UPDATE: It's a close call, but after reviewing more VODs, I am now putting GAM to advance from Play-ins rather than SHG. Good luck to everyone :D Also, in my new "Deep Dive" video series, I pick a new champion each episode and analyze how strong they are by breaking down the most pivotal pro game moments. The footage I analyze is really exciting, and I think you will really enjoy it!: th-cam.com/video/RVxTDjw10AY/w-d-xo.html
Pretty good picks! I spent all day on mine and we have some that are the same. Couple things: -There was at least 9 Barron steals in 2022 not 7~ some places say 10, most say 9 cuz I think one didn’t count considering it was a pre playin game lol. -Jinx is on the table and doing well atm (54+% win rate at the top elo 🤷♂️) so it’s something to think about when it comes to penta kills. 3 isn’t that big of a number but it doesn’t have a cap so one could say it’s safer than picking 1 or 2 -put Guma as potential to get a penta kill because since it’s Swiss stage and since we know T1 isn’t doing the best but are a aggressive/faster team than say GenG~ it’s safe to say they will be fighting lower teams that already have losses and will get some chances at a penta kill with their more aggressive style. -ur making me doubt GAM and I don’t like that 😂 I’ll change mine for now for that Japan team but I wouldn’t be surprised if they get even farther than PSG like the previous time! -ps, did you watch Caedrel’s pick ems first? I was going to but then wanted to do my own first so I wasn’t putting names that were subconsciously put in my head 😂 then I watched his vid and adjusted just a couple. -really didn’t know what to put for most banned mainly. -pss I fanboyed hard and put T1 to win worlds 😂 but hey now, it’s the same roster that almost won in 2022 and that won in 2023 🤷♂️(AND that Saudi Esports World Cup very recently while BLG tied for… _last_ lol) so I wouldn’t sleep on them! They have very little stage fear/pressure compared to the other teams that have never won. GenG chokes everytime. And BLG sometimes does too. Even tho I think one of those 2 will probably win.. taking everything I mentioned into mind…. Just gotta use that heart of the cards spirit baby! lol ~cheers man
Nice analysis! In my notes for Baron steals, I had written "5-6", so when I saw the options 3-5 and 6-8, I was like noooooo xD I would definitely be willing to raise the pentakills prediction if we got leaks that pro teams are actually picking Jinx a lot. I don't know how possible that is, how secret the scrims are, but I hope the community will let me know if they hear anything. Guma for penta seems very reasonable to me. Picking T1 for anything wacky I think is as good a bet as any, haha. I'm very not confident on the GAM vs SHG. I was not super impressed with the GAM games I watched, but one thing I'm going to do this week is watch more of both teams and then make a final decision. I did watch Caedrel's pick 'em! I looove Caedrel. He seemed like maybe he went through it really fast though? I can't imagine doing them live on stream. I never count T1 out, but two T1 championships in a row would be pretty ambitious from the scriptwriters, haha, so my gut pushes me in the opposite direction Whatever happens, it's looking to be a really exciting Worlds! Good luck!
Absolutely amazing. I feel like I gained a lot of insight. You are clearly well-versed and knowledgeable. Would love to know and learn about what sites or trackers you use to track stats and research data. At one point you mentioned that Ksante had the same amount of deaths per game as Rell did last year Worlds. How do you know that particular bit of info for example? Either way, thank you.. I'll be following your predictions..
Happy you loved the content! :): Worlds 2023 Crystal Ball: www.pickemstracker.com/ Worlds 2022 Crystal Ball: (Looks like this is right before the very final match, but most results should be unchanged) www.reddit.com/r/leagueoflegends/comments/yi8w34/crystal_ball_pickem_worlds_2022_day_20/
gonna lock in these for now, but will be curious what other ytbers put. i actually think we are gonna see more pentas since viego is buffed and zeri seems to be strong? when viego is strong we see alot of pentas
Definitely possible, and the nice thing about the 3+ pentakills option is it cover 3,4,5, etc. Technically we aren't 100% sure that it will be a Jinx Viego meta just because they got buffed in 14.18. I definitely want to see a worlds with 3+ pentakills, but I try to reign in my enthusiasm to pick what I think will be as accurate as possible. Could definitely see myself swapping this one before locking in, though :)
Thank you for the support! It's possible, but for Smolder, I think it's a bit risky because he has only been played top 8 times all season in any region, and only by two players in the tournament: Kingen on Dplus Kia and Myrwn on Mad Lions. By comparison, Poppy jungle has been played by 5 players in the tournament. Ziggs for highest win rate is a big risk because he might be played a ton, and the more any champion is played, the closer the winrate tends to get to 50% (remember the bad teams can lock in Ziggs too!). The category usually goes to champs that are only picked 5-10 times total over the tournament. That said, if you believe the Ziggs nergs will hit him hard enough that he is barely played, but not so hard that he is still played at least 5 times to qualify for the category, then there is a chance
@@SizeableBrain Thanks for your answer, what do you think about yone for highest winrate? I know yone was third in 2022 and first in 2023. I also realized that a support was always on the list. Yumi for 2022 and Renata for 2023 as first and second place. Could blitzcrank be a good choice for 2024? considering that great player could play blitz and won with it only few time
@@Redingote- Yone is unlikely to have such a high winrate this tournament because he is likely to be played way more than at previous Worlds, which tends to bring the winrate towards 50%. Blitzcrank is a very reasonable pick for highest winrate for the reasons you describe!
@@josephakintola9892 Very interesting pick! She's definitely one of the few that avoided any nerfs in 14.17 and 14.18. I wonder though if teams will not ban her versus all the regions that don't really play Nidalee like NA. In general, I think "most banned" is super hard to predict so good luck :)
I believe that Blitz is gonna have the highest win rate because imo he will be played rarely by good players and surely 5 times. Examples: Delight, Lehends, Moham (he MIGHT play blitz) I also believe in Chovy for highest KDA because every game he has decent KDA and that makes me think he will have the highest KDA also the meta will suit him as well
Excellent predictions! I hope to see those Blitz games, where those hooks can be absolutely game-ending :D Chovy is the real deal, and has had a super high KDA over the course of 2024 - I think he's a good choice - typically ADCs/Supports have slightly higher KDA at worlds, but if anyone can break the trend, it's Chovy!
True, LJL has not been good historically, I was just impressed with the little bit of SHG footage I watched. I'm getting a lot of feedback that people think GAM is good, so I'm going to watch lots of GAM and SHG games this week before making a final decision since I wasn't following either team before this week
It's definitely possible, and I would rate them as the fifth strongest team in the Play-ins, so they are right on the cutoff. It was difficult for me to evaluate because as I was watching VKE vs GAM, VKE was SO bad in that match that it was hard to tell how good GAM was. If you know any other good GAM series for me to watch, please let me know!
@@SizeableBrain I havent watched their games and going purely based on results from recent games and also seeing them play in play ins for last few years. Who do you think would win between MDK and 100 thieves?
@@Irritategaming Oof, that's a tough one. If I had to pick right now, I would go for MDK. I think they might have figured something out with their team just in time for Worlds, whereas 100T I feel like kinda just got there by default by winning a single match against a struggling C9. But the meta might totally different too, so who knows - will be fun to see!
UPDATE: It's a close call, but after reviewing more VODs, I am now putting GAM to advance from Play-ins rather than SHG. Good luck to everyone :D
Also, in my new "Deep Dive" video series, I pick a new champion each episode and analyze how strong they are by breaking down the most pivotal pro game moments. The footage I analyze is really exciting, and I think you will really enjoy it!: th-cam.com/video/RVxTDjw10AY/w-d-xo.html
Nice analysis man. Would love future pick em videos!
So glad you liked it! Expect a new pick 'em video after play-ins!
Pretty good picks! I spent all day on mine and we have some that are the same. Couple things:
-There was at least 9 Barron steals in 2022 not 7~ some places say 10, most say 9 cuz I think one didn’t count considering it was a pre playin game lol.
-Jinx is on the table and doing well atm (54+% win rate at the top elo 🤷♂️) so it’s something to think about when it comes to penta kills. 3 isn’t that big of a number but it doesn’t have a cap so one could say it’s safer than picking 1 or 2
-put Guma as potential to get a penta kill because since it’s Swiss stage and since we know T1 isn’t doing the best but are a aggressive/faster team than say GenG~ it’s safe to say they will be fighting lower teams that already have losses and will get some chances at a penta kill with their more aggressive style.
-ur making me doubt GAM and I don’t like that 😂 I’ll change mine for now for that Japan team but I wouldn’t be surprised if they get even farther than PSG like the previous time!
-ps, did you watch Caedrel’s pick ems first? I was going to but then wanted to do my own first so I wasn’t putting names that were subconsciously put in my head 😂 then I watched his vid and adjusted just a couple. -really didn’t know what to put for most banned mainly.
-pss I fanboyed hard and put T1 to win worlds 😂 but hey now, it’s the same roster that almost won in 2022 and that won in 2023 🤷♂️(AND that Saudi Esports World Cup very recently while BLG tied for… _last_ lol) so I wouldn’t sleep on them! They have very little stage fear/pressure compared to the other teams that have never won. GenG chokes everytime. And BLG sometimes does too. Even tho I think one of those 2 will probably win.. taking everything I mentioned into mind…. Just gotta use that heart of the cards spirit baby! lol
~cheers man
Nice analysis!
In my notes for Baron steals, I had written "5-6", so when I saw the options 3-5 and 6-8, I was like noooooo xD
I would definitely be willing to raise the pentakills prediction if we got leaks that pro teams are actually picking Jinx a lot. I don't know how possible that is, how secret the scrims are, but I hope the community will let me know if they hear anything.
Guma for penta seems very reasonable to me. Picking T1 for anything wacky I think is as good a bet as any, haha.
I'm very not confident on the GAM vs SHG. I was not super impressed with the GAM games I watched, but one thing I'm going to do this week is watch more of both teams and then make a final decision.
I did watch Caedrel's pick 'em! I looove Caedrel. He seemed like maybe he went through it really fast though? I can't imagine doing them live on stream.
I never count T1 out, but two T1 championships in a row would be pretty ambitious from the scriptwriters, haha, so my gut pushes me in the opposite direction
Whatever happens, it's looking to be a really exciting Worlds! Good luck!
I've changed my mind after reviewing the VODs in more detail and am now predicting GAM to advance over SHG. Hopefully I'm not overthinking it :D
@@SizeableBrainthanks! I’ll check it out~
Absolutely amazing. I feel like I gained a lot of insight. You are clearly well-versed and knowledgeable.
Would love to know and learn about what sites or trackers you use to track stats and research data. At one point you mentioned that Ksante had the same amount of deaths per game as Rell did last year Worlds. How do you know that particular bit of info for example?
Either way, thank you.. I'll be following your predictions..
Happy you loved the content! :):
Worlds 2023 Crystal Ball:
www.pickemstracker.com/
Worlds 2022 Crystal Ball: (Looks like this is right before the very final match, but most results should be unchanged)
www.reddit.com/r/leagueoflegends/comments/yi8w34/crystal_ball_pickem_worlds_2022_day_20/
Thank you very much for your analysis sir !
It was very helpful ;)
You're very welcome! Good luck!
gonna lock in these for now, but will be curious what other ytbers put. i actually think we are gonna see more pentas since viego is buffed and zeri seems to be strong? when viego is strong we see alot of pentas
Definitely possible, and the nice thing about the 3+ pentakills option is it cover 3,4,5, etc.
Technically we aren't 100% sure that it will be a Jinx Viego meta just because they got buffed in 14.18.
I definitely want to see a worlds with 3+ pentakills, but I try to reign in my enthusiasm to pick what I think will be as accurate as possible.
Could definitely see myself swapping this one before locking in, though :)
Great content! What do you think about smolder who will be played in the most different roles and Zigs highest winrate?
Thank you for the support!
It's possible, but for Smolder, I think it's a bit risky because he has only been played top 8 times all season in any region, and only by two players in the tournament: Kingen on Dplus Kia and Myrwn on Mad Lions. By comparison, Poppy jungle has been played by 5 players in the tournament.
Ziggs for highest win rate is a big risk because he might be played a ton, and the more any champion is played, the closer the winrate tends to get to 50% (remember the bad teams can lock in Ziggs too!). The category usually goes to champs that are only picked 5-10 times total over the tournament. That said, if you believe the Ziggs nergs will hit him hard enough that he is barely played, but not so hard that he is still played at least 5 times to qualify for the category, then there is a chance
@@SizeableBrain Thanks for your answer, what do you think about yone for highest winrate? I know yone was third in 2022 and first in 2023. I also realized that a support was always on the list. Yumi for 2022 and Renata for 2023 as first and second place. Could blitzcrank be a good choice for 2024? considering that great player could play blitz and won with it only few time
@@Redingote- Yone is unlikely to have such a high winrate this tournament because he is likely to be played way more than at previous Worlds, which tends to bring the winrate towards 50%. Blitzcrank is a very reasonable pick for highest winrate for the reasons you describe!
I try your luck thanks
I wish us both luck! :D
This is pretty valid but I changed my most banned to nidalee
@@josephakintola9892 Very interesting pick! She's definitely one of the few that avoided any nerfs in 14.17 and 14.18. I wonder though if teams will not ban her versus all the regions that don't really play Nidalee like NA. In general, I think "most banned" is super hard to predict so good luck :)
Nice analysis and good video. Keep it up.
Thanks so much! Glad you liked it!
thanks
You're very welcome!
There's must be more than 3+ penta kill i mean i can smell it..... 👻
Oh no, I've had a cold so I can't smell anything :d
When I regain my sense of smell I might change my answer
@@SizeableBrain xD 😅
Ty man!
You're very welcome!
I believe that Blitz is gonna have the highest win rate because imo he will be played rarely by good players and surely 5 times.
Examples: Delight, Lehends, Moham (he MIGHT play blitz)
I also believe in Chovy for highest KDA because every game he has decent KDA and that makes me think he will have the highest KDA also the meta will suit him as well
Excellent predictions! I hope to see those Blitz games, where those hooks can be absolutely game-ending :D
Chovy is the real deal, and has had a super high KDA over the course of 2024 - I think he's a good choice - typically ADCs/Supports have slightly higher KDA at worlds, but if anyone can break the trend, it's Chovy!
And that just my gut feeling
I don't think SHG is stronger than GAM, based on the history of international competition VCS has never lost to LJL
True, LJL has not been good historically, I was just impressed with the little bit of SHG footage I watched. I'm getting a lot of feedback that people think GAM is good, so I'm going to watch lots of GAM and SHG games this week before making a final decision since I wasn't following either team before this week
Jinx is meta and a pentakill machine. 3+ is a safe choice
Very possible. Has there been word in the grapevine that Jinx meta is definitely happening, or are you saying that because of the 14.18 buffs?
I feel like GAM might have a good chance of making it, i feel Vietnam is underated. Thoughts?
It's definitely possible, and I would rate them as the fifth strongest team in the Play-ins, so they are right on the cutoff. It was difficult for me to evaluate because as I was watching VKE vs GAM, VKE was SO bad in that match that it was hard to tell how good GAM was. If you know any other good GAM series for me to watch, please let me know!
@@SizeableBrain I havent watched their games and going purely based on results from recent games and also seeing them play in play ins for last few years.
Who do you think would win between MDK and 100 thieves?
@@Irritategaming Oof, that's a tough one. If I had to pick right now, I would go for MDK. I think they might have figured something out with their team just in time for Worlds, whereas 100T I feel like kinda just got there by default by winning a single match against a struggling C9. But the meta might totally different too, so who knows - will be fun to see!
ok i will test ur luck
Good luck!