Should you worry as coalition rule returns? Here is what India’s experiment tells us

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 1 ธ.ค. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 602

  • @ThePrintIndia
    @ThePrintIndia  5 หลายเดือนก่อน +14

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    • @atulkulve2981
      @atulkulve2981 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      If the GDP is so low then how am I getting an annual returns of about 20-35% in mutual funds and stocks isn't stock market is directly in correlation with GDP?

    • @nomulahemanth3109
      @nomulahemanth3109 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      ​​@@atulkulve2981The Print is Spreading FAKE Data,The Real GDP Growth Rates since 2014 as Per IMF are 7.4%,8.0%,8.3%,6.8%,6.3%,3.9% ,--5.8%, 9.7%, 7%, 8.2%. HENCE if you add all these & Divide it by 10(for 10 Modi Years) The AVERAGE Growth would be 6.0%, It's BASIC MATH

    • @nomulahemanth3109
      @nomulahemanth3109 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      ​@@atulkulve2981The Print is Spreading FAKE Data,The Real GDP Growth Rates since 2014 as Per IMF are 7.4%,8.0%,8.3%,6.8%,6.3%,3.9% ,--5.8%, 9.7%, 7%, 8.2%. HENCE if you add all these & Divide it by 10(for 10 Modi Years) The AVERAGE Growth would be 6.0%, It's BASIC MATH

    • @nomulahemanth3109
      @nomulahemanth3109 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      The Print is Spreading FAKE Data,The Real GDP Growth Rates since 2014 as Per IMF are 7.4%,8.0%,8.3%,6.8%,6.3%,3.9% ,--5.8%, 9.7%, 7%, 8.2%. HENCE if you add all these & Divide it by 10(for 10 Modi Years) The AVERAGE Growth would be 6.0%, It's BASIC MATH

    • @urrasscal8380
      @urrasscal8380 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@atulkulve2981 don't listen to opposition parties specially congress they r the most sstupid political party of the wworld . If they had any idea about power politics they would had done popul. xchange during partition and would remain in the power atleast for next 1000 yrs coz majority of hhindu population r llibrandus & they would had voted for llibrandu parties like congress.

  • @804ashish
    @804ashish 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +207

    Comparing this data with the global rate of growth during the same time period will give better insights.

    • @narenghosal1199
      @narenghosal1199 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +11

      Yes , valid point

    • @Pshaurk
      @Pshaurk 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

      demographics and geopolitics would need to also be included. because currently both are favourable for india but were favourable to china before no thanks to any government.

    • @HalloweenJack_Work
      @HalloweenJack_Work 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      Not quite - highly developed economies grow at a much slower rate than developing ones - to give you an example, the US economy grows by 2-3% on a YOY basis.

    • @RajanRaj-po9xr
      @RajanRaj-po9xr 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

      Dhruv Rathi didn't make TH-cam vedio related Kasmir after balakot air attack and 370 remove. He know that terrorism has reduced not only in % , but several times down. Why to help for unwanted person????😢

    • @nomulahemanth
      @nomulahemanth 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      The Print is Spreading FAKE Data,The Real GDP Growth Rates since 2014 as Per IMF are 7.4%,8.0%,8.3%,6.8%,6.3%,3.9% ,--5.8%, 9.7%, 7%, 8.2%. HENCE if you add all these & Divide it by 10(for 10 Modi Years) The AVERAGE Growth would be 6.0%, It's BASIC MATH

  • @jayantkoppikar6465
    @jayantkoppikar6465 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +179

    1952-89 : Slow growth because of Nehruvian socialist and communist policies.
    1991 + : growth because of forced reform with balance of payment crisis
    1999-2008 + : Growth acceleration with higher growth across the world with world trade acceleration + Reforms from Vajapayee + UPA 1.0
    2014 = 2 major shocks - demonetization + Covid.
    The bar charts abstracts out these nuances. Growth and coalition correlation is not causation.

    • @prasanthpeddaayyavarla3391
      @prasanthpeddaayyavarla3391 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +15

      Yours is the most sensible analysis including the video itself. One more factor to add here is how much could we have grown in in each of those times(potential)? One easy way to check is which major country had highest growth at that time? Last few decades it was obviously China. They shot up while we are celebrating 5.8%. We are the fastest growing now.

    • @greenrico10
      @greenrico10 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +22

      His argument was simply that the country can grow even under a coalition government . That there is no real reason to get into the specific. He was simply trying to counter people who have a blanket fear of coalitions

    • @azankhan88
      @azankhan88 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      Always an excuse.

    • @ankushchoudhary4627
      @ankushchoudhary4627 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      How is demonetisation not a direct correlation।

    • @aakashsinha938
      @aakashsinha938 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Hahahahha; you missed 2008 - 2014,, why??

  • @chocolatemilkshake9168
    @chocolatemilkshake9168 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +181

    The best way for BJP to prove itself is the economy .... if they want majority in 2029.

    • @anirudhsharma2720
      @anirudhsharma2720 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +43

      Will uneduacted ppl of UP-Bihar ever understand? I am a UP wala btw, I think ppl don't even like the safety of their daughters and mother, all they like is their caste netas no matter what he/she do.

    • @laudalassan109
      @laudalassan109 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +12

      My vote is always for BJP

    • @aakashsinha938
      @aakashsinha938 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@anirudhsharma2720same; as a UP waala, fuck our casteist people

    • @amitsrivastava4539
      @amitsrivastava4539 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +30

      Good economy never translated to elections in India. It depends on how government uses the economic growth to show a direct benefit to people.

    • @AndyKatana
      @AndyKatana 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +20

      Wish Economy wins you elections. Biggest infra push since 50s, single digit inflation despite global crisis, trippling of stock market, highest tax collection, growth numbers unmatched by any country despite global slowdown, IBC, most efficient PDS ever, startups, highest growth in non-public sector formal/informal jobs, resolutin to massive twin balancesheet issue and all of this while maintaining watertight fiscal amidst once in a lifetime event - covid.
      Compare these parameters with any of the previous govt, some got somethings better, but none got everything right.

  • @AjaySharma-me1sy
    @AjaySharma-me1sy 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +44

    The logic is very simple, if a majority party gets too secure and comfortable, their performance will go down. The government needs to be kept on its toes and the ministers should always be in the fear of being tossed out for underperformance.

    • @faisalmuneerone
      @faisalmuneerone 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Best comment

    • @ownerspride8305
      @ownerspride8305 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      In coalition you can’t do that. No one could fire poorly performing coalition weather vanes like Laloo Prasad Yadav and DMK ministers. But Modi has fired 25% of non performing ministers every 2 years. So your comment makes no sense.

    • @munmundey3768
      @munmundey3768 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Hmm now everyone will get khata khata 1lkh

    • @anadasingh3456
      @anadasingh3456 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      The problem Ajay, is that you not allowed to even know or debate what those problems are. Modi's party the RSS and the BJP so control Indian media that I doubt you can seriously tell me what where the issues preventing the BJP from getting a super majority.

    • @ameytiwari1247
      @ameytiwari1247 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@ownerspride8305 "Modi has fired 25% of non performing ministers every 2 years"
      do u have any source to back it up? Also, performance (execution) isn't that much of a problem as much as not have a dynamic feedback system. Coalitions are more open to in terms of their feedback system compared to majority/single party govts

  • @yogeshlthakur1606
    @yogeshlthakur1606 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    To be fair, PM Modi inherited a very fragile economy with PSU banks almost at zero net worth.
    Tough reforms result in low growth in short term, but benefits happen later. Modiji had the courage to take the tough decisions and we will see the gains coming in future.
    Had covid not happened, the growth graph would look very different.

  • @ihskask
    @ihskask 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    I love how Data oriented and non partisan your content is Shekhar ji, it’s so refreshing. Thank you!

  • @sunandabhassin1361
    @sunandabhassin1361 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +76

    Time will tell what kind of coalition this is

    • @shreenathjraman3619
      @shreenathjraman3619 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Whoa said something super insightful there

    • @RajanRaj-po9xr
      @RajanRaj-po9xr 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      Dhruv Rathi didn't make TH-cam vedio related Kasmir after balakot air attack and 370 remove. He know that terrorism has reduced not only in % , but several times down. Why to help for unwanted person????❤

    • @darkarpit
      @darkarpit 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      ​@@RajanRaj-po9xrDhruv Rathee played his part 😂

    • @TrendSuresh
      @TrendSuresh 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Not for minorities but for whole Indians for sure

  • @devapala879
    @devapala879 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    So BJP is indeed what Arun Shourie called it: "Congress + Cow"

  • @parvadhami980
    @parvadhami980 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +59

    As poverty rate remained the same during Nehruvian era, "Inequality" was lesser
    Hence Nehruvian epoch is the best 😂

    • @abhinavdwivedi6869
      @abhinavdwivedi6869 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

      As per IMF 240 Millions have been lifted out of Poverty in last deacde, bring% down to mere 6% .
      You are inaccurate with data.

    • @parvadhami980
      @parvadhami980 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +12

      @@abhinavdwivedi6869 bro didn't get the sarcasm

    • @aniketaggarwal1224
      @aniketaggarwal1224 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@parvadhami980
      Sarcasm which affects large masses of our nation aren't allowed

    • @shyambajekal8084
      @shyambajekal8084 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Yeah 😂😂😂

    • @arunkumarmondal6488
      @arunkumarmondal6488 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      ​@@aniketaggarwal1224damm you are melting faster than some western snowflakes

  • @SG029
    @SG029 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    Shekhar ji you should have also covered the corruptions that took place during UPA govt, for which many people blame the compromising nature of coalitions.

  • @ashishjoshi4061
    @ashishjoshi4061 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Coalition government has always proven to be more helpful in India.

  • @sarabjits7679
    @sarabjits7679 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +16

    Sheila Dixit is perfect example of managing upa and nda govts and taking delhi to a new high. In the end , it is the person at head.

    • @lakshyavarshney9942
      @lakshyavarshney9942 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      What high still those horrible slums exist I hv seen open defaction in main city area of Delhi wasn't there post 2015

  • @kuldeepkumarbhat9648
    @kuldeepkumarbhat9648 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Narsimha Rao, And Vajpayee only had the guts to go in for full throat reforms.
    All others did whatever they did, all by default.

  • @rajx7120
    @rajx7120 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    We should also look at inflation. Under a BJP govt, growth is a bit less, but inflation is even less. Growth under Vajpayee and Modi, was mainly due to govt investment, while consumption was less.
    A subsequent Congress govt pumps money after BJP's reforms, which gives higher growth due to consumption, but soon is overshadowed by much higher inflation, which topples them.

  • @shivamsaurav9372
    @shivamsaurav9372 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +24

    if that's the case then why were we in fragile five before mudi got majority 😂

  • @NagarajaGmatthada
    @NagarajaGmatthada 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    This edition is giving good insights. But please prepare the sane comparison in 4 parts. 47-89, 89-2004, 2004-2014 & 2014-2023. Also compare the same with international average figures. I think this may give more meaningful insights.

  • @bugged1212
    @bugged1212 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +36

    What you forget is that coalitions have never been able to take longer term decisions including stuff like GST and other structural changes and infrastructure . The real results of the a peaceful non coalition era will be coming in the next 10-20 years as we reap those longer term changes.

    • @kumar.193
      @kumar.193 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      So, none of the reforms that are done in the past year we are reaping any benefits is it.

    • @berserkhorimiya
      @berserkhorimiya 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      @@kumar.193 You are, they just aren't clear yet. The GST bill has massively improved inter-state commerce, and is a factor at containing inflation below 6% (unlike UPA era) despite massive fuel price divergences

    • @aniketaggarwal1224
      @aniketaggarwal1224 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@berserkhorimiya
      SG never talked about Inflation conveniently

    • @prabhavsidhaye5518
      @prabhavsidhaye5518 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      FYI the 1991 reforms were not brought by majority government

  • @soodabhi
    @soodabhi 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    The last 30 seconds tell you how the media has removed PV Narasimaha Rao from public memory.

  • @sanjayapradhan2445
    @sanjayapradhan2445 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Sir, GDP is not directly proportional to coalition or majority. There are events like 2K, 2008 issue and Pandemic need to consider .. it’s not linear

  • @Rbabukamalak
    @Rbabukamalak 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    I would rather call the current 2024 NDA alliance as BJP+ . Essentially it will be same as 2019 BJP with some new additions

  • @mandarrock9759
    @mandarrock9759 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +24

    The law of average, the world was clocking avg growth rate north of 4% and India was growing at around 7% alpha was 3% while post-average world growth is 2.5% and India is clocking above 7.5% the alpha is 5%. It is easy to grow when the world is booming it is difficult to maintain when the world is in turmoil. Covid was followed by the Russia-Ukraine war which is followed was Israel-Hamas war engulfing the entire middle-east yet delivering 8%+ is mindboggling.

    • @brar1320
      @brar1320 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      By the same logic 2008-2011, all world economy was in shambles.

    • @arunsar7893
      @arunsar7893 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      @@brar1320 And Indian economy deteriorated after 2011 and India came to be known as one of the "Fragile Five". What was the infaltion from 2011 to 2014?
      The growth from 2004 to 2008 started from 2002 and it was primarily a result of Vajpayee reforms.

    • @aniketaggarwal1224
      @aniketaggarwal1224 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@brar1320 But Fir khali Growth rate kyu? Inflation bhi toh dekho na Upa times mein aur abh mein?

  • @amritpalsingh3293
    @amritpalsingh3293 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +12

    Sir, pls do compare the avg inflation rate(consumer price index) during all the eras.

  • @raveendugal1619
    @raveendugal1619 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Brilliantly compiled!!👏👏

  • @AtulBhandari-c8y
    @AtulBhandari-c8y 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Not fair to compare the growth rate of the 10 year Modi government with the earlier periods. This one is much too short to compare against the earlier much longer periods. Then we have to check what was the growth rate at the time Modi took over.

  • @umapriyadarsi
    @umapriyadarsi 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    I think opening up of Indian markets in 1991, global growth rates until 2008 are the real reasons for higher growth rate during the coalition era due to happenstance and do not indicate any correlation.

  • @iArpanMishra
    @iArpanMishra 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I was sceptical after the results but this renewed my spirits and changed my perspective! Thank you for reminding me that my favourite PM was running a minority government! Thank you, SG

    • @aniketaggarwal1224
      @aniketaggarwal1224 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Who else scam boy Manmohan hi hoga 😂😂😂

  • @shyambajekal8084
    @shyambajekal8084 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    'Peddling!!' Very good Shekharji.👏👏👏 The most appropriate word for those agencies who don't know anything about our country and love to sermonise to us.👍

  • @munmundey3768
    @munmundey3768 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Maza aayega how Modi will now keep NDA and people of this country happy at the same time and stand strong when it comes to foreign affairs.. Happy for People of India.. Finally they made the right choice for themselves 😆

  • @Seriouslyfunny1
    @Seriouslyfunny1 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    Judicial reforms were first envisaged in 1970s. They have repeatedly been highlighted over the next 50 years.
    All states and opposition had joined in on the NJAC reforms but was turned down by the court.
    There needs to be a judicial reform quickly.
    Otherwise our economy won't be attractive for foreign investments and domestic industrial growth.
    No one wants to put their money in a country where God forbid if you get drawn in a case, you'll have to wait for decades.

  • @BharatThatIsIndia
    @BharatThatIsIndia 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    24:25 Shekhar Ji I am from Chapara After my village, two rivers (Ghaghra and Ganga) and Balia start.
    Chandrshekhar was ridiculed in my area even in 2004 for "selling" India gold.
    I later understood how important that decision was. But This is how the narrative is set.
    BJP and Congress both set the narrative against Chandrashekhar, which still persists.

  • @AnuragSinha7
    @AnuragSinha7 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    India was fragile five because of coalition government and we are being told that coalition governments are efficient :D :D

    • @indrutamilkavi
      @indrutamilkavi 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @AnuragSinha7 - Because indian union is a coalition. Each state will have a say and better for union.

  • @bolonabolona
    @bolonabolona 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    You forgot to include the major world event between 1991 to 2014. End of the cold world, emerging of a uni polar world. Loosening of world trade as a whole..

    • @20thCentury_Turtle
      @20thCentury_Turtle 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Yup, and now the 30 year peace dividend has come to an end, it lasted from 1991 to 2021 and was marked by the US withdrawal from Afghanistan and the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. These two events show a decline in American unipolarity and the limits of their influence. I would even argue that the Americans have fallen like the Soviets had, they are politically divided and increasingly unable to defend their allies (Taiwan is getting harassed, Ukraine has been invaded and Afghanistan is all but lost to them), there is a lot more pain coming there way. I don't know if they will fall like the soviets did 30 years ago, all I know is there era is over.

  • @saureld2229
    @saureld2229 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +76

    The Parliament will be functional after a long time, BJP has been weak in messaging or they did not bother with it when they had absolute majority, they steamrolled policies which are good reforms but led to protests over bills like farm laws and agniveer now at least the messaging will be there as to why it's required.

    • @Myanmartiger921
      @Myanmartiger921 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      Agree Bihar bengal model of development will happen.bihar superpower vs somalia superpower

    • @venusteam001
      @venusteam001 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Farm laws like ..subsidy on Fertilizers and MSP prices for blinkit tataconsum and other online deliveries are good

    • @venusteam001
      @venusteam001 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      Agniveer can be good for the soldiers to retire early with their first job. But pensions should be negotiated. It makes the army move stronger and confident. The Countries defense will be much stronger.

    • @Rising._.Thunder
      @Rising._.Thunder 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Oh come on. We have enough of unemployed youth to work as soldiers because for them, the alternative is much worse (not having a job)​@venusteam001 just look at the crowds at any agniveer recruitment rally and you will know the answer.

    • @sayandeepkundu9354
      @sayandeepkundu9354 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      exactly

  • @indrajitsahu5006
    @indrajitsahu5006 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    GST slowed down the economy and then came COVID. Even after that a CAGR of 5.1% is excellent. No doubt that without COVID and GST introduction it could have been north of 6%.

  • @autarkhazanchi5948
    @autarkhazanchi5948 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Mr.Shekher,
    The growth by itself cannot be evaluated,unless compared with global economy.Then clearer position will emerge

  • @ihtnarkkranthi
    @ihtnarkkranthi 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +36

    My personal feeling is.. In a country like india
    DELIBERATION and CONSENSUS building is the key to bolder reforms.. U can't jus shove down the throat something that some section of people felt is good.. Because in a country like india be it any decision.. Even though looking obviously good and needed will have some negative impact on some stakeholder.
    So deliberation and consensus buding is key and this is more possible or let's say inescapable in coalition.
    Point in case.
    Farms laws good bill theoretically but no consensus building lead to it's downfall.. It's a complete mismanagement and pure arrogance by BJP.. Could have handled batter.. Now they did more damage to reform mvt in agri can before because of this unwarranted and haste process
    Only uncontested reform ( nation wide impact, so not mentioning art370) was a success oy because its consensus built with states.
    And other good example of BJP misusing it's political capital unnecessary is demonetisation.. It's a pure unilateral decision which send india 3,4 yrs back in many sectors.. It jus stopped the momentum altogether.. A decision of pure arrogance and high ignorance.
    Whether majority or minority govt.. Deliberation and taking all stakeholders on board is the key to bold reforms... I get it it's super hard.. As everyone want status quo.. But that's how democracies work.. Slow and stable change is only everlasting.. Hope nda now learns it.

    • @vabhdman
      @vabhdman 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

      I completely disagree. In a country like India, the only way to do any reform is to shove it down people's throat or it will have to be shoved down when we would have no option left. By slow and steady if you mean India loosing on every major industrial breakthrough for the past 70 years and now would be on track to loose again for the next 70 years than its fine.
      At the end of the day we can just agree than this is what India's identity will remain, a developing country that just stays like that. And this is what the Indian voter has chosen for the past 70 years and will keep choosing for the next 70 as well.

    • @greenrico10
      @greenrico10 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      @@vabhdman what if the thing that is shoved down our throat is dogshit like demonetization?

    • @may4u310
      @may4u310 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      What about new pension scheme which was brought 20 years back with coalition concensus and now state after state its back to OPS.

    • @vabhdman
      @vabhdman 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      @@greenrico10 You take a big swing, sometimes you hit a six , other times you get out. But I would rather have someone who takes those big swings and if it means we get some stupid decision, you look back realise the mistake and try to take some other swings next.
      But I'm clearly in the minority here, and as a democracy you have to accept the voters will.

    • @Iammeaayush
      @Iammeaayush 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      @@greenrico10 it wasn't bad at all if it was able to achieve its intended purpose... the demonetization failing just shows how rotten our system is... everyone from common business owner to high bureaucrats all are corrupt.. no one public or government is clean

  • @chhaganlal9548
    @chhaganlal9548 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    All the good data from coalition period is because of one single biggest event , that is Liberalization. And that happened because India went on brink of bankruptcy, not because it was a coalition government.

  • @jinxkhoche
    @jinxkhoche 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Hi Shekhar ji, surely you cannot ignore the larger geopolitics of the eras when comparing performance of coalition v/s non coalition? Eg. Impact of oil embargo after the yom kippur war etc. the late 90s to 2008 also marked an era of relative stability, seems correlated with higher growth rate. In comparison, today the world outlook is quite uncertain, which is bound to affect the growth rate.

    • @aniketaggarwal1224
      @aniketaggarwal1224 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      But Ind still growing at 8%

    • @aniketaggarwal1224
      @aniketaggarwal1224 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Demonetization was to stop fake currency from Pakistan. Pakistan is shattered today.
      Therefore Demonetization has reaped rewards.

    • @aniketaggarwal1224
      @aniketaggarwal1224 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Inflation ko kyo bhool jaate ho tumh log 😂

  • @consultanushka
    @consultanushka 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Talk secularism, danger to constitution/democracy, lack of job creation and field Hindu/Dalit candidates seems to be way forward for the opposition.

    • @kailashsingh7169
      @kailashsingh7169 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      1 lakh free to all so called poor females head...free electricity and transport..old pension scheme agniveer etc..policies that will destroy the country in long term

  • @rajx7120
    @rajx7120 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    Don't blame demonetization alone for breaking momentum. Raghuram Rajan put a break on bank lending, due to the NPAs, by putting banks on Prompt Corrective Action. I must add Rajan didn't cause the NPAs, but Chidambaram et al did. How can companies grow, if they don't have credit? Also, the ILFS crash broke the NBFC sector which affected loans for consumer spending especially in automobiles. Prof Ila Patnaik had written on this.

    • @RRDARGAD
      @RRDARGAD 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Loans were given in UPA era when growth had peaked. They would not have become NPAs if economy had continued to grow at 8% as in 2019-11. Policy paralysis caused by 2G propaganda followed by other mishaps changed the scenario.

  • @RaghavendraLawaniya
    @RaghavendraLawaniya 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Wonderful work Prof..

  • @georgeabraham5672
    @georgeabraham5672 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Bottom line.. Modis 10 years we did badly compared to earlier government

  • @ranjitkm6309
    @ranjitkm6309 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +11

    Mr. Modi is humbled by a section of Dalit, OBC and Kshatriya voters in the misconception that RG will deliver more but a survey conducted today will find the regret they would be carrying for voting in that manner.
    Time for some grand gesture to Dalits in scale of ram mandir.
    Time for reforms related to salary structure so that any unorganised sector can be covered under ESI if not PF. Self filling options without the need of consultants will encourage micro businesses to enrol their recruits.
    Incentives for businesses related to employee strength, particularly unskilled , partly educated employees will spur employment generation.
    Easier norm to convert farm land to industry land for non-polluting, non-hazardous industries.
    Highly subsidised electrical connections to converted lands or loan type rebate for new connections over 5-10 years.
    Finally a roadmap for business and politics, the mistake we all deed was to mix both of them, therefore the lesson is that very strong dose of propaganda with freebies is the key for electioneering along with micro-management of candidate selection and micro-management of public feedback system. Dot alliance’s performance was fluke which make them happy because they can breathe till the next fight.

  • @shivamsaurav9372
    @shivamsaurav9372 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    I don't know if you know or not what's the relationship between double digit inflation induced growth is or NPA sheets and 'capital adequacy of banks' role in growth in the coalition period is...but I expected you to know and discuss about them.

  • @ANG53066
    @ANG53066 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +28

    Now we fear coalition politics ( hard bargains, aspirations)not necessarily coalition govt...

  • @muralikrishna791
    @muralikrishna791 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Video ends abruptly. Doesn't he conclude ?

  • @somensa
    @somensa 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Excellent analysis with different data points about coalition govt. Kudos to Sekharji and 'The Print' team . ❤

  • @hirenbafna
    @hirenbafna 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    No doubt the data says many things. The PM ship of PVNR & ABV did the initial heavy lifting. Also we should remember that by 1996 PVNR had a simple majority in the house it was thru merger & acquisitions check the records. We had shameful incidents of JMM bribery case & Bangare Laxman cases. Even in UPA there was Coal, 2G etc. It's clear with 240 seats there will be only BKP led government & no other. So be it. Why worry, if they have to come back then they have to perform & reform. But yes it's just too much to really understand in 1989 JD had 143 seats still they lasted 11 months & With 182 numbers ABV lasted 6 years from 1998-2004. During UPA1 INC had 145 seats & they ruled for full 5 years. How was this achieved? This needs to be understood.

  • @shiva221B
    @shiva221B 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    The 1991 saw liberalisation of the economy, we would have to take that into account

    • @aniketaggarwal1224
      @aniketaggarwal1224 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      And it was forced
      It would have been better if that step would have been taken in Nehru's time only

  • @RahulKumar-lg8vj
    @RahulKumar-lg8vj 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Growth from 2002 to 2008 was fuelled by global economic boom,and thereafter by deficit financing till 2013.Shouldn't you have said that?

  • @yoooo9422
    @yoooo9422 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Saving economy from default isn't an achivement they allowed this situation to happen

  • @gopalsoornahalli7634
    @gopalsoornahalli7634 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Coalition government would do better, yes

  • @rtadpp
    @rtadpp 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Sekhar, It was Monmohan ji, as FM and PM Narashima ji within those era that we are standing somewhere today. Had, Narashima was there, to start 10 years earlier, we could have been where China is now.

  • @rishabgarg4233
    @rishabgarg4233 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Presumption is the word Mr. Gupta

  • @caterpillarmud126
    @caterpillarmud126 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +21

    How can you compare 10 years with 32 years and 25 years. Probably it gives an illusion that coalition government may perform well, which we will see but today’s era is different & we need stable government be it majority or coalition

    • @pulipakasrikiran9307
      @pulipakasrikiran9307 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      You know there is. Term called average

    • @hrpaasbaan
      @hrpaasbaan 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      Listen to the whole thing before commenting. Listen to facts.

    • @caterpillarmud126
      @caterpillarmud126 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      @@pulipakasrikiran9307 If you hold power for a longer period, whether through a coalition or a majority, you can absorb instability, war, or economic turmoil during that time. It would be unfair to compare Modi's 10 years in power, as the effects of COVID-19 impacted the economy for more than 3 years, and in some industries, even longer.

    • @aniketaggarwal1224
      @aniketaggarwal1224 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@pulipakasrikiran9307
      Can you compare a data over 1 year with data over 5 years?
      Use your brain?
      One big outlier event in smaller period will make it much different than what it will look like in a longer period.

  • @sank8dalvi
    @sank8dalvi 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Respect Manmohan Singh ++

  • @rudranathmandal9309
    @rudranathmandal9309 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Here are the compounded annual growth rates (CAGR) for India's GDP during the specified periods:
    1. 1952-1989 (Pre-liberalization era):
    - CAGR: 4.1%
    - Starting GDP (1952): ₹1,51,000 crores (approximately $21.5 billion USD)
    - Ending GDP (1989): ₹5,58,000 crores (approximately $125 billion USD)
    2. 1989-2014 (Post-liberalization era):
    - CAGR: 6.8%
    - Starting GDP (1989): ₹5,58,000 crores (approximately $125 billion USD)
    - Ending GDP (2014): ₹105,39,000 crores (approximately $1.73 trillion USD)
    3. 2014-2024 (Current era):
    - CAGR (2014-2024): 7.5% (estimated)
    - Starting GDP (2014): ₹105,39,000 crores (approximately $1.73 trillion USD)
    - Ending GDP (2024): ₹242,55,000 crores (approximately $3.25 trillion USD)
    Note: The CAGR calculations are based on the GDP data from the Reserve Bank of India, Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, and International Monetary Fund.
    Compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) is a useful measure to understand the growth rate of India's GDP over a period of time, taking into account the compounding effect of growth from year to year.

  • @piyalisadhukhan1266
    @piyalisadhukhan1266 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Socialism never ends poverty or inequality.
    Free money creates inflation that's basic economics and many sentiments would be hurt but it's the truth.

  • @DoctorMalhar
    @DoctorMalhar 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    The first coalition period saw liberalisation of economy maybe that accounts for the extra boost.
    Should be taken into consideration.

    • @lakshyavarshney9942
      @lakshyavarshney9942 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Lpg was carried out in an unaesthetic and an unplanned manner it increased inequalities

  • @RAUSHANKUMAR-fx9gj
    @RAUSHANKUMAR-fx9gj 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I wish this episode reaches to many people.
    A Hindi version may be more effective for this

  • @eVG00001
    @eVG00001 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    do analysis based on congress vs non congress. BJP worked for core correction and congress worked for damaging core

  • @technodestination4763
    @technodestination4763 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    What creates huge discrepancy in Comparison of Figures...
    The Global Growth Rate of Time
    +
    Base Effect - Smaller base amount is easier to grow - Same is true for GDP

  • @prateekgoyal2125
    @prateekgoyal2125 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Comparing 42 years 25 years and 10 years…Liberals 😂😂😂😂

  • @sudip_curiousmind
    @sudip_curiousmind 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Good analysis by Shekhar but one thing that I caught and really don't agree with is that "NDA inherited a strong economy from UPA 2" infact growth had sputtered and India became part of the fragile 5 economies.

  • @kuldeepkumarbhat9648
    @kuldeepkumarbhat9648 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Shekhar Ji,
    The statistics do not tell the truth !
    Satbility and one party rule in socialist era cannot be compared with open market economy under a coalition ?
    Rationality suggests that a majority Govt and a market economy are the best for refirns and economic growth.

  • @mayankmman
    @mayankmman 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    We're discounting the covid period in 2014-2024 era which reduces growth average significantly. You might say we had 2008 financial crash, but then pre 2008 crash we had a huge economic bubble where we saw more than expected growth. Plus in 1991 we had economy opening up which spiked the growth in all sectors.

  • @guptabhishek
    @guptabhishek 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    8:40 Covid came and was gone in a year? Are we talking about the same pandemic?

  • @atokimruk937
    @atokimruk937 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +28

    Coalitions are inherently weak so the question is how weak is this coalition. One advantage is that here, the BJP has 240 MPs while previous coalitions had much lower numbers with the major player. None the less, coalitions eventually disintegrate. If this one lasts 2 years it will be considered good. Frankly it is good to have an election after 2 years. But that would be good only if the outcome will be a decisive majority for one party.

    • @parvadhami980
      @parvadhami980 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

      Elections are an expensive and exhaustive Affair. Hope the alliance lasts for full term

    • @DataCrusade1999
      @DataCrusade1999 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

      This guy is a bhakt he thinks Indian history started from 2014.

    • @marcos-1210
      @marcos-1210 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@DataCrusade1999 Chamche bhakts know the India's Political history from the 90's he is just a random Nigga

    • @desigulal
      @desigulal 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Oh yeah the pathetic congress wouldn't even get to 150. So it was always a kichdee of corrupt families.ftom different states

    • @ownerspride8305
      @ownerspride8305 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@DataCrusade1999nonsensical comments like this is why Indian politics sucks. Waitress worshipping slaves just use that word and think they won the argument. While sniffing the shoes of the waitress and the family.

  • @golamsarowar6
    @golamsarowar6 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I am sure Mr Gupta is very unhappy with these results but this is a great result for Indian people ....

  • @santajgd
    @santajgd 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I like the optimistic view of SG ! Bravo !

  • @TheDigitalGuru430
    @TheDigitalGuru430 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    The difference this time is that the leader is maglomaniac who wants to call all the shorts. He is strong headed while the previous co-alition leaders were not considered larger than lives and saviours.

  • @pasha3123
    @pasha3123 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    SG is erupting with well read political history with economy 🔥🔥🔥💫

  • @ankitrajput-sk1qt
    @ankitrajput-sk1qt 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Kindly also compare performance of indian economy with other major economies in different eras you will get true picture.

  • @ayush_dwr12
    @ayush_dwr12 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    One big issue with the data analysis, you should include data for each year in the chart, and then color/group sections based on coalition or stable govt. That will provide a better picture of the trends going into each type of regime.
    other than that good perspective 👍

  • @Fazal10111
    @Fazal10111 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Modi has thoroughly outmaneuvered all of you. His was a true masterclass; he meticulously orchestrated the entire affair, securing his position as Prime Minister once more.
    Literally gave the middle finger to all.
    He is a good dictator India needs.

  • @karthikpandirla807
    @karthikpandirla807 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Sir but before 1989 the base is very low, hence the growth rate is very high contrary to post 2014

  • @MuskanYadav-ll6ig
    @MuskanYadav-ll6ig 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I respect sir and his efforts to bring out the authentic data and knowledge around the issues.
    i would just like to give a small suggestion, these type of videos with large content and data compressed in around 25-20 minutes become monotonous and it is difficult to retain all that information in a go, i suggest to make videos more creative by adding animations and keep the audience hooked on the topic.
    My apologies if it hurts sentiments of any🙏

  • @parvadhami980
    @parvadhami980 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    UPA-1 > NDA-2 > NDA-1 > UPA-2
    In terms of Macroeconomics

    • @sg042
      @sg042 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      UPA1 credit should be given to Atal Ji, benefits of infrastructure spending takes some years

    • @parvadhami980
      @parvadhami980 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @hj2711 for clarification here NDA 1 represents Modi Govt and not the First NDA Government under ABV

    • @aniketaggarwal1224
      @aniketaggarwal1224 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Inflation bhi check karo first

    • @lakshyavarshney9942
      @lakshyavarshney9942 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      No cong only gave us forced poverty and unaesthetic materialism

    • @lakshyavarshney9942
      @lakshyavarshney9942 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      No way was any cong govt better than modi I have seen open Defacation in main city area of Delhi wasn't there post 2015 slumdog millionaire and all of that was our reality r u mad ?

  • @joelshiv4954
    @joelshiv4954 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Excellent analysis. One without narratives . Clean edit. We love this kind of work SG. Kudos to you and your team.

    • @joelshiv4954
      @joelshiv4954 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Thank you.

  • @LivingStories-fd5gc
    @LivingStories-fd5gc 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Now this government won't be compared to Indira Gandhi's government

  • @shivavish1459
    @shivavish1459 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great Analysis Sekharji and the lead up with ratings was awesome. These episodes should be must watch for any youngsters to improve their presentation skills. You did save the best for the. Last. Pranams to Dr PV Narasimharao ji

  • @ramag0810
    @ramag0810 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Sekhar sir, I am seeing a great patriotic message from you 🙏

  • @pantsaurabh
    @pantsaurabh 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Coalition govt.era was the best era of india from economic point of view, Next 5 yrs will also be best if govt follow that course

  • @jda7499
    @jda7499 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    1992 to 2014 the entire world was in a major growth phase with no major world issues.
    Modi ji stability from 2014 at 5.1% is super commendable.
    Hoping for steady strong Modi 3.0

  • @itachiuchiha-bl5wv
    @itachiuchiha-bl5wv 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Only after seeing cabinat combination we can be assured what kind of coalition it will be!!

  • @SKumar-m2k
    @SKumar-m2k 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Another thing that NDA government should do is that they should formalise the method for calculation of GDP. Growth in GDP without corresponding increase in employment, upliftment of rural lives and rise in disposable income is beyond comprehension.

  • @2000murthykk
    @2000murthykk 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    An excellent talk. Congratulations Shekhar!

    • @ThePrintIndia
      @ThePrintIndia  5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Thank you, my friend, for appreciating and supporting our journalism. I'm glad you liked this episode. Do keep watching and writing in...best wishes, Shekhar

  • @tejashagrawal9585
    @tejashagrawal9585 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Shekhar has his mind about certain issues and would go to any length to prove his views are right , subtly misguiding his viewers to a warped understanding

  • @shamikbhattacharyya6265
    @shamikbhattacharyya6265 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    SEKHAR SIR , POORVARGAYA OF COALITIONS ERA IN INDIA 🇮🇳 CONTINUES .

  • @prakhartripathi8465
    @prakhartripathi8465 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    In short, all PM of India have worked for welfare of India with all their heart's and mind's.

  • @shantanatarajan
    @shantanatarajan 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    A very interesting presentation. Shared with many friends. Assuring. Reduces chances of autocracy, ChandraBabu Naidu and Anadhra will gain. He was shabbily treated by Jagan Mohan

  • @wokeymcwokeface1974
    @wokeymcwokeface1974 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Presumption is a good translation!

  • @peterkaul
    @peterkaul 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Shekhar ji, Namashkar !!
    Brilliant as you are and considering that, you not only have to live among the current reality but thrive as a leading journalist and take Print forward, I also wish to add to what you narrated in this episode.
    All your data must be true to the point. However your analysis of that data was cleverly missing.
    I wish to add for the readers that it takes at least 5 to 10 years for the results of certain decisions taken by a government to show up. The translation of the good work done takes time to have its affect. Most coalition governments reaped the benefits of majority governments before them and vice versa. Only a very careful and detailed analysis can bring about the Right credits/discredits about a certain government. The data can otherwise be misleading.
    I know for a larger good you sit the talk very carefully.
    I admire you for being a very responsible journalist.
    Jai Ho !!

  • @sarabjits7679
    @sarabjits7679 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Perfect ctc : Indians have seen 10 years of strong majority govt and are therefore finding it difficult to digest a coalition. I wish that govt takes course correction on small business / traders : too many compliances , returns , visits to CA office . We are always bogged down with govt regulations.

    • @thecomment9489
      @thecomment9489 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Yes strong central government doesn't mean they can't take inputs from all the stakeholders. Many people incorrectly believe that China is a strong one-man show state and nothing can be farther from the truth. The Chinese central government takes inputs from it's civil society as well but the final decision is taken by the central government which is based on meritocracy. Just because Indian mindset is more prone to turning dictatorial when in absolute majority doesn't mean strong central governments are bad.

  • @ganeshj3710
    @ganeshj3710 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Narendra's achievement of house for ram lalla after 500 years, statue of unity the world most sought after tourist destination, vande barath express connecting people, statue of valour, statue of equality, statue of Lord Hanuman in Morbi, Gujarat

  • @srinivasanpalani6908
    @srinivasanpalani6908 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Good History Mr.Shekhar . Thanks very informative video. Hope people understand historical facts previous PMs contributions and newly elected gov leader continue country’s growth.

  • @deepakmaun
    @deepakmaun 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Excellent analysis and arguments.

  • @writedeepblue
    @writedeepblue 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    We are a poor country. When will these improve?
    Average monthly earnings in India (2022):
    Self-employed: Rs 11,973
    Regular employee: Rs 19,010
    Casual worker: Rs 8,267
    From India Employment Report 2024 by International Labour Organization.

  • @ganeshj3710
    @ganeshj3710 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Truths are being heard loud and clear after Narendra has been cut to size