อน

      We need to subsidize small farmers.

  • @Cypher815
    @Cypher815 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    David, we gotta get you a good sun tan. 🎉

    • @wapiti3750
      @wapiti3750 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      He works too hard to take a decent vacation to a sunny location. NOBODY can get a sun tan in British Columbia! It is one of the cloudiest and rainiest locations on the planet.

  • @pseudoname9229
    @pseudoname9229 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Very strong guest. Definitely want to see him again

  • @adamm2716
    @adamm2716 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    interesting points

  • @EddieMWilken
    @EddieMWilken หลายเดือนก่อน

    From $37K to $65K that's the minimum range of profit return every month I think it's not a bad one for me, now I have enough to pay bills and take care of my family. ❤️

  • @BatmanBoss
    @BatmanBoss หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Thanks