Pretty sure Chinese people know the risks to their economy...or some of them do. Maybe not you. But from the economists I speak to, they know there's problems they have to deal with
@@Stravanda America doesn't have problems, Stravanda? You may want to educate yourself on what happened to the last guy that predicted 'the coming collapse of China" His name is Gordon Chang. He made the prediction in the late 90s and wrote a book about it. What happened? The Chinese economy grew from USD$ 1.3 trillion in 2001( When the book "the coming collapse of china" was published) to USD$18 trillion, as we type.
@@shiulai5804 DId I type that the US has no problems? I am sorry but I made no such argument. I am not making an extreme argument that China's economy will collapse. My expectation is that growth will deteriorate and come very close to the 2-3% level over the next decade. There's definitely issues that China will have to deal with such as the demographic issue, the desertification of land, growing debt, issues in various corporate sectors such as property, the diversification of trade away from China etc (again I am not saying the US doesn't have issues as well but just focusing on China for the moment).
Non chinese daydreaming that china and russia will collapse,,??. But they all forgot their own evil wrong doing has now actually cause their own collapse,,?. But pretend to be very rich by overprinted dollars to 500 trillions dollars debts now,,,???.
@@Stravanda slashing tarriff everywhere, including good boy EU, controling a large chunk of Tokyo's sky, Yokota Airspace, taking out Alstom in France, betraying France to sell subs to Ausies, raping women in South Korea and Okinawa bases, invading Iraq, invading Afghanstan then suddenly give the country to TLB terrorists, launching a stupid attack from Bay of Pigs. Lecture me national interests. So it is about damaging allies and enemies at the same time, and embarrassing yourselves. Disgusting hypocrite.
You are right. All the western Leaders are in China begging for investments this year. Their economists must be wrong to advise their leaders to visit China.
Is this 'World Knowledge Forum' or 'Western Propaganda Forum'?? I feel sorry for all those who have attended this anti-China propaganda forum and took anything seriously from it. I wish you find a better enlightenment of reality in the next learning program. ✌
If you have any disagreements, I'd love to hear them. Just saying its propaganda does not make it so. If you want to convice people, you'll need to present an argument.
@@Stravanda I am not pro china or nor pro Western rather a average person so we have think as whole world as a community and as for your answer west is a full of double standard don't be stupid
Bear in mind that some shoot called the West, a Supremacist Fascist entity, identify itself as the World. Nothing else counts. Don't forget what the International Community refers to. The World belongs to some crap called the West. That's how far their Arrogance reach. The fall of that Supremacist Fascist Arrogant Violent West will be just as hard.
It doesn't matter much who is on the position of commander in chief in China, because China is already the biggest industrial power in the world, the biggest trade partner for 120+ countries and one of the leaders in science and technologies, without fighting wars or building military bases around the world.
@@Stravanda 10:57 "Because half its the farmland either become to polluted ... or just turned into dessert". Not sure about half, but mostly because of urbanization, on the contrarian the agricultural output has been on a steady increase. You he ever been to grocery in China, he would know, its far ahead US, Japan, Korea in term of quality. This is kinda of wishful thinking his research is based on.
@Stravanda The growth of the GDP in the United States over the past four years has been achieved through the act of printing more than nine trillion US dollars to stimulate the economy, and such growth is unsustainable. In 2021, with the exchange rate as low as 1 US dollar to 6.45 yuan, China witnessed a growth of three trillion US dollars in its GDP. A 5% growth rate indicates that it has surpassed the GDP growth of any year other than 2021 and that of last year. If calculated based on an exchange rate of 1:7, it would be equivalent to an annual increase of 900 billion US dollars. This demonstrates that China's proactive countermeasures are taking effect. For example, China is accelerating the development of high-tech industries, optimizing resource allocation, adjusting the export structure, seeking more diversified international trade partners, expanding domestic demand, strengthening educational capabilities, encouraging childbearing, installing robotic arms and industrial robots, stimulating consumption, and improving the medical, pension, and income distribution systems.
@@后宫后 I think the US stimulus was about $5 trillion not 9. It's quite complex to say how much the stimulus explains from the US GDP growth. I don't know if there's been any research quantifying it. Either way, the growth sustainability of the US could also be contested. I can definitely see risks due to growth stemming from government spending rather than private sector growth. I am not saying the US will have it easy going forward. Nor am I saying China is not taking action to help its economy. But it is clear that its economy needs help and that there are big challenges ahead. Growth forecasts for China currently suggest that it will probably drop to 4% by 2027 or below 4%. Some issues are not as easily solved, like the demographic issue.
I am Chinese living in Germany for the last 18 years, last year, I moved to China because of the instability in Europe. A lot of my Chinese friend also moved from Canada, US, France and other western contries to China. I wish more people in the West will be like the one in the video to live in their own small world, do not come to China, stay in the western countries to live in the past.
This is guy's all BS. How can you say China's rise has ended let alone reverse? Chinese GDP growth is still one of the fastest growth anywhere and certainly one of the highest among major economies. Korean GDP growth is almost nil but nobody talks about the fall of Korea or reversal of Korea's ascent. The major sector slowdown in China is mostly in the real estate sector and the lower wealth effect has resulted in lower consumption. Exports are booming and tech manufacturing is climbing. The lower Chinese GDP relative to the US economy is simply due to the spell of unusually high US inflation and the strong spell of strong USD mainly due to high interest rates which boosts nominal GDP. Nothing to do with higher standards of living among the vast majority of Americans. Trump's electoral victory is precisely a reflection of the desperation among Americans. The moment inflation falls and the Fed cuts rates, this tailwind for the US economy will fall and China's GDP as a percentage of US GDP will resume its climb. A small fall in population arguably eases the job of raising the percapita standard of living for China and explains the lack of panic in China. Consumers everywhere are very happy and actually welcome cheap Chinese imports. It is simply a reflection of the brutallly competitive nature of Chinese industry, not due to subsidies. I have seen firsthand the incomparable work ethics of the Chinese labor force and I am beyond impressed.
You are short-sighted I guess. He presents a clear case for why China will grow much slower in the future. China has serious problems that it will need to address. Maybe it will do so successfully, maybe not. It will be good for you to engage with that or you might get shocked in the future
@@Stravanda thats normal for every country once you reach past $14 000 gdp income. You cant grow 10% anynore. Same like the US can only grow 3 % which is good
@@iggy5347 it's not just a matter of size. It also depends on productivity. I'm sure they will keep growing but they are definitely going to face challenges
These Asian students should have not be there to be noob😂😂. Should have wisdom to boycott these nonsense 😂😂. Lord Buddha have taught you use your intelligence
China BRI Roads Rail Bridges Hospitals Schools and Metro in Bogota. Peru Harbour and Salvador Bahia Brasil Itaparica Bridge and BYD Factories. China Solar Wind Battery Affordable Electric Cars Tiangong Space Station Rocket Science Huawei Xiaomi and Chip technologie. Hungary Slovakia Serbia and Albania join China BRI. ❤❤❤ support China for Peace and Prosperity.👍This man is Blablabliep.
& H= stands for PLA hegemonic , & D= stands for xi Jingping -CCP's demonic attitude towards WPS EEZ reclaimed islands of Pilipinos. They want to get Phil Oil-natural gas & other natural resources of the Phils at WPS-EEZ
The talk doesn't make much sense. The main problem is that US is trying to stop China growing. As a matter of fact, China is still growing at least 4.8% this year by World Bank. Where did the decline come from?
The fact of the matter is, the harder they wish ill of China to fail, the more successful China becomes, while theirs is getting worst, an exact opposite effect with kaarmaa.
This is most interesting. China as a growing power is peaking. But, the US is exceptional. It never peaks. It just go on and on. The rule that applies to all other countries does not apply to the US. Wow! I do not know who he is, but I sure hope he is not an academic.
When did he say the US never peaks? The US economy has matured already. The growth peak was a while back. This is obvious stuff. He does not need to say it. He is talking about a peak for China cause that is the situation today. And 'peak' does not mean that China will not grow in the future. It just means it will not grow at the rates seen in the past. That makes sense no? Maybe you did not understand what he was saying.
Very good speech for the western audience! Keep up the good work! Keep it coming! Western countries are overeacting to China rise, this kind of talk will calm them down.
I heard another video that guys prediction about China Collapse like almost over tens years ago the China still Rising until today he’s are fail to prediction about his videos. 😅
He is basically talking more on the geopolitical problems faced by China and not so much on the economic side. He also forgot about the domestic market with !.4 b. people. No country's economic growth can go up in a straight or parabolic rise and there will always be a point where it will come down and stall. China no doubt is facing a lot of problems not only in the property market but also in other sectors as well. But given the vast population and the initiative power of the people, China will still progress
It is 100% true that some non-Chinese understand China more than 99% Chinese!!! This is due to 99% Chinese know about China within CN only, whereas 1% + some non-CN understand CN from various sources (nations)! I am one of this group! Viola!
100 years? The world is fast changing. Previous superpower Great Britain can't even last for 100 years and you believe China can with their aging population
China has accomplished "Made in China" and moved on to "Created in China" and this guy is talking about China's Rise is reversing. China is dominant in shipbuilding with more than 200 times the capacity of America. China NEVs, renewable energy, 5G & 6G, infrastructure and high speed train network is far far ahead of those in the West. Check out China's undisputable dominance in the production of steel, aluminum, electric batteries, drones, lithium, cobalt, rare earth, copper, nickel and so much more. Also, China is the biggest trading partner to many more countries than the U.S. If China is falling back, why the China Obsession and Paranoia?
10 year ago,China'GDP is increasing 10%,total 63,591 billions GDP in one year,And now China'GDP more then 126,058 billions in one year,with 5% increase,China now is end of rising😂😂
This was a Forum conducted in Korea . Hopefully, Koreans were not brainwashed into another Proxy War ! Should invite Gordon Chang as well for another talk ........
10:57 "Because half its the farmland either become to polluted ... or just turned into dessert". Not sure about half, but mostly because of urbanization, the agricultural output has been on a steady increase. If he ever been to grocery in China, he would know, its far ahead US, Japan, Korea in term of quality. This is kinda of wishful thinking his research is based on.
12.27 *Anti corruption drive that scare lower level official in engaging experimental entrepreneurship*??? Are you saying pro corruption drive entrepreneurship or innovation??
Understanding Chinese strategy... they would rather be belittled and underestimated when developing. It is very different from the way Western country works. If you observe the other East Asian countries, they are largely the same. For example, they save more money than spend... facing deflationary issues as compared to inflationary/credit issues in America. It would be interesting to see how things play out as the West style of propaganda to portray a failing China happens to be what they wouldn't really mind. Either way, a US or China hegemony is going to end up the same. Superpowers always coerce weaker and smaller countries to conform. Global economy get hurts the most when there is a tussle between the top 2.
Any one sided criticism is easy without the context of the world's economy situation. Europe are zero to negative growth. US is doing growth with inflation and lowered living standard. The biggest birth rate problem is actually Korean and Japanese. The biggest creditor of the world is the West, Chinese is helping third world countries over debt by currency exchange via BRICS. This is an era where the world is going into a down turn cycle.
If what he claimed is "truth", US must be out of their mind to impose so much sanctions or tariff against China. In other words, his talk trying to stress "China is not a Threat", US politicians can stop mentioning on China, China, China 😂
I wonder why Koreans like to include schoolchildren in events like this. Not only is the content often too complex or irrelevant for young children, but it also seems the organizers include them just to fill empty seats. I’ve seen this phenomenon many many times while I was in Korea. My friend calls it 'Korean style.
2:19 When was the last time that the Chinese GDP grown at a rate that was less then that of the US. Can someone named it? No because I can't remember it being less in the last 5yr, 10yr, 20 yrs. So basic math tell you that the Chinese economy could NOT be shrinking relative to the US. As long as the Chinese GDP grown rate is larger then that of the US the Chinese economy is catching up with the US . That is just math.
Nominally, it happened. The last few years during and post covid, US pumped a lot of dollars to inflate its economy. At a result, even though in local currency terms China growth rate never dropped below that of the US, its GDP in dollar terms shrank relative to the US. The flood of dollars will eventually have to go away, much like the tide. And as they say, when the tide fades, it will be obious who has been swimming naked.
Incheon, South Korea. One of the 4 vassals of US in Asia (the other 3 being Japan, Taiwan and Philippine). It's no surprising that this propaganda forum took place there. 😎
What specific indicators or scenarios might signal an acceleration of China’s economic decline, and how should the global community prepare for potential ripple effects?
😂😂😂 I think you don't understand stand China and the Chinese culture from the 1990 s all said China 🇨🇳🇨🇳🇨🇳 is over . So I wish you all the best with all your Western Ego 😂😂😂
I'm calling the bottom of China's recession. People have short-term memory. The same thing happened to the US economy in 2008. After massive QE, the economy recovered to start one of the longest bull markets in history.
Jealousie is actually burning the jealous not the object of jealousy. Propaganda dosen't help USA recovering and being competitive against China.
I am Chinese and I say with all honesty and sincerity, we need more people like him pushing this type of propaganda in Western media.
Don’t cry ïllegal from Europe
Pretty sure Chinese people know the risks to their economy...or some of them do. Maybe not you. But from the economists I speak to, they know there's problems they have to deal with
@@Stravanda America doesn't have problems, Stravanda?
You may want to educate yourself on what happened to the last guy that predicted 'the coming collapse of China"
His name is Gordon Chang. He made the prediction in the late 90s and wrote a book about it.
What happened? The Chinese economy grew from USD$ 1.3 trillion in 2001( When the book "the coming collapse of china" was published) to USD$18 trillion, as we type.
@@shiulai5804 DId I type that the US has no problems? I am sorry but I made no such argument.
I am not making an extreme argument that China's economy will collapse. My expectation is that growth will deteriorate and come very close to the 2-3% level over the next decade. There's definitely issues that China will have to deal with such as the demographic issue, the desertification of land, growing debt, issues in various corporate sectors such as property, the diversification of trade away from China etc (again I am not saying the US doesn't have issues as well but just focusing on China for the moment).
@@shiulai5804Gordon Chang's prediction is about to come through this time!
I prefer this type of China decline propaganda as it helps to counter the China hawk propaganda. It makes the West worry less about China.
The government obviously does not believe in this propaganda.
Non chinese daydreaming that china and russia will collapse,,??.
But they all forgot their own evil wrong doing has now actually cause their own collapse,,?. But pretend to be very rich by overprinted dollars to 500 trillions dollars debts now,,,???.
lol, best Wishes to Chinese People from India. Who knows what is the truth.
Art of war.
Since China is no longer rising, USA should not tariff Chinese products and stop its chip and EUV machine procurement.
What does that have to do with a government protecting its national interests? That's not how the world works my friend.
Sun zhu said lets keep working hard without too much talking
America KNOWS it cannot compete fair and square.
@@Stravanda slashing tarriff everywhere, including good boy EU, controling a large chunk of Tokyo's sky, Yokota Airspace, taking out Alstom in France, betraying France to sell subs to Ausies, raping women in South Korea and Okinawa bases, invading Iraq, invading Afghanstan then suddenly give the country to TLB terrorists, launching a stupid attack from Bay of Pigs. Lecture me national interests. So it is about damaging allies and enemies at the same time, and embarrassing yourselves. Disgusting hypocrite.
You are right. All the western Leaders are in China begging for investments this year. Their economists must be wrong to advise their leaders to visit China.
Is this 'World Knowledge Forum' or 'Western Propaganda Forum'??
I feel sorry for all those who have attended this anti-China propaganda forum and took anything seriously from it. I wish you find a better enlightenment of reality in the next learning program. ✌
If you have any disagreements, I'd love to hear them. Just saying its propaganda does not make it so. If you want to convice people, you'll need to present an argument.
@@Stravanda Read my other comment in the comments section. I don't want to post it here again and look like a Chinese bot.
@@Stravanda I am not pro china or nor pro Western rather a average person so we have think as whole world as a community and as for your answer west is a full of double standard don't be stupid
@@kolviczd6885 Done. I responded there to make it easier.
Bear in mind that some shoot called the West, a Supremacist Fascist entity, identify itself as the World. Nothing else counts. Don't forget what the International Community refers to. The World belongs to some crap called the West. That's how far their Arrogance reach. The fall of that Supremacist Fascist Arrogant Violent West will be just as hard.
Base on what I know about China history is as long as this country has a great commander in chief. It never collapses.
It doesn't matter much who is on the position of commander in chief in China, because China is already the biggest industrial power in the world, the biggest trade partner for 120+ countries and one of the leaders in science and technologies, without fighting wars or building military bases around the world.
This speaker knows neither China nor America
care to present any examples?
@@Stravanda
How much do you get paid by US Congress?
th-cam.com/video/Wsv2-E1bz9M/w-d-xo.htmlsi=lipwacDGloqRr0qo
@@Stravanda 10:57 "Because half its the farmland either become to polluted ... or just turned into dessert".
Not sure about half, but mostly because of urbanization, on the contrarian the agricultural output has been on a steady increase. You he ever been to grocery in China, he would know, its far ahead US, Japan, Korea in term of quality. This is kinda of wishful thinking his research is based on.
@Stravanda The growth of the GDP in the United States over the past four years has been achieved through the act of printing more than nine trillion US dollars to stimulate the economy, and such growth is unsustainable.
In 2021, with the exchange rate as low as 1 US dollar to 6.45 yuan, China witnessed a growth of three trillion US dollars in its GDP. A 5% growth rate indicates that it has surpassed the GDP growth of any year other than 2021 and that of last year. If calculated based on an exchange rate of 1:7, it would be equivalent to an annual increase of 900 billion US dollars. This demonstrates that China's proactive countermeasures are taking effect. For example, China is accelerating the development of high-tech industries, optimizing resource allocation, adjusting the export structure, seeking more diversified international trade partners, expanding domestic demand, strengthening educational capabilities, encouraging childbearing, installing robotic arms and industrial robots, stimulating consumption, and improving the medical, pension, and income distribution systems.
@@后宫后 I think the US stimulus was about $5 trillion not 9. It's quite complex to say how much the stimulus explains from the US GDP growth. I don't know if there's been any research quantifying it. Either way, the growth sustainability of the US could also be contested. I can definitely see risks due to growth stemming from government spending rather than private sector growth. I am not saying the US will have it easy going forward.
Nor am I saying China is not taking action to help its economy. But it is clear that its economy needs help and that there are big challenges ahead. Growth forecasts for China currently suggest that it will probably drop to 4% by 2027 or below 4%. Some issues are not as easily solved, like the demographic issue.
Is he giving a lecture or a propaganda?
Both.
Part of the $1.5b anti-China fund approved by Congress recently goes into his pocket, quite likely.
You'll have to present an argument for why it is propaganda.
It's weird that he took 35,000 billion public debt so lightly as well as possible civil war 2 in the States (see Trump election and project 2025).
@@Stravanda He fundamentally misunderstands the situation of modern China
I am Chinese living in Germany for the last 18 years, last year, I moved to China because of the instability in Europe. A lot of my Chinese friend also moved from Canada, US, France and other western contries to China. I wish more people in the West will be like the one in the video to live in their own small world, do not come to China, stay in the western countries to live in the past.
This guy is wishing, the reality is the opposite
This is guy's all BS. How can you say China's rise has ended let alone reverse? Chinese GDP growth is still one of the fastest growth anywhere and certainly one of the highest among major economies. Korean GDP growth is almost nil but nobody talks about the fall of Korea or reversal of Korea's ascent. The major sector slowdown in China is mostly in the real estate sector and the lower wealth effect has resulted in lower consumption. Exports are booming and tech manufacturing is climbing. The lower Chinese GDP relative to the US economy is simply due to the spell of unusually high US inflation and the strong spell of strong USD mainly due to high interest rates which boosts nominal GDP. Nothing to do with higher standards of living among the vast majority of Americans. Trump's electoral victory is precisely a reflection of the desperation among Americans. The moment inflation falls and the Fed cuts rates, this tailwind for the US economy will fall and China's GDP as a percentage of US GDP will resume its climb. A small fall in population arguably eases the job of raising the percapita standard of living for China and explains the lack of panic in China. Consumers everywhere are very happy and actually welcome cheap Chinese imports. It is simply a reflection of the brutallly competitive nature of Chinese industry, not due to subsidies. I have seen firsthand the incomparable work ethics of the Chinese labor force and I am beyond impressed.
What load of rubbish. 😂😂China rise will not end, it will be slower because of the massive size.
5% growth for $19 trillions economy thats like 2 new indonesia economy😂😂
You are short-sighted I guess. He presents a clear case for why China will grow much slower in the future. China has serious problems that it will need to address. Maybe it will do so successfully, maybe not. It will be good for you to engage with that or you might get shocked in the future
@@Stravanda thats normal for every country once you reach past $14 000 gdp income. You cant grow 10% anynore. Same like the US can only grow 3 % which is good
Every big number, if you divide by 1400000000, it will become small number.
@@iggy5347 it's not just a matter of size. It also depends on productivity. I'm sure they will keep growing but they are definitely going to face challenges
This speaker is what american always said " he is talking from his a$$"
These Asian students should have not be there to be noob😂😂. Should have wisdom to boycott these nonsense 😂😂. Lord Buddha have taught you use your intelligence
He's among the 1.6 billion paid propaganda speaker. Yet you cannot defeat facts. Go back to history please 😂😂😂😂
What I really like is how people were listening carefully, which shows their maturity to listen even to the critique with patience.
Gordon Chang 2.0
China BRI Roads Rail Bridges Hospitals Schools and Metro in Bogota. Peru Harbour and Salvador Bahia Brasil Itaparica Bridge and BYD Factories. China Solar Wind Battery Affordable Electric Cars Tiangong Space Station Rocket Science Huawei Xiaomi and Chip technologie. Hungary Slovakia Serbia and Albania join China BRI. ❤❤❤ support China for Peace and Prosperity.👍This man is Blablabliep.
The speaker failed to define what China is,
C is culture
H means harmony
I = innovation
N = nationalism and
A stands for aspiration
& H= stands for PLA hegemonic , & D= stands for xi Jingping -CCP's demonic attitude towards WPS EEZ reclaimed islands of Pilipinos. They want to get Phil Oil-natural gas & other natural resources of the Phils at WPS-EEZ
China must comply to the rule of law in order to have international friends around the globe
then why is little america so scared of China all the time? lol
Can't believe this guy is a professor and not at CIA. He should visit China
He did. He studied in China for a few years in 2008-2009. The problem is that China has been completely transformed since that time.
Let’s come back to this guy after 10 or 20 years later. Someone predicted coming collapse of China in 2001😂 that guys still predicting up until today.
Loser's Propaganda😂
It's a making Americans feel good speech. Supposedly it should be done by a Chinese spy to dupe the Americans. But they do this to themselves. 😅
The talk doesn't make much sense. The main problem is that US is trying to stop China growing. As a matter of fact, China is still growing at least 4.8% this year by World Bank. Where did the decline come from?
Doesn't seem like a professor to me, he essentially gave one side of the argument his whole presents
Just a title read his bio. A scientist with military shares!
Agreed
I suggest him to read the book "When China rules the world" written by Martin Jacques.
Brilliant book and humble humanitarian.
This guy no nothing.
Wait and see.Only time will tell.
Apparently, this guy knows nothing about China or the real world. He is talking about his dream or fantasy, not reality.
WTH, Korea brain washer from US.
Cry harder wumao 😅
I thought he be Taiwanese? NO reference to his cultural background in Wiki. Was his father a white American soldier and mother Taiwanese?
This is a stupid talk ever. I cannot stand after several minutes
what a rubbish talk! shame on you!
The fact of the matter is, the harder they wish ill of China to fail, the more successful China becomes, while theirs is getting worst, an exact opposite effect with kaarmaa.
This is most interesting. China as a growing power is peaking. But, the US is exceptional. It never peaks. It just go on and on. The rule that applies to all other countries does not apply to the US. Wow! I do not know who he is, but I sure hope he is not an academic.
no other country had a one child policy. no other country had a property bubble the size of chinas (30% of GDP, what a joke)
Is this sarcasm or what??
@@ikramharon6687 He talks the obvious way.
The US loves war. And what happen to the roman and british empire??
When did he say the US never peaks? The US economy has matured already. The growth peak was a while back. This is obvious stuff. He does not need to say it. He is talking about a peak for China cause that is the situation today. And 'peak' does not mean that China will not grow in the future. It just means it will not grow at the rates seen in the past. That makes sense no? Maybe you did not understand what he was saying.
Very good speech for the western audience! Keep up the good work! Keep it coming! Western countries are overeacting to China rise, this kind of talk will calm them down.
Yes, the show of 1.6 b propaganda! How did he become a prof? Check his certificates and thesis, it can be plagiarised!
Dream on Mr. Speaker.
I heard another video that guys prediction about China Collapse like almost over tens years ago the China still Rising until today he’s are fail to prediction about his videos. 😅
Gordan Chang is the mouthpiece
This guy doesn't know much and twisted facts and histories. Bullshiting the entire time.
He is basically talking more on the geopolitical problems faced by China and not so much on the economic side. He also forgot about the domestic market with !.4 b. people. No country's economic growth can go up in a straight or parabolic rise and there will always be a point where it will come down and stall. China no doubt is facing a lot of problems not only in the property market but also in other sectors as well. But given the vast population and the initiative power of the people, China will still progress
It is 100% true that some non-Chinese understand China more than 99% Chinese!!! This is due to 99% Chinese know about China within CN only, whereas 1% + some non-CN understand CN from various sources (nations)! I am one of this group! Viola!
From your comment, I can see that you never been to China.
What a bunch of bullshit.
Another Gordon Chang in competition. The best part is there are plenty of gullible people just swallowed up these trash. LOL LOL LOL
I see China is shifting gear while its economic engine is turning, I expect at least another 100 years of growth and development.
100 years? The world is fast changing. Previous superpower Great Britain can't even last for 100 years and you believe China can with their aging population
China has accomplished "Made in China" and moved on to "Created in China" and this guy is talking about China's Rise is reversing. China is dominant in shipbuilding with more than 200 times the capacity of America. China NEVs, renewable energy, 5G & 6G, infrastructure and high speed train network is far far ahead of those in the West. Check out China's undisputable dominance in the production of steel, aluminum, electric batteries, drones, lithium, cobalt, rare earth, copper, nickel and so much more. Also, China is the biggest trading partner to many more countries than the U.S. If China is falling back, why the China Obsession and Paranoia?
Big stadium , few attendances, lots of Asian guys.
Talking about the fall of China. 😂😂😂😂
He is the relative of that failed Gordon Chang,those coming to listen to his lie and propaganda might be a fool,willing to listen to his shit😂
320 of fortune 500 companies have investment in China and show no sign of slowing down.
10 year ago,China'GDP is increasing 10%,total 63,591 billions GDP in one year,And now China'GDP more then 126,058 billions in one year,with 5% increase,China now is end of rising😂😂
economics say it is easy to have a high growth on a small base and not possible on a large base. Any economist would tell you that.
This was a Forum conducted in Korea . Hopefully, Koreans were not brainwashed into another Proxy War !
Should invite Gordon Chang as well for another talk ........
Is this the economic branch of the Korean circus? 😂
10:57 "Because half its the farmland either become to polluted ... or just turned into dessert".
Not sure about half, but mostly because of urbanization, the agricultural output has been on a steady increase. If he ever been to grocery in China, he would know, its far ahead US, Japan, Korea in term of quality. This is kinda of wishful thinking his research is based on.
Tuft university must be a pretty low end university given the quality and one sindedness of that presentation.
Unfortunately your stats are false, we know every individual so much "made in China"
Matthew 7:1-3 Perhaps we in the USA should take care of our issues FIRST.
load of nonsense.
Wumaos how are y’all? What are y’all doing on this side of the wall? 😋
I keep hearing about China falling apart for the last 20 years…
12.27 *Anti corruption drive that scare lower level official in engaging experimental entrepreneurship*??? Are you saying pro corruption drive entrepreneurship or innovation??
If there were more Michael Beckley in America, the world with China PRC would have no worry...
I just listened a few minutes and stopped realizing this is all American junk! Don't waste your time listening on his toxic- riddled speech!
He thinks the Chinese are like the west .. they don't sit still...
Understanding Chinese strategy... they would rather be belittled and underestimated when developing. It is very different from the way Western country works.
If you observe the other East Asian countries, they are largely the same. For example, they save more money than spend... facing deflationary issues as compared to inflationary/credit issues in America.
It would be interesting to see how things play out as the West style of propaganda to portray a failing China happens to be what they wouldn't really mind.
Either way, a US or China hegemony is going to end up the same. Superpowers always coerce weaker and smaller countries to conform. Global economy get hurts the most when there is a tussle between the top 2.
I hope your theory on China holds true for the sake of American financial systems.
But China’s strengthening of military power is a right policy, considering the threat from the others
Beckley is borrowing ideas from Gordon Chang 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
Any one sided criticism is easy without the context of the world's economy situation. Europe are zero to negative growth. US is doing growth with inflation and lowered living standard. The biggest birth rate problem is actually Korean and Japanese. The biggest creditor of the world is the West, Chinese is helping third world countries over debt by currency exchange via BRICS. This is an era where the world is going into a down turn cycle.
Evolution of a rising nation in competitive environment. Good analysis.
that was interesting thing as :talking ”civil military fusion“in a conscription country
This dude is the right person that Trump administration is looking for, the real China expert.
Time will tell, actually most angels you gave are misleading 🙃
even at this pace of growth most of asia will 2X grow in next 10 years .
good coping.
If what he claimed is "truth", US must be out of their mind to impose so much sanctions or tariff against China. In other words, his talk trying to stress "China is not a Threat", US politicians can stop mentioning on China, China, China 😂
and so it has happened. the end of the aura of the chaina syndrome on the world. thats a real hallelujah factor
what parallel universe is this guy living in?
Wonder what percentage of this talk is true.😂
A nation , only when it sees its true situation, can only improve; boasting doesn’t help at all.
I wonder why Koreans like to include schoolchildren in events like this. Not only is the content often too complex or irrelevant for young children, but it also seems the organizers include them just to fill empty seats. I’ve seen this phenomenon many many times while I was in Korea. My friend calls it 'Korean style.
you are dreaming sir. Who paid you to do this? keep this video safe and watsch it again maybe after 4-5 years.
What doesn't kill you makes you stronger
Same as what Chinese leader wanted everyone to know "Keep a low profile 韬光养晦" 😃
I bought an American brand car at USD 45k 10 years ago, same brand and module now will cost me less than 25k. 40% less on GDP creation.
This dude saying what he is saying to pander to the wishes of the China haters.
The best part of this nonsense is that the guy seems really convinced about a theory contradicted by all known facts… 😂
2:19 When was the last time that the Chinese GDP grown at a rate that was less then that of the US. Can someone named it? No because I can't remember it being less in the last 5yr, 10yr, 20 yrs. So basic math tell you that the Chinese economy could NOT be shrinking relative to the US. As long as the Chinese GDP grown rate is larger then that of the US the Chinese economy is catching up with the US . That is just math.
Nominally, it happened. The last few years during and post covid, US pumped a lot of dollars to inflate its economy. At a result, even though in local currency terms China growth rate never dropped below that of the US, its GDP in dollar terms shrank relative to the US.
The flood of dollars will eventually have to go away, much like the tide. And as they say, when the tide fades, it will be obious who has been swimming naked.
What a large crowd!
Great! No worries about China now!
Hahaha another Michael Gordon stupidity. Fooling so many silly people
This people have been saying china has been going down since 2002
Where was this talk given? Audience seems to be predominantly Asian.
Incheon, South Korea. One of the 4 vassals of US in Asia (the other 3 being Japan, Taiwan and Philippine). It's no surprising that this propaganda forum took place there. 😎
What specific indicators or scenarios might signal an acceleration of China’s economic decline, and how should the global community prepare for potential ripple effects?
😂😂😂 I think you don't understand stand China and the Chinese culture from the 1990 s all said China 🇨🇳🇨🇳🇨🇳 is over . So I wish you all the best with all your Western Ego 😂😂😂
china back then had little debt, now it has more than usa
Speechless…
Chinese Agent pretending to be ant china 😂😂😂😂
This guy said the truth! A smart guy
I like this guy now Gordon chang has a successor.
🤦♂️ where’s he getting his information 😂
From his look you know he is half Chinese.
Nah, Taiwanese prob white American soldier father, Taiwanese mother?
India is the Future 🇮🇳💪
Yep. India will the further….
And future is un-touchable 😂😂😂😂
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
@@abelgeorge5728
Un foreseeable future 🤭🤭🤭
I'm calling the bottom of China's recession.
People have short-term memory.
The same thing happened to the US economy in 2008.
After massive QE, the economy recovered to start one of the longest bull markets
in history.
You have forgotten the massive debt that US govt has accumulated since 2008
Speaker is a 6th grader, he knows shit except for payout from states dept. 😂
Wishful thinking, far from the truth.
Top tier analysis in this comment. Very well explained lol
Gordon Chang's son once again at it.