WARNING! Numbered Cards Are Not As Rare As You Think 😒

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 12 ก.ย. 2024
  • There's so many numbered parallels! Here's a warning to be careful when buying ultra modern numbered cards going forward.
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ความคิดเห็น • 371

  • @MarketMovers
    @MarketMovers  2 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    What alternatives to serial numbered cards do you think are investment worthy? I’ve been buying some case hit inserts, but even those are being printed more (more cases are being produced). I think investing in pre-2018 cards of stars is a lot safer since they were produced so much less (especially the late 2000s and early 2010s). Steph Curry and Giannis rookies, for example, are much less common than anything we’ve seen made in the last few years. What do you think is the best bet?

    • @gargantuangoose9098
      @gargantuangoose9098 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@RockfromPhilly yawn

    • @matthewlepak2878
      @matthewlepak2878 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      I noticed this with Select. So many parallels and numbered parallels. Great advice. We never really know for sure. Only Jesus knows what tomorrow holds. I think there is still huge growth in high graded cards of before 2019. Especially before around 1999

    • @FirstCatch
      @FirstCatch 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      2014 NFL FOOTBALL YEAR IS VERY SHORT.

    • @jp091685
      @jp091685 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      I think we need to consider the growth of the current hobby and supply/demand has grown from 2018 to current as well. That said, it all comes down to supply and demand. I do believe even with numerous parallels available, there will only be a few color parallels that will be more desirable than others.

    • @ChrisJohnson-lf2xe
      @ChrisJohnson-lf2xe 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Why did you skip over 2020 and not show those numbers?

  • @rspbc
    @rspbc 2 ปีที่แล้ว +198

    So base cards have already been vilified, and parallels are becoming the new base….and now we shouldn’t go after numbered cards?? Not everyone has thousands of dollars to invest in high end cards. These influencers can’t even see it, but they are killing the sports card market.

    • @Sweeney-Kubach
      @Sweeney-Kubach 2 ปีที่แล้ว +34

      They are complete Grifters my friend.

    • @kinell188
      @kinell188 2 ปีที่แล้ว +25

      They dont really care about the market, they are in it for themselves.

    • @cdai216
      @cdai216 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Facts. It’s all about fear mongering now

    • @ansleyjamieson4115
      @ansleyjamieson4115 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Y’all just jealous

    • @Sweeney-Kubach
      @Sweeney-Kubach 2 ปีที่แล้ว +15

      @@ansleyjamieson4115 jealous of what?

  • @bravesfandevotee23
    @bravesfandevotee23 2 ปีที่แล้ว +86

    I've been in the hobby 32 years and refuse to now start letting so called "market movers" predict what I collect.

    • @unclejohnnyd3093
      @unclejohnnyd3093 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      Me too 32 years!! This whole preface of investing usually ends in loss porn that no one talks about.

    • @MarketMovers
      @MarketMovers  2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      Collect what you love! I would never suggest otherwise. But if you partially collect and partially invest for long-term value, like I do, then I think my comments are relevant.

    • @419SportsGuy
      @419SportsGuy 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      But you pump Kabooms…

    • @Daniel-nm8oe
      @Daniel-nm8oe 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Exactly, he probably doesn’t have numbered cards and wants the value to spike in other places…

    • @joey2729
      @joey2729 ปีที่แล้ว

      True

  • @kly1994
    @kly1994 2 ปีที่แล้ว +52

    So I can’t collect base cards, can’t collect non-numbered parallels, and now can’t even collect parallels that are numbered higher than /10? 😯… I’m pretty sure if there are truly MILLIONS of collectors out there, having a /99 or even a /199 would still be rare enough to make an extra couple bucks. Man even companies with a decent amount of subscribers have to get click baity… 🤦‍♂️

    • @amigopuerco
      @amigopuerco 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      This is info from a guy buying $100k cards. He is out of touch with the base. He is just one of the gold ol' boys of the hobby

    • @jrandt08
      @jrandt08 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@amigopuercoif he spent the same amount of $ on /50 and /99 as he does of his 1 of 1’s, he would have a cooler collection and would have made more $. You limit yourself when only selling to buyers in the 1 of 1 class.

  • @journeyman2003
    @journeyman2003 2 ปีที่แล้ว +32

    Panini is printing way more and charging 10x more than it’s worth

  • @ABunchOfCards
    @ABunchOfCards 2 ปีที่แล้ว +11

    I have NEVER disagreed MORE at a TH-cam video ever in my life.

  • @monumentray
    @monumentray 2 ปีที่แล้ว +30

    I can’t imagine Geoff wants to imply this, but the subtle (and troubling) subtext is, “if you can afford gold /10, 1 of 1’s, or even cards to /25, you’re golden. If you can’t afford these, the cards you collect from recent releases are destined to lose value.” To the common collector, this has the potential of engendering defeatism - a why-bother-collecting mentality.

    • @iblizzard7573
      @iblizzard7573 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @DEAD GRATEFUL spot on! Collect what you love. If value is the only thing you care about I think you will disappointed more times than not.

    • @shakascloset1700
      @shakascloset1700 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @DEAD GRATEFUL agreed. I'm so glad the 2020 boom switched me to PC player collecting and no more speculating and investing. I have since sold off almost everything to fund my PC player's card's

    • @chip6147
      @chip6147 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @DEAD GRATEFUL I agree 100%. I'll always remember ripping packs in 1974 and getting my favorite players and completing the set from that year. I started collecting again in the "junk wax" era with my 2 younger cousins and had that same joy, then Beckett price guides came along and made it a bit more fun to see what cards were "worth". Fast forward to 2022 at 61 years old, I have started buying some new cards and while they are MUCH more expensive to buy, I still get that same excitement of getting players I like and trying to complete a whole set. Sure it's fun to see the values of vintage or new cards and eventually I'll probably start getting my older cards graded to sell to help fund my retirement.

    • @kevinhayes7967
      @kevinhayes7967 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      When you have over 100+ different 1/1 cards of one player in a given year they really aren't rare. Just buy what you like as others probably will down the road too.

  • @FromTheBenchYT
    @FromTheBenchYT 2 ปีที่แล้ว +30

    I think serial numbered still is the way to go, even with /199s etc. For example the 1047 parallels under the /199 this year is still 443 less cards than Zions Silver Prizm PSA 10's currently.

    • @Lambert58-v9i
      @Lambert58-v9i 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Sell your serial numbered cards immediately! Buy vintage.

    • @FromTheBenchYT
      @FromTheBenchYT 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

      @@Lambert58-v9i I have zero interest in vintage. Everyone buying players and getting all excited about vintage yet 99% of collectors/investors couldn't tell you what position Mickey Mantle played or which way he swung a bat. If you're going to invest/collect anyone you should be passionate about it and have good reasons behind it. It's why you won't see me getting into new baseball either as I have zero interest in their cards. If the card market fell to zero or even half tomorrow you should be happy with the assets you have still

    • @jcb998
      @jcb998 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@FromTheBenchYT Vintage cards are like works of art. Look at a 73 Topps Stargell. Great photo. Now everything is bright and shiny and looks like a comic book.

    • @FromTheBenchYT
      @FromTheBenchYT 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@jcb998 well luckily for a lot of people, comics are extremely popular too. With vintage, the grades have become the parallels at this point

  • @hectorc1663
    @hectorc1663 2 ปีที่แล้ว +25

    You're analysis is valid with the exception that the player is more important than the print run. You touched on it briefly at the end but I have to disagree with you that a B players low numbered card would be worth more than a A+ players. There is no way if Trevor Lawrence becomes a Tom Brady that his card out of /199 would be worth less than a 2019 rookie card out of /10, /25 or /50 of a player who becomes a Phillip Rivers. In the long term the player will always be the most important factor!

    • @testit1902
      @testit1902 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Ken Griffey Jr. , Frank Thomas, Chipper Jones.... Iconic players that defined an era and huge supply of cards due to overproduction. Supply matters now matter how iconic the player. Trout RC price reflects 2011 update production run morr than it reflects trout's cultural impact. because of trout.

    • @KingKuba1313
      @KingKuba1313 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      @@testit1902
      2011 update is not exactly a small run.
      There's over 15k graded...

    • @hectorc1663
      @hectorc1663 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@testit1902 my argument wasn't that over production wasn't an issue, it was that player selection is still the most important aspect. If your argument is that it's not because of Trout its because of the 2011 print run then why isn't Goldschmidts, Freemans, Altuves, or Sales Topps card worth as much as Trouts? A base Trout is worth more than any of those players next step up parallel card.

    • @sp123
      @sp123 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Player and brand are almost equally important. A lot of brands have no demand so they barely appreciate in price.
      A Kuminga Mojo Prizm /25 will always be worth more than a LaMelo Court Kings level 4 because Court Kings has much less demand regardless of player

    • @testit1902
      @testit1902 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@sp123 market sentiment about player and brand is of the moment but print run is for forever :). 51 bowman mantle or 52 Topps market opinion could change on that but print run won't. So for any given player the question of getting the rarest card vs the card with most CURRENT demand is deffinitly interesting. Often the market comes around to appreciating the truly rare item vs the en vouge item. But Jeff's thesis that numbered cards are not as rare as they once were is well taken. How many 1/1s are there and is a gold wave vs a true gold really different enough to be unique or are they good enough comps to be considered all part of one numbered card population.

  • @schmoe5070
    @schmoe5070 2 ปีที่แล้ว +34

    I think the player and how their career plays out will be more important to effective prices then a few hundred extra cards here or there within a set

    • @cardbored_
      @cardbored_ ปีที่แล้ว

      Yeah exactly, the reality is if the hobby stays as big as it is currently or grows, another couple hundred cards of a player won't make a big difference especially because at the end of the day they're still different parallels. There's still going to be those people who want a specific parallel.
      The flip side is, if the hobby goes back into a lull like it did 20 years ago, it won't matter if you have 200 or 600 of a players card, I don't see it making a big difference in the ability to unload it if you need to, it'll probably just go for less which it will anyway if the market is in a lull.
      I feel like a lot of these "investing" experts are shills of the industry who's real goal is to just keep getting people to dump money into it.

    • @TheRealGotti23
      @TheRealGotti23 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@cardbored_ no its the opposite, they’re bringing awareness worldwide.

  • @peopleintrees
    @peopleintrees 2 ปีที่แล้ว +52

    I’d rather have a 2021 blue numbered to 199 than a non numbered silver, hyper, or red wave. Regardless of how many serial numbered variants they make, they’ll always be more desirable than the non numbered. What do you expect? I learned nothing from this video. Collect who you like, enjoy the hobby, and you’ll be fine.

    • @ohdontchaknow
      @ohdontchaknow 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

      He's pretty weak at analysis..

    • @hellothere9645
      @hellothere9645 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      He's not comparing the non-numbered sets. He's comparing the current numbered sets to the older numbered sets. His point is more recent overproduction - if you learned nothing you weren't paying attention. Value in the market goes in conjunction with supply and demand. There is 2x the supply of cards under that /199 parallel he uses as an example, so the value of a newer /199 is going to be much lower from a monetary perspective than the older /199 because of rarity (talking monetary value is sort of the point of this channel - if you are talking about collecting a card because you like it you are in the wrong place).

    • @peopleintrees
      @peopleintrees 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      @@hellothere9645 It doesn’t matter how many variations of series numbered cards there are but rather the pop count of where the card is graded. Let’s say a red Jalen green numbered to 299, but maybe that card has a pop count of 20 that actually gems with a lot more that graded lower. So while these cards may not be rare from Panini’s printing standpoint, but a low PSA pop count will likely hold value and that’s typically what a lot of collectors are looking for.

    • @hellothere9645
      @hellothere9645 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@peopleintrees No, pop count is artificial rarity. Pop count can continue to grow until the entire pop is graded. The way you are thinking almost doesn't consider any card that isn't graded which is a terrible approach. You still aren't thinking about supply vs. demand - there are going to be 2x of the pop if 2x cards are produced of the graded cards.

    • @derekboudreau4576
      @derekboudreau4576 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Look at the heritage blacks- chrome #ed to 73 worth more than the black not numbered printed to 50

  • @valenciafantv
    @valenciafantv 2 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    He wasn’t saying the 6 months ago

  • @gassedoutgambler
    @gassedoutgambler 2 ปีที่แล้ว +11

    You kind of forget about how many more people are holding sealed wax tho. Which then of course cuts out a ton of cards that actually make it the public

  • @matthewweinman6356
    @matthewweinman6356 2 ปีที่แล้ว +35

    Your looking at this completely wrong. The hobby is leaning towards ONLY serial number cards and commons are becoming the junk wax of our Era. They added many different parallels because every single person ONLY wants them. The commons has become legit shipping cardboard.

    • @Brooklynquietmoney
      @Brooklynquietmoney 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      I agree bro well articulated

    • @BklynBryan
      @BklynBryan 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      This is true! A lot of serial and inserts I buy are padded/protected by a bunch of base cards.

    • @ohdontchaknow
      @ohdontchaknow 2 ปีที่แล้ว +7

      This is what happens when you have influencers that don't really have a clue what they're talking about

    • @shakascloset1700
      @shakascloset1700 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Base card's are absolutely junk and should be used as packing supplies. Numbered parallels FTW 🤘👍

    • @JT0661
      @JT0661 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      I agree. Geoff is wrong here. If I have a 1/ 99 or whatever number, I know that it’s a finite number vs a billion commons at psa 10s

  • @brianrogers1907
    @brianrogers1907 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Good to know, thank you for this information, I've just started to get back into the hobby after years of ignoring it after being screwed in the 90's by the card manufacturers.

  • @ericmoore8739
    @ericmoore8739 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Collect the original parallels: Silvers, Color Match, Gold and 1/1's. Also always pay attention to brands: Prizm, Optic, NT, Flawless. And just like stocks stick to whats proven: Hof's and future HOFr's.

  • @TheSportsCardDad
    @TheSportsCardDad 2 ปีที่แล้ว +11

    Hey, this subject sounds familiar ;)

  • @brianadams6204
    @brianadams6204 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Here is my take. If there are 1200 #ed cards all together for a player of a star to be. Then by time that player gets too GOAT level I would think there would be more collectors/buyers of said player that the 1200 #ed cards would still be worth a lot of money. Does that make sense ?

  • @User8vfjhejf
    @User8vfjhejf 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    For Investment purposes, Stick to vintage cards in as high of a grade as you can afford, I never trusted these numbered cards cause they are a manufactured collectible, not something that was supposed to be saved on purpose

  • @brushben22
    @brushben22 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Everyone tries to always find some way to warm people or excite people with zero backing and unfortunately, none of it ever comes true. I get content is needed and we have to try our best to find topics but just let people collect and the rest will take care of itself , it has never turned out the way people imagine it would and too much thinking starts creating conspiracy theories etc

  • @BrandonMYoung
    @BrandonMYoung 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    You aren’t factoring that demand is multiples higher too. So double numbered is still less than increased demand

  • @theodorerivera81
    @theodorerivera81 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Great information, thank you and keep up the great content.

  • @Blasterbreakguy
    @Blasterbreakguy 2 ปีที่แล้ว +11

    I think numbered cards will still be desirable long term. A lot of players’ popularity grow over the long run and if there is a million Ja Morant fans and there is only #’d to 50 Ja Morant Gold Parallel then those cards will only go to the biggest bidders.

  • @robglobal1
    @robglobal1 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    I'm sticking to numbered they're still rare compares to base and most other shorter print versions like pink hyper optic or green prizm or green mosaic etc. I also enjoy collecting the various colored numbered cards but that's just me

  • @user-kb6fh5ev7x
    @user-kb6fh5ev7x 2 ปีที่แล้ว +12

    Collect what you like and what you want. Get back to making this a fun hobby and not about all the statistics.

    • @sarahandbrettSCAM
      @sarahandbrettSCAM 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Exactly

    • @ADecadeDrifting
      @ADecadeDrifting 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      People like Geoff are the ones ruining it, no longer a hobby but more of a business to make the rich 1% richer

  • @TheCamaroone1
    @TheCamaroone1 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Another forecast that won't age well

  • @scoa
    @scoa 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    I did a similar exploration to this on my channel awhile back, but with 20-21 Select basketball. I found that one particularly crazy because you have so many parallels, but then you also have the Concourse, Premier and Courtside variations as well (each variation having its own parallels). I can't recall the exact number, but LaMelo Ball had over 2000 numbered parallels from Select (not including inserts, many of which also had their own parallels). Crazy stuff. Tricks of manufactured scarcity.

    • @ZiggyNo
      @ZiggyNo 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      That was a great break down! The education is spreading

    • @robglobal1
      @robglobal1 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Agreed but still fun to collect all those variations

    • @BigDirtDawg
      @BigDirtDawg 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      do you know the print runs on each elephant print?

  • @CornPopSniffin
    @CornPopSniffin 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    They could help this issue by putting different pictures on the cards.creating variety and a reason to buy all of them if a person collects that person

  • @kevinevans8370
    @kevinevans8370 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I think it all is going to depend on if these card companies continue to roll out tons of parallel cards and numbered cards, or if they cut those numbers down again, in the future. I think I heard you say that the send away claim cards are going away, but if the numbered cards are the only way you can buy something somewhat rare, then they'll still likely hold value to collectors. The numbered 299 Trevor Lawrence may not be all that rare, but if he has a good career, it will be always worth more than a base card in that set anyways, and thus collectable. It's nice to show us the reality of these cards not really being super rare, but I'm not able to afford the highest of the high-end cards, so to me it's a matter of context. I, and probably a lot of other collectors probably will continue to go after these cards, because they are what I can afford, and they still are somewhat "rare". Thanks for the video.

  • @258cac
    @258cac 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Appreciate the analysis Geoff, and the math is the math. The difference of the TOTAL population of a player’s serial numbered Prizm FB is a little over 600 more in 2021. In an era where there are probably 100,000 Trevor Lawrence base cards, will 600 more make a huge difference? I agree that an extra SUPPLY of 600 numbered TLaws will have some impact, but your video has a bit of “the sky is falling” vibe, when DEMAND for those TLaws, if strong, will still make them highly collectible/valuable.

    • @alexisseidel4406
      @alexisseidel4406 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Totally agree. This whole video is a reach.

  • @moronsaltable
    @moronsaltable ปีที่แล้ว

    Some may argue that this is a good thing. Back in the day there were a lot of collectors that bought cards they liked, not what was rare. The hobby went from a kids buying packs at the liquor store to adults spending thousands as investments. Even if the numbered cards aren't as rare, they're still going to go for big money if it's the right player. This gives more people opportunities to hit something from a pack or box. Would it be a good thing if they changed it to only just a single 1/1 for the entire set? That card could go for a couple million and it would be like hitting the jackpot. I'm not hating on numbered cards either, that's pretty much all I own

  • @victortoombs4754
    @victortoombs4754 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    ALL CARDS new and old will take a hit when the Economy finally rolls over. Buying cards is a hobby and not a life staple. Many collectors will sell their cards to accumulate the much needed cash and the influx of all the cards on the market coupled with less buyers will bring prices down. It's simply supply and demand.

    • @SplashIt34
      @SplashIt34 ปีที่แล้ว

      Eh 2008 the great depression ect ect the cards went up over time the us dollar went way down. Cards are a safer bet than cash tbh

  • @DeeZee00008
    @DeeZee00008 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    They need to have fewer numbered.. I think it should only go up to x/100 or x/99 and only be 1/1, 5/5, 25/25, 50/50, and 99/99-100/100.. I do believe the 1/1-25/25 will always hold value pretty well, but who knows.

  • @wesleyhodge9457
    @wesleyhodge9457 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Definitely a valid point Geoff - with the massive number of parallels being produced in todays market there is no way the card prices can sustain it. Similar to the high volume of cards produced during the late 80s and early/mid 90s, the only difference here is a lot shinier product and 19 different parallels which demands a higher cost.

  • @ZiggyNo
    @ZiggyNo 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    For the record I’ve said all along, the only card that is important is rookie. The best auto is rookie and best relic is rookie.
    Real assets have finite resource. If a player signed autos for an entire year it still pales to what can be printed and minted #ed.
    correction continues

    • @robglobal1
      @robglobal1 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      This simply is not true. I'll let you figure it out

  • @docholidayproductions
    @docholidayproductions ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Good points but they also printed an ass ton of more bass as well the product is so watered down and over printed that it's just as hard to get a serial numbered card or harder now..

  • @godfreycosio8736
    @godfreycosio8736 2 ปีที่แล้ว +13

    With the added print runs and parallels they really balance out. It’s still tuff to pull the parallel you want. To have a card with less than 2000 parallels is still a rare card considering how many print runs. Investing stand point, it will only matter on how the player does in the future to determine their worth. Other than that parallels will always be chase cards no matter the serial numbers. Also with cards going global the chances are even less to see the parallel your looking for.

  • @RandomSportsInfo
    @RandomSportsInfo 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Thanks for the awesome info!!! appreciate it!

  • @oompaloompa23
    @oompaloompa23 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I knew this whole numbered thing would come back to bite; even the 1 of 1’s. The whole thing is not sustainable especially with most people in it for the investing.

  • @B4IrustB4Idecompose
    @B4IrustB4Idecompose ปีที่แล้ว

    the demand is not in the supply of numbered parallels. it's in the supply of specific numbered parallels and their population on the market.

  • @Pariah_Larry
    @Pariah_Larry ปีที่แล้ว

    That’s why I love upper deck hockey cards. Especially young guns. They RARELY have serial numbered cards. So when you do find one they are worth a ton.

  • @i3lazinkush760
    @i3lazinkush760 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Okay so everyone knows how much this hobby has grown. It’s a giant. Does 400 more numbered cards really even make a difference when compared to number of collectors now? I’m pretty sure adding 400 or so more numbered parallels isn’t making a big difference look at your data and look at the hobby growth then compare it to serial number growth and post on that. Thanks in advance

  • @stevenc7877
    @stevenc7877 ปีที่แล้ว

    If you're an investment collector listen to this man but if you collect for the sake of collecting don't worry about pricing because you ain't selling.

  • @dimsuminab0x
    @dimsuminab0x 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    It's card inflation, Panini is pumping more card variants with serial numbers than previous years. More cards in the market the less valuable they become.

  • @movieclipsforthevibes
    @movieclipsforthevibes 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    I went to the Big Apple show and it was horrific. No one was passionate, all flipping junk. Young “dealers” offering 60% comps on everything with hardly anything to sell. Such a joke.

  • @jrandt08
    @jrandt08 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I mean just keep lowering the value of /50 /99 /199 and I’ll keep scooping them up. Baseball FTW.

  • @madcitybrew
    @madcitybrew 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I’ve always collected and invested in players from all sports the I’m interested in with a budget. I scratch my head when I see numbered, patched, autographs cards sale for more then proven star athlete’s with a track record and in the long run will be a better investment.

  • @timbickel9345
    @timbickel9345 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Got into the hobby a year ago. I really like the tier rookies of Court Kings due to each tier having a unique design. I do wish they were numbered though, especially tier 3 & 4.

    • @Lpm920
      @Lpm920 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Find a new hobby.

  • @bigbubba4001
    @bigbubba4001 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    What nobody on the videos are telling you is if you want the higher value cards, you need to buy those higher boxes and hope when you do that you actually get a great hit. I seen 1 video where someone bought 5 flawless boxes and didn't get a hit good enough to get half his money back from those 5 boxes combined. Unless you have alot of money to burn , you wont be happy. Thats just the gist of it all.

  • @mephisto40
    @mephisto40 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    It's obvious these numbered cards just aren't rare any more, they are so overproduced they just aren't worth buying any more. Panini have got people chasing cards that there are literally thousands of different coloured varients out there that are all numbered

  • @cardviper
    @cardviper 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I think the take away here is that while you have a "Numbered" card, you have to realize that there are other numbered cards of the same card, just in a different variation / color. I still enjoy getting numbered cards not because of the number but the color variations like Blue or Green Shimmer, White Mojo and etc. I think from a collecting standpoint that's what most collectors are after. Sometimes a lower numbered card is actually harder to comp / sell IMO unless it's of a superstar.

  • @ogfromIE
    @ogfromIE 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Quick solution to the problem. Don't rip wax because it's way to expensive. That's the only you'll get something numbered /299, /199 ect. Buy singles of /60 or lower of Bron, Curry or Giannis.

  • @sonnydacuse7622
    @sonnydacuse7622 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Numbered cards are the chase

  • @danallshaw1131
    @danallshaw1131 ปีที่แล้ว

    Sure helped me. I recently picked up a double patch card from 2005 Donruss Diamond Kings of Curt Shilling number to two hundred.

  • @jamstarent21
    @jamstarent21 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    parallels are not how they once were years ago. Numbered cards are the way to go. Anything numbered 50 to below is what you want to look at

  • @dangquesadilluhs
    @dangquesadilluhs 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    LOL thanks for the video captain obvious but everyone already knew Panini printers go brrrr

  • @SFsurf
    @SFsurf 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    It also depends on the long term success and popularity of the player.

  • @joshualange6960
    @joshualange6960 ปีที่แล้ว

    Yeah but... the different types of variations are fun (though some are dumb) so just collect what you like knowing there is a limited supply of your specific favorite type of variation.

  • @mjordandagoat
    @mjordandagoat ปีที่แล้ว

    Hi Geoff love your intro tech guy by day and card investor by night. Not my exact story but I do work in tech myself and dabble in cards (at a much smaller level) than most serious collectors.
    Hope you will be attending the Dallas Card show next week in Allen, TX, I will have a table with my humble collection of MJ only cards!

  • @LumberNumbers
    @LumberNumbers 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Yep, this is so people can justify buying a box of prizm for over $1,000. You get a ton of parallels.

  • @Adam-Adamson
    @Adam-Adamson ปีที่แล้ว +1

    We are in the junk parallel era

  • @sheetmetalcards7987
    @sheetmetalcards7987 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Also in upcoming years they will do the same thing. So more parallels or sets are going to devalue future products

  • @DJ_FIFO
    @DJ_FIFO 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Welp. I still love collecting numbered cards. Nothing more satisfying. So many different ways to collect like try to get all players in a set of /99

  • @LegendofLuke
    @LegendofLuke 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Are the lower numbers of serialized cards considered more desirable/valueable? For example, is 03/75 worth more than a 58/75?

    • @sportscardsandthings
      @sportscardsandthings 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      In general, no. Collectors are a superstitious lot, so you may get a premium for a certain serial number from the right person. Like their jersey #, #1, last card in the run, etc.

  • @jcbuckeye
    @jcbuckeye 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    2k cards lower # but 25 million people after them

    • @Joe-ye7dr
      @Joe-ye7dr 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Great comment, I was thinking the same. 👍

  • @groundzero270
    @groundzero270 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Great info but the issue is the player drives the value not the exponent of rarity cards. Mahomes always valuable regardless of print runs, Burrow, etc. The year matters but more importantly is the player from that year.

  • @taylerwatland2168
    @taylerwatland2168 ปีที่แล้ว

    So if the rate of serial numbers are increasing, we could be having this same conversation a few years down the road talking about how 2022 cards are more valuable. If the market continues this trend anyways

  • @BusPodcast24
    @BusPodcast24 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Who cares, these guys have turned card collecting into a business. 1/2 these guys have no idea about the sports or players they are in it to flip the cards and make a buck. I get it, do what ya gotta do to make money but it’s guys like this that have destroyed the hobby.

  • @pancake_analytics
    @pancake_analytics 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Very hard to make these statements without showing the actual sales of these cards. Couldn’t you do a comparison of 2019 vs 2020 with sales data? Causation is nearly impossible to prove but I’m pretty sure the amount serial numbered cards does not cause a decline in sales.

  • @jasonking971
    @jasonking971 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Pretty simple really.....every year Panini and Topps will produce more and more sets, parallels, boxes, numbered cards, etc.....till they have driven away half the hobby and then Fanatics will take over. Tell me I'm wrong.

  • @soluscristus1
    @soluscristus1 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Let’s be honest with ourselves. 99.9% of newer cards, regardless of numbers, autos or color will be worth a fraction of current prices 10 years from now. This is a hobby not an investment fund. If you are looking to make money off the hobby you need to provide a product or service that people in the hobby want or need. There has never been more opportunity to do this.

    • @ohdontchaknow
      @ohdontchaknow 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      This is why I buy cards of established stars and HoFers that people just sleep on. They'd rather pay 2-3x for a card of a prospect based on speculation, vs what I'm paying for an iconic card of a hall of famer. People are just dumb

  • @Sweeney-Kubach
    @Sweeney-Kubach 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Do the opposite of Geoff tells you and you will be fine. This guy is a complete Grifter and a propagandists. Geoff is the best actor I have ever seen in my life.

  • @edmeldrum3342
    @edmeldrum3342 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    I fell in love with marketing first .
    Then I fell in love with
    Photography and photprints.
    Sports cards from a child of the 80s is a love ❤️
    $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
    Now I just buy the cards I love . Yes I watch the values and years for each season but I understand marketing and branding. How do I keep peoples attention? 🤔

  • @robertb186
    @robertb186 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Makes sense. As we know,it almost always depends on the success of the player. Certainly noticed increasing amounts of numbered cards in the breaks.

  • @chrisc4264
    @chrisc4264 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I just buy older sealed wax and GOATS. But to say serial numbered cards aren't sound is to me just plain silly. Sorry I strongly disagree.

  • @bernardparinas4297
    @bernardparinas4297 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    stick to 1of1, black, gold /10, casehit ssp. and most of all have fun collecting your fav player regardless of worth. no heart feelings

  • @FireMcgwire
    @FireMcgwire 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    If the player is good/ hof. Then numbered will always be worth it

  • @scottvaughn9
    @scottvaughn9 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Anyone buying modern should watch this video. The million dollar questions, though, are: Why is this occurring? When will the parallel growth peak? And will the manufacturing companies do anything to course correct?

  • @thomassisneros8943
    @thomassisneros8943 ปีที่แล้ว

    ok but if the player has 1200 numbered rookies card from prizm and they are winning super bowls more then 1200 people will want to get ahold of those cards increasing the value.

  • @marianosantiniello2213
    @marianosantiniello2213 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Surprised he didn't mention even the 1 of 1s and / 5 and /10 aren't as rare as we think. Many sets will do a black disco, a black flash, a green flash, a green shimmer, gold laser, gold cracked ice etc. At the end of the day, serial numbers will always be desirable, they even " over" print those I guess one could say. So what's left? High end? Eminence? Nt? Flawless? It's the same thing I listed here within those sets as well as far as numbered cards. They just change the variation type of the card and slap a serial number on it. Lol

  • @Trading_Cards_Immortal
    @Trading_Cards_Immortal 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I think Gold or rookie serial numbered cards will still hold value, that’s if they are superstars otherwise they might not be valuable as the time goes by. There’s way too much base serial numbered stuff along with a high print run on them, anything lower to 25 is what might hold some type of value. I own very few numbered cards, one is a rookie parallel but it’s not a big time card maybe a 100 bucks at best.

  • @craigjones8666
    @craigjones8666 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Numbered cards are to get people away from the base set, just look at all videos, people put base to the side. Top load all numbered and sub sets! Guess what the base are all put aside and forgotten about. Collect base and get them graded

  • @the1776report
    @the1776report 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Yes but much more product was sold in 2021 so with a higher dilution and more base rookies in the float that offsets it

  • @MarkusFussellArt
    @MarkusFussellArt 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    great video!

  • @sarahandbrettSCAM
    @sarahandbrettSCAM 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    The biggest problem is anyone thinking sports cards are an investment. Its hard not to laugh. It was very predictable that cards would be down a lot this year. Overtime nearly all cards go down. They have no true value and although they go up quickly at times they also plummet at other times like its the end of the world. People thought in the 90s they'd retire off of cards and comic books and that ended in tears for them all. This will be no different. I would never put a lot of money in one card its nothing more than a speculative gamble that's turned a lot of people crazy these days. No thanks

    • @sarahandbrettSCAM
      @sarahandbrettSCAM 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@colbybrand5326 sports cards are just a collectible that can fall out of favor at anytime. We see this all the time with certian sets and players that the hobby quickly soars on. Not an investment. They have no intrinsic value, which is what makes an investment. You dont even understand basic terminology which is scary. Some cards soar in value but most go down over time. Nobody really knows what ones will be chased down the road. You want to waste your summer stressing trying to guess and likely be wrong down the road? Go for it. Thats why I just collect and have fun and I never lose. I sold most of my soaring pricey stuff during the lockdown knowing the prices were inflated and put some of the cash into more enjoyable $20 cards. You guys focus way too much on money and reading your comments you've probably lost your ass around here. You guys never listen. Its anyones guess today which cards will go up, hence people calling it nothing more than a speculative gamble. anyone buying cards expecting to make money in the future is a fool. Yea some might go up but most will go down. History proves that. Plus cards skyrocketed due to pandemic and people have better things to do with money, the expensive stuff has a lot of downside potential. Too much risk for an intelligent person trying to "invest" money for the future. That's what actual investments are for like your 401k. 9/10 sport card "investors" will likely be crying in the future. Hell you guys are crying now 😂. Good luck! Stick to actual investments and build wealth the slow and easy way 😁. anyone who wants to put a lot of money into cards, go for it. I wouldn't bank on massive returns in the future. Thats some serious risk.
      Collect cards and have fun 🙌

    • @ohdontchaknow
      @ohdontchaknow 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@sarahandbrettSCAM why are you on this channel, then? Go play with your stock charts and have fun looking at your 401k, which I'm sure has taken a huge hit over the last year 🤣👍

  • @steliosconstantinides3459
    @steliosconstantinides3459 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    You get the most rare version of the players most iconic card you can get.

  • @GelatosLottos
    @GelatosLottos 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I feel like a lot of these random videos you guys do really are just an opportunity for you to show your app and hope someone will see a utility they need....🤔

  • @TheRealWarez
    @TheRealWarez 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I agree the number of parralells is beyond rediculous, but I feel like sometimes you guys focus on the numbers so hard you miss some key factors... all because a card has a lower serial # does not make it more valuable or more desierable... look at Topps Chrome, where the "true" color cards, the original plain colors, are often more valuable then the other versions, some of which are lower numbered... all those "wave" versions are a good example. It's not an absolute.
    Thanks for the video!

  • @jonathanbanks4427
    @jonathanbanks4427 ปีที่แล้ว

    If you dont collect just to have fun even then your in the wrong hobby you shouldn't expect your money's worth everything or even close. The word rare is what it means and someone would be lucky to pull those case hits. Give the people who don't have thousands of dollars a chance to win something it would be very cool to get an auto or 1 of 1 or close but don't expect it. It's ridiculous to say what a card is even worth. I don't listen to nobody bc look up the value in year 2022 for a barry sanders card were getting sold for more then what they were in price. It's all hype and it always is

  • @planetpoog
    @planetpoog 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    damn this comes off as, if you’re not rich enough to buy the top tier, then don’t buy at all🥴

  • @lovetruth8549
    @lovetruth8549 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    This is a great heads-up video

  • @kodytaylor1846
    @kodytaylor1846 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    of course they going to print this many. Boxes have 10x in 2 years and idiots and breakers keep paying up! lol

  • @thebryceisright4851
    @thebryceisright4851 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Just picked up a silver prizm auto justin fields today for 325. Purchased with built in profit.

  • @brownjorden
    @brownjorden 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    So how can you possibly have to many number cards? If you only have 299 of something you only have 299 of something..... which actually should bring the value up! That's the one thing I've never understood about the hobby how numbered cards are not more valuable? There could be a 10,000 downtowns, however you have /199 Bluewave you somehow have less of a valuable card 🤔 ...that is probably the thing I don't like the most... if the hobby moved towards majority of numbered cards being actually rare I think this would have a huge impact on the growth of the hobby it would then allow people that buy retail to feel similar to people who buy highend cards. That keeps a great balance in the hobby.

    • @Mr.SalmaHayek
      @Mr.SalmaHayek 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      LOL! "If you only have 299 of something you only have 299 of something" Bingo! You are exactly right it's only # to 299! I don't understand why people don't get that!...damn!

  • @ranger2nd75th7
    @ranger2nd75th7 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    One good reason I've left sports cards, and entered Marvel cards, over time the return in investment will be higher, because of printing number alone.

  • @i3lazinkush760
    @i3lazinkush760 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    With this mentality a 1/1 is just a serial numbered card……

  • @stevemelnyk7480
    @stevemelnyk7480 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    I don't agree that ALL numbered cards will go down in value. For example, cards numbered 1/1 and cards numbered out of 25 or lower I think will still hold their value depending on the player and even increase, again depending on the player. But I do agree that for example, plentiful cards numbered out of say, 500 or more, will likely go down in value as time goes on depending on the player.

  • @erronyoshioka8800
    @erronyoshioka8800 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Think people will always flock to serial numbered cards now, not because of rarity, but because in today’s BS world of grading, scammers, trimmers, etc. these cards are TRACKABLE! Non-numbered, even supposedly ssp case hits are not. Who knows how many “back door” cards there might be? Look at Panini rewards- Why weren’t these cards put in the original releases? So you were buying these products with no chance of getting these cards! BASE IS DEAD, except for the rookie superstars, just like “non-related” material cards are worthless! Don’t know why people will pay a lot of money for a plain jersey card, with no auto, from say NT, even if numbered. Just as others have said, it all depends on the player! Popular players will be always be desired. Look at say Mahomes, how many serial numbered rookies does he have? IDK, but do you think all the people who go to ONE CHIEFS GAME (76,000) would want one of these? Of course! In that context, they are still pretty “rare” based on demand. My friend and I always say a card /99 is something only TWO PEOPLE PER STATE can have!

  • @jupiterjungle7452
    @jupiterjungle7452 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Well why is this happening? Could you explain that? Why are print runs going up? Why more #d cards. Why 1/1 come in almost every parallel now. Why why why?

  • @REBroker1966
    @REBroker1966 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    List looks 30% longer now. Collector base grew by more than 25%. Things have slowed again and collectors are away now and it’s more than 25% lower now. Once collectors come back those numbers should be fine.