Jerry Hendrix - Russia's Maritime Piracy - How will Moscow's Long-term Ambitions Play out in Arctic.

แชร์
ฝัง
  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 3 ธ.ค. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 94

  • @gerryshinners7258
    @gerryshinners7258 ปีที่แล้ว +27

    Fantastic presentation, I love the way that Jerry Hendrix is a straight talker and tells it as it is. Thank you both.

  • @2russo.phobic4u
    @2russo.phobic4u ปีที่แล้ว +23

    Jonathan I don't know how you do it but you keep pushing out perhaps the best content on this topic.

    • @SiliconCurtain
      @SiliconCurtain  ปีที่แล้ว +4

      👍👍👍 ♥️

    • @SiliconCurtain
      @SiliconCurtain  ปีที่แล้ว +11

      You should ask, how do I do this AND the day job?! Answer - very little sleep…

    • @markb8468
      @markb8468 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      ​@@SiliconCurtainWe greatly appreciate your efforts and great guests. Thank you.

  • @annemcleod8505
    @annemcleod8505 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Fascinating and lucid. Thank you.

  • @j.dunlop8295
    @j.dunlop8295 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    Having lived in Alaska for a decade, supplies and equipment really takes its toll, on people too! On one cold day -45 below, I shut the trunk of my car, the latch on the lock snapped off! (Cold destroyed equipment) Military base where my dad served, most expensive of all bases. During Iraq and Afghanistan war, if you served there, you didn't have to deploy to the war! That's hard living!

  • @ndavies8
    @ndavies8 ปีที่แล้ว +12

    I am loving these series! We are getting in depth analysis that would never make it on mainstream media. Thank you and please continue this important work. If our top politicians (in the West) were good history students, I believe Russia would have had very different foreign policies; a little too late now...

  • @grahamstrouse1165
    @grahamstrouse1165 ปีที่แล้ว +15

    Always good to see Capt. Hendrix!

  • @yuckfoutube6245
    @yuckfoutube6245 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    It is so refreshing to listen to smart people talk. My circle of people are complete and total idiots so I really enjoy listening to podcasts like this!

    • @jezalb2710
      @jezalb2710 ปีที่แล้ว

      I am sure they feel the same about yourself

    • @SiliconCurtain
      @SiliconCurtain  ปีที่แล้ว +2

      😂😂😂 I hope your circle of friends don’t see the comment!

    • @yuckfoutube6245
      @yuckfoutube6245 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@jezalb2710 From my experience, usually if you are an idiot, you generally don't know it. Congratulations!!!!!

  • @wouterke9871
    @wouterke9871 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    Interesting matter, freedom of navigation requires a policing force to maintain. Thx for the guest and host

  • @mashdown3
    @mashdown3 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Smart and knowledgeable man.

  • @helenlozinski3072
    @helenlozinski3072 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Thank you for covering this important topic.

  • @marshabonforte6963
    @marshabonforte6963 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    It’s fair to criticize The West for being slow and incremental in supplying Ukraine, but it’s part of the Nature of Democracies to be slow to act, especially in comparison to Authoritarian Societies. After all, Democracies have to build a consensus in order act decisively. This is usually done through elections. It is happening, and I’m confident that Ukraine will not be abandoned.

    • @toby9999
      @toby9999 ปีที่แล้ว

      I'm tiring of the constant whining by commentators about the west being "slow". It takes years to fix a piece of road in my country. Slowness is built in. Fact is, the support has been immense.

    • @yuckfoutube6245
      @yuckfoutube6245 ปีที่แล้ว

      I'd like to get your take if you had to go to one or two funeral per week for friends, family and neighbors of yours that were being killed.

    • @yuckfoutube6245
      @yuckfoutube6245 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@toby9999 I'd like to get your take if you had to go to one or two funeral per week for friends, family and neighbors of yours that were being killed.

  • @Aussie-Mocha
    @Aussie-Mocha ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Very interesting! Iv asked myself and several platforms why NATO left the Black Sea at all before 2014?
    So… Russia would prefer that as many countries as possible continue using and being reliant on Oil and gass for as long as possible till a new energy source is able to produce more income then fossil fuels. 🤔

  • @EdwardRLyons
    @EdwardRLyons ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Excellent discussion of the issues surrounding the issue of freedom of navigation on the high seas. One point missed here is the subject of Russia and global warming, a threat to us all. As an extractive culture, Russia has every incentive to welcome global warming since it opens up the northern sea route for more of the year. Russia can therefore be expected to oppose and undermine at every turn any moves to limit global warming.

  • @CarolynAcosta-mw2dl
    @CarolynAcosta-mw2dl ปีที่แล้ว +15

    Another one of your guests that is appalled by the slow help of the US in helping Ukraine; I do hope that they will become a big enough chorus to change the situation.

    • @sammenter1
      @sammenter1 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I really hope so!

  • @madeleinesuzette
    @madeleinesuzette ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Another really interesting interview!! Thank you again Johnathon & Jerry!!
    Could part of the lax and late arrival of weapons to Ukraine simply be the USA's international policy of no longer wishing to be the Worlds Policeman, and as stated by the USA, they will give some weapons to countries but no longer will they go & engage militarily (after the last 20 years)??

    • @SiliconCurtain
      @SiliconCurtain  ปีที่แล้ว +5

      I think it’s escalation paralysis that’s at play, as well as the fear of losing bi-partisan support.

    • @sammenter1
      @sammenter1 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      This escalation paralysis is so frustrating. Putin does whatever he wants to Ukraine whilst Ukraine can’t use Western weapons in Russia and the Biden administration tip toes around Putin. Slava Ukraini 🇬🇧🇺🇦

  • @Hayman1969
    @Hayman1969 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Thank you both for sharing knowledge on shipping matters with Russian Federation. Henry always has good information on past military matters. I would like to here his opinion of US spending on sea control the past 80 years and why we should continue to provide this service free of charge. Henry seemed to blame the US multiple times for failures to maintain a proper amount of military supplies for this European war, how much ammo storage should US keep as a permanent supply in Europe to avoid this problem again?

  • @leifiseland1218
    @leifiseland1218 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Hmm.. Nordic icebreakers seems to be a bit outside of Mr. Hendrix focus.. Sweden presently operates 5 government owned icebreakers, & is in the process of building 3 new ones presently, to replace 3 of the old ones. 😉 Sweden works very closely together with its neighbours however, especially Finland, which once was the eastern part of Sweden. This might make things a bit confusing for a non-local..🤔

    • @deanejoyce5393
      @deanejoyce5393 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      I Love my Swedish friends. The point is, “ There are not enough ice breaking assets and the majority of said assets are not armed” 😁

    • @grahamstrouse1165
      @grahamstrouse1165 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @deanejoyce5393 is correct. Countries like Sweden, Finland & Canada do operate icebreakers but they just don’t have enough. And only a handful carry offensive weapons. Russian icebreakers usually are both gun & missile equipped & rather heavily so. If you really want to physically deter icebreaking operations in the arctic nuclear attack subs are the best option. Failing that you need more armed icebreakers & long-range aerial assets with some anti-shipping capability.

    • @leifiseland1218
      @leifiseland1218 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@deanejoyce5393 There seems to be some early discussions appearing in Sweden about if & heavily if so, armement the new icebreakers should carry, including possible minelaying capabilities.. but I haven't followed it much, so I can't really judge how that is going.. & with the Swedish NATO process taking some time aswell, whatever ever the configuration gets decided on, might need an upgrade/refit pretty soon..🤔 Btw, it might be worth noting in this context that Finlands new (heavy) Corvettes are to meet at least ice class 1A for merchant ships..4 of them are planned. It doesn't really make them icebreakers though, obviously, but will make them rather independent in icy waters,.

  • @JohnRodriguesPhotographer
    @JohnRodriguesPhotographer ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Amen on mine hunting. The last class launched, i think, is the Avenger class

  • @NjK601
    @NjK601 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    I'm sure this is oversimplifying it, but given The Ukrainian losses in The Holodomer, and WW2, wouldn't The German Lebensraum idea, be a better example then The Sudetenland? With Russian born families, moving into now sparsely populated regions.. Even going back to WW1, The Russian government had plans to resettle, Austro-Hungarian Galicia etc, in the event of total victory.

    • @grahamstrouse1165
      @grahamstrouse1165 ปีที่แล้ว

      The thing is in this I think the Russians (or at least Putin) saw the acquisition of Ukrainian people themselves as the main prize. Russia’s in the middle of a demographic meltdown right now. Prior to its dissolution the USSR had the world’s largest nation by square footage & the third-largest population. When the USSR became the Russian Federation it retained enough land mass to retain the first title but it’s population was almost cut in half over night & it’s been shrinking since then. There are less than 144 million Russians left, that number’s shrinking & those who are left are not aging well. Median life span for Russian men is comparable to some of the less prosperous Africa nations. Putin’s got plenty of land. What he really wanted was the 43-44 million people who live on it.

    • @j.dunlop8295
      @j.dunlop8295 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Every dictator's always thinking that the grass is always greener, across the next Frontline!

  • @sebastianthomsen2225
    @sebastianthomsen2225 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    end all trade with china and russia

  • @kneelingcatholic
    @kneelingcatholic ปีที่แล้ว +2

    very smart guest. very informative👍👍👍
    He does seem to contradict his free seas argument around 37:30.....where he is frustrated that the US' small navy does not allow it to enforce embargoes.

    • @Myanmartiger921
      @Myanmartiger921 ปีที่แล้ว

      Mask slipped on the devil

    • @sergiystoyan899
      @sergiystoyan899 ปีที่แล้ว

      When clever people are choosing a devil, they prefer the one that brings prosperity (S.Korea, Germany, Japan, China etc) over the one that brings poverty and slavery (Cuba, N.Korea, Nicaragua etc).

  • @lamontcranston3192
    @lamontcranston3192 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    When he got to the Black Sea, I am surprised that he did not realize the Montreuax treaty doesn’t allow for ships not in the Black Sea when conflict starts are not allowed.

  • @Brasidas69
    @Brasidas69 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Nice change from the normal topics.

  • @Asptuber
    @Asptuber ปีที่แล้ว

    Nice one. But we still need him back to talk about the Baltic sea!
    Nato has gone from in the cold war having Germany and Denmark to being everywhere except for St Petersburg and Kaliningrad.

  • @D.von.N
    @D.von.N ปีที่แล้ว +1

    3 things from my laic point of view:
    1. I don't really mind when RuSSia sells oil or liquified gas to China. It doesn't do it by pipes, and that still makes it slow and expensive.
    2. As long as there is the cap on the raw hydrocarbon prices, RuSSia is getting little revenue from these sales. China and India very gladly exploit this western cap and buy at a significant discount.
    3. As long as these countries get this cheap fuel, the rest of us also enjoy more stable prices. We don't want shortage of fossil hydrocarbons on the global market, yet.

    • @j.k.1239
      @j.k.1239 ปีที่แล้ว

      Russian discounts are very small now and that cap died a long time ago.

  • @JohnRodriguesPhotographer
    @JohnRodriguesPhotographer ปีที่แล้ว +1

    The big problem with F16 is ground crew

    • @GMT_400
      @GMT_400 ปีที่แล้ว

      It’s the beyond visual range combat, the radar. The F16 has no NFO.

  • @kj1483
    @kj1483 ปีที่แล้ว

    18:38 new way around some of the sanctions is for Russia to export to China and North Korea via the Arctic sea’s increased thawing, and cut transit time by 10 to 15 days.
    Two large gas tankers without escort by ice breakers have done that risky trip.
    Russia wants to declare this Northern Sea route as internal Russian water as though it is a river. This challenges the concept of free seas, or high seas.
    Russia has 40 icebreakers, some are naval armed. USA has one icebreaker, Norway and Finland have a few, but NATO's icebreakers are not military.

  • @christopherj.osheav5807
    @christopherj.osheav5807 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    DATELINE KYIV OBLAST
    Terrific interview. Highly informative. Thank you!
    V/r - IB
    An American in Ukraine
    02/2019 - Present
    UKRAINE : "LAND OF THE FREE AND HOME OF THE BRAVE!"
    УКРАЇНА: "ЗЕМЛЯ ВІЛЬНИХ ТА ДІМ СМІЛИВИХ"
    СЛАВА УКРАЇНІ! | СЛАВА ЗСУ! | ГЕРОЯМ СЛАВА!

  • @gerhardvanderpoll7378
    @gerhardvanderpoll7378 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    🏆

  • @kenibnanak5554
    @kenibnanak5554 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    One of Russia's goals is total control of both the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov. The Russian losses of both ships and radars for the first time gives Ukraine the opportunity (using naval drones) to sea mines not just approaches to Sevastopol but also the shipping channel under the Kerch Bridge as well as the entries and egresses to the port of Novorossiysk. The beauty if computers is it is quite possible with only a small battery to fuze those mines with a timer so they will automatically detonate in a year or three and thereby pose no threat to future shipping after the war. This would effectively give Russia no access at all to commerce via the Black Sea and have major economic consequences for Russia.

    • @grahamstrouse1165
      @grahamstrouse1165 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Aerial drones aren’t very useful for spotting mines. Drones can be useful as an assistive too when mine-hunting but they’re highly specialized naval assets.

    • @deanejoyce5393
      @deanejoyce5393 ปีที่แล้ว

      Not really. Aerial assets are really good at spotting mines. The ww1 Dardanelles campaign comes to mind. A scout plane spotted a newly laid string of mines but was unable to effectively communicate the discovery to the British fleet in time and those mines struck and sunk at least one battleship. In the confusion the British commander thought they were torpedoes and the attempt to force the straits was abandoned and the Gallipoli land campaign was adopted instead. Cable stay contact mines are also very easy to destroy from the air using a supercavitating large caliber (0.50) round.

    • @kenibnanak5554
      @kenibnanak5554 ปีที่แล้ว

      ​@@grahamstrouse1165 My apologies for the confusion. I have corrected the omission. I meant using stealthy naval drones as sea mine dropping craft at the harbor entrances and in the shipping channel under or in the channel adjacent to the Kerch Bridge,

    • @kenibnanak5554
      @kenibnanak5554 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@deanejoyce5393 My apologies for the confusion. I have corrected the omission. I meant using stealthy naval drones as sea mine dropping craft at the harbor entrances and in the shipping channel under or in the channel adjacent to the Kerch Bridge, I am sure that 100 years after WWI sea mines are a little less noticeable from the air. Especially 'smart' ones, especially the ones that just sink down to the sea bottom and quietly wait for the signature of a worthwhile ship before rising to meet it. Such and such engine sound, such and such magnetic signature, etc. Nothing more than 100 tons would pass. Russian war ships not already in port, or already in the Azov would, as fuel and food ran out would have not many good options. The others would be stuck where they were. Huge cargo ships and oil tankers would have to go back to home port or sail around to the Baltic for their commerce.

  • @sumiland6445
    @sumiland6445 ปีที่แล้ว

    💛💙💜💙💛 thanks, Jonathan! 🇺🇦 🌏 🇺🇸

  • @kj1483
    @kj1483 ปีที่แล้ว

    28:52 China wants to challenge the concept of free seas in the South China sea, or the Arctic sea. China prefers a concept of new global order of centrally planned and controlled international trade. To be able to say "free trade no longer exists here."
    31:15 Suez and Panama examples - ChinaMax huge 400,000 tonne ships. But that volume of single volume shipment shows belief in free open seas. How China loses by limits on open seas. Is it about who will control the open oceans? Chinamax ships have a length of up to 360 meters and a width of up to 65 meters. They can carry up to 400,000 deadweight tons (DWT) of cargo, which is equivalent to about 6,000 fully loaded trucks. These ships have a draft of up to 24 meters, which means that they can only operate in deep-water ports.

  • @kj1483
    @kj1483 ปีที่แล้ว

    39:36 is USA willing to project power in the Black Sea and undergo direct Naval conflict with Russia, perhaps with the 6th Fleet? Needs "mother grizzly bear" deterrence concept. Nobody can mess with a row boat if it is backed by reputation of "muma grizzly bear" full US Navy. Does USA have political will to risk its naval assets.
    43:30 Grain distribution infrastructure targeted in Odessa. Would that have provoked response by US navy in previous decades. Arleigh Burke class destroyers have been pulled back from normal Black sea deployment rotations since 2022 war. Would small naval ships from affected African starved nations join an international squadron to escort a grain convoy.

  • @SolaceEasy
    @SolaceEasy ปีที่แล้ว

    USA a Sea Power at what cost? Over what dominion? At what cost to allies and opponents? What outcome for those unwilling to participate?

    • @SolaceEasy
      @SolaceEasy ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Mr. Hendrix is a hammer looking at a world of nails.

    • @deanejoyce5393
      @deanejoyce5393 ปีที่แล้ว

      We’re you born stupid or did someone teach you to be this way? The US Navy created a thing called “ Free Navigation on the sea”… There is a reason free trade exploded post WW2 and it is called the US Navy…. China’s wealth wouldn’t have been achieved without that free trade.

  • @jamesmiller2735
    @jamesmiller2735 ปีที่แล้ว

    They will send their navy have way around the world to defend their territory, so you have a territory half way around the world but would Britain allow anyone to own an islet around it.

  • @Alister222222
    @Alister222222 ปีที่แล้ว

    The speaker seemed as if he was talking about Elon Musk as some kind of rational actor or 'pacifist'( lol?). I was waiting for the 'this man is an unhinged idiot' part, but it never seemed to come up. Any honest discussion about Musk surely has to at least get to the punchline sooner or later, and call a spade a spade?

    • @GMT_400
      @GMT_400 ปีที่แล้ว

      Musk might be the one creative enough to come with the equipment to mop up arctic oil spill, or de-mine 1000’s of hectares of flatland. Not really seeing it from anywhere else. Just bitching. No one has to like him.

    • @deanejoyce5393
      @deanejoyce5393 ปีที่แล้ว

      Nope, got that sorted

  • @j.k.1239
    @j.k.1239 ปีที่แล้ว

    53:11 So you are aware of Ukraine bombing their own population but still continue to simp for it....🤦‍♂

    • @SiliconCurtain
      @SiliconCurtain  ปีที่แล้ว

      This is a nasty little piece of Russian BS. Without the violent insurrection entirely engineered by Russian security services, there would be no violence since 2014.

  • @RedCloudBlackSky
    @RedCloudBlackSky ปีที่แล้ว

    Cap relax we got this. Biden too old to be aggressive which is probably a good thing and a blessing in disguise in the current situation because if an aggressive leader rushed to overwhelm a completely overmatched foe like Putin, you may have put him in a situation where there's nothing to lose anymore, if I go, then I might as well bring the whole world with me. Remember that we're dealing with a psychopathic person here. He doesn't think about your well being or the others or anyone in this world, it's only him, himself and him again, nobody else matters.

    • @deanejoyce5393
      @deanejoyce5393 ปีที่แล้ว

      This thinking has been shown not to work. Take the case that regarding Putin as a crazy person is not useful. It just encourages him to escalate. Standing up to him has been demonstrated to work

    • @sergiystoyan899
      @sergiystoyan899 ปีที่แล้ว

      the West is heading to a greater disaster with this approach, anyway. Soon you have no choice.

  • @draganjagodic4056
    @draganjagodic4056 ปีที่แล้ว

    Always good to hear experts. Seeing that sub wretched lifted up my heart.
    As for Mr. felon Musk, maybe FBI did well, inviting him for friendly conversation and explaining him the obvious similarity between Hitler and Putin. As well the applicable measures in both cases.