What does “middle power” status mean for the Philippines?
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 15 มิ.ย. 2024
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Geopolitical analysts weigh in on the factors that could indicate the Philippines is ready to emerge as a middle power amid maritime and territorial disputes in the region. They emphasize Philippines’ significant impact on regional balance and serving as a key indicator for the future of US-China relations. |#LongConversation
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The problem is our government is not investing enough in Defense spending. It should be at least 2 percent of our GDP because right now we are only using 1 percent which is 290 billion and 2 percent would be 580 billion pesos. We would be be able to buy submarines, air and missile defense system and MRF immediately if we increase the budget of National Defense.
The problem is its people. One military personal is like a pHD degree in combat .
Frw filipino is willing to take it.
even if we eliminate corruption and inefficiencies its not going to be enough to fund the minimum defense requirements of the country. Throw in tax increases, cuts in social services and entitlements (ex. SSS, Phil health, education, irrigation, heath services) and even pay cuts across the board. Even then it still wont matter, China is just too f*ckin big, hence the need to beg the US for protection.
Should be atleast 4 %
Latest news says it's 400 billion plus. That's the AFP budget for 2024.
Dpat gawin nila 2 percent kc after ng modernization pgnabil na nila ang moderno gamit naluluma din yun. Dapat isipin nila panu masustain kc patuloy ang pagbabago ng teknolohiya. Un dpat gawin ng mga namumuno isipin ang future hindi lng ang kasalukuyan.
Truly intriguing! Excellent collaboration from our top geopolitical experts.
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In reference to middle power, the Philippines, specially our leaders and politicians, and the rest of the Filipino population, are oblivious and don't understand nor comprehend, nor do they have the ambition and aspiration to think big and reach for the top or even in becoming a middle power and beyond. The state of mind of Filipinos particularly our leaders and politicians have not shown any such grandeur in their ambition and aspiration for the country. Their mindset is parochial at best and are pang baranggay lang only. Filipinos have never reach critical stage to cultivate a sense of Nationalism to aspire and be ambitious as far as wanting to be a great and powerful nation. We have not yet graduated away from that pang baranggay lang mentality and formulate our aspiration and ambitions to become a great player and influence in our part of the world. That should be changed and maybe this bullying of china will just become the catalyst that will galvanized our leaders and the Fi!ipino people and usher in a new era and propel the Philippines to be a great and powerful nation.
Only one President I onow that had such aspiration, the late Dictator Marcos.. he once promoted the R&D and was having a right track in producing local missiles or even make the country a weapon manufacturer but he failed.. That president had foresight like he predicted that WW2 is not the end of Philippines misery...
Just look at the 1973 Constitution.
We did but the enemies of the state won, especially their political supporters.
True, pronouns and pageants get more national attention and legislation than our military does.
Indeed.
You are right. Based on our location and resources we should've long been projecting power! But pls stop blaming pageants and things like that because it's needed to revitalize our people. Blame the government and those people who are too ignorant. Our lower class is the most ignorant and have the most population taken advantaged by our corrupt politicians.
I acknowledge that we are the middle power in the Indo Pacific. 🖖🇵🇭
hindi ko naabutan- sino nagsabi na ganun middle power tayo ?
Adding to that, can we stop calling our country small? 100Million people? really small? can we now prepare as a grown ass full pledge country which build its own ships?
As an ordinary citizen, I am struggling to believe, to feel, or at least see a few tangible proofs, or identify some of the concrete indications that the Philippines is already one of the world's "middle level power"
Because in terms of economy, defense and security, governance, socio-cultural reforms, education, etc., the Philippines has a lot more to catch up and should be done.
Atleast a little bit better now than previous government
You miss the point on the definition of "middle power" based on literatures. We have resources and capabilities relative to other countries.
Philippines is considered a new middle level powered. There might be a distance in terms of GDP and Tech to other middle level power but we have one things that make us a middle level power..
Troops, we lacked the equipment and weapons but we didn't lack experience as Filipinos soldier was trained through EDCA, foreign exercises and exchange, and mostly wars.
We are not small power anymore.. This is why countries was inviting us to join their side and also accepted our alliances.
@@elmarkfacultad3258we were on an advanced track compared to so many other Asian nations. Many Filipinos mistakenly voted for socialists and ideological reforms. Pageants and pronouns now have more legislation than does our military.
I share the same sentiments.. like really? Middle power na agad dahil bumili ng 2 o 3 bagong barkong pandigma sa SoKor? Dahil nagbbalak bumili ng Isang pirasong submarine? Come on! Napaka babaw naman ng depinisyon nu na yan!
The problem with our government is that it has become TOO soft after the PP revolution, giving so much to the people and less to the security of the state. For 34 years no admin wanted a strong defense, until neighbors started bullying us. Arms or butter?
The name of the game is to become self reliant. There are low hanging fruits that the government can use as leverage i.e start the program of self reliance. Philippines announced later this year that an Australian company Austal will build 40 coast guard vessels. Philippines is capable to build warship or naval vessels at it's Hanjin Shipbuilding in Subic . Second Philippines can produce it's own surface to air, surface to surface missiles and drones. Make the Philippines as Israel in the SCS.
The focus of PBBM to strengthen the country’s defense industry led to the passing of the National Defense Industry Act. This will help local companies to produce materials for the Armed Forces and the police.
Are you sure its 40 coast guard vessel because from my understanding the Philippines only ordered three 84 meter Offshore Patrol Vessel from Austal which will be build in its Cebu facilities.
Only three 3 coast guard ships are planned for 2024 and an Australian company that builds Australian navy ships, Austal, based in Balamban, Cebu is hoping to get the contract.
eto lang solusyon
It's still going to be bidded. Yes Austal is in consideration but since its a frigate and corvette most probably the order will go to South Korea considering the weapon system, radar and other equipment like the command center, rapid gun,aesa radar, sea hawks, anti-sub system, anti-submarine torpedoes, etc. to be installed in the warships. Austal will get the 40 patrol boats. @@okamsug
We have the highest tax rates in Asia, yet we invest more in social program and cash gifts more than we do in the Military. Also pronouns and pageants are more important to our legislators than peace and security of our borders.
true.. u mentioned cash gifts or 4Ps.. I guess it shud be abolish.. not all recipients are using it properly.. it just teaches some people to be lazy and dependent..
Yes. Stop the dole out!! Dole out is being use in politicking!!; give this people work!! Invest the money for defense!!!
i think it's high time... we make a stand and defend our territory!!! wake-up call for PH...
I just love the group discussion. I learned so much about how we as a people make our country great!
EXCELLENT DISCUSSION POWERS TO YOU GUYS.
The free world gave their support for the Philippines winning the Arbitral Ruling in order to expressed their support for the rule of law.
Oh tapos? That's empty victory. It's a piece of paper that says that PH won, and yet the supposed losing party never acknowledges nor follows it. USELESS!
Very interesting ideas. Indeed Philippines is leading in balancing the power in the Pacific.
I believe consequently by our actions, Philippines is acting as middle power in the Indo-Pacific.
It look likes we are being bullied, but we are actually gaining control of China aggressiveness..
agree, Even Vietnam is struggling to control Chinas action in their Paracel islands. atleast Philippines voices and influence the great powers like US and India and other arms producing country who support modernizing Philippines
The key to well-informed citizens is to educate children & adults on how to parse out and understand issues. Singing & dancing, obsession w/ beauty contests & celebrity gossip being the primary interests is dumbing down many Filipinos
true, there are ways to do that - there are solutions- puro kung kikita lang kasi ang nangyayari kaya mabagal tayo umusad.
ask me how specifically.
I am proud as a flipino- i have these wonderful/bright filipinos. (Just dont include Robinhood Padilla, Harry Roque, SMNI).
So proud of you gentlemen!you realy are true filipino hearts!just keep it up and godbless us all!
Ph should strengthen its defenses and if we can't purchase ballistic missile. We can ask the US to stationed its long range ballistic missile for defensive strategy
Middle power based on paper. But a SUPER power in courage and combat skills regardless of arms' technology. We can still fight like way back in WW2 because we have inherited our national heroes and ancestor's patriotism. What more if we have the advance tech on any military assets?
Batongbakal, golez, are the best analyst with principles patriotic to our country and not to any country or persons
being the fulcrum, the Philippines should play it's role to its interests and not to bow to any superpower.
Try a bit yung mga english ninyo ay medyo mataas pakinggan. If you want to catch majority of the bulk of the populations that are pang pulutan o maritess o a bit hegher than that. Mabuti sana.
siguro oras na para taasan yung military spending natin? due to the ongoing conflict.
wow 0:20 its getting wider
i love how they invent new words.
What specific statements/views of John Mearsheimer are being quoted/echoed by trolls?
Placing all the blame on Ukraine (and NATO, which never accepted it) - victim blaming
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You said we are a middle power, what kind of power do we have aside from sheer population? I understand south Korea being middle power even if there a "reluctant" that comes with the title because you can clearly see, hear, feel, taste and smell what Koreans bring to the table.
We hold the gate way into the pacific, whoever holds the Philippines holds the entire south pacific
@@christbenitez8797 how it will translate to money? Have we translated that into money? And even if that advantage is a criminal fact where are we when it comes to standing in all aspects? The way your sentence is being constructed it sounded like you think of our country as a means to an end to another entity.
Not a big fan of the designs and colors :(, especially the Ramos blue room and the magsaysay cluttered green wall painting (feels cheap). I wish they considered colors that are more conducive to rest and relaxation. Blue is just too jarring (just how blue light keeps you awake). I wish the designs considered the effects of color and ambiance for mood and incorporated more of the vibe of Filipino culture and art-the rooms feel very western. But I guess they had a meager budget.
Doesn't US exert more financial, cultural, & other softpower in influencing bias information? Follow the money trail? Which news media receive fundings from Americans? Rappler? ABS-CBN? academic grants from US & European institutiions?
We lack heroes and courageous people.
Middle power, why not? We can & we are modernizing our afp, ain't we? So we can afford that? How about economic matters? We can what we can dream of.
We have a long way to go to be a middle power. When you see and think of Pinas, do you think of Canada, Australia, Germany, Japan and South Korea? Compare the GDP, foreign influence, education level, technology, infrastructure and political or government stability of these countries to that of Pinas.
You are comparing a former colony(Philippines) to countries once considered as “great powers”, with Japan and UK being a previous Superpower.
This is a definitional question…
The middle power category tops out with countries like S. Korea and Canada. They’re more like gatekeepers for ‘great power’ status. It would be unfair for PH to be subject to comparisons to Japan or any other top 10 economy.
But, viewed against established middle powers like Argentina, Netherlands, Sth Africa, Australia, Poland…I think PH fits in decently.
I'm so sick of hearing the word "disinformation", or "misinformation". from people who assumes that their narrative & opinion is the absolute truth. There would have been no wars, debates, or lawsuits if the truth is as simple as what one side believes
I'm glad you mentioned this @andyl200👍
So much discussions but it is really simple.
It all boils down to identifying the red line and backing it up with enough power.
Simple.
Ang problema kasi ay masyadong malamya ang foreign policy natin.
Presidential Decree 1596 series of 1978 ang batas natin na its part of our territory and not merely sovereign rights. Doon pa lang malamya na ang ating paninindigan.
Duh.
Dahil siguro ang level ng edukasyon sa atin ay masyadong mataas dahil siguro konti lang ang makarating sa gusto nila dahil langit kung abutin. Gold kasi ang edukasyon sa atin na kung gustuhin man mag aral galing pa sa bulsa. Yung mga universities sa atin na mi pera ang iba dyan ay 15 century pa nagumpisa they have to give to the communities. Inde lang get...get😮 ...sila. They have to get out from their religious upbringing at magbigay dapat ng maraming scholarship hinde yung masyadong pera pera lahat. Marami dyan na matatalinong mga students sa ating bansa na mag formed ng ideas para maging DEFENDER sila ng ating bansa. Hinde aagawin ng ibang bansa para tayu one day maging alipinn sa sariling bansa na atin.
Bakit yan ba ang purpose nila????
Marami dyan na Europeans mga religious upbringing Hungary,Chekoslovakia,Germany at iba pa. Pero high tech sila lahat at ang mga tao nila ay hinde nag suffer poor.
O baka sinadya lang tayu na maging poor ang majority na mga tao sa atin? Na ginawa ang maraming Filipino to become just an OFW- GATASAN.😢
PHILIPPINES cannot become or materialised na marami sa amin ang forever na maging OFW lamang. We cannot just become forever as OFW forever...
O baka tutuo ung sinasabi nga na ang Pilipinas sa history tayu ang OPHIR ayun sa The God Culture- the original. Philippines has the end time purpose in the world. Its shows nga.
We lack.heroes and courageous people
Investors should invest in letting the Philippines be a centralized state, not a country headed or ruled by a president but by a state governor from Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao. 1 state capitol and Luzon, 1 state capitol in Visayas, and 1 state capitol in Mindanao. 2 state capitol vacant but one occupied. 1-month state capitol headed or ruled by the state governor in Luzon working schedule next 2nd-month schedule assigned in Visayas(state governor too) and 3rd-month next assigned in Mindanao and backward to Visays again till reaching Luzon every month until the contract term expired for onward calendar agenda 2024.
I won’t finish this, I’m halfway through. But I have this to say na di niyo kasi tanaw kung ano ang natatanaw ng presidente. Antayin lang natin ng konti because right now, based on what I’m hearing from the news, they might be potentially cooking something that might be the solution to the problems we face. You are the experts, you might be noticing it.
Let them cook. They are onto something. That’s defense.
But in terms of infra though, they must replace Jaime Bautista and Manny Bonoan because they’re slow. They’re not getting things done. Mabagal ang usad ng MMSP, mabagal ang usad ng NSCR, di pa matapos tapos ang MRT 7, di pa matapos tapos ang UGCS, mabagal ang usad ng NLEX-SLEX Connector, hindi pa nag groundbreaking ang BCIB, walang balita sa Panay-Guimaras-Negros, I mean it has been 2 years and we cannot feel the change that should have been felt already in terms of transportation. Di pa matapos tapos ang LRT 1 extension(I’m not calling it Cavite Extension kasi nga di naman umabot sa Cavite).
Pres should replace these guys in charge of the infra. Hirap magcommute dong.
The Philippines don't bomb Japan in World War 2 with the job title I.D president. The Philippines should not be a scarecrow to Japan, Italy, and Germany after World War 2 by using the presidential form of government headed or ruled by the president.
Marami pang bigas kakainin Ng Pinoy para tawagin " middle power"Wala nga tayong sapat na stock Ng pagkain
Correct...Muddle power is probably more akin to being midget or the like since unbridked imagination can really blow things up out of reality...The Ph is keeping an ill-equiped poorly led defense architecture that not only requires equipment but reorganising the echelon of power within the armed forces...Time is running short...😂😂
middle power😅😅, everybody claims they are middle power, middle power wholesale
Don't match Ukraine to Pinas. Their leader is bold in asking US dahil me hawak mga yan na pwedeng ibagsak ng admin ng US ngayon. If you all are tough and knows to be tough, be ready to suit up when things go down.
Middle power but among the lowest gdp per capita in Asia.
10usd/day minimum wage. Congratulations Philippines!
If the Philippines fails to take control of its destiny, its fate will be decided by its adversaries. A lesson it has failed to learn even after its colonial past.
Scrap the dole out to the poor!! Give them work instead!! Put the money to the armed forces!!!!!
short term ayuda lang ang naiisip kasi..
alam nilang sa konting pera- susunod na mga tao lalo na ang poor talaga.
let’educate them in our own way na lang..
We can't achieve such! Unless we create a powerful intelligence agency where they're the one who craft the foreign policy and control the military where the president only picks and chooses what his policy should be.. like pentagon. I'm giggling when some of you try to recommend what strategy should be. And I'm glad someone says that's not how democracy works. 😂😂
Lets listen to Robinhood Padilla.!
So what's your problem with redtagging, Richard? Can you elucidate? Who redtags?
obvious when you know the news before pa-
The problem with Filipinos who vote the leader they only keen to popular politician or individual... basically Filipinos leader are more corrupt... importante may pera no matter how will be consequences ang kawawa ay may mga ordinary Filipinos...i dont see leader are true patriot nowadays....maraming traitor...if only have law na pugutan ang ulo ng mga traitor...siguro marami mapupugutan...tapos ito pa...dada ng dada wala naman maibubuga if only to focus on locally build defence capabilities maraming mabibigyan na trabaho...yong mentality kc ng mga official ay kickback...panay kickback !...sa totoo lang kaya natin magdevelop ng armas..
Yung senador na nagsusulong ng ROTC pero walang ibibiling gamit.wag nyo nang iboto yan.
The Philippine Armed Forces was organized by General MacArthur. It had a promising future as an Asian leader. Some 80 years later, the Philippine Armed Forces are begging for modern equipments and being led by a questionable corrupt government throughout the decades.
NOBODY IS TO BLAME FOR THIS WEAKNESS EXCEPT FOR THE FILIPINO LEADERSHIP.
Stop blaming China, stop blaming the US, stop using useless analytic words and sentences because it’s a waste of time. TALK ABOUT SOLUTIONS. This panel said more blah blah blah than I can stomach….YOU GUYS SOUND LIKE A BUNCH OF CHARLATANS. USE PLAIN ENGLISH THOUGHTS.
SOLUTION:
Since the Philippines is basically poor, corrupt and factionalized…its only option is to cling to the US. Pia Wurtzbach pretty much summed it up at the Miss Universe pageant in 2015.
In addition, the Philippines does not really need its own army, since it is so dependent on the US for defense, JUST USE THE US MILITARY BY GRANTING AMERICA A FREE LEASE ON MANY LANDS ALONG THE WESTERN COASTS FROM BATANES TO SULU. End of story.
The Philippines is not a middle power… IT HAS NO MILITARY POWER….WE CAN’T EVEN DEFEND OUR FISHERMEN LET ALONE UPHOLD OUR RIGHT ACCORDING TO THE UN.
WE NEED THE US MILITARY TO SET UP BASES ALONG OUR WESTERN COASTLINES
The United Nations 180 plus countries should not be allowed to use the title job I.D president. who adopts the presidential form of government or is described as an independent democratic and republican state. Republic way back in 509 B.C. way back in Roman times was always associated with polytheism, paganism, or non-Christians and rulers should be non-Christians too. Catholic and Protestant Christians are always associated and cannot be detached from a monarchial form of government started out in the Middle Ages. It just happens that the Republic and Catholic and Protestant Christians were merged by the United States of America after World War 2 at the same time partnered with a presidential form of government headed or ruled by the president. Nationalism and Liberalism in 1960 in the Philippines never existed in a presidential form of government after World War 2 but existed in a monarchial form of government particularly in Europe. Republic is a war loot price dividend distribution award trophy to the United States of America, Great Britain, Russia, France, and China after World War 2 against Italy Germany, and Japan. Republic is simply an iconic home, a house, and a fortress castle property of Rome transferred to the U.S.A. after the war.
Would it be less ambiguous if the phrase " more important" government/sectoral particular prioritized activity be changed/improved to less chaotic "all-important/equally essential"?. Thank you ✌️♥️☝️💯%YHWH🌌💖💝❤️🤗🇵🇭🌏🌎🌍🏁🚻✅
No. I strongly disagree. I don’t think the Philippines is nowhere even near a "middle power" when it comes to military strength. It needs to seriously increase its percentage of military spending to achieve such title. For one thing, it has one of the weakest militaries in ASEAN.
Problem is we don’t want liberty as much we want a big government to produce problem solving. We must Decrease funding of social programs, cash gifts, indoctrination, etc. look how Argentina’s new President is doing it. Then and only then can our nation focus on being capable of defending itself.
I agree it's too far to consider Philippines. Our military is still low tech compared to others. The weapons disposed on Ukraine are
consider trash for the US and NATO and Philippines still buys them. Philippines can't even harness even half the potential of there resources. This self proclaimed expert didn't even know how the 1st world works there. Cant even see the whole picture off the world only seeing Philippines as if it's the center of there world.
In todays world, military might does not guarantee in the war arena if thata ur point.
Hehe pwede tagalog.. ang tatalino nmn nila.. sana all
A typical public high school students understand English!.. where are you?
Middle finger for u javad
i feel we're still small. i need more propaganda to convince me that we are not a small power.
Just open your bank account. 🤭
Bat puro mga chatbot ang nagkocomment dito? 😂
The Philippines should surrender the job title I.D president and vice president to the United States of America after World War 2 for North America has a veto power to use or not to use nukes to enemies.
A cohesive national consciousness is necessary in order for us to even contemplate our place in this world.
Things I hope for the Philippines:
1) a strong naval force
2) Philippines viewed as key to China’s security rather than a threat
3) a respected neutral state at the nexus of the Indo Pacific
Pro China spotted
Hoy Mag tagalog kayo,accebt niyo halata naman ,Makapili naman kayo ,tagalog kayo para mag kaintindihan kayo mga yawa
Di lang pinoy gusto maka alam nito pati mga ibang Bansal. Mas maganda English ng nakikita ng ibang nation na di tayu pwedeng itulak.
3 guests and a host clapping to themselves
The idea that the Philippines can be considered a middle power is simply laughable. Its so-called 'power' is mainly reliant on a service-based economy and the money sent back by overseas workers. The country is even unable to guarantee its own people's food security, which is a clear indication of its limitations. It is absurd to believe that the Philippines holds any significant influence in the region - its recent international attention is solely due to the Chinese Communist Party's encroachment on its territorial waters. So, can we honestly call the Philippines a middle power? Let's face reality and abandon this middle power label. It's time to stop fooling ourselves, 34:08. A middle power “has sufficient strength and authority to stand on its own without the need of help from others." What on earth is the gentleman thinking?
Middle power, my ass. More like Zero Power.
I don’t think you should call John Mearsheimer as Psuedo , his geopolitical analysis is well recognized by international geopolitical commentators. It will be just your opinion against others. Baka sabihin din ng iba hilaw ang karalaman mo.
He is an IR expert, but NOT a “Russia expert”… his views on Asia far more accurate
What is your purpose anyway, stay àt your home at america