The NBA Playoffs Are Completely Unpredictable
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 14 พ.ค. 2024
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Just to add to how unpredictable the playoffs are, the Mavs almost won when they were down 31 at one point… crazy
Congrats Luka 🤣
They even got the lead at one point halfway through the fourth quarter 😮!
All of their games were Clippers vs refs
"Almost won" so it was a fake comeback and they still ended up losing? Congrats to the Mavs 🥳 🥳
and yet, they lost, so not really that unpredictable
Today's Fact: In 1997, a man in Colorado was struck by lightning and survived, only to be struck by lightning again six years later and also survive.
Nobody cares
I don’t believe it 😮
thank you FacterinoCommenterino
@@IansDominosI care
@@IansDominos I care
Jxmy I will never forget the day you said that the Suns would close out the Finals in 2021 when we were up 2-0, nothing has been the same since...
lol
We got swept 😔
I was rooting for the Suns, best team to never win a title.
@@jumpvelocity3953Nah that’s the 2018 rockets. Took the superteam warriors to 7 games
@@jumpvelocity3953Likely not even top ten on that list.
Game designer here. Great vid but what is happening to NBA can't be called rubberbanding. The 3-pts swings can happen equally for both teams, they do not favor the losing team. There is no rule connection between being the losing team and going on a hot streak. If it were rubberbanding we would actually see much more close games. What we actually see is bigger discrepancies caused by teams relying more on a strategy that is higher in risk to reward ratio.
It is true. but honestly does not need a game designer to understand that difference 😄
refs help teams comeback too, nobody likes a blowout
Jxmy videos always have fantastic direction, fascinating data analysis, and misapplied jargon
Buzzer beater so nasty even AD celebrated with the bench 😭
Yooo!😏 Lmao 🤣 but why it legit looked that way🤷♂️😅
That's the funniest moment of the playoffs so far lol
The Nuggets giving AD PTSD fr
@mojoklags7599 As soon as that shot dropped live I told my friend they gotta send him to therapy. Bro can't catch a break the Nuggets bullying him at this point. Even when AD plays out his mind he still gets a game winner dropped on his dome 😭
commenting jokes you saw other places good one 👍
4:00 him posting this after the Clippers lost their 31 point lead and nearly lost the game vs the Mavs is real timely lol.
2:56 this looks like a chess game review graph where you blundered checkmate in one move 🤣
Giveaway - Looks like this one slipped through your fingers
My NBA TH-cam is two dudes at this point.
1. Jimmy for advanced breakdowns and content
2. GOAT for my weekly recap.
It's literally all you need
and flight for the reactions
and @modernmba for my economics
add Thinking Basketball in there and the JJ Redick Podcast (only when Legler is on) and you’re truly sorted
rusty buckets is goated for being a normal dude who knows ball
if you dont have awful coaching i feel bad for you
Just gotta remember 1 thing regarding the playoffs in any sport, “That’s why they play the games”. You work with stellar teams with a VERY small number of games compared to the regular season and all it takes is 1 bad run of loses and bam the predicted playoff picture gets lit on fire.
The unpredictability hides a more important theme - the global NBA pool is so large and talented that any G - leaguer can turn into Steph or Kyrie on a good night. You can't predict what happens if you load each scenario with excessive talent. When I was a kid in the '50's you always knew the Celtics would win because the other teams had less talent and no system. There weren't any Serbians, Slovenians, Greeks and Lithuanians to gum up the laws of chance in my day.
@@philwilson609ur a smart guy, do you consider Jordan the goat?
Poor Miami... they can go a bad run of loses and they have Bam
@@morapelimotaung7374 Ain't nobody stopping Bam's fadeaways tho 🤷🏻♂
This is also the beauty of March madness
bro clicked upload as soon as the bucks game ended
Fax 📠
*Publish tho??... 🤔
@@charliebrown9489holy hell genius
The fact that we love Jimmy goes to show that a good essay is all about presentation. He develops a clear thesis, presents arguments, and provides evidence for each, before pulling it all together with a conclusion. Brilliant.
You mean my English teacher wasn't lying to me in high school?
I've always been curious in this 3-point-shooting NBA if there is an additional advantage to shooting threes: the offensive rebounds. Given that the floor is more spaced and the bounce off the missed shot goes farther/higher, I've wondered if just looking at 3pt% doesn't convey the whole advantage if the offense gains an advantage on offensive rebounds, too.
Thanks for the great video.
TIMESTAMPS
0:00 beginning
15:41 end
appreciate it
Recycled ♻️ meme
Post the real one shawty
goat
Had to scroll too far for this
It's all about momentum. A #1 seed can fall behind and get dominated, or they could get hot and come back.
It's what makes the games fun to watch, because you don't know who's going to win.
100% this. it makes watching every game more fun
Which is why they scripted it that way@@fruitsnacks155
@@cristianjurado5796 you believe every player in the nba is in on this?
@@mactallica9293 Yes
@@cristianjurado5796 and not a single player in history has admitted to it, because...
Jxmy I've been a subscriber for a minute and this post was by far one of your most interesting and well done. You had me at the graph and classical music interlude. My jaw dropped at the breakdown with the three graphs showing the impact of the 3 pointer on game outcome over the years. Masterful.
That subtle shot to Lakers when explaining rubberbanding at Mario Kart being bad at the game and the character wears a Lakers hoodie lol
Jesus loves you :;;;
Ain’t no way bro related Mario Kart to the NBA 💀
Yeah that was a bit of a stretch
I mean it's something
@@PreacherJenkinsI mean it’s simply teaching a concept in a funny way. Comparing 3P variance and the wild swings in games to Mario Kart. I highly doubt 95% of people watching this knew what the rubber band effect meant before this. Obviously there’s no built in one in the NBA, (in before conspiracy theorists) but the 3 ball can be the great equalizer, no lead is safe, etc.
@@BOnYTB exactly 💯
What's wrong with that, most people have played Mario Kart so he knew people would understand it
Was not expecting Jimmy to start talking about Mario Kart but its very welcome to stay
thought that was gonna segway into talking about the refs rubberbanding these games with ridic calls to keep them close lol
I kinda liked his rubber banding analogy
Really interesting and informative; great vid!
Loved the stats heavy video. Would love to learn more about applied data analysis
LeBron looks like he's hitting the Nae Nae so violently in the thumbnail 😂😂
That’s hell
🤣🤣 bro you caught me w this one
😂😂😂
😂😂😂😂
Lol 😂😂😂
I think it's a coaching problem. Coaches don't change their game plan depending on their lead, compounding on the volatility. If, for instance, a team makes a lot of 3s early on, building up a 20 point lead, the team keeps chucking 3s. That means the other team only needs your team to miss 6 3s and them to make 6 3s and it's a 2 point game. However, if instead the team that built up a 20 point lead focused on scoring high efficiency 2s after building up the lead, then that would put the pressure on the other team. At that point, the other team needs to make 20 more 3s than you make 2s to catch up, which is very unlikely. Sprinkle in the fact that if you start focusing on 2s, the other team is gonna be less focused on defending 3s against you, making your 3s easier, and the lead becomes a lot more insurmountable. If I was coaching and my team was up 20, I'd bench anyone taking a 3 unless they were wide open and had around 40% 3PT percentage.
Very simple yet awesome observation/analysis!
It really depends. There might be a reason why you're making 3's. Trying for 2's might not be easier depending on the match up.
Sound analysis! Shooting 3s excessively is a risk of its own and becoming over reliant on it after building up a lead ends up like Houston's infamous 27 missed 3 pointers record.
you're talking like an old head. the true field goal percentage of a 3-pointer is way above what you remember it to be
This tracks for the Lakers imo. The Lakers have a Darvin Ham problem before anything else
Entertaining, interesting, but also informative and well put together vid man. I don't follow the NBA much, but when I do, it's with you Jxmy
Great insight as always man. Really helpful
As a guy who plays Mario Kart and knows about it a good amount, never thought I’d hear about Rubberbanding in the NBA. 😂
The NBA doesn’t have rubberbanding… it was an unnecessary comparison, I’m not sure why he said that.
Rubberbanding implies there is some mechanic or rule that helps the team that is behind catch up (better items, faster driving speed).
His video does demonstrate how shooting more 3s causes higher variance in game results and leads to crazy scoring runs, but that doesn’t = rubberbanding.
You’re just as likely to see a crazy blowout due to good 3pt shooting, but he didn’t include any info on that. If you google the NBAs blowout problem, it’s part of the same equation with the rise of 3pt shooting.
In summary: If there’s no objective ADVANTAGE to playing from behind, there’s no rubberbanding.
@@rickyrico900 There is no inherent mechanic to keep games close, but you have to consider this: what does a team down by 20 try to do? Catch up. Teams down will be chucking threes left and right to catch up. In a league almost entirely driven by the three-pointer (and winning games based on threes made), it's entirely plausible to say this is as close to rubberbanding as we'll get in the NBA.
@@dylan9013 i know what point he’s trying to make, that’s still not rubberbanding. The result may seem similar in certain games (crazy comebacks), but it’s due to a choice by teams to opt for high risk high reward playstyle in hopes to catch up. Not by any inherent mechanic designed to help them come back.
It’s like how in boxing you can choose to focus on pure power for a desperation KO in later rounds when you assume you’ll lose on technicals. Might work out, probably won’t, but either way that’s not rubberbanding.
Not trying to be a jerk, just nitpicking. This is a great video otherwise!
@@rickyrico900he made a comparison
@@dylan9013that’s just not true I seen comebacks where they only made like 1 3 but still closed the gap players are just better this is more like that super team argument where every starter is getting to a level where they can score 30+ just look what Derrick white did last night
Bro posted this on the same day that the clippers almost gave up a 31 point lead and he didn’t even know it😂
He's an 🫏
Unpredictable but not far fetched given the relevance lol
Jxmy keep doing your thang! After all these years, still quality content. Thank you!
As a Japanese, I feel glad to see the Mario Cart in your video! Your videos are so easy to understand and listen to.
8:42 splitting the graph into 3 separate graphs to tell a better story is crazy 💀
Dude just throws up random numbers and graphs and people thinks he’s making some great point
@rafaellariosa4815 so according to you, every 20pts lead is safe in todays NBA? Dude is right whether you like it or not.
@@rafaellariosa4815instead of just spewing conjecture why don’t you actually engage and talk about the numbers and graphs he uses and argue against them? Just saying they’re random numbers and graphs doesn’t make it true lol.
It is a great point tho @@rafaellariosa4815
@@rafaellariosa4815bro that graph split literally explains the importance of the 3 point shot and destroying leads. Are you sipping on silly juice???
I wonder if coaches should be calling quicker timeouts to curtail these scoring outbursts. I remember that was quite common in the past anytime momentum severely shifted.
A stat regarding called timeouts over the years would be interesting.
Don’t tell Darvin Ham that
They should change the rules and give each team a couple extra timeouts per game to stop those runs and allow for more challenges. But the league is about money, they want to see 150 point games. Adam silver will probably add a 4 point line.
Chris finch did exactly this tonight and it was a crazy close game all night. Ice them before they can run away.
Love the analysis jxmy! Was wondering if perhaps you could aggregate the evolution of 3pt volume over time and compare how it has changed on a quarter by quarter basis
bro your videos are so tuff , give me chills just watching a basketball video lmfao
10:48 Khris damn near gave me a heart attack with those 3's at the end of the regulation and OT.
wolves vs suns finna be on in 5 minutes… WOLVES IN 4.
hot take: Nuggets vs wolves will be the greatest series of all time
wolves nuggets series finna be absolutely generational
@@tkSZN04 lets just pray the lakers win
fax
@@tkSZN04 you mean suns vs lakers?
AYE I FEEL YOU!
Wow, I knew about 3s causing more variance, but not this much. Great video, I think this is my favorite one yet.
Love this series of videos!!!! ( tying to pic the finals champ just using the numbers)
Jimmy video before bed? Perfect 👍🏽
yessir
studying for finals rn...jxmy uploaded so gotta take a lil break
Loved the video. And you're so right. When my dad took me to my first ball game I learned that when a team is up by 10 it's basically a done game. Now 15 years later look at the NBA.
Fantastic content as always! Keep it up King! 👑
If you love Math and NBA, this has to be your favorite channel... 😎😎
Love these videos thanks for existing bro
Support me please!!
Support me please!!
Thought I couldn’t love this channel enough and now Jimmy pulling out Mario kart rubberbanding in a video wow.
jxmmy blessing us w documentaries we could be paying for 🙏🏼
I’m about to fall asleep but Jimmy posted so now I set my alarm for 15 minutes and 41 seconds later than it was
I love how a basketball analysts legend knows what rubberbanding is 🤣😭💀
Why wouldn’t he? He’s gen Z and majority of people have played video games.
@@judith678 yeah but I feel like rubberbanding is something more advanced dedicated players know about
But you definitely have a point
He doesnt know what it is because the NBA doesn’t have it lol. There’s no advantage to playing from behind in the NBA it’s a silly comparison.
A 3, a stop, a 3, a miss, a 3. 9 ponts in about 45 seconds. Yeah, things can definitely get crazy now.
That mavs, clippers game that just happened was crazy as well.
Suns just got swept.
yknow I was not expecting a game mechanic from mario kart 64 being used as an analogy in this video about the NBA Playoffs but to be honest I'm pleased to see it lmao
Perfect timing bro needed a video to watch before bed.
Thanks bro, you making me love the game again.. I'm from the MJ days.. many blessings
And as always, thanks for watching.
nah but this playoffs is amazing, not just each game being unbelievable and a thriller, but the storybook matchups, Lakers vs Nuggets running it back, the Heat - Celtics and Mavs - Clippers rivalry returning... I do think the Nuggets will win it though, Jokic is just on another level from everyone else as we have observed these past few years
when jxmy uploads you know your day is about to instantly get better
That Mario kart analogy was an incredible comparison. You are masterful at your content creation sir
Great video as always JXMY
To add on to the unpredictable playoffs this year, the Pacers literally just took a 3-1 series lead vs the Bucks
I mean, when the best 2 players are hurt, the third best player is not in good condition, a starter is playing through injury and 2 of those loses were extremely close.
This I my opinion just looks horrible for the pacers who already had a favorable matchup against the bucks without taking into account the injured players
I mean... Giannis still hasnt played in that series, Dame is injured now, although Khris is playing, he's still not in the best shape of his life. Not that unpredictable for the Pacers eliminate them considering all those factors.
This a bad example. Giannis was set to not play this series and Dame getting injured made the pacers winning less unpredictable
i predicted the pacers would win even if the bucks had dame and giannis, if they still had mike budenholzer or whoever, i would pick the bucks to win, the bucks have sucked with doc
Why would you comment about the NBA if you don’t watch it
Keep up the good work
I believe it’s because teams are getting more and more skilled while also forgetting team play fundamentals at times.
Been here for year remember when you had like 15k subs crazy to see you with almost 3ms keep the gind up jimmy
3 pointers determining the outcome of games. Thank you Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, and Steve Kerr.
Yup! There's so many short possessions and long rebounds that teams and coaches can't dictate on defense anymore.
The only predictable thing maybe is Celtics making the finals unless they have a historic choke.
you already know the meal finna hit when you get to watch a jxmy while eating
I love this year's playoffs as it has some of the best teams going head to head which I now know is the best thing ever happen in years
Another banger from jimmy keep up the great work man🔥🔥
@oofman7166
20 seconds ago
Another banger from jimmy keep up the great work man
boo is riding jimmy's croc
bro it hasnt been 2minutes yet
u ain’t even have time to get 3 minutes into the video bruh
What that guy said, you didn't even watch the video. Obsessing over youtube likes isn't a good move.
Yall tripping in the comments……we know and love jimmy’s videos. We know what to expect before even watching the whole thing!! ❤
Good prediction on the Nuggets so far. Your prediction streak will continue.
I guess when you think about it Basketball has always been *"A game of runs"* but now that teams are taking AND making so many threes a "run" be really hittin' different😂
Fantastic upload 🙌
Everything about sports universally gets more unpredictable and evolved as time marches. That’s the beauty of sports.
Wtf... nonsense.
Not true, many sports have become more predictable. You cannot predict the unpredictability brother
suns got swept 💀
Jimmy's videos are amazing. Whenever he shares a graph, be ready to have your jaw drop.
Now that's how you do an intro. I love this dude.
This makes me wondering if we will ever see a 16-0 playoff run ever again
There never was a 16-0 run in the first place
Who’s here after Murray just sent the Lakers home…
Fake champions. Hasn’t been a legit championship since the early 90’s.
Always the best analysis 👌 don't ever stop 🙌 keep going 💪 👏 👍
JxmyHighroller you just earn a FAN my brother!!!! This video was much needed after seeing the first RD!!!
This video is the catalyst for Lakers in 7 (💀)
lakers in 7 , u know ball
@@Christappedindon't know*
Nuggets in 5 tf.
@@Kenny056it’s a meme on how jimmy keeps jinxing his teams and he now supports the nuggets
Dear LeBron,
As I sit down to pen these words, my heart races with the intensity of a playoff game. I find myself swept away by the sheer magnitude of your presence, both on and off the court. Your grace, your skill, and your unwavering dedication inspire me in ways I never thought possible.
From the moment you first graced the hardwood, it was evident that you were destined for greatness. Your relentless pursuit of excellence, coupled with your unparalleled work ethic, sets you apart as a beacon of inspiration for millions around the world.
But it's not just your basketball prowess that captivates me. It's your humility, your generosity, and your unwavering commitment to making the world a better place. Whether it's through your philanthropic endeavors or your advocacy for social justice, you continually demonstrate the power of using your platform for positive change.
LeBron, you are more than just a basketball player; you are a symbol of hope, resilience, and unwavering determination. You have shown me what it means to pursue your dreams with unyielding passion, to overcome adversity with grace, and to lift others up along the way.
In your presence, I find solace, inspiration, and a love that transcends the bounds of fandom. You have touched my life in ways I can scarcely express, and for that, I am eternally grateful.
With every dribble, every pass, and every soaring dunk, you remind me of the boundless potential that lies within each of us. Thank you for being a shining example of excellence, both on and off the court.
With all my admiration and affection,
Your Biggest Fan
🗣Don't do it bro! You've got a family to live for! Don't end it all so soon...😔
🎶My tea's gone cold, I'm wondering why I
Got out of bed at all
The morning rain clouds up my window
And I can't see at all
And even if I could, it'd all be grey
But your picture on my wall
It reminds me that it's not so bad, it's not so bad🎶
🤷♂️😅
This is the efffects of brain damage
@@GoodName-2112brain nourishment
Is he your glorious king?
Amazing video dude 🔥🔥🔥
Three pointers comparing to mario kart is CRAZY man, ive never thought of any metaphors this accurate before🤯🤯
1 view in 18 seconds jimmy really fell off😢
Bro, literally said Kyler Murray looked like pride, Michael Jordan? Prime Michael Jordan wouldn’t even hit that shot. This guy is crazy.
Who tf is Kyler Murray lil bro 💀
Jamal murray fking washes mj
Kyler Murray is hitting his shots in call of duty tho
Jamal washes mj
murray being at 30% 40% shooting for 4 games is definetly prime jordan 😂
Wow, I was hanging on to the Mario Kart analogy. Great tie in man
I am curious how many offers Jimmy has had to join sports entertainment companies. Content continues to be on point. Filled with facts, reason, and beautiful graphics.
First 🔥💪🏾
Wasn’t expecting rubberbanding to come up in a jxmmy video, but it was a pretty apt analogy
Crazy how since this video was uploaded, an even more unpredictable win from the 76ers came after Tyrese Maxey scored 7 points in 17 seconds
You're an artist brother, what an awesome vid
this has been one of my favourite first round matchups in a very long time
I think one of the things that can explain that graph where shooting more threes wasn't a good predictor of wins. It is how the offense is structured. The 'spread' or 'five out' offense moves the defensive rebounders much further from the rim so the famous 'wall' of rebounding the 76ers had with Charles Barkley and Moses Malone playing together, or Mark Eaton and Karl Malone, Dennis Rodman, Lambier, and Hot Rod, etc. they were all closer to the rim so when they boxed out it created a 'pocket' around the rim that almost any miss was theirs for the taking. Now you see players getting as many if not more offensive rebounds as defensive.
Jxmy is the only youtuber I make sure to watch every single upload for!!! always the highest quality of content
Never expected to hear about Mario Kart in a JxmyHighroller video but I’m all for it
These are legit the best videos on all of TH-cam.
idk when you're retiring from yt my guy, but MAAAANN. these videos are grated. you deliver every time. i think we all need to give you your flowers king!!
I love when my intuitions are proved correct by data, thanks Jxmy!
I love the celtics salt. Also, time for that belichickian defense strat boost
Can you do a video explaining by using the numbers which stats is the most important for each regular season award🙏 that would be fire
This is starting to be a key video I love when the playoffs happen
The playoffs so crazy we got Jimmy talking about mario kart😂
Jimmy became Summoning Salt at the end there 😂