@@raygordonteacheschess5501 I doubt any sane person would. For example the idea of a person turning down the jackpot after spending out about $1m putting bets down seems ludicrous. The videos doesn't explain it that well but if I remember correctly he was being pressured by the authorities in Hong Kong and him not accepting the jackpot was a sort of peace offering but if a guy in the street said 'I once turned down a $20m jackpot' you would say alright you crazy wanker, whatever you say
It wasn't "the authorities" but the HK Jockey Club. Chinese culture values mysticism more than empirical analysis, and Benter exploited that mercilessly. Cashing the ticket would have meant telling the Chinese there's no Santa Claus or something like that. He would have lost too much in future profits had he cashed, or so one story said.
@@raygordonteacheschess5501 (The) authorities plural noun official organisations with the legal power to enforce rules, regulations, and laws etc 'The decision was made with the full agreement of local authorities' So technically, they were 'the authorities'
Damnit Bobby we’ll that’s kind of what machine learning is... instead of using an automatic loss function or something like linear regression he was just hard coding his parameters and getting other people to update his model. I would say it’s pseudo machine learning in a way.
Ok man, I’m gonna write this as my last comment because it’s not worth arguing. This is a very basic form of ML, known as linear regression. It doesn’t “create” its own instructions, instead it looks at old data and tries to assign a certain weight to each of the inputs and also adds in some kind of bias to ensure that it doesn’t fail in zero sum inputs. That’s EXACTLY what he did. Constantly using old and new data to update his “model”. His loss function was simply money earned, and he wanted to maximize it and yeah he used gradient descent to maximize his odds slowly by slowly. A modern machine would be able to train a model within a few hours but since machine learning wasn’t even known yet, it took him years. The concepts are EXACTLY the same. You should pick up a ML book and look into the most basic form of machine learning and you’ll soon see that he was in fact using linear regression.
Bill Benter wrote an academic paper on his model, entitled "Computer Based Horse Race Handicapping and Wagering Systems: A Report" , for those who may be interested in knowing more. His model did not involve AI or machine learning, it was rather a multi-variable regression model, which are well known to those familiar with early computer modeling of complex systems. The trick is to determine which factors (of the hundreds possible) are most important in predicting the outcome of races, and being able to quantify their impact. It is an iterative process, with lots of back-testing involved.
They missed the point that this guy won the billion HK dollar jackpot and did not collect the winnings because he knew that any unclaimed tickets after 12 months legally has to be donated to charity. So basically his last big gamble was actually a gift back to the poor
I wasn't a fan of all these stuff people post online saying I've fixed numbers that will help you becoming rich 💰💰💰till I came across a genius in the game , I was shock at first I thought it was a prank he played but it was actually real...his game is fixed and hasn't failed since I started playing it 💯💯💯 I recommend you all to him on insta Hacks_bill201
Wicked Gamer check jim simons. Now days only fools think they can bet against quants and data scientists at Wall Street. But it’s not like how some people think... It’s not easy to model.
And here I am dying while studying each horse's history with race arena, weather etc. etc. to make out a probability for which horse will win. And most of the time it works but something that can't often be predicted is luck. Sometimes it is just luck... unless someone is pulling the strings.
Love the KayPro 10 running MS DOS v. 2.4. Takes me back to a time when every computer session started with “C:/”. Kudos to the Producer and Art Director.
What's funny is that Andrew Beyer thought his speed figures were killing the prices for everyone else, when it was Benter's probability model and rebates.
Horse racing in HK is much more popular than in the U.S.A. ! The thoroughbred industry in the United States is highly fragmented; and its been that way for a long time!
I was made to understand he predicted precisely the complete order of nine horses in a nine horse race a problem for people to select two horses ( exacta ) or three horses ( trifecta ) but nine horses in order that guy is beyond genius not even Nerd can describe him wish I can find a word to describe him
Fuuuuuuuck sakes... Who takes an incredible story played out over decades with way more detail and intrigue and distills it down to this.. seriously, Google this story and have your mind blown
does it still work now if everyone is doing it doesn't it counter the effect of the data prediction, or if everyone got it right the final payout would be much less to the point it won't cover the cost?
The biggest assist to gambling is Excel. Using a spreadsheet you can try a zillion different combinations at zero cost until you find the one that pays.
I have developed a winning system that has won 14 out of 15 years. The only year it failed to make a profit was when it broke even. The bets are selective, and average around 45/50 per year. Strike is 39% and return on investment is a remarkably 69%
Well done Your Numbers in this range are believable from what I have experienced. I engage in similar efforts and learning to leave the race alone is the key. The opportunities are disappearing as algortihms are no doubt whittling the dividends down to their true odds. I use simple probabilities based on large data and adjusting for track shape with the usual measures -
This guy has nothing on Australian gambler Zeljko Ranogajec - A mathematics genius who has an estimated annual turnover of over $3bn who also developed a computer program to bet on races across the globe. Another punter no one has heard of.
Am not a gambler..but during KY- Derby...I always empty my billfold..betting trifecta.etc..the moment horses would be flying..people 🔊 for their horses...life is living🙄🙄
Horse racing is very cruel to the Horses, though. Riding them at all is honestly, it harms their backs and legs and leads to many problems. Horse Racing adds whipping and awful treatment. Shouldn't support it at all. Let them live safe, happy lives, in sanctuaries and so on.
Are you a Vegan? Do you drive a car? Do you know how much suffering was involved and lives lost so that you could stick gas in your tank whenever you want? Maybe you shouldn't drive a car?
It doesn't work for everything, Bill tried to perfect a system for Baseball but was unable to do so. Remember he started with 16 variables & barely made money. In the end he had a 130 variables!
he admits after a certain # of factors it was pointless. Using 'The Public' as the baseline and tweaking their odds is what made the difference. You can't come up with independent odds from The Public and win. He saw there was a 'bias' (a bad one) when he did that, and had an epiphany: if you cant beat them , join (use) them.
As for horses..I know I'm in the top 5% of the best.. I've helped people who like betting favorites..looking for better payout..some never want a winner but a horse that might win at a decent price.
you're either making money or you're not, there's no top percentile because 99% are losing money. And if you are making money you can scale it to where you're making millions a year.
@@luscious9797 I have not worked since 2011. July9th to be exact..Some month i break even. Happens. My least amount I profited was just under 72k in 2014 I think it was
Great video... Similar to what we do at Zcode, he used the machine learning and stats to build the advanced models that predict the winners with the great accuracy.
So the way I understand it, he wasn’t able to predict the outcome of a race, but he could calculate what horses he had to bet on to win more then 120% of the money he placed back. Is that right?
With what computers? This story is of course about mathematics and clever people with a vision, but just like the moon landing it was NOT possible without computers. So no, I don't think poker players from the 70's could have pulled this off.
I read about this guy a while ago and I still stand by the idea that this guy should have a movie made about him.
Yet if you'd met him on the street I doubt you'd have believed him.
@@raygordonteacheschess5501 I doubt any sane person would. For example the idea of a person turning down the jackpot after spending out about $1m putting bets down seems ludicrous. The videos doesn't explain it that well but if I remember correctly he was being pressured by the authorities in Hong Kong and him not accepting the jackpot was a sort of peace offering but if a guy in the street said 'I once turned down a $20m jackpot' you would say alright you crazy wanker, whatever you say
It wasn't "the authorities" but the HK Jockey Club. Chinese culture values mysticism more than empirical analysis, and Benter exploited that mercilessly. Cashing the ticket would have meant telling the Chinese there's no Santa Claus or something like that. He would have lost too much in future profits had he cashed, or so one story said.
@@raygordonteacheschess5501 (The) authorities
plural noun
official organisations with the legal power to enforce rules, regulations, and laws etc
'The decision was made with the full agreement of local authorities'
So technically, they were 'the authorities'
@@sajjeel123 Correct. In this case, the jockey club were the authorities.
This guy was using machine learning before it was cool.
Yeah
Ink and paper works wonders for governments.
Damnit Bobby we’ll that’s kind of what machine learning is... instead of using an automatic loss function or something like linear regression he was just hard coding his parameters and getting other people to update his model.
I would say it’s pseudo machine learning in a way.
Ok man, I’m gonna write this as my last comment because it’s not worth arguing.
This is a very basic form of ML, known as linear regression. It doesn’t “create” its own instructions, instead it looks at old data and tries to assign a certain weight to each of the inputs and also adds in some kind of bias to ensure that it doesn’t fail in zero sum inputs. That’s EXACTLY what he did. Constantly using old and new data to update his “model”. His loss function was simply money earned, and he wanted to maximize it and yeah he used gradient descent to maximize his odds slowly by slowly. A modern machine would be able to train a model within a few hours but since machine learning wasn’t even known yet, it took him years. The concepts are EXACTLY the same.
You should pick up a ML book and look into the most basic form of machine learning and you’ll soon see that he was in fact using linear regression.
Damnit Bobby lmao who hurt u
After watching this video I still don’t know how to make 1 billion dollars on horse betting...
TreasureMap
You bet on number #5 always
Summary: years of data collection and analysis.
it's very simple, collects at least 10 years of data and makes machine learning that predicts the win with 90% accuracy. start betting and make money
You have to bet hundreds of thousands of dollars on a regular basis.
Ya dont say
Bill Benter wrote an academic paper on his model, entitled "Computer Based Horse Race Handicapping
and Wagering Systems: A Report" , for those who may be interested in knowing more. His model did not involve AI or machine learning, it was rather a multi-variable regression model, which are well known to those familiar with early computer modeling of complex systems. The trick is to determine which factors (of the hundreds possible) are most important in predicting the outcome of races, and being able to quantify their impact. It is an iterative process, with lots of back-testing involved.
was looking for this. Thanks!
@@TiredBush I see. You're going to read the paper and go out and make your own billion $$$. Wow, you really got it all figured out don't you? LOL
@@leodf1 thats what im working on
So could someone come along and apply AI to his model, meaning there would be no human involvement needed?
Does his method still work ?
*Tommy Shelby wants to know your location*
Imagine a movie on this guy with Tommy leading the role
How to make a billion at horseracing: First, start with two billion.
Dad, is that you?
@@YourUncle8501 Lmao is that actually your dads name?
@@slugboi2340 I wish. my dad never came back from the store...
That statement needs to be engraved on a beautiful fabulous slab of granite 👍🤣🤣🤣
That’s how to lose a billion you bum
They missed the point that this guy won the billion HK dollar jackpot and did not collect the winnings because he knew that any unclaimed tickets after 12 months legally has to be donated to charity. So basically his last big gamble was actually a gift back to the poor
I almost made a billion last year betting on horse racing in GTA V.
hahah gave me those tricks fam lol
They patched it a few months ago but it was the horse betting glitch lol
@@813Productions 😣😣😣😥
813Productions I made 9 mil u must have spent so much time on it because it still took time and wasn’t a quick money glitch
Lol I was just joking I think I made maybe 10-11mil before they patched it
1) Obtain DeLorean
2) Build Time Machine
3) Travel to the Future to buy Sports Almanac
4) Profit
I would just go back in time 10 years and buy me 10000 Bitcoins
@@olliee1919 Big brain time
Go back in time and give yourself a sports almanac.
Go forward in time and give yourself a sports almanac. ?
You gon bet on old horses? 😂
Mason Alex you can bet on whatever you like ! I’m sure sports almanac includes all sports
Sounds like back to the future to me.
I wasn't a fan of all these stuff people post online saying I've fixed numbers that will help you becoming rich 💰💰💰till I came across a genius in the game , I was shock at first I thought it was a prank he played but it was actually real...his game is fixed and hasn't failed since I started playing it 💯💯💯 I recommend you all to him on insta Hacks_bill201
Start with 2 billion!!
Lmao
EXACTLY.
Decaprio joins the chat, seriously make a movie about him
Solid joke. Deserves more likes.
I wish he would make a movie on this
aris gemino John and arthur shelby will so proud
Any movie with Decaprio in it is a instant hit, this needs to be done.
Oh I know this one, Same as Q :"How do you make a small fortune in racing?" A : "Start with a large fortune"
how to become a billionaire fast?
: learn statistics , programming , machine learning and data science
and let computers do the work
Well if this was true then all the stock traders would've been trillionaires
Wicked Gamer check jim simons. Now days only fools think they can bet against quants and data scientists at Wall Street. But it’s not like how some people think... It’s not easy to model.
Wicked Gamer Doesn’t work for everything. But it does work for some things.
what...not the " Force "
@@Ms123kill Still not on Buffett's level.
If he starts running pension schemes anytime soon, I'm definitely signing up!!
Awesome. These feats, even if people dont like them will be written in history books.
This guy is a legend.
@rambull Jr This video is sponsored by the Horse racing casino and this guy is just an actor .......
This is an Oscar-winner waiting to be made. What the hell is Hollywood doing?
And here I am dying while studying each horse's history with race arena, weather etc. etc. to make out a probability for which horse will win. And most of the time it works but something that can't often be predicted is luck. Sometimes it is just luck... unless someone is pulling the strings.
It’s easy own the betting shops you’ll never lose
Jeff Price kick the winners out
Monopoly always wins.
Jeff Price you will need a 5 Millions for that
That is why William Hill left Australia
C:\>PLACE BET 1
Access denied, horse exploded.
😂😂
Peaky fookin’ Blinders
So... When is a movie about him coming out?
He is sathosi nakamoto
This guy was actually from future and he knows these results before it happened
Make a documentary about this guy
I read this article in bloomberg..... so much info thanks
3 words: gray’s sports almanac
Love the KayPro 10 running MS DOS v. 2.4. Takes me back to a time when every computer session started with “C:/”. Kudos to the Producer and Art Director.
Hey I've been to that track!
That's the whole comment.
Questions of science, science and progress
Do not speak as loud as my heart
Mervin Marias nobody said it was easy
What's funny is that Andrew Beyer thought his speed figures were killing the prices for everyone else, when it was Benter's probability model and rebates.
Are there any books on these guys? I am surprised how this story has not been turned into a movie.
If you aint cheatin you aint winning.
I have it.
I finally watched after the 1,000 times it was on my recommended
this is so interesting
Horse racing in HK is much more popular than in the U.S.A. !
The thoroughbred industry in the United States is highly fragmented; and its been that way for a long time!
How do we find Bill? Does Bill teach a class that we can learn from?
Now they’ve patched this, thanks mate
Can u make more videos like this on probability n gambling and exciting and high... amin
I was made to understand he predicted precisely the complete order of nine horses in a nine horse race a problem for people to select two horses ( exacta ) or three horses ( trifecta ) but nine horses in order that guy is beyond genius not even Nerd can describe him wish I can find a word to describe him
No Triple trio - in any order in 3 races
Fuuuuuuuck sakes... Who takes an incredible story played out over decades with way more detail and intrigue and distills it down to this.. seriously, Google this story and have your mind blown
Anything recommended? I'm definitely interested in this story!
@@joshn2342323 Try Bloomberg's own written article on this. Way more interesting than this video.
@@deep.space.12 ya it was that article I originally read, plus others, but it had so much detail.. what a story
Didn’t work for me now I’m in debt
jose cruz bruh
Have you recouped yet
It because your nor Benter smart
does it still work now if everyone is doing it doesn't it counter the effect of the data prediction, or if everyone got it right the final payout would be much less to the point it won't cover the cost?
Not everyone does it, and he gets a betting rebate that the average player does not. Without that rebate he never would have won that kind of money.
they need to make a movie about this guy,,,what an interesting story
The biggest assist to gambling is Excel. Using a spreadsheet you can try a zillion different combinations at zero cost until you find the one that pays.
These are the stories we need to be telling kids in school so they can see the fun, benefits and most importantly APPLICATION of studying mathematics.
By gambling? 😂
Make a movie about him and have Leonardo DiCaprio play the role
Yes, but this dispatch fails to mention that the horses abandoned him
after they found out about his devious scheme.
I have developed a winning system that has won 14 out of 15 years. The only year it failed to make a profit was when it broke even.
The bets are selective, and average around 45/50 per year. Strike is 39% and return on investment is a remarkably 69%
whatsyour system
Well done Your Numbers in this range are believable from what I have experienced. I engage in similar efforts and learning to leave the race alone is the key. The opportunities are disappearing as algortihms are no doubt whittling the dividends down to their true odds. I use simple probabilities based on large data and adjusting for track shape with the usual measures -
The title Should have been *"how to make $1B on horse betting"*
It is
@Straight Quality ya that's exactly how I understood it.
Or How to make Dummies like boomers haha
Man your dumb
@@bumbullbeez *you're
Go back to 85 and get that almanac
Now I would imagine Ai systems today are more profitable
This method works in GTA 😏
Those gambling companies are surprised he always wins but they aren't surprised they bankrupt people who try to win.
Wrong. The bookies with whom he bets kick back rebates to guys like this, while the average player gets a dime less per dollar on what he collects.
I wish he gave me that ticket. It would've changed my life
Would love to know what he does now. Could he have used those predictive models and applied them to the financial markets like Jim Simons?
This guy has nothing on Australian gambler Zeljko Ranogajec - A mathematics genius who has an estimated annual turnover of over $3bn who also developed a computer program to bet on races across the globe. Another punter no one has heard of.
....How is this diffrent from whats happening on the stock markets today?
Its not, that the punchline. Our whole global economy is just a big casino
Lol it’s pretty different
Am not a gambler..but during KY- Derby...I always empty my billfold..betting trifecta.etc..the moment horses would be flying..people 🔊 for their horses...life is living🙄🙄
Just get the 1950 - 2000 Grays sports almanac. Bet on the winner and you'll never lose.
It is amazing that a person can make $ 1 billion on horse gambling.
if had an investor I could do it over time
Step one: steal old mans time machine
Step two: give copy of sports almanac to younger self
That would be an awesome movie😂
Loll
Make it a movie with a guy named biff
He is a genius
I think you are better off keeping track of small cards..so you can double on soft 18s hit 12;and 13 against small cards with success
Horse racing is very cruel to the Horses, though. Riding them at all is honestly, it harms their backs and legs and leads to many problems. Horse Racing adds whipping and awful treatment. Shouldn't support it at all. Let them live safe, happy lives, in sanctuaries and so on.
Do you have any experiences with horses? Or just speaking from emotion? Horses were bred to ride.
Are you a Vegan? Do you drive a car? Do you know how much suffering was involved and lives lost so that you could stick gas in your tank whenever you want? Maybe you shouldn't drive a car?
It just shows that everything is a mathematical formula
It doesn't work for everything, Bill tried to perfect a system for Baseball but was unable to do so. Remember he started with 16 variables & barely made money. In the end he had a 130 variables!
he admits after a certain # of factors it was pointless. Using 'The Public' as the baseline and tweaking their odds is what made the difference. You can't come up with independent odds from The Public and win. He saw there was a 'bias' (a bad one) when he did that, and had an epiphany: if you cant beat them , join (use) them.
thanks ill go do this now
Does this dude teach gambling¿
". How to make a billion" get Woods as your partner.
As for horses..I know I'm in the top 5% of the best.. I've helped people who like betting favorites..looking for better payout..some never want a winner but a horse that might win at a decent price.
you're either making money or you're not, there's no top percentile because 99% are losing money. And if you are making money you can scale it to where you're making millions a year.
@@luscious9797 I have not worked since 2011. July9th to be exact..Some month i break even. Happens. My least amount I profited was just under 72k in 2014 I think it was
@@clintbordelon3129 yea right internetboy
I thought this story would somehow involve a delorean
There's Hollywood movie somewhere in this story
Brilliant well done you never see a bookie get hammered but they still don't lose for the amount of gamblers but it's nice to see some body win huge
The algorithm is searching for the one.
Love Adams work.
Great video... Similar to what we do at Zcode, he used the machine learning and stats to build the advanced models that predict the winners with the great accuracy.
short answer:
By starting with 2M
If you ever get caught counting cards say this. I’m not counting cards, I’m remembering them
So the way I understand it, he wasn’t able to predict the outcome of a race, but he could calculate what horses he had to bet on to win more then 120% of the money he placed back. Is that right?
Yeah. He was arbitraging
Inside Track Evens is where it’s at
Great narrative
so he practically played roulette with horses instead the null
What a great man!
How much did he win? What was the jackpot?
How can i contact this man
economic explained has already done this
This is not how to make 1 billion horse racing this is how someone made a billion horse racing.
Great...Horse Racing cannot be called gambling when science is applied...
Poker players from the 70's could have told you this was possible. They likely could have done it themselves.
With what computers? This story is of course about mathematics and clever people with a vision, but just like the moon landing it was NOT possible without computers. So no, I don't think poker players from the 70's could have pulled this off.
when you put all your points on mastering Propability 😏
Thumbnail looks like Sammy from Blue Mountain State😂
I thought It’d be funny to share this. I got a 1-800-Gambling ad right before this video started. Oh how ironic
Is that a Grays Sports Almanac in your pocket or are you just happy to see me
Title: How To Make $1 Billion On Horse Racing
*Me: You Just Drug All the horses but your's Before The Race? duh*
This would make a cool movie
Thumbnail is Lil Dicky
When he sat on the chair I thought he's going to say I'm the nerd
They wont make a movie about this for fear of other gamblers learning how to win .
Using data to calculate your best chance of winning is not cheating.